0% found this document useful (0 votes)
59 views

Argus Options Report - QCOM

Uploaded by

cyhuang2009
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
0% found this document useful (0 votes)
59 views

Argus Options Report - QCOM

Uploaded by

cyhuang2009
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 3

QUALCOMM Incorporated

(NASDAQ: QCOM)
Report Date: June 22, 2023

Qualcomm develops and licenses wireless technology and designs chips for smartphones. The company's key patents revolve around CDMA and OFDMA technologies, which are standards
in wireless communications that are the backbone of all 3G and 4G networks. The firm is a leader in 5G network technology as well. Qualcomm's IP is licensed by virtually all wireless device
makers. The firm is also the world's largest wireless chip vendor, supplying nearly every premier handset maker with leading-edge processors. Qualcomm also sells RF-front end modules
into smartphones and chips into automotive and Internet of Things markets.

Option Strategy Summary


The QCOM Jun 30, 2023 covered call with a $117.00 strike price could potentially yield a 2.51% return if QCOM stays above $117.00 a share at expiration 9 days from now. A diagonal
spread that involves selling the Jul 14, 2023 $118.00 call and buying the Oct 20, 2023 $75.00 call should cost $74.22 less per share than the covered call and potentially yield a 7.74%
return if the stock stays above $118.00 through expiration. The lower return covered call has a 5 Key (Lowest Relative Risk) ranking while the diagonal spread has a riskier 3 Key (Moderate
Relative Risk) ranking. On 05/04/23, Argus Research set a $165.00 12-Month price target for QCOM, which is currently trading at $49.24 below that target. By using this covered call strategy
potential returns may be higher than simply holding the stock if QCOM stays below $118.67 through Jun 30, 2023. With the diagonal spread strategy, the trade cost could be reduced and
returns potentially improved if the stock stays above $114.91 but lower than $124.72 through Jul 14, 2023. The covered call strategy offers limited protection if the stock drops in price, but if
the stock goes below $114.13 expect losses.

Argus Rating: BUY Covered Call Strategy Diagonal Spread Strategy


Rating since: 05/04/23
Buy Side
Current Price: $115.76
Stock Symbol QCOM Bought Call Ask Price $42.20
Target Price $165.00 Stock Price $115.76 Bought Call Month 10/20/23
Bought Call Strike Price $75.00
M arket Cap $136.7 billion
Sell Side
Dividend $3.00
Sold Call Expiration 06/30/23 Sold Call Expiration 07/14/23
Yield 2.6% Sold Call Strike Price $117.00 Sold Call Strike Price $118.00
Current Sold Call Bid Price $1.63 Current Sold Call Bid Price $2.29

Key Metrics
Option Strategies Risk Assessment
Net Debit $114.13 Net Debit $39.91
Covered Call Risk Ranking Lowest Downside Protection ($) $1.63 Downside Protection ($) $0.85
Downside Protection (%) 1.41 Downside Protection (%) 0.73
Our 5 Key (Lowest) Relative Risk assessment for this covered call reflects the volatility of In-the-Money (%) -1.07 In-the-Money (%) -1.94
QCOM. As with any stock or option strategy there is always a risk of losing money. If QCOM Break Even 114.13 Break Even 114.91
heads downward for any reason, only $1.63 of that drop will be protected using this Assigned Return ($) 2.87 Assigned Return ($) 3.09
strategy. If QCOM is selling for over $118.67 at expiration, holding the stock without selling
the call would have yielded a higher return. Assigned Return (%) 2.51 Assigned Return (%) 7.74
Ann. Assigned Return (%) 101.98 Ann. Assigned Return (%) 128.45
See elsewhere in this report for a further discussion of potential risks related to the Expiration Date 06/30/23 Expiration Date 07/14/23
Covered Call Strategy.
Trade Duration (Days) 9 Trade Duration (Days) 23
Strategy Risk Ranking 5 Strategy Risk Ranking 3
Moderate Equivalent Stock Only Equivalent Stock Only
Diagonal Spread Risk Ranking 118.67 124.72
Appreciation Appreciation
The Diagonal Spread Strategy will normally carry more risk than a Covered Call Strategy,
but the rate of return is generally higher, since there is a lower capital outlay. Option Strategy Comparison
At a 3 Key risk ranking this strategy is considered to have Moderate relative risk. If the stock Expected Stock Price At Expiration Best Strategy
price at expiration is below $118.00 this strategy will not generate the potential returns
More Than $126.16 Buy Stock
shown. Another risk for this strategy is related to the bought call option price. If the stock
drops in price between now and expiration date, there is a possibility that the 10/20/23 Less Than $124.72
Diagonal Spread (Minimum Return)
$75.00 call could drop quickly. More Than $114.91
Less Than $118.67
See elsewhere in this report for a further discussion of possible risks related to the Covered Call
More Than $114.13
Diagonal Spread Strategy. Do Not Buy Stock
Less Than $114.13 Do Not Do Covered Call
May Sell Stock If Owned
Diagonal Spread
Less Than $126.16 (Maximum Return)
More Than $113.47 Assumes Long Call
Retains Time Value

Argus Opinion
Over the past year QUALCOMM Incorporated shares are down 3.6% versus a gain of 15.0% for the broader market. The 52 week trading range is $101.47 to $156.66. Argus has a BUY rating
on the stock. The Argus target price is $165.00 representing a 42.54% gain from the current level.

©2023 Argus Research Company ARGUS Option Report


QUALCOMM Incorporated
(NASDAQ: QCOM)
Report Date: June 22, 2023

Cover ed Call Long Call


Glossary An option strategy in which a call options is written against an
equivalent amount of long stock. Ex ample: writing 10 ABC May
Buying a call on a stock results in a "long call" position. An
investor buys a long call on a stock they think is going to be
70 calls while owning 1,000 shares or more of ABC stock. rising.
100-Day Moving Aver age
A 100 day simple moving average is the average closing price of Cur r ent Sold Call Bid Pr ic e Net Debit
the stock over the last 100 trading days. Moving averages can be The price at which a buyer is willing to buy an option or a stock. The amount of premium that you pay when doing a spread
used to gauge the direction of price movement in a stock. This is the most you may receive for a sold call option. transaction. It is a negative difference between the option(s) sold
price(s) and option(s) bought price(s), such that you still pay
12-Month Tar get Pr ic e Diagonal Spr ead Assigned Retur ned money for the transactions.
The Argus equity analyst's projection of the market price a given This is the percent return for the position if the short term option is
security will command 12 months hence. ITM at ex piration and the longer term option is ex ercised to cover Option Str ategies Disc ussion
the trade. The option strategies discussion section translates the option
200-Day Moving Aver age strategies section into common English. It guides you through
A 200 day simple moving average is the average closing price of Diagonal Spr ead Minimum Retur n several critical factors that our analysts like to consider and then
the stock over the last 200 trading days. Moving averages can be If the stock ex pires above the short call; this is the percent return shows the returns on the different trades.
used to gauge the direction of price movement in a stock. for the position assuming both options are ex ercised at ex piration.
Option Str ategy Summar y
50-Day Moving Aver age Diagonal Spr ead Max Retur n This is the ex ecutive summary of the report it shows the precise
A 50 day simple moving average is the average closing price of This is the potential percent return for the position if the short term returns and cost of both the covered call and diagonal spread
the stock over the last 50 trading days. Moving averages can be option is ITM at ex piration and the longer term option retains its trades.
used to gauge the direction of price movement in a stock. time value. One may buy to close the call before ex piration, buy
back the option and sell one in a farther out month (called rolling Sell-Side
52-Week High the option), or buy stock to cover and then sell another call against Many trades have multiple parts to a transaction in a covered call
This is the highest price that a stock has traded at during the last the farther out option. you buy may buy the stock and then sell the option. The Sell side
52 weeks. indicates the option and symbol that you are selling.
Diagonal Spr ead Risk Assessment
52-Week Low The diagonal spread risk assessment and Key ranking is a Sold Call Month
This is the lowest price that a stock has traded at during the last proprietary indicator to help assess the risk of a potential trade. All This is the ex piration month of the sold call option.
52 weeks. option trades generate a Key ranking from 1 Key (high relative risk)
to 5 Keys (lowest relative risk). Sold Call Str ike Pr ic e
Annualized Assigned Retur n (%) This is the strike price of the sold call. When you sell an option
The process of taking a return and multiplying it by a factor to Diagonal Spr ead Risk Ranking you are selling the right (or option) for the purchaser to buy the
simulate the return on an yearly basis. The return is multiplied by This proprietary risk ranking is similar to the covered call risk stock from you at the strike price.
365 then divided by the number of days to ex piration. This return ranking and rates Diagonal spread trades from 1 (high risk) to 5
is always given for comparison purposes only. Keys (Lowest relative risk.) Sold Call Symbol
This is the option symbol of the call that you are selling.
Annual Dividend Yield Diagonal Spr ead
A company's yearly dividend amount shown as a percentage of its An option strategy involving the purchase of a longer-term call or Stoc k Resistanc e
stock price put option and selling an equal number of shorter-term options of A term used in technical analysis to describe a price area at which
the same type and strike price. A diagonal spread may also be rising prices are ex pected to stop or meet increased selling
Assigned Retur n (%) activity. This analysis is based on historic price behavior of the
The potential return from selling an option if the stock price is in called vertical, horizontal, or diagonal spread when the strike
prices vary. stock.
the ex ercisable range. In the case of a covered call, this return
would include the premium from the sold option and any profit/loss Downside Pr otec tion Stoc k Suppor t
on the covering stock position and assumes the stock price is Downside protection refers to the dollar amount a stock can drop A term used in technical analysis to describe a price area at which
higher than the strike price. This calculation does not include before the total position becomes a loss. falling prices are ex pected to stop or meet increased buying
margin and is not annualized. activity. This analysis is based on previous price behavior of the
Downside Pr otec tion (%) stock.
Assignment This percent considers the premium a seller would receive from
Notification by that an owner of an option has ex ercised his or her the sale of an option to be profit, but does not consider profit or Str ategy
rights to buy or sell the underlying stock. The buyer of an option loss on the stock. This percent assumes the stock is not The strategy refers to the choice of options methods deployed to
ex ercises his right and the seller of the option is assigned on the assigned. It represents the down side protection based on the sold profit on a stock and may be selling a covered call; selling a
option. This calculation does not include margin and is not option premium alone. This calculation does not include margin diagonal spread or holding the stock.
annualized. and is not annualized.
Time Value
Bid/Ask Spr ead Expir ation Date Option premium is made up of either time value, intrinsic value or
This is the difference in price between on options bid and ask The date on which an option and the right to ex ercise it or have it both. From its creation date to its ex piration date an options time
price. Options have wider bid-ask spreads than stocks do. assigned, cease to ex ist. value decays away and any value left is intrinsic value which
rises or falls with the price of the stock. If XZY stock is at $51.00
Br eak Even Expir ation Month and the April 50 call is trading at 2.50. The option has 1.00 (51.00-
The stock price at which any option strategy or combination stock The month during which the ex piration date occurs. 50.00) of intrinsic value and 1.50 (2.50-1.00) of time value.
and option strategy has a zero loss and zero gain.
Hor izontal Spr ead Tr ade Dur ation (Days)
Buy-Side An option strategy which generally involves the purchase of a This is the number of days a trade is active. It is the total number
Many trades have multiple parts to a transaction; in a covered call farther-term option (call or put) and the writing of an equal number of days from the initial opening transaction until ex piration day.
you buy may buy the stock and then sell the option. The buy side of nearer-term options of the same type and strike price. Ex ample:
indicates what stock or options you are buying in the transaction. buying 1 XYZ May 60 call (far-term portion of the spread) and Volatility
writing 1 XYZ March 60 call. See also diagonal spread. This is a rating of the stock's price volatility over the past year.
Call Ask Pr ic e Volatility is the propensity of a security to swing up and down in
The price a seller offers to sell a call option. This is the most an Intr insic Value price.
investor should pay for the bought option. Option premium is made up of either time value, intrinsic value or
Call Month both. The intrinsic value is based on how deep in the money the
The month during which the call option ex pires. stock is priced. For a call it is how far above the strike price the
stock price is located.
Call Str ike Pr ic e
The price at which the owner of an option can purchase (call) or In-The-Money Per c ent (%)
sell (put) the underlying stock. Used interchangeably with striking This phrase describes where the underlying stock price falls
price, strike, or ex ercise price. relative to the option strike price. For covered and naked call
options, it is when the stock price is above the strike price of the
Call Symbol option. For covered and naked put options, it is when the price of
An option symbol is comprised of three parts. The first one to three the stock is lower than the strike price of the option.
letters are the root symbol for the option. The second to last letter
stands for the ex piration month of the contract. The last letter in Key Metr ic s
the symbol represents the strike price of the contract. The key Metrics area of the report shows important option metrics
Corresponding Put and Call symbols for the same strike price will about the transaction including thing like the net debit, downside
have the same last letter in their symbols. While option symbols protection and risk rating.
are standardized; computer web sites are not. Some sites require LEAPS
the entry of a period "." in front of an option symbol, while others - An acronym that stands for Long-term Equity Anticipation
like Yahoo- require a period and the letter x ".x " at the end of it. If Securities. About 10% of the optionable stocks have LEAPs
going to a new site pull up an option chain to see their method of available, they are traded under different root symbols than the
entering options. normal option series and only ex pire in January of the nex t two
Cover ed Call Risk Ranking years. Once the March series options are the current month, the
A proprietary risk ranking for covered call strategies that ranks nex t January LEAPs change symbols to the normal root symbols
covered call trades from 1 Key (High Relative Risk) to 5 Keys and LEAPs are generated for three Januarys ahead in time.
(Lowest Relative Risk.)

©2023 Argus Research Company ARGUS Option Report


QUALCOMM Incorporated
(NASDAQ: QCOM)
Report Date: June 22, 2023

Neither Argus nor any affiliate is a member of the FINRA or the


Disclosures DISCLAIMERS and WARNINGS SIPC. Argus is not a registered broker dealer and does not have
investment banking operations. The Argus trademark, service
mark and logo are the intellectual property of The Argus Research
About Ar gus RISKS OF USING EXCHANGE-TRADED OPTIONS: Investing in Group, Inc. The information contained in the stock research report
Argus Research, founded by Economist Harold Dorsey in 1934, options carries substantial risk. An investor may lose the entire that is used in this options analysis is produced and copyrighted
has built a top-down, fundamental system that is used by Argus amount of the premium paid for an option. Option strategies do not by Argus, and any unauthorized use, duplication, redistribution or
analysts. This six -point system includes Industry Analysis, protect against a continued decline in the value of the underlying disclosure is prohibited by law and can result in prosecution. The
Growth Analysis, Financial Strength Analysis, Management stock, and it is possible to lose the entire amount invested in the opinions and information contained in the related Argus stock
Assessment, Risk Analysis and Valuation Analysis. underlying stock. Prior to buying or selling options, a person report have been obtained or derived from sources believed to be
should consult a financial advisor and must receive a copy of reliable, but Argus makes no representation as to their timeliness,
Utilizing Argus economic forecasts, the Industry Analysis Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options, which is
identifies industries ex pected to perform well over the nex t one-to- accuracy or completeness or for their fitness for any particular
available at http://www.cboe.com/resources/intro.aspx . purpose. In addition, this content is not prepared subject to
two years.
The content of this options report and the opinions ex pressed Canadian disclosure requirements. Argus may issue or may have
The Growth Analysis generates proprietary estimates for herein are those of ARC and are based in part (as ex plained issued other reports that are inconsistent with or may reach
companies under coverage. herein) on the Argus rating on the underlying stock, and on different conclusions than those represented in that report, and all
publicly available information that ARC believes to be reliable. opinions are reflective of judgments made on the original date of
In the Financial Strength Analysis, analysts study ratios to This analysis has not been submitted to, or received approval publication. Argus is under no obligation to ensure that other
understand profitability, liquidity and capital structure. from, the United States Securities and Ex change Commission or reports are brought to the attention of any recipient of this options
any other regulatory body. Past stock, index , or option report or the related Argus stock report. Argus shall accept no
During the Management Assessment, analysts meet with and liability for any loss arising from the use of these reports, nor shall
familiarize themselves with the processes of corporate performance is no guarantee of future performance or price
appreciation or depreciation. This material is not intended as an Argus treat all recipients of these reports as customers simply by
management teams. virtue of their receipt of this material. Argus has provided
offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other
financial instrument. A reference to a particular investment or independent research since 1934. Argus officers, employees,
Quantitative trends and qualitative threats are assessed under the agents and/or affiliates may have positions in stocks discussed in
Risk Analysis. security is not a recommendation to buy, hold or sell such
investment or security, nor is it considered to be investment this report. No Argus officers, employees, agents and/or affiliates
And finally, the Valuation Analysis integrates a historical ratio advice. This material does not take into account your particular may serve as officers or directors of covered companies, or may
matrix , discounted cash flow modeling, and peer comparisons. investment objectives, financial situation or needs, trade size, own more than one percent of a covered company's stock.
brokerage commissions and tax es, and is not intended as a AIC, a portfolio management business based in Stamford,
THE ARGUS RESEARCH RATING SYSTEM recommendation of particular securities, financial instruments or
Argus uses three ratings for stocks: BUY, HOLD, and SELL. Connecticut, is a customer of Argus, based in New York. Argus
strategies to you. Argus and related entities are not responsible for Investors’ Counsel pays Argus for research used in the
Stocks are rated relative to a benchmark, the S&P 500. suitability. Any opinions ex pressed herein are given in good faith, management of the AIC core equity strategy and model portfolio
are subject to change without notice, and are current only as of the and UIT products, and has the same access to Argus reports as
A BUY-rated stock is ex pected to outperform the S&P 500 stated date of their issue. Prices, values, or income from any other customers. However, clients and prospective clients should
on a risk-adjusted basis over a 12-month period. To make securities or investments mentioned in this report may be contrary note that AIC and Argus, as units of The Argus Research Group,
this determination, Argus Analysts set target prices, use to the interests of the investor, and the investor may get back less Inc. have certain employees in common, including those with both
beta as the measure of risk, and compare ex pected risk- than the amount invested. Where an investment is described as research and portfolio management responsibilities, and that
adjusted stock returns to the S&P 500 forecasts set by the being likely to yield income, please note that the amount of Argus employees participate in the management and marketing of
Argus Market Strategist. income that the investor will receive from such an investment may the AIC core equity strategy and UIT and model portfolio products.
fluctuate. Where an investment or security is denominated in a
A HOLD-rated stock is ex pected to perform in line with the different currency than the investor's currency of reference,
S&P 500. changes in ex change rates may have an adverse effect on the
value or price of, or income from, that investment. The information
A SELL-rated stock is ex pected to underperform the S&P contained in this report does not constitute advice on the tax
500. consequences of making any particular investment decision.

This report has been created by Argus Research Company (ARC), Ar gus Resear c h Co.
a subsidiary of Argus Research Group. ARC has developed and is Argus is an independent investment research provider whose
responsible for the strategies, discussions, assessments and parent company, Argus Investors' Counsel, Inc. (AIC), is registered
other analyses of the options presented in this report. as an investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Ex change
Commission. AIC is a subsidiary of The Argus Research Group,
OPTION STRATEGIES: KEY RANKINGS: All options strategies Inc.
are based on underlying stocks that have been assigned a BUY,
HOLD, or SELL rating by Argus Research Co. ("Argus"), an While Argus ex ercises due care in preparing the report on the
unaffiliated investment research company that provides research underlying stock, including its rating and target price, Argus and
and analysis on U.S. and international equities. ARC gives each all related entities specifically disclaim all warranties, ex press or
hedged options strategy shown a "Key" ranking as an indicator of implied, to the full ex tent permitted by law, regarding the accuracy,
its relative risk. The Key Ranking in each case is based on the completeness, or usefulness of this information and assume no
market price of the underlying stock, the Argus rating on the stock, liability with respect to the consequences of relying on this
option volatility data, and other factors before the market opens on information for investment or other purposes. The ratings and
the date of this report. ARC ranks the options strategies using a 1- target prices are determined by Argus without regard to this
to-5 ranking system, as follows: options report. Argus has no obligation to take the needs of this
report and its users into consideration in determining the ratings
and target prices of the stocks discussed in this report.
1 Key - Highest Relative Risk
The ratings, target prices and related content provided by Argus, or
2 Key - Considerable Relative Risk any part thereof ("Content"), may not be modified, reverse-
3 Key - Moderate Relative Risk engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means, or
stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written
4 Key - Low Relative Risk permission of Argus. The Content shall not be used for any
unlawful or unauthorized purposes. Argus does not guarantee the
5 Key - Lowest Relative Risk accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of the Content.
Certain information presented herein is derived from the Argus
report for the underlying stock; however, not all information from
the Argus report is presented. For key statistics, assessments and
other information pertaining to the underlying stock, you should
consult the applicable Argus stock report. Investors are
responsible for conducting their own independent research and/or
seeking professional advice before making any investment
decision.

©2023 Argus Research Company ARGUS Option Report

You might also like