ATSEA SAP V8 4july2024
ATSEA SAP V8 4july2024
Suggested Citation:
ATSEA (2023). Strategic Action Programme (SAP) for the Arafura and Timor Seas Region (ATS),
2024-2033. Arafura and Timor Seas Ecosystem Action Phase II (ATSEA-2) Project, Bali, Indonesia.
78pp.
Disclaimer:
ATSEA-2 Project has published the information contained in this publication to assist public
knowledge and discussion, and to help improve the sustainable management of the Arafura and
Timor Seas (ATS) region. The contents of this publication do not necessarily reflect the views or
policies of ATSEA-2 implementing partners and its other participating organisations or the
ATSEA Member Countries. The designation employed and the presentation do not imply
expression of opinion whatsoever on the part of ATSEA-2 concerning the legal status of any
country or territory, its authority or the delimitation of its boundaries.
Published by:
ATSEA-2 Regional Project Management Unit
Jl. Mertasari No. 140 Sidakarya,
Denpasar 80224, Bali, Indonesia
Telephone: +62 361 448 4147
Email: [email protected]
Website: https://atsea-program.com/
Cover Image: Coastal View from Rote Ndao, Indonesia featuring calm water bordered by a lush
green hedge with purple flowers.
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
TABLE OF CONTENTS .......................................................................................................................... ii
LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................................................. iv
LIST OF TABLES .................................................................................................................................. iv
REGIONAL STEERING COMMITTEE ENDORSEMENT OF THE STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME
2024-2033 ............................................................................................................................................. v
MINISTERIAL ADOPTION OF THE STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME 2024-2033 ......................... vi
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................... vii
LIST OF ACRONYMS ............................................................................................................................ x
CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................... 1
1.1. Strategic Action Programme (SAP) Purpose and Vision .................................................... 2
1.2. The Arafura and Timor Seas Large Marine Ecosystem ....................................................... 3
1.3. ATSEA: Building on Success ................................................................................................. 4
1.4. A Sustainable ATS Blue Economy: The rationale for coordinated transboundary action 5
1.5. The SAP Updating Process ................................................................................................... 7
CHAPTER 2. STATE OF THE ATS .......................................................................................................... 8
2.1 Transboundary Issues Identified in 2023 TDA ..................................................................... 9
2.2 Cross-cutting Issues .............................................................................................................12
CHAPTER 3. STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME ...............................................................................13
3.1 Shared Principles, Frameworks and Approaches for Implementing the SAP ................. 14
3.2 SAP Structure...................................................................................................................... 14
3.3 SAP Components ................................................................................................................ 16
SAP Component 1: Reducing marine and coastal plastic pollution, including ALDFG ..................17
SAP Component 2: Preventing and responding to oil spills .......................................................... 24
SAP Component 3: Reducing the incidence of small-scale IUU fishing in transboundary areas. 27
SAP Component 4: Increase resilience of regional populations of endangered, threatened and
protected (ETP) species and critical habitats ................................................................................ 31
3.4 Mainstreaming Climate Change and GESI Objectives in the SAP ............................................ 37
3.4.1. Mainstreaming Climate Change .................................................................................... 37
3.4.2. Mainstreaming Gender Equity and Social Inclusion (GESI)..........................................40
CHAPTER 4. SAP GOVERNANCE AND IMPLEMENTATION .............................................................. 43
4.1. SAP Governance and Institutional Arrangements ............................................................44
4.2. Governance Objectives ...................................................................................................... 45
4.3. SAP Implementation and Resource Mobilisation .............................................................48
4.3.1. Implementation Plans ....................................................................................................48
4.3.2. SAP Financing .................................................................................................................49
4.3.3. Capacity Building ............................................................................................................ 50
4.3.4. Resource Mobilisation ................................................................................................... 50
4.4. Programme Implementation Risk ..................................................................................... 52
4.5. Stakeholder Engagement and Communications .............................................................. 52
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4.6. SAP Monitoring and Evaluation ......................................................................................... 52
4.6.1. SAP Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) System............................................................ 52
4.6.2. Programme Targets and Indicators .............................................................................. 53
4.7. Adaptive Management....................................................................................................... 53
CHAPTER 5. ANNEXES ....................................................................................................................... 55
Annex 1 – References and resources .............................................................................................. 57
Annex 2 – SAP updating process .................................................................................................... 59
Annex 3 – SAP contributors ............................................................................................................ 61
Annex 4 – SAP shared principles and approaches ......................................................................... 67
Annex 5 – Climate change impacts and SAP responses (by SAP component) ........................... 69
Annex 6 – SAP targets ......................................................................................................................71
Annex 7 – SAP Risk Assessment: identification and possible mitigation measures .................... 74
Annex 8 – SAP Theory of Change (ToC) ......................................................................................... 78
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LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1 – ATS Large Marine Ecosystem (LME) showing national and system boundaries ............... 3
Figure 2 – Schematic of TDA/SAP creation process ............................................................................. 7
Figure 3 – ATS region with transboundary environmental issues mapped ........................................ 9
Figure 4 – ATS Regional Governance Mechanism (RGM) .................................................................. 45
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1 – Priority transboundary environmental issues identified in TDA (ATSEA-2, 2023) ............... 9
Table 2 – MPA coverage in ATS, by country ....................................................................................... 10
Table 3 – Key steps and timeline of SAP creation, 2021-2023 ............................................................ 59
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REGIONAL STEERING COMMITTEE ENDORSEMENT OF
THE STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME 2024-2033
The Arafura and Timor Seas Strategic Action Programme (SAP) for the period 2024-2033 builds
upon a meticulous review process aimed at ensuring the utmost alignment with individual
country and regional priorities.
The four Arafura and Timor Seas (ATS) countries – Australia, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, and
Timor-Leste – formally endorsed the SAP 2024-2033 during the 5th Regional Steering Committee
(RSC) Meeting on 22 November 2023 in Jakarta, Indonesia, through their duly appointed National
Project Director (NPD) or National Focal Point (NFP).
Transboundary management requires collective action, which can only be achieved through
genuine collaboration. This endorsement signifies the collective commitment to guide the
forthcoming ten-year regional collaboration toward our mutual vision of a sustainable Arafura
and Timor Seas region.
The RSC-level endorsement serves as a precursor to the formal agreement by the four ATS
countries through the signature of the respective Ministers from the ATSEA focal ministries.
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MINISTERIAL ADOPTION OF THE STRATEGIC ACTION
PROGRAMME 2024-2033
We, the Ministers of the ATSEA focal Ministries, recognize the following:
• The Strategic Action Programme (SAP) for the Arafura and Timor Seas Region 2024-2033
builds upon the foundation laid by the inaugural SAP for 2014-2023, supported by the first
Arafura and Timor Seas Ministerial Declaration.
• The unwavering commitment of Arafura and Timor Seas countries to ensure the sustainable
protection and development of the Arafura and Timor Seas guides the SAP 2024-2033.
We, the Ministers of the ATSEA focal Ministries are pleased to adopt the ATSEA Strategic Action
Programme for the Arafura and Timor Seas Region 2024-2033 as a continuation of our collective
efforts. With this adoption, we pledge our unwavering dedication to the principles and objectives
encapsulated within it, heralding a new chapter in our cooperative efforts towards the
sustainable stewardship of the Arafura and Timor Seas.
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This Strategic Action Programme (ATS-SAP 2024-2033) sets out the strategic direction and
priority actions that will be required over the next decade to address four priority transboundary
concerns identified for the 167-million-hectare Arafura and Timor Seas Large Marine Ecosystem
region (ATS). The SAP is focused on four strategic issues: marine plastic pollution, oil spills, small-
scale Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated (IUU) fishing, and declines of populations of
endangered, threatened and protected (ETP) species–all as they pertain to transboundary areas.
More broadly, as a framework for collaborative regional action, the SAP supports the four littoral
countries to meet a range of environmental and sustainable development goals and obligations
at international, regional, national and sub-national levels.
The Arafura and Timor Seas are globally important, linking Indian and Pacific Oceans and
influencing global ocean circulation and climate. The region is rich in living and non-living marine
resources including capture fisheries, gas and oil reserves, storage and sequestration of carbon,
cultural and traditional goods and services and conditions supporting valuable mariculture and
tourism industries. The region is also a stronghold for globally significant biodiversity values
which may be distributed across jurisdictional boundaries due to the high degree of connectivity
of ecosystems, habitats and species in the region. However, these ecosystem services are
threatened by increasing pressures from various anthropogenic factors including climate change.
ATS-SAP Component 1 is focused on reducing the impacts of plastic marine debris in the ATS
marine environment. ATSEA has identified shoreline debris hotspots, including Rote Ndao and
Timor-Leste’s south coast, while the ATS has been identified as a global hotspot for abandoned,
lost, or otherwise discarded fishing gears (ALDFG). Drivers include the ‘direct action’ of
purposeful or accidental discarding of fishing nets and other gears at sea, the dispersal of solid or
plastic wastes from port facilities, coastal communities or land-based refuse dumps, and coastal
watersheds. These issues may be exacerbated at times by a lack of adequate coastal sanitation
infrastructure or waste disposal facilities in ports and coastal settlements. This SAP focuses on
reducing plastic pollution of the marine environment from land-based sources (Operational
Objective 1.1), and from Abandoned, Lost and Discarded Fishing Gears, or ‘ALDFG’ (Operational
Objective 1.2), while also contributing to reductions in the production, use and disposal of
harmful plastic wastes by stimulating the ‘circular economy’ concepts in the region (Operational
Objective 1.3).
ATS-SAP Component 2 is concerned with strengthening regional capacity to avoid and respond
to oil spills. The Arafura and Timor Seas are rich in gas and oil reserves, which have the potential
to provide high value to the communities of the ATS. However, the sector carries intrinsic risks;
the accidental discharge or loss of crude oil from offshore platforms and wells, tankers and
pipelines may result in environmental impacts which can have significant flow-on economic and
social impacts. These risks will be addressed by enhancing regional coordination and developing
regional-level capacity to reduce the incidence of oil spills, and in the case of a spill, minimising
impacts by facilitating coordinated regional responses, capacities and resources.
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ATS-SAP Component 3 is focused on improving the management of those small-scale capture
fisheries and related post-harvest activities that may be operating illegally in ATS transboundary
areas. In some cases, small-scale fishers may be practicing their fishing operations according to
long-standing cultural identities or customary practices that may span national jurisdictions.
Their activities may be influenced by trans-boundary market forces and supply chains, especially
where formal markets are under-developed in remote areas. These fisheries may operate in
ambiguous legal contexts, such as disputed territories or in fishing grounds which straddle
jurisdictional boundaries, and in some cases, small-scale fishers may be unaware that their
activities are illegal. This component is intended to complement the ongoing work of the
existing RPOA-IUU regional coordination mechanism, which primarily combats IUU fishing
undertaken by larger commercial and industrial fleets, illegal foreign fleets and organised crime
syndicates.
ATS-SAP Component 4 is concerned with stabilizing, and where possible recovering certain
populations of Endangered, Threatened and Protected (ETP) species known to utilise marine and
coastal habitats across the ATS region. The ATS region hosts numerous ETP species with shared
transboundary populations, including dugongs; six species of sea turtles, (such as green turtle,
hawksbill, loggerhead, leatherback, olive ridley and flatback turtle); and several sharks and ray
species (such as largetooth sawfish, green sawfish and the whale shark). ETP species may include
species on international listings, such as the Convention on International Trade in Endangered
Species (CITES), the Convention of Migratory Species (CMS), and the International Union for the
Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species, or may be listed via national or
sub-national legislative instruments and protected species lists. This component also
incorporates ‘area-based measures’ (including MPAs and other effective area-based conservation
measures, or ‘OECMs’) intended to safeguard critical habitats of those species while also
safeguarding ecosystem functions that benefit people.
In addition to the four thematic components, this SAP also incorporates cross-cutting concerns
of climate change and Gender Equity and Social Inclusion (GESI). It also outlines key governance
objectives and priority actions required to successfully implement the SAP, and to achieve
sustainable management of the ATS more broadly.
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SAP COMPONENT 1: SAP COMPONENT 2: SAP COMPONENT 3: SAP COMPONENT 4:
Reducing marine and Preventing and Reducing incidence of Increase resilience of
coastal plastic responding to oil spills small-scale IUU regional populations
pollution including fishing in of endangered,
ALDFG transboundary areas threatened and
protected (ETP)
species and critical
habitats
COMPONENT GOAL: COMPONENT GOAL: COMPONENT GOAL: COMPONENT GOAL:
Reduction of the levels Ecosystem impacts Reduce small-scale Important regional
of marine and coastal from oil spills illegal fishing through populations of priority
plastic pollution, prevented or reduced improved ETP species and their
including ALDFG, in through enhanced management critical habitats are
the ATS regional coordination arrangements in stabilised
and best practices transboundary areas in
support of
RPOA/NPOA-IUUF
OPERATIONAL OPERATIONAL OPERATIONAL OPERATIONAL
OBJECTIVE 1.1: Reduce OBJECTIVE 2.1: OBJECTIVE 3.1: Create OBJECTIVE 4.1:
inputs of plastic Strengthen regional effective agreements Enhance collaborative
pollutants from land- coordination and and incentives to management of
based sources capacities on oil spill improve management priority transboundary
preparedness and of small-scale fisheries or migratory
response operating illegally in populations of ETP
transboundary areas species
OPERATIONAL OPERATIONAL
OBJECTIVE 1.2: Reduce OBJECTIVE 4.2: Build
inputs of Abandoned, resilience of ATS
Lost and otherwise critical habitats and
Discarded Fishing Gear ecosystems against
(ALDFG) climate change
through effective area-
based management
Cross-cutting Objective 1: Mainstreaming Climate Change
This new SAP is the second iteration for the ATS region; this revision was prepared under the
auspices of ATSEA-2 in collaboration with regional and national Working Groups (RWG, NGW),
ATSEA-2 National Focal Points, UNDP and National Coordination Units (NCUs) and the RPMU.
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LIST OF ACRONYMS
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CHAPTER 1. INTRODUCTION
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1.1. Strategic Action Programme (SAP) Purpose and Vision
The Strategic Action Programme (SAP) is a negotiated document intended to provide a
programmatic approach to guide long-term collaborative action in response to the
transboundary issues identified and prioritised in the Transboundary Diagnostic Analysis (TDA)
2023. The SAP’s primary purpose is to provide a clear and agreed framework from which the four
ATS littoral countries may collaborate on the management of the ATS large marine ecosystem, in
support of the sustainable development of the region.
This updated document is the second iteration of the SAP for the ATS region, replacing the first
iteration, developed in 2012. It outlines the agreed vision, goals, objectives and targets, as well as
the specific actions, timelines and modes of implementation and governance measures required
to achieve them, and the monitoring and evaluation (M&E) approach that will help to measure
the programme’s performance and impacts.
LONG-TERM VISION: A healthy, resilient and productive ATS that supports human wellbeing and
nature
The shared long-term vision encapsulates the shared values of the four ATS littoral countries; human
wellbeing, ecological health, resilience to climate change, and a productive ‘blue economy’ that
drives economic growth while supporting the enabling environment needed to sustain it for the
benefit of future generations.
With a long-term horizon of twenty years, the SAP vision can help to sustain efforts in the future
by providing continuity and providing opportunities for SAP revision and ongoing collaboration
beyond its 10-year plan term.
ATSEA’S STATED MISSION IN THE ATS: To foster social, ecological and economic progress
through a blue economy oriented regional partnership in the ATS region
As an overarching regional framework for adaptive management of the ATS large marine
ecosystem, the SAP outlines regional-level collaborative action, and serves to guide ATS
countries in the development of counterpart National Action Programmes (NAPs) and highlight
key linkages between regional and national level interventions. The SAP supports countries to
meet existing obligations including the internationally-agreed Sustainable Development Goals
(SDGs), and a range of regional and national priorities related to the economy, human
development and the sustainable management of valuable marine and coastal resources – all
essential to a sustainable and productive regional blue economy.
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1.2. The Arafura and Timor Seas Large Marine Ecosystem
The Arafura and Timor Seas are globally important, linking the Indian and Pacific Oceans and
playing an important role in global ocean circulation. The marine and coastal ecosystems of the
167-million-hectare region are extremely rich in living and non-living marine resources – all told,
they provide ecosystem services to the four littoral nations of the ATS with a combined annual
value estimated at US$7.3 billion. These values include the provision of fisheries, gas and oil
reserves, storage and sequestration of carbon in ‘blue carbon’ coastal ecosystems, cultural and
traditional goods and services, the spaces and environmental conditions needed to support
valuable mariculture industries, and the special places and attractions that support marine and
coastal tourism industries.
The Arafura and Timor Seas region is also a stronghold for globally significant biodiversity values.
In many cases, these values exist within national jurisdictions (i.e., territorial waters), while in
other cases may be distributed across boundaries. However, the ATS’s biodiversity and the
ecosystem services derived from it are under threat due to increasing pressure from various
anthropogenic factors, including the impacts of climate change.
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1.3. ATSEA: Building on Success
This SAP was developed under the auspices of ATSEA-2 - the 2nd phase of the GEF-financed,
UNDP-supported ATSEA program. It was designed to enhance regional collaboration and
coordination in the Arafura and Timor Seas (ATS) region, which is composed of part of the
marine domains of Australia, Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, and Timor-Leste. Since 2003,
representatives from governmental and non-governmental stakeholders working on sustainable
marine development issues in the four ATS countries have come together to promote integrated
and ecosystem-based management of the ATS. Beginning with the Arafura and Timor Seas
Experts Forum (ATSEF), the collaboration has progressed through project-based initiatives under
two GEF-supported and UNDP-implemented ATSEA projects (ATSEA-1 2009-2014, and ATSEA-2
2019-2024).
The inaugural ten-year SAP was launched in 2014 and addressed five key issues; unsustainable
fisheries, degradation of coastal and marine habitats, marine and land-based pollution, decline of
threatened and migratory species, and the impacts of climate change.
This updated SAP for the period 2024-2033 builds on that first SAP (Box 1); it has been created
with the benefit of a decade of shared experience in delivering an ambitious, regional scope of
work. It also draws on a wealth of new information that was not available a decade ago – much
of which was generated through implementation of the research agenda encapsulated in the
2012 SAP, including a series of recent thematic technical and governance assessments
undertaken by the ATSEA-2 program between 2019-2022.
Primarily, this updated SAP responds to the findings of the second Transboundary Diagnostic
Analysis (TDA) developed for the ATS. The updated TDA was delivered by ATSEA-2 in early 2023,
in order to review the status and trends of important coastal and marine resources, identify
priority transboundary environmental issues in the ATS region, and understand the key drivers
and impacts of these problems, and opportunities for collaboration, in order to support the
formulation of new SAP strategies that can best address them.
This new strategic direction for ATS also builds on significant advances in regional governance;
since the first SAP was developed a decade ago, a Regional Governance Mechanism (RGM) has
been designed based on stakeholder inputs. Under the guidance of the Council of Ministers and
in accordance with the direction provided by a Regional Coordination Committee (RCC) and
supported by a Regional Secretariat, a Regional Stakeholder Working Group (RSWG) will be
created to deliver regional elements of this SAP, supported by National Stakeholder Working
Groups (NSWGs). And at the country level, National Coordination Committees will coordinate
and oversee delivery of national priority actions by relevant agencies, and in some cases National
Stakeholder Working Groups. Implementation of the 2024-2033 SAP will provide strong impetus
for the consolidation and refinement of the RGM, essential for addressing transboundary issues
over the long term.
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 4
Box 1: ATSEA SAP 2012-2023 Key achievements
Based on the implementation of the first iteration of the SAP, strong progress has been
made across the region on many issues. These successes provide a strong basis from which
the ATS community can address the priority issues outlined in this revised SAP.
• Coverage of Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) expanded with the creation of new
and more effective MPAs and through support to strengthening of existing priority
MPAs, particularly in Indonesia and Timor-Leste.
• The endorsement of a Regional Action Plan (RAP) for the Protection of Sea
Turtles that complements existing national plans of action.
With its 5,000km of coastline divided among the four littoral countries of Australia, Indonesia,
Papua New Guinea and Timor-Leste, the Arafura and Timor Seas region is defined as a ‘semi-
enclosed sea’. Article 123 of the UN Convention on the Law of the SEA (UNCLOS) places a
responsibility and obligation on countries bordering enclosed and semi-enclosed seas to
cooperate in resource management, protection of marine environments and scientific research.
Beyond legal definitions, there are ecological, cultural and pragmatic reasons for transboundary
collaboration on the region’s management. For millennia, ATS’s littoral communities have used
and shared natural resources and developed local customs and approaches for their
management. The seas have shaped human development in the four countries and contributed
to the region’s rich and unique cultures. Many of the region’s cultures and traditions exist
beyond jurisdictional boundaries. The ATS Large Marine Ecosystem is at the heart of the regional
sustainable blue economy; defined by UNDP as “the sustainable use of ocean resources for
5 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
economic growth, jobs and social and financial inclusion, with a focus on preservation and
restoration of the health of ocean ecosystems and the services they provide”.
As the core of ATSEA’s regional program of collaborative action, the SAP can uniquely strengthen
management of the ATS Large Marine Ecosystem in the following ways:
More broadly, the SAP embodies a collective commitment to a sustainable blue economy, to
ecosystem-based management, to the rule of law, and to advancing the rights and opportunities
of the region’s many and diverse communities and economic sectors.
The SAP supports existing national-level blue economy initiatives including the following:
Implementing the SAP will also strengthen ATS countries’ contributions to important global
sustainability agreements, including the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework
(GBF), Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and the United Nations Framework Convention
on Climate Change (UNFCCC).
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1.5. The SAP Updating Process
As shown in Figure 2, the updating of the SAP for the ATS region is based on the established
GEF/International Waters process and closely followed the revision of the Transboundary
Diagnostic Analysis (TDA), conducted for the ATS in 2022-2023. The TDA process is used to
identify and quantify the priority transboundary issues and establish the causes of those issues.
The SAP is then developed (in this case updated) as a regional response to the issues prioritised
by the regional community.
Box 2: SAP 2024-2033 Updated focus to meet emerging challenges and opportunities
Building on the first SAP (2014-2023), this updated 2024-2033 Programme strengthens focus
on the following aspects in order to meet emerging challenges and developments:
ALDFG – focused effort to address abandoned, lost or otherwise discarded fishing gears
Area-based conservation – building on MPA network design but with new focus on OECMs
in support of Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework
Circular economy – focused effort to ‘close the loop’ on marine-based waste streams by
avoiding waste, and deriving greater value from residual waste
GESI – mainstreaming of Gender Equity and Social Inclusion across all SAP aspects
IUU fishing – specific focus on small-scale IUU fishing in transboundary areas, to
complement existing efforts by RPOA-IUU
Marine plastic pollution – focus on marine plastic pollution, in line with global efforts to
address the issue
Mainstreaming climate change response - in recognition of the cross-cutting nature of the
problem, climate change actions are integrated within Components 1-4, supporting national
and global climate commitments (including the UNFCCC).
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CHAPTER 2. STATE OF THE ATS
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 8
The following section highlights the current state of the ATS region with particular focus on the
issues to be addressed by this SAP. A more comprehensive assessment of issues is provided in
the 2023 TDA.
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Marine and Land-Based Pollution
ATSEA regional assessments identified two main pollution sources that will have region-wide
impacts – those are oil spills and marine debris. A modelling simulation using GNOME discovered
that the Timor Sea is the primary oil spill hotspot in the ATS, with the Southern part of Rote Ndao
and Timor-Leste the most prone to oil spills. Meanwhile, the Aru Sea was identified as a seafloor
debris hotspot. ATSEA-2 has initiated support to build local capacities in oil spill preparedness and
response and to develop pollution prevention and control plans as part of the integrated coastal
management (ICM) process in Rote Ndao, Indonesia and Manatuto, Timor-Leste.
Biodiversity Conservation
ATS region hosts numerous endangered, threatened and protected (ETP) species, including
dugongs; six species of sea turtles (green turtle, hawksbill, loggerhead, leatherback, olive ridley
and flatback turtle) (ATSEA-2, 2023); and several species of sharks and rays (such as large-tooth
sawfish, green sawfish and the whale shark). All species are listed as vulnerable, endangered or
critically endangered and are protected by national legislations and international conventions. To
boost sea turtle conservation in the region, ATSEA-2 facilitated the development of the Sea Turtle
Regional Action Plan which could act as reference/guidance for ATS countries to conserve their
sea turtles. The action plan has six themes: 1) addressing discards of fishing gear, 2) establishing a
funding mechanism, 3) addressing sea turtle bycatch in the Arafura Sea prawn fishery, 4)
enhanced conservation of sea turtles in Timor-Leste, 5) in Indonesia with a focus on Aru and 6) in
Papua New Guinea.
A valuation of ecosystem services based on data from 2016-2020 data shows that the ATS region
contributes approximately $US 7.3 billion annually to the economies of ATS countries. Further, a
regional MPA Network Design and Roadmap developed by ATSEA-2 was endorsed by the 3rd RSC.
Table 2 shows MPA coverage data for the ATS region.
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Sustainability of fisheries
At regional level, ATSEA works to improve fisheries management for red snapper, especially the
saddle-tail snapper, crimson snapper, red emperor and gold-band snapper. Based on FAO
statistics (Knuckey et al.,2021), the ATS region contributed 2.76% or 13,604 tonnes of the
estimated global Lutjanid catch for 2019. The baseline review conducted in 2020-2021 shows that
snapper fisheries in the ATS are diverse and include small and industrial scales. The stock status
of red snappers also varies with Australia’s stock considered to be sustainable, Indonesia’s
overfished, and undefined for both Timor-Leste and Papua New Guinea. Threats on the fisheries
such as stock sustainability, ecological impacts of fishing operations, bycatch, transboundary
conflict, conflict between sectors, lack of infrastructure and market access, policy to support
rights-based management of small-scale fisheries, IUU fishing and lack of consistent/unified data
across regions were identified and would be addressed by implementing the recently developed
EAFM plan for red snapper fisheries in the ATS region.
IUU fishing is a prevalent threat for the ATS region. To understand the threat better, ATSEA-2
facilitated a regional assessment to quantify law enforcement capabilities by calculating losses
avoided through the apprehension of both domestic and foreign vessels. The assessment
covered the period of 2015-2019 and shows the estimated prevented volume loss for ATS
countries is 40,154 tonnes and the prevented economic loss is $US 80,307,576. Due to limited
information, the study focused mostly on illegal fishing (i.e., the ‘I’ in IUU Fishing), and
strengthened monitoring and reporting would support country-level efforts to address the
unregulated and unreported elements of IUU. Further, strengthening monitoring, control and
surveillance (MCS) capacity would help to reduce economic and social impacts on communities
due to IUU fishing. ATSEA acknowledges the importance of regional networks in combating IUU
fishing, particularly through the RPOA-IUU’s ATS MCS sub-regional group. ATSEA will also
continue to support implementation of the RPOA-IUU’s annual workplan. At national/local level,
ATSEA will strengthen countries’ capacity to address IUU fishing through stronger community-
based surveillance and monitoring.
11 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
2.2 Cross-cutting Issues
Climate Change
The assessments showed shallow coral reefs to be highly vulnerable to climate change,
particularly around Barique subdistrict in Manatuto municipality, Timor-Leste and Tual, Indonesia.
Seagrass meadows were most vulnerable in the Gulf of Carpentaria, Australia due to hotspot sea
surface temperature increases. Lastly, mangroves and estuarine habitats were most vulnerable
in Timor-Leste and western Papua New Guinea. Species vulnerability was also highly variable
spatially; Green turtle was shown to be a species of high vulnerability across most sub-regions,
while dugong, barramundi, black jewfish, Spanish mackerel, and mud crab are highly vulnerable
in at least two sub-regions.
As outlined in the updated TDA, structural gender and social inequalities in place in some ATS
communities may mean that transboundary environmental issues affect women in different ways
to men, and in some cases, more severely. Examples of impacts more likely to be felt by women
may be village-level environmental problems (e.g., family health issues caused by pollution
issues), reduced food security at the household level, or in some instances, women shouldering
more of the burden of environmental remediation than men.
Existing governance of the ATS region and its environmental assets is a mosaic of both binding
and voluntary frameworks and measures operating at the regional level, and the national and
sub-national regulatory environments and sectoral arrangements within the four littoral
countries and sub-national jurisdictions. The 2023 TDA identified ineffective governance as a root
cause or indirect driver of transboundary issues; encompassing related challenges of insufficient
management resources, poor or inconsistent compliance and failure to enact regulations, and
ineffective coordination. Governance failures were found to exacerbate transboundary
environmental issues in the ATS. Strong, effective, and participatory governance approaches
were considered necessary to enable the mitigation strategies needed to address the priority
issues.
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 12
CHAPTER 3. STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME
13 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
In response to the priority transboundary environmental issues in the ATS identified in the 2023
Transboundary Diagnostic Analysis (TDA), the following section presents a framework of Targets,
Priority Actions, and Supporting Activities required to achieve the shared vision for the ATS: A
healthy, resilient and productive ATS that supports human wellbeing and nature.
- Principle of Sovereignty
- The Precautionary Approach
- The Principle of Fair and Equitable Benefit-sharing
- Principle of Gender Equity
- Principle of Participation and Inclusivity
- Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC)
- Notification, consultation, and negotiation
Also embodied in the SAP are the following natural resource management approaches:
- Ecosystem approach
- Ecosystem approach to fisheries management (EAFM)
- Integrated coastal management (ICM)
- Adaptive management approaches
Definitions and brief descriptions of these principles and approaches are included in Annex 4.
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 14
There are a total of four SAP components and six operational objectives, as shown below:
OPERATIONAL OPERATIONAL
OBJECTIVE 1.2: Reduce OBJECTIVE 4.2: Build
inputs of Abandoned, resilience of ATS
Lost and otherwise critical habitats and
Discarded Fishing Gear ecosystems against
(ALDFG) climate change
through effective area-
based management
Cross-cutting Objective 1: Mainstreaming Climate Change
Objective: Effective mainstreaming of climate change response in SAP governance and implementation
15 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
In order to achieve each of the six Operational Objectives contained in Components 1-4, this SAP
document outlines a series of Priority Actions, and Supporting Activities at both regional and
national levels (indicative, intended to guide national level implementation). These actions and
activities are detailed in Section 3 for each project component. Each priority action has been
prioritised (high, medium or low), with an indicative timeframe for implementation; short-term
(<3 years), medium-term (3-5 years) or long-term (> 5years). A detailed implementation plan will be
developed to support delivery of SAP priority actions, and to delineate roles and responsibilities
among ATSEA members.
Further, National Action Programmes (NAPs) developed by ATS littoral countries will further
outline the supporting actions and activities specific to that country that contribute to the overall
attainment of Component Goals and Objectives. In the case of Indonesia and Timor-Leste, these
NAPs build on the previous 2013-2022 NAPs, while Papua New Guinea will create its first NAP in
2023 in support of this updated SAP.
The SAP was developed to complement existing regional instruments, agreements and efforts,
which are outlined in the TDA. Where appropriate, these are also outlined in the ‘Links’ row in
tables for each SAP Component in Section 3.
In the following section, the table for each component includes regional targets and indicators,
priority actions, supporting regional actions and indicative national supporting actions.
Timeframes and priority levels are also provided for each priority action. A detailed description of
these target and indicator types is provided in Section 4.2.6. A complete list of SAP targets is
included as Annex 6.
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 16
SAP Component 1: Reducing marine and coastal plastic pollution,
including ALDFG
Component Goal: Reduction of the levels of marine and coastal plastic pollution including
ALDFG in the ATS
ATS-SAP Component 1 is focused on reducing the impacts of plastic marine debris in the ATS
marine environment. Globally, plastic pollution has increased tenfold since 1980 (IPBES, 2019)
and plastic marine debris is a serious issue for the ATS region. ATSEA has identified shoreline
debris hotspots including Rote Ndao and Timor-Leste’s south coast, while the ATS has been
identified as a global hotspot for ALDFG. Drivers include the ‘direct action’ of purposeful or
accidental discarding of fishing nets and other gears at sea, the dispersal of solid or plastic
wastes from port facilities, coastal communities or land-based refuse dumps, and coastal
watersheds. These issues may be exacerbated at times by a lack of adequate coastal sanitation
infrastructure or waste disposal facilities in ports and coastal settlements.
This SAP focuses on reducing plastic pollution of the marine environment from land-based
sources (Operational Objective 1.1), and from Abandoned, Lost and otherwise Discarded Fishing
Gears, or ‘ALDFG’ (Operational Objective 1.2).
OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE 1.1: Prevent and reduce inputs of plastic pollutants from land-based
sources
Operational Objective 1.1 is concerned with reducing flows of plastic pollution (sometimes
referred to as ‘plastic debris’) from land-based sources into marine and coastal environments.
Land-based sources of plastic pollution may include waste transported to the coastal zone by
watersheds, poorly managed waste and litter originating from coastal cities and settlements, and
waste emanating from maritime infrastructure sited in the coastal zone including ports and
terminals. Plastic debris is among the most commonly encountered in the marine environment,
where it may persist for centuries before breaking down into smaller and smaller particles; as a
result, it can cause considerable harm over long periods, accumulating over time. Priority actions
identified include the promotion of ‘source-to-sea’ and ‘circular economy’ approaches, improving
regulatory frameworks, data and information, and regional capacity to respond to the issue.
TARGETS
At least 1 x regional and 4 x national/sub-national new policies, laws, agreements related to marine and
coastal plastic pollution* (process target)
1,000-5,000 tonnes of plastic pollution in the marine and coastal environments is prevented through new
on-ground pilot measures (threat reduction target)
17 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
At least 9 coastal communities engaged in reduction of plastic waste (threat reduction target)
At least 3 x new scalable circular economy pilot programs created with local communities (socio-
economic target)
*may include national or sub-national government laws, policies, commitments, partnerships or other agreements including with
private sector, civil society and/or communities
TARGET INDICATORS:
# of people involved in CE pilot program, # of communities with CE pilot program, # of people trained or
engaged through outreach on CE (socio-economic indicators)
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 18
pollution from land- pollution reduction Coastal Management identified hotspot
based sources (M, H) and management programs) areas (with funding
and trained
Product replacement personnel)
– e.g., partnerships
with plastic producers
and plastic packaging
companies to phase
out unnecessary and
problematic single use
plastics
1.1.4 Develop and Scope and develop Create enabling Regional Circular
implement a Regional the Regional Circular policies and capacity Economy Blueprint
Circular Economy Economy Blueprint building programs to endorsed and
Blueprint for the ATS guidance document* support circular adopted
with regional and based on best economy and blue
country-level practice economy % of Regional
components (S, H) development (e.g., Circular Economy
Document and promote extended Blueprint actions
disseminate the producers’ implemented
findings from local responsibility,
pilot projects to assist developing markets Number of
scaling up of for recycled community/private
successful products, etc.) sector partnerships
approaches
Identify best Number of
(*possibly including practices and sector community
regional and country- leaders in-country partnerships
level innovations
related to Pilot scalable, local- Capacity and
partnerships, level circular awareness building
technology, markets, economy innovations programs/measures
legal and economic and initiatives based
instruments, site- on the Blueprint*
based
demonstrations,
community-level
19 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
income generation,
and capacity and
training)
Marine debris
reduction data in
ATS hotspot areas
LINKAGES:
ATS/SAP:
Regional EAFM Plan developed under ATSEA-2 (E1O2M5 on Prevent discarding of any non-
biodegradable material (plastics and netting) from fishing boats)
External:
IMO 2017 Guidelines on the Implementation of MARPOL Annex 5
Global Partnership for Marine Litter (GPML/UNEP)
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 20
Operational Objective 1.2 is concerned with preventing and reducing pollution directly
attributable to the fisheries sector, and in particular Abandoned, Lost or otherwise Discarded
Fishing Gear (ALDFG). ALDFG is a recognised driver of declining populations of certain
Endangered, Threatened and Protected (ETP) species occurring in the ATS, including sea turtles
and marine mammals. Sometimes referred to as ‘ghost gears’, certain types of ALDFG
(particularly nets) can contribute to ongoing mortality of these species for long periods after
entering the marine environment. ALDFG has impacts beyond ETP species also; toxic load from
plastics, impacts of microplastics on biodiversity and human health, aesthetic concerns that may
conflict with marine recreational uses and impacts on traditional and cultural values. Priority
actions identified include the development of a regional action plan to focus efforts on reducing
ALDFG.
All SAP actions outlined below will be developed to be complementary to existing relevant
frameworks and guidelines, including those of the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) and
Fisheries and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and any future global treaty on plastics.
TARGETS
At least 1,000 metric tons of ALDFG is prevented through recovery and recycling by local communities**
(threat reduction target)
At least 9 coastal communities / fishing associations engaged in reduction of ALDFG waste (threat
reduction target)
>10% reduction in fisheries (ALDFG) waste observed in the marine environment during routine
monitoring* (environmental status target)
At least 3 new pilot programs created with local communities to recover and recycle ALDFG waste (socio-
economic target)
*may include national or sub-national government laws, policies, commitments, partnerships or other agreements including with
private sector, civil society and/or communities
** subject to findings of the proposed ALDFG-RAP
TARGET INDICATORS:
# New policies and agreements, new partnerships, programs and plans in place (process indicators)
Quantification of reduction in ALDFG waste, waste recovered and/or recycled, number of communities /
fishing associations with ALDFG waste reduction initiatives (threat reduction indicators)
21 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
PRIORITY ACTIONS SUPPORTING INDICATIVE ACTION INDICATORS
REGIONAL SUPPORTING
Timeframe – S,M,L ACTIVITIES NATIONAL ACTIVITIES
Priority – L,M,H
1.2.1 Develop and Develop and consult Support development Regional Action Plan
implement Regional Regional Action Plan of the RAP-ALDFG for ALDFG in place
Action Plan to address for ALDFG, including consistent with FAO
ALDFG (M,M) research ALDFG targets
Develop guidelines
on the prevention,
reduction and
processing of marine
litter from fisheries
including ALDFG,
consistent with
existing instruments
and frameworks
(including
IMO/MARPOL and
FAO)
Enhance awareness
and capacity in
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 22
fisheries sector in
order to reduce &
process waste at sea
LINKAGES:
ATS/SAP:
1.2.1 – See Operational Objective 4.2 (Sea Turtle Regional Action Plan, ALDFG content), and
Regional EAFM Plan developed under ATSEA-2 (E1O1 on managing bycatch of non-target
species to acceptable levels and E1O2M6 on ensuring all fishing gears are uniquely marked to
identify ownership)
External:
IMO 2017 Guidelines on the Implementation of MARPOL Annex 5
IMO Action Plan to Address Marine Plastic Litter from Ships (Outcome 1)
FAO Code of Conduct for Responsible Fisheries (1995)
FAO Voluntary Guidelines on the Marking of Fishing Gear
Global Partnership for Marine Litter (GPML/UNEP)
Global Ghost Gear Initiative
Relevant Regional Fisheries Management Organisations (RFMOs)
23 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
SAP Component 2: Preventing and responding to oil spills
Component Goal: Ecosystem impacts from oil spills prevented or reduced through enhanced
regional coordination and best practices
The Arafura and Timor Seas are rich in gas and oil reserves, which have the potential to provide
high value to the communities of the ATS. However, the sector carries intrinsic risks; accidental
discharge or loss of crude oil from offshore platforms and wells, tankers and pipelines may result
in environmental impacts which can have significant flow-on economic and social impacts.
This SAP component is concerned with strengthening regional capacity to avoid and respond to
oil spill by enhancing regional coordination and developing regional-level capacity reducing the
incidence of oil spill, and in the case of a spill, minimising impacts by facilitating coordinated
regional response, capacities and resources.
TARGETS
Adoption of 1 x regional coordination mechanism and Framework Agreement for oil spill
preparedness and response in the ATS (process target)
TARGET INDICATORS:
2.1.1 Gap Assessment on Coordinate the Contribute to the gap Gap Assessment
oil spill preparedness delivery of the assessment on delivered
and response regional Gap national oil spill
regulations, capacities Assessment on oil preparedness and
and resources in the spill preparedness response regulations
ATS region (S,M) and response and capacities
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 24
2.1.2 Develop and adopt Based on Gap National-level Framework
a framework Assessment, commitments by Agreement / Joint
agreement and work coordinate the competent agencies Statement endorsed
programme for development and to contribute to the and implemented
transboundary adoption of a RSWG-OS and
cooperation on oil spill regional Joint Framework National
preparedness and Statement and Programme contributions to
response among the Framework Framework
ATS countries (S,H) Programme for ATS Develop/strengthen Agreement
transboundary and implement endorsed
cooperation on oil national and sub-
spill preparedness national policies,
and response laws, plans and
programs in support
of the regional
Framework
Programme, in line
with national targets,
priorities and needs
25 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
2.1.4 Develop regional Based on findings of Strengthen Regional oil spill
resources to support oil gap assessment, national oil spill information /
spill preparedness and develop resources – contingency plans knowledge sharing
response in the ATS these may include in concert with the system developed
region (M,M) joint regional oil
Support regional spill contingency Regional oil spill
sharing of data, plan (including early-warning /
knowledge and best monitoring and monitoring and
practices, and reporting system, reporting platform
develop resources & early warning established
lessons learned system and
response Joint Regional Oil
Design and develop a arrangements) Spill Contingency
regional early- Plan endorsed
warning / monitoring
and reporting Partnerships with oil
platform and gas industry and
oil spill response
Scope and progress if associations
appropriate the established
development of a
joint regional oil spill National Oil Spill
contingency plan, Contingency Plans
including joint oil created or aligned
spill risk assessment with Regional Plan
and modelling and
sensitivity mapping
Develop and/or
formalise
partnerships with oil
and gas industry and
oil spill response
associations
LINKAGES:
External:
International Convention on Civil Liability (CLC) for Oil Pollution Damage (IMO)
IOPC Funds Convention
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 26
SAP Component 3: Reducing the incidence of small-scale IUU fishing in
transboundary areas
TARGETS
At least 3 new agreements (e.g., FIP, management plans or community-based programs) created
to jointly manage fishing activity at identified IUU fishing hotspots in the ATS region (process
target)
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25-50% reductions in illegal fishing at three identified IUU fishing hotspot sites* (threat
reduction target)
At least 3* small-scale fisheries benefit from improved management and reduction of IUU
fishing* (socio-economic target)
At least 5,000 fisheries livelihood beneficiaries benefit from improved management, IUU fishing
reduction and alternative livelihoods* (socio-economic target)
TARGET INDICATORS:
Regional assessment on small scale transboundary IUU fishing; Number of transboundary SSF-
IUUF plans/agreements are developed and endorsed (process indicators)
Number of reported illegal fishing cases in identified SSF-IUUF hotspot sites (threat reduction
indicator)
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 28
Programs or Plans of plans, CB-POA, change adaptation TEK incorporated in
Action (CB-POA) to considering relevant actions and TEK (as agreements,
manage priority small- international and appropriate) Community-Based
scale transboundary regional Programs and
IUU fishing (M,H) commitments management plans
related to In identified SS-IUUF
combating IUU hotspot sites
fishing and
sustainable fisheries Adherence to
(e.g., NPOA-IUU, international and
FAO Code of regional
Conduct for commitments related
Responsible to combating IUU
Fisheries, etc.) fishing and
sustainable fisheries
Within agreements, (e.g., NPOA-IUU, FAO
fisheries Code of Conduct for
management Responsible Fisheries,
plans, CB-POA for etc.)
identified hotspots,
incorporate
principles of climate-
readiness, EAFM,
RBM, GESI, and
sustainable blue
economy
development etc.
29 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
Measures Agreements,
Local-level awareness etc.)
and capacity raising
activities to engage Fisheries indicators
fisher communities including landed catch
volumes, CPUE, stock
Implement relevant assessments, etc.
EAFM and Rights-
based Management
Plans developed
under ATSEA-2
ATS/SAP:
ATS EAFM Plan for Red Snapper
EXTERNAL:
Regional and National Plan(s) of Action to Promote Responsible Fishing Practices including
Combating Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated Fishing (RPOA-IUU, NPOA-IUU)
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 30
SAP Component 4: Increase resilience of regional populations of
endangered, threatened and protected (ETP) species and critical
habitats
Component Goal: Important regional populations of priority ETP species and their critical
habitats are stabilised
This project component is concerned with stabilising, and where possible recovering certain
populations of Endangered, Threatened and Protected (ETP) species known to utilise marine and
coastal habitats across the ATS region. The ATS region hosts ETP numerous species, including
dugong; six species of sea turtles (such as green turtle, hawksbill, loggerhead, leatherback, olive
ridley and flatback turtle); and several shark and ray species (such as largetooth sawfish, green
sawfish and whale shark). ETP species may be species on international listings, such as the
Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species (CITES), the Convention of Migratory
Species (CMS), and the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN), or those
recognised within national or sub-national legislative instruments and protected species lists.
The component incorporates actions which considers the needs of regional populations of
priority species. It also incorporates ‘area-based measures’ (including MPAs and other effective
area-based conservation measures, or ‘OECMs’) intended to safeguard critical habitats of those
species; such work will deliver broader benefits to a range of species, while in many cases also
safeguarding ecosystem functions that benefit people.
31 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE 4.1
Enhance collaborative management of priority transboundary or migratory
populations of ETP species
TARGETS
At least one new RAP developed for priority transboundary ETP species or species groups*
(process target)
At least 25% reduction in identified threats for prioritised ETP species** (threat reduction target)
Stable long-term trend in sea turtle nest counts / population census at selected ATS priority
sites (environmental status target)
Traditional Ecological Knowledge (TEK) incorporated in management systems for at least one
ETP species / species groups (socio-economic target)
[mid-term: additional targets related to ETP species may be developed for new priority groups**]
*other than sea turtles – already covered by ATS sea turtle RAP
**subject to ETP species prioritisation (4.1.2) and RAP targets, actions and priority sites (4.1.3)
TARGET INDICATORS:
Proportion of Sea Turtle RAP actions implemented; number of new RAP developed for priority
transboundary ETP species or species group (process indicators)
Percentage reduction in identified threats for prioritised ETP species (threat reduction
indicator)
Trend in sea turtle nest counts, population census at selected ATS priority sites (environmental
status indicators)
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 32
turtle National Plans transboundary population status,
of Action (NPOAs) aspects of AUS and Build awareness and biological data, turtle
(M,H) IND NPOAs capacity in relation to mortality from known
local monitoring and threats (e.g., observer
Scope opportunities bycatch handling of data), etc.
to support Papua sea turtles
New Guinea and New NPOAs scoped
Timor-Leste to Share relevant local for PNG and T-L
develop NPOAs for research and data and
sea turtles support further Population status and
studies and biological data from
Coordinate monitoring to help key sites identified in
additional baseline address information RAP
studies, mapping gaps
and monitoring of Available data on
sea turtles and turtle mortality from
critical habitats to known threats (e.g.,
address identified observer data)
gaps in the RAP
33 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
sharing platform on
Regional Support priority
collaborative collaborative transboundary ETP
research on TB and research and species
migratory information sharing
populations of ETP on regional Adherence of ATS
species transboundary ETP countries to
species in ATS relevant
Progress the international and
Convention on Climate-related regional
Migratory Species strategies commitments on
(CMS) across the considered in RAPs the protection of
ATS region and and NAPs for key and
other relevant priority ETP species endangered marine
policies species (CITES,
CMS, CTI, etc.)
through national
policies and laws
and enforcement
mechanisms
LINKAGES:
ATS/SAP:
Regional Action Plan for the Protection of Sea Turtles in the Arafura and Timor Seas (‘RAP’),
Themes 1-2 (regional) and 3-6 (national-level).
Theme 1: Addressing discards of fishing gear given the impacts on sea turtles
Theme 2: Establish funding mechanism
Theme 3: Addressing sea turtle bycatch in the Arafura Sea prawn fishery
Theme 4: Enhanced conservation of sea turtles in Timor-Leste
Theme 5: Enhanced conservation of sea turtles in Indonesia with a focus on Aru
Theme 6: Enhanced conservation of sea turtles in Papua New Guinea
EXTERNAL:
Convention on the Conservation of Migratory Species of Wild Animals (CMS)
Operational Objective 4.2 is concerned with protecting the critical habitats of ETP species
through the implementation of area-based management; primarily the implementation of a
regional network of marine protected areas (MPAs), as well as appropriate other effective (area-
based) conservation measures (OECMs). As environmental stresses on critical habitats mount,
establishment and effective management of a regionally representative network of MPAs and
OECMs can help to safeguard species by protecting habitats and maintaining connectivity. MPA
networks can help to protect ETP species and their critical habitats from the worst impacts of
climate change by reducing stresses, aiding adaptation (such as providing greater areas for
species’ movement to avoid stresses) and by boosting reproductive capacity in situ, supporting
repopulation across the region.
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 34
OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE 4.2
Build resilience of ATS critical habitats and ecosystems against climate change through
effective area-based management
TARGETS
70,000km2 of new MPAs gazetted (20% MPA coverage for ATS, up from 2023 baseline of
263,000km2, or 16% coverage) (process target)
10,000 km2 of new Other Effective (area-based) Conservation Measures (OECM) created
(process target)
- A new regional commitment to achieve 20-30% of ATS under effective area-based protection to
contribute to 30x30 ambition, incorporating both MPAs + OECMs (process target)
- Management effectiveness increases of at least 25% are observed in at least 25% of MPAs in the
ATS MPA network (threat reduction target)
25-30% of ATS critical habitats and ecosystems under effective area-based protection
(‘environmental status’ target)
TARGET INDICATORS:
% areal coverage of new MPAs and OECMs; regional commitment to contribute to 30x30
ambition (process indicators)
35 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
Regional network and protect Inclusion of
collaboration on critical habitats conservation of
delivery of agreed threatened and
elements of the ATS Promote alternative, migratory species in
MPA Network supplementary and MPA design (Area
Design sustainable livelihoods allocated for the
associated with MPAs protection of ETP
Develop guidance species & ETP critical
for incorporating Incorporate TEK in habitats)
Traditional MPA planning and
Ecological management MPA management
Knowledge (TEK) in effectiveness (e.g.,
MPA management EVIKA, METT)
Coordinate regional
capacity building
and exchanges in
support of the ATS
MPA network
4.2.2 Improve Identify and assess Contribute data and Number of ETP critical
resilience of ETP ETP critical habitats expertise to habitat assessments
species by protecting outside MPAs assessments undertaken
identified critical
habitats outside of Regional Develop and Number of ETP species
MPAs (M,H) assessment of implement OECM covered by
OECM (Other opportunities to Assessments
Effective Area based increase protection
Conservation of critical habitats Number of OECM
Measures) plans developed
opportunities to Integrate local (incorporating TEK
protect critical knowledge and as appropriate)
habitats Traditional Ecological
Knowledge (TEK) in
management of
critical habitats
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 36
adaptation strategies Decision-makers’
(M,H) (CCVA Guide) Develop and
implement local
adaptation strategies
at priority sites based
on CCVAs
Capacity building on
climate change
adaptation based on
the Guide for
Facilitators and
Decision-makers
LINKAGES:
ATS/SAP:
MPA Network Design and Roadmap
EXTERNAL:
Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) / Kunming-Montreal Global biodiversity framework
(GBF)
National Biodiversity Strategies and Action Plans (NBSAP)
Climate change objectives are included to ensure that climate change is effectively
mainstreamed in the implementation of this SAP (i.e. in addition to specific climate change
priority actions outlined in Components 1-4).
Gender, equity and social inclusion (GESI) objectives are also incorporated to ensure that GESI
considerations and practices are mainstreamed in the implementation of this SAP.
Climate change is recognised as a driver (or a set of related drivers) of the transboundary
environmental issues outlined in the TDA. To varying degrees, climate change is relevant to the
four SAP components – both from a mitigation perspective (reducing regional contributions to
the anthropogenic causes of climate change) and with regards to adaptation (reducing or
managing the impacts of climate change within the system bounds).
Accordingly, climate change has been considered throughout the development of this plan,
and in the design of SAP priority actions. This is to ensure that SAP actions are both resilient in
the face of climate change impacts, and adaptive enough to respond to changing conditions.
37 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
Many of the specific climate-related drivers exist beyond the bounds of the ATS system and may
therefore not be adequately addressed by the SAP. However, this SAP incorporates both
mitigation and adaptation responses that are possible within the ATS.
The Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment (CCVA) conducted by ATSEA-2 for the ATS region
identified species, habitats, and fisheries vulnerable to future climate change, and identified local
vulnerability ‘hotspots’ where impacts may be more pronounced. Further, a suite of potential
social and economic impacts has been identified through causal chain analyses; these included
coastal inundation and salination, increased risk of loss of property in coastal areas, increased risk
of damage to maritime and coastal infrastructure, food insecurity and public health impacts.
Annex 5 highlights some of the key impacts of climate change in relation to the priority
transboundary issues identified.
The following general approaches have been integrated within the SAP framework design, in
order to support a climate change response in SAP implementation:
Dealing with uncertainty – this plan has been designed in such a way that it is implementable
even where uncertainties exist (such as the severity or timeframes of certain climate change
impacts)
No-regrets options – this plan incorporates measures that are of benefit regardless of the extent
to which climate change impacts are realised
Integration measures – this plan incorporates integrated approaches, including ICM, marine
spatial planning, and land-sea connectivity, all of which can support climate change mitigation
and adaptation measures
Mitigation and adaptation – this plan incorporates mitigation measures (such as the protection
of carbon-rich coastal ecosystems) alongside measures which support adaptation to the impacts
of climate change
The table below highlights specific SAP objectives, targets and priority actions in support of
climate change mainstreaming:
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OPERATIONAL OBJECTIVE CC.1
Effective mainstreaming of climate change response in SAP implementation
TARGETS
Implementation plans for Components 1-4 with climate-related actions (process target)
TARGET INDICATORS:
Support the
production of high
resolution CCVAs for
new
implementation
sites
39 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
CC.1.3 Implement Refer to Annex 5 Refer to Annex 5 Component 1-4 actions
climate-specific and outputs showing
priority actions in climate change-related
Components 1-4 responses
Mainstreaming a GESI approach within the SAP not only benefits those marginalised groups who
may be impacted by transboundary problems, it also increases the effectiveness of SAP
governance and implementation.
For example, it can support women’s improved access to resources, support the use of
traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) in resource management, ensure that policy encompasses
the specific resource needs of a wide range of user groups, or ensure representative decision-
making that includes a diversity of views, expertise and local knowledge.
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 40
ATSEA: GESI Progress to date:
• Regional GESI Survey and Assessment focused on ATSEA-2 project sites, with country
information
• Regional GESI Action Plan with monitoring and reporting guidance tools: Currently
tailored to address specific targets/initiatives under ATSEA-2; Can serve as reference
for development of a GESI Action Plan for SAP
• Site-specific Action Plans for Aru and Rote Ndao, Indonesia and linked to EAFM Plan
and ICM program implementation; Can serve as example/reference for local GESI
mainstreaming linked to integrated management approaches
• Targeted GESI initiatives where higher impact and effectiveness are envisioned
• Detailed assessments of the impacts of transboundary problems along gender lines
(including through the use of causal chain analyses)
• Production of gender-sensitive regional thematic assessments
This progress provides a strong basis for the mainstreaming of GESI in the 2024-2033 ATS SAP.
The table below highlights specific SAP objectives, targets and priority actions in support of GESI
mainstreaming:
TARGETS
Women represent at least 50% of beneficiaries of project livelihood activities and outcomes
(socio-economic target)
TARGET INDICATORS:
Specific project participation targets for women, Indigenous Peoples (IPs) and other identified
groups outlined in GESI Action Plan (socio-economic indicator)
GESI.1.1 Mainstream GESI Update the ATSEA Incorporate GESI ATSEA GESI Action
considerations in SAP GESI Action Plan Action Plans in Plan 2024-2033
governance and Social Inclusion updated NAPs
Framework to
support
implementation of
ATS-SAP 2024-2033
41 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
Develop SOP/Guide GESI mainstreamed in
for mainstreaming SAP and NAPs
GESI in SAP and planning and
NAPs planning and implementation as
implementation reflected in M&E
reports
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 42
CHAPTER 4. SAP GOVERNANCE AND IMPLEMENTATION
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Good governance is an essential foundation for the implementation of this SAP, and more
broadly, for the management of large marine ecosystems in support of a vibrant and sustainable
regional blue economy. Similarly, robust frameworks for project management, implementation
and monitoring are essential for successful delivery, along with the mainstreaming of cross-
cutting concerns outlined in Section 3 (Climate Change, and GESI). The following section outlines
the approaches, mechanisms and processes that will be followed in order to implement this SAP.
A comprehensive governance framework for ATSEA was designed and endorsed1 by the RSC. This
framework builds on the first Ministerial Declaration, and incorporates the following key entities:
A Council of Ministers composed of Ministers from Country focal ministries, which will serve as
the highest decision-making body for the regional collaboration, providing overall direction and
priorities in line with the founding purpose of ATSEF/ATSEA;
A Regional Coordination Committee (RCC) composed of National Focal Points/Chair from each
National Coordination Committee, which will serve as the regional policy and decision-making
body to coordinate formulation of supporting programs and operational policies for the
implementation of the SAP
A Regional Secretariat which will handle day-to-day coordination with the different entities of
the RGM, including provision of technical, secretarial, monitoring and reporting services in
support of SAP implementation.
Regional Stakeholder Working Group (RSWG) will provide expert/technical and cross issue
advice to the Regional Coordination Committee (RCC) and may be organized in line with the
Components of the Updated SAP. The RSWG may include representatives from NSWGs and ATS
governments, selected regional experts, NGO, university, community/traditional
owners/women’s groups, private sector and development partners.
Strategic Development Partners will be engaged to support and fund targeted projects
contributing to SAP implementation.
1
The Regional Governance Mechanism (RGM) for ATSEA was endorsed by the RSC at the July 2023 intersessional meeting.
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 44
Figure 4 – ATS Regional Governance Mechanism (RGM)
The Regional Coordination Committee will have overall responsibility for the implementation of
the SAP, including the creation and endorsement of work programmes and plans, overseeing
Monitoring, Evaluation and Reporting (MER), and resource allocation. The Regional Secretariat
may support SAP implementation by creating and supporting Regional Stakeholder Working
Groups (RSWGs) for programme components, effectively creating regional ‘teams’ to oversee
implementation, coordination and component-level MER.
National Action Programmes (NAPs) may also be created to identify and align specific national-
level actions with the regional-level objectives and priority actions outlined in the ATS-SAP
2024-2033.
Objective G.1 is focused on creating and sustaining the regional coordination mechanisms,
structures and processes required to effectively implement the SAP programme of work; this
includes the creation and operation of appropriate coordination and management components
including working groups within the regional governance mechanism, the development of 5-year
implementation plans and annual work plans, the development of monitoring and evaluation and
adaptive management systems, and processes to ensure inclusivity.
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As a key enabling mechanism, the governance priority actions and targets are anticipated to be
established within the initial three years of the program's inception, and are envisioned to
continue to support the sustainable implementation of the SAP.
TARGETS
TARGET INDICATORS:
G.1.1 Establish regional Operationalise the RCC Operationalise the RGM established and
coordinating and Regional national coordination operational with
mechanisms, enabling Secretariat to serve as and management supporting staff and
frameworks and funding the regional mechanism to support financial support
mechanisms, to coordination and the planning and secured
coordinate planning and management implementation of the
implementation, and mechanism for the SAP and NAPs (including RSWG established and
adaptive management planning and NCC, National operational
of SAP implementation of the Secretariat and National
SAP Stakeholder Working 5-year SAP and NAP
Groups) Implementation plans
Establish and and annual work plans
operationalise RSWG Develop appropriate adopted by the RCC and
to provide multi- enabling frameworks NCCs
sectoral and expert and policies to support
inputs to the planning SAP implementation # RCC, RSWG, NCC,
and implementation of NSWG meetings
the SAP components conducted
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 46
or outcomes influence
Establish partnerships policies or strategies
with Development
Partners to provide Level of multisectoral
targeted support to involvement in
SAP (and NAPs) RSWG/NSWG (NGOs,
implementation women’s groups,
private sector, etc.)
Implement the
Investment and # Cooperation
Financing Strategy and agreements or joint
Plan in order to secure projects with
financing Development Partners
support/commitments in support of SAP/NAPs
to sustain RGM implementation
operations
Organize regular
meetings/forums to
share progress and
impacts of
implementation of
priority regional and
national actions and
agree on ways forward
G1.2 SAP collaborative Facilitate 5-year SAP 5-year SAP and NAP 5-year SAP and NAP
planning and adaptive implementation implementation implementation plans
management planning and annual planning and annual work plans
review prepared
Annual workplans
Facilitate creation of Reports on annual, 5-
annual workplans and year, and 10-year SAP
budgets progress reviews (and
responses to
Conduct strategic recommendations)
reviews of SAP and
NAPs priorities, priority
actions and targets
(after 5 and 10 years
based on monitoring
report, or as requested
by RCC)
G1.3 Programme Develop and implement Regular monitoring and SAP M&E reports
Monitoring and comprehensive M&E evaluation of NAP prepared and
Evaluation and reporting system to implementation at NCC disseminated at
support SAP level, and reporting to specified frequencies
implementation, RCC in appropriate formats
47 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
assessment and (for RCC and key
adaptive management stakeholders)
Package and
disseminate M&E
results to key targets
Present progress
reviews of SAP in RCC
and Ministerial
Meetings
Knowledge
management
A detailed five-year implementation plan will be developed to facilitate ongoing delivery of the
priority actions and supporting activities outlined in the SAP. The SAP implementation plan will
link to National Action Plans (NAPs), and serve as the basis for annual workplans and budgets. It
will also link SAP priority actions and activities to the Monitoring and Reporting System.
Further, in consultation with ATS member countries, a series of SAP concept notes has been
developed to expedite implementation of key aspects and foundational activities of the SAP, to
develop ‘proof of concept’ for key approaches, and to facilitate engagement with potential
funders and stakeholders.
Implementation planning will be informed by an updated Theory of Change (ToC) with detailed
results chains, intermediate outcomes, and updated assumptions, which will be developed
following the RSC endorsement of the SAP. This will help to ensure that activities are well-
targeted in terms of meeting SAP objectives, and that monitoring and evaluation of SAP
implementation is able to measure impact at appropriate levels (regional, national, sub-national).
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4.3.2. SAP Financing
As part of the regional response to the identified environmental issues outlined in Components 1-
4, financial, human and institutional resources will be mobilised. The following section outlines
the approach to be taken to identify and commit the resources required for successful SAP
implementation.
The financing plan will be developed based on a financial landscape assessment, detailed cost-
benefit analysis (CBA), a 5-year cost estimate, extensive stakeholder consultation and preliminary
identification of potential sources of funding and in-kind contributions, appropriate mechanisms
and governance arrangements for financial management. Further, annual budgeting and financial
planning will be required to provide detailed budgets in support of annual SAP action plans.
• Estimated contributions from national and subnational budgets (including existing and
pipeline programs or funded projects that align with updated SAP);
• identification of financing gaps; and
• potential alternative financing opportunities through public-private partnerships, donor
funding, and other arrangements.
During the SAP implementation period, ATSEA will also continue to support financing efforts
through new initiatives including engagement with potential funders and new funding
opportunities, partnering with the private sector and other actions, exploring emerging
financing instruments and supporting littoral countries in their efforts to do the same. In doing
so, it will be important to highlight the broad benefits of SAP financing, and frame them in the
context of the regional blue economy.
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4.3.3. Capacity Building
ATSEA recognises the importance of building capacity for the wide range of individuals,
organisations, and institutions responsible for the ongoing management of the ATS region.
Emerging challenges and changing conditions demand an ongoing commitment to building
capability across a range of disciplines, including fisheries management, coastal zone
management, community engagement, administration, law enforcement, and science and
community engagement. This capacity development must occur at all levels, from community-
level and resource user, to managers of relevant government agencies, and political leaders.
Priority actions contained in this SAP that include capacity building actions include: 1.1.4, 1.2.2, 2.1.3,
3.1.3, 3.1.4, 4.1.1, 4.2.1
It is recommended that the above actions are used to inform the development of a detailed and
integrated regional capacity building plan. This will initially focus on the capacity needs of the
RGM at regional and national levels, to directly support SAP implementation. Expansion of this
capacity building scope to a broader set of stakeholders will also be considered as SAP
implementation progresses, particularly at SAP priority implementation sites.
Objective G.2 is focused on mobilising the financial and human resources required to implement
the SAP. Further detail on sustainable financing for the SAP is also outlined in the SAP Financing
Plan.
TARGETS
TARGET INDICATORS
Funds raised to support SAP implementation, number of persons receiving capacity building
(process indicators)
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 50
G.2.1 Funding and SAP Financing Plan activities outlined in
financing (S, H) [LINK] the SAP Financing Financing
Plan contributions
Promote the
SAP/NAPs and Streamline priority External funds raised
financing plans for actions in the SAP and
mainstreaming in the NAPs into national
planning and short, medium and
financing framework long-term planning
of the countries and and budget
potential partners at frameworks
the regional and
national levels Develop national/sub-
national programs/
Identify and projects in support of
coordinate the SAP and NAPs
opportunities for
project development Develop partnerships
for submission to with the private
donors and/or sector in support of
Strategic SAP/NAPs
Development implementation
Partners
Identify and
consolidate good
practices and
approaches in
developing
innovative financing
mechanisms for
potential application
in support of
SAP/NAPs
implementation
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4.4. Programme Implementation Risk
A detailed risk assessment was conducted for the SAP, which highlights key risks associated with
SAP implementation (Annex 7). The risks were categorized according to the following
categories: 1) social and environmental; 2) financial; 3) operational; 4) organisational; 5) political;
and 6) regulatory. These categories were based on the UNDP Managing Risks Across UNDP
Programming and Operations Guide Notes. Proposed mitigation measures for the key risks were
also identified in Annex 7.
While it is challenging to accurately forecast risks over a ten-year planning horizon, it is expected
that many of the risks will remain relevant. Nonetheless, periodic reviews of the risk assessments
will be conducted according to the SAP Monitoring and Reporting System; this will facilitate
timely management of risks, as well as identification of emerging risks and corresponding
management measures.
The following initiatives will be employed to ensure effective stakeholder engagement and
communication in support of SAP implementation:
A SAP Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) system has been developed to support the
implementation of this SAP. The M&E system provides the structure, methodologies and
workflows needed by the RCC to achieve the following M&E objectives:
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 52
• Provide ‘feedback’ in the form of data that can be used to support adaptive
management.
The M&E Plan will be reviewed and updated in line with the ToC and detailed results chains that
will be developed for the SAP.
At the level of goal and objective, this SAP employs the following target and indicator types
adapted from GEF International Waters guidance. These indicators will be used to measure the
impact of SAP interventions within and across jurisdictions, for the life of the project, and in some
cases (such as with Environmental Status Indicators) beyond end-of-project.
Threat Reduction Indicators: Indicators that relate to the specific on-ground measures are being
carried out to reduce environmental stressors.
Environmental Status Indicators: these identify changes that have occurred within the natural
system or ecosystem as a result of the intervention. Such indicators may require a long time before
change is realised.
Socio-economic Indicators: indicators that capture changes occurring within communities (at
various levels, including individual, household, association or government area) as a result of the
intervention
53 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
analysing and responding to ‘feedback’ from the system generated by data, reports, stakeholder
consultation and other mechanisms – this feedback is analysed to learn how interventions are
performing against set targets, what might be influencing this performance, and how
expectations may be met or adjusted given changing conditions.
Key to adaptive management is the ability to alter the plan depending on this feedback – in some
instances, priorities, objectives and targets may need to be re-evaluated or revised (either up or
down), methodologies adapted to suit changing conditions, and timeframes adjusted to allow for
unexpected delays, or assumptions reviewed. This is particularly important for a programme
with a long-time horizon, such as this SAP.
Lastly, contained within the SAP plan are a number of technical assessments that will precipitate
further decisions, particularly those regarding selection of priority sites or demonstration area,
and further selection of future ecological targets (including selection of priority ETP groups, and
area-based management targets). Based on these assessments, any subsequent decisions on the
selection of further actions, sites and investments will be led by the RCC with technical inputs
provided by the RSWGs as requested.
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 54
CHAPTER 5. ANNEXES
55 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
1. References and resources
2. SAP updating process
3. SAP contributors
4. SAP shared principles and approaches
5. SAP climate change impacts and responses
6. Summary of SAP targets
7. Risk assessment
8. Theory of Change
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 56
Annex 1 – References and resources
Transboundary Diagnostic Analysis and Strategic Action Programme (TDA-SAP)
ATSEA-2 (2023) Transboundary Diagnostic Analysis
Theory of Change for the Arafura and Timor Seas Ecosystem Action Phase 2 (ATSEA-2) Project
(2021)
Strategic Action Programme for the Arafura and Timor Seas, ATSEA Program (2012)
ATS Atlas
Arafura and Timor Seas Atlas 2023 (ATSEA-2, 2023)
Climate change
Assessing the Vulnerability of the Arafura and Timor Seas Region to Climate Change (Johnson
et al., 2021)
Guide for Facilitators and Decision-Makers: Incorporating Regional Climate Change Results
into local action planning (Johnson et al., 2023)
Component 1
IMO 2017 Guidelines on the Implementation of MARPOL Annex 5
Global Partnership for Marine Litter (GPML/UNEP)
IMO 2017 Guidelines on the Implementation of MARPOL Annex 5
IMO Action Plan to Address Marine Plastic Litter from Ships (Outcome 1)
FAO Code of Conduct for Responsible Fisheries (1995)
FAO Voluntary Guidelines on the Marking of Fishing Gear
Global Partnership for Marine Litter (GPML/UNEP)
Global Ghost Gear Initiative
Relevant Regional Fisheries Management Organisations (RFMOs)
Component 2
International Convention on Civil Liability (CLC) for Oil Pollution Damage (IMO)
IOPC Funds Convention
57 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
Component 3
FAO Voluntary Guidelines for Securing Sustainable Small-scale Fisheries
Regional Plan of Action-Illegal, Unreported and Unregulated Fishing
Component 4
Convention on the Conservation of Migratory Species of Wild Animals (CMS)
Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD) Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework
National Biodiversity Strategies and Action Plans (NBSAP):
Australia NBSAP
Indonesia NBSAP
Papua New Guinea NBSAP
Timor-Leste NBSAP
Other references
Managing Risks Across UNDP Programming and Operations Guidance Note September
2019
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Annex 2 – SAP updating process
Table 3 – Key steps and timeline of SAP creation, 2021-2023
Data gathering and preparation of draft CSRs (Dec. 2021-July 2022) included the preparation of
Country Synthesis Reports consolidating data and information on ecological, socio-economic and
governance status, trends, issues and opportunities in the ATS region. CSRs were prepared with
the support of national consultants, to serve as key references in identifying priority
transboundary issues and updating the TDA.
National working groups (NWGs) and a regional working group (RWG) were established, with
representation of various sectors and disciplines to determine priority transboundary issues, and
to provide and facilitate regional and national inputs and perspectives to TDA/SAP updating.
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Causal Chain Analyses (CCA) were conducted for identified issues, to establish causality for key
issues and to inform the identification of leverage points.
Regional thematic assessments conducted by ATSEA-2 were also considered, including fisheries
assessments, mapping of critical habitats and ecosystems, pollution assessments and a regional
climate vulnerability assessment.
Transboundary Diagnostic Analysis (2023 revision) were developed with the Regional Working
Group during 2022-2023. and endorsed by the RSC in July 2023. The revised TDA identifies the key
transboundary issues affecting the ATS, informing the core components of the updated ATS-SAP
2024-2033.
SAP Strategic Thinking around SAP priorities was facilitated through a series of national and
regional workshops held between February and May of 2023 to identify key issues, align with
national priorities and to begin to develop the framework for the updated SAP.
SAP Strategic Planning to develop the SAP targets and priority actions followed via a series of
planning workshops held at national and regional levels
SAP endorsement resulted from a final round of consultations with ATSEA countries in August
and September 2023, after which a final draft of the updated ATS-SAP (2024-2033) was presented
to the RSC.
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Annex 3 – SAP contributors
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Dr. Novi Senior Geospatial Directorate of Coastal Area
Susetyo Adi Analyst and Small Islands Utilization,
Ministry of Marine Affairs and
Fisheries (MMAF)
Mr. Eko Susilo Fisheries Institute for Marine Research
Oceanography and Observation, Ministry of
Marine Affairs and Fisheries
(MMAF)
Ms. Sitti Coordinator for Bureau of Public Relations
Hamdiyah Regional and and Foreign Cooperation,
Multilateral Ministry of Marine Affairs and
Cooperation Fisheries (MMAF)
Mr. Marcus Policy Analyst, Bureau of Public Relations
Daniel Regional and and Foreign Cooperation,
Wicaksono Multilateral Ministry of Marine Affairs and
Cooperation Bureau Fisheries (MMAF)
Dr. Ir. Zainal Senior Researcher National Research and
Arifin, M.Sc* Innovation Agency (BRIN)
Dr. Dedi Senior Researcher Research Center for Society
Supriadi and Culture, National
Adhuri* Research and Innovation
Agency (BRIN)
Dr. Fery Coordinator for Directorate for Fish Resource
Sutyawan* Management Group Management, MMAF
for Inland Marine,
Territorial and
Archipelagic Waters
Mr. Aris Fisheries Directorate for Fish Resource
Budiarto Management Management, Ministry of
Marine Affairs and Fisheries
(MMAF)
Mr. Aris Fisheries Directorate for Fish Resource
Budiarto Management Management, Ministry of
Marine Affairs and Fisheries
(MMAF)
Mr. Rizal Rifai Fisheries Analyst Directorate for Fish Resource
Management, Ministry of
Marine Affairs and Fisheries
(MMAF)
Mr. Eko Sub-coordinator of Directorate of fishing vessel
Prasetyo Budi Fisheries Production and fishing gear, Ministry of
Management Marine Affairs and Fisheries
(MMAF)
Mr. Jotham Lecturer Nusa Cendana University,
Ninef Kupang
Ms. Norce Lecturer Musamus University, Merauke
Mote
Dr. James Lecturer Pattimura University, Maluku
Abrahamsz
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 62
Dr. Lecturer Diponegoro University,
Muhammad Semarang
Helmi
Ir. Iman Head of Marine and Provincial Maritime Affairs
Djuniawal Fisheries Provincial and Fisheries Agency, Papua
Agency Province
Mr. Absalom Local government Regional Maritime Affairs and
Solossa Fisheries Office, Papua
Province
Ms. Sherley S. Local government Provincial Research and
Wila Huky Development Agency.
NTT Province
Dr. Erawan Head of Marine and Provincial Marine Affairs and
Asikin Fisheries Provincial Fisheries Agency, Maluku
Agency Province
Dr. Yonvitner National Consultant Center for Coastal and Marine
– Indonesia / Director Resources Studies, IPB
University
Papua New Mr. Leban Deputy Managing National Fisheries Authority
Guinea Gisawa Director (NFA)
Mr. Noan Former Deputy National Fisheries Authority
Pakop Managing (NFA)
Director/Special
Advisor to the
Managing Director
Mr. Terence Manager – Coastal National Fisheries Authority
Kedamwana Fisheries (NFA)
Mr. Rickson Coastal fisheries National Fisheries Authority
Lis* expert (NFA)
Mr. Jeff Kinch Fisheries National Fisheries College
management and (NFC)
training
Ms. Nancy Legal Counsel National Fisheries Authority
Taka (NFA)
Mr. Vagi Rei* Manager – Marine Conservation and Environnent
Ecosystems Protection Authority (CEPA)
Ms. Officer – Marine Conservation and Environnent
Phelameya Ecosystems Protection Authority (CEPA)
Haiveta
Dr. Augustine Professor – Marine University of PNG (UPNG)
Mungkaje Science
Dr. Ralph Professor – Marine University of PNG (UPNG)
Mana* Science
63 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
Ms. Selma Aquaculture – South PNG Sustainable
Pamolak Fly Agribusiness Development Program
Mr. Jonathon Marine and fisheries Wildlife Conservation Society
Booth research and
conservation
Mr. Gabriel Senior Compliance National Maritime and Safety
Poiya and Monitoring Authority
Officer
Ms. Grace Acting Director – Department of Justice and
Kaue Office of Ocean Attorney General
Affairs
Timor-Leste Mr. Acacio Former Director Director General for Fisheries,
Guterres General, Senior Aquaculture and Marine
Officer Resources, Ministry of
Agriculture, Livestock,
Fisheries and Forestry
(MALFF)
Mr. Celestino Director General for Ministry of Agriculture,
da Cunha Fisheries, Livestock, Fisheries and
Barreto* Aquaculture and Forestry (MALFF)
Marine Resources
Mr. Horacio National Director for Ministry of Agriculture,
Guterres Technical Research Livestock, Fisheries and
and Aquaculture Forestry (MALFF)
Mr. Pedro Senior Officer Ministry of Agriculture,
Rodrigues Livestock, Fisheries and
Forestry (MALFF)
Dr. Mario Lecturer National University of Timor-
Cabral* Leste (UNTL)
Prof. Dean, Agriculture Universidade Oriental de
Roumaldo Faculty Timor Lorosa’e (UNITAL)
Ximenes
Mr. Marito Senior Technical, Director General for Fisheries,
Filipe Fisheries and Marine Aquaculture and Marine
Science Resources, MALFF
Mr. Chief of Department Director General for Fisheries,
Constancio for Marine Spatial Aquaculture and Marine
dos Santos Planning and Aquatic Resources, MALFF
Resource
Management
Mr. Nelson National Director for Directorate General for
Madeira Pollution Control Environment, Ministry of
Economic Affairs, Tourism and
the Environment
Mr. Antonio Technical Staff Forum ONG Timor-Leste
De Limas (FONGTIL)
Ms. Alda Gender Focal Point Director General for Fisheries,
Sousa Lemos Aquaculture and Marine
da Rosa* Resources, MALFF
STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033 | 64
Ms. Climate Change, Consultant
Bernadete da Fisheries and Gender
Fonseca* Specialist
65 | STRATEGIC ACTION PROGRAMME (SAP) FOR THE ARAFURA AND TIMOR SEAS REGION 2024-2033
Ms. Aimee Executive Director PEMSEA Resource Facility
Gonzales
ATSEA-2 PROJECT TEAMS
NCU Mr. Dwi National Project UNDP Indonesia
INDONESIA Ariyoga Coordinator
Gautama
Mr. David M&E Specialist UNDP Indonesia
Kuntel
Ms. Laeli GESI Specialist UNDP Indonesia
Sukmahayani
NCU PAPUA Mr. Kenneth National Project ATSEA-2 NCU – PNG
NEW GUINEA Yhuanje Coordinator
Mr. Joseph Admin and Finance ATSEA-2 NCU – PNG
Kiningi Officer
NCU TIMOR Mr. Expedito National Project UNDP Timor Leste
LESTE Roberto Belo Coordinator
Ms. Dominica Monitoring and UNDP Timor Leste
Guterres Evaluation Assistant
Ms. Ines Da Admin and Finance UNDP Timor Leste
Costa Pereira Officer
RPMU
ATSEA-2 Dr. Handoko Regional ATSEA-2 RPMU
RPMU Adi Susanto Project Manager
Ms. Cristine Policy and Results- ATSEA-2 RPMU
Ingrid S. based Management
Narcise Specialist
Ms. Kathrine Project M & E ATSEA-2 RPMU
Rose G. Specialist
Aguiling
Ms. Casandra Regional Biodiversity ATSEA-2 RPMU
Tania Specialist
Ms. Deti Marine Technical ATSEA-2 RPMU
Triani Assistant
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Annex 4 – SAP shared principles and approaches
In implementing the SAP (and related initiatives including NAPs), ATSEA adopts the following
principles and approaches:
Principle of Sovereignty
ATSEA recognises that under international law, all states may govern and control all activities and
exert their sovereign rights within territories within their sovereignty, including territorial waters.
Precautionary Approach
ATSEA adopts the Precautionary Approach as espoused in the 1992 Rio Declaration, which states
that “where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty
shall not be used as a reason for postponing cost-effective measures to prevent environmental
degradation” and the Convention of Biological Diversity (CBD) which stipulates that “where
there is a threat of significant reduction or loss of biological diversity, lack of full scientific
certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing measures to avoid or minimize such a
threat.”
United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) provides for the equitable sharing of
financial benefits derived from activities in a defined area. And the Convention on Biological
Diversity (CBD) provides for the fair and equitable sharing of benefits” arising from the utilization
of genetic resources.
ATSEA recognises international legal standards with relation to equality that aim to ensure that:
- women and girls are able to access and enjoy, equally with men and boys, their civil,
political, economic, social, and cultural rights;
- recognise that factors such as age, language, ethnicity, race, caste, culture, religion,
disability, family and socio-economic status, and rural or urban background can create
additional barriers to equality (including gender equality)
ATSEA recognises that all people have the right to participate in and access information relating
to the decision-making processes that affect their lives and well-being.
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Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC)
Consistent with international human rights standards, ATSEA recognises the principle of FPIC
that states that all peoples have the right to self-determination and have the right to freely
pursue their economic, social and cultural development.
Consistent with international law, ATSEA recognises the rights of ATS member countries to prior
notice, consultation and negotiation in cases where a proposed use of the shared water body
(ATS) may cause harm to their rights and interests
Also embodied in the SAP design are integrated resource management approaches including;
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Annex 5 – Climate change impacts and SAP responses (by SAP
component)
The following table outlines the various measures by which climate change impacts may be
addressed by the SAP; specific priority actions from the SAP are listed in the ‘specific responses
columns.
Greenhouse gases (GHG) are emitted throughout Actions to reduce production and use of plastics
the plastic life cycle. Estimates indicate that GHG will reduce carbon footprint/GHG emissions
emissions from plastics could reach about 13% of (Priority Action 1.1.4)
the entire remaining carbon budget by 2050
Actions to prevent plastics from reaching the
Plastic in the oceans may interfere with the oceans marine environment will improve or maintain the
capacity to absorb and sequester carbon dioxide ocean’s ability to sequester CO2 and potentially
slow down climate change and impacts on
Plastic pollution can alter habitats and natural biodiversity (Priority Actions 1.1.1, 1.1.2, 1.1.4, 1.2.1)
processes, reducing ecosystems' adaptive capacity
(with livelihood implications for those dependent
on marine ecosystems) Integrate climate change measures into policies
and planning (Priority Action 1.1.1)
Rising water temperatures and acidification may
contribute to the rate of degradation of marine
plastics (resulting in ‘microplastics’ that can be Development and implementation of source to
ingested by marine organisms) sea/integrated /circular economy approaches,
plans, programs (with CC consideration) - (Priority
Extreme events caused by climate change may Action 1.1.2, 1.2.1)
contribute to higher frequency of lost or damaged
fishing gears (ALDFG)
Data/monitoring systems (with CC-related info)
(Priority Action 1.1.5)
Increasing severity of storms and extreme Assess preparedness of oil facilities and
weather events may increase the likelihood of infrastructure, and oil spill preparedness and
accidents or technical failures, such as oil spills response systems, to extreme weather events and
from refineries, extraction/drilling rigs, or oil in other climate change impacts (Priority Action 2.1.1,
transport. Responding to spills resulting from 2.1.2, 2.1.3, 2.1.4)
extreme weather/climate change events may also
be complicated by these factors Develop comprehensive risk assessments that
consider climate change risks and identify
infrastructure vulnerabilities in coastal and
offshore regions (Priority Action 2.1.1, 2.1.2,)
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Decision support tools to integrate the oil
transport and weathering model within response
planning (Priority Action 2.1.3, 2.1.4)
CCVA indicates that nearshore fisheries habitats Transboundary SSF-IUUF hotspot assessment
including coral reefs and mangroves are most at considering impacts of climate change to SS
risk from thermal stress. There is a high fishers/fisheries (Priority Action 3.1.1)
correlation between the spatial distribution of
these most vulnerable fisheries habitats and the Development and implementation of CB-POAs
fisheries activities’ of coastal small-scale fishers. incorporating actions to strengthen resilience and
adaptive capacity of SSF to impacts of CC (Priority
More frequent extreme weather events and Action 3.1.2)
rougher sea conditions will increase likelihood of
damage to fishing boats and gear, port facilities Ongoing use of climate change vulnerability
and infrastructure, and may exacerbate safety-at- assessments (CCVA) at priority assessments to
sea issues for fishers using small vessels obtain high resolution information on
vulnerability at species and ecosystem levels
Algal blooms and ciguatera fish poisoning are (Priority Action 3.1.1)
projected to increase with rising water
temperatures, potentially creating issues for
public health and marketability of product
Climate change may affect some ETP species ETP species action plans shall be developed by
populations negatively in one or more of several considering climate change impacts (Priority
ways; altered or degraded habitats or Action 4.1.1, 4,1,3)
environmental conditions, reduced reproduction
success, number of offspring, altered migration
routes, altered foraging habitats and prey-predator New MPAs establishment (including MPA
relationships, management plans) shall consider the impacts of
climate change (Priority Action 4.2.1, 4.2.3)
Reduced ecosystem function and health at critical
habitats (i.e. coral reefs, mangroves, and seagrass)
due to environmental factors including (but not Other effective (area-based) conservation
limited to): altered oceanographic cycles, sea level measures (OECMs) may be designated to protect
rise, altered coastal/shoreline processes, altered environmental values such as critical habitats
ocean chemistry (including acidification), thermal (Priority Action 4.2.1, 4.2.2)
stress, altered rainfall patterns
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Annex 6 – SAP targets
Adoption of 1x
Regional
Action Plan
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(RAP) to
combat ALDFG
Component 2: Operational Adoption of 1 x
Preventing and objective 2.1: regional
responding to Strengthen coordination
oil spills regional mechanism
coordination and
and capacities Framework
on oil spill Agreement for
preparedness oil spill
and response preparedness
and response
in the ATS
Component 3: Operational A new regional 25-50% At least 3*
Reducing the objective 3.1: assessment of reductions in small-scale
incidence of Create small-scale illegal fishing fisheries
small-scale IUU effective transboundary at three secured
fishing in agreements IUU fishing is identified through
transboundary and incentives completed for IUU fishing improved
areas to improve the ATS hotspot sites management
management (subject to and
of small-scale findings of the reduction of
regional
fisheries IUU fishing
assessment of
operating small-scale IUU) (subject to
illegally in findings of the
regional
transboundary
assessment of
areas small-scale IUU
fishing)
At least 3 new At least 5,000
transboundary fisheries
agreements livelihood
(e.g., FIP, beneficiaries
management benefit from
plans or improved
community- management,
based IUU fishing
programs) reduction
created at and
identified alternative
hotspot sites livelihoods
(subject to
findings of the
regional
assessment of
small-scale IUU)
Component 4: Operational Delivery of At least 25% Traditional Stable long-term
Increase objective 4.1: regional reduction in Ecological trend in sea turtle
resilience of Enhance priority actions identified Knowledge nest counts /
regional collaborative in Sea Turtle threats for (TEK) population census
populations of management of RAP prioritised incorporated at selected ATS
endangered, priority ETP species in priority sites
threatened and transboundary (dependent on management
protected (ETP) or migratory species systems for
prioritisation,
species and populations of at least one
and subject to
critical habitats ETP species RAPs) ETP species /
species
groups
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At least one [mid-term: additional targets related to ETP species
new RAP may be developed for new priority groups]
developed for
priority
transboundary
ETP species or
species groups
(other than sea
turtles – already
covered by ATS sea
turtle RAP)
Operational 70,000km2 of Management Traditional 25-30% of ATS
objective new MPAs effectiveness Ecological critical habitats
4.2: Build gazetted (20% increases of Knowledge and ecosystems
resilience of MPA coverage at least 25% (TEK) under effective
ATS critical for ATS, up are observed incorporated area-based
habitats and from 2023 in at least in protection
ecosystems baseline of 25% of MPAs management
against climate 263,000km2, or in the ATS systems for
change through 16% coverage) MPA at least 3x
effective area- network sites
based 10,000 km2 of
management new Other
Effective (area-
based)
Conservation
Measures
(OECM)
created
A new regional
commitment
to achieve 20-
30% of ATS
under effective
area-based
protection to
contribute to
30x30
ambition,
incorporating
both MPAs +
OECMs
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Annex 7 – SAP Risk Assessment: identification and possible mitigation
measures
The following risk assessment has been conducted for the ATS region for the corresponding SAP
implementation period 2024-2033. It identifies and assesses risks associated with the core SAP
components, and with implementation of the SAP. The risk assessment may be reviewed at any
time during implementation.
LEGEND:
Severity of Impact: 1 - limited, 2 - low, 3 - moderate, 4 – high, 5 – extreme
Likelihood: 1 – not likely 2 – low likelihood, 3 -moderately likely, 4 – highly likely, 5 - expected
Risk rating: Green: Very low to low risk
Yellow: Medium risk
Orange: High risk
Red: Very high to Extreme risk
Severity
Risk
Project risk Likelihood of Mitigation
Rating
Impact
Social and Environmental
Impacts of climate change in the ATS could 2 4 Medium Conduct climate
undermine the sustainability of marine and change vulnerability
coastal resource utilisation by adversely assessments and
impacting biological processes underpinning disseminate learnings
provisioning, regulating and supporting to regional partners
ecosystem services
There is a potential that gender-based and 3 3 Medium Update GESI Action
marginalised group discrimination may be Plan for the updated
replicated, especially regarding women’s and SAP
marginalized group’s participation in project
design and implementation, as well as access to Ensure equal
representation in ATS
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opportunities and benefits; and also, in decision and SAP governance
making. mechanism and
structures
Ensure GESI is
adequately
considered in
Monitoring and
Reporting framework
Some program activities have the capacity to 3 3 Medium Apply the EAFM
impact on marine and coastal ecosystems and approach to fisheries
resources particularly in areas that include management,
community-managed areas. This means that promote rights-based
fishing/ fish/coastal resources harvesting is fisheries management
currently taking place and may be affected as a approaches, promote
result of SAP interventions that promote ongoing compliance
sustainable resource management and with fisheries law,
practices. supported by
effective and
appropriate outreach
and communication
and livelihood
programs
SAP activities involving fisheries, introducing 3 3 Medium Conduct participatory
alternative livelihoods and nutrition have the surveys to understand
potential to impact on the rights, lands, local communities’
livelihoods and traditional knowledge of needs and rights and
Indigenous Peoples and Ethnic Minorities (e.g. potential impacts of
loss of assets or access to resources; access program activities
restriction)
Continue to promote
rights-based
management and
EAFM and employ
GESI processes
Financial
Financial sustainability of program activities 4 3 High Continue to
might be threatened by inadequate allocation coordinate with
of funding countries and
partners to deliver co-
financing
commitments
Develop a financial
plan to accompany
SAP and identify
funding needs,
sources and
mechanisms required
for successful SAP
implementation
Operational
If coordination by national and site mobilisers is 2 2 Low Post site mobilisers at
inadequate, performance of project activities site, hire government
will be low liaison consultants to
facilitate regular
communication with
local government
Potential occupational health and safety (OHS) 2 2 Low Develop and employ
risks due to physical hazards related to field appropriate safety
data collection & monitoring not only to the protocols and
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potential risk faced by SAP implementers team Standard Operating
in visiting remote villages with limited Procedures (SOPs) to
healthcare facilities (i.e., underwater manage risks
monitoring, Covid related risks). associated with
fieldwork
Minimise risk by
coordinating closely
with local authorities
in SAP
implementation
Resource users including communities and 3 2 Medium Conduct participatory
private sector enterprises might be reluctant to surveys to understand
collaborate with the project. local communities’
needs and rights and
potential impacts of
program activities
Continue to promote
rights-based
management and
EAFM and employ
GESI processes to
ensure equitable
distribution of
benefits
Organisational
Capacity to support management changes 3 2 Medium Conduct capacity
proposed by the SAP might be insufficient, e.g. needs assessments
with regard to institutional and administrative and design/deliver
support, and monitoring, control and appropriate capacity
surveillance (MCS) and enforcement. building programs to
support SAP
implementation
Political
Unclear mandates or conflicts among resource 4 2 Medium Establish the Regional
users, different sectors of governmental units, Governance
national and subnational stakeholders lead to Mechanism (RGM)
delays in SAP implementation. with appropriate
coordination
structures to clarify
mandate, manage
coordination tasks
and manage potential
sectoral conflict
Change in key policy and/or decision makers or 4 2 Medium Facilitate periodic
other events beyond the control of the project discussion with
might lead to changes in policies and/or support National Coordinating
for the project. Committees (NCCs) to
maintain national
engagement and keep
abreast of electoral
processes, and
changes in
government or policy.
Enabling decisions required for implementation 4 2 Medium Facilitate periodic
of some of the key project activities might be discussion with
delayed due to inefficiencies, capacity National Coordinating
challenges and changing levels of interest or Committees (NCCs) to
ownership by national and/or local government maintain national
units. engagement and
strong sense of
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ownership for SAP
duration
Release regular
updates and
communications to
engage national
stakeholders regularly
Littoral countries might not reach agreement 4 2 Medium Continue to espouse
on financing strategy. the value proposition
and benefits of ATS
coordinated regional
action, and associated
co-benefits
Regulatory
Amendments or changes in government 3 4 High Facilitate periodic
policies may affect or hamper delivery of discussion with
commitments to the program National Coordinating
Committees (NCCs) to
maintain national
engagement and keep
abreast of changes in
government policy
and agree on adaptive
measures.
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Annex 8 – SAP Theory of Change (ToC)
The following is a high-level summary of SAP Theory of Change. The SAP ToC and its underlying assumptions will be subject to review following
endorsement, and will include development of detailed results chains, which can in turn inform implementation planning.
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