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SEVEN-DAY WEATHER FORECAST Valid 19th To 25th November 2024

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SEVEN-DAY WEATHER FORECAST Valid 19th To 25th November 2024

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baryshnikov361
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REPUBLIC OF KENYA

MINISTRY OF ENVIRONMENT, CLIMATE CHANGE & FORESTRY


KENYA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT
Dagoretti Corner, Ngong Road, P. O. Box 30259-00100, GPO, Nairobi, Kenya
Telephone: +254 (0) 20 38567880-7, +254 724 255 153‐4
E-mail: [email protected], [email protected] Website: https://www.meteo.go.ke

Our Ref: MET/7/285 Issue date: 18 November 2024

SEVEN-DAY WEATHER FORECAST VALID 19 TO 25 NOVEMBER 2024

HIGHLIGHTS

Forecast for 19 to 25 November 2024 Weather Review for 11 to 17 November 2024


 Rainfall is expected to continue over the Highlands  Rainfall was recorded in most parts of the country.
East and West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria  Day-time (maximum) temperatures decreased over
Basin, the Rift Valley, the South-eastern lowlands, much of the country with only a few stations in the
the Coast, North-western and North-eastern Coast, North-eastern and North-western Kenya
Kenya. recording marginal warming.
 Isolated heavy rainfall events may occur over some  Night-time (minimum) temperatures increased in some
parts of these regions. stations including Kericho, Nyahururu and Malindi and
decreased in Kitui, Mandera and Garissa among
others.

1 FORECAST FOR 19 TO 25 NOVEMBER 2024

Rainfall is expected to continue over the


Highlands East and West of the Rift Valley,
the Lake Victoria Basin, the Rift Valley, the
South-eastern lowlands, the Coast, North-
western and North-eastern Kenya as shown
in Figure 1. Isolated heavy rainfall events
may occur over some parts of these regions.

Average daytime (maximum) temperatures


of more than 30°C will be experienced in the
Coast, North-eastern and North-western
Kenya as shown in Figure 2.

Average night-time (minimum) temperatures


will be less than 10°C in some parts of the
Highlands East of the Rift Valley, the Central
Rift Valley and the South-eastern lowlands
as shown in Figure 3.

Page 1 of 5
1.1 DETAILED REGIONAL RAINFALL FORECAST FOR 19 TO 25 NOVEMBER 2024

1.1.1 The Highlands West of the Rift Valley, the Lake Victoria Basin and the Rift Valley (Kisii,
Nyamira, Nandi, Kericho, Bomet, Kakamega, Vihiga, Bungoma, Siaya, Kisumu, Homabay,
Busia, Migori, Narok, Baringo, Nakuru, Trans-Nzoia, Uasin-Gishu, Elgeyo-Marakwet and
West-Pokot Counties):

Morning rains are expected over few places. Afternoon and night showers and
thunderstorms are expected over few places occasionally spreading to several places.

1.1.2 North-western Kenya (Turkana and Samburu Counties):

Morning rains as well as afternoon and night showers and thunderstorms are expected over
few places.

1.1.3 The Highlands East of the Rift Valley (including Nairobi County) (Nyandarua, Laikipia,
Nyeri, Kirinyaga, Murang'a, Kiambu, Meru, Embu, Tharaka-Nithi and Nairobi Counties):

Morning rains are expected over few places. Afternoon and night showers and
thunderstorms are expected over few places occasionally spreading to several places.

1.1.4 North-eastern Kenya (Marsabit, Mandera, Wajir, Garissa and Isiolo Counties):

Morning rains as well as afternoon and night showers and thunderstorms are expected over
few places occasionally spreading to several places.

1.1.5 The South-eastern lowlands (Machakos, Kitui, Makueni, Kajiado and Taita-Taveta Counties
as well as the inland parts of Tana-River County):

Morning rains as well as afternoon and night showers and thunderstorms are expected over
few places occasionally spreading to several places.

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1.1.6 The Coast (Mombasa, Kilifi, Lamu and Kwale Counties as well as the coastal parts of Tana-
River County):

Morning, afternoon and night showers are expected over few places occasionally spreading
to several places.

1.2 DETAILED TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR 19 TO 25 NOVEMBER 2024

Expected maximum and minimum temperatures for selected towns and cities are shown in Table 1.

TABLE 1: FORECASTED MAXIMUM AND MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR SELECTED CITIES AND TOWNS

MAX MIN MAX MIN MAX MIN


CITY/TOWN CITY/TOWN CITY/TOWN
(°C) (°C) (°C) (°C) (°C) (°C)
LODWAR 37.0 23.0 KISUMU 32.0 18.0 THIKA 28.0 15.0
MARSABIT 29.0 18.0 SUBA 30.0 21.0 NGONG 25.0 13.0
MOYALE 31.0 18.0 NAKURU 26.0 12.0 MACHAKOS 27.0 13.0
GARISSA 36.0 23.0 NAROK 28.0 10.0 MAKINDU 32.0 18.0
WAJIR 37.0 23.0 LAIKIPIA 25.0 11.0 KITUI 29.0 16.0
MANDERA 35.0 22.0 NYAHURURU 22.0 07.0 VOI 34.0 21.0
KITALE 28.0 12.0 KANGEMA 27.0 15.0 LAMU 34.0 24.0
KAKAMEGA 30.0 14.0 NYERI 28.0 13.0 MALINDI 33.0 25.0
ELDORET 25.0 10.0 EMBU 27.0 15.0 MSABAHA 33.0 24.0
KERICHO 26.0 09.0 MERU 27.0 13.0 MTWAPA 33.0 24.0
KISII 26.0 15.0 NAIROBI 27.0 14.0 MOMBASA 33.0 24.0

2 WEATHER REVIEW FOR 11 TO 17 NOVEMBER 2024


2.1.1 Rainfall Review
Rainfall was recorded in most parts of the
country as shown in Figures 4 & 5.

Comparing the 4 to 10 November 2024


and the 11 to 17 November 2024 periods,
it is noted that there was an increase in
rainfall amounts over the Coast and some
parts of the Highlands West of the Rift
Valley.

The highest seven-day rainfall total


(213.2mm) was recorded at Managia
Rainfall Station in Embu County.

The same station recorded the highest


amount of rainfall within 24-hours:
185.9mm on 14 November 2024.

Page 3 of 5
2.2 Temperature Review
Comparing the 4 to 10 November 2024 and the 11 to 17 November 2024 periods, it is noted that day-
time (maximum) temperatures decreased over much of the country with only a few stations in the
Coast, North-eastern and North-western Kenya recording marginal warming. Night-time (minimum)
temperatures increased in some stations including Kericho, Nyahururu and Malindi and decreased in
Kitui, Mandera and Garissa among others.

Lodwar Meteorological Station recorded the highest daily maximum temperature: 37.8°C on 17
November 2024 while Nyahururu Meteorological Station recorded the lowest daily minimum
temperature: 7.2°C on 13 November 2024. The same stations recorded the highest seven-day
average maximum temperature and the lowest seven-day average minimum temperature: 36.6°C
and 9.3°C respectively (see Figure 6).

Page 4 of 5
N.B: This forecast should be used in conjunction with the daily (24-hour) and five-day
forecasts issued by this Department. County specific forecasts are available from the
offices of respective County Directors of Meteorological Services.

KEY OF SCIENTIFIC WORDS USED


24-hour rainfall categories Rainfall coverage
Range Category
Term Meaning
<5mm Light Most places Between 66% and 100%
5-20mm Moderate Several places Between 33% and 66%
20-50mm Heavy Few places Less than 33%
>50mm Very heavy

Kennedy Thiong’o
For DIRECTOR OF METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

Page 5 of 5

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