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Correlation Regression
Correlation and regression
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14 yields of crops, ‘Mathematics a the B.Sc. examination maximum marks of jects being 50. oll Nos. FIEIED “Marks in Statiatics|34]37 36 ‘Marksin Maths. |37[37|34 ppp ap] 3539] 33 [36 (38 | 43 ‘of,y, and for large values of x to be associated with lage values of, Morcover the general trend ofthe dots is that ofa straight line, 14-3, Bivariate Population ‘every member of which bears one ofthe valucs of cach of| id to be bivariate, Frequency Distribution that in the whole record there may be more than once w number of measurements becomes large, some suitable adopted for the measurement of such variables. A table ed from the seatter-diagram by sub size 6-dividing the coor- nfo equal rectangular compartmet chin iment the number of dots which fall ‘given above if we take intervals from 25 to 30, 30 to 35, 35 to 40, 40 t0.45, 45t0 50 fora and the same for, then the dots may be arranged in atabular form given below: ye 5-30 | 30-35 ] 35-40 | 40-45 | 45-50 3-30 T 30-35 2 1 35-40 1é 2 4 40-45 3 1 45-50482 | Mathematica ___Ttistobe noted that if any dot falls on the margin point in the néxt interval. A table of this type is called a correlation table, ___ When an increase (or de increase (or decrease) in the: is negative when inereasc in vice-versa. s/ 14-7. Karl Pearson's Coeffictent of Correlation The coefficient of correlation, r, between two variables X and ¥ is where x,y arc the deviations. {2(y)/n}, anda, and a, being standar Conetation and Regression | 443 3. The students got the following percentage of marks i id Statistics Y_[y-¥-¥| 7 a ap w{ 7 | nf oar]oa a] <3 | 8 of ca] oa s| os | x ‘Lo | % es wees poe Rall Nas TTT 67 [i apart | [star Ses [os [ee] BY SE | ST a jon sub size Gets be denoted ty X and Y i Then the ican for X maths = $2 = 65 and ne mean for Yaris = $2 = 6.x and ave the devon of Xan YS from hi epee mean then the data maybe arranged in the foloing form: x Y x ? =» |» | eae w|i] -29 | <1 | om] 2s | 3s oe [91 | 33 | os | tas | 62s | Bes ' 2 | a |= | -6 | 100 | 6 | 20 | -@ | ow |. 2 | mo fo 4 2 a |-@2 | v7 | -4] 2 | 6 | 8 wo |e | 2s | me | 6s | sto | som a 88 -3 | -8 9 64 2 ao | 3 ofa | oj w]e fy fea | 26 | -19 | oe | sr | ast 750 | 660 a- Sea we Ge v= es | re X~¥eXx-65y=¥-Poy—o6 Mere arts $198, 29? = 2224, ny = 2704, 4 rs 2 a0 7 Vxq9 x97 V5398 x 2224 axa = 2108 270400 Feng = 0-78. tx- ere ds = M,— Ay= EE — Ay = Y= My +My A, = y+ dy Met Me A, = + dy B= Zoe+ d+) = Ey tad, + ye + ded) ent of correlation between the values of Nand ¥. 3 7 s 0 T 17 © a jandeikband Bo; Tadure 90; Swat npue 98; Raipur 90; Rohilkand 94; Vikram 92 Conetation and Regression | 445 for X'be 7nd for Ye 15, e 7 2 a } o 3 10 20 3 15 = [= 7 | Substituting the wove values in Kael Pearson's Formula, we get Un - Lz ey V(66~ 10-67) x6 I of Vearson's coeffciens of correlnion for the wow 57] in your o» a wp oT Tr | ak446 | Mathiemasical Statistics Forcheck, 2¢ +1)=2@)4N =04 10=10, E+ 1)= EQ) +N = -104 10 =0, EG +1)'= 26) + 2 @) +N = 170404 10= 180, 2 (q+! = Ley} + 25 (7) +N = 150-204 10 = 140, LE +VO+ N= EG) +20) +20) +N =%+0~ 10+ 10292, ulation ofthe chart is eorect. the value in Karl Pearson's formula__ ay ~ BEL. = - [eo bea 0 J Yar 0,50 10) eM: 2. = = =06 WV 7x14 OXI Remark: Letx andy be two variables Let Mand M, be their means, then ze = y= 2 —M)Y = M5) Cov ( alay my etay-tots, vane =2zq2at= tor (12) 1 i») Example 3. Calculate the Karl Pearson's coefficient of correlation benween X fand ¥ series Correlation and Regression | 447 Solution = Correct vale2 of Katt Pearson correlation coefficients given by vy byery fe-enh dinensiivii=n eniywnusate sth, ,448 | Mathematical Statistics = 3-4 +6) 412 +8) ay = By X14 +86) + x12 +6 xR) 227 7 Gt +48) + 06 +40 [0B = 520 ~ $00 “e} (650 ~ 625)(936 ~ 400) 20, V25 x 536 20. = syn es 2017 Remark : Ife take 460 in place of 960, then ihe coefficient of correlation for the following table Conelation and Regression | 449 12- 3-3 fot Lenn! fer an 1 78 z 26 30 @ 2 6 30) 36 * = 7 =T 3 7 T 2] 4 4 4 er) 1 ° -3 | 0 ° 9 1 1 1 1 2] 4 4 4 = w om og the deviations of from 22 and then ing the deviations of y from 26 and then ST 26 Eo a 35 a assumed mean for X and ¥ series bel$ hnd 29 respectively E=X-9 [a=¥=29 | En e = = a =a] 2] ‘ef ue] 4 21a} 6] wy 3 of o! of} of & —— wo} st so] m | ox ; re ee den'|fa*— Zan} Sais450 | Mathematical Staisiics Conelaion and Regression | egity =o, fice of correlation bemcen i heghg comin oe flog se 0 re Meo cnineae ft =e Sse a0 | Ta | Ee an | = I Fee 7 | Teg pa Say a] % ra) ad ol 4 40 > 4 3B 1 si 4 1a | 16 | 20} pe- fn |i | I } i + {7 x 542 ~ (46)°}(7 x 358 — (6)') . 1197 - 26 Yea794 — 2116,2506 ~ 36) tat oa © Vi68 x 2470 XT © STS = ple 8, Show that the value ofthe concen of emelaton i indspndert of reference and the scale of reference. J With usual notauon we have ~) lependent ofthe change of origin and sie yk <00rh <0, k>0 tions ofthe variables andy fom tit Conelation and Regression | 453 P's rg \ aes ate] ar Fat = alone 2a) =o ens 2m =ler uy ies BEG +B) ei. ea) “ we have BED Tuner LILS. of (1 is iva quantities * lsr20 * i4r20 and d=re0 - re-1 md rst atsrst, Apezample 7. Prove tha the Pearson's coefficient of eoreaton + tes ' bebveen ~1.and +1. Le waz -or- oF Tashumnty, cous rinimumit Be ~22ey-ar~b) 20 {Minivan Ha - 2G -ar-8)=0. andiherefore = a= 29. La 8) negative being the sum of squares of real Since dy =O= de,we gerd = 0, 3 & volat 62 w usry-ayBy'-Udyrane & fF 29-227. ny4 ‘, wane (Gt) ay! 20M, Gor oy? xt we a fo454 | Mathematical Statistics say, sng tenn eager ‘Simviary, 24%, will not be negative. Hence. 1-F20 ost ‘pvingthelimic ofr as~1 ond + 1 EXERCISE14 Sw oe} ~». DF ¥ 2 * 10 ry ietacen + Beweda~ Sard +75 Retween Gand 4°5 o J Beaver — Detweea = '75and ~ Tween ~'S ard | ° rT) 0s an 485 sta a5 19 450, 197 m 199 ss a sw ion Coeficen. Show thay Karl Pearson‘Coretation and Regression | 457 xa fat 3731) (ay (8-23) (7-2) s 2736. 308. T68 1 Calle coefficient of oeltin frie loving ble: atu ore me coven x a et —12 forts 0-4 4-8 8-12 12-16 T | | 6 8 | 3 | Tx + { 7 2. | = 20inthe row = ~ 1 isobtained as 9 2) + 8(-1) < D ) 'v = Ois obtained as Sg 3x0. G _% rowy = Lisoblained as +200, veya row v = 2is obtained as a Simian ie oor ebm ) | | “naieciumn =~ 2ecesbesss (bv h t Find out fu, fs, fi? and fv?, Now second column from th = 14in the rowy = ~2isobtained as ) = -20ere. fo byw and fa by v 0 | ay . =e J | :) r= + x74 (exe #8) | +o+ Chinas)458 | Mathematical Statistics Comelation and Regres 16-18 18-20 2-22ical Statistics Cometation and Regression | 461 96:5 | 98.5 ; 100-5 | 102-5 | 104-5] 106-5] 1083 sno EXERCISE 14 (B) il3t el: Trt 7 A tind Kart Pearso's oelccnt of corelation from the following tbl 1)2/ 8/2 Sye}zfafa Tos [5-0 [0-5 | 5-0 | we ofa i ot T z s}o}wfo]o ile a8 4 s 5 3} s]e]a 1 ai 3 ‘ 4}2}3a]4 12-16 2 1 afa 1 ada Fa the coeticient of crtelstin rom the following able: o-4 8 e2 B15 T 2 ‘ 1 2 5 3 . 4 2 mn between andy for the following tl sae ar] | $ Sep 3 3 ew | - | = | » wo} - | w | wo | 7] = | 2 wo} = | - 7 | o | « | a sw] - | - | - | «Js * Tout_[ 9 a9 i, )Gaesate the elfen of eonrationbaween x ay Y x 0-8 Bo1G o-4 wu-3 af =H v5 7 =| =e 5-10 6 * w-15 5 3 15-20 7 2 n-% ° rs + 5 Calculate the coffe of colton fom the flowing tbl ging the apes of esbands an hires in years Agcot | geo bane Ton Wee [SoH] RO | 0-9 | OO | Ow Bs] s 73 7 35-35 wo | as | 2 ” SAM s36 ~ as} 35-45 1 2 2 5 i 15-55 af} ow | os | a t eS, _ 5 55-65 | 4 2 6 Viaovio x sav20 | Y10736200800 “Tea wpe}482 | Methen atsties “he fotowng tle gre sng to ae est of mse Fleer or aaa ae Mats Fy es x ‘Toul eT 7 awl s] § ‘ 2 |» nw} 6] 8 » | vu [os ws] a] 4 ‘ e | 2 9-0 2 4 a fo an 2 3 1 ‘ Tat | | 2 3 |e (Cie the osthecns of coreon beineen apa igen, CClevat the eoefcien of corcation for the following abe: Bs [Hs] Bs [ws a5 [TS Conelation and Regs i@ 14-18, Standard Error and Probable Error ‘The formula for calculating standard error is 1? See 4 where isthe coefficient gies mans ae equal cach being 142+. (ut tauth > k= BYE = 2 La d=X-¥= ( ah. (2H) from the meat —— waz ( Ay. nyt yxt8 (2ical Statistics = n+ (Qn +1) _ (n+) nt) 6 | 468 | Mathem Similarly, syn nD Now from (1), we get Xd? = e—y)' = Ex + Fy - 2B = By=}@e+ yt Ea) a fio D — sal = yn =3y~ dat Putting these values, we get This is the required formula for the coefficient of correlation of ranks is duc to Spearman. |. This method ranks, Ineach series the largest 2, and soon, ues inimum if Za? is maximum ii ‘maximum, d will be maximum if the ranks of the 1 iowa below : 3 a2 odd and'whon a b crea odd and equal to 2 + 1. Then different d's arc (BET = 1), FETA = 2)y oy 4, 2,0, 2, 4 ony “(P= 2), Correlation and Regression | 465 fe, 24, B= 22 = 4, yO = B= 4 aig = (= 2), Ed? = 2 (2) + (2-2) + + P+} = 81 +¢- 1+. +p = EEN +Y 6 6rd aw) a xd" rang grey cin ae nk Case2. When n is even say 2, Then the values of d are : = 1), (23), ony y= 1, -3; on (= 3), == 1) Bd? = 2 ((2r-1)'+ (r= 3) +. +1} = HQ) + (= 8+ 2+ PHP LY {+ (2) + ae DY QPP HF ++ W424 Fe- 1 +.. +2") = 2[52r(2r + (Ar + I) br(r + IY + 1) = 30 4" — GE? a (4? = 1 roi-—Gie -£e-» ~ net) ~~ ar a1) ‘Thus we get ~ 1S rs 1 which are the required. ids for the ced; = O for all values of i, therefore Zd° = 0, Henge r= 1 ~ 6 PE a, aksandX,+ Y, = n + forall Min- Y= dandy + ¥oent1 d= 2X, - (n+), 2d? = 4EX' = 4 $1) BX tn (n+ . AVQ+D ging need) +1 and(Correlation and Regression | « Staple 3. Clela the cafe of comclaon from te dara give Fie tet harmo ifr: Mae ey 5 Ts Lise |e | tor | 86 7 i 4 é Solin: 3 6 = x y | Rankin | Rankin bra : 5 4 1 x ’ 5 é 8 9 -1 , e a4 7 4 8 - » 2 | 2 0 1 1 6 a 1 1 0 0 2 8 8 5 : 1 * 3 i » 3 3 0 a ” 6 6 5 1 6 5 1 2 8 1 1 9 1 Taal ae a Bal { Gx4 1a t- pet no r= oS area s1-13=-05. Fee, Te competitors in a beauy contest got marks by tre jst 3 es < K ... Example 2. Find the rank correlation ficient jon the following data : . x 10 7 iB wd ¥ a a ao ee ak ee %* Y Lr ail TERT ges-y e 5 5 o a 4 4 0 ° 2 % “1 1 3 4 2 4 1 2 “1 1 v € - oe Oey oes x6 x se et Oka PER eH HOT leggy Sx‘or frst and second judge's opinion xa? = 200, oxd? 6x20 7 Hence = 1 = PPE = 1 antag = (2) For first and third judge's epinion x4? = 60, ice thereis less difference in their approach, sceond and third judge’s opi 2a = 214. ic. there is much difference in their approach, ‘Thus we conclude that the (1) and (3) pairs of judges hgve much ds their approach to Beaay. /14-19, Tied Ranks When two or more observations are equal in a series we. say that there. is atic, I ties oceur, they may be assigned the average of the ranks they | would have received if they had differcd. For example, | MOF If two items are tied for third rank, then they may be ranked 3 oe Be | 19 e Ai) IF tree items are tied for 7th rank, then they may be ranked T#S*® ~ 8 and the next is assigned the rank 10, xi again there is some tie the same procedure i In case of tied ranks, when correlati then ra 1 She +7 n@=T used. where T; ; = G52 (m} — my for tied ranks in x — iY in and T,= 752 (m}—m)) for tied ranks in ¥ ‘ny= number of equal ranks. In case of tied ranks when correction is made in variances and covariances then bee =n - (+ T) - 3a? Correlation and Regression | 469 Solu - Y Rank ora ianstY dandy e | a 10 T 3 =7_|-a9 | 8 12 2 f -s 23 B 8 35 3 nis | 205 B 18 35 5 -15 | 225 0 8 5 5 ° o 68 2 6 2 4 16 oe 20 7 3 4 16 58 24 8 1 7 | 4 Total = = = a 62d? + 7 -m) rei- met iy Here m, = 2, since the rank of 73 is the average of two numbers3 and 4 6 {159-5 +, B-2)) Hence ee) =1-27-0405xe _ | 46a “exes = SOY ot- BB a1 -192-05. = 0-4 Fxample 2. Calculate the c ficient of correlation from the following data : A [4s [36 [58 7 45 [a0 36] co | 30 | ae Pee ao 36 ae sae aoe] ¥ y [REET BREST = 40 Se 4 TS 36 25 6 “35 30 8 9 -1 4 4 2 2 36 5-5 6 -05 32 7 8 = 4s 25 1 1s a2 1 3 22 20 10 10 0 36, 9 6 3 — 1 — = [=o 7470 | Mathematical Statistics In the case of ticd ranks, Gea + BE omy} —m)) a7 oD ma) Here m= 2.since the rank of 56 is average of two numbers 2 and 3. m ce the rank 45 is average of two numbers 5 and 6. since the rank of 36 is average of thrce numbers 5, 6 and 7, (nm) — m)= 7x (@ - 2) + 2-2) +e 3} wtheeeeny = 3a, ao ‘Hence rank correlation coefficient is given by {from (1) and (2)) =1--8136+3) 2, _ 6x39 Jodo =)” 90 = 1-0-2364 = 0-7636, ° EXERCISE 14 (C) 1, Two Jadgesin a beauty contest rank the ten competitorsin the f e[s,73]7tl?]7]°)75] 0] 5 apa. bep7ts teste p ets dards? lowing data, showing ranks of stu- ‘denis in two sub sine Gets: Mathemais] 3 Pe] 2 ][2]7])o]* |e] 1 Pays spstepiy,® a p42 13. Ten studeats got the following percentage of marks in Uzonomiks and ‘Stodents TIl?]72]4]5]¢]7]*]91© Maris in Eeonomics es [Ble | | alo |» ‘Maris in Saisie al@l@lale|s|s| a7 (Calculate ihe rank correlation coef:cient. 4. Caleulte rank correlation coetficies (6, Marksof twelve studentsin Arithmetic and Algebra are given Frimener [O [MIO DSO zlSlel sf alc s[n [a ols[sl2i~ls[elals Catzulsle the rank correlation coe ent betweeax andy. Mars [1] 2) 2] 415] *]? Pres | [103 [4] 5 [712 the rank correlption coefficient for proficienciesof this group Siudent ALB Rankin FietTest [$5 [5:5 | RankinSecond Tea | 3 | 5 9. The ranks of same 15 students in ‘herearenetmoethang (? =n) 1 pouibe vauete 18, Define nk conlaton andere the formula 14, Show thatthe eoef 15. Define Karl Pearson's coefficient correlation. Also menti between ~ Land + 1. ion ies between ~ Land +1 orrlation and Spearman's rank ete roperies. Sh a corcationean® 14-21. Regression im ‘repression’ was first used by a British Bi Francis Galton (1822-1911) ic later part of nineteenth centr) connection with height of parents and their offeprings. He publi Paper entitled ‘Regression towards Mediocrity in Hereditary Stature’ ©Correlation and Regression | 473° yractb wherey = ¥— M,andx = X= MM, ifference between point and the ofs U=xy ofr, Out Weight oF vice-versa consider 1c former, old one we get Yom, <1 Bara) the mean of y-series. means M, and M,, ofx. Changing474 | Mathematical Statistics stature of sons of tall parents reverts or regtesses back towards, the mean stature of the population. Note2, Ifr = +1 oF —1, the two regression lines will ly negative) values of the other. Ifr = + 1, variables are perfe: tively correlated, high values of one corresponding to kigh values of the oth Note3. Ifr = 0, the two lines of r 1M, which are two lines par their means M; and M,, They are perpendicular to cach other. It means that mean values of X and ¥-do not change with ¥ and X respectively ie. X and ¥ are independent. Note 4, Following are the diagrams for various values ofr: sssion become X = M, and ¥ = ° YO 0) (aco (ea+t) _AG-25, Regression Coefficients ‘The coefficient of x in the regression line of y onx coofficient of y onx and is usually denoted by “ts.” thus be =r ‘The coefficient of y in the regression li coefficient ofx ony and is usually denoted bya rZ. 3 14-26, Properties of Regression Coefficients 1. Coefficient of corelation és the geometric mean of the coefficients of regression. lled regression ny is called regression thus ‘We know that regression coefficient of y onxis and regression coefficient of x ony is 3 oe bye re a + Geometric mean coefficient of by, and be, is Jicig = Vidixr® «VF =n Remark 1. The sign of rdefined on the sign of cov (x,y). LIV Gov (&,y) > 0, then dy, bry, 7 > 0. In cov (x,y) < 0, then by, 6;,, 7 <0. 2 tic Mean of the coefficients of regression is greater than the coefficient of correlation. We know that the coefficient of regression of yonxis byw a and the coctficient of regrestion of x ony is ‘Then arithmetic mean of b, « on b: bya tbe, (0) it ilaed | > r Gp tos > 22.0, (, — 2,)" = Owhich is truc. be
ir =# var (y) = var (v) 1 Fens 3; Tie folowing marks have ben obtained by aelass of students in j «ov te cin te) ies (oto | Now ban = SL) HE he, twert Tas [35 [36 [SS [OLS SDL ELMS | qe @) Papert [36 | 30 | 48 | 60 | 62 | 6 | os | 70 | 74] a2} oo i: Wiute the coefficient of correlation or te above data, Find also the equation i bye = Ree ‘Of regression. ultr),, ree * cme | . “y . lon: Thking A: = 65 and A = 7Oasassums we get the follow Dy vee corn | SOE, Taking assumed means, we get the following | hw aa ) Tag) wer (___—PaFERT ———]-—— i # x é e y me | oF i . a i 1 100 | 50 | | From (4) and (5), 56 “9 ‘81 48 it hs i pendent of the change 58 7 49 60. ~10 100 | | g “3 3 | ot ~# 64 | © ° 0 | 64 -6 36 \ s 3 9 | 6s -s 2s i 5 r ‘0 ® : i 100 (s 4 16 a0 i | ms | aw 2 85 20, a = 400 20 20 400 49 THES. Formula, we get Jes whch tne two regression lines make wih he tans rh tan = .478 | Mathematical Statistics - pe BB BH [ # Fr y = ) 0 i | 2s] 8 35550 x 18218 a | -20 | 400 | 56 Regression coetficient of xony 55 -10 100 50 eho) 2x (-49 sx | -9 | a | 4 so | -7 | 4 | oo @ | -s |] | w wo 0 oO 64 6 3 5 | 6 0 s | 2 | 7 75 10 | 10 | 7% 8s 2 | soo | 9 az | wey ‘Karl Pearsons correlatio 1393 - 2xcs om pare aL ma «Gi = 6s.ss mans - (2 = 499° {usta — F2} frsos — 25) {on OT THe Tie of regression of ¥ on yis Mean of U ‘The equat ie x65 2=0-85(y - 65-55) ~ a= 859 +948 (2) ; Sins the equation of he ine of regression ofy ons y — 65-55 = 0-99 (« — 65:2) . y= 996+ 8) fe 2. The following marks have been obtained by a class of students in ‘of 100) = < oo [oe] | mls l= Fo VES OT Papert | 80] 45 | 55 | 56 | 58 a | oo | 62 | 6 ‘above data. Findatso the equation 65 (7 } 74 | 90 Papert | 82 | 56 | 50 ‘Compute te coefficient of correlation for tie of the lines of regression. Solution : Let A, = 65,A, = 70.480 | Mathentical Statistics = 19-698 = 12.235, Resvession coefficient of y on.x Byer S = 0919) 42-235) _ 21-248 GR) = 3G = 0-992 Regression coefficient of xn y (919) 01-336) _ 10-418 _ 2 = Bs = 0-851 Again = 65-2 marks Peay + 3h = 70+ S82 = 65.55 maris. Equation of line of regression of y on xis d-ParBe-H y~ 65-55 = 0:99q — 65-2) Y= 0-98 + 1.002 ion ofline of regression of x ony is e h Obtain the twa lines of regression and calculate the expected average fers Scns and he expected aver = [9 = =a fF a3 | a 2 5 2} o-t at 3 a 1 9 4 4 1 ° 1} 0 4 6 3 1 = | ae 2g B= 69 -§ = 0835. Arithmetic Mean forx series. ¥ 1. Correlation and Regression | 481 =i (B)' 61075 erage. 89. Arithmetic mean fory series, FA +B 09-12 68:5, Correlation coefficient, r= ro a3 Vs4—Hee2a- 2) VBx40 a2 47. Vis ence the line of regression of yon: yo MarZe- ay fae yoese a7 xP Be ops) or ye A212 +39-77 ~() “Theline of regression ofx ony: xa M=rZg-M) ies ¥=68-25= 47 x FG 68.5) 5S ea say +3908. -@) ence ecresponing ox = 675i tw get 7-605 47 PB ors ens) « y2685 + 1923 o5) 2 69.5— 1m ces9, Thus the expeied rag eit oh sons 68-19 inches corresponingo the even eign ofthe faker = expected average eight ofthe fathers Size S2extass +3229 = 70 a0inehs from) ale 2 Find he vo linc of reps an cuefinne of con ann ee Ti dan gen Selon ; = 18, Ee = 12, By = 18, 5:7 = 60, 5)? = 96, By = 48,482 | Mathematical Statistics 60 12)? =. (if) 3-33-45 = 2:88 = VERB = 1-7 a rey (nx? — xy Finzy? = Gy) 18 x48 ~ 1218 [18 x 60 ~ 125018 x 96 — 18) os Gis 298 _ (18)? =it~ (ie) 3533-15 4:33 = VSB = 2-08 864 — 216 (1080 ~ 144)(1728 ~ 324) = 88 __ es. 30-56 Voss x 1404 3059x3747 Regression equation of y onx: y-FarZe-H 2-08 - yo t= -56x 2b 67 - y~ 120-683 0-46 ‘= y= 0-G8x 40:54, - Regression equation ofx ony: ero * £0.67 = 0:56 x p91) 2 . x 0-67 = 0-46y - 0:46 x 0-46) +021, ‘Example 8. Given the foltowing information + ‘Mean Bianeard Deviation Yield of Wheat AD a itogram per unit area) * [Raiiall (em) Z Correlation coefficient between production (yield) and rainfallr = 0°5. Estimate the yield when rainfall is9 cm. Solution Le, z=yield, Y= ‘Then ¥=10, = 8 ond r=0:5 o = 8, 22 Regression equation of on yi given by x-Ferky-j 2 0205x808 - x-10=2y-16 -- x= -6 Required estimated yield wheny = 915 ol) = 2x9 - 6m 18-6 = 12 de, 12kg por unit area, Correlation and Regression | 483 le 6 In a panially desiroyed laboratory record of fan analysis of se ietelbuigtiadtonaregbies 7 2% 14 anala of Variance ofx =9 Regression Guations 8x ~ Oy + 65 = 0, 40x ~ 18y = 214 What were (8) the mean values ofx and y, (b)the standard deviation of, and (6 the coefficient of corelation between x and y ‘Solution : We kn6w thatthe two regression lines pass through the point (xy) So to find andy we solve the given equation &x- 10y + 66=0 ~ 40x- 18y- 214=0 (1) x5 + 40x ~ 50y + 330=0 Subtracting (2) from (3), we get yy-su=0 y= ai7 Substituting this value of in equation (1), we get 8x- 10% 17 +66=0 : - ge= 66 +170= 108. ro Bhes Thus #213,p=17 4) “The equations of regression lines can be put inthe form y=-tr+6-6, yonx and x = “4sy +5-35, ony <2 The regression coetiient ofy on:ris rh n08 “0 “The regressitr coefficient ofx on yis % = 0.45, a) Multiplying (5) and (6), = 0-45 x 0-8 giving r = 0-6 Varianee of x = 0,’ = 9, hence 0. = 3. Putting the values of and o in (5)we get, = 4. Sor Brample2 Gens = 4y +59 i+ Saretoregeson lines ofxonget Show that 05 4k 21, If k = 4, find the mean of coefficient of correlation. wa variables and Hon : Given x=4y+5 xony yske+4 —yone Regression coefficient ofxony, bay = 4 Regression coefficient ofyonx, by, =k Hence bay bye 1 ° thetCorrelation and Regression | 435 484 | Mathematical Statistics Agiinifb,, 20,then b,.20%k 20:8 4k 20 . fae ey ethno Example 8 olin able gves he ag of hands and wives for SO nly © maried cope: Fie wonaesontn asennad Wonk = ten wenn ond aga ico akc aan Aol Hasbant Amore 20-25 25-30 30-35 ia 7 a = | 20-24 6 u 3 Hi 1 24-28 _ 7 |The regression equation fork = fare seares) | yaad ‘Foup of husbands aa a mwa oa proper ene Sova tese eqns we go = 28 = 3 ar - sample 8. For nwo random variables x and y with the same mean the two rae f fe fi fs _Fegesion tones sae ban 9 Son a a )apet | pire 0 » {of o | o | Find also the conmo, 1 7 7 ¥ 7 Solution: Given fs year+b, yonz 0) 7 30 | =16 | 30) xeay +f, xony @) = brza and by =a | common mean be m then 3 | Y-J= bj @-H ey-m=ae-m) © ‘iw 9 0 7) =ax+m(1-a) : x J Hwa! gah Hern oxy=m Meanots, reap Baus S5CD a5 -.5 < 2790 ym — (8) / * ae Fab RE 2 2 4 SIO 99 1.96 = 20.78 900 f ‘Comparing (1), (2), (3) and (4) we get zy Bp 222+ SETI = 22 1.25 = 20-78years i b= m( a) Regression cvefficiem oty on | P= in ~2) pv = 23h ‘bm ~a) _ t-a p= UE) _ K savy) . fe fo ete = are) TT ar eee a et ail - ‘Again from (), ™=T-a | commonmeani=7 =m. ee a poet =f ‘and from (6), ato toe 3 es i Since regression line passes though @% 7) we have from (1) and (2) 25 - Ge arin =am+b hI 16 4 ag maam +B ES BISA * Bey AOA amebrew +2 : am-am=p-b °486 | Mathematical Statistics Regression coefficient afx ony: Dyy = GHP) =H cov "= arg) = R var@) 5 uw lt = OO “ 5 M4 com =F W512 7" Bs ~ ence regression equation ofy ons Y ~ P= bys (-X) 27a OE 2) w yn O-4Ts = 8.00 a) Represion cquatiohony : Set be-D ta 4-27 20-12 - 20-78) > rg = 0-T2y + 12-04 (2) Enated age ofhustnd, a BP 0.720 20.5 1208 {fom @} 2 deed years ») Estimated aot wile, ee Se 0-47 230+ 8-09 {trom = 22-19 yeas Correlation and Regression | g| the two regression ines and the coffin of contin trom the Eng 3 3 7 e 7 3 4 3 2 7 mW] Bayo 30 6 | 50 3 [a] 8 Find equations of grton nits and Wives at Marriage: ” Hanada [Ta [@lele[ o>, als > Spa Wiles age CE Ee form ofthe fllowang age of usb ng marks have been obtained clas of tudentsin Statics (ut of 100): o[s[s[s[s|o|Gla@[m sa] a[s[olelolalalelm>x|o Poper EXERCISE 14 (D) {on coeffsient and the equation of regression lines forthe followting, (Compute the cooticient of corre above dota the lines of repre 10. The following table gives the various values of variables. andy = T z 3 = s—_] @ ry 7 a ¥ z = 3 = oe | 3 ‘i ine the repression equation 2. Fin he two regression fines fa th flowing a ae ris the repression equations wid Ts 1s 17 4. aban) = oa a Lele 2H ae ley 25 ying thee En 18 costiient of correlation from the fllowing 4nd he mo eresion etn wu a ee Z x e 4 : 3s : Ts 12 Calculate the coefficient of correlation a meets: 1c the methodology of computing the correlation =li]?]3]¢ Pe . ine of regression of y on.x by using the following. Z z i ; ss488 | Mathematical Statistics Papalation Gn thousands) No. of FV. seis demanded | 15[ a7_[ a7] 50 the demand of IV. sed fe nts got the following marks in Stasis (c) and Mathematics () 5 ES CA A A “Compute the correlation coefficient te the marks in Mathematic of student who rectived 62 masks in Satisis weekly 30 DH Dw] ole esp So pes [OL Ss [sO as | 30 Calculate the regression line of sale on test score and estimate the probable weekly sles volume if salesman makes a score of 0, ‘experiment 10 measure the stiffness of «spring the length ofthe spring wnder Correlation and Regression | 489 21 Ina panially destroyed lboratory record of an analysis of correlation data, the fovtoonng results ar legible variance of = 9, regression equations: 4x ~ 5y +33 = 0 22, The following regression equations have been ob 1 = O°S16c + 38°73, x = 0°51 the mean of and oso ofys aswel the ratio ofthe standard deviation xt that of ? ing data age given for marks in Paglsh and Mathematics inthe S.LLC. two lines ofregresion and explain why there are two equations of regression, fe the expected average marks in Maths. of candidates who received 50 marks sh Ay price in Bombay corresponding tothe price of Rs. 70 at Cal lfferent loads ate measured as Tonbay. Toad ings @) oF ‘Length in inches O): 25 L 35, ice between to variables x and ingeomtans Zp = 100, Sy? = 460, Bay = 508. ime of eheering that he had eopied dow 140 te corer value wore #1 ue 17. A comp {yom 25 pairs of observations obtaine = 135,20 = (Obtain the corsect regression equations © 48, twolincsofregression are given bys + 2) ~ 5 = Oand 2+ 3y ~8 = Oanday" = 12 ‘Coleulste the mean value of «and y, variance of and the coefficient of correla mnpur' pur 90, 98, 6 Ke {(b) the conrtation coeficient between x andy’ OB between the two prices ofthe commoditiesin the wo the neigh (x) and weights (9) of 1000 policemen nes, M, = 1501b4,04 = 2°Sinches, 2p = 201bs,¢ = 0-6. rom the above dat r ight of a particular policeman whose weight is 200 bs. (b) the weight of particular potieman who isS feet 26, ‘The following data are given for marks in subjects and lina certain examination : a o icon Wore 3 = Standard Deviation 0 k of correlation between A and B = +066 inc the two equations of regression, sponding to 75 marks bisined in w the regression lines by using the F=07 = 2G estimatey whens = 25, owing data 9 = 5,7 09 repression coetficiens. tion coeffi 2 geometric mean of regression490 | Mathematical Statistics rithmeti mean of regrestioncoeiicents is greater than corielation cet 33, Lethe following statement correct ? Give reatons. “The regression cocfiient ofx on yis 32 and that ofy ons +8" 3. I linear relionsip exists bewoon the vale andy, then prove tha he toctclen bameen them ie Lor 36. Ike nes eesion oy on ands ony te reepecivey a+ buy tet = Oand curt hay see Oprorehataibe 20h 36. The repeson ines Ly ons andsony ar sespecnelyy = ac + bande = oy +d owe Cmeonotas = RAE, adh and mesnofy,5 = Tae i) correlation coefficient bermeen x andy is Vaz. ‘37. Two variables x and y are conneeted by the relation ax + by +¢ = 0. Prove tha coefficient of eorrclation betwoen them ion equation ofy onxisy = ag bo + biy, andr be the correlation cocficient (sin = Aye! 1, where noanse,d > 0.06 40, Find the scute angle 9 between the two regression lines in ase of twovriables, Explain the sgnifieance of @ when re, of regresion incase of two varies. sion lines. Find the regression lines for any given and find the ange between them. ofzand yrespeciively, Solution : In termas of and v, r the coefficient af correlation is given by reco ~ Year (u) var (») Hoe waxy sotham=z+5 and vex—y sothatver—s. cov U4) = Ew — -%) SEO -Rty-Nenz-y 4 =Ele-3'-9-9)) =E@-¥F-Ey-5F zolgi. Correlation and Regression i warty eB e+ yt EO + £0 +286) evar @) +e g) + 2600 Gs Simiary, _var(= varee =) = Var () + ¥9E 0) ~ 260) ANS,” cov uy) = Caszandy ae uncorelaed variables. varumyar@y + var )ie a= Valea? Similarly, a Verre Example 2. Tho rables x and y have means 5 and 10 ans Sand 9 respectively. obtain inthe coefficient ofcorelation berween an -20-) = Dar (x) ~4 var) + 0,,y are independent 9K 4x 9=0 ov (44¥) = oe coefficient of correlation r between two variab Example 3. Show sh candy is given by : 02 + of ~e-y 1 Tae where o2, g2.and a,—y?arethe variance of x,y and x ~ y respectively. Solition: a -F =Ele-)-E@- =Ele-»-@-7r e-H-o-n a2 + oy ~ ony =e7s Bor the following percentage of marks in mathematics ete coefficient of covrelaion bythe method of diferencers Markt : ‘Mathematics Sia iB e 36 31 98 ~~ 1 2s 60 5 6 a2 o 90 86 o 58 65 53 39 a X_= Marks in Mathetmaties, ¥ = Marks in X | OY freak yey Fe] 2 eae 7%) [3 |e <5 36 | s1 | -29 | -15 | gat m4 9s | 91 | 33 | 25 | 1089 8 25 | 60 | -40 | -6 | 1600] 36] -35 | 34 | 68 | 10 2 | 10} «| 7 8 2 |e] 7 | -4 | mw] 6] 20 a 90 | 86 | 25 | an | 625} 400] 4 5 a@]ss} -3 | -s] 9] o] 4 5 6 | ss o | -13 } of wy} 2 B 39 | 47 | -26 | -19 | o76| 361] -s | -7 Go [660 | 0 | 0 _| S898 [ama | =70 o P= 65,7266, 2=-1 ads S38 2 530.8, 67 = 2 = 200.4, oP ony = A e214 alt ginany tee 539-8 4224-4 — 221-4 “Da vea8 x VE 5408 _ $40.8 SINE = ET = 0-78. ie 5. Find the comelation coefficient between xand a =x. Letu=a=x,then f=a—Z, var (u)= E(u ~ i? = E @ - X= 0! (say) cov W)= Ee - Mu-H} = -EG-H a= Example 6, Let and y be wo independent variables with standard deviations + aid o, respectively Show thatthe correlation coefficient between x and x+y is x+y ERE @+y) = Bi) +89) =245 var (e +y) = var (0) + vary) = 022 +02 (since xand,y are independent. cov &,y) = 0} Hu 7} “ml 5 Var (x) + cov (,y) = Var @) =a? te pO ew Vear evar) Ver(atta) Vasa? Hed variates withthe same standard 1, show that the conelation coefficient ++ yanido be the standard deviation of the variable x ory. Tar+y var (u)= vat) + var Q) +2 cov (6,9) “ 320 42d = 20 0+1) OV Gx + 9) = cov (1) Ele -Hu 7 =Ele-HlE-]+y-HI} winowy +E ie DY -P) =o covey) Bdd+n, +. Corrlaton cote eben and + ys gen by nee flea after “Wage YE Example 8. Tivo variates x and y have zero means, the same variance o* and zero cotati Svat wnceuartyikd en Pai eeeL jee ‘have the same variance # and zero correlation. Solution :0,*= cos? a0, + sina o + 2sina eos a cov, y) - =o (sin? + cosa) cov (e,y) =0, x,y being independent. ad,similarly, 0,*= 0°, cov (u,v) = E(u) v -¥) SE (ose +ysina—Reota ~Fsina) (eana-yeosa Zeina +F SE (roose + ysin arsine - 008 2}, ore =E@ cosatina) ~EG*inacse Pa cosa) 9) = sine conae?sinacasac! + (n'a ~ costa) cove) 20 Hence coresion between u, vis 0. Example 9. fu = ar + byand v = be ~ oj, where x andy are ineaswéd from heir repectve means, u and » are uncorrelated, the coefficient of corelation beowecn' and y is gen by the equation, aaa Bas 0-21 GONE = wer@) cory]. g? Joven) “mney | Fo Bu varus cov (use)) a eae pht] AEE corey] ey EP =e fet L vary cov tu Laven Ne “ar rg E+ Bas _faruvarn!? esas Bet Ey a Alites. od=var Wy =a'o2 + bo? + 2ub cov (x,y) Pe var) = Ba? + a} — 2ab cove») pov (u,v) = E {(ax + by(bx - ay)} \ Hab 02-9) + (6-2) covey) \ ado} = oot (uv) = (a? + bY} {ae a? - cov ey) =e + borg! (0-84) ) = 9 Tet retald Fi. cov (u, ¥5= 0. EMCO Owe tthag Vier, Example 10. fu = ax + by and v = ax ~ by, from the means of ovo measurements by the same ‘correlation between x and y isp. If, v are uncorrelated, 49)= Unb 44, V1 =p wand v are independent represent deviauons I. The coefficient of thar zs Cometation and Regession | setaton: Abin th sboe exp a -ehate= leery aE ae | rm cove 2a welsh ef Dass Example 11 Ifx1.%2%9 be ree uncorrelated variates having staderd a, ions n,n, enrespetively. Obtain the coefficients of correlation between, sy fata) Solution : Let. wax +mandy ex +5. EW =E@it2) =E@) + Ee. —E qi) + fa - EG}. sotted, ascov (n,n) =0. Similarly, varveo?t +o)". Agin | Gov, y= EU - My - 7 SE(@-H+n-Be-h +H -H) = Ele: ~ 2G -E) + HY + (e = E [ea ~ 23)" + cov @y,x2) + cov (2, 7 sev) io - Vigtealerra) Meat (tt) var (v} Remark sit oi? or? os? = o,say thear = 1 botimple 12. The variates xand y have varices oad respekt ante correla with coeficient of corelaion p and & and y and defined by 5x 0080+ysinG,y =y cosd—xsin0. Show that andy will be uncorrelated if tan 28 = a Solution: Weave p= 2%) giving cov @.y) =p o12r £m m= EG ~ Fen - 7) = E [ccasé + ysin 0) ~ @cosé +7 sin 8) {( cos @ —x sin 6) re: ETE ~ Dy ~ 7) cos 9 ~ sin Ocos {(s- 2) ~ 6 SE[R-Dy -j)cos20 = 2828 cov 9) ~ fin 290-3.496 | Mathematical Statistics Now &,» wil be uncorrelated ifov ¢@,)'= Oe tan 29= 22"). Zeman etme ot Example 13.2) are neo variates with variances a7 and o} respectvelyand ris coefficient between them. Determiste the vaes ofthe consianisaand re independent of r such thatx + ayandx + by are uncorrelated, Solution: Let w=x+ay, vax ety Ware, vaxt ey. Since u, v are uncorrelated. O=cov(u,v) = E(u - My - 7} FE(G-D +09 -DHE-H +6 y-H} = E@-H+@+H)E(E-Hy-) + ade y-7)* =o2 + (a+b) cov (y) + 0b 5 Sor +0b53 + (a+ b)roG, Since a and b are independent of r, we have * @; + aba? =O'anda+b=0 an-oaS Example 14. Find the standard error of estimate ofy and x respectively Solution : The equation ofthe line of regression ofy onxis y-yerke@-y. Let (¢i,yi),# = 1,2, ...,m be the variate value pair occurring with freqiency f. Let Yay+eZ@i-B, IFS, isthe standard error of estimate of: then SP HEA AY — yi? where N= 2F =WUGrrZq-H-y) ay a-no- py =P e-B 0-7 Ee-H.-D} BP Balto} = 2 Leov ey) =P ai +a - 2. Bray ao -P ep agta-r) S=5 0-7 Simi nda of eximai of gen by 5, =a Py Comelation and Regression | 497 Example 18, fllustrate by an example that two uncorrelated variables may not be independe Solution : Let x] -3 [2 pt z 3 » 9 4 T a 4 a | where y = ie, xand,y are dependent or hence ray = Oe x end are uncor measure of linear relationship. x y Fd ¥ y 3 9 o ‘81 727 -2 4 4 16 -8 =1 1 1 1 -1 1 1 1 1 i 2 4 4 16 8 3 9 9 81 2 7 ra 7B 196 7 B geting yeRo Bi on @y=re-y-p Loy sp = R20 87 ={-0xH#eo-o=0 1 alae (x)7_ 28 9 28 var @) = of = Fee 9) =3- =o 08s eat 2 2 2 196 _ (28 vena ngze napa (By) =~ (B) = 1176 * 784 _ 392 aa ag reg Veareavar0) 4/23 300 Te Example 16.4 ruber of persons are measured for th an chest expansions (2) and product mament conelation lated. Prove that 3 Tay tye t tae 3, -2 Soluton Ler uw =2=% ym: zz 2H then E WY) = roe = Fay EW) Stow = Iya E (WM) = Pw > Poe Eutvewy20498 | Mathematical Statistics EQ ty +084 Quy + aw + 20) 20 EQ) + EW) +E (we) + 2E (wv) + 26 (om) + 2 uz 0 THIF L42ryt Biyet ree? 0 342+ ht ragz 0 Tay +e thee 2B Hoo 14-30. Moments of Bivariate Distribution ctx, y be two variates and ket be the frequercy corresponding tothe air (7). Then the moment," about the origin (0,0) of order rin und siny is defined as rel = Ef where N = = fi. ‘Similarly the moment 4,, about the mean (5) is defined as pany She Ow Inparicdar pw = BS find ba! = RE f=¥, = RS fay Bx Hn = 0, pa = 0, d= HE fe-DO-P = WE fa -F pho FH ben oF = WY - 3 = as —F Ha = 6} = RES YJ) = wn’ -F. Here wn is called the covariance. 14-31, Mlustrative Examples ‘Example 1. For a given bivariate distribution, find the straight line for which the ‘om of squares ofthe normal deviations is minimum. Solution += the gen tne be reve +ysing=p. ines UaIeeora+y ina-pj Corelation and Regression ‘Normal equations are M 225 (coos + ysine ~p\-rsina +ycoseyeo ie, = cos a sin a Eft? ~ 005 2a Bfiy + sin a cos a By? +psinalfe~pcosesy =0 Again Ha 207ecora +ysne=p)=0 ie caethetsinety=py. | IEX, ¥ are the coordinates of the mean, then iE yo. xf, yo @),we nave Xoset Ysine=p 4) line passes through the mean of the distribution. ‘Now taking the mean as origin, and in that case noting ti B= 0 = 35, the equation (1) is reduced :0 = $sin2202 ~ cos Zap + bsin 220)7= 0 giving tan 2a = et BC} ao “Thus (3) and (4) give the values of and a therefore the required Ines cbiained, Example 2. Two variables wand v are made up ofthe sum ofa umber oft asfollons: U=ntRt tnt tnt th uanin+oimtatnt ote where n,k and | are all suffices and where x's, y's 2s are all uncorrelaed standardised random variables. Show thatthe correlation coeficient benceen ee Vers bn + Show further that X=VeaidesVashy and ¥=VerDu-Veshy are uncorrelated. ‘Solution : Since allx,y,z are uncorrelated standard variable, we have E@=0=E)=£@) V@QEE@)=1V 0) =EV) ALY =ER)=1 cov y= 0=COv Hz) = COVO,2) EU) = EH) =O. Now cov(uy=E [tu -EW)}{v~£ OH =E SEl@ tnt thtnent +H) Gitnt tment are) =e) =n var eve ta te ty tat Hye)| $00 | Mathematical Statistics = VR) + Ge) + ke) + vO + — + HEH, sn. ‘covarinace tes Var Simitay, var =n +l, fr be the correlation coe Now EQ) = Vas Buys Vanek Eo)=0 E()=Vn+1 Ea) Va+kEW)=0 cov Y= B [1 - BEQHY - £0), & Ea) SE UVa tet Vine kot xn fa Vinee} =@#NEW)-~ CH +H EO) = +)o2-@skoe ECHO +4) (+h =O. stray LEY 9 ’ ease X, Yare uncorretated, ° EXERCISE 14 (E) 1. Landy be two independent variates with o, and 9, the standard deviation respectively, prove that variance of ax + By is uP Bok ZAC xy,2 be independent variates cach having the same standard ovtioe, Uf ax-tyandy = y-+4, prove thle oefiint of comelation betwen anv ts ates with vaisnce 0 and. resposively ant isthe etween them Itu = x+y = xt Sy, fed abe vate f 3. xand yare two independt 4. 10;sthe ange between the regression ines of twovaristes withenerutarcouiceat 1. pre that sio®@ 1-7 S. Two indepedeat ‘variables x andy have ero means, variances «7 and ¢," respectively. ‘Show thatthe coreation coelfieat between twa vasiatesu ana ¥is OG rea where = xeosetysing,y a xsing yeas, 6 if andy follow she bivariate normal law wth sro means aad vasisace oy" ant o:* ‘eopecticl and vorelation coefficient p, show that = weak u
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