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Theoretical and Experimental Probability 2

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244 views

Theoretical and Experimental Probability 2

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qcyx79p9gy
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© © All Rights Reserved
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2-6 Theoretical and Experimental Probability

What is probability?

Introduction: Flipping a Fair Coin

It makes sense that every time we flip a fair the probability of flipping tails is

__________ out of ___________ or ____________!

Theoretical Probability:

favorable outcomes
P (event ) =
total outcomes
Experimental Probability:
Flip a coin 10 times and record how many heads and how many tails you get

Tally

Number of Heads

Number of Tails

Let’s take a look at the class data. On average, about how many times did the class flip heads out of
10 flips?

Experimental Probability Examples:

Nike conducted a test on 500 pairs of their sneakers. They found nothing wrong with 490
pairs. What is the probability that a pair of sneakers selected have nothing wrong?

In its store in Myrtle Beach SC, Nike sold 34,000 pairs of sneakers in one year. Based
Nike’s data how many of those pairs sold would have nothing wrong with them?
Probability Practice:

1. Rolling a Die 2. Flipping A Coin 4. Deal or no Deal

P(2) =
P(Tails) =

P(Even Number) =

3. Days of the Week 5. Spinner 1-8

P(Not a 5) = P(Begins with T) = P(number > 4) =

Let’s take a look at the sample space for the following problem!
A bag contains 3 red chips, 2 blue chips and 5 green chips. One chip is chosen at random.

P( blue ) P( red ) P( green or red )

P ( red or blue ) P( red or blue or green ) P( yellow )

In fact…

The probability of a certain event is __________________

The probability of an impossible event is __________________


The results of a survey of 100 randomly selected students at a 2000-student high school
are below.

Plans for After Graduation

Number of
Response
Respondents
Go to a community college 24
Go to 4-year college 43
Take a year off before college 12
Go to trade school 15
Do not plan to go to college 6

Suppose one student is chosen at random…

P( take a year off before college ) P( trade school or community college )

P( not 4-year college ) P( no college or year off before college )

The following spinner is spun once.


8 1
7 2
6 3
5 4
P( odd number or black space ) P( prime number or grey space )

P( multiple of 2 or multiple of 3 ) P( less than 3 or grey space )


Practice 2-6 Name ___________________________________

Looking at a Standard Deck of Playing Cards

Total Number of Cards ___________________

How many…

Reds Blacks Hearts Diamonds Spades Clubs

Aces Not Fours Black Twos Jack of Clubs Not Hearts Blue Tens

If I were to select one card at random, find…

1. P( Queen or 7 ) 2. P( Red or Clubs )

3. P( Ace or Red Jack ) 4. P( Not Red nor Clubs )

A driver collected data on how long it takes to drive to work.

Time in minutes 20 25 30

Number of trips 4 8 2

5. Find P( trip lasts 25 minutes ) 6. Find P( trip lasts 30 min )

7. Find P( trip lasts more than 20 min ) 8. Find P(trip lasts 25 minutes or less )

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