Lecture 1
Lecture 1
• Research interests
- Real Estate Finance and Economics
- Housing market dynamics, real estate development, green building, household consumption,
behavioral finance, financial intermediary
- Industrial Organization
- Competition, service quality, firm performance
- Urban Economics, Transportation, Environment
- Air pollution, human mobility, transportation, health
2
How to reach me
3
Course
Schedule
Individual Assignment due:
29 Oct 2024, 11:59 pm
Exam:
3 Dec 2024, in class
Individual
assignments
(20%)
your
performance Exam and quiz
(30%)
• Exam (20%)
• Quiz (10%)
5
Important Issues
6
Agenda
1. Course syllabus
• Course objective
• Materials
• Assignment and course project
• Assessment
• Miscellaneous
7
SPACE MARKET
LOCAL
SUPPLY DEMAND &
ADDS (Landlords) (Tenants) NATIONAL
NEW ECONOMY
RENTS
&
OCCUPANCY FORECAST
FUTURE
DEVELOPMENT
INDUSTRY
ASSET MARKET
IF IS SUPPLY
YES DEVELPT CASH
(Owners
PROFITABLE FLOW
Selling) CAPI
?
TAL
PROPERTY MKT MKTS
consfoccl =
G CONSTR MARKET REQ’D
DEMAND
COST VALUE CAP
(Investors
INCLU RATE
Buying)
LAND
= Causal flows.
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT
rale Rent
cap
=
8
Prie
一
Learning objectives of this Course
• Understand:
The real estate investment concepts and theories
The nature of return and risk quantification and characteristics of property
development and investment
The theory and mechanics of real estate feasibility studies
The origin, evolution, industry landscape and growth of REITs
• Able to:
Construct real estate financial modeling
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Major Types of Capital Asset
Markets and Investment Products
bolrowe
• The rights to the future cash flow to be paid
Capital out by borrowers on loans they have taken
Markets - out
• Give owners a senior or preferred claim for
Debt Assets obtaining the cash which the underlying
assets can generate
• Payment amount and time based on the
contract
30 yecs
• Less risky than equity assets
有限 比
.
nvestnat
1
Me =
0 ,
EGufy partnr
3 B =
= Debt pcctua
• Equity assets Bak=
0 OB .
ou
(
= 0 7
B = ESulty pectnr
. 1
You = 0 . 3B
一
Major Investment
Objectives
• Two different and mutually exclusive types
of investment objectives:
• The ability to sell and buy investment assets quickly at full value and without much affecting the
Liquidity price of the assets.
Time horizon • The future time over which the investors’ objectives, constraints, and concerns are relevant.
Investor Expertise
and management • How much ability and desire has to manage the investment process and the investment assets.
burden
Size • How big the investor is in terms of the amount of capital in need of investment.
• Whether the investor faces an absolute constraint on the amount of capital they have available
Capital constraint to invest, or can obtain additional capital relatively easily if good investment opportunities are
available.
Office
Multifamily
1. Product
Type Industrial
Hotel
Specialty Product
1.1 Retail Overview 1
9 spanalet
Apple
.
-
• One or more anchor tenants (“big box”
tenants) oBissa
• Several in-line tenants (smaller tenants)
• May have retail pads (standalone
buildings outside of the shopping
center) 退此款setomell
• Expense reimbursement structures
(property taxes, insurances, repairs…)
• Long-term (3 to 10+ years) leases
• Several different types
一
• Strip centers ① • Power Centers ③
• 1000-10000 sf • 30,000 - 200,000 sf
• Open-air shopping • Category dominant
center anchors (Walmart,
• Stores arranged in a Home Deport...)
row • Discount department
• No enclosed stores
walkways • Wholesale clubs
• Straight-line, L or U • Few small tenants
shape
② • Regional Malls④
• Neighborhood Shopping • 400,000 - 2,000,000
Centers sf
• 30,000 – 125,000 sf • General Merchandise
• Apparel, soft goods, • Fashion
restaurants, grocery
• Typically enclosed
stores
• Food courts
• Box, U or L shape
• Dying regional
malls….
1.2. Office Overview
• Suburban Office
Buildings • Creative Office Space
• 80,000 – • Varying floor
400,000 sf plates sizes and
• Mid-rise square footage
structures • Engaging,
• 20,000 – 50,000 amenitized work
sf floor plates environment to
attract top
• Campus-life tenant
office building • WeWork
aseemblage
1.3. Multi-family Overview
• Made up of units and common areas
• Most operating expenses not reimbursed
• Utilities if units are not separately
metered
• RUBS
• Generally short-term leases (6 – 18
months)
• More frequent fluctuations in
revenue as market rents change
• Several different types
• Garden-style Apartments • Mid-rise Apartments • High-rise apartments
• 2-4 story wood frame • 5 – 9 stories • 10+ stories
construction • Steel frame • Steel frame construction
• 50 -500 + units • Urban Infill • Urban infill
• Suburban Communities • 50– 200 Units • 15—500+ units
• Lifestyle Amenities (pool, gym, • In North America context,
business center, dog parks…) usually class A buildings
1.4. Industrial
Property Overview
• Made up of one or more warehouse
buildings
• Operating expenses often reimbursed by
tenants
• Generally long term leases (3-10+ years)
• Often ”build-to-suit”
• Several different types
• Heavy Manufacturing
• Specific purpose
• Intend to make heavy-duty
goods and materials
• Light Assembly
• Warehouse, office space,
product assembly space
• Bulk Warehouse
• 100,000 – 1,000,000 sf
• Serve as shipping hubs
• Increase popularity with E-
commerce
• Amazon
• Flex Space
• Industrial use
• Can be easily converted to
office
1.5. Hotel Properties
Overview
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• Self-storage
• Made up of units
• Short-term leases
• Mobile Home Parks • Counter-cyclical
• Generally rent by lot • Low turnover costs
• Landlord doesn't‘ own • Very little
mobile homes maintenance cost
• Water, sewer, electric • Minimally
services available management intensive
(billed to tenants)
• Long-term, sticky
而
人
2. The Development
Process
• Development process:
• Pre-development:
planning & negotiation &
approval
• Development: design &
engineering &
construction
• Marketing: marketing &
sales
Video link
Key attributes of real estate development
Structure:
diversified, decentralized, and constant changing
Nature:
high risk, opportunity oriented, entrepreneurial, financially levered, a business cycle follower
Developer:
a creator, promoter, negotiator, manager, leader, and investor
Process:
multi-disciplinary, multi-stages, creative and disciplined
Orientation:
adjust to demands, competitor strategies, public policy, citizen concerns, and local, national, and
global economies
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Types of development and planning studies
1. Strategy
2. Market
3. Merchandising
4. Legal
5. Physical design
6. Compatibility
7. Economic/Financial: our focus ***
Economic modelling, capital budgets, present value and discounted cash flow forecasts,
rate of return analysis, financial packages, feasibility studies, and appraisals
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The marriage of Finance and Real Estate
• Financiers are attracted to real estate lending because:
o Development projects require sizable amounts of money
o Developers often have limited equity
o Land is durable and secure form of investment
o Improvements on land are long-term, adding to the security of real estate
o Lenders want to lend against safe secure assets
o Short-term returns and cash flows from most developed real estate are predictable
o There is a tested, legal framework for real estate financing
o There are established systems fore real estate financing
o Lenders want to lend where repayment of capital and interest is assured on a continuing and timely
basis
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• In the last 50 years, real estate market have
experienced:
- Transportation modal changes
- Growing preference for mixed use
Significant developments
- Densification in the suburbs/edge cities
Trends in the - Emerging new town alternatives/master
Real Estate planned communities
- Urban renewal
Market - Evolutions in the structure of work
- Increases in the prevalence of computing and
communication technology
se
RotaF
Stacking Plan
Po NLA
• Where each tenant is and what the
lease looks like for each of these
tenants
• Names of tenants
• Rent/sf
• Lease start and end date
• Net leasable area
1500
Exl
所有加理
( Exclude
onmon
cec )
= 4 14 ,
一
4. Introduction to CRE Leases
• Measuring Rent
• Commercial
• $/SF/YEAR or $/SF/Month
come 1 ok
• Multifamily
多户住宅
• $/unit/month
Reutel
1 uome = 20500
• Sometimes $/SF/month
Exl = Exp
• Expense Reimbursement
• Triple Net (NNN) Leases G Retdl
,
lof 打e
• Tenant being responsible for reimbursement of all expenses associated with the operation of the
property (e.g., triple net leases) 么 ome = 0
• Full Service Gross (FSG) ex .
Hofel = FExp
• Landlord is responsible for all operating expenses
( nome = : f E ES B6 )+
"
= 0
Fap
5
=
ES" B 7, 0
)+
• Tenants is responsible for reimbursing landlord for specified property operating expenses
)
"
• Base Year Stop f ET
( ES , B8
"
1 = 0
,
• Tenant is responsible for any overage above its pro rate share of property’s expenses over the base
year
超额 =7 Porcte shcl =
B51 B 6
二
[O
*
及 ( nome
=
SE $ 10 ) $B $ 7
P
-
Percentage Rent
• Retail Leases • Example
• Increased Rental Payment as Percentage of Gross or • Annual tenant net sales
Net Sales • 1,200,000
• Natural or Fixed “breakpoint” • Lease stipulates
• Fixed Breakpoint • SF – 2,000
• Percentage of sales over fixed sales amount • Rent/SF/year - $30.00
• E.g., 5% of annual sales collected over • Natural Breakpoint – 6%
$2,000,000 *
B 4 =$ k
• Determining Natural Breakpoint * 12
7. rent
=
E4
• Annual base rent / x%
• Tenant pays x% of the overage above natural
breakpoint in percentage rent
一
一
Leasing Costs e
. Teurt heed dr -
on
)
( TI g
. lgr free
Tenant improvement
Leasing commissions Free rent period
allowance
• X% of total • Generally • Base rent abated减少
scheduled base expressed in $/SF • Expense
rent payments over • Financial incentive reimbursements
lease term for tenant to lease negotiated
• Generally paid up- space
front • Generally paid up-
front
$ 5 kX 10 =$5ok 1
Fxl : Tτ =
SUM : * + (
B 8 SUM J 4 : N 4 )
*
B9
llesiy
omalsson =
( 4 E
Other Key Leasing Terms
• Clear start / expiration date • Extension options
• Up-front leasing costs • Generally tenant options to renew
• Scheduled rent escalations • Predetermined lease term
• Predetermined rental rate
• Free rent
• Numerical value
• Requirements and restrictions • Market value
• No less than X% increase over
prior year
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