CDAE 002 Class Notes - Unit 2
CDAE 002 Class Notes - Unit 2
Key Questions
● Is climate change political?
● What do we mean by “climate change” and what is the scientific evidence?
● What are the expected impacts of climate change?
● How can we respond?
● $65 + Billion
● 2012
● 199 dead
California Drought
● 2012-2019
● $2.2 Billion
● $3.6 Billion
● 2012
● 56,000 dead
Hurricane Katrina
● $125 Billion
● 2005
● 1,833 dead
Drought Sahel
● +$10 Billion
● 2012 - Present
● 2.5 million displaced
● Widespread food insecurity
Temperature Change
**There is no one consistent way that climate change is going to affect every place**
Economic costs
● In the United States, it has been estimated that for each +1 degree change, GDP will
decrease by 1.2%
● By the late 21st century, poorest third of counties in the United States can expect
economic damage between 2 and 20% in county income under business as usual
scenarios
● ~24 of GHG emissions globally come from farms and land use change (IPCC, 2014)
● Of those emissions,
○ 40% from enteric fermentation
○ 16% from manure left on pasture
○ 13% from synthetic fertilizers
○ 10% from paddy rice
So what’s being done?
● The international community began talking about this all at COP-1 in 1995
● In November 2021, COP-26 took place
● And in interim, progress on how to approach global climate change has been sloooow
● International agreement agreed to in 2015 with goal to limit temperature rise to 20℃
● Voluntary targets set by each country:
○ China: Peak emissions by 2030
○ US (re-entered as of February 2021): reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 26-28%
below the 2005 level in 2025, and to make “best efforts” to reduce emissions by
28%
○ Brazil reduce economy-wide greenhouse gas emissions by 37 percent below 2005
levels by 2025, increasing renewable resources to 45 percent of the energy mix by
2030, and increasing the share of non-hydropower renewables in the electricity
mix to 23 percent by 2030
○ EU: At least 40% domestic reduction in greenhouse gasses by 2030 compared to
1990 levels
BUT
● A report by the UN in 2017 reports that if action to combat climate change is limited to
just current pledges, the Earth will get at least three degrees Celsius (5.4 degrees
Fahrenheit) warmer by 2100 relative to preindustrial levels
1. Adaptation
a. Deliberate adjustments in natural or human systems and behaviors to reduce the
risks to people’s lives livelihoods
2. Mitigation
a. Actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions or store carbon and development
choices that lead to low emissions
Adaptation Examples:
Mitigation Examples:
10/27/22 – Soil
Overview
About how long does it take to form an inch of topsoil (most productive)?
● A) About 50 years
● B) About 100 years
● C) About 250 years
● D) About 500 years
● Correct Answer = between 500 - 1000 years
● Soil erosion has both on-site and off-site effects. Loss of soil productivity is the main
on-site effect, while enhanced productivity of downstream land, sedimentation and
eutrophication of waterways and reservoirs are common off-site effects. Estimates of soil
erosion costs are therefore difficult and complex because the on-site effects are often
compensated by the use of increased amounts of fertilizers that mask the productivity
losses, and because the cost of environmental goods and services depends very much on
the point of view of the different stakeholders. Estimates of soil erosion costs are
therefore widely variable and controversial. At the extreme high side Pimentel et al
(Science Magazine, 1995) stated that the total on- and off-site costs of damages by wind
and water erosion and the cost of erosion prevention each year is 44,399,000,000 US$ in
the USA alone. On the other extreme, Crosson (Journal of Environmental Economics,
2007) estimated the loss in farm income in the USA per year at $100 million US$ only.
● Water erosion
○ Loss of topsoil
○ Rill and gully erosion
● Wind erosion
○ Loss of topsoil
○ Terrain deformation
○ Overblowing
● Chemical
○ Loss of nutrients and organic matter
○ Salinization
○ Acidification
○ Soil pollution
● Physical
○ Soil compaction
○ Waterlogging
○ Subsidence of organic soils
Salinization
Desertification
1. Deforestation
a. Agriculture
b. Logging
c. Roads
d. Urbanization
2. Overgrazing
3. Poor agricultural practices
a. “Slash and Burn” / Swidden Agriculture
4. Overexploitation for domestic use
a. Firewood to cook for example
i. Cut down the trees in order to burn
1. All the trees get cut down and you lose the roots that provide soil
stability
2. What do you burn when you run out of trees?
a. Dried cow feces
i. Causes respiratory illness
5. Industrial pollution
a. Where does all the toxic stuff go?
i. Coal mines…
ii. There is waste to our industrial processes. It ends up polluting the soil
What can be done to protect soil?
● Environmental restoration
○ Rebuilding the soil through…
■ Minimize soil disturbance (reduces loss)
■ Organic soil amendments (e.g., mulch)
■ Plant diversity: Agroforestry, crop rotations – actively enhance soil
Broader Questions
● Assuming that there is a broad-based recognition that soil provides a critical resource for
sustainable development, what are the most promising approaches to ensuring soil
health?
○ Voluntary?
○ Market-based?
○ Government policy?
11/1/22 - Water
Key Questions
agricultural usages.
● Aquifers declining
○ Not all aquifers are created equally
■ Shallow aquifers recharge at a rate determined by water use, regional
climate, and other factors (e.g., glaciers)
■ Fossil aquifers, once depleted, do not recharge (Ogallala aquifer, North
China Plain deep aquifer, Saudi aquifer)
● Important to large part of agriculture production globally
● Scarcity in China
○ Wheat in the North China Plain
● Scarcity in India
○ >21 million wells and heavy investment in pumps (hand-dug wells drying up)
○ Yemen out of water by 2025, Israel, Palestine, Mexico, U.S. …
Depletion of Groundwater
- In 1975 the Ogallala Aquifer was overdrafted by an amount equal to the entire flow of the
Colorado River. Today it has been depleted at an annual volume equivalent to 18
Colorado Rivers
- In Mexico the majority of groundwater extracted is withdrawn from 106 overexploited
aquifers
Saudi Arabia: As Water-poor as it is Oil-rich
● After the Arab oil export embargo in the 1970s, the Saudis realized they were vulnerable
to a counter embargo on grain
● To become self-sufficient in wheat, they developed a heavily subsidized irrigated
agriculture based largely on pumping water from a deep fossil aquifer
● In 2008 the Saudis announced that, with their aquifer largely depleted, they would reduce
wheat planting by one eighth each year until 2016, when production ended
Water Pollution
● Urban Development
● Improper Sewage Disposal
● Fertilizer Run-Off
● Oil Spills
● Chemical Waste Dumping
● Radioactive Waste Discharge
- 4.5 billion people globally have no toilets at home that safely manage excreta
- 2.3 billion still do not have basic sanitation services
- 892 million defecate in the open
- 600 million share a toilet or latrine with other households
Salinity
Access
Policy Options?
● On the down side, dams’ focus on the resource (water) is often to the detriment of the
system
● The Tonle Sap in Cambodia is one of the richest inland fisheries in the world
○ Cambodians are among the bestfed poor
○ Dam construction in China has restricted the flow of the Mekong River
● The Nile is part of a vast system stretching from the Mediterranean to Burundi and the
highlands of Ethiopia.
● Spanning more than 4,200 miles, it is the longest river in the world.
● The volume of water is relatively small – 2% of the size of the Amazon; 15% of the
Mississippi
○ As much as 86% of the Nile’s waters originate in Ethiopia
○ Nile Basin Initiative: The Nile flows through 10 countries, including South Sudan
Hydropolitics
● “Many of the wars of the 20th century were about oil, but wars of the 21st century will be
over water.” – Ismail Serageldin
● In a planet where 70% of the surface covered by water, only 1% of this amount is usable
freshwater
● Will reverse-osmosis save us?
○ Not for a little while anyway
○ Extremely expensive
● About how many gallons of freshwater is required to produce one pair of jeans?
○ A) About 100 gallons
○ B) About 800 gallons
○ C) About 1800 gallons
○ D) About 2800 gallons
Key Messages
Forests: A background
Cerrado
● Among the most concerning environmental impacts of deforestation are those regarding:
○ Carbon pollution
○ Climate
○ Agricultural productivity
○ Biodiversity
● Socioeconomically, deforestation impacts:
● Agricultural productivity
● Culture
● Business risks
● Brazilian soy industry: increasing consolidated through mergers and acquisitions of the
1990s – early 2000s through foreign investment of multinational food companies
● Trifecta for tropical soybean production (late 1990s)
○ Stabilization of the Brazilian currency
○ Policy’s encouraging expert-oriented agriculture
○ Agronomic advances in crop breeding and soil management
● Today: small # of soy firms control majority of Brazil’s market: ADM, Bunge, Cargill,
Louis Drefus and Amaggi Group
○ Example: Amaggi is involved in the financing production, barter of inputs (e.g.,
fertilizer), transport, storage, crushing, and export
Agricultural production
● Land area. Soy farms are few thousand hectares for profitability
● Financing. Producers supported by government owned banks and development banks,
receiving preferred funding from Banco do Brasil, Caixa Economica, and BNDES, to
promote Brazilian agricultural competitiveness in global export markets.
● Knowledge base. Farm practices are heavily informed by locally-adapted advice and
research from Brazilian agricultural extension, EMBRAPA.
● Vertical intensification. Under commitments for zero-deforestation, soybean producers
have looked for other means of increasing production, especially “double cropping”
Processing, transport, trade & distribution
● Brazil is the world’s largest soy exporter. Nearly 90% of Brazilian soy is processed to
soymeal for livestock feed.
● Over 75% of Brazilian soy exports are destined for China, worth US$14.8b
● Brazilian soy producers often process soy in two commodities, protein-rich soymeal
flakes and soybean oil (cooking oil, processed foods).
● Less than 2% of Brazilian soybeans are used for direct human consumption.
Manufacturing
● Brazil ranks third globally in production of livestock feed
● Domestically produced feed goes to poultry (49% to broilers), swine (24%), laying
poultry (8%), dairy (8%), or beef (4%)
● Soy exported to China largely used for livestock feed but it is difficult to trace beyond the
port of entry
● In Holland, imported Brazilian soy is used as feed for dairy production, ending in various
global products such as chocolate
Retail and Consumption
● Restaurants and retailers play an important role in the soybean value chain
● These companies can indirectly influence production practices and supplier standards
within their value chain
● Moreover, they are sensitive to external pressures as well as responsive to market trends
and consumer preferences
Efforts to limit deforestation
● A confluence of forces have been effective in slowing deforestation in the Amazon (w/
recent exceptions), which could be a model for future efforts.
● Policy, enforcement, incentive, investment and market efforts must be constantly
evolving in step with changes in deforestation drivers.
● Forest loss slowed and remained stable for the last decade until 2015 and 2016 when
deforestation began to increase. It is worth noting that zero deforestation has never been
achieved.
National Policies
● The Brazilian Forest Code requires land owners to hold “legal reserves” of Forest
● Early 2000s: Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Deforestation in the Legal
Amazon (PPCDAm) is attributed with 59% decrease in deforestation rates
● Sustainable Action Plan (PAS, 2008): strategic guidelines for government policies,
private investments and compliance.
● Only 3% of Cerrado is protected as national parks, indigenous reserves or conservation
areas compared with >50% in the Amazon.
● Brazil’s space agency (INPE) PRODES project tracks Amazon deforestation, publicly
releasing rates and locations.
● PRODES project has assessed annual deforestation larger than 6.25 hectares since 1998
● Deforestation in the Cerrado is monitored by researchers at the Federal University of
Goiás(LAPIG) using similar methods
● Rapid response system (DETER by INPE) developed in 2004.
● Capable of detecting deforestation hot spots (>25 hectares)
● Triggers alerts to the Brazilian Institute for the Environment and Renewable Natural
Resources (Ibama), national environmental police and law enforcement authority, to
target law enforcement
● Efforts have been hindered by the current recession, which have cut Ibama’s budget 30%.
● Does not operate in Cerrado
● Intends to commit to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 37% below 2005 levels in
2025.
● For forests this means:
○ strengthening and enforcing the Forest Code
○ strengthening policies and measures to achieve zero illegal deforestation in the
Amazon
○ restoring and reforesting 12 million hectares
○ enhancing sustainable native forest management systems, through applicable
georeferencing and tracking systems, to curb illegal and unsustainable practices
Land Tenure
● Formal tenure (title / private property rights) is often the exception rather than the rule
among smallholders in low-income countries
● More than 500 million people in developing countries lack ownership or woner-like
rights (e.g., customary tenure) to the land they farm
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xhAYUIBYs8c (Good youtube video to watch)
Land Reforms
● State-based or market-based
○ Latin America: Brazil, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Cuba, Guatemala, Mexiocl,
Nicaragua, Peru, Venezuela, Paraguay
○ Middle East and N. Africa: Ottoman Empire, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Syria
○ South Asia: Afghanistan, India, Sri Lanka
○ Europe: Albania, Czechoslovakia, Estonia, Finland, Ireland, italy, USSR, Russia,
Sweden, Ukraine, United Kingdom
○ North America: Canada, United States
○ East and Southeast Asia: China, Taiwan, Japan, S. Korea, Philippines, Vietnam
● “For most Americans, land is money, and land ownership constitutes power.” –
Mosteller, 2016
● “Land is lost after civic and human rights have already been systematically
trampled upon.” (Holt-Jimenez, 2014)
● 1.5 billion acres seized from North America’s native peoples between 1776 and
the present
The Plantation Economy
● From 1830 to 1840 the U.S. army removed 60,000 Indians–Choctaw, Creek, Cherokee
and others–from the East in exchange for the new territory west of the Mississippi
● Thousands died along the way of what became known as the Trail of Tears
Broader Questions
● What ethical considerations related to land do you think are necessary to achieve
sustainable development?
○ Should rights be the highest priority?
○ Should utilitarianism? (A utilitarian perspective argues that the greatest food for
the greatest number of people)
11/15/22 – Crop Diversity
Key Questions
1) What is biodiversity? Agrobiodiversity? Crop diversity?
2) What are the benefits of crop diversity?
3) What are threats to crop diversity?
4) What strategies exist to preserve crop diversity?
Biodiversity
“Biodiversity is the variability among living organisms from all sources, including terrestrial,
marine, and other aquatic ecosystems and the ecological complexes of which they are part; this
includes diversity within species, between species, and of ecosystems.”
Agrobiodiversity
- Within the bucket of biodiversity is agrobiodiversity → agricultural biodiversity
- Mixed agro-ecosystems
- Crop species/varieties
- Livestock and fish species
- plant/animal germplasm
- Soil organisms in cultivated areas
- Biocontrol agents for crop/livestock pests
- Wild species as landraces or with breeding culture and local knowledge of
diversity
Agrobiodiversity has been shaped by:
1. Crop domestication and cultivation
2. Global human-mediated movement
3. Professional breeding and seed commercialization
Crop Diversity
● Interspecific diversity
○ Crop diversity across species
● Intraspecific diversity
○ Crop diversity within species
Where did our crops originate?
● Evidence for the origins of agriculture comes from archaeological excavations and
botanical observations on the distribution of the relatives of our domesticated
Trivia Questions
1. How many plant species exist in the world?
● A) 50,000
● B) 150,000
● C) 350,000
● D) 1,000,000
2. Of the 350,000 plant species in existence, how many are edible?
● A) 5,000
● B) 35,000
● C) 80,000
● D) 200,000
3. Of these, how many are actively cultivated, directly for human food or as feed for
animals?
● A) 150
● B) 500
● C) 1,000
● D) 5,000
4. How many plant species make up 95% of human calories and protein?
● A) 3
● B) 30
● C) 100
● D) 300
5. How many plant species make up about 60% of the human diet?
● A) One
● B) Four
● C) Ten
● D) Twenty-five
- Reduces crops susceptibility - Higher crop yields from - Reduction of pesticides and
to pests and pathogens reduced pest infestation fertilizers prevents
- Crop rotations cna improve - More diversity in the downstream effects
soil produce - If it works, she can scale her
- Cover crops can reduce - Takes away from needed ideas to other farmers
runoff pesticide use, making crops - Use of other crops will fix
________________________ healthier for consumption as carbon and nitrogen in soil to
well as reducing health risks help mitigate climate change
- Makes more organic matter that can be a cause of - Preserving more crop
available applying pesticide diversity
- Promotes nutrient cycling - Reduced startup costs ________________________
- Reduces incidence of pests - More diversity means better
and diseases dietary quality - Global food and nutrition
- Encourages pollinators - Promoting health of security
agroecosystem promotes - Climate change adaptation
stability of household and mitigation
________________________ - Preserves cultural heritage
- Promotes high functioning
- Reduces risk (e.g. weather, ecosystems
market, pest)
- Provides more market
opportunity
- Enhances food security
- Contributes to healthy
farming systems
As many as 44% of all plant species worldwide and 35% of vertebrate species but covers just
1.4% of land surface (formerly 11.8% and has already experienced 88% loss in vegetation.
Academic Capitalism
- Converting advanced knowledge into materials for commercial products and services
Something to ponder:
● What might be the challenges and even pitfalls to trying to create markets for crops that
do not demand high market value?
Objectives
● To identify the degree of market concentration in the food and beverage industry
● To define and understand key terms:: monopoly and oligopoly
● To trace these trends in the seed industry
● To consider if and how corporate consolidation affects sustainable development
**Anheuser-Busch Inbey: The result of a 2004 and 2008 merger between Anheyser-Busch
(U.S.), Interbrew (Belgium), and AmBev (Brazil)
Market Concentration
● Four-firm concentration ratio (CR4): A ratio ranging from 0-100 with the number
representing the percentage that four firms control the marketplace for a particular good.
● So for the U.S. beer market, as of 2012:
In the 1800s: Trust U.S.
● Between 1897 and 1904 over 4,000 companies were consolidated down into 257
corporate firms
Trust-busting in the Early 1900s
● 1877: Munn v. Illinois upholds “Granger Laws” – states can regulate companies
● Federal efforts: Sherman Anti-Trust Act of 1890, Clayton Anti-Trust Act of 1914
“The great corporations which we have grown to speak of rather loosely as trusts
are the creatures of the State, and the State not only has the right to control them,
but it is in duty bound to control them wherever the need of such control is
shown.”
- Teddy Roosevelt
Neoliberalism (Reaganomics)
● Neoliberalism is the resurgence of ideas associated with laissez-faire economic
liberalism beginning in the 1970s and 1980s whose advocates support extensive
economic liberalization, free trade, and reductions in government spending in order to
enhance the role of the private sector.
○ Free Trade
○ Liberalization
○ Privatization
○ Austerity
Oligopoly Examples in U.S. → large firms that dominate the trade industry with little
competition
● Car industry
● Supermarket industry
● Makeup industry
● Cell phone services and cell phones
● Gas
● Food
● Banking
- Much of the work that was carried out by the Green Revolution was done by public
entities
Overview
● To understand food consumption trends
● To identify consumption habits/preferences and relevant tradeoffs
● To ascertain how consumer choices affect sustainable development.
However:
● Need to produce between 25-70% more food by 2050 and restore proper ecosystem
functioning (Hunter et al. 2017)
● Global obesity rates are increasing
● Increasing focus on diets and food consumption
**There are human impacts to consider too – THINK ABOUT IT – Do you know how your
favorite goods are made? Items you use every day may be produced by child or forced labor.
What does 100% Natural mean? – 31% of U.S. consumers believe “100% Natural” is the most
desirable eco-product label. 62% believe “Natural” implies no pesticide use.
● The label means nothing.
● FDA only regulates the word “natural” in meat and poultry to exclude foods containing
“artificial substances” (GMO is A-OK)
Similar labeling mysteries
● “Made with Whole Grains”
● “Lightly Sweetened”
● “Free-Range”
● “Local” ?
USDA Organic:
● Organic production and marketing looks like…
○ Local farms that are biodiverse offering a plethora of products
○ Monoculture cropping with a lot of irrigation
■ Earthbound Farm
○ Machinery used
● Local farms
○ Cows grazing in pasture
○ Cows eating hay in a barn
○ There’s nothing normative about local
Key Question: What are the most effective strategies to enhance ethical consumption?
Goals
● Scan the major social, economic, and environmental challenges we are confronting as a
society and how they are interconnected
● Consider how to engage constructively and productively in ways that address these
challenges
● Think about what all of this means for us individually, locally, nationally, globally
● Empower you all to have the information to make a difference as consumers and citizens