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Exchange rate target: CB commits to keeping price of currency, nominal exchange
rate, fixed relative to other currencies. Implicitly, they are choosing exchange rate. 3. Money targeting: set path of MS(bitcoin) 4. Commodity: Gold Standard. CENTRAL BANK: INFLATION AND NOMINAL EXCHANGE RATE: By setting inflation (or path of money supply) central banks implicitly choose all other nominal variables - nominal exchange rate, nominal interest rate. Depn positive correlation with Inflation. ** Many currencies peg their exchange rates (fixed exchange rates). *Inflation targets typically low (2-3%) but above 0. Why not below 0? 1. Allows for missing qlt improvements (overstated measured inflation) 2. Raises Normal Nominal Interest rate (r+inf)- so more room to cut in recessions 3. Helps avoid negative inflation or deflation. * Fast growing economies require higher inflation targets - inflation target depends on idependence and credibility of central bank - low and stable. LONG RUN EQUILIBRIUM: Inflation adjusts in the long run. Continue with IS/LM equations. How to use the Model: 1. Short run eq: intersection of IS, LM and Rf as short ter demand determines outcome. 2. Long run: IS/LM/aggregate supply curev. 3. Adjustment to Long run equilibrium: price changes via LM shift to equilibrium. Long run aggregate supply curve shifts to the right when potential output increases. 1. Productivity increases 2. Factors of prod increase 3. Other macro 3 Cases: always mention recession/boom belowpot - and then shift LM curve
Monetary Policy in short run costs.
Getting Central Bank Nominal Interest Rates. Conduct Policy by changing interest rates. Reasonable/Baseline level - Normal or Neutral Nominal Interest Rate = Reasonable real return (r*) + Inflation - in normal conditions, Adjust for cylical conditions- raise interest rat- inflation above target. TAYLOR RULE:
also shows opp relation between real int rate and inflation - period of great Moderation until 2008 - negative territory. ** Always remember return to potential/ natural rate of unemployment in the long run.
Aamir, M., Qayyum, A., Nasir, A., Hussain, S., Khan, K. I., & Butt, S. (2011) - Determinants of Tax Revenue A Comparative Study of Direct Taxes and Indirect Taxes of Pakistan and India. Internation