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45 views

Edexcelassh1axw Level2

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nvdfobfv
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Edexcel AS Maths Statistical hypothesis testing

Section 1: Introducing hypothesis testing


Solutions to Exercise level 2

1. Let p be the probability that a student gets an A or B grade.

H0 : p = 0.4
H1 : p < 0.4

Significance level = 5%

Let X be the number of students who get an A or B grade


For X ~ B(19, 0.4), P(X ≤ 2) = 0.0055 < 0.05
Reject H0. There is evidence to suggest that the A and B pass-rate has
decreased.

2. Let p be the probability of obtaining a head

H0 : p = 0.5
H1 : p > 0.5

Significance level = 5%

Let X be the number of heads obtained


For X ~ B(8, 0.5), P(X ≥ 6) = 1 – P(X ≤ 5) = 1 – 0.8555 = 0.1445 > 0.05
Accept H0. There is not sufficient evidence to suggest that the coin is biased
towards heads.

3. Let p be the probability of obtaining a head

H0 : p = 0.5
H1 : p > 0.5

Significance level = 5%

Let X be the number of heads obtained


For X ~ B(16, 0.5), P(X ≥ 12) = 1 – P(X ≤ 11) = 1 – 0.9616 = 0.0384 < 0.05
Reject H0. There is evidence to suggest that the coin is biased towards heads.

4. Let p be the probability that a seed germinates

H0 : p = 0.75
H1 : p < 0.75

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integralmaths.org
Edexcel AS Maths Hyp testing 1 Exercise solutions

Significance level = 5%

Let X be the number of seeds which germinate


For X ~ B(16, 0.75), P(X ≤ 8) = 0.0271 < 0.05
Reject H0. There is evidence to suggest that the new batch has a lower
germination rate.

5. Let p be the probability that a passenger loses his suitcase

H0 : p = 0.05
H1 : p > 0.05

Significance level = 5%.

Let X be the number of times a passenger loses his suitcase


For X ~ B(25, 0.05):
P(X ≥ 3)  1  P( X  0)  P( X  1)  P( X  2)
25  24
 1  (0.95 )25  25(0.05 )(0.95 )24  (0.05 )2(0.95 )23
12
 0.1271
 0.05
Accept H0. There is not sufficient evidence to suggest that the true probability
is greater than 0.05.

6. (i) H 0 : p  0.8
H 1 : p  0.8

(ii) Let X be the number of times the bus is late in 10 journeys


X ~ B(10,0.8)
P( X  10)  P( X  10)
 0.8 10
 0.107
The p-value is 0.107

(iii) 0.141 > 0.1, so accept H0. There is insufficient evidence that the bus is on
time more than 80% of the time.

(iv) The null hypothesis was accepted even though the bus was on time on every
occasion, so it is not possible with this number of journeys to conclude that
the service has improved.
The minimum number of journeys should be 14 since 0.814 < 0.05, so it
would then be possible to reject H0 if the bus is on time on every occasion.

2 of 2 28/10/16 © MEI
integralmaths.org

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