Interlocking Panarchies in Multi-Use Boreal Forests in Sweden
Interlocking Panarchies in Multi-Use Boreal Forests in Sweden
Moen, J. and E. C. H. Keskitalo. 2010. Interlocking panarchies in multi-use boreal forests in Sweden.
Ecology and Society 15(3): 17. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol15/iss3/art17/
ABSTRACT. This paper uses northern Sweden as a case study of a multi-use social-ecological system, in
which forestry and reindeer husbandry interact as different land use forms in the same area. We aim to
describe the timeline of main events that have influenced resource use in northern Sweden, that is, to attempt
a historical profiling of the system, and to discuss these trends in the system in terms of adaptive cycles
and resilience. The study shows that key political decisions have created strong path dependencies and a
situation in which forestry today is characterized by low flexibility and low resilience due to the highly
optimized harvesting of tree resources. Since forestry is the overwhelmingly strongest actor, trends in
forestry from the mid-19th century forward are, to a large part, driving dynamics in reindeer husbandry
and environmental protection, resulting in a system of interlocking panarchies with large implications for
the competing land uses.
Key Words: adaptive cycles; boreal forests; conservation; forestry; historical profiling; panarchy; reindeer
husbandry
1
Department of Ecology and Environmental Science, Umeå University, 2Department of Social and Economic Geography, Umeå University
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Salt 2006). For instance, forest dynamics are the conflict situation (Keskitalo 2008b), and events
governed by processes at different scales, ranging in the governance of each sub-system will have large
from an individual leaf to a tree to a forest stand and implications on the development of adaptive cycles.
to a forested landscape, etc. Similar hierarchical
scales and processes are found in social systems, Firstly, the paper will describe the case study area.
ranging, for instance, from individuals to families Secondly, it will describe the adaptive cycle as can
to communities to nations. Each one of these levels be seen in the meta-system of forestry, conservation,
in a SES may have its own adaptive cycle, which in and reindeer husbandry. Finally, we will discuss
turn may influence adaptive cycles at scales both interactions among the systems in terms of
above and below. For instance, a forest fire is interlocking panarchies. Since this paper is based
dependent on an ignition event, the amount of fuel on an historical analysis, we wish to point out that
load, which depends on tree growth rates and tree these are our interpretations, which are based on
mortalities, connections between landscape varying amounts and qualities of data sources
structures, and weather conditions (cf. Holling et al. identified in the paper, for instance, in terms of
2002). All operate on different scales and it is the historical information (see also Abel et al. 2006 for
cross-scale interactions among the factors that a similar discussion).
converge on the conditions leading to a forest fire.
Such a hierarchy of linked adaptive cycles is called
a “panarchy” (Holling et al. 2002), in which CASE STUDY BACKGROUND
different factors may interact with each other in
ways that are difficult to foresee and may together The total forested area in Sweden covers some 23
drive the system. million ha, the majority of which is used for forestry.
About 50% of the area is owned by small-scale, non-
The identification of the key factors that drive industrial, private owners, large forest companies
actions in the system can be based on critical events, own about 40% of the land, and the rest is divided
corresponding to a method of assessing resilience among other public owners. Approximately 1% of
called historical profiling (Carpenter et al. 2005). In the productive forest is clear-cut annually. The total
historical profiling, distinct dynamic regimes in the production value of forestry and forest products
SES are identified, and events taking place during amounts to about 20,000 million Euros annually,
transitions in each of these regimes, for instance, with an export value of about 10% of all exported
through changing land use patterns or changing products from Sweden and about 4% of Sweden's
legislation that impact land use, are analyzed. This GNP (Official Statistics of Sweden 2008). This
paper will use northern Sweden as a case study of makes forestry an important industrial sector in the
multi use systems in which different sectors use the country. However, forestry also has effects on other
same area for different purposes. In our case study, sectors, such as conservation. For instance, more
the purpose is to describe a timeline of important than 50% of the red-listed species in Sweden are
key events that have influenced resource use in found in forests, but only about 3% of productive
northern Sweden, and to discuss these trends in forests are protected; this figure reaches 8% if
terms of adaptive cycles and resilience. We use the voluntary protection is included, but this lacks long-
concept of panarchies to attempt to reduce the term guarantees.
complexities in the interactions within multi use
boreal forests. We will treat the social–ecological In northern Sweden, boreal forests are of great
system in terms of what can be termed its sub- importance for reindeer husbandry as grazing lands.
systems: forestry, in which environmental The reindeer husbandry area covers about 40% of
protection will also be treated, and reindeer the country, and is divided into 51 herding districts,
husbandry. As the governance of these sub-systems with the majority of the districts practicing a
is strongly separated into different sectors (for migratory herding system. Reindeer husbandry is a
instance, regulated by different ministries, meat-producing industry that is under the exclusive
governmental departments, and agencies, and with rights of the indigenous Sami people. The total
different interest organisations), we will study the number of reindeer in Sweden is on average about
internal dynamics within each sector and the 225,000 animals, counted as the size of the winter
interactions between these in order to assess effects herds, and has remained so, albeit with considerable
on the system as a whole. The sectorial division of variations, for the last century (Fig. 1). Reindeer
the system has resulted in an institutionalization of husbandry is dependent on large grazing grounds
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since only natural, low productive vegetation is used With the advent of large-scale forestry and fire
for forage. The semi-domesticated reindeer use suppression from the late 19th century onward, the
alpine vegetation in the mountain range close to the boreal forest shifted into a new adaptive cycle that
Norwegian border during summer, while winter is has yet to play out its full potential. We will attempt
spent on lichen-rich pine heaths in the boreal forest to describe some of the trends and key events.
towards the Baltic Sea. Generally, winter resources
are limiting, but a few herding districts have good At the end of the 19th century, new timber markets
winter grazing conditions and poor summer grazing opened up and forests became an economically
conditions; descriptions of the Swedish reindeer valuable resource. Sawmills were built on the Baltic
husbandry may be found in Danell 2000 and Moen coast, close to the river mouths of the major rivers.
and Danell 2003. Grazing conditions related to Forest stands were harvested and the timber was
weather and forage availability, together with floated on the rivers down to the sawmills. In some
access to land and disturbances from other land uses, places, this period can be characterized as ecological
are thus of prime concern for a sustainable industry devastation of the forests with no consideration for
(see e.g. Roturier and Roué 2009). Reindeer regeneration or long-term sustainability. Old-
husbandry is of high cultural importance for the growth pine stands were among the first to be
Sami people, but of lesser economic importance in harvested (Östlund et al. 1997). This continued until
Sweden nationally; in 2009/2010, the estimated the 1903 Forestry Law, in which it was stated that
total turnover was about 19 million Euros, or over-harvesting must cease, and a law on
roughly 0.1% of the production value of forest regeneration measures after harvesting was passed
products (Richard Doj, Sami Parliament, 2010, (Ekelund and Hamilton 2001). Local clear-cutting
personal communication). eventually ceased, and, from the 1920s, most forests
were harvested through repeated selective logging
in which the largest trees were selected and the forest
was left to regenerate naturally. This produced poor
RESULTS quality forest stands because of low growth rates
and low forest regeneration. The Forestry Law of
Forestry and effects on environmental 1948 aimed at increasing timber production to
conservation provide a more steady supply of timber to saw- and
pulpmills, with strong criteria related to profitability
Before the mid-19th century, the boreal forest that should govern forestry. This, together with the
consisted of all-aged, multi-storied stands in a development of the chain-saw and efficient forest
landscape mosaic (Östlund et al. 1997). The most harvesters, shifted harvesting methods from
important structuring processes were fires and selective logging to clear-cutting, which produces
storms. Mean fire intervals were in the range of even-aged, one-storied tree monocultures. Clear-
80-100 years (Zachrisson 1977, Engelmark 1984, cutting, coupled with regeneration criteria, was
Engelmark et al. 1994), but there were large turned into law in the Forestry Law of 1979.
variations at the landscape scale, for instance, due
to the presence of mires (Hellberg et al. 2004). An The increasing optimization of harvesting rate in the
estimated 1 % of the stands burned every year boreal forest has of course led to large changes in
(Zachrisson 1977), and no human influences on the the landscape. For instance, studies from different
fire regime can be detected before the 18th century parts of northern Sweden have shown decreases in
(Carcaillet et al. 2007). Dry pine-dominated stands, old-growth stands (>150 years old) from 83 % in
in particular, burned repeatedly through low- 1910 to 3 % in 1980 (Östlund et al. 1997). Similarly,
intensity fires, creating open all-aged stands that mean patch sizes of old-growth forest decreased by
were important for creating and maintaining lichen an order of magnitude (Axelsson and Östlund 2001),
cover on the ground (Östlund et al. 1997, Axelsson and mean stand ages went down from 200 years to
and Östlund 2001, Berg et al. 2008). 74 years (Eriksson et al. 2000). Silvicultural
measures to increase growth and regeneration were
The forests at this time went through repeated also introduced, such as herbicide treatment to
adaptive cycles whereby regeneration and growth reduce the proportion of deciduous trees, prescribed
led to a build-up of fuel, known as the foreloop. burning of clear-cuts, and soil scarification
Ignition from lightning then led to a release and (Axelsson et al. 2002, Berg et al. 2008). The
reorganization of the stand, that is, the back-loop. standing volume of timber was lowest in the 1940s
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Fig. 1. Number of reindeer in the Swedish reindeer husbandry area. The number is given as the size of
the winter herd. Data from Moen & Danell (2003) and the Sami Parliament official statistics (http://
www.sametinget.se).
due to selective logging and did not recover to the The development of industrial forestry has also had
level of 1870 until the turn of the 21st century (Fig. strong impacts on the ecosystem, particularly
2a). However, today the forests are dominated by through the removal of natural disturbance regimes,
young, dense stands in comparison with the open, such as fires (Kuuluvainen 2002) and resulting
old-age stands 150 years ago. structures, such as dead wood (Fridman and
Walheim 2000), and through fragmentation of
The trend toward more intensified silviculture remaining old-growth patches (Mladenoff et al.
during the 20th century can be seen as the increased 1993, Komonen et al. 2000). Even though the first
optimization of forest resource harvesting, i.e., forest reserves (known as Domänreservat in
moving up the foreloop. To illustrate, in 1950 it took Swedish) were established in 1909 in Sweden,
one man one day to produce one cubic meter of forestry could continue virtually without consideration
wood. In 1990, one man in one day produced 11.5 of any environmental concerns up to the 1960s
times as much, and the efficiency is now over 30 (Ekelund and Hamilton 2001), and protection of
times as high as in 1950 (Holmberg 2005, Fig. 2b). biodiversity was not given equal weight to timber
The number employed in forestry has decreased by production until the Forestry Law of 1993. This is
at least one order of magnitude since WWII reflected in the number of protected areas in
(Holmberg 2005), and site productivity has northern Sweden, where the majority of the areas
increased due to more efficient silviculture (Berg et were established after 1990 (Moen and Eckerberg,
al. 2008). The development of forest-related unpublished manuscript). Today, about 3% of the
industries has also become more strongly connected productive forest in Sweden is protected, while
to the resource itself. For instance, in 1976, a bill Angelstam (in Ekelund and Hamilton 2001) has
was passed that states that new investments in forest suggested that at least 9-16% of the forested area
industries must be linked to the secure production needs to be protected in order to conserve
of timber or pulp (Holmberg 2005). This has led to biodiversity. Many of the red-listed species in boreal
even stronger optimization such that, for instance, forests are associated with structures or processes
it is considered impossible to convert to continuous- that are scarce today, such as burned areas, dead and
canopy forestry, which may have advantages for decaying wood, deciduous trees, gaps, and stands
biodiversity, as that would result in a 20% reduction with long canopy continuity (Esseen et al. 1997).
in timber production, which, in turn, would have The majority of stands where red-listed species
strong negative economic effects for the saw- and occur, outside of protected areas, are small with a
pulpmill industries (Karlsson and Lönnstedt 2006). median size of 1.4 ha (Aune et al. 2005), and likely
to exhibit an extinction debt (sensu Tilman et al.
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Fig. 2. A. Changes in the standing volume of timber summed over the five northernmost counties in
Sweden. Data from 1870 from Linder and Östlund (1992), other data from the Swedish National Forest
Inventory (SOU 2001:101). The data before 1990 are averages, while the data after 1990 are moving 5-
year averages.
B. Estimated harvesting efficiency, measured as cubic-meters of wood produced by one man in one day.
Data from Holmberg (2005)
1994), and may thus currently be going through a ago. Early land use was focused on hunting and
release and reorganization phase (Berglund and fishing. For instance, Sami villages in the 1500s had
Jonsson 2008). a round shape typical of hunter and gatherer
communities (Lundmark 1998). During this time,
each family had a few reindeer for milking, as
Reindeer husbandry draught animals, and as decoys when hunting wild
reindeer. In 1602, a new tax decree was issued,
Sami land use has a long history in northern Sweden. which forced the Sami to pay tax to the Swedish
The first people colonized the Scandinavian state in reindeer meat to feed the large Swedish
peninsula after the deglaciation some 10,000 years armies at the time, rather than in the squirrel and
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marten pelts that had been the rule earlier. This the more-or-less forced migration of both Sami and
caused an increase in hunting for wild reindeer their reindeer towards the South of the reindeer
followed by a strong reduction in wild reindeer herding area in Sweden. The form of reindeer
populations, which in turn led to an increase in herding practiced by these Sami, usually referred to
domestic herds (Lundmark 1998). The change from as the extensive form, differed from the intensive
a predominantly hunting community into a form. Reindeer herds were bigger and production
predominantly herding community that evolved focused on meat production. Herds were left
during the 17th and 18th centuries constitutes an unattended for extended periods during the summer
important process that led Sami land use in a new since it was not necessary to keep them together for
direction, and that has strong ramifications for the milking. These two forms of reindeer husbandry
situation today. This can be seen as an example of were not compatible, and where they met the large
path dependency in the development of new free-ranging herds assimilated the reindeer from the
institutions regulating Sami land use (Thelen 1999). smaller herds. Eventually the intensive form was
Path dependency in this context refers to the not possible to maintain, and in 1937 one of the Sami
deterministic properties of institutional development, leaders, Gustav Park, stated at a meeting that the
whereby “initial social outcomes concerning extensive form of reindeer husbandry had become
institutional, organizational, or policy design, even totally dominating and had to be accepted
suboptimal ones, can become self-reinforcing over (Lundmark 2006).
time” (Pierson 2002:372). Or put slightly
differently: choices made restrict future options. These changes in Sami land use over time can be
seen as a series of adaptive cycles in which external
The earlier form of reindeer husbandry that forces have led to several reorganizations of land
developed, which is usually described as the use patterns (see Figure 3). The first is the change
intensive form, consisted of small reindeer herds from resource use based predominantly on hunting
that were watched on a day-to-day basis. The to resource use based on intensive reindeer
primary production was cheese made from reindeer husbandry; in this respect, one important event was
milk (Lundmark 1998). The focus on milking made the change in taxation which increased the hunting
it necessary to keep reindeer herds close together pressure on wild reindeer. This in turn reduced the
during summer and as the herd size increased, wild reindeer populations and precipitated a change
diseases could easily spread (Lundmark 2006). to domestication and milk production. One way of
During the 18th and 19th centuries, several crises describing this is that hunting efficiency increased,
affected reindeer husbandry, including high moving up the foreloop of the adaptive cycle, until
predation pressures, disease outbreaks, and a decrease in the resource base forced a
competition from Swedish colonizers; the latter was reorganization. The second step involves the
a process that started in the late 17th century, but transition from intensive to extensive reindeer
gathered momentum in the mid- to late 18th century husbandry as a response to geopolitical changes,
(Lundmark 1998). The crises resulted in many Sami that is, border closures, and to changed regulations,
abandoning reindeer husbandry. that is, the grazing convention with Norway.
However, aspects of increased efficiency were also
A significant event in the development of Sami land present, such as increased predation pressure and
use was the closure of the borders between Norway, high disease incidence as a result of dense reindeer
Finland (then Russia), and Sweden. In 1852, Russia herds.
closed the borders between Finland and northern
Norway, forcing many Sami to move to Sweden Reindeer husbandry has always been dependent on
since it was still possible to access their traditional large grazing grounds since only natural, low
winter grazing grounds in Finland from the Swedish productive vegetation is used for forage. During
side. In 1889, Russia closed the borders between winter, the reindeer are dependent on ground lichens
Finland and Sweden, effectively cutting the Sami that they dig up through the snow, and on arboreal
off on the Swedish side (Lundmark 1998). This led lichens during periods with difficult snow
to a high density of reindeer close to the border and conditions. Today, forestry affects reindeer
a lack of grazing grounds to support them (Lantto husbandry in many ways and on many scales
2009). This, together with a convention with (Danell 2005, Kivinen et al. 2010). For instance,
Norway that reduced the possibility of interborder forested landscapes become fragmented (Berg
migration (Lantto 2003, Pedersen 2009), resulted in 2010), forest age structure changes (Berg et al.
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Fig. 3. Examples of adaptive cycles in Swedish reindeer husbandry. The symbols above the timeline
refer to the different phases of the adaptive cycle: the growth or exploitation phase (the r phase), the
conservation or consolidation phase (the K phase), the collapse or release phase (the Ω phase), and the
reorganization phase (the α phase). The data is adapted from Danell (2004, Fjällen i Fokus Conference,
Umeå University, Sweden, unpublished data) and from the references in this paper.
2008), and infrastructure, such as roads, increase. to cope with disturbances (Walker and Salt 2006).
Clear-cutting results in a loss of arboreal lichens In terms of the adaptive cycle, we see forestry
(Esseen et al. 1996), and the short rotation time in developments as moving up the foreloop into a
current forestry reduces the time for recolonization strong conservation phase. It seems that periods of
(Dettki and Esseen 2003). Logging residues restrict weak economies within forestry have led to
access to ground lichens because they interfere with harvesting regimes that overharvest forest
snow digging (Helle et al. 1990), and soil production, and new methods have been taken into
scarification to increase tree seedling establishment large-scale use without being tested (Ekelund and
destroys ground lichens (Roturier and Bergsten Hamilton 2001). Any disturbance, such as climate
2006). The young regenerating forest stands are change, market failures, or financial crises, may
dense, which reduces the amount of light reaching cause a release and reorganization of the current
the ground and thus lichen growth (Cabrajic et al. forestry system in Sweden, and perhaps elsewhere.
2010). Other silvicultural measures to increase tree However, the system is also difficult to predict given
growth, such as fertilization, will also generally be its large dependence on external market conditions,
negative for lichen growth (Olsson and Kellner something Ekelund and Hamilton (2001:3; our
2006, Makkonen et al. 2007). These effects and translation) note, for instance, in their history of
trends are not specific to Sweden; conflicts between forest policy in Sweden: “When establishing a new
reindeer husbandry and forestry are also forest stand, it has so far not been possible to predict
pronounced in Finland (Keskitalo 2008a, Raitio the main market at harvesting some 100 years in the
2008). future. This is likely to be equally difficult today”.
Fig. 4. Percentage of sampling plots in the three northernmost counties in Sweden classified as lichen-
type, i.e., containing >50% cover of lichens (Swedish National Forest Inventory data in SOU 2001:101)
among silvicultural measures and the large effects interchangeable as long as the felling quota of the
on biodiversity or reindeer grazing. All of these company is filled. On the other hand, the
examples can be seen as illustrations of connections management scale of one reindeer herding district
among the panarchies. There are also other involves the landscape used by a winter herding
examples. For instance, reindeer grazing, which is group during perhaps a decade (in the order of
linked to the reduction of lichens and in turn affects several tens of thousand hectares), and may include
soil temperature and moisture, has been suggested many different forest owners and effects from other
to have positive effects on seed regeneration land uses, such as mines, tourism, energy
(Nilsson and Wardle 2005) and on tree growth production, and infrastructure. The landscape
(Fauria et al. 2008). On the other hand, grazing, perspective is important for reindeer husbandry as
trampling, and antler rubbing may cause damage to it allows for a rotational use of grazing lands in
young tree saplings (Helle and Moilanen 1993). relation to the dynamics of the lichen resource and
High biodiversity is generally thought to be to variations in weather. Without a landscape
necessary for maintaining both ecosystem services perspective, the herding groups will lose the
(Hassan et al. 2005) and resilience (Norberg et al. buffering capacity that maintains resilience in their
2008). The way in which governance is functionally natural resource use (Sandström et al. 2003, Danell
steering actions within forestry and reindeer 2005).
husbandry can also be seen as related both to the
political sphere, including formal laws and rights, A major problem in managing for increased
and the economic sphere based on market demands, resilience in the SES is that the governance of the
to which individual actors need to relate. sub-systems is totally separated into different
sectors. We must thus understand both the internal
One reason for the large effects of forestry on dynamics within each sector and the interactions
reindeer husbandry, in particular, is the among the sectors to assess the sustainability of the
incongruence between management scales, and this system as a whole. Since forestry is the
may be a very clear example of connections between overwhelmingly strongest actor in the system, any
the panarchies. The management scale of a large change to forest management, be it increasing
forest company is that of their land holdings within optimization as suggested in the recent government
a region. Within this region, they have a database bill, or release and reorganization due to external
of forest stands, varying from <10 ha to a few disturbances, will have large implications for both
hundred hectares, which are planned to undergo conservation and reindeer husbandry. To discuss the
silvicultural actions, such as clear-cutting or future of the system, it is imperative to understand
thinning. These stands are more or less trends in the drivers affecting forestry. These drivers
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Fig. 5. A schematic illustration of interlocking panarchies. Each set of linked adaptive cycles form a
panarchy, representative of forestry, environmental conservation, and reindeer husbandry respectively.
Processes in an adaptive cycle at a certain scale may affect both other adaptive cycles in the same
panarchy, and adaptive cycles in other panarchies, creating a system with numerous interactions at many
scales. See text for further details and examples.
may include, for instance, changes in the certification, which extends the requirements for
international market and demand for forest consultations beyond that of legislative demands,
products, and large global trends that lie far beyond may serve to institutionalize new requirements to
the local system in which the disturbances manifest some extent (see Keskitalo et al. 2009). While these
themselves. It is also important to discuss the ways problems may seem sector-specific, the forestry–
in which coordination among sectors can be reindeer husbandry relationship is an example of the
increased, and develop further incentive structures general problem of integration across sectorial
for coordination at the local level where conflicts limits, such as divisions between ministeries,
arise. departments and agencies. If the main practical
possibility for improving the relationship between
Possibilities for modifications of the state forestry and reindeer husbandry is through
legislation have been assessed by a number of increased communication rather than legislation,
governmental committees, among other aspects such integration will be necessary.
with regard to Sweden's potential ratification of the
ILO Convention No. 169 on indigenous people's
rights to land. However, ratifying ILO 169, for Responses to this article can be read online at:
example, would be politically difficult because of http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol15/iss3/art17/
responses/
the current distribution of ownership and user rights,
and because of the conflict of interest between the
economically strong forestry interests and the
reindeer husbandry sector, which is significantly
weaker economically. While this may limit the
potential for legislative changes that would actually
shift power relations between the sectors, private
and voluntary regulations such as forest
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