Addressing Ill PRÁTICO NOVO
Addressing Ill PRÁTICO NOVO
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Goldratt’s
Addressing ill-structured thinking
problems using Goldratt’s processes
thinking processes
137
A white collar example
Received April 2005
Edward D. Walker II Revised June 2005
College of Business Administration, Valdosta State University, Valdosta, Accepted June 2005
Georgia, USA, and
James F. Cox III
Department of Management, Terry College of Business, University of Georgia,
Athens, Georgia, USA
Abstract
Purpose – Problem-solving techniques for poorly structured problems have been the subject of
recent academic research and popular press texts. The purpose of this paper is to explain the use of one
of the Theory of Constraints thinking process (TP) tools — the Current Reality Tree (CRT). The
purpose of the tool is to clearly identify the root problem or problems that cause the surface problems
or undesirable effects occurring in an organization.
Design/methodology/approach – One must fully understand the core problems in the
environment before proposing a system solution to these core problems. Without this systems
perspective, a proposed solution may create more problems than it solves. Through the use of an
actual white-collar service case, the paper explains how the CRT is created.
Findings – The overall objective of this research is not to propose solutions to the case but to
demonstrate how the CRT might provide structure by identifying and logically linking the surface
problems encountered in each area to the core problems. In this manner, the reader is introduced to the
power of the CRT to address poorly structured problems.
Research limitations/implications – The paper uses only one case as an example of the power of
the TP tools. However, numerous testimonials from industry (many are cited in the text) provide
evidence of the effectiveness of the TP tools.
Practical implications – The paper provides evidence that the TP tools might be an effective
method to provide structure to ill-structured problems which in many case have been addressed by
management as if the problem were unstructured or, worse, unstructurable.
Originality/value – The paper is the first (to the authors’ knowledge) to specifically address the
issue of ill-structured problems from the perspective that structure might be provided by the TP tools.
Keywords Decision making, Service operations, Problem solving, Thinking, White collar workers
Paper type Research paper
Novices, those without specific domain knowledge, can in our view make decisions
comparable to experts through the careful application of the thinking process tools. 139
Using only the data we gained through interviews with company employees (managers
and workers in various functional areas), we will attempt to support this assertion.
Step 2. Test each UDE for clarity using the clarity reservation
Is the UDE a clear and concise statement? The original UDEs were edited to improve
141
clarity.
(1) Secretaries become frustrated with their work assignment/load.
(2) Secretaries make mistakes.
(3) The manager/department appears inept.
(4) Work gets postponed/completed more slowly than expected.
(5) Work must iterate between the manager and secretary several times.
(6) Management loses trust in the secretarial support system.
(7) Secretaries are rotated among the managers frequently.
(8) Assignments are made for which the secretary is not trained.
Step 4. Determine which UDE is the cause and which is the effect
Read “if cause then effect”. This test is called the Causality Reservation. Occasionally
the cause and effect might be reversed (Tautology Reservation); check for this error
using the following statement: “Effect because cause.” If “secretaries make mistakes”
then “the manager/department appears inept”; or, “the manager/department appears
inept” because “secretaries make mistakes.” This relationship seems logical and causal
except for the modifiers (see step 9, Table I). The relationship is better expressed as: if
“secretaries make mistakes” then “sometimes the manager/department appears inept.”
As we build the tree we adjust the modifiers based on further causality relationships.
Other UDEs are causally related to UDE 3. This part of the CRT is provided in Figure 1.
Step 5. Continue the process of connecting the UDEs until all are connected
Entity 4 causes entity 3; entity 8 causes entity 2; entity 1 causes entity 2; entity 6 causes
entity 3; and entity 4 causes entity 5. These relationships are given in Figure 2.
Figure 1.
The search for causal
relationships
Figure 2.
The search for more
causal relationships
Goldratt’s
thinking
processes
143
Figure 3.
Another example of the
clarity reservation
Figure 4.
An example of cause
insufficiency
MD (representing and) across both arrows indicates that either cause alone is insufficient to
44,1 result in the proposed effect – all causes must exist for the effect to occur.
The original UDEs are now connected (see Figure 5). It is apparent that a loop exists
within the CRT: the secretaries are rotated because they make mistakes, and they make
mistakes because they are rotated. This vicious cycle must be broken to restore the
effectiveness of the organization.
144
Figure 5.
The initial current reality
tree
Step 8. Apply the additional cause reservation Goldratt’s
Although the original UDEs are now connected, the tree is still incomplete. Entity 7 has thinking
an additional cause reservation. Reassignment by the secretarial staff supervisor due
to frustration is not the only cause. Each secretary takes two weeks annual leave at any processes
time approved by the staff supervisor or may unexpectedly stay home sick. Since the
company continues business when a secretary is absent, the secretaries are shifted
among managers/departments to cover for absent employees. When a secretary 145
supporting a higher-level manager is absent for a period, four or five secretaries might
be reassigned to support higher-level managers. The absence of one secretary creates a
domino effect down several levels of management, shown in Figure 6.
There must be some reason that entity 39 exists. When questioned, the managers
and staff supervisor responded that it is company policy that the highest skilled
secretary available is always assigned to the highest level of management. This
relationship is shown in Figure 7.
One need not identify all possible causes of an effect; only enough causes to account
for 80 percent or more of the occurrences of an effect. A simple test for whether to
include an additional cause would be to ask the question, “Does this additional cause
alone account for many occurrences of the effect?”
Figure 6.
MD
44,1
146
Figure 7.
Another example of the
additional cause
reservation
system identified the UDEs of the system. The TP tools are a relatively simple
application of Boolean logic to establish causality. Yes, errors in logic can occur.
However, the careful application of the CLR by the CRT developers and the subsequent
review of the CRT by an outside reviewer – in this case, several Acme managers and
secretaries – reduce systematic bias.
Although 42 entities appear on the final CRT, two trees were constructed originally
– one representing the views of the managers and the other representing the views of
the secretaries. By approaching the problem space from the points of view of both the
managers and the secretaries, we were able to get an overview of the entire system
rather than the view from only one perspective. Consider the famous poem of John
Godfrey Saxe about the six blind men and the elephant. Each man was absolute in his
conviction. Each of them was correct from his perspective, but none understood the
true nature of the elephant – hence, all were wrong. The CRT conveys a system level
understanding of the situation.
147
Figure 8.
The final current reality
tree
MD .
44. Managers aren’t notified of the shift.
44,1 .
82. Secretaries try hard to please the manager(s).
.
101. Secretaries take time off for annual/sick leave.
.
102. The highest-skilled secretary available is always assigned to the highest
level of management.
148 .
109. The manager does not have time to do things that cannot/have not been
delegated.
This phenomenon occurs because the core problem has existed for such a long time
that all concerned parties have accepted the core problem as fact, or as a given,
unchangeable condition. Notice that none of these root causes appeared in the initial
list of UDEs.
The problem solver identifies those core problems that if reversed or eliminated
destroy the UDEs. What are the core problems of this CRT? Entity 102, “the highest
skilled secretary available is always assigned to the highest level of management,”
entity 31 “the work scheduling system is informal and ineffective,” and entity 19 “there
are no formal initial training requirements” are connected to most of the UDEs. A core
problem should be connected to at least 70 percent of the UDEs. In fact, every entity on
the diagram except for the other seven root causes can be traced to one of these three
core problems. If these problems can be addressed then almost all of the UDEs
disappear.
The initial CRT (Figure 5) revealed a loop that in essence states that as secretaries
are rotated among managers, problems arise that cause the secretaries to be rotated
among the managers yet again. Approximately, 40 distinct loops can be found upon
examination of the final CRT (Figure 8). These loops can be traced to three of the core
drivers: 102 “the highest-skilled secretary available is always assigned to the highest
level of management”; 31 “the work scheduling system is informal and ineffective”;
and, 19 “there are no formal initial training requirements”.
“The highest-skilled secretary available is always assigned to the highest level of
management” is an Acme policy and as such can be changed; therefore, this core driver
is a core problem. Reserving the highest-skilled secretary or a highly skilled secretary
for use as a replacement for any secretary who is absent might replace policy. In this
way, no department would be required to work with a secretary of lesser skill than is
normally present. Additionally, the work of a single department is disrupted by an
absence, rather than disrupting the work of many departments by re-assigning several
secretaries.
However, elimination of the core problem 102 is not, by itself, sufficient to eliminate
the looping. The rotation of secretaries can also be traced to core driver 31 “the work
scheduling system is informal and ineffective.” The lack of a formal, effective work
scheduling system can also be changed. A formal, effective work scheduling system
might be as simple as a job sign-up board located at the secretary’s workstation. All
jobs in queue would be visible and could be processed on a first-in, first-out basis or
due-date basis established by the secretarial staff supervisor. If a manager needed to
have a job expedited or placed in queue ahead of other jobs, then it would be his
responsibility to clear such a request with the secretarial staff supervisor and the
managers whose jobs would be delayed.
Core driver 19 “there are no formal initial training requirements” also Goldratt’s
contributes to the UDEs. Requiring initial skills training and requiring the various thinking
departments/managers to standardize on one set of applications software is
reasonably easy to implement. Core driver 21 “different departments/managers processes
require different skill sets of their secretaries” actually encompasses two thoughts:
first, the different departments required different software proficiencies such as
word processing or spreadsheet or presentation graphics skills; and second, the 149
different departments used different software suites. As a move to standardize on
a single software suite was already underway, we chose to not address this as a
core problem.
Prior to the creation of the CRT, the secretarial pool supervisor was fighting fires on
a daily basis. She was only addressing the symptoms of the underlying problems, and
without addressing the core problems the system was failing and would have
continued to fail.
Acme realized that the system was in disarray and had intended to re-centralize its
secretarial pool before examining the CRT. Such a move would have cost a
considerable sum of money as the mini-pools are on various floors of three different
buildings. Acme’s solution would also have diminished the one-to-one contact of
secretary and manager/department and increased the makespan of each job. The three
possible solutions suggested by the CRT are less intrusive, require lower initial and
ongoing investment, and, most importantly, eliminate the UDEs in the CRT.
Figure 9.
Problem and solution
domains
problems into structurable problems and structurable problems into structured Goldratt’s
problems. thinking
The structured problem with its simplistic solution seldom provides the correct
solution to a business situation. It ignores the true goal of the larger system – instead processes
attempting to optimize a local or functional objective. It seldom recognizes the
interaction of decisions and policies in this and other areas on the overall business, and,
therefore, seldom recognizes the core problem. A similar argument can be made with 151
respect to structurable problems when considering Smith’s contention that a
structurable problem becomes structured with additional information or by breaking
the problem into more manageable sub-problems. Managers and secretaries created
their own solutions – bypassing the work scheduling system and taking annual or sick
leave, respectively – to the problems they saw in the secretarial support system, but
these solutions caused other problems and created a vicious cycle.
The CRT provides a realistic examination of a surface problem, its relationships to
other surface problems within and across functions, and its relationships to the core
drivers and core problems. The scope of the problem and solution can be extended
depending on the distinction between core drivers and core problems. The objective of
the CRT is to identify the core problems driving many of the seemingly unrelated and
independent problems.
Summary
Goldratt’s TP offer an alternate approach to studying ill-defined problems. Structured
problems are commonly solved with simple but independent solutions. These solutions
fail to consider the appropriate system and its goal. Structurable problems are
addressed by using a CRT to better understand the causal relationships within and
across functions and from core problems to UDEs and to the system goal. Many
unstructured problems can now be reclassified as structurable problems with proper
identification of the system, its goals and its constraints. Significant data need not be
collected to study every aspect of the system. Only eight to ten UDEs – drawn from
different functions and different levels to gain a systems perspective – are required to
develop a good understanding of an organization when viewed as the system and of its
core problems and drivers.
In this manner, the TP provides structure for many structurable problems and some
unstructured problems. If, as Smith (1988, p. 1497) comments, “. . . it is the behavior of
problem solvers that we advert to in making ascriptions of structure to problems”, then
the TP significantly increase the number of structured and structurable problems;
serve as the decision aid to decrease the expert-novice performance differential; and
increase the confidence the problem solver has in his recommendation.
Many problems are not well defined because we have not identified the reference
system to identify the core problems and core drivers. We should study the whole
system to identify the core problem and how to solve it. We need to identify the
causality to assure we are addressing the core problems and not just symptoms.
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Corresponding author
Edward D. Walker II can be contacted at: eddwalker@ valdosta.edu