Final
Final
Follow us https://bento.me/theictconcept
Purpose: To outline a complete trading system, designed for ICT's son, but applicable to all aspiring
traders.
Focus: Learn to view markets live, second by second, and understand market behavior to achieve
profitability.
Key Steps:
1. Mental Preparation:
Assess where you are mentally. Are you confident, unsure, or facing challenges?
There’s no fixed timeline for success. Avoid setting a time limit, as this can delay progress. Work
consistently until your goals are reached.
2. Algorithmic Movements:
Price moves are algorithmically coded, with time being the first determinant.
At specific times (e.g., 8:30 EST), price will seek liquidity or inefficiencies, or both.
Understanding Liquidity:
Draw on Liquidity:
Study where price is drawn—towards old highs/lows and inefficiencies.
Observe how the market maneuvers around these levels.
Starting Out:
1. Focus on Specific Timeframes:
Use 1-minute, 5-minute, and 15-minute charts to track highs/lows and inefficiencies.
The market tends to run toward these levels.
2. Study Price at Specific Times (EST):
Time-based price movements are consistent and predictable.
3. Relative Equal Highs and Lows:
The market seeks "smooth" areas (relative equal highs/lows) to trigger stop-loss orders.
These areas often indicate liquidity pools.
Look for failure swings near highs/lows, where swing highs are lower to the right.
When shorts feel "safe," price is often driven towards those areas.
Example Scenario:
Key Observations:
Smooth Relative Equal Highs: When these are taken out, price often uses inefficiencies as
"stepping stones" toward liquidity.
Context Matters: Pay attention to the overall narrative—smooth highs and rough lows show where
price is likely to target liquidity.
Key Lessons:
1. Wicks as Gaps: The 50% level of a wick (called "consequent encroachment") acts like a fair value
gap and should be respected.
2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): When marking an FVG, include volume imbalance if it’s at the FVG high
or low.
3. Timing: Price moves depend heavily on time of day—if the time isn't right, the setup won’t work.
1. 7:00 - 7:30am
2. 8:00 - 8:30am
3. 9:00 - 9:30am (pre-market range)
Introduction:
This lecture consolidates information from Lecture 1 and addresses challenges traders may face,
especially in managing precision during entries.
Precision in Entries:
On the 1-minute chart, you may sometimes miss entries or lack precision.
Use the 15-second chart for finer entry points under the 1-minute chart.
Missing moves while aiming for precision is a good sign—you’re minimizing risk.
Avoid focusing on relative equal highs/lows before 7:00am EST (this pertains to the London
Session, which is not in the current scope).
Framework Steps:
1. 7:00 - 7:30am
2. 8:00 - 8:30am
3. 9:00 - 9:30am
During these intervals, expect manipulation in one direction (stop hunts) followed by a move in the
opposite direction towards relative equal highs or lows.
Market Movement:
A run on stops occurs, followed by price moving in the opposite direction.
Look for the inversion fair value gap (premium array).
Price retraces into the premium array, forming a bearish fair value gap and relative equal lows.
Observe the aggressive displacement through the relative equal lows.
Key Concepts:
Summary:
Introduction to New Day Opening Gap (NDOG) and New Week Opening Gap
(NWOG)
Follow us https://bento.me/theictconcept
New Day Opening Gap (NDOG):
Definition: The price or price range between the previous day's settlement closing price (16:59) and
the next day's opening price (18:00).
Usage: Mark this price or range from low to high and treat it as a gap.
Significance: Acts as a strong draw on liquidity.
Lifespan: For the purpose of this mentorship, the NDOG remains relevant for 5 days.
Definition: The price or price range between the previous week's settlement closing price (16:59
Friday) and the next week's opening price (18:00 Sunday).
Usage: Mark the price or range for analysis as a weekly gap.
Lifespan: The NWOG remains relevant for 5 weeks.
Mark the NDOG and NWOG on your chart, from low to high, and observe their behavior as strong
liquidity zones.
Market Bias: Suppose the market shows a strong probability of going lower due to relative equal
lows and NDOG.
Liquidity in the Market:
Buystops and sellstops are the lifeblood of the market, driving liquidity. Inefficiencies between
these levels guide price movements.
Bearish Confluence:
The fact that price does not touch the CE of a Fair Value Gap (FVG) further strengthens the
bearish signal. This suggests strong downward pressure and a likely continuation to lower price
targets.
Imbalance Premium:
When price reaches an area of imbalance (especially if it’s in the premium), observe how
aggressively price reacts to it.
Aggressive Reactions:
Pay attention to how far price can go after reacting off an imbalance premium. This reaction often
gives insight into the next liquidity target.
Follow us https://bento.me/theictconcept
Standard Deviation (STDEV) as Measured Moves:
Use standard deviation to project future price moves by measuring previous price action.
Example:
If price made a move lower from point 0 to point 1, you can anticipate a move higher by
multiplying that distance by 2. This gives you an expected move in the opposite direction.
Low-Hanging Fruit (STDEV -1):
The -1 STDEV represents the measured move of the low-hanging fruit, meaning it’s a
predictable and often easier-to-capture price movement.
This lecture focuses on how to navigate market conditions when there's no high-impact news, along
with an overview of key strategies involving NDOG/NWOG as a draw on liquidity and revisiting the
first fair value gap after 9:30 AM ET.
NDOG (New Day Opening Gap) and NWOG (New Week Opening Gap):
These are strong areas of liquidity where price is often drawn.
These gaps act as magnets for price action, making them important tools for anticipating market
moves.
Even in no-news scenarios, NDOG and NWOG remain reliable indicators for determining price
direction.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)are critical in price delivery, especially when markets open at 9:30 AM ET.
The first FVG formed after the opening bell can provide strong trade setups, often serving as a
key level of support or resistance.
Revisiting these FVGs allows traders to capitalize on the initial volatility and displacement in the
market.
Summary:
On no-news days, focus on risk management, taking profits early, and using the strength of
NDOG/NWOG to guide your trades.
Always be mindful of revisiting the first FVG after 9:30 AM ET, as it often presents high-probability
trade setups.
ICT 2024 Mentorship Lecture #7 - Notes
Economic Calendar
1. Bearish Scenario:
Imagine you are bearish. Outline a likely scenario where shorts are favored.
2. Bullish Scenario:
Now, envision a bullish scenario where longs are favored.
If you can easily create both scenarios, it indicates low probability.
The best trades are those that heavily favor one side of the market, enhancing the likelihood of a
successful outcome.
Follow us https://bento.me/theictconcept
1. Clear Delivery:
Identify whether the market shows clear buyside (buy) or sellside (sell) delivery.
2. Draw on Liquidity:
Confirm that there is a clear draw on liquidity in your analysis, providing context for your trade.
3. Entry Points:
Enter trades at the low of a BISI (Buy Side Imbalance) or the high of a SIBI (Sell Side
Imbalance), ensuring that time is on your side.
Alignment of Time Frames:
When the higher time frame charts align with lower time frame charts, it signals high probability
trades. Price consistently seeks to reach levels defined by higher time frames.
Summary:
On high-impact news days, wait for the best setups post-release, particularly between 10:00 AM
and 11:00 AM ET.
Understand market structure by assessing both bullish and bearish scenarios, focusing on high
probability setups.
Use the Institutional Order Flow Entry Drill to ensure clarity in your trades, and align your time
frames to maximize success.
1. Long Wicks:
Long wicks can serve as a fair value gap, especially following significant news events.
2. 50% Level:
Pay attention to how price reacts around the 50% level of the wick, similar to how it would react
to a fair value gap.
Key Considerations:
Will price respect the 50% level?
Will it inverse aggressively?
Example:
A large wick can act as a draw on liquidity, particularly one formed by news.
Observe how this wick overlaps with NDOG and fair value gaps; this overlap can help frame
your trade ideas and context.
Inversion Fair Value Gap:
In the next example, see how price uses the wick as an “inversion fair value gap,” providing
further context for potential trades.
Summary:
Wicks can be interpreted as gaps and should be analyzed at their 50% levels to gauge market
reactions.
Utilize the Market Maker Buy/Sell Model for determining potential entry points and analyzing price
movement.
The Turtle Soup strategy offers insights into smart money reversals, and understanding context is
vital for successful application.
1. Quadrants:
ICT recommends placing quadrants into the Opening Range Gap (ORG) to help with analysis.
2. Last 3 Days:
Use the ORGs from the last three days as they provide significant confluences and frameworks
for trade decisions.
3. Influence on Price Delivery:
The opening range from the previous three days can also be influential in guiding price action.
Follow us https://bento.me/theictconcept
1. Documentation:
Maintain a notepad or a separate chart to mark these levels, allowing you to track current market
structure without cluttering your main chart.
Establish a minimum target for your trades, though it doesn’t necessarily need to reach that target.
Example Targets:
Aim for 15-20 handlesoff an NDOG.
1. 5 handles on ES (E-mini S&P 500)
2. 15 handles on NQ (E-mini NASDAQ) (If you can see 20 points, a target of 15 is likely
achievable.)
Framing a Trade
Summary:
Focus on identifying signatures in price action to frame your trades, especially when expecting lower
prices in an overpriced market.
Utilize the Opening Range Gap and the last three days' ORGs for better context in your trading
strategies.
Set realistic targets and thresholds for your trades, ensuring you frame them with a clear
understanding of market conditions and key elements.
Sellside Liquidity:
Engage with sellside liquidity, which can potentially drop as low as the previous New Day
Opening Gap (NDOG).
Determine if bullish Price Delivery Arrays (PD Arrays) form around this level or if they fail.
Now That Price Has Reached the ORG (H), What Do You Need to See?
1. Price Action:
Observe if price disrespected higher premium arrays to engage the buyside.
Ensure price does not close below the ORG (L) or the New Week Opening Gap (NWOG).
2. Market Events:
Pay attention to market events such as the Jackson Hole Symposium that can influence price
behavior.
Price Movements:
Every time price moved down or up, it failed to gain footing on the PD Arrays.
Notice the inability to close above the NWOG (H), which kept price working within the ORG.
Liquidity Engagement:
Eventually, price did take out the buyside liquidity, but there was considerable room for error in
this movement.
Final Price Runs:
Study the final price runs towards the buyside to understand market dynamics and liquidity
engagement.
Follow us https://bento.me/theictconcept
Summary:
Frame your trade ideas based on sellside liquidity and the formation of bullish PD Arrays around
significant levels such as the NDOG.
Monitor key price actions around the ORG and NWOG to make informed decisions.
Use balanced price ranges and order blocks to determine entry and exit points, ensuring effective
stop loss placements for managing risk.
Studying the OLHC / OHLC (How to Hold Trades Longer If You Wish)
Bullish DOL:
Analyze the daily chart for signs of a One-Leg Higher Close (OLHC).
Intraday Chart:
Review the intraday chart for OLHC patterns and the Intraday Opening Fair Value Gap
(IOFED) from the previous day.
Trader Types:
A: Focuses on inefficiencies and aims to trade based on them.
B: Concentrates on identifying key highs and lows for potential draw or take-profit levels.
Psychology Tip:
Mistakes are a part of trading. Taking partials helps mitigate the impact of these mistakes.
Consider the entire daily volume imbalance, including rejection blocks and swing highs (premium
arrays).
Definition:
A reversal pattern forms at a swing high, defined by the wick and the highest body (open or
close) at that swing high.
This level becomes the rejection block, indicating potential reversals if aligned with your bias.
Key Note:
If a rejection block and a Change in State Delivery (CISD) occur, price should not retrace back
into the rejection block; otherwise, this nullifies the order block and invalidates the trade.
Summary:
Key Markings:
Identify the high, low, and the four quarters of the Opening Range Gap (ORG).
Use these levels to assess market willingness to move.
Opening Range High/Low (9:30 - 10:00):
These are critical highs and lows that algorithms will reference during trading.
Market Sentiment:
Avoiding long positions due to being in a deep premium, especially after profitable longs in the
Asia and London sessions.
Utilizing Higher Time Frame (HTF) PD Arrays:
Leverage the daily SIBI and daily volume imbalance as HTF PD Arrays.
Liquidity Draws:
The draw on liquidity focused on the ORG 50% and NDOG (traded to the low).
Noted relative equal lows serving as trailing stop losses (SL) and initial sell-side liquidity.
Final sell-side liquidity located at relative equal lows at the terminus.
Premium Arrays:
Daily volume imbalance, mean threshold of the OB, daily volume imbalance high, daily rejection
block, and the premium wick were analyzed.
Key Event:
Federal Reserve Chair Powell's speech at 10:00 AM influenced market behavior.
NWOG
Discount Opening Range Gap
Market Patience:
Key Features:
Immediate rebalance.
Leaving a gap that is not completely filled.
Avoid trading into the upper/lower 50% of a gap.
Final Recommendations:
Focus on your own learning and emotional control in your trading journey.
Watch the final segment of the lecture (1h30) for motivational insights and psychological
strategies to enhance your trading efficiency.
Gap Analysis:
Remember that 70% of the time, if the gap exceeds 30 handles, it will likely reach the 50% mark
between 9:30 and 10:00 AM.
First Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Observe the formation of the first FVG, which occurs after sell-side liquidity is taken out.
Notably, price often spends time below the sell-side, signaling a potential reversal as smart
money accumulates long positions.
Understanding “Mohawk”
This concept refers to trades that can "color outside the lines" yet remain valid.
It's essential to grasp the Draw on Liquidity (DOL) and the current market structure surrounding your
trade for successful execution.
Visual Aid: Refer to the accompanying diagram for a clearer understanding.
Utilizing PDH/PDL:
PDH (Previous Day High) and PDL (Previous Day Low) can serve as critical reference points for
framing trades, even if these levels have already been reached.
These levels act as key PD Arrays and algorithmic reference points, remaining relevant for
drawing on liquidity and identifying potential turtle soup setups.
Trade Breakdown
Market Conditions:
The market opened in a deep premium, emphasizing the importance of not chasing price action.
Discount Opening Range Gap:
Observe a deep discount ORG and the implications of trading before a holiday weekend, as
conditions may become more challenging.
Trading Strategy:
On Fridays, prices often oscillate within Thursday's range or may produce slightly higher highs or
lower lows throughout the week. Therefore, avoid heavy trading on these days.
Reference Points:
Continually utilize the old PDH/PDL as algorithmic reference points, reinforcing their relevance in
your trading strategy.
...................................................................................................................................................
Follow us https://bento.me/theictconcept