Managerial Economics
Managerial Economics
Economics is the study of how humans make decisions in the face of scarcity. These
can be individual decisions, family decisions, business decisions or societal decisions. If you
look around carefully, you will see that scarcity is a fact of life. Scarcity means that human wants
for goods, services and resources exceed what is available. Resources, such as labor, tools, land,
and raw materials are necessary to produce the goods and services we want but they exist in
limited supply. Of course, the ultimate scarce resource is time- everyone, rich or poor, has just 24
hours in the day to try to acquire the goods they want. At any point in time, there is only a finite
amount of resources available. Economics seeks to solve the problem of scarcity, which is when
human wants for goods and services exceed the available supply. A modern economy displays a
division of labor, in which people earn income by specializing in what they produce and then use
that income to purchase the products they need or want.
In general, rational, self-interested actors make mistakes for one of two reasons.
Either they do not have enough information to make good decisions, or they lack incentives to do
so. Accordingly, when you’re using the rational-actor paradigm to find the cause of a problem,
you need to ask only three questions:
Who is making the bad decision?
Does the decision maker have enough information to make a good decision?
Does the decision maker have the incentives to make a good decision?
Answers to these three questions will immediately suggest ways to fix the problem by:
letting someone else make the decision,
giving more information to the decision maker, or
changing the decision makers’ incentives
2. Marginal analysis
Marginal benefits (profits, utility, product or revenue) tend to be large at low levels
of operation (operation can be measured in terms of input, output or expenditure). The operation
should be increased until these benefits become equal to the marginal costs. Further expansion is
wasteful or non-optimal. The following solved problem will illustrate the application of marginal
analysis to production theory.
3. Evaluating trade-offs
In production theory the concept applies to trade-offs between inputs. The most
obvious example is the trade-off between capital and labour, as has been seen in the example of
Viking Shoes. In this situation the trade-off only applies in long-run time frames. However,
many other trade-offs can exist, some of them in the short run.
Economics also has a big influence on societal issues such as tax and inflation, interest rates and
wealth, inequality and emerging markets, and energy and the environment. A broad subject,
economics provides answers to a range of health, social and political issues that impact
households and wider communities, business included.
Furthermore, applied economics exists, which uses economic theory and quantitative
methods to analyze business enterprises and the factors contributing to the diversity of
organizational structures and the relationships of firms with labour, capital and product markets.
The aim of applied economics is to inform economic decisions and predict possible outcomes.
Applied economics relates the conclusions drawn from economic theories and empirical studies
to real-world situations. The purpose of applied economics is to improve the quality of practice
in business, public policy, and daily life by thinking rigorously about costs versus benefits,
incentives, and human behavior. Applied economics can also help businesses make better
decisions. Understanding the implications of economic laws of supply and demand combined
with past sales data and marketing research regarding their target market can help a business
with pricing and production decisions. Awareness of economic leading indicators and their
relationship to a firm's industry and markets can help with operational planning and business
strategy. Understanding economic ideas such as principal-agent problems, transaction costs, and
the theory of the firm can help businesses design better compensation schemes, contracts, and
corporate strategies.
A first general principle is that only the future matters. Past costs or benefits are
irrelevant unless they help predict the future. "Sunk costs" are sunk. It may pay to throw good
money after bad, since the term "bad money" refers to past losses which cannot be eliminated
anyway. A car that has caused repeated repair bills may be expected to cause more and deserve
replacement, but it may also have had most of the periodic replace men ts done (muffler, brakes,
struts, tires) and be good for many a carefree mile. People often base their annual housing cost
on what they paid for it, but the real cost from now on is indicated by the home's present value.
The past capital gain is there whatever the future. A second general principle is that the net
benefit of each alternative must be compared with the total amount involved, i.e., some kind of
rate of return is needed. A simple approximation to the rate of return is the net benefit per dollar
committed. The most sophisticated calculation is to estimate the interest rate at which the present
value of the future streams of benefits and costs of each alternative is zero, the so called "internal
rate of return". Customers can then compare life insurance policies with different amounts of
saving, and compare them with other more flexible ways of investing their savings.
The concept of costs and benefits is related to the theory of rational choice (and
rational expectations) that economics is based on. When economists say that people behave
rationally, they mean that people try to maximize the ratio of benefits to costs in their decisions.
If demand for beer is high, breweries will hire more employees to make more beer, but only if
the price of beer and the amount of beer they are selling justify the additional costs of their salary
and the materials needed to brew more beer. Similarly, the consumer will buy the best beer they
can afford to purchase, but not, perhaps, the best-tasting beer in the store.
The concept of costs and benefits is applicable to other decisions that are not related
to financial transactions. University students perform cost-benefit analyses on a daily basis by
choosing to focus on certain courses that they've deemed more important for their success.
Sometimes this even means cutting the time they spend studying for courses that they see as less
necessary. Although economics assumes that people are generally rational, many of the decisions
that humans make are actually very emotional and do not maximize our own benefit. For
example, the field of advertising preys on the tendency of humans to act non-rationally.
Commercials try to activate the emotional centers of our brain and fool us into overestimating
the benefits of a given item.
Decisions regarding both human and natural systems often involve either explicit or
implicit consideration of relative costs and benefits. These costs and benefits, however, go well
beyond those captured in conventional economic cost-benefit analysis. It is not so much the mere
consideration of costs and benefits that hampers cost-benefit analysis but, rather, the narrowness
and incompleteness of the subset of costs and benefits that are usually considered. To use cost-
benefit analysis for social decision making, one needs to think very broadly about which
categories of costs and benefits need to be addressed (including effects on built, human, social,
and natural capital as well as sustainable well-being) and deal with the inherent uncertainty and
imprecision attached to many of the more important categories. One needs to consider the full
range of possible values and valuation methods, to shift the burden of proof to the parties that
stand to gain from the decision, to deal with the distributional consequences of decisions, and to
be clear about the social goals being served by the decision. Failure to think broadly enough
about costs and benefits leads to decisions that serve only narrow special interests, not the
sustainable well-being of society as a whole.
Forward Thinking
This involves anticipating future outcomes or consequences of current actions. By
looking ahead, individuals or organizations can identify potential challenges and
opportunities that may arise.
Backward Reasoning
This proactive mindset is crucial in planning and strategy development. After
envisioning the future, reasoning back means analyzing the steps needed to reach that
envisioned outcome. This process involves working backward from the desired goal
to determine the necessary actions and decisions that must be made in the present.
Investments imply willingness to trade dollars in the present for dollars in the future.
Wealth-creating transactions occur when individuals with low discount rates (rate at which they
value future vs current dollars) lend to those with high discount rates. All investment decisions
involve a trade-off between current sacrifice and future gain. If you’re willing to invest in
projects with relatively low rates of return, say 5%, then you’re willing to trade current dollars
for future ones at a relatively even rate. investment decisions require carefully weighing current
costs against future benefits, considering the time value of money, and using evaluation methods
like NPV and break-even analysis to determine profitability.
Companies, like individuals, have different discount rates, determined by their cost
of capital. They invest only in projects that earn a return higher than the cost of capital.
Example: If you have a 5% discount rate, then $1.05 next year is worth $1.00 to you today.
Discounting payoffs that occur k periods in the future can be computed by recursively
discounting the payoffs, one period at a time. PV = FV/(1 + r).
One reason for identifying individuals with different discount rates is to recognize
the possibility of trade between them. The high-discount-rate individual would willingly
borrow from the low-discount-rate individual. A company’s cost of capital is a blend of debt and
equity, its “weighted average cost of capital” or WACC. Companies with a high cost of capital
invest only in high-return projects, whereas companies with a lower cost of capital invest in a
wider range of projects.
Time is a critical variable in investment decisions. Projects that return dollars sooner
have higher rates of return, all else equal. Example: Consider the returns on two different
projects.
A. First returns $1,200,000 at the end of year 1
B. Second returns $1,200,000 at the end of year 2
The company would obviously prefer to get its profit more quickly and so would prefer the first
project to the second.
NPV (Net Present Value) rule - a general decision rule that allows a company to decide
whether an investment is profitable. If the net present value of discounted cash flow is larger
than zero, then the project earns economic profit (i.e., the investment earns more than the cost of
capital).
The NPV rule illustrates the link between economic profit and investment decisions.
A. Projects with positive NPV create economic profit.
B. Projects with negative NPV may create accounting profit but not economic profit.
In making investment decisions, choose only projects with a positive NPV. Although NPV is the
correct way to analyze investments, not all companies use it. Instead, they use break-even
analysis because it is easier and more intuitive. Break-even quantity is equal to fixed cost divided
by the contribution margin. If you expect to sell more than the break-even quantity, then your
investment is profitable.
BREAK-EVEN ANALYSIS
In general, break-even analysis can be used in a variety of situations. Although
these techniques may not be as “correct” as NPV analysis, break-even analysis is easier to do and
it generates simple, intuitive answers. To illustrate, let’s examine an entry decision. Instead of
asking whether entry is profitable, we are going to ask an easier question, “Can I sell enough to
break even?” If you can sell more than the break-even quantity, then entry is profitable;
otherwise, entry is unprofitable.
To compute the break-even quantity, we have to distinguish between marginal costs (MC),
which vary with quantity, and fixed costs (F), which don’t. You’ll be able to analyze the vast
majority of your investment decisions with this very simple cost structure: You incur a fixed
cost to enter an industry and a constant per-unit marginal cost when you begin production.
The break-even quantity is the quantity that will lead to zero profit. The logic behind
the calculation is simple. Each unit sold earns the contribution margin (P - MC), so named
because this is the amount that one sale contributes toward covering fixed costs, and you have to
sell at least the break-even quantity to cover fixed costs. If you sell more than the break-even
quantity, you have earned more than enough to cover your fixed costs, or to earn a profit.
Shutdown Decisions and Break-Even Prices
To study shutdown decisions, we work with break-even prices rather than quantities.
If you shutdown, you lose your revenue, but you get back your avoidable cost. If revenue is less
than avoidable cost, or equivalently, if price is less than average avoidable cost, then shut down.
The break-even price is the average avoidable cost per unit. Avoidable costs can be recovered
by shutting down. If the benefits of shutting down (you recover your avoidable costs) are larger
than the costs (you forgo revenue), then shut down. The break-even price is average avoidable
cost.
In this industry, the enormous investment required to build a refinery is vulnerable to post-
investment hold-up—the bauxite mine could raise the price of ore once the refinery is built. So,
we rarely see refineries built without vertical integration or strong long-term requirements
contracts between the mine and refinery. These types of organizational forms “solve” the hold-
up problem by reassuring the refiner that it will not be held up once its relationship-specific
investment is made. Once relationship-specific investments are made, parties are locked into a
trading relationship with each other, and can be held up by their trading partners. Anticipate
hold-up and choose organizational or contractual forms to give each party both the incentive to
make relationship-specific investments and to trade after these investments are made.
REFERENCES:
Froeb, L.M., & McCann, B.T. (2009). Managerial Economics: A Problem-Solving Approach
(Mba Series) 2nd (second) Edition.
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