RESULTS FROM SEPTEMBER 2024 BEXAR COUNTY VOTER POLL

Introduction
Introduction
▪ The UTSA Center for Public Opinion Research (CPOR) conducts
and facilitates surveys at the local level (Bexar County).

▪ One of its ongoing projects is the Bexar County Registered Voter

(BCRV) Poll.

1. Foundational polls
• Super Tuesday pilot study (March 2024)
• June 2024
2. September 2024
Bexar County Registered Voter (BCRV) Poll
▪ Sampling frame: All registered voters in Bexar County, Texas with
verified email addresses

▪ Information on registered voters, voter history, and their verified contact

information come from the data broker, L2

▪ Stratified random sampling and weighting

▪ All surveys are bilingual (English and Spanish)

September 2024 BCRV Poll
▪ In the field: September 11-16, 2024

▪ Sample size: 692

▪ Margin of error: +/- 3.7%

Major Findings (September Poll)
▪ Democratic support surges in Bexar County with Harris on
the ballot

▪ Two city charter amendments have low support

▪ No early leader in 2025 San Antonio mayoral race

▪ Mixed support for new Spurs and Missions facilities

 Presidential Support (September Poll)
Vote Choice for President in 2024 General Election

Kamala
Harris, 53.4%
Donald Trump, 34.8%

Don't Know, 10.0%

None of these, 0.9%

I would not vote in this race, 0.6%

Jill Stein, 0.3%

Chase Oliver, 0.0%

Cornel West, 0.0%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

 Change in Presidential Support
Vote Choice for President: September and June Comparison
Kamala Harris
(September),
53.4%
Joe Biden (June), 39.8%

Donald Trump (September),

34.8%
Donald Trump (June),
36.0%
Don't Know (September),
10.0%

Don't Know (June), 15.3%

Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. (June), 4.9%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

Bexar County Actual Returns (2020)
U.S. Senate Race (September Poll)
Vote Choice for U.S. Senate in 2024 General Election

Colin Allred,
44.0%

Ted Cruz, 29.1%

Don't Know, 19.9%

None of these, 2.8%

Tracy Andrus, 1.7%

I would not vote, 1.5%

Ted Brown, 1.2%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0%
Change in U.S. Senate Race
Vote Choice for U.S. Senate: September and June Comparison
Colin Allred
(September),
44.0%
36.8%, Colin Allred
(June), 36.8%
Ted Cruz (September), 29.1%

Ted Cruz (June), 30.7%

Don't Know (September), 19.9%

Don't Know (June), 23.8%

None of these (September), 2.8%

None of these (June),

5.6%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0%
 U.S. House Races (September Poll)
Vote Choice in U.S. House Election, November 2024

The Democratic Party

candidate, 50.2%
The Republican Party
candidate, 35.9%

Not sure, 12.1%

Other, 1.2%

I would not vote, 0.7%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

 Change in U.S. House Races

Vote Choice in U.S. House Election: September to June Comparison

The Democratic Party candidate

(September), 50.2%

The Democratic Party candidate (June), 44.9%

The Republican Party candidate (September), 35.9%

The Republican Party candidate (June), 38.5%

Not sure (September), 12.1%

Not sure (June), 13.7%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0%

City Charter Amendments
“Have you heard about these proposed changes to the city charter?”*

Yes, have heard about proposed

changes, 19.4%

No, have not heard

about changes, 80.6%

0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% 90.0% 100.0%

*Among San Antonio voters only (n=620)

 City Charter Amendments
Support for Proposed City Charter Amendments*
Raise Council/Mayor Salaries 27.3% 50.7% 22.0%

Extend Council/Mayor Terms 42.7% 43.8% 13.5%

Remove City Manager Caps 16.9% 68.9% 14.3%

City Employees Political Activity 44.9% 35.8% 19.4%

Ethics Reform 55.33% 20.00% 24.67%

Update Charter Language 62.96% 13.32% 23.72%

Yes, Would Vote For This No, Would Not Vote for This I'm Not Sure

*Among San Antonio voters only (n=620)

 2025 Mayoral Race
Vote Choice in 2025 San Antonio Mayoral Election*
Not familiar with
any candidates,
42.5%
Don't Know, 26.9%

John Courage, 9.2%

Manny Pelaez, 4.7%

Adriana Rocha Garcia, 4.5%

Beto Altamirano, 4.5%

Melissa Cabello Havrda, 3.5%

Someone else, 3.45%

I would not vote in this
race, 0.8%
0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0%

*Among San Antonio voters who indicated they were at least somewhat likely to vote in May 2025 municipal elections (n=569)
Support for New Spurs Arena
"Would you be in favor of the Spurs moving downtown to a new arena?"

No, I would not be in

favor of this, 41.0%

Yes, I would be in favor

of this, 35.6%

I have no opinion on
this, 11.8%

I'm not sure, 11.5%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0%
Support for New Spurs Arena
Reasons for Opposing New Spurs Arena (June Study)
Public/Private Funding

Traffic/Construction

Does Not Need Change

Lack of Interest/Use for Something Else

Costs

Location

Eastside Development

History

Safety

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%

Support for New Missions Ballpark
"Would you be in favor of this plan to build a new stadium for the Missions?"

Yes, I would be in favor

of this, 39.6%

No, I would not be in favor of

this, 34.7%

I'm not sure, 15.3%

I have no opinion on this, 10.4%

0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% 45.0% 50.0%
Views of Local, State, and National Gov
Direction City, State, and Country are Moving In

City of San Antonio 43.9% 31.1% 25.0%

State of Texas 32.0% 49.4% 18.6%

The Country 24.0% 54.7% 21.4%

Right direction Wrong direction Not sure

 Views of Local, State, and National Gov
Trust the Government to Do What is Right?
4.7% 7.5%

City of San Antonio 39.4% 40.9% 7.5%

4.5% 7.4%

State of Texas 24.9% 43.7% 19.5%

1.6% 5.1%
Federal
20.8% 53.0% 19.5%
Government

Just about always Most of the time Only some of the time Never Not sure
Views of Local, State, and National Gov
Approval of Public Officials
3.26%
Ron Nirenberg 33% 13.26% 20.24% 9.59% 12.14% 8.89%

4.0% 12.9%
Peter Sakai 20.9% 7.1% 23.7% 6.9% 24.5%

9.2% 4.5%
Greg Abbott 23.1% 7.7% 8.4% 45.9%

7.7% 3.7%
Joe Biden 20.3% 14.1% 15.4% 38.2%

Strongly Approve Somewhat Approve Neither Approve nor Disapprove

Somewhat Disapprove Strongly Disapprove Not Sure
Never Heard of This Person
What’s Next?
• October Voter Poll
In the field the week of October 21st (Early voting)
Results ready by early November
• Community Panel Study
Local population’s health/well-being, priorities and expectations
• More municipal election polling in 2025