Assign H
Assign H
market index return). This assignment will involve extensive modelling on excel.
(b) Estimation and analysis of Weighted Average Cost of
Capital (WACC). Measuring riskiness of the business. with extensive modelling on
excel.
Step 1
(a) Estimating and Analyzing Systematic Risk (Beta)
Modeling in Excel:
Here's a guide to estimate and analyze systematic risk (beta) for a healthcare
global organization using Excel:
Data Collection:
1. Stock Returns:
° Collect historical monthly (or quarterly) stock returns for the healthcare
organization.
° You can find this data from financial databases like Bloomberg, Reuters, or
directly from the company's website.
Explanation:
2. Market Returns:
° Collect historical returns for a broad market index relevant to the healthcare
sector.
° For a global organization, consider a global index like MSCI World Index.
Step 2
Calculation:
° Use the Data Analysis tool (in older versions) or Regression analysis
function in Excel.
° Set the dependent variable (Y) as the healthcare organization's excess
return.
° Set the independent variable (X) as the market excess return.
3. Interpret the Results:
° The slope coefficient of the regression line represents the beta of the
healthcare organization's stock.
° A beta of 1 indicates the stock's volatility aligns with the market.
° Beta > 1 suggests the stock is more volatile than the market, and vice versa
for beta < 1.
Explanation:
Further Analysis:
• Use a decent sample size (e.g., 5+ years of monthly data) for a more reliable
beta estimate.
• Be aware that beta is not constant and can change over time. Regularly
update your analysis with new data.
Step 3
(b) Estimating and Analyzing Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
Modeling in Excel:
Data Collection:
1. Cost of Equity:
° Use the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) with the estimated beta from
part (a) and a risk premium relevant to the healthcare sector.
2. Cost of Debt:
° Collect the company's current pre-tax cost of debt, which can be found in
financial statements or annual reports.
3. Capital Structure:
Explanation:
Calculation:
1. Calculate WACC:
Answer
Further Analysis:
Step 2
Estimation Steps:
1. Identify Components:
Explanation:
o Current Assets: Inventory (Raw materials, Work in progress, Finished
goods) & Accounts Receivable
o Current Liabilities: Accounts Payable
2. Calculate Holding Periods (in Days):
Explanation:
o Inventory Days: (Average Inventory / Cost of Goods Sold) ×365
o Receivables Days: (Accounts Receivable / Net Credit Sales) ×365
o Payables Days: (Accounts Payable / Cost of Goods Sold) ×365
3. Operating Cycle:
Explanation:
o Operating Cycle = Inventory Days + Receivables Days - Payables
Days
Step 3
Answer
By understanding the relationship between the operating cycle and working
capital requirements, businesses can create a financial model to estimate
their needs and perform simulations to assess the impact of different
scenarios. This proactive approach helps in managing cash flow effectively
and maintaining financial stability.