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MBA Semester Interim Report

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21 views

MBA Semester Interim Report

Uploaded by

captivinterio
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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MBA Semester – IV

Research Project.

INTERIM REPORT

NAME KONDETI MITHUN CHOWDARY


USN 221VMBR01411
ELECTIVE INTERNATIONAL FINANCE
DATE OF SUBMISSION 22-05-2024

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TITLE

INTRODUCTION

What Is the Stock Market?


The term stock market refers to several exchanges in which shares of publicly held companies
are bought and sold. Such financial activities are conducted through formal exchanges and
via over the counter (OTC) marketplaces that operate under a defined set of regulations. or
more of the stock exchanges that are part of the overall stock market.
Both “stock market” and “stock exchange” are often used interchangeably. Traders in the stock
market buy or sell shares on one.

PROBLEM STATEMENT

The stock market appears in the news every day. You hear about it every time it reaches a new
high or a new low. The rate of investment and business opportunities in the Stock market can
increase if an efficient algorithm could be devised to predict the short-term price of an
individual stock.
Previous methods of stock predictions involve the use of Artificial Neural Networks and
Convolution Neural Networks which has an error loss at an average of 20%.
In this report, we will see if there is a possibility of devising a model using Recurrent Neural
Network which will predict stock price with a less percentage of error. And if the answer turns
out to be YES, we will also see how dependable and efficient this model will be.

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objectives
• To conduct a company stock valuation and predict its probable price evolution,
• To make a projection on its business performance,
• To evaluate its management and make internal business decisions,
• To calculate its credit risk
• To evaluate the performance of the company.
• To analyze the movement of stock.
• To evaluate the risk and return of the selected securities.
• To analyze market trends and patterns of stock market.
• To study factors influencing stock prices.

KEY TAKE AWAYS

• Stock analysis is the practice of using information and analysing data to make
investment decisions.
• One popular form of stock analysis is fundamental analysis, the practice of using
financial activity to forecast stock prices.
• Another popular form of stock analysis is technical analysis, the reliance of historical
stock price activity to predict future price activity.
• Other less common forms of stock analysis include sentiment analysis and quantitative
analysis.
• Investors may have unpredictable or limited information which makes stock analysis
difficult.

Types of Stock Analysis

• Fundamental Analysis: This approach focuses on the financial health and


prospects of a company to determine its intrinsic value. You'll be looking at financial
statements, economic indicators, and industry trends to make informed decisions.

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• Technical Analysis: This method analyses historical price charts and trading
volume to identify patterns and predict future price movements.

Resources for your research

• Financial Websites: Investopedia and The Motley Fool provide a wealth of


information on stock analysis, including articles, tutorials, and glossaries.
• Financial News Sites: Stay up to date on current market trends and economic news
by following reputable financial news sources like Reuters, Bloomberg, or The Wall
Street Journal.
• Market Data Providers: Websites like Yahoo Finance or Google Finance provide
historical price data, financial statements, and other data points for stocks and indices.

Limitations

• Analysis relies on historical data, which is not a perfect predictor of the future.
The market is unpredictable, and unexpected events can alter stock prices.
• The accuracy of your analysis depends on the quality of the data you use. We
need to ensure that data comes from reputable sources and clean it for
inconsistencies. Additionally, some data may be limited or expensive to access.
• Models can become overly dependent on historical patterns; it leads to
inappropriate predictions for new data. Which is known as overfitting.
Techniques like cross-validation can help to overcome this.
• The stock market is influenced by numerous factors.it is not an easy task to
predict the future price. Even the most sophisticated models may not perfectly
predict future prices.
• Investors sentiment and emotions plays a crucial role while taking decisions.it
can significantly impact stock prices.
• Events like political crises, natural disasters, or economic downturns can cause
sudden changes in the market and significant market swings.

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