Finance Functions and Financial Planning Abr
Finance Functions and Financial Planning Abr
Financial Planning
Dr. Hemant Bherwani
Senior Scientist, CSIR-NEERI
Agenda:
✓ What is finance function?
✓ The functions are oriented toward acquiring and managing financial resources
to generate profit.
Example: A company predicts its sales for the next year to prepare its
budget. It uses historical data to forecast future revenues and expenses.
a) Revenue Forecasting:
✓ It helps businesses plan for the future, set budgets, and make informed
decisions about investments and expenses.
1. Financial Planning and Analysis
a) Revenue Forecasting:
While there is no single formula for revenue forecasting, a commonly used method
is the straight-line forecasting approach, which assumes that future revenue will
grow at a consistent rate. The formula for straight-line forecasting is:
Formula:
Solution:
The forecasted revenue for the next three years would be $550,000, $605,000, and
$665,500, respectively.
1. Financial Planning and Analysis
b) Break-Even Analysis:
✓ The analysis helps businesses understand the minimum sales volume needed to
cover their costs and start making a profit.
b)Break-Even Point Analysis
Formula:
Break-even point (units) = fixed costs / (selling price per unit - variable cost per unit)
Where:
i. Fixed Costs (FC) are the costs that do not change with the level of production or sales
(e.g., rent, salaries)
ii. Selling Price per Unit (SP) is the price at which each unit is sold
iii. Variable Cost per Unit (VC) are the costs that vary directly with the level of production
(e.g., raw materials, direct labor)
b) Break-even point (units) Analysis
Example:
A company manufactures and sells widgets. The fixed costs for the production of widgets
are $10,000 per month. The selling price per widget is $50, and the variable cost per
widget is $30. Calculate the break-even point in units.
Given:
Fixed Costs (FC) = $10,000
Selling Price per Unit (SP) = $50
Variable Cost per Unit (VC) = $30
Solution:
Break-even point (units) = fixed costs / (selling price per unit - variable cost per unit)
Break-Even Point (units) = 10,000/(50-30)
Break-Even Point (units)=500
The company needs to sell 500 widgets per month to break even. At this sales volume,
the company will cover all its fixed and variable costs but will not make a profit .
Key Finance Functions:
2. Investment Decision-Making
Key Finance Functions:
2. Investment Decision-Making
✓ This involves determining where to allocate the company’s funds to generate the
highest returns.
✓ NPV is used to find out the current value of a future stream of payments using
the proper discount rate.
✓ In general, projects with a positive NPV are worth undertaking, while those with
a negative NPV are not
Net Present Value (NPV) Formula
where:
Rt = net cash inflow-outflows during a single period t
i = discount rate or return that could be earned in alternative investments
t = number of time periods
Net Present Value (NPV)
There are two key steps for calculating the NPV of the investment in equipment:
Net Present Value (NPV)
This is a future payment, so it needs to be adjusted for the time value of money.
Project A Project B
Initial Outlay = $5,000 Initial Outlay = $2,000
Year one = $1,700 Year one = $400
Year two = $1,900 Year two = $700
Year three = $1,600 Year three = $500
Year four = $1,500 Year four = $400
Year five = $700 Year five = $300
Internal Rate of Return (IRR):
The company must calculate the IRR for each project. The initial outlay
(period = 0) will be negative. Solving for IRR is an iterative process using the
following equation:
$0 = Σ CFt ÷ (1 + IRR)t
Using the above examples, the company can calculate IRR for each project as:
Internal Rate of Return (IRR): Project A
Project A
Initial Outlay = $5,000
Year one = $1,700
Year two = $1,900
Year three = $1,600
Year four = $1,500
Year five = $700
Given that the company’s cost of capital is 10%, management should proceed
with Project A and reject Project B.
Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR)
✓ The modified internal rate of return (MIRR) assumes that positive cash flows are
reinvested at the firm's cost of capital and that the initial outlays are financed
at the firm's financing cost.
✓ By contrast, the traditional internal rate of return (IRR) assumes the cash flows
from a project are reinvested at the IRR itself.
✓ The MIRR, therefore, more accurately reflects the cost and profitability of a
project.
Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR):
Example
Assume that a two-year project with an initial outlay of $195
and a cost of capital of 12% will return $121 in the first year
and $131 in the second year. To find the IRR of the project so
that the net present value (NPV) = 0 when IRR = 18.66%:
Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR):
Example
Thus, the IRR gives an overly optimistic picture of the potential of the project,
while the MIRR gives a more realistic evaluation of the project.
Key Finance Functions
3. Financing Decision-Making
Key Finance Functions
3. Financing Decision-Making
This involves decisions on how to fund operations and growth, including equity,
debt, or internal financing.
Example : A company decides whether to raise funds through issuing new shares
or taking a loan.
Solution:
Cost of Debt (After Tax) = 𝑅𝑑×(1−𝑇𝑐)
Cost of Debt (After Tax) = 0.06×(1−0.30) = 0.06×0.70 = 0.042 or 4.2%
This means that after accounting for tax deductions, the effective interest rate the company
pays on its borrowed funds is 4.2%.
Cost of Equity (using CAPM):
✓ The Cost of Equity represents the return that investors require for investing in
a company’s equity, considering the risk relative to the risk-free rate and the
overall market.
✓ The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a widely used method to calculate
the Cost of Equity.
𝑅𝑒 = 𝑅𝑓+𝛽(𝑅𝑚−𝑅𝑓)
Where:
Re = Cost of equity
Rf = Risk-free rate (e.g., return on government bonds)
𝛽 = Beta of the stock (a measure of its volatility relative to the market)
Rm = Expected market return
(Rm - Rf) = Market risk premium
Cost of Equity (using CAPM): Example
Let's consider a company with the following details:
Risk-free rate 𝑅𝑓: 3%
Beta of the stock 𝛽: 1.2
Expected market return 𝑅𝑚: 8%
So, the Cost of Equity for this company, using the CAPM, is 9%.
This means that investors require a 9% return on their investment in the company’s
equity, given the company's risk profile compared to the overall market.
Key Finance Functions:
4. Liquidity Management
4. Liquidity Management
✓ This ensures that the organization has enough cash flow to meet its short-term
obligations.
✓ a low current ratio, less than 1 doesn’t necessarily mean the company is
bankrupt. However, it indicates that the company does not have sufficient
assets to pay off its short-term debt and is not in a desirable position.
✓ It provides investors and analysts insight into how effectively a business can use
its current assets to meet its current liabilities and other payables.
Current Ratio : (Example)
Formula:
Solution:
Current Ratio = Current Assets/Current Liabilities
Current Ratio = $161,580/$142,266
Current Ratio = 1.14
Current Ratio : (Example)
▪ A low current ratio (values less than 1) can indicate that a firm struggles to
meet current obligations.
▪ Strong businesses that can turn inventory faster than due dates on their
accounts payable may also have a current ratio of less than one.
Quick Ratio
✓ The quick ratio excludes inventory from current assets, as inventory might
not be easily converted to cash within a short period. However, the current
ratio includes all current assets,
Based on the given information, Calculate the quick ratio for Apple Inc. for the
year ending Sep 29, 2018.
Balance Sheet of Apple Inc.
Quick Ratio (Example)
Solution:
Out of the above-mentioned current assets, only cash and cash equivalents,
marketable securities, net accounts receivable, vendor non-trade receivables, and
other current assets can be considered quick assets.
5. Risk Management
Key Finance Functions:
5. Risk Management
✓ Financial risk management is a continuing process as risks can change over time.
Value at Risk (VaR)
✓ Value at Risk (VaR) is a statistic, used in risk management to predict the
greatest possible losses over a specific time frame.
✓ VaR is determined by three variables: period, confidence level, and the size
of the possible loss.
✓ There are three methods of calculating Value at Risk (VaR) including the
historical method, the variance-covariance method, and the Monte Carlo
simulation.
Value at Risk (VaR)
The formula for calculating VaR depends on the approach used (e.g., historical
simulation, variance-covariance, or Monte Carlo simulation).
A simple and common method is the variance-covariance approach, assuming
normally distributed returns:
Where:
𝑍𝛼 = Z-score corresponding to the confidence level (e.g., 1.65 for 95% confidence, 2.33
for 99% confidence)
𝜎 = Standard deviation of the portfolio's returns
𝑡 = Time period over which the VaR is calculated (e.g., 1 day, 10 days)
Value at Risk (VaR) : Example
Let's consider a portfolio with the following details:
▪ Standard deviation of daily returns (𝜎): 2%
▪ Confidence level: 95%
▪ Time period (𝑡): 1 day
First, find the Z-score for a 95% confidence level. For a 95% confidence level, 𝑍𝛼Z
α is approximately 1.65.
Value at Risk (VaR) : Example
This means there is a 95% confidence that the portfolio will not lose more than
$33,000 in one day.
Key Finance Functions:
✓ This involves optimizing the mix of debt and equity financing to minimize the
cost of capital.
✓ For example, A company adjusts its debt-equity ratio to reduce the cost of
capital while maintaining financial stability.
✓ A higher ratio suggests more leverage and higher financial risk, as the
company relies more on debt to fund its operations.
Thus, total liabilities will be sum of long term debt and liabilities.
✓ It takes into account the proportion of debt and equity in a company's capital
structure.
✓ WACC is used to determine the minimum return that a company must earn on
its existing assets to meet the expectations of its investors.
Formula for WACC:
Therefore, the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) for this company
is 7.86%.