Ch05 - Examples of Calculations
Ch05 - Examples of Calculations
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Use, Option and Existence Value
5.3 Consumer Surplus, WTP and WTA
5.4 Risk: Assessment and Perception
5.5 Measuring Benefits I: Contingent Valuation
5.6 Measuring Benefits II: Travel Cost
5.7 Measuring Benefits III: Hedonic Regression
5.8 The Value of Human Life
5.9 Summary
This chapter discusses the methods that economists use for valuing the
non-market benefits of environmental quality. Concepts of use, option and
existence value are introduced; consumer surplus from increased consumption is
presented as the theoretically appropriate measure of value. The differences
between WTA and WTP measures are discussed, as are risk assessment
procedures and risk perceptions. Finally, contingent valuation, travel cost, and
hedonic regression methods are presented, with value-of-life estimates being used
to illustrate the latter.
The focus in the chapter is on the real problems faced in measuring non-
market benefits. Consider the questions an analyst has to answer in the process of
estimating, for example, the benefits of PCB clean-up:
$20 8
$40 6
$80 2
1. Graph the demand curve for hiking trips as a function of the "price" -- the
travel cost.
Answers
1
Travel Cost Analysis
100
90
Consumer
80 Surplus
70
Travel Cost ($)
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
# Trips Per Year
2. Consumer surplus for the first trip is just the WTP less the travel cost; in the
problem in the book , I forgot to give you the travel costs. Say they were $20. Then,
CS is $90-$20=$70.
Consumer surplus for the average person is the area under the demand
curve for the average number of trips (4), or the shaded area. Note the average
travel costs must be $60, if 4 trips are taken. One can figure out the answer using
geometry: the shaded area is a triangle, with area 1/2*40*4=$80.
Total consumer surplus is just average consumer surplus times the
expected number of visitors: 50,000*$80=$4,000,000.
Application 5.2
2
Calculating the Value of Life
$2,500
$2,000
Extra wage per year
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Mortality Risk (out of 10,000)
1. What is your estimate of the “value of a statistical life”? What does this
mean?
2. Why might this value be a poor estimate of the value placed on lives
saved from pollution reduction? (Three reasons)
ANSWERS
1) If you draw a line through the points, you notice that for each 1/10,000
increase in mortality risk, the wage premium rises by about $400. Thus,
10,000 workers trade $400 each for a total of $4 million per life lost: the value
of a “statistical life”.
2) Three reasons:
a) This is WTA for voluntary risk; environmental risk is involuntary
b) Sample selection bias: are the individuals surveyed (fire fighters) more “risk
lovers” than the average individual?
c) Rationality: do the individuals really know the risk they are shouldering in
exchange for the wage premium?
3
Application 5.3 Plover Protection
Consulting job three. Suppose you were analyzing the use value of a public
beach, and controlling for income, age, preferences, and everything else that
might affect beach visits, you have gathered the following data:
1. If there are 1000 people in each of the three travel cost categories ($0, $20,
$39), what is the approximate total consumer surplus arising from day trips to this
beach?
2. Your boss needs help evaluating a decision to close this particular beach in
order to preserve habitat for an endangered sea bird called a plover that inhabits
only this stretch of beach. From a CV study you know that US citizens are WTP
$1,500,000/yr to preserve the plover. Based on your analysis, and your
understanding of the usefulness and limitations of these benefit analyses, do you
conclude that protecting the plover is efficient? Argue both sides. (This answer
requires at least four paragraphs!)
3. Under the Endangered Species Act, could your analysis have any legal
bearing on the decision to protect the Plover?
Answers
1. First you need to graph the “demand curve” for this one—showing the
relationship between travel cost and beach visits:
$travel
cost
$40
$20
4
0
0 20 40
Beach trips per year
The net benefits to the three groups are the three triangles showing their consumer
surplus from beach travel after paying travel costs:
1/2*1*1*1000+1/2*20*20*1000+1/2*40*40*1000=
500+200,000+800,000=$1,000,500
Multiple Choice
1. Existence value
5
d. displays substantial skepticism about the validity of scientific risk assessment.
e. should be ignored when it is inconsistent with scientific evidence.
a. should, in theory, be close estimates of the consumer surplus gained from public
goods provided free of charge.
b. should, according to standard economic theory, be much lower than willingness-
to-accept estimates of consumer surplus.
c. are generally much higher than willingness-to-accept estimates.
d. are value-free, unbiased estimates of how much society could gain from
environmental improvements.
e. all of the above.
4. The contingent valuation method for estimating benefits does not suffer from
a. hypothetical bias.
b. strategic bias.
c. embedding bias.
d. free-riding.
e. inefficiency.
a. variations in income.
b. variations in age.
c. variations in the opportunity cost of time.
d. variations in use of the resource.
e. variations in occupations.