Week 4
Week 4
1
Bond Ratings Alternative Bond Issues
• Main Rating companies Domestic government bonds
– Moody’s Investor Service – United States
Aaa, Aa, A, Baa, Ba, B, Caa, Ca, C, D
• T-bills, notes, bonds, TIPS (treasury inflation
– Standard & Poor’s protected securities)
AAA, AA, A, BBB, BB, B, CCC, CC, C, D
• Rating Categories – Japan:
–BBB or higher Investment grade • medium term, long term, super long term
–BB or lower Speculative grade (junk bonds) – Eurozone: Germany; France; Italy
–Junk Bonds are also known as High Yield Bonds
• Denominated in Euro
–Before 1977 all junk bonds were “fallen angels”, i.e.
they started as investment grade and then were • But different systems (issue, authority etc.)
downgraded.
– United Kingdom:
• Non-rated bonds
• short gilts, medium gilts, long gilts
2
Corporate Bonds International Bonds
• Zero-coupon and deep-discount bonds • Yankee bonds are U.S. dollar denominated bonds sold
in the U.S. but issued by a foreign firm
– Minicoupon bonds or Original-issue discount
• Eurobonds are underwritten by international bond
(OID) bonds pay lower than market rates syndicates and sold in several national markets
– Taxes due on the implied interest even though • Samurai bonds - yen denominated issued by non-
no cash is received. Japanese firms in Japan
• High-yield bonds (also known as • Euroyen bonds - yen denominated, sold outside Japan
speculative bonds or junk bonds) • Bulldog bonds are sterling-denominated bonds issued
– Noninvestment grade with rating below BBB or by non-English firms and sold in London
Baa • Eurosterling bonds are sold in markets outside London
by international syndicates
3
Accrued Interest The Fundamentals of Bond Valuation
Bond prices are quoted net of accumulated interest. The present-value model
The price you pay = Bond price + Acc. Intrst Bond Value = PVann(future coupons) + PV(par value)
Where
Accrued interest = Coupon Value × (Days past / Total days)
You can find the price manually (using a calculator) using the
formula:
=PRICE(DATE(2000,1,15),DATE(2010,1,15),0.08,0.06,100,2)
(which gives you 114.877 (per $100 rater than per $1000)
4
Zero Coupon Bonds Determinants of Bond Safety
• Coverage ratios: Earnings ÷ Fixed cash obligations
Price is always less than Par Value. Cash obligations include interest payments, lease payments, and
sinking fund payment.
At an interest rate r the fair price of a zero is • Leverage ratios (debt to equity)
High ratio signals higher risk (too much debt compared with equity).
• Liquidity ratios: Current assets ÷ Current liabilities
High ratios signals lower risk (firm is able to pay bills by selling
some of its liquid assets).
Example:
Suppose the interest rate is 10%. Then a 30 year zero coupon
• Profitability ratios: Measures profitability of firm
bond bought today should be priced at One popular measure is: Earnings ÷ Total assets
$1000/(1.10)30 =$57.31 • Cash flow to debt: Cash Flow ÷ Debt
Next year the price will be Lower ratio signals higher risk.
$1000/(1.10)29 =$63.04
5
Yield to Maturity Example Promised Yield to Call
EXCEL:
YTM YIELD(DATE(2000,1,1),DATE(2010,1,1),0.08,95,100,2)
YTC YIELD(DATE(2000,1,1),DATE(2005,1,1),0.08,95,110,2) Where (i/2) is the market (quoted) YTM.