Business Math and Statas
Business Math and Statas
Business Mathematics
and Statistics
School of Management Studies
MATERIAL PRODUCTION
Mr. Y.N. Sharma Mr. Sudhir Kumar
Assistant Registrar (Publication) Section Officer (Pub.)
MPDD, IGNOU, New Delhi MPDD, IGNOU, New Delhi
January, 2020
© Indira Gandhi National Open University, 2020
ISBN:
All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form, by mimeograph or any other
means, without permission in writing from the Indira Gandhi National Open University.
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COURSE INTRODUCTION
This is one of the core courses in B.Com programme under CBCS scheme. The
main objective of this course is to familiarize the students with the application of
Mathematics and Statistical techniques which will facilitate in business decision
making. This course consists of two parts, viz., PART- A: Business Mathematics
comprising of 11 units and PART B: Business Statistics comprising of 7 units
(unit 12 to unit 18). The brief introduction of Part-A is as follows:
PART A: BUSINESS MATHEMATICS
This Part of the course, Business Mathematics, aims at introducing the learners to
basic mathematical applications in the area of matrices, differential calculus and
financial mathematics to solve simple business and economic problems. This part
consists of 11 Units.
MATRICES
Unit 1 : Introduction to matrices discusses the concept, types of matrices, matrix
algebra, Transpose of Matrix and its calculation.
Unit 2: Determinants explains computation of the value of determinants, its
properties minors and cofactors and application of cramer’s rule to solve system of
linear equations.
Unit 3: Inverse of Matrices defines the inverse matrix, its properties and
computation of methods of: i) determinant and Adjoint Route, ii) Elementary
Operations Route, explains inverse and Rank of a Matrix and systems of equations.
Unit 4: Application of Matrices in Business and Economics discusses
application and use of matrices for Business and Economic decision making.
DIFFERENTIAL CALCULUS
Unit 5: Mathematical Functions and Types defines functions and there types
such as algebraic, transcendental, and inverse and composite functions. Its also
deals with graph of some functions and functions relating to Business and
Economics.
Unit 6: Limit and continuity deals with the limit of a function its properties,
method of factorization and properties of continuity.
Unit 7: Differentiation covers the differentiation by first principle rule of
differentiation, standard derivatives. It also discusses differentiation of implicit
functions, using logarithms and parametric function.
Unit 8: Maxima & Minima Functions explains the higher order derivatives,
increasing and decreasing functions and also the function of maxima and minima.
Unit 9 Applications of differentials deals with demand and supply functions,
elasticity of demand and supply functions, average and marginal costs, revenue
functions and profit maximization.
BASIC MATHEMATICS OF FINANCE
Unit 10: Interest rates discusses meaning and concept of interest, different types
of interest and special cases of compound rate of interest.
Unit 11: Compounding and Discounting covers the calculation of normal and
effective rates of interest, present value and types of discounts.
s Introduction to
Structure
1.0 Objectives
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Matrix
1.2.1 Types of Matrices
1.3 Matrix Algebra
1.3.1 Equality of Matrices
1.3.2 Addition and subtraction of two Matrices
1.3.3 Multiplication of Matrix by a scalar quantity
1.3.4 Multiplication of Two Matrices
1. 4 Transpose of a Matrix
1.4.1 Symmetric Matrices
1.4.2 Skew Symmetric Matrices
1.4.3 Orthogonal Matrices
1.5 Let Us Sum Up
1.6 Key Words
1.7 Some Useful Books
1.8 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
1.9 Exercises with Answer/Hints
1.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to understand:
i) Basic concept of matrix;
ii) Types of the matrices;
iii) Basic operations of matrix algebra; and
iv) Transpose of a matrix.
1.1 INTRODUCTION
Matrix (matrices in plural) is an arrangement of numbers into rows and
columns. Because of its features of (i) compact notation for describing sets of
data and (ii)efficient methods for manipulating data sets, it becomes a handy
tool for finding solutions to problems which can be represented in linear
equation system. Needless to say, matrix algebra finds wide applications
covering the fields such as Engineering, Economics and Business, Sociology,
Statistics, Physics, Medicine and Information Technology. For a better
understanding of the applications, consider the following examples:
sociologists use matrices to study the dominance within a group;
demographers use these to study births and survivals, industries and
businesses take the help of matrices for fast and accurate in decision making
in the areas like evaluation of customers preferences to produce and sell.
Some use linear programming techniques that is based on matrix
formulations of data to maximise profit and thus plan production or 5
Business Mathematics availability of raw materials. Use also is made of the matrices to arrive at a
decision on the location of business, marketing of the products or arranging
financial resources. Economists use matrices to examine Inter-Industry flows,
for studying game theory and to construct the system of social accounting.
Moreover, in medical studies, scientists use data in matrix form to determine
a statistically valid rate of efficacy of a drug before prescribing it in hospitals
and pharmacies. Many IT companies also use matrices as data structures to
track user information, perform search queries, and manage databases.
1.2 MATRIX
Definition: A matrix is defined as a rectangular array of numbers arranged in
rows and columns enclosed by a pair of brackets viz., [ ] or ( ) . For
example, the following array of numbers shows a matrix as
11 42 22 84
10 15 60 25
41 28 45 51
On the basis of number of rows and columns that a matrix has, we decide its
dimension or its order. By convention, rows are expressed first while
columnssecond in a matrix. Since the above matrix has 3 rows and 4
columns, we say that its dimension (or order) is 3 x 4,
The numbers that appear in the rows and columns are called elements of the
matrix. In the matrix above, the element in the first column of the first row is
11; the element in the second column of the first row is 42. Following the
same logic, we can identify the other elements.
6
s The above matrix can also be written as Introduction to
Matrices
A = [aij}mxn where I = 1,2,3…m
J=1,2,3…..n
Indicating a m x n order matrix.
−2
0
� �
2
1
3) Rectangular Matrix: A matrix is said to be rectangular if the number
of rows is not equal to the number of columns.
Example 3:
3 7 9
� �
4 6 9
4) Square Matrix: A matrix in which the number of rows is equal to the
number of columns is called square matrix i.e., the matrix of order m x
n is a square matrix, if m = n.
Example 4:
1 −2 1 −3
−3 0 5 1
� �
2 2 1 −2
1 1 −1 2
5) Diagonal Matrix: A square matrix in which all the elements except the
diagonal elements are zero is called diagonal matrix.
Square Matrix A = [aij] is a diagonal matrix if aij = 0 for all I≠j
Example5:
1 0 0 0
0 −3 0 0
� �
0 0 1 0
0 0 0 2
7
Business Mathematics 6) Scalar Matrix: A diagonal matrix in which all the diagonal elements
are the same is called scalar matrix.
Example 6:
−3 0 0 0
0 −3 0 0
� �
0 0 −3 0
0 0 0 −3
7) Identity Matrix (Unit matrix):A scalar matrix in which all the
diagonal elements are one is called unit matrix or an identity matrix. An
identity matrix is denoted by capital letter I.
Example 7:
1 0 0 0
0 1 0 0
� �
0 0 1 0
0 0 0 1
8) Triangular Matrix: A square matrix is said to be triangular if all of its
elements above the main diagonal are zero (lower triangular
matrix) or all of its elements below the main diagonal are zero (upper
triangular matrix).
Example 8:
i) Lower Triangular Matrix
1 0 0 0
3 2 0 0
� �
5 −1 −1 0
−2 3 2 1
9) Null or Zero Matrix: A square matrix in which all the elements are
zero is called zero matrix or null matrix. It is denoted by capital
letter O.
Example 9:
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
� �
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
8
s 1 3 5 Introduction to
Example10: �3 2 −1� Matrices
5 −1 −1
−5 12 5 9
7 6 3 1
� �
3 2 0 5
8 7 −4 2
Also find diagonal elements.
3) Find x and y if
�+� 2 3 2
� � =� �
1 �−� 1 7
4) Classify the following matrices:
−5
1 0 0 1 0 0
7
(i)�0 1 0� (ii) �3 2 0 � (iii)� �
3
0 0 1 5 −1 −1
8
0 0 0 1 3 5
(iv)�7 6 3 1� (v)�0 0 0� (vi) �0 2 −1�
0 0 0 0 0 −1
8 0 0 0 1 3 5
0 8 0 0 1 3 5 3 2 −1
(vii)� � (viii)� � (ix)� �
0 0 8 0 5 −1 −1 5 −1 −1
0 0 0 8 2 1 3
10
s And Introduction to
Matrices
0 2 3 7 3 5
A - B =� � - � �
2 1 4 5 −1 −3
0−7 2−3 3−5 −7 −1 −2
=� � = � �
2 − 5 1 − (−1) 4 − (−3) −3 2 7
Negation of a Matrix: The negation of a Matrix A is denoted by –A which is
obtained by replacing all the elements of A by their negation. For example, if
1 3 5 −1 −3 −5
A=� � then –A = � �
5 −1 −1 −5 1 1
So, the subtraction of two matrices A and B can be expressed as the sum of A
and the negation of matrix B.
A – B = A + (-B)
1 3 5 5 1 3 6 1 −7
Let A = � �, B=� �, C=� �
5 −1 −1 6 −1 2 −2 0 5
0 0 0
and O = � �. Then
0 0 0
11
Business Mathematics 1 3 5 5 1 3 6 4 8
A+B=� �+� � =� �;
5 −1 −1 6 −1 2 11 −2 1
5 1 3 1 3 5 6 4 8
B+A=� � +� �=� � = A + B;
6 −1 2 5 −1 −1 11 −2 1
6 4 8 6 1 −7 12 5 1
(A +B) + C = � �+� �=� �;
11 −2 1 −2 0 5 9 −2 6
5 1 3 6 1 −7 11 2 −4
B+C=� � + � �=� �;
6 −1 2 −2 0 5 4 −1 7
1 3 5 11 2 −4 12 5 1
A + (B+C) = � �+� �=� � = (A + B)
5 −1 −1 4 −1 7 9 −2 6
+C;
1 3 5 0 0 0 1 3 5
A+O=� �+� � =� � = A and
5 −1 −1 0 0 0 5 −1 −1
1 3 5 −1 −3 −5 0 0 0
A + (-A) = � �+� � =� � = O.
5 −1 −1 −5 1 1 0 0 0
where
12
s Remark: In the matrix product AB, the matrix A is called the pre-factor and Introduction to
Matrices
matrix B is called post-factor.
Example 14:
0 1 2
1 3 5
Let A = � � and B = � 5 2 1�
5 −1 −1
−1 2 1
Here the order of matrix A is 2 x 3 and the order of matrix B is 3 x 3, so the
product AB is defined.
��� ��� ���
AB = �� ��� ��� �
��
10 17 10
Thus, AB = � �
−4 1 8
Consider these matrices A and B to see whether the product BA is defined.
You will find that it is not. Why? Because the number of columns in B is not
equal to the number of rows in A. This shows that matrix multiplication is
not commutative.
For two matrices A and B, if AB and BA both are defined, then it is not
necessary that they are equal.
1 3 1 2
For example, if A = � � and B = � � then
2 −1 3 4
10 14 5 1
AB = � � and BA = � �
−1 0 11 5
Here AB ≠ BA
For two matrices A and B if AB = O, then it is not necessary that either of
A, B is a null matrix.
Example 15:
1 0 0 0
Let A = � � and B = � �
0 0 0 1
0 0
Here AB = � � = O but neither A = O nor B = O.
0 0
Properties of Matrix Multiplication
1) Associativity: Matrix multiplication is associative. For three matrices
A, B and C of order m x n,n x p and p x q respectively,
(AB) C = A (BC)
13
Business Mathematics 2) Distributive over Addition: Matrix Multiplication is distributive over
matrix addition. For three matrices A, B and C of order m x n, n x p
and p x q respectively,
A (B+C) = AB + AC
3) Identity: For any matrix A of order m x n, there is an identity matrix In
of order n x n and an identity matrix Im of order m x m such that Im A =
A = A In.
For a square matrix A of order nxn, In A = A In = A
Example 16:
1 2 1 0 1 −1
If A = � �, B = � � and C = � �, then show that
3 4 2 −3 0 1
(I) (AB) C= A (BC)
(II) A (B+C) = AB + AC
(III) AI = IA = A
Solution:
1 2 1 0 5 −6
i) AB = � �� �=� �
3 4 2 −3 11 −12
5 −6 1 −1 5 −11
(AB) C = � �� �=� �
11 −12 0 1 11 −23
1 0 1 −1 1 −1
BC = � �� �=� �
2 −3 0 1 2 −5
1 2 1 −1 5 −11
A (BC) = � �� �=� �
3 4 2 −5 11 −23
Therefore, (AB) C= A (BC)
1 0 1 −1 2 −1
ii) B+C= � � +� �= � �
2 −3 0 1 2 −2
1 2 2 −1 6 −5
A (B+C) = � �� �= � �
3 4 2 −2 14 −11
1 2 1 0 5 −6
AB = � �� �=� �
3 4 2 −3 11 −12
1 2 1 −1 1 1
AC = � �� � =� �
3 4 0 1 3 1
5 −6 1 1 6 −5
AB + AC = � �+� �=� �
11 −12 3 1 14 −11
Therefore, A (B+C) = AB + AC
1 0 1 2 1 2
iii) IA= � �� �= � � =A
0 1 3 4 3 4
1 2 1 0 1 2
AI= � �� � = � � =A
3 4 0 1 3 4
14 Hence, AI = IA = A
s Introduction to
Check Your Progress 3 Matrices
1) Check the following two matrices. State if they are equal. Give reason
to support your answer.
1 3 1 3 6
� � and � �
5 4 5 4 8
2) Suppose that the following two matrices are equal. What are the values
of x and y?
1 3 � 3
�= � �, B=� �
5 4 5 �
3) When do you say matrix multiplication is defined?
4) Explain with example the Properties of Matrix Multiplication.
5) When would you say a matrix operation is not commutative?
6) Why would you say that matrix addition is associative?
Example17:
2 3 3 4 1 0
Let A = � �, B = � � and I = � �
0 1 2 1 0 1
2 0 2 3
A’ = � � and (A’)’ = � �=A
3 1 0 1
2 3 6 9
3A = 3 � �=� �
0 1 0 3
6 0 2 0 6 0
(3A)’ = � � and 3A’=3� �=� � = (3A)’
9 3 3 1 9 3
15
Business Mathematics 2 3 3 4 5 7
A+B=� �+� � = � �
0 1 2 1 2 2
5 2
(A + B)’ =� �
7 2
2 0 3 2 2 0 3 2 5 2
A’ = � � and B’ = � � so, A’ + B’ =� �+ � � =� � =
3 1 4 1 3 1 4 1 7 2
(A + B)’
2 3 3 4 12 11 12 2
AB = � �� � =� � and (AB)’ = � �
0 1 2 1 2 1 11 1
3 2 2 0 12 2
B’A’ = � �� � =� � = (AB)’
4 1 3 1 11 1
1 5 4
A’ = �5 2 −1� = A. So A is a Symmetric Matrix.
4 −1 3
0 5 4
A = �−5 0 −1�,
−4 1 0
0 −5 −4 0 5 4
A’ = �5 0 1 � = -�−5 0 −1� = -A. So A is a skew symmetric
4 −1 0 −4 1 0
matrix.
1 2 2
�
A = �� 2 1 −2�,
−2 2 −1
1 2 −2
�
A’ = � �2 1 2 �.
2 −2 −1
1 2 2 1 2 −2
� �
Now, AA’ = � � 2 1 −2� � �2 1 2�
−2 2 −1 2 −2 −1
16
s 9 0 0 1 0 0 Introduction to
� Matrices
= � �0 9 0� = �0 1 0� = I
0 0 9 0 0 1
Similarly, it also can be proved that A’A = I
18
s Check Your Progress 2 Introduction to
Matrices
1) Diagonal Elements:All the elements aijare called diagonal elements if
i=j. The elements a11, a22, a33 …ann are diagonal elements. In the above
matrices the diagonal elements are 1, 4 in matrix A and 2, 0, -2 are in
matrix B and 1, 0, 1, 2 are in matrix C.
2) a21 = 7, a34 = 5, a24 = 1 and a11 = -5. Diagonal Elements are -5, 6, 0, 2.
3) x = 5, y = -2.
4) (i) Identity Matrix (ii) Lower Triangular Matrix (iii) Column Matrix
(iv) Row Matrix (v) Null Matrix (vi) Upper Triangular Matrix (vii)
Scalar Matrix (viii) 2 x 3 Matrix (ix) 4 x 3 Matrix
Check Your Progress 3
1) These two matrices are not equal since they are not of the same dimensions.
2) � =1 and � =4
3) The matrix multiplication AB is defined only when the number of
columns in A is equal to the number of rows in B.
4) Explain associativity, distributive and identity properties.
5) Consider matrices A and B to see whether the product BA is defined. If
not, that could be due to the number of columns in B is not equal to the
number of rows in A. Such a result indicates that matrix multiplication
is not commutative.
6) Because (A+B) +C = A +(B+C)
Check Your Progress 4
1) The new matrix obtained by interchanging rows and columns of the
original matrix is called its transpose.
2 1
2 3 4
2) Get ���′
=�3 −5�, then transpose it to get ��′ �′ = � �
1 −5 9
4 9
3) Take an example such that ��′ = �′ �=I
4 0 � 0
� = �6 −2� , � = �6 � + 4�
�
3 1 �
1
4 0 � 0
Rewriting the matrices as �6 −2� = �6� � + 4�, then we solve for
3 1 �
1
x= 4, y = –6, and z = 9.
2) Why is matrix multiplication not commutative? 19
Business Mathematics Ans.: When we do not use square matrices, we cannot even try to
commute multiplied matrices as the sizes wouldn't match. But even
with square matrices, we don't have commutative feature always. For
example, consider case of 2×2 matrices A and B.
��� ��� ��� ���
Let � = �� ��� � and � = ���� �,
�� ���
��� ��� + ��� ��� ��� ��� + ��� ���
then, AB = � �
��� ��� + ��� ��� ��� ��� + ��� ���
��� ��� + ��� ��� ��� ��� + ��� ���
BA= � �
��� ��� + ��� ��� ��� ��� + ��� ���
It may be noted that these matrices are not be the same unless we make
some very specific restrictions on the values for A and B. Since we take
the rows from the first matrix and multiply by columns from the
second, such a process switching the order changes the values.
2 −5 1 3 4 0 7 −6 2
3) If A = � �, B = � � and C =� �,
−2 −1 4 5 −2 3 1 −4 11
then evaluate
i) A+B
ii) B–C
iii) 2A + B – C
5 −1 1 −4 10 −2
Ans.: (i)� � (ii)� �
3 −3 7 4 2 −8
0 0 0
(iii)� �
0 0 0
4) Find the matrices A and B from the following relations
6 −6 0 3 2 5
2A – B = � � and 2B + A = � �
−4 2 1 −2 1 −7
3 −2 1 0 2 2
Ans.: A = � � B=� �
−2 1 −1 0 0 −3
9 1 1 5
5) If A =� � and B =� �, find the matrix X such that 3A + 5B +
4 3 7 12
2X = O
−16 −14
Ans. X= � �
−47/2 −69/2
1 2 1 0 1 −1
6) If A =� � , B =� � and C =� � then show that
3 4 2 −3 0 1
(i) A (B + C) = AB + AC (ii) (AB)C = A(BC)
4 2
7) If A = � �, find (A – 2I) (A – 3I).
−1 1
1 2
8) If A = � �, show that products AA’ and A’A are symmetric but not
3 4
equal.
20
Determinants
UNIT 2 DETERMINANTS
Structure
2.0 Objectives
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Computation of Value of a Determinant
2.3 Properties of Determinants
2.4 Minors and Cofactors
2.5 Use of Cramer’s Rule in Determinants to Solve System of Linear
Equations
2.6 Let Sum Up
2.7 Key Words
2.8 Some Useful Books
2.9 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
2.10 Exercises with Answer/Hints
2.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to understand:
1) Basic concept of Determinant
2) Difference between matrix and determinant
3) Cofactors and Minors of a Determinant
4) Application of determinant in solving a system of linear equations
(Cramer’s Rule)
2.1 INTRODUCTION
In the preceding unit, we have seen simple operations of matrices which can
be used as a background material for obtaining solution in linear form
problems. In the present unit, we extend the discussion to determinant which
was discovered by Cramer during solving of system of linear equations.Note
that determinant is a numerical value and can be computed from the elements
of a square matrix.
The determinant of a matrix A is denoted det(A), det A, or |A|. Seen
geometrically, it can be viewed as the volume scaling factor of the linear
transformation described by the matrix. We get a determinant in positive or
negative value form.
As a base case, the value of determinant of a 1*1 matrix is the single value
itself.
That is to say that if the Matrix A has only one element, then the element
itself is the determinant of matrix A, i.e.,
2 3
For example, if A = � �then |A| = (2 x 2) – (1 x 3) = 4 – 3 = 1.
1 2
Determinant of a Matrix whose order is three (n=3)
� � �
Let A = �� � � �,
� ℎ �
� � � � � �
� �
Then ��� (�) = ��� � � � � � = �� � � � = � �� �
�−�� �+
ℎ � � �
� ℎ � � ℎ �
� �
�� �.
� ℎ
In other words, go across the first row of the matrix ,(� � �) . Multiply
each entry by the determinant of the2 × 2 matrix obtained from by
crossing out the row and column containing that entry.Then we add and
subtract the resulting terms, alternating signs (add the -term, subtract the
-term, add the -term.)
2 1 −1
For example, if � = �1 1 1 �, then
1 −2 −3
1 1 1 1 1 1
|A| = +2� � -1� �+ (-1)� �
−2 −3 1 −3 1 −2
= 2(-3 + 2) -1(-3 - 1) – 1(-2 - 1) = -2 + 4 + 3 = 5.
22
We can use the same method to compute the determinant of a 4 × 4 matrix.In Determinants
fact, the method seen above can be applied for any square matrix of any size.
Note that you don't have to use the first row only; you can use any row or any
column, as long as you know where to put the plus and minus signs. Thus,
1 6 5 1 3 −2
For example,� 3 2 1 � = �6 2 0 �
−2 0 −3 5 1 −3
1 6 5 −2 0 −3
For example,� 3 2 1 �=- � 3 2 1 �
−2 0 −3 1 6 5
1 6 5
For example,� 3 2 1� = 0
3 2 1
1 6 5 1 + (2�6) 6 5
For example,� 3 2 1 � = 56 and � + (2�2)
3 2 1 �=
−2 0 −3 −2 + (2�0) 0 −3
13 6 5
�7 2 1 � = 56
−2 0 −3
1 6 5 1 6 2+3 1 6 2
For example,� 3 2 1 �=� 3 2 0+1 �=� 3 2 0� +
−2 0 −3 −2 0 2 + (−5) −2 0 2
1 6 3
�3 2 1 �= - 24 + 80 = 56
−2 0 −5
24
��� ��� st st Determinants
the minor of a11 is �� ��� �, which is obtained by deleting 1 row and 1
��
column of
��� ��� nd
Similarly the minor of a22 is �� ��� � which is obtained by deleting 2
��
row and 2nd column of
7 9
The minor of a32 is � � = (7x4) – (9x3) = 28 – 27 = 1.
3 4
7 5
The minor of a23 is � � = (7x2) – (5x6) = 14 – 30 = -16.
6 2
Cofactor of an element of a determinant
The cofactor of an element of a determinant is the signed minor of that
element. The sign of minor is determined on the value of � and �, i.e., the
row and column in which the element exists. The cofactor of element��� is
denoted by ��� .
25
Business Mathematics Illustration:
1 6 5
For the matrix � = � 3 2 1 �, let us find out the cofactors of all the
−2 0 −3
elements of the corresponding determinant of the matrix.
2 1
A11 = (-1)1+1� � = (-1)1+1(2x-3 – 0x1) = -6 – 0 = -6.
0 −3
3 1
A12 = (-1)1+2� � = (-1)1+2(3x-3 – 1x-2) = -(-9 + 2) = 7.
−2 −3
3 2
A13 = (-1)1+3� � = (-1)1+3(3x0 – 2x-2) = (0+ 4)= 4.
−2 0
6 5
A21 = (-1)2+1� � = (-1)2+1(6x-3 – 5x0) = -(-18 –0) = 18.
0 −3
1 5
A22 = (-1)2+2� � = (-1)2+2(1x-3 – 5x-2) = (-3+10) = 7.
−2 −3
1 6
A23 = (-1)2+3� � = (-1)2+3(1x0 – 6x-2) = -(0+12) = -12.
−2 0
6 5
A31 = (-1)3+1� � = (-1)3+1(6x1 – 2x5) = 6 – 10 = -4.
2 1
1 5
A32 = (-1)3+2� � = (-1)3+2(1x1 – 5x3) = -(1 – 15)= 14.
3 1
1 6
A33 = (-1)3+3� � = (-1)3+3(1x2 – 6x3) = 2 – 18 = -16.
3 2
Miscellaneous Examples:
1 2 0 −1
3 −1 4 1
Example1: If A = � � , find |A|.
−2 0 −3 3
4 3 1 2
Solution:
1 2 0 −1
3 −1 4 1
�=� �
−2 0 −3 3
4 3 1 2
−1 4 1 3 4 1 3 −1 1
|A| = 1� 0 −3 3� - 2�−2 −3 3� + 0�−2 0 3� – (-
3 1 2 4 1 2 4 3 2
3 −1 4
1)�−2 0 −3�
4 3 1
|A| = 1M11 – 2M12 + 0M13 +1M14
−1 4 1
M11 = � 0 −3 3� = (-1)(-6 – 3) -4(0 – 9) + 1(0 +9) = 9 + 36 + 9 = 54
3 1 2
26
3 4 1 Determinants
M12 = �−2 −3 3� = 3(-6 – 3) - 4(-4 – 12) + 1(-2 + 12) = -27 +64 +10 =47
4 1 2
3 −1 1
M13 = �−2 0 3� = 3(0 – 9) +1(-4 – 12) + 1(-6 – 0) = -27 -16 - 6 = -49
4 3 2
3 −1 4
M14 = �−2 0 −3� = 3(0 + 9) +1(-2 + 12) + 4(-6 – 0) = 27 + 10 - 24 =
4 3 1
13.
|A| = 1M11 – 2M12 + 0M13 +1M14
|A| =1x54 – 2x47 + 0x(-49) + 1x13
= 54 – 94 + 0 + 13 = -27.
0 �� � �� �
Example2: Evaluate ��� � 0 �� � �
�� � ��� 0
Solution:
Take common a from first row, b from second row and c from third row.
0 �� � �� � 0 �� ��
��� � � � = abc� �
0 �� � 0 ���
�� � ��� 0 �� �� 0
Now, take common a2 from first column, b2 from second column and c2 from
0 1 1
third column. We obtain a3b3c3�1 0 1� = a3b3c3 [0(0 – 1) – 1(0 – 1) + 1(1
1 1 0
-0)] = a3b3c3[0+1+1) = 2 a3b3c3.
27
Business Mathematics
2.5 USE OFCRAMER’S RULEIN
DETERMINANTS TO SOLVE SYSTEM OF
LINEAR EQUATIONS
Cramer’s Rule:
This method was given by Swiss mathematician Gabriel Cramer to solve a
system of � linear equations in � variables using determinants.
Let the system of n linear equations with n variable x1, x2, x3, x4,……xn be
a11x1 + a12x2 + a13x3 + …………..+ a1nxn = b1
a21x1 + a22x2 + a23x3 + …………..+ a2nxn = b2
.
.
.
an1x1 + an2x2 + an3x3 + …………..+ annxn= b. The above system can be written in
Matrix form
AX = B
��� ��� ��� . ��� �� ��
���� ��� ��� . ��� � � �� � � �
��
�
where A= ���� ��� ��� . ��� �� , X = ���� �� and B = ���� ��
� . . . . . � � . � � . �
���� ��� ��� . ��� � ��� � ��� �
28
�� ��� ��� . ��� Determinants
� ��� ��� . ���
� � �
� �� ��� ��� . ��� � = D1
. . . . .
�� ��� ��� . ���
��
� �
�
� ��
Where D1 is the determinant of A after replacing first column by ��� �
� . �
��� �
��
So x1 D = D1 which provides x1 = �
��
� �
�
� ��
where Dnis the determinant of A after replacing nth column by ��� �
� . �
��� �
Illustrations:
i) Solve the following system of equations by Cramer’s Rule.
x – 4y –z = 11
2x – 5y +2z = 39
-3x + 2y + z = 1
Solution:
1 −4 −1
We have D = � 2 −5 2 � = 1(-5 -4) + 4(2 + 6) -1(4 – 15) = -9 +32 + 11 = 34
−3 2 1
Here D ≠ 0, so solution is unique and can be obtained as
�� �� ��
x= �
,y= �
,z= �
29
Business Mathematics 11 −4 −1
D1 = �39 −5 2 � = 11(-5 – 4) + 4(39 – 2) - 1(78 + 5) = -99 + 148 - 83 = -34
1 2 1
1 11 −1
D2 = � 2 39 2 � = 1(39 –2) – 11(2 + 6) – 1(2 + 117) = 37 – 88 –119 = -170
−3 1 1
1 −4 11
D3 = � 2 −5 39� = 1(-5 –78) + 4(2 + 117) +11(4 –15) = -83 + 476 –121 = 272
−3 2 1
�� ��� �� ���� �� ���
So, x = �
= ��
= -1, y = �
= ��
= -5 and z = �
= ��
=8
30
Since D = 0 and D1 ≠ 0, so the system has no solution. The system is Determinants
inconsistent.
33
Business Mathematics 3) Take 2� + � = 5 and −� + � = 2. When working together, we have a
system.
4) A system of linear equations is called inconsistent if it has no solutions.
34
Inverse of Matrices
UNIT 3 INVERSE OF MATRICES
Structure
3.0 Objectives
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Inverse Matrix
3.2.1 Definition of Inverse Matrix
3.2.2 Properties of Inverse Matrix
3.2.3 Inverting a 2 × 2 Matrix
3.2.4 Computing Inverse of Bigger Matrices
3.3 Matrix Inverse Method: Determinant and Adjoint Route
3.3.1 Adjoint of a Matrix
3.3.2 Computation of Inverse using Adjoint of a Matrix
3.4 Matrix Inverse Method: Elementary Operations Route
3.4.1 Elementary Matrix Operations
3.4.2 Computation of Inverse using Elementary Row Operations
3.5 Inverse and Rank of a Matrix
3.5.1 Rank of a Matrix
3.5.2 Linear Independence
3.5.3 Invertibility and Rank of a Matrix
3.6 Solving System of Linear Equations by Matrix Inverse
3.6.1 Systems of Equations
3.7 Let Us Sum Up
3.8 Key Words
3.9 Some Useful Books
3.10 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
3.11 Exercises with Answer/Hints
3.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to understand:
1) Concept of the inverse of a matrix
2) Finding Inverse of a matrix using adjoint
3) Elementary operations
4) Finding Inverse of a matrix using elementary operations
5) Rank of a matrix
3.1 INTRODUCTION
In the first unit of this block under the title, ‘Introduction to Matrices’, we
have seen matrix operations of addition, subtraction and multiplication.
However, as it may be recalled, there was no discussion on division of a 35
Business Mathematics matrix. It is because of the underlying reason that a matrix cannot be divided.
While we cannot do that, there is a related concept to work with for that
purpose. It is called "inversion" of a matrix.
To get an intuitive idea of inverse, it is useful to recall that a simple equation
like 4� = 8 is solved if divided both the sides by 4. The result of such a
move is the solution of x=2. Just note that instead of dividing by 4, we could
have resorted to multiplication of ¼ in both the sides of the equation to solve
the problem and the answer could have been 2. What is done is to take the
help of reciprocal of 4/1 in the multiplication. Thus, reciprocal ¼ is the
inversion of 4/1.We get 1 on multiplying 4/1 with its reciprocal 1/4. Matrix
inversion can be thought of similar to such an operation with reciprocal
numbers.
1 6 5
�=� 3 2 1 �
−2 0 −3
and verify the theorem �. ���(�) = ���(�). � = |�|. ��
Solution:
��� ��� ���
���(�) = transpose of ���� ��� ��� �
��� ��� ���
1 6 5
Given that � = � 3 2 1 �, let us find out the cofactors of all the elements
−2 0 −3
of the matrix.
2 1
A11 = (-1)1+1� � = (-1)1+1(2x-3 – 0x1) = -6 – 0 = -6.
0 −3
3 1
A12 = (-1)1+2� � = (-1)1+2(3x-3 – 1x-2) = -(-9 + 2) = 7.
−2 −3
3 2
A13 = (-1)1+3� � = (-1)1+3(3x0 – 2x-2) = (0 + 4) = 4.
−2 0
6 5
A21 = (-1)2+1� � = (-1)2+1(6x-3 – 5x0) = -(-18 – 0) = 18.
0 −3
1 5
A22 = (-1)2+2� � = (-1)2+2(1x-3 – 5x-2) = -3 +10 = 7.
−2 −3
1 6
A23 = (-1)2+3� � = (-1)2+3(1x0 – 6x-2) = -(0 + 12) = -12.
−2 0
6 5
A31 = (-1)3+1� � = (-1)3+1(6x1 – 2x5) = 6 – 10 = -4.
2 1
1 5
A32 = (-1)3+2� � = (-1)3+2(1x1 – 5x3) = -(1 – 15) = 14.
3 1
1 6
A33 = (-1)3+3� � = (-1)3+3(1x2 – 6x3) = 2 – 18 = -16.
3 2
−6 7 4
So ���(�) = transpose of � 18 7 −12�
−4 14 −16
−6 18 −4
���(�) = � 7 7 14 �
4 −12 −16
Also |�| = 1(-6 – 0) – 6(-9 + 2)+5(0 + 4)
= -6 + 42 + 20 = 56
Now,
1 6 5 −6 18 −4
�. ���(�) = � 3 2 1 �� 7 7 14 �
−2 0 −3 4 −12 −16
39
Business Mathematics −6 + 42 + 20 18 + 42 − 60 −4 + 84 − 80
= �−18 + 14 + 4 54 + 14 − 12 −12 + 28 − 16�
12 + 0 − 12 −36 + 0 + 36 8 + 0 + 48
56 0 0
=�0 56 0 �……………………………………………. (I)
0 0 56
Similarly,
−6 18 −4 1 6 5
���(�). � = � 7 7 14 � � 3 2 1 �
4 −12 −16 −2 0 −3
−6 + 54 + 8 −36 + 36 − 0 −30 + 18 + 12
= � 7 + 21 − 28 42 + 14 + 0 −12 + 28 − 16�
12 + 0 − 12 −36 + 0 + 36 8 + 0 + 48
56 0 0
=� 0 56 0 � ……………………………………………….. (II)
0 0 56
56 0 0 1 0 0
�0 56 0 � = 56 �0 1 0� = |�|. �� ………………….. (III)
0 0 56 0 0 1
From (I), (II) and (III),
���(�). � = �. ���(�) = |�|. ��
40
The cofactors of elements of matrix � are Inverse of Matrices
A11 = (2 – 4) =-2
A12 = -(-6 – 8) =14
A13 = (3+2) =5
A21 = -(4 – 3) = -1
A22= (-2 – 6) =-8
A23 = -(1 + 4) =-5
A31 = (-8 + 3) =-5
A32 = -(4 – 9) = 5
A33 = (-1 + 6) = 5
��� ��� ���
���(�) = transpose of � ��
� ��� ��� �
��� ��� ���
−2 14 5
= transpose of �−1 −8 −5�
−5 5 5
−2 −1 −5
=� 14 −8 5 �
5 −5 5
���(�)
Since ��� = |�|.
,
−2 −1 −5
�
��� = − �� � 14 −8 5 �
5 −5 5
1 −2 3 −2 −1 −5
�
So, � × ��� = �3 −1 4 �.( − ��) � 14 −8 5 �
2 1 −2 5 −5 5
−2 − 28 + 15 −1 + 16 − 15 −5 − 10 + 15
�
=− �� �−6 − 14 + 20 −3 + 8 − 20 −15 − 5 + 20�
−4 + 14 − 10 −2 − 8 + 10 −10 + 5 − 10
−15 0 0 1 0 0
�
=− �� � 0 −15 0 � = �0 1 0� = I3
0 0 −15 0 0 1
Similarly, it also can be proved that ��� × � = ��
2 3 10 4
Example 4: Find the matrix � such that � �� = � �
−1 4 −5 9
Solution:
2 3 10 4
Let � = � � and B = � �.
−1 4 −5 9
So, the above relation can be rewritten as �� = �
Consequently, � = ��� �
41
Business Mathematics Here |�|= (2x4 – (-1x3) = 8+3 = 11.
��� ���
���(�) = transpose of � �
��� ���
4 1
= transpose of � �
−3 2
4 −3
=� �
1 2
���(�) � 4 −3
��� = , so, A-1=�� � �
|�|. 1 2
� = ��� �
Hence,
� 4 −3 10 4
= �� � �� �
1 2 −5 9
� 40 + 15 16 − 27
= �� � �
10 − 10 4 + 18
� 55 −11
= �� � �
0 22
5 −1
=� �.
0 2
Example 5: If �is a square matrix of order 3 and ���� = 5 then what is
��� [(2�)�� ]?
Solution: If � is of order 3 then, ��� is also of order 3. Again, ��� (��) =
� � (det A) where � is the order of the matrix. A determinant being a scalar
�
number, ��� � = ��� ���. Thus, ��� [(2�)�� ] = 2� ���[�] and ���[��� ] =
� �
�.�
= �� .
1 2−2 1 0 0
� � �
�0 1− �� = � � � 0� �
0 −2 1 0 0 1
Apply R1→� 1 - 2R2
� � �
�1 0 − �� �
−� 0
�0 1 − �� = � �
0�
�
� �� � �
�0 – 2 1 � 0 0 1
Apply R3→� 3 + R1
� � �
�1 0 − �� �� − � 0�
� �� �� � �
�0 1 − �� = �� � 0� �
� � � �� � �
�0 0 � � �� � 1�
Apply R3→5R3
� � �
1 0 −� �
−� 0
�0 �� = � �
0� �
�
1 − � � �
0 0 1 2 2 5
�
Apply R1→� 1+� R3 and
�
R2→� 2 + � R3
44
1 0 0 3 2 6 Inverse of Matrices
�0 1 0� = �1 1 2� �
0 0 1 2 2 5
3 2 6
So, A-1 = �1 1 2�
2 2 5
Check Your Progress 3
1) What is an elementary matrix?
2) When would you get elementary matrices?
3) List the three kinds of elementary matrix operations
4) James obtained a square matrix from another matrix by applying
elementary operations. Then he said of deriving a rectangular matrix
due to operations. Would you say James is correct? Give reasons to
support your answer.
5) State the meaning of elementary operators.
����(��×� ) ≤ min (�, �) where ���( �, �) denotes the smaller of the two
numbers m and n (or their common value if m = n). For example, the rank of
a 3 x 5 matrix can be no more than 3, and the rank of a 4 x 2 matrix can be no
more than 2. Note that the rank of matrix A is denoted by ρ(A).
45
Business Mathematics Remarks
• A zero matrix or Null matrix is said to have rank zero.
• The elementary transformations do not alter the rank of a matrix.
As linear independence is associated with the identification of the rank of a
matrix, it seems pertinent to understand the concept clearly.
46
3.5.3 Invertibility and Rank of a Matrix Inverse of Matrices
1 0
1 2
� � = �2 1� �
0 1 −
5 5
Further, taking
�� → �� − 2�� we get
1 0 1/5 2/5
� �=� ��
0 1 2/5 −1/5
giving ��� = 1/5 2/5 .
� �
2/5 −1/5
Also we can assess that less than full rank square matrix is not invertible.
Example 9: Let � is the 4 x 4 matrix of
Since �� = �� = −�� and �� = ��, all rows but the first will vanish. As only 1
nonzero row remains, rank C = 1. So, the matrix is not invertible.
Although there are many ways to solve systems of linear equations like the
ones at our disposal, we solve systems of equations by using inverse
matrices.
Note that the present method of solution can be obtained by going through
two steps, viz.,
i) find the coefficient matrix and its inverse matrix and
ii) use the inverse matrix to solve the equations.
The coefficient matrix is consisted of coefficients, or, numbers in front of
each variable in the system of equations.
Seen in terms of the above example, in the first equation the coefficients are 1
of � and 2 of �. In the second equation, we have 3 of � and 5 of �. Their
arrangement in matrix form will generate a 2x2 matrix. Let us call it
matrix A. Thus, we have the coefficient matrix of
1 2
�=� �
3 5
In the coefficient matrix, the elements of first row are the coefficients of the
first equation whereas the second row is composed of the coefficients from
the second equation. Again, the first column of the matrix is formed from the
coefficients of the �'s and the second column are the coefficients of the �'s.
Since we have two variables, we will have a 2x1 matrix called variable
matrix. So, the variable matrix is
�
� = �� �
A third matrix, called the constant matrix, contains the constants of the
system of equations. Let us call this matrix �,whichis a 2x1 matrix because it
has two rows and one column.
Write it as
50
�=� �
140
With these arrangements, we have a system of equations inmatrix form which
can be used to solve the system and find the answer.
Now that we know the required matrices, putting them together, a matrix
equation is obtained. Such an equation contains a coefficient matrix, a
variable matrix and a constant matrix, making use of which the system be
solved. Essentially, we know that if we multiply matrix � times matrix �, it
will equal matrix �.
50
1 2 −2 1 0 0 Inverse of Matrices
�0 −5 5 � = �−2 1 0� �
0 −3 −1 −1 0 1
��
From R2→ � R2
1 2 −2 1 0 0
� �
�0 1 −1� = � � − � 0� �
0 −3 −1 −1 0 1
From R1→ R1 - 2 R2 and
R3→ R3 + 3 R2
� �
1 0 0 �� � 0�
�� � �
�0 1 −1� = �� − � 0� �
0 0 −4 �� � �
�� − � 1�
��
From R3→ � R3 ,
� �
� � 0�
1 0 0 �
� � � �
�0 1 −1� = � � −� 0 ��
0 0 1 � � � ��
�− �� �� − ��
From R2→ R2 + R3
� �
0�
1 0 0 � �� �
� � ��
�0 1 0� = � �� − �� − �� �
0 0 1 � � � ��
�− �� �� − ��
� �
� � �
0�
� � � ��
So,��� = � �� − �� − ��
� � � ��
�− �� �� − ��
Taking � = ��� �, we get
� �
0�
� � � � −7
� � � ��
��� = � �� − �� − �� � 6 �
� � � � �� −3
�− �� �� − ��
�� ��
� � + � +0�
� �� � ��
=�− �� − �� + ��
� � �� � �
� �� + �� + � �
�
� � �
� ���
=�− ���
� �� �
� �� � 51
Business Mathematics � 1
�
� �=�−2�
� 2
So, x=1; y=-2; and z=2.
4) Find values for each of the unknowns that will satisfy every equation in
the system.
55
Business Mathematics 1 2 3
A = �3 4 5�
4 6 8
11) Given the following matrix, examine its rank and find its inverse
using the method of adjoint. Comment on its invertibility.
2 2 −1
�4 0 2�
0 6 −3
Answers
3 −4 −5
1) �−9 1 4�
−5 3 1
32 9 2 −1 −4 2
3) (I) � � (II)� � (III)� �
−110 −30 −7 4 14 −8
�
4) ����
�
� � �
� �� �� � �
� �� � ��
5) If A = �− �� ��
− ��
� � � ��
�−� �
− ��
6) x = 3; y = 4; z = 6
7) Equations have no solution.
8) 2
9) x=1
10) Since A is a square matrix of order 3 so ρ(A)≤ 3
Now,
|A|= 1(32 – 30) - 2(24 – 20) + 3(18-16) = 2 – 8 + 6 =0
|A| is the only minor of order 3 which is zero however a minor of
order 2 is not equal to zero, viz.
1 2
� � = 4 – 6 = -2 ≠ 0.
3 4
So, a square matrix with less than full rank is not invertible.
11) The matrix is linearly independent with a rank 3. Determinant is -24
and inverse of the matrix is
0.5 0 −0.17
�−0.5 0.25 0.33 � .
−1 0.5 0.33
56
Application of
UNIT 4 APPLICATION OF MATRICES IN Matrices in Business
and Economics
BUSINESS AND ECONOMICS
Structure
4.0 Objectives
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Matrix Representation of Data
4.3 Market Demand and Supply Equilibrium
4.4 National Income Model
4.5 Input-Output Analysis
4.5.1 Assumptions
4.5.2 Input-Output Table
4.5.3 Technological Coefficient Matrix
4.5.4 Hawkins-Simon Conditions
4.5.5 Closed and Open Input-Output Models
4.6 Let Us Sum Up
4.7 Key Words
4.8 Some Useful Books
4.9 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
4.10 Exercises with Answer/Hints
4.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to understand application of
matrices to
• Matrix Representation of Data;
• Market demand and supply Equilibrium;
• National Income Model; and
• Input-Output Analysis.
4.1 INTRODUCTION
In the preceding Unit 3, we have learnt Solving System of Linear Equations
by matrix algebra. The present unit discusses application of the tool to some
of the themes in business and economics. It may be useful to note that matrix
algebra is widely used many areas including those of demand-supply
equilibrium, national income determination and input-output analysis. We see
such applications in the following.
����������
� �� �� �� ��
�� 15 17 20 12
Factories �� 21 10 17 19
�� 10 27 18 16
Answer:
i) Per unit cost is minimum from F1, F2 and F3 to W4, W2 and W1
respectively.
ii) Per unit maximum cost from F1, F2 and F3 to W3, W1 and W2
respectively.
Example 2: In an elocution contest, a participant can speak either of the five
languages, viz., Hindi, English, Punjabi, Gujarati and Tamil. A college (say,
No.1) sent 30 students of which 10 offered to speak in Hindi, 9 in English, 6
in Punjabi, 3 in Gujarati and rest in Tamil. Another college (say, No.2) sent
25 students of which 7 spoke in Hindi, 8 in English, 10 in Punjabi. Out of 22
students from third college (say, No.3), 12 offered to speak in Hindi, 5 in
English and 5 in Gujarati.
Write the information given above in matrix form.
Answer:
Hindi English Punjabi Gujarati Tamil
College 1 10 9 6 3 2
College 2 7 8 10 0 0
College 3 12 5 0 5 0
58
Using matrix notation, find Application of
Matrices in Business
i) The total number of posts of each kind in all the offices taken together. and Economics
ii) The total basic monthly salary bill of each kind of office and,
iii) The total basic monthly salary bill of all the offices taken together.
Answer:
The number of offices can be arranged in a row matrix:
Division District Taluka
� = [ 5 30 200 ]
Staff compostion can be arranged in 3 x 6 matrix
O H C T Cl P
1 1 1 1 3 2
� = �0 1 1 0 2 2�
0 1 1 0 1 1
where O = Office Superintendent
H = Head Clerk
C = Cashier
T = Typist
Cl = Clerk
P = Peon
The column matrix D will have the elements that correspond to basic
monthly salary
� 15000
� �12000�
� �11750��
�= �
� �11500�
�� �11500�
� � 7500 �
i) Total Number of posts of each kind in all the offices are the columns of
the matrix ��
1 1 1 1 3 2
�. � = [5 30 200] �0 1 1 0 2 2� =
0 1 1 0 1 1
[3 235 235 5 275 270]
ii) Total basic monthly salary bill of each kind of offices is the elements of
matrix ��
15000
�12000�
1 1 1 1 3 2 � � 99750
11750�
�. � = �0 1 1 0 2 2� � = �61750�
�11500�
0 1 1 0 1 1 42750
�11500�
� 7500 �
59
Business Mathematics iii) Total bill of all the offices is the element of the matrix
99750
[5 30 200] �61750� = [10901250]
42750
Check Your Progress 1
1) Why would you prefer to store data of a business operation in matrix
form?
2) You use two modes of travel, bus and train, while commuting between
home and your study centre. The cost of travel for the last two days is
recorded as follows:
Day one: Rs. 20 (in bus)+Rs. 30(in train)=Rs.50 (total)
Day two: Re.0 (in bus)+ Rs. 60 (in train)=Rs. 60 (total)
Write the above data in matrix format.
3) The total cost of manufacturing three types of motor car is given by the
following table:
Labour cost Rs 2 per hour, units of material cost Rs 1 each and unit of
sub-contracted work cost Rs 3 per unit. Find the total cost of
manufacturing 3000, 2000 and 1000 vehicles of type A, type B and
type C respectively using matrices.
60
Since we have worked out the equilibrium price, we can solve for the Application of
Matrices in Business
equilibrium quantity by simply substituting � = 8 into the supply or the and Economics
demand equation. That is, if � is substituted into the supply equation to get:
S = 28 + 3x8 = 28 + 24 = 52.
Thus, the equilibrium price = 8, and the equilibrium quantity = 52.
However, this simple market formulation presupposes that the demand for
and the supply of a commodity are not influenced by other factors such as
prices of substitutes and complementary goods. In reality such types of
assumptions do not hold good. To accommodate such scenarios a better
option could be an inclusion of prices of other commodities also into demand
and supply equations.
It may be useful to point out that the above-mentioned approach to demand-
supply equilibrium can be extended to a larger number of interrelated markets
of related commodities. In such a framework, the equilibrium prices and
quantities of the included commodities comprising a large number of supply
and demand equations can be obtained using a system of simultaneous
equations. We do not undertake such an exercise at present. But to
understand the underlying process, let us consider a two-commodity market
model and solve for equilibrium price-quantity combinations with the help of
techniques of matrix algebra.
Example 5: Consider a two-commodity (x and y) market model given by
Demand Equations:
�� = 11 − 2�� + �� ;
�� = 8 + �� − �� .
Supply Equations:
�� = 1 + 3�� ;
�� = 6 + �� .
where,�� and �� →quantity demanded for xandy;
�� ��� �� → quantity supplied of xandy;and
�� and �� → price of x and y.
Find the equilibrium prices and quantities.
Equilibrium condition for x:
�� = �� = �� .
Therefore, in terms of the given equations we have
11 − 2�� + �� = 1 + 3��
or, 3�� + 2�� − �� = 11 − 1
or,5�� − �� = 10 --- (1)
Again, set the equilibrium condition for y, i.e.,
�� = �� = ��
61
Business Mathematics or, 8 + �� − �� = 6 + ��
or, �� − 2�� = 6 − 8
or, −�� + 2�� = 2 --- (2)
Writing equations (1) and (2) together in the matrix form, we have
5 −1 �� 10
� �� � = � �
−1 2 �� 2
Next, solve the above equation system for the two prices by the matrix
inverse method.
�� 5 −1 �� 10
Hence,�� � = � � � �.
� −1 2 2
5 −1 5 −1 2 1
As Determinant of � � = 9 and adjoint of � �=� �.
−1 2 −1 2 1 5
5 −1 �� 0.22 0.11
� � =� �.
−1 2 0.11 0.56
5 −1 �� 10 2.42
Thus, � � � �=� �
−1 2 2 2.22
�� 2.42
So, �� � = � �,
� 2.22
yielding equilibrium prices, �� = 2.42 and �� = 2.22.
Plugging these prices into demand equations we get the equilibrium
quantities of x and y.
Thus, �� = 8.38 and �� = 8.20.
Besides the matrix inversion method used above in solving for equilibrium
price-quantity, we may also be used Cramer’s rule to obtain the results.
I= 10
Find Y and C.
Putting the value of I from the third equation into the first equation
Y = C + 10
or,Y - C = 10 (6)
�
Again, the second equationC= 5 + � �can be rearranged as
�
-� � +C=5 (7)
63
Business Mathematics Equations (6) and (7) can be written in the matrix equation as
1 −1 � 10
�−� 1 � �� � = � 5 � (8)
�
4.5.1 Assumptions
The economy is divided into finite number of sectors (industries) on the basis
of the following assumptions:
i) Each industry produces only one homogeneous output.
ii) Production of each sector is subject to constant returns to scale, i.e.,
two-fold change in every input will result in an exactly two-fold change
in the output.
iii) Input requirement per unit of output in each sector remains fixed and
constant. The level of output in each sector (industry) uniquely
determines the quantity of each input, which is purchased. Moreover, if
5 men per Rs. 100000 of investment are required at any level of
operation, it is assumed that the same ratio will be required no matter
how much the size of the firm expands or contracts.
64
iv) The final demand for the commodities is given from outside the Application of
Matrices in Business
system. The total amount of the primary factor (e.g., labour) is also and Economics
given. Presence of these two assumptions makes the system open ended
and for this, the model is called ‘open model’. In contrast to this, in the
‘closed model’, all the variables are determined within the system.
It is important to note that items in the above table are physical units per
year. Since the entries in any row are all measured in the same physical units,
there is no problem in undertaking addition across the rows. The ‘total
output’ column gives output of each commodity and the overall input of
labor. However, items in the same column are not measured in the same
units, so that it would not be correct to add down the columns.
It may be seen from the table that requirements of the first industry are
recorded in the third column: X1 units of output of the first industry was
produced with the use of X11 units of first good, X21 units of second good and
L1 units of labor. Similar meanings will follow for other column, i.e.,
Columns 2 and 4. The ‘final demand’ i.e., Column (5), shows the commodity
available for consumption. It is assumed that labor is not consumed directly.
If we suppose that each unit of output of each industry has a price of Re.1
and each unit of labor receives a wage rate of Re.1, then each entry of the
above table can be expressed in terms of money value (rather than being a
physical unit). It is then possible to add down the columns. The sum of each
column gives the total cost of the corresponding industry. Thus, revenue of
65
Business Mathematics industry 1 accrues from the sale of X1 units (= X11 + X12+ F1) and cost of that
industry is (X11 + X21 + L1) units. It is true for the other industry also.
Taking into account the producing sectors we can write the total output in
each as
�� = X11 + X12 + F1 (1)
X2 = X21 + X22 + F2 (2)
and
L = L1 + L2
That is, �� = ∑���� ��� + �� and � = ∑���� ��
Here, Xi = total output of the ith sector, Xij = output of ith sector used as input
in jth sector, and Fi = final demand for ith sector.
The above identity states that all the output of a particular sector could be
utilised as an input in one of the producing sectors of the economy and/or as
a final demand. Basically, therefore, I-O analysis is nothing more than
finding the solution of these simultaneous equations.
input coefficients, by replacing ��� = ��� �� in equations (1) and (2). Thus,
for out two producing sector economy,
�� = ��� �� + ��� �� + ��
or, �� − ��� �� − ��� �� = ��
or, (1 − ��� )�� − ��� �� = �� (3)
Similarly,
�� = ��� �� + ��� �� + ��
or, −��� �� + �� − ��� �� = ��
or, −��� �� + (1 − ��� )�� = �� (4)
Writing equations (3) and (4) in the matrix form
1 − ��� −��� �� �
� � � � = � �� (5)
−��� 1 − ��� �� ��
1 − ��� −���
See that matrix � � can be obtained by subtracting
−��� 1 − ���
��� ��� 1 0
A=�� �, an input coefficient matrix from � = � �,an identity
�� ��� 0 1
1 0 ��� ���
matrix, i.e., � − � = � � − �� �.
0 1 �� ���
�� � 1 − ��� ��� �
Therefore, � �= � � � ��
�� � ��� 1 − ��� ��
67
Business Mathematics (����� )�� ������ ����� �(����� )��
or, �� = , �� = where, D
� �
1 − ��� −���
=� �= (1 − ��� ) (1 − ��� ) – ��� ���
−��� 1 − ���
This condition stipulates that the direct and indirect requirement of any
commodity to produce one unit of that commodity must also be less than one.
0.1 −0.1
Example 7: Suppose [I-A] =� �
−0.8 0.2
0.1 −0.1
Then from [I-A] = � � we can get the value of the determinant [I-
−0.8 0.2
A] = (-) 0.06, which is less than zero. As the Hawkins-Simon conditions are
not satisfied, no solution will be possible in this case.
1 20 30 50
2 0 60 60
3) Labour hours, material used and sub-contracted work for three types of
cars A, B, and C matrix:
40 100 50
X =� 80 150 80 �, labour cost per unit, material cost and cost of
100 250 100
2 330
sub-contracted work Y = �1�, cost of each car A, B, C = XY=�550�,
3 750
total cost of manufacturing three cars A, B, C is given by the matrix
330
XYZ = [3000 2000 1000] �550� =[990000 + 1100000 + 750000]
750
= [2840000]
Check Your Progress 2
1) Consider demand and supply equations which include factor(s)
influencing quantity of supply and demand besides own price of the
commodity.
2) Use Cramer’s rule.
3) Demand equals supply.
Check Your Progress 3
1) � > 0 and 0 < � < 1.
70
2) Income and consumption. Application of
Matrices in Business
3) Do yourself after reading the method given in Section 4.3. and Economics
I = 10
G = 10
Using matrix inverse method, find Y and C.
Answers
1) Let �� = the total output of the electric company (�)
�� = the total output of the natural gas company (�)
�� = the total output of the oil company (�)
Total amount of electricity needed is the sum of amounts of electricity
needed to produce electricity, natural gas and oil (internal demand) plus
the final (external) demand of electricity.
�� =.30�� + .30�� + .10�� + 25
Total amount of natural gas needed is the sum of amounts of natural
gas needed to produce electricity, natural gas and oil (internal demand)
plus the final (external) demand of natural gas.
�� =.10�� + .10�� + .10�� + 15
Total amount of oil needed is the sum of amounts of oil needed to
produce electricity, natural gas and oil (internal demand) plus the final
(external) demand of oil.
�� =.20�� + .20�� + .10�� + 20
Using the technology matrix �, the final demand matrix �and total
demand matrix �, we get
� = �� + �, with solution� = [� − �]�� D
�� .3 . 3 . 1 �� 25
�
� � � = �. 1 �
. 1 . 1� � � � + �15�
�� .2 . 2 . 1 �� 20
1 0 0 .3 .3 .1 .7 −.3 −.1
� − � = �0 1 0 � − �. 1 . 1 . 1� = �− . 1 . 9 −.1�
0 0 1 .2 .2 .1 −.2 −.2 −.9
72
1.58 0.58 0.24 25 53 Application of
��
[� − �] � = �0 . 22 1.22 Matrices in Business
1,16� �15�=�27� and Economics
0.4 0.4 1.2 20 40
That is, the total output of electricity is Rs. 53 crore, the total output of
natural gas is Rs. 27 crore, the total output of oil is Rs. 40 crore.
2) Substituting the tabulated values in � = � + �� + ��, we obtain the
following set of linear equations
� + 10� + 40� = 6950
� + 9� + 35� = 6725
� + 12� + 40� = 7100
The above system of equations in the matrix form is
1 10 40 � 6950
�1 9 35� �� � = �6725� …………………….(I)
1 12 40 � 7100
1 10 40
-1 ���(�)
Now A = |�|. Where |A| = �1 9 35� = -10
1 12 40
60 −80 10
andadj (A) = � 5 0 −5�
−3 2 1
So, from the relation (I), we get
� 60 −80 10 6950 −50000 5000
� �
�� � = -�� � 5 0 −5� �6725� = �� � −750 � = � 75 �
� −3 2 1 7100 −300 30
Hence a = 5000, b = 75 and d = 30.
3) Suppose Rs.� and (10000 – �) be invested in the first and second types
of bonds respectively. So the value of these bonds can be written in the
row matrix form
A = [� (10000- �)]
and the amount received from two bonds as interest can be written in
the form of column matrix
5% 0.05
B=� �=� �
6% 0.06
Hence the total interest = AB
0.05
=[ � (10000 − �)] � � = [600 – 0.01a]
0.06
But total annual interest = Rs 550 (given)
Thus, 600 – 0.01 � = 550
0.01 � = 50
a = 5000
Investment in first bond = Rs. 5000
73
Business Mathematics Investment in second bond = 10000 – 5000 = Rs 5000
4) Let x, y and z be the amount of three investments. The given data can
be expressed in the following system of linear equations
x + y + z = 30000 ……………………(i)
.02x + .03y + .04z = 1000 ………..(ii)
.02x + .03y - .04z = 50 …………….(iii)
The equation (ii) and (iii) may be rewritten as
2x +3y + 4z = 100000 ……………(ii)
2x + 3y – 4z = 5000 …(iii)
These equations are expressed in matrix form AX = B
1 1 1 � 30000
Where A = �2 3 4 �, X = ��� and B = �100000�
2 3 −4 � 5000
1 1 1
Here |A| = �2 3 4 � = -8
2 3 −4
−24 7 1
Adj(A) = � 16 −6 −2�
0 −1 1
−24 7 1
-1 ���(�) �
Now A = |�|. = - � � 16 −6 −2�
0 −1 1
X = A-1B
−24 7 1 30000
�
= - � � 16 −6 −2� �100000�
0 −1 1 5000
1875
= �16250�
11875
Hence the investments at 2%, 3% and 4% are Rs 1875, Rs 16250, Rs 11875
respectively.
5. Y=100; C=80.
74
Mathematical
UNIT 5 MATHEMATICAL FUNCTIONS Functions
Structure
5.0 Objectives
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Functions and Their Types
5.2.1 Definition of Function
5.2.1.1 Domain, Codomain and Range
5.2.2 F u n c t i o n T yp e s : A l g e b r a i c
5.2.2.1 Polynomial Function
5.2.2.2 Rational Function
5.2.2.3 Piecewise Function
5.2.3 F u n c t i o n T yp e s : T r a n s c e n d e n t a l
5.2.3.1 Exponential Function
5.2.3.2 Logarithmic Function
5.2.4 Function Types: Inverse and Composite
5.2.4.1 Inverse Function
5.2.4.2 Composite Function
5.3 Functions and Cartesian Coordinates
5.4 Graph of Some Functions
5.4.1 Graphing Functions of Straight-Line Types
5.4.1.1 Linear Function:
5.4.1.2 Absolute Value Function
5.4.1.3 Step Function
5.4.2 Graphing Functions: Curvy Types
5.4.2.1 Quadratic Functions
5.4.2.2 Cubic Function
5.4.3 Graphing Functions: Asymptotic Types
5.4.3.1 Square Root Function
5.4.3.2 Exponential Function
5.4.3.3 Logarithmic Function
5.5 Functions related to Business and Economics
5.5.1 Demand Function
5.5.2 Supply Function
5.5.3 Cost Function
5.5.4 Revenue Function
5.5.5 Profit Function
5.5.6 Consumption Function
5.6 Let Us Sum Up
5.7 Key Words
5.8 Some Useful Books
5.9 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
5.10 Exercises with Answers/Hints
75
Business Mathematics
5.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to understand:
• meaning of a function;
• different types of functions; and
• use of functions in Business and Economics.
5.1 INTRODUCTION
A function relates an input (or, argument) to an output. Notice the three main
components, viz., input, relation and output present in describing a function.
For example, in producing an output, you have used an input. It may so
happen that you have got the output whose value is doubled the value of the
input. That means the relationship between input and output is a simple
function of multiplying 2, viz., ����� × 2 = ������.
We use "�" or any other letter like � … to name a function. To read a
function, for example, we say "� �� � ������ � �������" and write it
as�(�) = � � . Here input �, if takes a value 3, output becomes 9 and we can
write �(3) = 9.
The format of the function as output depends on inputs is useful represent
many relations in the form of graphs. In this unit we discuss graphic forms of
some mathematical function.
76
Mathematical
Functions
Sometimes a relation or a function does not follow directly the stated pattern
discussed above. The case of implicit function falls in this category. We see
it before going further.
A function is explicit is when it shows us how to go directly from
independent input � to dependent output �.
For example, take� = � � – 5. See that if you know �, then you can find �.
That is how we write � = �(�).
Implicit function is one where the independent input and its dependent
output are not given directly as is done with � = �(�).
Example 2: � � − 5�� + � � = 0
As you may notein case of the above equation, it is difficult to go directly
from � to �. 77
Business Mathematics Out of many types, we will discuss the following functions which are
commonly used.
��������
� �
� ���������� � ������
���������� ���������
� �
��������� � ��������
� � ���������
� �����
� �����������
�������������� �
� �������ℎ���
78
Power Function: A power function is a function that can be represented in Mathematical
Functions
the form:
�(�) = �� � ,
where � and � are real numbers, and � is known as the coefficient. See that
this function is constituted of a variable base raised to a fixed power just like
you find in a single term of a polynomial function.
All the functions given below are power functions:
The constant and only x term functions are power functions because they can
be written as�(�) = � � and �(�) = �� .
The quadratic and cubic functions are power functions with whole number
powers �(�) = � � and �(�) = � � .
The reciprocal and reciprocal squared functions are power functions with
negative integral powers because they can be written as �(�) =
� �� ��� �(�) = � ��
The square and cube root functions are power functions with fractional
� �
powers because they can be written as�(�) = � � and �(�) = � � .
5.2.2.2 Rational Function
A rational function is defined by a rational fraction, i.e., an algebraic
fraction such that both the numerator and the denominator are polynomials.
Example 3: The function �(�) = (−2� � + 4� � − 1) / � � is a
rational function since the numerator and the denominator are polynomials.
Note that the value of denominator should not be equal to zero.
5.2.2.3 Piecewise Function
We can have functions that behave differently depending on the input value.
That is, it is defined on a sequence of intervals. The absolute value function
as given below is an example of a piecewise function.
Example 4:
−� ��� � < 0
|�| = � 0 ��� � = 0
� ��� � > 0
We may consider the rate structure of Indian income tax to appreciate such a
function. It may be seen from the income tax rates for 2019-20 is given
below.
79
Business Mathematics Taking rate of tax in the table above as a function of income level, we can
construct the piecewise function.
Notice that in the function above,� is in the exponent and the base is a fixed
number. This is exactly the opposite from what we’ve seen in algebraic
functions. There the base has been the variable, � in most cases, and the
exponent was a fixed number. We will see some examples of exponential
functions shortly.
Before we proceed further, we should address the restrictions on �. We avoid
taking one and zero as the function would be,
�(�) = 0� = 0 and �(�) = 1� =1.
Such constant functions won’t have many of the properties that general
exponential functions have.
Next, we do not take negative numbers. Such numbers would result in getting
complex values out of the function. For example, taking � = −4, the
function would be,
�
�(�) = (−4)� ⇒ �(1/2) = (−4)� = √−4 ,
80
While evaluating logarithmic functions, the bases used most often are base 10 Mathematical
Functions
and base �. ��� base 10,i.e ��� 10 is known as the common logarithm and is
written as log.
The logarithm of a number is the exponent to which we must raise the base to
get the number. e.g.,
log2 8 = 3 because 23 =8.
log3 27 = 3 because 33 = 27
log10 100 = 2 because 102 = 100.
If ��� base e, i.e., ���e, is used, it is known as the natural logarithm and is
written as l�.
Having seen both exponential and logarithm function above, it would be
useful to note the relationship between the two. That is, a logarithmic
function is inverse of an exponential function, and vice versa. Thus, � � (an
exponential function) is the inverse function of ���� (�) (a logarithm
function).
If �, � and � be positive numbers, then important properties of logarithmic
functions are:
1) log (m.n) = log m + log n; logarithm of product is the sum of logarithms.
2) log ( m/n) = log m - log n; logarithm of quotient is the difference of
logarithms.
3) log (mn) = n log m; logarithm of power of a number is the exponent
times the logarithm of that number.
4) loge (ex) = x
5) loge e = 1
6) loga 1 = 0
7) loga a = 1.
81
Business Mathematics
84
Mathematical
Functions
The sign of the coordinate in each quadrant is shown in the figure. Note that
quadrants are numbered anticlockwise.
Each point in the coordinate system is associated with ordered pair of
numbers known as coordinates, showing the location of point in relation to
origin. For example, the point (2, 1) is 2 units on�-axis and 1 unit on-axis
measured from the origin.
� � = 7 − 5�
-1 12
0 7
85
Business Mathematics
1 2
2 -3
3 -8
Source: Internet
−3; �<2
Consider the function �(�) = �0; −2 ≤ � ≤ 1 . Its graph is given below:
3; �>1
87
Business Mathematics 5.4.2.1 Quadratic Functions
Quadratic functions help describing demand, cost, revenue and profit which
you will find while covering microeconomic analysis. The general technique
for graphing quadratics is the same as for graphing linear equations.
However, since quadratics graph are curvy lines (called "parabolas"), rather
than the straight lines generated by linear equations, there will have to be
some additional considerations.
The most basic quadratic function is y = x2. We will use the following F
chart to draw the graph.
Table: T-chart of � = � �
� � = ��
0 0
1 1
2 4
Based only on this experiment the plotted graph will produce a straight line.
Thus, the graph is not correct presentation of the function. More points need
to be considered. By extending the above table with more points we construct
the following table.
Table: t-chart of � = � �
X -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Y 9 4 1 0 1 4 9
Computation of Vertex
Consider a generic quadratic expression:� = �� � + �� + �.Start with
completing the square on the equation to have � = �[� � + ��/� + �/�] or,
� = �[(� + �/2�)� − (�/2�)� + �/�]
The expression −(�/2�)� + �/� is a constant and it does not depend on �.
So, we can replace it with �. Thus, we write � = �[(� + �/2�)� + �].
Now, depending on whether � is positive or negative, the parabola given by �
will either have a maximum or minimum. Since � and � are fixed, this must
occur when (� + �/2�)� = 0. Hence, � = −�/2� which implies that the
function y is at a minimum or a maximum when this is true.
Since parabolas are symmetric over a vertical line, let us call that line � = �.
This means that if the graph crosses the x-axis, then, �� � + �� + � = 0 to
have real solutions they must be equidistant from � = �.So (�, 0) must be
the midpoint of the segment with endpoints at the zeros of the quadratic or, �
is the average of the zeros. From the quadratic formula, the two zeros of the
��±√� � ���� �� �
quadratic are, ��
so their sum is �
and their average is � = − �� .
�
That means, the � − ���������� of the vertex must be − �� .
� � = 3� � + � − 2
-2 8
-1 0
0 -2
1 2
2 12
� -2 -1 0 1 2
�(�) = � � -8 -1 0 1 8
= 1200 – 1000p
�
or, p= 12 - ����
97
Business Mathematics 9) A firm wants to launch a new product. It observes that the fixed cost of
the new product is Rs. 35000 and the variable cost per unit is Rs. 500.
The revenue function of the new product is 5000x – 100x2. Find i)
Profit ii) Break-even values iii) the values of � results in loss.
Answers
1) p= 12- x/1000; x>2000
2) C (x)= 10x +1500
3) i) C (x)= 150000 +150x;
ii) R(x) = 350x
iii) P(x) =200x – 150000
iv) 750
4) p = 48 -1/2 x.
5) p = 1/20 x.
6) i) C(x) = 9,00,000 + 300x
ii) R(x) = 750x
iii) 450x – 9,00,000
iv) P(1500) = - 2,25,000
v) x = 2,000
7) i) Take y = mx + c, where � denotes earnings, � denotes the months
and m and c are constants. From given data obtain,
5500 = m + c …1
7000 = 2m + c …2
Solve these to get, 1500 = m and c = 4000 and linear equation is
y = 1500x + 4000.
ii) Earning for the fourth month is
y = 1500 x 4 + 4000
= 6000 + 4000 = 10000
8) i) Let the quadratic function is
y= ax2 + bx + c
where y stand for earnings and � for weeks.
From above data to obtain
380 = a. 12 + b. 1 +c
660 = a. 22 + b. 2 +c
860 = a. 32 + b. 3 +c.
Solve these to get a= -40, b = 400 and c= 20.
Therefore, the required function is:
98
y = -40 x2 + 400 x +20 Mathematical
Functions
ii) The predicated earning for the fourth week is:
y = -40 x 16 + 400 x 4 + 20
= Rs. 980.
9) i) Given R(x) = 5000x – 100x2 (revenue function)
C(x) = FC + VC (Cost Function)
= 35000 + 500x
P(x) = R(x) – C(x) (Profit Function)
= 5000x – 100x2 – (35000 + 500x)
= -100x2 +4500x -35000
ii) For break-even values, P(x) = 0
P(x)= -100x2 +4500x -35000 = 0
x2 – 45x + 350 = 0
(x-10)(x-35) = 0
x= 10,35
iii) For loss making values; P(x)<0
-100x2 +4500x -35000 < 0
i.e., (x-10)(x-35) > 0
This is possible if x<10 and x>35.
99
Business Mathematics
UNIT 6 LIMIT AND CONTINUITY
Structure
6.0 Objectives
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Limit of a Function
6.2.1 Properties of Limit
6.2.2 Some Standard Limits
6.2.3 Method of Factorization
6.3 Continuity
6.3.1 Properties of Continuity
6.4 Let Us Sum Up
6.5 Key Words
6.6 Some Useful Books
6.7 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
6.8 Exercises with Answer/Hints
6.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
• Understand the concept of limit of a function and
• Explain the concept of continuous function.
6.1 INTRODUCTION
The present unit discusses two basic concepts, viz., limit and continuity,
which are adopted widely in differential calculus. We consider these two
themes together as the concept of a limit is closely connected to that
of continuity. We will see later that a function is continuous at a point, if
the limit exists at that point and is equal to the corresponding value of the
function.
Idea of Limits of Functions
When we discussed about functions in the preceding unit, we tried to see the
values of functions at specific points. For example, our concern was to
discern the value of f(x) if, say, x=1.
The idea behind limit is to analyze the value that function is "approaching"
when its input "approaches" a specific value. To appreciate underlying idea,
see the following Graph 1:
100
Limit and Continuity
It may be seen that when � approaches the value "�" in the � axis, the
function �(�) approaches "�" in the � axis. Let us pay attention to the
hole at the point (�, �) given in the form of a small circle. Around that
area, we don't necessarily know the value of function � at � = �. That is,
we cannot work out the exact value of the function but can see what it
should be as we get closer and closer. Such a situation is expressed as
lim�→� �(�) = � .
� � ��
Example 1: Let us take a function�(�) = ���
and try to solve it for � = 1.
� � �� �
Plugging the value � = 1 into ���
we get �. There is a difficulty in the
�
solution obtained. We do not know the value as � is indeterminate.
Therefore, we need to find some other way toderive an answer.
Instead of working out for � = 1, we try approaching 1 closer and closer
in the following way:
� �� − 1
�−1
0.5 1.50000
0.9 1.90000
0.99 1.99000
0.999 1.99900
0.9999 1.99990
0.99999 1.99999
101
Business Mathematics � � ��
See that as � gets closer to 1, the value of ��� gets closer to 2. With such a
result, an interesting situation is obtained. For, when x=1, we don't know the
answer as it is indeterminate. But in another approach, we could see that it
is going to be 2. That is to say, we want to give the answer "2" but can't do
(� � ��)
so. Instead, we say, the limit of ��� = 2 as � approaches 1. Essentially, we
are saying, ignoring what happens when we get there, weknow of getting
closer and closer to 2 as � goes closer and closer to 1.
The Idea of Continuous Functions
Basically, we say a function is continuous when we can graph it without
lifting a pencil from the paper. Here's an example of what a continuous
function looks like Graph 2:
If there is a break in the curve shown above in the graph, then the function is
not continuous. Intuitively, a continuous function indicates that small
changes in the input of the function would result in small changes in the
output.
We will return to see the precise definitions of limit and continuity concepts
introduced above.
102
Above equation implies that as � approaches �, the limit of �(�) equals �. Limit and Continuity
Here � approximately equals to � (i.e., � can be less than � or greater than �
but x≠ �).
To find out the limit, we need to work on the value of function for two
different values of � - one for � greater than c (right-hand limit) and other for
� less than c (left-hand limit) and verify whether both of these are equal or
not. The limit of a function will exist if and only if both left-hand and right-
hand limits are equal, i.e.,
If, lim�→�� �(�) = � and lim�→�� �(�) = �, then lim�→� �(�) = �
Example 2: Find out the limit of � � when � → 2.
Solution: To find out the limit, following tables are created with assumed
values of � and the corresponding values of �(�):
When � < 2,
When � > 2,
� � ��
Example 3: Find out the limit of f(�)= ���
when �→2.
Solution:
We can solve it by the method of substitution,steps of which are as follows:
1) We consider a value of �close to,say,� = � +
ℎ,whereℎisaverysmallpositive number. Clearly, as �→�, ℎ → 0
� � ��
For �(�) = , we write � = 3 + ℎ, when � → 3 then ℎ → 0.
���
���� �����
= �
�� ���
= �
= ℎ+6
3) Putℎ = 0
�(3 + 0) = �(3) = 6
i.e., lim�→� �(�) = lim�→� (ℎ + 6) = 6.
In the above while defining limit we have seen a condition on existence of a limit. When
we say the limit does not exist, it means that the limit is either infinity or not
defined. In case of the limit of a function 'tends to infinity’, its value gets
arbitrarily larger. If it doesn't get closer to any value, the limit does not exist.
If the variable tends to a finite value, then the function must get closer to a
number as the variable gets closer to the finite value. Again, if it doesn't get
closer to any value, then the limit does not exist. It could be because the left-
and right-hand limits are not equal, or because they're equal to infinity.
4) The limit of a product is the product of limits. i.e., lim [�(�). �(�)] =
�→�
lim �(�). lim �(�).
�→� �→�
104
�(�) ��� �(�) Limit and Continuity
5) lim �(�) = �→�
��� �(�)
given, lim �(�) ≠ 0
�→� �→�
�→�
�
6) lim ��(�) = �� lim �(�) for all positive integer values of n
�→� �→�
2) lim(1 + �)�/� = �
�→�
�� ��
3) lim �
= log � � (where a>0)
�→�
� � ��
4) lim �
=1
�→�
��� (���)
5) lim �
=1
�→�
2) lim 3� �
�→�
3) lim( 5� � + 3� + 7)
�→�
�� � � ���
5) lim ��� �
�→�
Solutions:
1) lim 9 = 9
�→�
105
Business Mathematics 2) Is the limiting value of a function exist when left-hand limit is not equal
to the right-handlimit?
3) What is lim�→� ��(�) = � lim �(�)?
�→�
� � ��
4) What is value of lim �
?
�→�
2 2 2
lim = = =1
�→� �√1 + � + √1 − �� √1 + 0 + √1 − 0 2
�� � �����
Example 7: Evaluate lim�→� ��� �����
����� �
= ����� = � = 0
�
Example 8: For the demand function � = ��� (where � is price, � is
quantity demanded and � and � are constants), show, by using the concept of
limit, that the demand increases to infinitely large amount as the price falls.
Also, show that total revenue reaches a limiting value as the quantity demand
increases.
�
Solution: Given, � = ���
Rearranging equation,
�
� = − �
�
Putting the limit � → 0,
�
lim�→� � = lim [� − �] = ∞
�→�
= 0
Also, �(�) = � − � = 0
Hence, �(�) = ��� �(� + ℎ) = 0
�→�
� is continuous at � = 1.
Example 11: Find the points of discontinuity of the function
2� � + 6� − 5
12� � + � − 20
Solution: The given function will be discontinuous at the point where
denominator is equal to zero. i.e.,
12x2 + x – 20 = 0
or, 12x2 + 16x -15x – 20 = 0
or, 4x (3x + 4) -5 (3x + 4) = 0
or, (4x – 5) (3x + 4) = 0. So
� �
x = �or, − �
which are the points of discontinuity.
Example 12: Examine the continuity at � = 0 of the function �(�) defined
as under: 109
Business Mathematics �
�(�) = � at x≠0
�� � �
= 0 at x = 0
��� �
Solution: R.H.L. lim�→�� �(�) = lim�→� � = lim� →� � =0
�� � � �� � �
��� ��
L.H.L. lim�→�� �(�) = lim�→� �
� = lim� →� �
� =0
�� � � �� � �
Also, f(0) =0
Since R.H.L. = L.H.L = 0 = f(0), the given function is continuous at � = 0.
Example 13: A function is defined as under
� � � ����
� = �(�) = ���
112
Limit and Continuity
6.7 ANSWER/HINTS TO CHECK YOUR
PROGRESS
Check Your Progress 1
1) Value that a function approaches as the input approaches some value.
2) When we can graph a function without lifting a pencil from the
paper.
3) A function �(�) is continuous at a point �� if the limit exists at �� and
is equal to �(�� ).
Check Your Progress 2
1) For RHS limit, value of a function is just greater than the limit
whereasfor LHS limit, value of a function is just less than the limit.
2) no
3) It is a property of limit of a function.
4) 1
Check Your Progress 3
� �
1) the value of the equation is of the form of �
��� �
.
2) Constant
�
3) In cases of functions with two indeterminate forms viz., 0/0 and �.
c) lim(3� + 4)
�→�
d) lim(3� � − 2� � + 4� � + 5� − 7)
�→�
113
Business Mathematics 2) Discuss whether the following functions are continuous or not:
a) lim(2� � − 3� + 5)
�→�
Answers:
1) a) 7 b) 0 c) 13 d)3 e) 9 f) 2/3 g) -2/5
2) a)continuous b)continuous
3) continuous
4) a) 4 b) No, since it is not defined at � = 5.
5) Continuous at � = 1, discontinuous at � = 3.
114
Concept of
UNIT 7 CONCEPT OF DIFFERENTIATION Differentiation
Structure
7.0 Objectives
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Differentiation by First Principle
7.3 Rules of Differentiation
7.4 Standard Derivatives
7.5 Differentiation of Implicit Functions
7.6 Differentiation using Logarithms
7.7 Derivative of Inverse Function
7.8 Differentiation of Parametric Function
7.9 Let Us Sum Up
7.10 Key Words
7.11 Some Useful Books
7.12 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
7.13 Exercises with Answer/Hints
7.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you will be able to:
• understand the concept of derivative, its meaning,
computation and interpretation;
• comprehend several rules for calculating derivatives; and
• use logarithm in differentiation.
7.1 INTRODUCTION
The rate of change of one variable of function with respect to another on
which it depends is called the derivative of the function. Differentiation is the
process of the finding out the derivative of a continuous function. A
derivative is the limit of the ratio of the small increment in one variable of
the function corresponding to a small increment in the argument (other
variable) as the later tends to zero.
115
Business Mathematics Let � = �(�) be a function defined in an interval (�, �). Let � = � be any
point of the interval, so that �(�) is the corresponding value of the function.
Let( � + ℎ) be any other point of this interval which lies to the right or left of
� according as ℎ is positive or negative. The corresponding value of the
function is �(� + ℎ). Then �(� + ℎ) − �(�) is the change in the dependent
variable � corresponding to the change ℎ in the independent variable �.
�(���)��(�)
Consider the ratio: �
of these two changes whichis a function of ℎ
and is not defined for ℎ = 0, � being a fixed point.
Definition: A function � = �(�) is said to be differentiable at � = � if
��� f(c + h) − f(c)
h �� 0
h
exists and the limit is called the derivative of the function �(�) at � = �. it is
denoted by �’(�) or �� (�).
Steps
1) Put the given �(�) equal to � i.e.,
� = �(�) (1)
2) Increase � by a small quantity ∆� and corresponding increase in ∆�
So � + ∆� = �(� + ∆�) (2)
3) Subtracting (1) from (2)
� + ∆� − � = �(� + ∆�) – �(�)
or, ∆� = �(� + ∆�) − �(�)
4) �ividing both sides by ∆�
Δ� �(� + ∆x) − f(x)
=
Δ� ∆x
���
5) Put ∆x �� 0 both sides such that
��� �� ��� �(��∆�)� �(�)
∆x �� 0 �� = ∆ x �� 0 ∆�
(iii) y = 5/6
��
��
=0
117
Business Mathematics Example 2:
i) y= x3/2
�
�� � �
Solution: ��
= � � ��� = � x1/2
ii) y=x
��
Solution: ��
= 1. ���� = 1
�
iii) y=
√�
Solution: y = x-1/2
� �
�� � �
��
= − � � ���� = − � � ��
iv) y = 2 x6
��
Solution: ��
= 2.6 x6-1
=12 x5
�
v) y = �.x 2/3
�
�� � � ��
Solution: �� = . � ��� =
� � �
. x -1/3
���
vi) y= �
√�
Example 3:
If � = 3� + 7, then ��/�� = 3 + 0
or,dy/dx = 3
The derivative of a linear function, � = �� + � = ����������� �� �.
Rule 4: Rule of Sums and Differences
118
If f and g are differential functions, and Concept of
Differentiation
� (�) = � (�) ± � (�) then, we have:
�’(�) = �’(�) ± �’(�)
The derivative of a sum or a difference of two functions is the same as
the sum or difference of their individual derivatives.
Example 4:
i) y = x8 + x2/3
Solution:
�� � � � �
= .� + . ��
�� �� ��
�
�� � �
or, �� = 8. � ��� + � . � ��� = 8. � � + � . � ��/�
Solution:
�� � � � �
��
= �� . 3 x3 + ��. 4x2- ��.5x+��.5
��� �
iii) y= �
Solution:
�� � �� + 1
= � �
�� �� �
� �� � �
= �� . �
+ �� . �
� � �
= �� � � + �� . �
� �
= �� � � + �� � ��
= 2x - x-2
�
= 2x - � �
119
Business Mathematics � � �
[ �(�). �(�)] = �(�). [�(�)] + �(�). [ �(�)]
�� �� ��
�
or,�� [ �(�). �(�)] = �(�). [�′(�)] + �(�). [ �′(�)]
Example 5:
i) y = 5x4(3x − 7)
Solution:
� � �
[5� � (3� − 7)] = 5� � . [3� − 7] + (3� − 7). [5� � ]
�� �� ��
��
or, �� = 5� � . 3 + (3� − 7). 20� �
��
or, �� = 15x4+ 60x4- 140x3
��
or, �� = 75� � − 140� �
Example 6:
Find dy/dx from
����
i) y= ���
120
Solution: Concept of
Differentiation
� �
�� (� − 1) �� (2� + 1) − (2� + 1) �� (� − 1)
=
�� (� − 1)�
(���)(�)� (����)(�) ��
= (���)�
= (���)�
� � �� � ��
ii) y= � � ��
Solution:
� � � � � � � �
�� (� + 1) �� (� − � + 1) − (� − � + 1) �� (� + 1)
=
�� (� � + 1)�
�� � ������� ����� ��� �� � ��� (��) � � ��� � ���
= (� � ��)�
= (� � ��)�
�� �� ��
= .
�� �� ��
��
Example 7: Find �� of the following
i) if y = u2 and u = 2x3+ 5x + 1
Solution:
�� � �
= �
�� ��
��
or, ��
= 2�
�� �
����, = . (2� � + 5� + 1)
�� ��
��
or, �� = 6� � + 5
�� �� ��
or, �� = �� ��
. = 2u. (6x2 +5)2
��
Putting the value of u in �� ,
��
= 2(2� � + 5� + 1). (6� � + 5)
��
ii) y= 4u3 and u = 12x2 + 5
Solution:
dy/du = 12u2
du/dx = 24x
So, dy/dx = 12u2(24x) 121
Business Mathematics or, dy/dx = 288xu2
putting the value of u in dy/dx,
dy/dx= 288x(12x2+5)2
iii) y= √� and u= 5 + 7x + x3
Solution:
�� � �
= . ��
�� ��
�
�� �
or, �� = �
. � ��
�� � ��
��� ��
= ��
. (5 + 7� + � � ) or, �� = 0 + 7 + 3� � = 3� � + 7
�
�� �� �� �� �
Thus, �� = �� . �� or, �� = �� . ��� � . (3� � + 7 )
��
������� �ℎ� ����� �� � �� �� ,
�� 1 �
= � . (5 + 7� + � � )�� � . (3� � + 7 )
�� 2
�� (�� � � � )
��, �� =
��(����� � � )
�
Therefore, �� . [�(�)]� = � [�(�)]��� . �(�)
(����)�
iv)
(����)�
Solution:
(����)� ����
Let y = (����)� . Then � can be written as � = �� , where � = ����
.
122
Applying quotient rule, Concept of
Differentiation
�� (5� − 7)(2) − (2� + 5)(5)
=
�� (5� − 7)�
�� (10� − 14) − (10� + 25) −39
⇒ = �
=
�� (5� − 7) (5� − 7)�
�� ���
Thus, �� = 4�� . (����)�
123
Business Mathematics
Note:the chain rule is also useful in finding the derivative of y = log u and
y = eu where u is an appropriate function of x. then we can find
differentiation by applying chain rule. For example, if y = log u and u=
f(x), then
�� �� �� 1 ��
= . = .
�� �� �� � ��
and if y = eu, u = f(x)
�� ��
= ��
�� ��
Example 8:
��
Find �� of the following
i) y = log (5x2 + 7)
Solution: This function is of the form y = log u, where u = 5x2 + 7.
Thus,
�� 1 � �
1
= . (5� + 7) = . (10�)
�� 5� � + 7 �� 5� � + 7
10�
=
5� � + 7
ii) y = x2 log (3x + 7)
Solution: applying product rule
�� � �
= �� ���(3� + 7) + log(3� + 7) � �
�� �� ��
�� � �� �
or, �� = � � ������ (3) + log(3� + 7). (2�) = ���� + 2� log(3� + 7)
� �����
iii) y = � ��
Solution:
�� � ����� � � �����
��
= � �� ��
. (5� � + 4� + 8) = � �� (10� + 4)
��� �
iv) y= ��
v) y = x3 + 8x + log x
�� � � � �
Solution: �� = ��
�� + ��
8� + ��
log � =3� � + 8� log � � + �
124
Concept of
Check Your Progress 3 Differentiation
1) Find the derivative of �(�) = 5�
2) What is the derivative of � = 3� � + 2� � ?
����
3) Differentiate �(�) = �� (�)
�� ��
��, 3� � + 3 � � . = �. + �
�� ��
�� ��
Rearranging,3� � �� − � �� = � − 3� �
��
or, (3� � − �) �� = � − 3� � .
�� � − 3� �
�ℎ��, =
�� 3� � − �
� � � � � � �� �
�. (� ) + 2ℎ (��) + � (� ) + 2� (�) + 2� + �
�� �� �� �� �� ��
�
= 0
��
�� �� ��
or, 2�� + 2ℎ � � �� + �� + 2�� ��
+ 2� + 2� �� + 0 = 0
��
or, ��
(2ℎ� + 2�� + 2�) + ( 2�� + 2ℎ� + 2�) = 0
125
Business Mathematics ��
or, �� (2ℎ� + 2�� + 2�) = − ( 2�� + 2ℎ� + 2�)
�� �( ����������) �������
or, �� = ����������
= − �������
��1 + � = − �√1 + �
x2 (1 + y) = y2 (1+ x)
or ( x + y + xy) = 0
(because � ≠ � �ℎ�� � − � ≠ 0
�� � �
= �− ( )�
�� �� 1+�
�� (���).���.� �
or, ��
= − (���)�
= − (���)�
126
Concept of
Differentiation
Note:Important properties of logarithm
log (m.n) = log m + log n
log ( m/n) = log m - log n
log (mn) = n log m
log (ex) = x
log e = 1
(���)�� (���)(���)
ii) �= (���)�
127
Business Mathematics iii) xy = yx
Solution: Taking log on both sides
log xy = log yx
y log x = x log y
Differentiating w.r.t.�, we get
� �� � �
�. log � + log � = �. ���� + ���� �
�� �� �� ��
� �� � ��
or, �. � + log � �� = �. � �� + log �
�� � �� �
or, log � �� − �. � �� = log � − �
� �� �
or, �log � − �� �� = log � − �
[� ��� ���] �� � ��� ���
or, � ��
= �
�� � ��� ��� �
or, �� = ���� ��� . �
iv) y = (3x2+5)1/x
Solution:Take log on both sides to get
log y = log (3x2+5)1/x
�
log y = � log (3x2+5)
� �� ���( �� � � �)
or,� �� = 6 − ��
�� ���( �� � � �)
or,�� = �. �6 − ��
�
�� ���( �� � � �)
or, �� = (3x2+5)1/x �6 − ��
�
128
Concept of
7.7 DERIVATIVE OF INVERSE FUNCTION Differentiation
Let � = �(�) be a function of � and suppose that we can solve this equation
for � in terms of �.So, we may write � as a function of �, i.e., � = �(�).
Then �(�) is called the inverse of �(�). If � = �(�) is a differentiable
function at � such that �’ (�) ≠ 0, then � = �(�) is also differentiable at
�� �
the corresponding value of � and �� = �� .
��
ii) � = (� + 2)�/�
Solution: Differentiating � w.r t. �
�� � �
= (� + 2)�
�� ��
�
�� �
or, ��
= � . (� + 2)�� . 1
�� �
or, �� = �
�(���)�
�� �
or, �� =
��(���)
�� �
or, �� = ��/�� = 2�(� + 2)
i) y= t3 and x = t2
��
Solution:Since y= t3, �� = 3� � .
132
Check Your Progress 4 Concept of
Differentiation
1) Differentiate both sides of the equation and obtain an expression for
dy/dx from resulting equation.
2) -3/2
�
3) First, solve the equation for y to get � � = �. So � = � � . Then get
�
�� �
= � ��
�� �
3) Inverse function.
Check Your Progress 7
1) A class of functions exists which defined in terms of another
variable t (known as the parameter).
2) Through chain rule.
�� �� ��
3) ��
= ��
× ��
�� �� �
Since �� = 4��, we get ��
= ���.
�� �� � �
Again, ��
= 4�. Hence �� = 4� × ���= �
134
Maxima and Minima
FUNCTIONS
Structure
8.0 Objectives
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Higher Order Derivatives
8.3 Increasing and Decreasing Functions
8.3.1 Increasing Functions
8.3.2 Decreasing Functions
8.4 Maxima and Minima
8.4.1 First Derivative Test for Local Extreme Values
8.4.2 Second Derivative Test for Local Extreme Values
8.4.3 Steps for Maxima/Minima Using Second Order Derivative
8.5 Let Us Sum Up
8.6 Key Words
8.7 Some Useful Books
8.8 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
8.9 Exercises with Answer/Hints
8.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to:
• Understand higher order derivatives;
• Find the intervals on which a given function is increasing or decreasing;
and
• Find the maximum and minimum values of the function.
8.1 INTRODUCTION
In the preceding unit, we have seen the derivatives of functions. Going
further from that level, an attempt is made in the present unit to use
derivatives for finding the extreme points of the graph of a function. For
example, we will show how the sign of the derivative is used to settle
questions about intervals over which the graph of a function is rising or
falling. The principal application of this is in locating high or low points on
graphs and, in turn, these points are used to determine the maximum and
minimum values attained by the function.
Since �′′(�) is also a function, its derivative can also be found which is
denoted as �′′′ (�). For higher order derivatives, superscripts can be used i.e.,
f4 = fourth derivative etc.
Example 1: �(�) = 5x4 + 6x3+2x+1
�’(�) = 20x3 + 18x2 + 2
�’’(�) = 60x2 + 36x
�′′′(�) = 120x + 36
Example 2: �= 9x4+ 7x3+ 2x2+ 5x + 7
Find all possible order of derivatives.
Solution:
Y1= dy/dx= 36x3 + 21 x2+4x+5
Y2 = d2y/dx2 = 108x2 + 42x + 4
= �(log1 – log �)
= -xlogx (as log1 = 0)
Differentiating both sides w.r.t. �
1 �� 1
. = − �� � � + log � .1�
� �� �
= - (1+ logx)
��
or,�� = −�. (1 + ����)
136
��� 1 �� Maxima and Minima
�
= − �� � � + (1 + log �) . � of Functions
�� � ��
Putting the value of ��/��,
�� � 1
= − �� � � + (1 + log �) . (−�. (1 + ����))�
�� � �
�� � �
or, �� � = − �� − (1 + ����)� ��
�� � �
or, �� � = −� �� − (1 + ����)� �
137
Business Mathematics
8.3 INCREASING AND DECRE
DECREASING
ASING
FUNCTIONS
Broadly spspeaking, a function, say, �(�), is increasing when y increases
as � gets larger (i.e., looking left to right) and �((�)is decreasing when y
decreases as � gets larger. Such functions are of interest to us for determining
rate of change of a variable. For example, we would be interested to know the
speed of a car, or, rate of growing and declining population of a country.
138
Example 4: Show that the function � = �(�) = 3x3+ 3x2+ � – 1 is Maxima and Minima
of Functions
increasing for allvalues of �.
Solution:��/��=�′(�) = 9x2+ 6x + 1
= (3x + 1)2
So, ��/�� > 0for all values of �.
Thus, the given function is increasing for all values of �.
Example 5: Find the interval in which �(�) is (i)increasing (ii) decreasing
�(�)= 2x3+ 9x2+12 � – 1.
Solution:��/�� = �′(�) = 6� � + 18 � + 12
= 6(�2+3 �+2)= 6(�+1)( �+2)
i) For �(�) to be increasing, �’(�)>0
i.e., 6(� + 1)(� + 2) > 0.
If � < −2, then �’(�)= 6 (-) (-)>0. That is, �(�) is increasing
and if � > −1, then �’(�)= 6 (+) (+)>0. That is, �(�) is increasing.
Hence, �(�) is increasing when � ∈ (−∞, −2)�(−1, ∞)
ii) If�(�)is decreasing, then �’(�)<0
i.e., 6(x+1)(x+2)<0.
If -2<x<-1, then �’(�)= 6 (-)(+)<0. �(�) is decreasing when x∈(-2,-1).
Therefore, �(�) is increasing when x∈(-∞,-2)U(-1,∞) and �(�) is
decreasing when x∈(-2,-1).
Example 6: Find the value of � for which the given function
f (�) =2x2− 8x+80
is decreasing.
Solution: For the function to be decreasing, its first derivative, �’(�)
should be less than 0. That is
�′(�) = 4� – 8 < 0 for the function to be decreasing. So,
4x –
8<0,
or,
4x < 8
x<2
Thus, the function is decreasing for � less than 2 and increasing for
more than 2 and has a stationary value at � = 2.
Example 7: Find the interval in which �(�)
�(�)=-2x3 + 3x2+12 x – 1
139
Business Mathematics is (i)increasing (ii) decreasing.
Solution: �’(�) = -6x2 +6x+12
= -6(x2-x-2)=-6 (x+1) (x-2).
i) For �(�) to be increasing, �’(�)>0
i.e., -6(x+1)(x-2)>0.
If -1<x<2, then �’(�)= (-) (+) (-)>0. That is, �(�) is increasing.
Hence, �(�) is increasing when x∈(-1,2)
ii) For �(�) to be decreasing, �’(�)<0
i.e., -6(x+1)(x-2)<0.
If x<-1, then �’(�)= (-) (-)(-)<0. So, �(�) is decreasing
and if x>2, then �’(�)= (−)(+)(+) < 0. That is, �(�) is decreasing
when x∈(-∞,-1)U(2,∞).
Therefore, �(�) is increasing when x∈(-1,2)and �(�) is decreasing
when x∈(-∞,-1)U(2,∞).
Example 8: Find the interval in which the function
�(�) = x4 – 2x2 is
i) increasing
ii) decreasing
Solution: �(�) = x4 – 2x2
⇒ �’(�)= 4x3 – 4x
= 4x(x2-1)
= 4x(x-1)(x+1)
i) For �(�) to be increasing, �’(�) should be greater than zero.
�’(�) = 4x(x-1)(x+1)>0
If -1< � < 0 then �’(�)= 4 (-) (-)(+)>0. So, �(�) is increasingand
if x>1, then �’(�)= 4(+) (+) (+)>0⇒�(�) is increasing.
Hence, �(�) is increasing when x∈(-1,0)U(1,∞).
ii) For �(�) to be decreasing, �’(�)<0
i.e., 4x(x-1)(x+1)<0.
If -∞<x<-1, then �’(�)= 4(-) (-)(-)<0. and if 0<x<1, then �’(�) = 4(+)(-)(+)
<0. Therefore, �(�) is decreasing when x∈(-∞,-1) U(0,1).
Thus, �(�) is increasing when x∈(-1,0)U(1,∞) and �(�) is decreasing when
x∈(-∞, -1) U(0,1).
Example 9: The Revenue function of a firm is given by
R = [8,00,000 + (� –300)2]
140
Determine the values of � for which total Revenue function is increasing Maxima and Minima
of Functions
and decreasing.
Solution: R’(x) = +2 (� – 300)
For revenue function to be increasing R’(�) > 0
i.e., + 2(� − 300) >0
Hence revenue function is increasing for more than/greater than 300
i.e., � > 300. For the Revenue function to be decreasing
R’(�) < 0
i.e., + 2(� − 300) <0
when �=0 then R’(�) < 0
and �− 300 < 0
�< 300.
Hence, the revenue function is decreasing for � = 0 ��� lying between 0
and 300 i.e., 0 ≤ �< 300.and it is stationary value at � = 300.
147
Business Mathematics Check Your Progress 2
1) Find that the first order derivative is greater than zero (i.e.,�’(�)> 0) for
all values of � in an interval [�, �].
2) Second order derivative
3) Check Sub-Section 8.3.2.
Check Your Progress 3
1) The largest and the smallest value of the function, defined either within
a given range or on the entire domain of a function.
2) The smallest number in defined range and corresponds to the value of
the function at the lowest point of its graph.
3) Read Sub-Section 8.4.1 and answer.
4) A point at which the function alters its rate of change.
5) In a differentiable function of one variable a point on the graph of the
function where the function's derivative is zero. Informally, it is a point
where the function stops increasing or decreasing.
6) Read Sub-Section 8.4.2 and answer.
7) Check Sub-Section 8.4.3
8) A critical point is an interior point in the domain of a function at
which � ′(�) = 0 or �′ does not exist.
Answers
1) i) 30x2 -30x +7 ii) Aα(α-1)Lα-2
2) i) Increasing on (-∞, -2) and (6,∞), decreasing on (-2,6)
ii) Increasing on (-∞,2) and (3,∞), decreasing on (2,3)
iii) Increasing on (1,∞), decreasing on (-∞,1)
iv) Increasing on (-∞, -2) and (0, ∞), decreasing on (-2,0)
3) i) Local maximum at x=1, value 0, point of inflection at x=0
ii) Local maximum at x= -1/2, value 81/16, local minimum at x=2,
value -10,point of inflection at x=0.
7) iii) Neither maximum nor minimum.
149
Business Mathematics
UNIT 9 APPLICATION OF DERIVATIVES
Structure
9.0 Objectives
9.1 Introduction
9.2 Demand Function and Supply Function
9.2.1 Slope of Demand Curve
9.2.2 Slope of Supply Curve
9.3 Elasticity: Demand and Supply Functions
9.3.1 Price Elasticity of Demand
9.3.2 Income Elasticity of Demand
9.3.3 Supply Elasticity of Demand
9.3.4 Cross-Elasticity of Demand
9.4 Average and Marginal Cost
9.5 Revenue Function
9.5.1 Relationship between AR, MR and Price Elasticity of Demand
9.5.2 Maximizing Revenue
9.6 Profit Maximization
9.7 Let Us Sum Up
9.8 Key Words
9.9 Some Useful Books
9.10 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
9.11 Exercises with Answers/Hints
9.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you will be able to understand
• application of derivatives to elasticity of demand as well as supply; cost
and revenue functions; profit maximization; and
• the importance of derivatives in maximum-minimum problems.
9.1 INTRODUCTION
In the preceding two units, we have discussed the techniques of
differentiation and extreme values of a function. In the present unit, we
extend differentiation techniques for applying to select business and
economic themes. Basically, an attempt is made here to learn the use of
derivatives to understand the rate of change as well as change in rate of
change, which is the corner stone of marginal analyses in economics as well
as business studies.
150
Application of
9.2 DEMAND FUNCTION AND SUPPLY Derivatives
FUNCTION
In microeconomic analysis, it is postulated that demand and supply are
functions of price. While the quantity demanded is related to price inversely,
in case of supply it has a direct relationship with price. Because of such a
proposition, we have a downward sloping demand curve and upward sloping
supply curve. For the sake of simplicity, we often assume the demand curve
and supply curve for a good or service to be a linear line, although other non-
linear types are also considered. The consequent slopes of demand and
supply curves are, respectively, negative and positive. Let us use derivatives
to see the process of deriving these results.
We know that a linear equation is of the form � = �� + �, where � is the
slope of the line and � is the � intercept. We can model a demand function as
� = −�� + �(or, the inverse demand function as � = −�� + �),where �
and � represent price and quantity respectively. In such a format, we move
the price to the horizontal (�) axis and quantity to the vertical (�) axis as we
think of quantity demanded or supplied as a function of price. In the event of
presenting inverse demand function, we consider quantity in horizontal axis
and price in vertical axis. You will see the use of this form when we come to
derivation of marginal revenue.
The slope is negative in case of a normal demand curve, which slopes
downward. Similarly, a supply curve is modelled by another linear equation
of the form � = �� + � where � is the slope of supply curve with a positive
sign.
Seen in terms of numerical value, we would say that the value of X changes
from 20 to 30. So, the proportion change is
��� ��
� = �� = 0.5. This is a percentage change in X of 50%. If concerned
with elasticity, then we say the elasticity of Y with respect to X. And we need
to find the ratio of the percentage change in Y to the percentage change in X.
That is,
������� ������ �� �
Elasticity of Y with respect to � = ���������� ������ �� �.
152
9.3.1 Price Elasticity of Demand Application of
Derivatives
The most common use of elasticity in economics and business studies is price
elasticity of demand (PED) or elasticity of demand with respect to price.
Such a concept helps us explore the responsiveness of the consumer demand
for some product to changes in the price of that product. If the price of a cup
of coffee were to increase, the quantity sold will be influenced. To see the
point, suppose that in 2016, Nestle increased the price of coffee from Rs.
4.95 to Rs. 5. 00. Due to such a change, the demand for coffees dropped
from 440 units per day to 438 units per day. The percent change in price P is
∆� �.�� ��.��
�
= �.��
= 0.01
∆�
It may be noted that ∆� represents the average rate of change of demand Q
with respect to price P. If we assume the change in price is small, we can
replace the average rate of change with the instantaneous rate of change, viz.,
��
��
.
Let the demand function be Q = f (P). Then, the price elasticity �� of demand
is
� ��
�� =
� ��
153
Business Mathematics Specifically, we may also define point price elasticity of demand at a point
(�� , �� ) on the demand curve as ��� = (��/��) (�� /�� ).
��
Example 1: Let the demand curve be � = −5 � + 30. Then �� = −5 . If a
point (P0, q0) = (1,25) is on the demand curve, how do we compute the PED
at (1,25).
�� = -50(100/10,000) = -.5
�� = -50(10/14,500) = -.034
Results obtained show that both elasticities are negative. That imply a
downward sloping demand relationship. Moreover, they are relatively more
elastic.
Deriving Elasticity using Log Functions
Here is another expression for elasticity that is sometimes useful. It turns out
that elasticity can also be expressed as
� ���
����
.
154
The proof involves repeated application of the chain rule. We start by noting Application of
Derivatives
that
� ��� � ��� ��
= .
���� �� ����
� ��
= � ����
(1)
�� �� � ��� �� �
We also note that ��
= ���� ��
= ���� �
�� ��
⇒ ���� = � �� .
∆�/�
= ∆�/�
� ∆�
= � ∆�
� ��
In case of instantaneous change income,�� = � ��
Therefore,
�
�� = 8�. ��� = 2
The higher the income elasticity of demand for a specific product, the more
responsive it becomes to the change in consumers’ income.
Now, we can measure the income elasticity of demand for different products by
categorizing them as inferior goods and normal goods.
155
Business Mathematics Normal Goods
The YED for a product can be elastic or inelastic based on its category—
whether it is an inferior good or a normal good. When YED is more than zero,
the product is income-elastic. Normal goods have a positive YED. That is,
when the consumers’ income increases, the demand for these goods also
increases.
Inferior Goods
Inferior goods are called so because these have superior alternatives. Such
goods have a negative income elasticity, that is, YED is less than 0. If the
consumers’ income increases, they demand less of these goods.
Note: If sign of income elasticity of demand is negative, then the
commodity is inferior.
9.3.3 Elasticity of Supply (Es)
It is defined as the ratio of proportionate change inquantity supplied to a
proportionate change in its price.
������������� ������ �� ������
�� = ������������� ������ �� �����
���
= �����
157
Business Mathematics = 0.5 × (10 / 1991.51)
= 0.5 × 0.002008
= 0.001004
Thus, cross-price elasticity of demand is 0.000502. Since it is greater than 0,
goods are substitutes.
Marginal Cost, which is the rate of change in total cost when � units
are produced and defined as
���
MC= ��
.
158
Application of
Derivatives
��� � �� �
���
= �
��
= 2q + 8 + �
.
���
MC = ��
����� � �� �����
= ��
= 4q+ 8.
When q= 3, MC = 4x3 + 8 = 20.
Interpretation:It It means when production increases by 1 unit from 3rd
unit to 4th unit, then the total cost increases by Rs.20,approximately.
Example 7:: Total Cost of the firm is
C(x) = 0.005x3 – 0.002 x2 -30x
30x +5000, where x is the output
Find out
159
Business Mathematics i) Fixed Cost
ii) Variable Cost
iii) Average Cost
iv) Average Variable Cost
v) Marginal Cost
vi) Marginal Cost when 50 units are produced, interpret the results.
vii) Actual Cost of producing 51st unit.
viii) Rate of change in Marginal Cost w.r.t. x
ix) Marginal Average Cost
Solution: Given C(x) = 0.005x3 – 0.002 x2 -30x +5000, we have to find
out
i) Fixed cost by putting x=0 (i.e., output = 0)and get
FC = 5000
ii) VC= TC – FC
= 0.005x3 – 0.002 x2 -30x +5000 -5000
= 0.005x3 – 0.002 x2 -30x
�.����� – �.��� �� ���� �����
iii) AC= TC/x = �
= 0.005x � – 0.002 x −
����
30 + �
= 0.005x � – 0.002 x − 30
��� �
v) MC = �� = ��
�0.005x � – 0.002 x � − 30x + 5000� = 0.015 x2 –
0.004x -30.
vi) When x= 50, MC= 0.015 (50)2 – 0.004(50) -30 = 7.3
Interpretation: It means if production increases by 1 unit from 50th
unit to 51th unit, then the total cost increases by Rs.7.3,
approximately.
vii) C(51) = 0.005(51)3 – 0.002 (51)2 -30(51) +5000 = 4128.05
C(50) = 0.005(50)3 – 0.002 (50)2 -30(50) +5000 = 4120
Actual cost of producing 51th unit = C(51) – C(50) = 4128.05 –
4120
= 8.05
��� �
viii) Rate of change in MC = ��
= ��
�0.015x� – 0.004 x − 30�
= 0.030x – 0.004
160
��� � Application of
ix) Marginal Average Cost = ��
= �� �0.005x � – 0.002 x − 30 + Derivatives
����
��
�
����
= 0.010x -0.002 - �
�
Example 8:Prove that slope of average cost curve is �
( MC − AC) for the
TC= ax3 + bx2 +cx +d.
Solution: GivenTC= ax3 + bx2 +cx +d,
��� ���� �����
AC= �
= ax2 +bx + c + d/x
��� � �
Slope of AC = �� = �� �ax � + bx + c + � �
= 2ax +b – d/x2
��� �
MC = ��
= �� (ax � + bx � + cx + d )
= 2ax +b –d/x2
= slope of AC
Hence proved.
� ∆�
�� = � �1 + �
� ∆�
Remembering we are trying to derive the relationship between MR and
�� , let usdo undertake some refinement on the second term in �� =
� ∆�
� �1 + � ∆� �. Broadly, it looks like inverse of �� . So, we can write �� =
�
� �1 + � �. Since we have used to write �� attaching a negative sign, we do
�
�
so here by writing �� = � �1 − |� |�, i.e., writting the �� in absolute term.
�
� 1 �� 1
�� = � � � �1 − �= �1 − �
� |�� | � |�� |
�� �
= � �1 − |� |�
�
�
=�� �1 − |� |�
�
��
��, �� − �� = �− �
|�� | 163
Business Mathematics ��
��, −�� + �� = � �
|�� |
�� − �� 1
��, =
�� |�� |
��
��, ����� = |�� |.
Taking reciprocal
dx 1
= −
dp 3
� �� ����� � �����
�� = - � �� = − �
.−� = ��
If p= 5, then
5 = 50 – 3x
x= 45/3= 15
Putting the value of x in Ed
������ ����� �
�� = ���
= ��
= �.
When x=15,
MR = 50- 6×15 = 50 – 90 = -40
�� � � �
�����
= ��(���) = �� = � =� d
Hence proved.
165
Business Mathematics The profit-maximizing firm chooses both inputs and outputs so as to
maximize the difference between total revenue and total cost, i.e., � =
�(�) – �(�)
The firm will adjust variables under its control such that it can no longer
increase the profit further. Thus, the firm looks at each additional unit of
input or output with respect to its effect on profit.
Let us define revenue as �(�) = �(�) × �, where � and � are functions of
�. Note that we are taking inverse demand function �(�), which depicts price
as a function of quantity for getting the revenue function. As we will see
below it helps calculate MR quickly, which is required for getting the profit-
maximizing condition for firms regardless of market structure.
Profit function is the function of total revenue and total cost and it can be
expressed as:
� = �(�) = ��(�) − ��(�), i.e.,
� = �(�) × � − �(�).
To maximise profit take
�� �� ��
��
= ��
− �� =0
�� ��
⇒ = =0
�� ��
⇒ �� = ��.
Such an equality specifies the first order condition and we must add the
second order condition of profit maximisation. So, we need to have
�� �
< 0.
�� �
That is, at the optimal quantity (q*), marginal profitmust be declining. In
�� �
terms of �� and ��, weget �� �
< 0 ��,
167
Business Mathematics Example 14: A stereo manufacturer determines that in order to sell x units of
a new stereo, the price per unit, in rupees, must be p(x)= 1000 - x. The
manufacturer also determines that the total cost of producing x units is given
by C(x) = 3000 + 20x.
a) Find the total revenue R(x).
b) Find the total profit P(x).
c) How many units must the manufacturer produce and sell in order to
maximize profit?
d) What is the maximum profit?
e) What price per unit must be charged in order to make this maximum
profit?
Solution:
a) Revenue = quantity × price
�(�) = � × �
�(�) = �(1000 − �)
�(�) = 1000� − � �
b) Profit = Total Revenue - Total Cost
P(x) = R(x)- C(x)
P(x) = 1000x- x2- (3000 + 20x)
P(x) = - x2+ 980x - 3000
c) P′(x) = -2x + 980 = 0
-2x = -980
x = 490
Since there is only one critical value, we can use the second derivative to
determine whether or not it yields a maximum or minimum.
P’’(x) = -2
Since P’’(x) is negative, x = 490 yields a maximum.
Thus, profit is maximized when 490 units are produced and sold.
d) The maximum profit is given by
P(490) = -(490)2+ 980(490) - 3000
P(490) = 237,100.
Thus, the stereo manufacturer makes a maximum profit of 237,100 when 490
units are produced and sold.
e) The price per unit to achieve this maximum profit is
p(490) = 1000 - 490
p(490) = 510.
168
Application of
Check Your Progress 5 Derivatives
1) How do you get profit of a firm?
2) What are the two conditions to be satisfied for profit maximization?
3) Interpret the second order condition of profit maximization.
∆�/�
= (-) ∆�/�
� ∆� � ��
= (-) � ∆� or =(-) � ��
174
Interest Rates
UNIT 10 INTEREST RATES
Structure
10.0 Objectives
10.1 Introduction
10.2 Meaning and Concept of Interest
10.3 Simple Interest
10.4 Compound Interest
10.5 Special Cases of Compound Rate of Interest
10.6 Let Us Sum Up
10.7 Key Words and List of Symbols
10.8 Some Useful Books
10.9 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
10.10 Exercises with Answers/Hints
Appendix Tables
10.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you will be able to:
• understand the concept of interest;
• define simple interest and calculate simple interest;
• define compound interest and calculate compound interest;
• perform continuous compounding calculations; and
• perform changing compound rate calculations.
10.1 INTRODUCTION
In this unit, we will study about different kinds of interest rates and the
methods of calculating interests. For that purpose, we will discuss the
concepts of simple interest and compound interest along with their
computations.
I = P × r× t
where
I: Interest, the amount of money that you pay to borrow money or the
amount of money that you earn on a deposit.
P: Principal which is the original sum of money
t: Time duration for which the money is borrowed/ deposited.
r: Rate of interest which is usually expressed as percent that is paid for
money borrowed, or earned for money deposited.
Calculating Amount:
Amount (�) = � + �
= � + (� × � × �) ��, � (1 + ��)
(Amount is the total amount due at the end of the period)
177
Business Mathematics Example 6: Find the principal that will yieldRs. 500.50 as interest in 2 years
at 5% p.a. simple interest.
Solution:Here,I= 500.50,t = 2, r = 0.05,P =?
From I = P×r×t, we get
500.50 = P × 0.05 × 2
or, 500.50 = 0.10P
or,P = 5,005.
The required Principal isRs. 5,005.
Example 7:
In how much time will Rs. 17,000 become Rs. 22,100 at 10% p.a. simple
interest?
Solution:
P = 17,000, A = 22,100,r = 0.10,t =?
Since 22100 = 17000 [1+ t (0.10)],
22100 = 17000 + 1700 t
or,1700 t = 5100
t = 3 years.
Time Amount
Yearly A = P (1+i)n where i = r and n = t
n
Half- yearly A = P (1+i) where i= r/2 and n = 2t
n
Quarterly A = P (1+i ) where i = r/4 and n = 4t
Monthly A = P (1+i)nwhere i= r/12 and n = 12t
Compound Interest (in all cases) I = A–P.
179
Business Mathematics Example 8: Bank pays compound interest at the rate of 5% p.a. Yogi
deposited a principal amount ofRs. 5,000 in bank for 4 years. Find the
interest that Yogi will receive.
Solution:Here,P = 5,000, n = 4, i = 0.05, A =?
We have A = P (1 + i)n
So, A = 5000 (1+ 0.05)4
or, A = 5000 (1.215506) (Using CompoundInterest Table)
or,A = Rs. 6,077.53.
We get,I= 6077.53 - 5000
or, I= Rs. 1,077.53.
Yogi will get Rs. 1,077.53 as interest from bank.
Example 9: Mehak deposited Rs. 50,000 in a finance account that pays 8%
interest, compounded annually. How much amount will be in her finance
account after 10 years?
Solution: Here, P = 50,000, i = 0.08, n = 10, A =?
As,A = P (1 + i)n,
A = 50000 (1 + 0.08)10
or, A = 50000 (2.158925) (Using Compound Interest Table)
or, A = 1,07,946.25
Mehak will have Rs. 1,07,946.25 in her finance account after 10 years.
Example10: Find the compound interest on Rs. 8,000 for 5 years at 6% per
annum interest compounded (i) semi-annually and (ii) monthly
Solution: Here, P = 8,000,t = 5, r = 0.06,A =?
A = P (1 + r/k)kt
(i) A = 8000(1+0.06/2)2×5
or, A = 8000(1+ 0.03)10
or, A = 8000 (1.343916) (Using Compound Interest Table)
or, A = Rs. 10,751.33.
We get,I= 10751.33 – 8,000
or, I= Rs. 2,751.33
(ii) A = 8000(1+0.06/12)12×5
i.e., A = 8000(1+ 0.005)60
or,A =8000 (1.348850) (Using Compound Interest Table)
or, A =Rs. 10,790.80.
So,I = 10790.8 – 8000
or, I = Rs. 2,790.80.
180
Example 11: If an amount of Rs. 86,400 is invested at 8% p.a. compounded Interest Rates
quarterly, how long will it take to accumulate Rs. 2,06,500.60?
Solution: Here, P = 86,400,r = 0.08,A = 2,06,500.60, t =?
As A = P (1 + r/k)kt,
206500.60 = 86400 (1 + 0.08/4)n
or, 206500.60/86400 =(1.02)n
or, (1.02)n=2.39005
or, n log 1.02 = log 2.390056
or, n(0.0086) = 0.378408
or, n = 0.378408/0.0086
= 44 quarters or 11 years.
The required time is 11 years.
Example 12: If interest is compounded annually at an interest rate of 6% p.a.,
then how long will it take a principal to double itself?
Solution: Here, P = P, A = 2P, r = 0.06,n =?
AsA = P (1 +r)n,
2P = P(1 +0.06)n
or, 2 = (1.06)n
or, log 2 = n log 1.06
or, n = log 2/ log 1.06 = 0.3010/0.0253
or, n = 11.9 years (approx.).
Example 13: A sum of money is deposited by Krishna which compounds
interest annually. The amount at the end of 2 years is Rs. 5,000 and at the end
of 3 years is 5,200. Find the money deposited and the rate of interest.
Solution: Here A(1) =5,000,n = 2 and A(2) = 5,200, n = 3, P = ?,r = ?
Now A = P (1 + r)n
That is, 5000= P (1 + r)2 … eq. (i)
and 5200= P(1 + r)3 …eq. (ii)
Dividing (ii) by (i)
5200/5000 = P(1 + r)3/ P (1 + r)2
or,(1 + r) = 5200/5000
or, r = 5200/5000 – 1
or, r = 1.04 - 1 = 0.04.
That is, required Rate of interest = 4%.
Now,from eq (i), P = 5000/ (1 + 0.04)2
or, P = 5000/(1.04)2
181
Business Mathematics or, log P = Log 5000 – 2 Log 1.04
= 3.69897 – 2 (0.0170) = 3.69897 – .0340 = 3.66497
or, P = antilog (3.66497)
= Rs.4,623 (approx).
Example 14:
Vidya’s savings account has a balance of Rs. 2,654.39. The annual interest
rate is 3% compounded monthly. Find the original principal amount
deposited two years ago.
Solution: Here, A= 2,654.39,r = 3%,t=2, P =?
Since, i= 3%/12 = 0.0025
and n = 2×12 = 24, from
A = P (1+i)n,
we have 2654.39 = P (1 + 0.0025)24
or, 2654.39 = P (1.061757) (Using Compound Interest Table)
or, P = 2654.39/1.061757
or, P = Rs. 2,500.
187
Business Mathematics Appendix: Amount at Compound Interest Table
188
Interest Rates
189
Business Mathematics
1.4609
76 1.208963 01 1.764510 2.130220 2.570529 3.100411 4.504152
1.4682
77 1.211985 05 1.777744 2.151522 2.602660 3.146917 4.594235
1.4755
78 1.215015 46 1.791077 2.173037 2.635193 3.194120 4.686120
1.4829
79 1.218053 24 1.804510 2.194768 2.668133 3.242032 4.779842
1.4903
80 1.221098 39 1.818044 2.216715 2.701485 3.290663 4.875439
191
Business Mathematics
192
Appendix: ex and e-x value table Interest Rates
x ex e-x
193
Business Mathematics
0.26 1.2969 0.77105
194
Compounding and
UNIT 11 COMPOUNDING AND Discounting
DISCOUNTING
Structure
11.0 Objectives
11.1 Introduction
11.2 Nominal and Effective Rates of Interest
11.3 Present Value
11.4 Equation of Value
11.5 Discount
11.5.1 Types of Discounts
11.6 Let Us Sum Up
11.7 Key Words and List of Symbols
11.8 Some Useful Books
11.9 Answer or Hints to Check Your Progress
11.10 Exercises with Answers/Hints
Appendix Tables
11.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
• understand the concept of Nominal and Effective rates of interest;
• explain theinter-relationship of Nominal and Effective Rates of Interest;
• understand the concept and calculation of Present Value;
• use equation of value;
• understand the concept of discount; and
• perform calculation of various types of discounts.
11.1 INTRODUCTION
In the preceding, unit we have introduced the concept of interest and
discussed the method of computing simple as well as compound interest. The
present unit included some more themes useful for studying interest.
Often, we end up paying at an interest rate that is different from stated rate.
Such scenario arises because nominal rate of interest may be different from
effective rate of interest. In the previous unit, we learnt that although interest
has been quoted as a percentage per annum but it can be compounded more
than once a year. But what if we want to find whether interest rate of 5% per
annum (p.a.) compounded biannually is higher or lower than an interest rate
of 5% p.a. compounded quarterly? Calculation of effective rate of interest
facilitates comparison between different alternative opportunities. This unit
also elaborates the concept of present value and equation of value.
Discounting which is opposite to the concept of compounding introduced and
195
Business Mathematics its various types have been explained. Compounding is used to the find the
future value of a present amount whereas discounting is used to find value of
an amount which is to be received in future at an earlier date.
The effective annual rate of interest is the amount of money that one unit
invested at the beginning of the year will earn during the year, when the
amount earned is paid at the end of the year. In the daily compounding
�
example, the effective annual rate of interest is (1 + ��� )��� − 1. This is the
rate of interest which compounded annually would provide the same return.
When the time period is not specified, both nominal and effective interest
rates are assumed to be annual rates.
Example 1:What is the effective rate of interest corresponding to an interest
rate of 5% per annum compounded quarterly?
The equation to be solved is (1 + 0.05/4)� = 1 + �, where iis the
effective rate of interest. Two different investment schemes with two
different nominal annual rates of interest may in fact be equivalent, that is,
may have equal value at any fixed date in the future.
Formula for Calculation of Effective Rate of Interest:
� = (� + �)� – � ��, (� + �/�)� – �
R: Effective rate of interest
r: Annual rate of interest
k: Number of compounding periods per year
i: Interest rate per conversion period
Note: In case nominal interest is compounded continuously, the formula for
effective rate will become
� = �� – �
Example2: Find the effective rate which is equivalent to a nominal rate of
24% compounded monthly.
Solution: Here, k = 12, r = 0.24, R=?
196
i = 0.24/12 Compounding and
Discounting
R = (1 + r/k)k– 1
= (1 + 0.24/12)12 – 1
= (1.02)12 – 1
= 1.268241-1
= 0.268241
= 26.82 %.
The equivalent effective rate is 26.82%.
Example 3: Find the effective rate which is equivalent to a nominal rate of
12 % compounded quarterly.
Solution: Here, k = 4, r = 0.12, R=?
i = 0.12/4
R = (1 + r/k)k–1
= (1 + 0.12/4)4 – 1
=(1.03)4 – 1
=1.1255088 – 1
=12.55 %.
The equivalent effective rate is 12.55%
Example 4: Find the compound interest rate when compounded continuously
is equivalent to an effective rate of 6%.
Solution: Here, R=0.06, er=?
R= er– 1
0.06 = er– 1
er=1.06
197
Business Mathematics Now, R = (1 + i) k – 1
= (1 + 5/95)4 – 1
= (1 + 0.053)4 – 1
= (1.053)4 – 1
=1.2295 – 1
=22.95 %.
The effective rate of interest is 22.95% per annum.
Example 6: Radheshyam wants to borrow money for buying a motorcycle.
His bank charges 8% per annum interest compounded semi-annually. A
neighbourhood money lender charges 7.9% per annum interest compounded
monthly. In which case will he pay the lesser amount of interest?
Solution: We will compare the effective rates in both cases
R = (1 + i) k – 1 or, (1 + r/k) k – 1
Case A:
r = 0.08, k = 2, R =?
R= (1 + 0.08/2)2 – 1
=(1.04)2 – 1
= 1.081600 – 1
= 8.16%.
Case B:
r = 0.079, k = 12, R =?
R= (1 + 0.079/12)12 – 1
=(1.00658)12 – 1
= 1.081924 – 1
= 8.19% (Approx.).
The bank has lower effective rate of interest and thus charges lower effective
interest than the money lender.
Example 7: Anita wants to deposit Rs. 75,000 for 3 years. She has two
options: Option (A)- 10% per annum compounded semi-annually. Option
(B)- 9.5% per annum compounded continuously. Which option should Anita
choose?
Solution: We will calculate effective rate for both options:
R = (1 + i) k – 1 or, (1 + r/k) k – 1
Option (A), r = 0.1, k = 2, R =?
R= (1 + 0.1/2)2 – 1
=(1.05)2 – 1
= 1.1025 – 1
= 0.1025 or, 10.25%
Option (B), er = 0.095, R =?
198
R= er– 1 Compounding and
Discounting
=e0.095 – 1
=1.0997 - 1
=0.0997 or 9.97%.
Anita should choose option A.
Nominal interest rates are not comparable unless their compounding periods
are the same.Effective rate of interest is the rate of interest per annum
compounded only once in a year. Effective rate should not be confused with
simple interest. When the conversion period is a year, the effective rate of
interest and nominal rate of interest are same. So, when compounding is done
annually, both rates are equal. But if compounding is done more than once in
a year, effective rate of interest will be different from nominal rate of interest.
For example – If the interest rate is 15% per year, compounded annually. In
this case, the nominal interest rate is 15%, and the effective interest rate is
also 15%. However, in case the compounding is more frequent than once per
year, then the effective interest rate will be greater than 15%. The more often
compounding occurs, the higher is the effective interest rate.
The nominal rate of interest compounded continuously and equivalent to a
given effective rate of interest is called theforce of interest.
For example, if interest is compounded n times per year, then the amount
after t years is given by
� ��
�1 + � .
�
If we let � → ∞,then this expression is � �� . That is the case of notion of
instantaneous compounding of interest. In thiscontext denote by �the rate of
instantaneous compounding which is equivalentto interest rate i. Here �is
called the force of interest.
Example 8:Show that � = ln(1 + �).
Taking � � = � �� (���) = (1 + i).
Example 9: Find the force of interest which is equivalent to 5%
compoundeddaily.
Here � � = (1 + 0.05/365)���, so that d= 0.4999.
So as a roughapproximation when compounding daily the force of interest is
the same as thenominal interest rate.
Note: Nominal rate is also known as Annual percentage rate and Effective
rate is also known as Annual percentage yield.
202
Compounding and
11.4 EQUATION OF VALUE Discounting
Lender
Borrower
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rs. 1200
Rs. 800 after 800(1+0.06 ×4/12)-1 Rs. x after 6 x (1+ 0.06 × 6/12)-1
4 months months
Rs.1000 after 1000(1+ 0.06 × 9/12)-1
9 months
204
Compounding and
Old Value at focal point New obligation Value at
Discounting
obligation focal point
11.5 DISCOUNT
Discounting is the opposite of compounding. When we know the future value
of some amount or obligation, we apply discount rate to find its value at
some earlier date. So, discounting is about moving backwards in time.
11.5.1 Types of Discounts
Simple Discount:
Sometimes interest is paid or deducted upfront in the financial transactions.
Such interest is called simple discount. For example, Anuj went to a money
lender to ask for a loan ofRs. 2,000. The money lender agrees to provide him
the loan and gives him Rs. 1,700 and says that Rs. 300 is the 15% interest
(2000 × 0.15 =300). Now Anuj will have to pay back only Rs.2,000 to the
money lender. Simple discount is different from simple interest as simple
interest is a percentage of principal while simple discount is a percentage of
the maturity amount.
Note: Another name for simple discount is bank discount.
Formula for Simple Discount:
� = � × � × �,
where
D =Discount Amount
A = Amount at the end of t periods
d = Discount percentage
t = Time period
Formula for Present Value at a Discount Rate:
206
� = � (� − �)� , Compounding and
Discounting
where
P = Present value of amount
A = Amount at the end of n periods
d = Discount rate per period
n = Number of time periods
Discount (D) = A - P
Nominal rate of discount and Effective rate of discount
The concept of nominal rate of discount and effective rate of discount is
similar to compounding. The stated rate of discount, when the discount is
converted more than once in a year is known as nominal rate of discount. On
the other hand, effective rate of discount is the rate of discount per annum
compounded only once in a year. Effective rate of discount is lower than the
nominal rate of discount.The nominal discount rate converted continuously
and equivalent to a given effective rate is known as force of discount. The
value of nominal rate of discount is not dependent on principal amount or
maturity amount.
The relationship between nominal discount rate and effective discount rate is
given by
�� = � – ��� ,
where
De = Effective discount rate
d = Nominal discount rate
Compound Discount:
Compound discount is the inverse of compound interest and is used to
calculate the value of future value of an amount at an earlier date.
Formula for Compound Discount:
� = � (� + �)�� ,
where
P = Present value of amount
A = Amount at the end of n periods
i = Interest rate per period
n = Number of time periods
Continuous Discount:
Continuous discount is used to find the present value of an asset or an
obligation whose value is known at some future time when interest is
compounded continuously. The concept of continuous discounting has wide
application in valuation of futures and forwards contracts.
207
Business Mathematics Formula for Continuous Discount:
� = ����� ,
where
P = Present value of amount
A = Amount at the end of n periods
i = Interest rate per period
n = Number of time periods
Example 21: Find the present value ofRs. 5,000 due in 2 years at 4% rate of
discount compounded quarterly.
Solution: Here, A = 5000, n = 2 × 4,d = 0.04/4 = 0.01, P=?
P = A (1- d)n
= 5000 (1- 0.01)8
= 5000 (0.99)8
= 5000 (0.9227446)
= Rs. 4,613.72.
The required present value is Rs. 4,613.72.
Example 22: Find the effective discount rate when nominal rate of discount
is 10% compounded continuously.
Solution: Here d = 0.10, De =?
De = 1 – e-d
= 1- e-0.10
= 1 – 0.90484 (Using e-xvalue table)
= 0.09516 or, 9.52%.
The required effective rate of discount is 9.52 %.
Example 23: Find the present value of Rs. 4,500 due after 3 years from now.
The interest is compounded continuously at the interest rate of 6%.
Solution: Here,A = 4,500,t =3,r = 0.06,P =?
P = Ae-r×t
= 4500 e-0.06×3
= 4500 e-0.18
= 4500 (0.83527) (Using e-xvalue table)
= Rs. 3,758.72.
The present value is Rs. 3,758.72.
210
3) A common date to which various amounts of money payable at Compounding and
Discounting
different points in time is fixed to compare all the amounts of
accumulation or discount.
Check Your Progress 4
1) The effective rate of discount, denoted by�, is a measure of interest
where the interest is paid at the beginning of the period. It is a
contrast to the effective rate of interest which is a measure of the
interest paid at the end of the period.
2) Rate of discount, when the discount is converted more than once in a
year is known as nominal rate of discount. The effective rate of
discount is the rate of discount per annum converted only once in a
year.
3) To find the present value of an asset whose value is known at some
future time when interest is compounded continuously.
211
Business Mathematics 8) An IT Company’s bond will be worth Rs. 10,000 in 10 years. What
should the investor pay for it today in order to earn 6.5% annually?
(Ans: Rs. 5327.26)
9) Find the discount on Rs. 3000 due in 3 years at 6% rate of discount
converted semi-annually.
(Ans.: Rs. 501.09)
10) What is the effective discount rate when nominal rate of discount is
12% compounded continuously?
(Ans.:11.31 %)
212
Appendix: Present Value Table Compounding and
Discounting
n 0.25% 0.50% 0.75% 1.00% 1.25% 1.50% 2.00%
1 0.997506 0.995025 0.992556 0.990099 0.987654 0.985222 0.980392
2 0.995019 0.990075 0.985167 0.980296 0.975461 0.970662 0.961169
3 0.992537 0.985149 0.977833 0.970590 0.963418 0.956317 0.942322
4 0.990062 0.980248 0.970554 0.960980 0.951524 0.942184 0.923845
5 0.987593 0.975371 0.963329 0.951466 0.939777 0.928260 0.905731
6 0.985130 0.970518 0.956158 0.942045 0.928175 0.914542 0.887971
7 0.982674 0.965690 0.949040 0.932718 0.916716 0.901027 0.870560
8 0.980223 0.960885 0.941975 0.923483 0.905398 0.887711 0.853490
9 0.977779 0.956105 0.934963 0.914340 0.894221 0.874592 0.836755
10 0.975340 0.951348 0.928003 0.905287 0.883181 0.861667 0.820348
11 0.972908 0.946615 0.921095 0.896324 0.872277 0.848933 0.804263
12 0.970482 0.941905 0.914238 0.887449 0.861509 0.836387 0.788493
13 0.968062 0.937219 0.907432 0.878663 0.850873 0.824027 0.773033
14 0.965648 0.932556 0.900677 0.869963 0.840368 0.811849 0.757875
15 0.963239 0.927917 0.893973 0.861349 0.829993 0.799852 0.743015
16 0.960837 0.923300 0.887318 0.852821 0.819746 0.788031 0.728446
17 0.958441 0.918707 0.880712 0.844377 0.809626 0.776385 0.714163
18 0.956051 0.914136 0.874156 0.836017 0.799631 0.764912 0.700159
19 0.953667 0.909588 0.867649 0.827740 0.789759 0.753607 0.686431
20 0.951289 0.905063 0.861190 0.819544 0.780009 0.742470 0.672971
21 0.948916 0.900560 0.854779 0.811430 0.770379 0.731498 0.659776
22 0.946550 0.896080 0.848416 0.803396 0.760868 0.720688 0.646839
23 0.944190 0.891622 0.842100 0.795442 0.751475 0.710037 0.634156
24 0.941835 0.887186 0.835831 0.787566 0.742197 0.699544 0.621721
25 0.939486 0.882772 0.829609 0.779768 0.733034 0.689206 0.609531
26 0.937143 0.878380 0.823434 0.772048 0.723984 0.679021 0.597579
27 0.934806 0.874010 0.817304 0.764404 0.715046 0.668986 0.585862
28 0.932475 0.869662 0.811220 0.756836 0.706219 0.659099 0.574375
29 0.930150 0.865335 0.805181 0.749342 0.697500 0.649359 0.563112
30 0.927830 0.861030 0.799187 0.741923 0.688889 0.639762 0.552071
213
Business Mathematics
31 0.925517 0.856746 0.793238 0.734577 0.680384 0.630308 0.541246
32 0.923209 0.852484 0.787333 0.727304 0.671984 0.620993 0.530633
33 0.920906 0.848242 0.781472 0.720103 0.663688 0.611816 0.520229
34 0.918610 0.844022 0.775654 0.712973 0.655494 0.602774 0.510028
35 0.916319 0.839823 0.769880 0.705914 0.647402 0.593866 0.500028
36 0.914034 0.835645 0.764149 0.698925 0.639409 0.585090 0.490223
37 0.911754 0.831487 0.758461 0.692005 0.631515 0.576443 0.480611
38 0.909481 0.827351 0.752814 0.685153 0.623719 0.567924 0.471187
39 0.907213 0.823235 0.747210 0.678370 0.616019 0.559531 0.461948
40 0.904950 0.819139 0.741648 0.671653 0.608413 0.551262 0.452890
41 0.902694 0.815064 0.736127 0.665003 0.600902 0.543116 0.444010
42 0.900443 0.811009 0.730647 0.658419 0.593484 0.535089 0.435304
43 0.898197 0.806974 0.725208 0.651900 0.586157 0.527182 0.426769
44 0.895957 0.802959 0.719810 0.645445 0.578920 0.519391 0.418401
45 0.893723 0.798964 0.714451 0.639055 0.571773 0.511715 0.410197
46 0.891494 0.794989 0.709133 0.632728 0.564714 0.504153 0.402154
47 0.889271 0.791034 0.703854 0.626463 0.557742 0.496702 0.394268
48 0.887053 0.787098 0.698614 0.620260 0.550856 0.489362 0.386538
49 0.884841 0.783182 0.693414 0.614119 0.544056 0.482130 0.378958
50 0.882635 0.779286 0.688252 0.608039 0.537339 0.475005 0.371528
51 0.880433 0.775409 0.683128 0.602019 0.530705 0.467985 0.364243
52 0.878238 0.771551 0.678043 0.596058 0.524153 0.461069 0.357101
53 0.876048 0.767713 0.672995 0.590156 0.517682 0.454255 0.350099
54 0.873863 0.763893 0.667986 0.584313 0.511291 0.447542 0.343234
55 0.871684 0.760093 0.663013 0.578528 0.504979 0.440928 0.336504
56 0.869510 0.756311 0.658077 0.572800 0.498745 0.434412 0.329906
57 0.867342 0.752548 0.653178 0.567129 0.492587 0.427992 0.323437
58 0.865179 0.748804 0.648316 0.561514 0.486506 0.421667 0.317095
59 0.863021 0.745079 0.643490 0.555954 0.480500 0.415435 0.310878
60 0.860869 0.741372 0.638700 0.550450 0.474568 0.409296 0.304782
61 0.858722 0.737684 0.633945 0.545000 0.468709 0.403247 0.298806
62 0.856581 0.734014 0.629226 0.539604 0.462922 0.397288 0.292947
63 0.854445 0.730362 0.624542 0.534261 0.457207 0.391417 0.287203
64 0.852314 0.726728 0.619893 0.528971 0.451563 0.385632 0.281572
65 0.850188 0.723113 0.615278 0.523734 0.445988 0.379933 0.276051
66 0.848068 0.719515 0.610698 0.518548 0.440482 0.374318 0.270638
67 0.845953 0.715935 0.606152 0.513414 0.435044 0.368787 0.265331
68 0.843844 0.712374 0.601639 0.508331 0.429673 0.363337 0.260129
69 0.841739 0.708829 0.597161 0.503298 0.424368 0.357967 0.255028
70 0.839640 0.705303 0.592715 0.498315 0.419129 0.352677 0.250028
71 0.837547 0.701794 0.588303 0.493381 0.413955 0.347465 0.245125
72 0.835458 0.698302 0.583924 0.488496 0.408844 0.342330 0.240319
214
73 0.833374 0.694828 0.579577 0.483659 0.403797 0.337271 0.235607 Compounding and
Discounting
74 0.831296 0.691371 0.575262 0.478871 0.398811 0.332287 0.230987
75 0.829223 0.687932 0.570980 0.474129 0.393888 0.327376 0.226458
76 0.827155 0.684509 0.566730 0.469435 0.389025 0.322538 0.222017
77 0.825093 0.681104 0.562511 0.464787 0.384222 0.317771 0.217664
78 0.823035 0.677715 0.558323 0.460185 0.379479 0.313075 0.213396
79 0.820982 0.674343 0.554167 0.455629 0.374794 0.308448 0.209212
80 0.818935 0.670988 0.550042 0.451118 0.370167 0.303890 0.205110
215
Business Mathematics
33 0.377026 0.321343 0.274094 0.233971 0.199873 0.146186 0.107235
34 0.366045 0.310476 0.263552 0.223896 0.190355 0.137912 0.100219
35 0.355383 0.299977 0.253415 0.214254 0.181290 0.130105 0.093663
36 0.345032 0.289833 0.243669 0.205028 0.172657 0.122741 0.087535
37 0.334983 0.280032 0.234297 0.196199 0.164436 0.115793 0.081809
38 0.325226 0.270562 0.225285 0.187750 0.156605 0.109239 0.076457
39 0.315754 0.261413 0.216621 0.179665 0.149148 0.103056 0.071455
40 0.306557 0.252572 0.208289 0.171929 0.142046 0.097222 0.066780
41 0.297628 0.244031 0.200278 0.164525 0.135282 0.091719 0.062412
42 0.288959 0.235779 0.192575 0.157440 0.128840 0.086527 0.058329
43 0.280543 0.227806 0.185168 0.150661 0.122704 0.081630 0.054513
44 0.272372 0.220102 0.178046 0.144173 0.116861 0.077009 0.050946
45 0.264439 0.212659 0.171198 0.137964 0.111297 0.072650 0.047613
46 0.256737 0.205468 0.164614 0.132023 0.105997 0.068538 0.044499
47 0.249259 0.198520 0.158283 0.126338 0.100949 0.064658 0.041587
48 0.241999 0.191806 0.152195 0.120898 0.096142 0.060998 0.038867
49 0.234950 0.185320 0.146341 0.115692 0.091564 0.057546 0.036324
50 0.228107 0.179053 0.140713 0.110710 0.087204 0.054288 0.033948
51 0.221463 0.172998 0.135301 0.105942 0.083051 0.051215 0.031727
52 0.215013 0.167148 0.130097 0.101380 0.079096 0.048316 0.029651
53 0.208750 0.161496 0.125093 0.097014 0.075330 0.045582 0.027711
54 0.202670 0.156035 0.120282 0.092837 0.071743 0.043001 0.025899
55 0.196767 0.150758 0.115656 0.088839 0.068326 0.040567 0.024204
56 0.191036 0.145660 0.111207 0.085013 0.065073 0.038271 0.022621
57 0.185472 0.140734 0.106930 0.081353 0.061974 0.036105 0.021141
58 0.180070 0.135975 0.102817 0.077849 0.059023 0.034061 0.019758
59 0.174825 0.131377 0.098863 0.074497 0.056212 0.032133 0.018465
60 0.169733 0.126934 0.095060 0.071289 0.053536 0.030314 0.017257
61 0.164789 0.122642 0.091404 0.068219 0.050986 0.028598 0.016128
62 0.159990 0.118495 0.087889 0.065281 0.048558 0.026980 0.015073
63 0.155330 0.114487 0.084508 0.062470 0.046246 0.025453 0.014087
64 0.150806 0.110616 0.081258 0.059780 0.044044 0.024012 0.013166
65 0.146413 0.106875 0.078133 0.057206 0.041946 0.022653 0.012304
66 0.142149 0.103261 0.075128 0.054743 0.039949 0.021370 0.011499
67 0.138009 0.099769 0.072238 0.052385 0.038047 0.020161 0.010747
68 0.133989 0.096395 0.069460 0.050129 0.036235 0.019020 0.010044
69 0.130086 0.093136 0.066788 0.047971 0.034509 0.017943 0.009387
70 0.126297 0.089986 0.064219 0.045905 0.032866 0.016927 0.008773
71 0.122619 0.086943 0.061749 0.043928 0.031301 0.015969 0.008199
72 0.119047 0.084003 0.059374 0.042037 0.029811 0.015065 0.007662
216
73 0.115580 0.081162 0.057091 0.040226 0.028391 0.014213 0.007161 Compounding and
Discounting
74 0.112214 0.078418 0.054895 0.038494 0.027039 0.013408 0.006693
75 0.108945 0.075766 0.052784 0.036836 0.025752 0.012649 0.006255
76 0.105772 0.073204 0.050754 0.035250 0.024525 0.011933 0.005846
77 0.102691 0.070728 0.048801 0.033732 0.023357 0.011258 0.005463
78 0.099700 0.068336 0.046924 0.032280 0.022245 0.010620 0.005106
79 0.096796 0.066026 0.045120 0.030890 0.021186 0.010019 0.004772
80 0.093977 0.063793 0.043384 0.029559 0.020177 0.009452 0.004460
n 8.00% 9.00% 10.00% 11.00% 12.00% 13.00% 14.00%
1 0.925926 0.917431 0.909091 0.900901 0.892857 0.884956 0.877193
2 0.857339 0.841680 0.826446 0.811622 0.797194 0.783147 0.769468
3 0.793832 0.772183 0.751315 0.731191 0.711780 0.693050 0.674972
4 0.735030 0.708425 0.683013 0.658731 0.635518 0.613319 0.592080
5 0.680583 0.649931 0.620921 0.593451 0.567427 0.542760 0.519369
6 0.630170 0.596267 0.564474 0.534641 0.506631 0.480319 0.455587
7 0.583490 0.547034 0.513158 0.481658 0.452349 0.425061 0.399637
8 0.540269 0.501866 0.466507 0.433926 0.403883 0.376160 0.350559
9 0.500249 0.460428 0.424098 0.390925 0.360610 0.332885 0.307508
10 0.463193 0.422411 0.385543 0.352184 0.321973 0.294588 0.269744
11 0.428883 0.387533 0.350494 0.317283 0.287476 0.260698 0.236617
12 0.397114 0.355535 0.318631 0.285841 0.256675 0.230706 0.207559
13 0.367698 0.326179 0.289664 0.257514 0.229174 0.204165 0.182069
14 0.340461 0.299246 0.263331 0.231995 0.204620 0.180677 0.159710
15 0.315242 0.274538 0.239392 0.209004 0.182696 0.159891 0.140096
16 0.291890 0.251870 0.217629 0.188292 0.163122 0.141496 0.122892
17 0.270269 0.231073 0.197845 0.169633 0.145644 0.125218 0.107800
18 0.250249 0.211994 0.179859 0.152822 0.130040 0.110812 0.094561
19 0.231712 0.194490 0.163508 0.137678 0.116107 0.098064 0.082948
20 0.214548 0.178431 0.148644 0.124034 0.103667 0.086782 0.072762
21 0.198656 0.163698 0.135131 0.111742 0.092560 0.076798 0.063826
22 0.183941 0.150182 0.122846 0.100669 0.082643 0.067963 0.055988
23 0.170315 0.137781 0.111678 0.090693 0.073788 0.060144 0.049112
24 0.157699 0.126405 0.101526 0.081705 0.065882 0.053225 0.043081
25 0.146018 0.115968 0.092296 0.073608 0.058823 0.047102 0.037790
26 0.135202 0.106393 0.083905 0.066314 0.052521 0.041683 0.033149
27 0.125187 0.097608 0.076278 0.059742 0.046894 0.036888 0.029078
28 0.115914 0.089548 0.069343 0.053822 0.041869 0.032644 0.025507
29 0.107328 0.082155 0.063039 0.048488 0.037383 0.028889 0.022375
30 0.099377 0.075371 0.057309 0.043683 0.033378 0.025565 0.019627
31 0.092016 0.069148 0.052099 0.039354 0.029802 0.022624 0.017217
217
Business Mathematics
32 0.085200 0.063438 0.047362 0.035454 0.026609 0.020021 0.015102
33 0.078889 0.058200 0.043057 0.031940 0.023758 0.017718 0.013248
34 0.073045 0.053395 0.039143 0.028775 0.021212 0.015680 0.011621
35 0.067635 0.048986 0.035584 0.025924 0.018940 0.013876 0.010194
36 0.062625 0.044941 0.032349 0.023355 0.016910 0.012279 0.008942
37 0.057986 0.041231 0.029408 0.021040 0.015098 0.010867 0.007844
38 0.053690 0.037826 0.026735 0.018955 0.013481 0.009617 0.006880
39 0.049713 0.034703 0.024304 0.017077 0.012036 0.008510 0.006035
40 0.046031 0.031838 0.022095 0.015384 0.010747 0.007531 0.005294
41 0.042621 0.029209 0.020086 0.013860 0.009595 0.006665 0.004644
42 0.039464 0.026797 0.018260 0.012486 0.008567 0.005898 0.004074
43 0.036541 0.024584 0.016600 0.011249 0.007649 0.005219 0.003573
44 0.033834 0.022555 0.015091 0.010134 0.006830 0.004619 0.003135
45 0.031328 0.020692 0.013719 0.009130 0.006098 0.004088 0.002750
46 0.029007 0.018984 0.012472 0.008225 0.005445 0.003617 0.002412
47 0.026859 0.017416 0.011338 0.007410 0.004861 0.003201 0.002116
48 0.024869 0.015978 0.010307 0.006676 0.004340 0.002833 0.001856
49 0.023027 0.014659 0.009370 0.006014 0.003875 0.002507 0.001628
50 0.021321 0.013449 0.008519 0.005418 0.003460 0.002219 0.001428
51 0.019742 0.012338 0.007744 0.004881 0.003089 0.001963 0.001253
52 0.018280 0.011319 0.007040 0.004397 0.002758 0.001737 0.001099
53 0.016925 0.010385 0.006400 0.003962 0.002463 0.001538 0.000964
54 0.015672 0.009527 0.005818 0.003569 0.002199 0.001361 0.000846
55 0.014511 0.008741 0.005289 0.003215 0.001963 0.001204 0.000742
56 0.013436 0.008019 0.004809 0.002897 0.001753 0.001066 0.000651
57 0.012441 0.007357 0.004371 0.002610 0.001565 0.000943 0.000571
58 0.011519 0.006749 0.003974 0.002351 0.001398 0.000835 0.000501
59 0.010666 0.006192 0.003613 0.002118 0.001248 0.000739 0.000439
60 0.009876 0.005681 0.003284 0.001908 0.001114 0.000654 0.000385
61 0.009144 0.005212 0.002986 0.001719 0.000995 0.000578 0.000338
62 0.008467 0.004781 0.002714 0.001549 0.000888 0.000512 0.000296
63 0.007840 0.004387 0.002468 0.001395 0.000793 0.000453 0.000260
64 0.007259 0.004024 0.002243 0.001257 0.000708 0.000401 0.000228
65 0.006721 0.003692 0.002039 0.001132 0.000632 0.000355 0.000200
66 0.006223 0.003387 0.001854 0.001020 0.000564 0.000314 0.000176
67 0.005762 0.003108 0.001685 0.000919 0.000504 0.000278 0.000154
68 0.005336 0.002851 0.001532 0.000828 0.000450 0.000246 0.000135
69 0.004940 0.002616 0.001393 0.000746 0.000402 0.000218 0.000118
70 0.004574 0.002400 0.001266 0.000672 0.000359 0.000193 0.000104
71 0.004236 0.002201 0.001151 0.000605 0.000320 0.000170 0.000091
218
72 0.003922 0.002020 0.001046 0.000545 0.000286 0.000151 0.000080 Compounding and
Discounting
73 0.003631 0.001853 0.000951 0.000491 0.000255 0.000133 0.000070
74 0.003362 0.001700 0.000865 0.000443 0.000228 0.000118 0.000062
75 0.003113 0.001560 0.000786 0.000399 0.000204 0.000105 0.000054
76 0.002883 0.001431 0.000715 0.000359 0.000182 0.000092 0.000047
77 0.002669 0.001313 0.000650 0.000324 0.000162 0.000082 0.000042
78 0.002471 0.001204 0.000591 0.000292 0.000145 0.000072 0.000036
79 0.002288 0.001105 0.000537 0.000263 0.000129 0.000064 0.000032
80 0.002119 0.001014 0.000488 0.000237 0.000115 0.000057 0.000028
219
Business Mathematics
Appendix: ex and e-x value table
x ex e-x
0.00 1.0000 1.0000
0.01 1.0101 0.99005
0.02 1.0202 0.98020
0.03 1.0305 0.97045
0.04 1.0408 0.96079
0.05 1.0513 0.95123
0.06 1.0618 0.94176
0.07 1.0725 0.93239
0.08 1.0833 0.92312
0.09 1.0942 0.91393
0.10 1.1052 0.90484
0.11 1.1163 0.89583
0.12 1.1275 0.88692
0.13 1.1388 0.87810
0.14 1.1503 0.86936
0.15 1.1618 0.86071
0.16 1.1735 0.85214
0.17 1.1853 0.84366
0.18 1.1972 0.83527
0.19 1.2092 0.82696
0.20 1.2214 0.81873
0.21 1.2337 0.81058
0.22 1.2461 0.80252
0.23 1.2586 0.79453
0.24 1.2712 0.78663
0.25 1.2840 0.77880
0.26 1.2969 0.77105
0.27 1.3100 0.76338
0.28 1.3231 0.75578
0.29 1.3364 0.74826
0.30 1.3499 0.74082
0.31 1.3634 0.73345
0.32 1.3771 0.72615
0.33 1.3910 0.71892
0.34 1.4049 0.71177
0.35 1.4191 0.70469
0.36 1.4333 0.69768
0.37 1.4477 0.69073
0.38 1.4623 0.68386
0.39 1.4770 0.67706
0.40 1.4918 0.67032
220
BCOC-134
Business Mathematics
and Statistics
School of Management Studies
MATERIAL PRODUCTION
Mr. Y.N. Sharma Mr. Sudhir Kumar
Assistant Registrar (Publication) Section Officer (Pub.)
MPDD, IGNOU, New Delhi MPDD, IGNOU, New Delhi
January, 2020
© Indira Gandhi National Open University, 2020
ISBN:
All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced in any form, by mimeograph or any other
means, without permission in writing from the Indira Gandhi National Open University.
Further information on the Indira Gandhi National Open University courses may be obtained from the
University’s office at Maidan Garhi, New Delhi-110 068.
Printed and published on behalf of the Indira Gandhi National Open University, New Delhi, by the
Registrar, MPDD, IGNOU.
Laser typeset by Tessa Media & Computers, C-206, A.F.E-II, Jamia Nagar, New Delhi-110025
Printed at:
COURSE INTRODUCTION
This is one of the core courses in B.Com programme under CBCS scheme.
The main objective of this course is to familiarize the students with the
application of Mathematics and Statistical techniques which will facilitate in
business decision making. This course consists of two parts, viz., PART- A:
Business Mathematics comprising of 11 units and PART-B: Business
Statistics comprising of 7 units (unit 12 to unit 18). The brief introduction of
Part-B is as follows:
UNI-VARIATE ANALYSIS
Unit 12: Introduction to Statistics deals with meaning, definitions,
functions, importance, scope and limitations of statistics.
Unit 13 : Measure of Central Tendency describes the meaning of central
tendency, list out its various measures such as Arithmetic Mean, Geomantic
Mean, Harmonic Mean, Median, Partition Values and Mode. It also discusses
the concept, method of computation, properties, uses and limitations of these
measures.
Unit 14 : Measures of Dispersion discuses the need of dispersion. It further
explains the meaning computation and uses of three measures of dispersion
viz., Range, Quartile Deviation, Mean Deviation, Standard Deviation, and Co
efficient of Variation.
BI-VARIATE ANALYSIS
Unit 15: Simple Linier Correlation introduces the concepts of co relation,
its calculations, their merits and limitations.
Unit 16: Simple Linier Regression introduces the concept of regression,
with its computation and applications thereof.
Structure
12.0 Objectives
12.1 Introduction
12.2 Meaning of Statistics
12.2.1 Statistics Defined in Plural Sense
12.2.2 Statistics Defined in Singular Sense
12.3 Descriptive and Inferential Statistics
12.4 Functions of Statistics
12.5 Importance of Statistics
12.6 Limitations of Statistics
12.7 Distrust of Statistics
12.8 Classification According to Variables
12.9 Let Us Sum Up
12.10 Key Words
12.11 Answers to Check Your Progress
12.12 Terminal Questions
12.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
• define the word ‘statistics’,
• distinguish between descriptive and inferential statistics,
• describe the different functions of statistics,
• explain the importance of statistical methods in different fields,
• appreciate the limitations of statistical methods,
• explain the reasons for distrust in statistics, and
• explain the usages and importance of statics in business.
12.1 INTRODUCTION
So far, we have discussed business mathematics. In this unit, we will discuss
business statistics and its usage and importance in business. Statistics is not a
new discipline but is as old as the human activity itself. Its sphere of utility,
however, has been increasing over the years. In the olden days, it was
considered as the ‘science of statecraft’ and was regarded as a by-product of
the administrative activity of the State thereby limiting its scope. The
governments in those days used to keep records of population, birth, deaths,
etc., for administrative purposes. In fact, the word ‘statistics’ seems to have
been derived from the Latin word ‘status’ or Italian word ‘statista’ or the
German word ‘Statistik’ each of which means a political state. Statistical 5
Business Statistics methods are now widely used in various diversified fields such as agriculture,
economics, sociology, business management, etc. In this unit you will study
the meaning and definition of statistics, distinction between descriptive and
inferential statistics, functions of statistics, importance and limitations of
statistics, and distrust of statistics.
Qualitative data may be nominal or ranked. The Nominal data arise due to
classification into two or more categories of a certain number of items
according to some quality characteristic. For example, classification of
6
students according to sex. (as males and females) or according to the level of Introduction to
Statistics
education (as matriculates, undergraduates, and postgraduates). Such data
are also count data. The ranked data, on the other hand, are the result of
assigning ranks according to the level of performance in any competitive test,
contest, or interview. Candidates appearing in an interview, for instance,
may be assigned ranks in integers ranging from 1 to n, depending on their
performance in the interview. The ranks so assigned may be viewed as
continuous values of a variable which may be any quality characteristic under
observation.
It is, thus, clear that all statistics are numerical statements of facts but all
numerical statements of facts are not statistics. They will be called
statistics only if the above characteristics are present in them.
12.2.2 Statistics Defined in Singular Sense
Numerical information must be collected, organised, presented, analysed and
interpreted if it has to be used for making wise decisions. We require
methods that help us in this regard. Thus, statistics, when used in the singular
sense, has been defined as a body of methods which provides tools for data
collection, analysis and interpretation. Here too, different writers have
8
interpreted statistics differently. Now let us also discuss about some of these Introduction to
Statistics
definitions.
Bowley, for instance, has given a number of definitions. But none of them is
comprehensive. They in fact point to the development of science of statistics
over time. Some of these definitions are:
i) Statistics may be called the science of counting.
ii) Statistics may rightly be called the science of averages.
iii) Statistics is the science of measurement of social organism, regarded as
a whole in all manifestations.
Croxton and Cowden have given a simple and precise definition of statistics.
According to them “statistics may be defined as the collection, presentation,
analysis and interpretation of numerical data.”
The last two definitions are quite precise, comprehensive, and point out the
scope of statistical methods. The science of statistics teaches us the methods
and techniques which are required for 1) collection of data, 2) classification
and tabulation of data, 3) presentation of data, 4) analysis of data, and 5)
interpretation of data.
Thus, from the above discussion, we can conclude that the word ‘statistics’
may be used either in plural sense to refer to data or in singular sense to refer
to a body of methods for making wise decisions in the face of uncertainty.
Descriptive Statistics refer to various measures that are used to describe the
characteristic features of the data. Such measures include measures of central
tendency, measures of dispersion, etc. Graphs, tables and charts that display
data are also examples of descriptive statistics. Suppose the number of first
year B.Com. students is 100 and you compute the average marks of these
students. Here you are using descriptive statistics. Similarly, when you are
computing the average marks of a sample of 25 students from the same class
9
Business Statistics but without attempting any generalisation about the entire class, you are still
using descriptive statistics.
10
2) To simplify unwieldy and complex data: Statistical methods simplify Introduction to
Statistics
unwieldy and complex data to make them understandable easily. The raw
data is often unintelligible. One cannot grasp their characteristics unless
the data is classified according to somecommon characteristics, Suppose,
you are given the weekly wages of 1,000 workers in a factory. You will
not be in a position to draw any inference from the data unless they are
condensed through classification such as the following:
Statistics in Economics
Statistical analysis is immensely useful in the solution of a variety of
economic problems such as production, consumption, distribution, etc. For
12
example, an analysis of data on consumption may reveal the pattern of Introduction to
Statistics
consumption of various commodities by different sections of the society.
Data on prices, wages, consumption, savings and investment, etc., are vital in
formulating various economic policies. Likewise, data on national income
and wealth are useful in formulating policies for reducing disparities of
income. Use of statistics in economics has led to the formulation of several
economic laws such as Engel’s Law of Consumption, Law of Income
Distribution, etc. Statistical tools of index numbers, time series analysis,
regression analysis, etc., are vital in economic planning. For instance, the
consumer price index is used for grant of dearness allowance (DA) or bonus
to workers. Demand forecasting could also be made by using time series
analysis. For testing various economic hypotheses, statistical data is now
being increasingly used.
13
Business Statistics
12.6 LIMITATIONS OF STATISTICS
In spite of its important functions, statistics has its limitations too. These
limitations should be kept in mind while using the various statistical methods.
Now, we shall discuss some of the limitations of statistics.
2) Statistics does not deal with individuals: Since statistics deals with
aggregate of facts, a single and isolated figure cannot be regarded as
statistics. For example, the height of one individual is not of much
relevance but the average height of a group of people is relevant from
statistical point or view. In this context, you may recall the definition
given by Secrist here.
3) Statistical laws are not exact: Unlike the laws of natural sciences,
statistical laws are not exact. They are true under certain conditions and
always some chance factor is associated with them for being true.
Therefore, conclusions based on them are only approximate and not
exact. They cannot be applied universally. Laws of pure sciences like
Physics and Chemistry are universal in their application.
“There are three types of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics”. “Statistics can
prove anything”. “Statistics cannot prove anything”. “Statistics are lies of the
first order”. These are expressions of distrust in statistics. By distrust of
statistics, we mean lack of confidence in statistical data, statistical methods
and the conclusions drawn. You may ask, why distrust in statistics? Some of
the important reasons for distrust in statistics are as follows:
1) Arguments based upon data are more convincing. But data can be
manipulated according to wishes of an individual. To prove a particular
point of view, sometimes arguments are supported by inaccurate data.
2) Even if correct figures are used, they may be incomplete and presented in
such a manner that the reader is misled. Suppose, it has been found that
the number of traffic accidents is lower in foggy weather than on clear
weather days. It may be concluded that it is safer to drive in fog. The
conclusion drawn is wrong. To arrive at avalid conclusion, we must take
into account the difference between the rush of traffic under the two
weather conditions.
3) Statistical data does not bear on their face the label of their quality.
Sometimes even unintentionally inaccurate or incomplete data is used
leading to faulty conclusions.
4) The statistical tools have their own limitations. The investigator must use
them with precaution. But sometimes these tools or methods are handled
by those who have little or no knowledge about them. As a result, by
applying wrong methods to even correct and complete data, faulty
conclusions may be obtained. This is not the fault of statistical methods,
but of the persons who use them.
15
Business Statistics
12.8 CLASSIFICATION ACCORDING TO
VARIABLES
Variables refer to quantifiable characteristics of data and can be expressed
numerically. Examples of variable are wages, age, height, weight, marks,
distance, etc. As you know, all these variables can be expressed in
quantitative terms. In this form of classification, the data is shown shown in
the form of a frequency distribution. A frequency distribution is a tabular
presentation that generally organises data into classes, and shows the number
of observations (frequencies) falling into each of these classes. Based on the
number of variables used, there are three categories of frequency distribution
: 1) uni-variate frequency distribution, 2) bi-variate frequency distribution,
and 3). multivariate frequency distribution. In this unit we will discuss uni-
variate analysis and bi-variate analysis only.
1) Uni-variate Frequency Distribution: The frequency distribution with
one variable is called a uni-variate frequency distribution. For example,
the students in a class may be classified on the basis of marks obained by
them.
2) Bi-variate Frequency Distribution: The frequency distribution with
two variable is called bi-variate frequency distribution. If a frequency
distribution shows two variables i.e., marks in statistics and age, it is
known as bi-variate frequency distribution.
17
Business Statistics
12.12 TERMINAL QUESTIONS
1) Why it is necessary to have knowledge on statistics?
2) “Statistics are numerical statements of facts but all facts numerically
stated are not statistics.” Comment.
3) What do you mean by statistics? Explain its importance to Economics
and Business.
4) Define statistics and discuss the various functions of statistics.
5) Discuss the usefulness of statistics and explain the limitations of
statistics.
6) What do you understand by distrust of statistics? Is the science of
statistics to be blamed for it?
Note: These questions will help you to understand the unit better. Try to write
answers for them. But do not submit your answers to the university. These
are for your practice only.
18
Measures of Central
UNIT 13 MEASURES OF CENTRAL Tendency
TENDENCY
Structure
13.0 Objectives
13.1 Introduction
13.2 Concept of Central Tendency
13.3 Objectives of Averages or Central Tendency
13.4 Essentials of an Ideal Average
13.4.1 Different Measures of Central Tendency
13.5 Arithmetic Mean
13.5.1 Computation of Arithmetic Mean
13.5.2 Weighted Arithmetic Mean
13.5.3 Uses of Weighted Arithmetic Mean
13.5.4 Properties of Arithmetic Mean
13.5.5 Merits and Limitations of Arithmetic Mean
13.6 Geometric Mean and Harmonic Mean
13.6.1 Computation of Geometric Mean
13.6.1.1 Properties of Geometric Mean
13.6.1.2 Uses and Limitations
13.6.2 Computation of Harmonic Mean
13.6.2.1 Properties of Harmonic Mean
13.6.2.2 Uses and Limitations
13.7 Median
13.7.1 Computation of Median
13.7.2 Properties of Median
13.7.3 Merits and Limitations of Median
13.8 Partition Values
13.8.1 Quartiles
13.8.2 Deciles
13.8.3 Percentiles
13.9 Mode
13.9.1 Computation of Mode
13.9.2 Merits and Limitations of Mode
13.9.3 Some Illustrations
13.10 Choice of a Suitable Average
13.11 Let Us Sum Up
13.12 Key Words
13.13 Answers to Check Your Progress
13.14 Terminal Questions/Exercises
19
Business Statistics
13.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
• understand concept of central tendency,
• appreciate the purpose of calculating averages
• enumerate the qualities of ideal average
• define and compute the arithmetic mean, geometric mean, harmonic
mean, median, partition values and mode for different types of data
• explain the properties, merits and limitations of different measures of
central tendency or averages, and
• identify the suitable average for a given purpose.
13.1 INTRODUCTION
We have discussed why it is important and relevant to study statistics as a
commerce students. Statistics broadly means data or numerical figures
pertaining to any given situation or a phenomenon. To make life easier we
need to present data properly and understand its characteristics behaviour and
treatment. If the characteristics of the data are to be properly understood, it is
necessary to summarise and analyse the data further. The first step in that
direction is the computation of Averages or Central Tendency for obtaining a
single value that represent the entire data, which gives a bird’s-eye view of
the entire data.
In this unit you will study the purpose of calculating averages, the essentials
of an ideal average, and identify different measures of average. You will
further learn in detail the calculations, properties, merits, and limitations of
measures of averages, viz. Arithmetic Mean, Weighted Arithmetic Mean,
Geometric Mean, Harmonic Mean, Median, Partition Values (Quartile,
Deciles and percentiles) and Mode.
4+9+6+2+9 30
= = = Rs. 6.00
5 5
Method 2: When the values of the observations in the given data are too
large or they are in fractions, this method may be followed. This method is
based on the fact that the algebraic sum of the deviations of a series of
individual observations from their mean is always equal to zero. For
example, the arithmetic mean of 8, 14, 16, 12 and 20 is 14. The difference of
each of these items from the mean would be – 6, 0, +2, – 2, +6 and their total
is zero. This is true always. To compute arithmetic mean under this
method, the following steps are to be followed.
1) Assume any arbitrary mean (A) to find out the deviations of items from
their assumed mean. 2) Compute the deviation (d) of each individual value
(x) from the assumed mean i.e., d = x – A. 3) Obtain the sum of all
deviations ( ∑d called sigma d). 4) Compute the arithmetic mean by using
the following formula:
∑d
� = A+
�
Where, � is the arithmetic mean of the variable x; A is the assumed mean;
∑d is the sum total of the deviations of each individual value from the
assumed mean; n is the number of observations
Illustration 2: Monthly sales of scooters of 10 dealers is presented below.
Calculate the average sales per month:
Dealer : 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sales : 23 8 14 31 6 28 11 27 32 46
24
Solution : Calculation of Arithmetic Mean Measures of Central
Tendency
Marks: 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
No. of 8 21 23 17 15 9 5 2
Students:
26
∑�� ���� Measures of Central
Method 2: � = � + �
= 40 + ���
= 40 − 3.30 = 36.70 marks Tendency
No. of Salesmen : 3 6 25 10
28
Method 1: Measures of Central
Tendency
∑��
�= �
, ∑fm =910, n = 50
���
�= ��
= 18.2 Mean of sales is Rs.18.2 thousand per week.
Method 2: It is apparent from deviation column that here assumed Mean (A)
is 17.5.
∑��
Now, � = � + �
36.0 - 37.8 6
37.8 - 39.6 7
39.6 - 41.4 24
41.4 - 43.2 7
43.2 - 45.0 2
45.0 - 46.8 4
Total 50
Solution: First obtain the mid-values (m) of all the clauses and take
deviations from assumed mean ‘A’ (i.e. 42.3). The common factor ‘C’ is 1.8
which is equal to the class interval of different groups.
29
Business Statistics Calculation of Arithmetic Mean
∑f��
�=�+ �
n
���
� = 42.3 + ��
× 1.8 = 42.3 + (−0.92) × 1.8 = 42.3 − 1.656 = 40.644
(Arithmetic mean of the hours worked is 40.6 hours.)
You may notice when class intervals are all equal, d1 values will be 1, 2, 3,
and – 1, – 2, – 3, … etc. But when class intervals are not equal, the d1 values
need not be in numbers in order. In such a case it is necessary to make the
column m–A, and then divide it by ‘C’. However, when class intervals are
all equal, writing of the column m – A may be avoided and the values of d1
may be written directly.
It is important to note that when the classes are given in inclusive method it is
not necessary to adjust the classes into exclusive method for calculation of
arithmetic mean, geometric mean and harmonic mean because the mid-value
remain the same. However, in case of positional averages, such as median
and mode, adjustment is essential.
100-105 200
105-110 210
110-115 230
115-120 320
120-125 350
125-130 320
130-135 410
135-140 320
140-145 280
145-150 210
150-155 160
155-160 90
Frequency : 4 11 19 14 8 2
���
= ��
= 51% (Mean rise in the prices is 51%)
32
It may be noted that for computation purpose, weights of items are treated in Measures of Central
Tendency
the same way as the frequencies of the items. In fact weights are not
frequencies. Frequency means number of times an item is repeated in the
data, whereas weights only give the relative importance of various items. The
items actually occur only once in the data.
Weighted arithmetic mean is also called Weighted Average. The word
'Average' in statistics, as pointed out earlier, is also used for other measures
of central tendency viz., geometric mean, harmonic mean, etc. So, in broader
sense, weighted average also includes weighted geometric mean and
weighted harmonic mean.
Comparison with Simple Arithmetic Mean: Weighted arithmetic mean
differs from simple arithmetic mean because we use weights in the former
case. Inter-relationship between weighted mean and simple mean is as
follows:
1) If all items are given equal importance, weighted mean will be equal to
simple mean. 2) If large items are given large weights and small items given
small weights, then weighted mean is greater than simple mean. 3) If large
items are given small weights and small items given large weights, then
weighted mean is less than simple mean.
Illustration 7: To understand this inter-relationship clearly, let us take up
some illustrations. Let us take Illustration 6 once again and find out mean rise
in price by taking the following two sets of weights.
A:B:C as 1 : 3 : 6 set w1
A:B:C as 10 : 10 : 10 set w2
Solution
Calculation of Weighted Arithmetic Mean
∑�� ���
1) Weighted Mean for set 1 = ∑�
= ��
= 76%
∑�� ����
2) Weighted Mean for Set 2 = ∑�
= ��
= 63.3%
∑� ���
3) Simple Mean = �
= �
= 63.3%
33
Business Statistics If we compare the results carefully, we can notice the following points:
i) Under weights Set 2, all commodities are given equal weights. Here
weighted mean (63.3) is equal to simple mean (63.3).
ii) Under weights Set 1, large value 90 is given a large weight 6 and small
item 40 is given small weight 1. Here weighted mean (76) is greater
than simple mean (63.3).
iii) Under the original set of weights (look at Illustration 6) large value 90
was given a small weight 1 and small value 40 was given a large
weight 6. In that case weighted mean (51) was less than simple mean
(63.3).
These three properties of weighted average (as they are true for all kinds of
weighted averages) point out the following important fact. The weighted
mean is not only the mean of items, but also it gives the average of two
things: (i) average of items, and (ii) how items are affected by the pattern of
weighting. Thus, when items are of unequal importance, calculation of
weighted average is a must for finding out proper average.
34
Measures of Central
x (x - � ) Tendency
5 –1
6 0
7 1
9 3
3 –3
30 ∑ (x - � ) = 0
� = ∑ x/n = 30/5 = 6
In this illustration you should note that the sum of positive deviations from
the mean is equal to the sum of negative deviations. Precisely, therefore,
mean is also known as the centre of gravity. This is true for all kind; of data
with class intervals or without class intervals.
2) The sum of the square of deviations from the arithmetic mean is
minimum i.e. it is always less than the sum of squares of deviations of
the items taken from any other value. In other words, ∑(x – X)� is
always minimum. We can verify this for the illustration discussed
above.
x x+2 3(x+2)
5 7 21
6 8 24
7 9 27
9 11 33
3 5 15
30 40 120
Mean of x = 30/5 = 6
Mean of x+2 = 40/5 = 8 = 6 + 2 i.e., old mean +2
Mean of 3(x+2) = 120/5 = 24 or 8 × 3 or (6+2) × 3 i.e., (old mean +2) × 3.
6) If we have the arithmetic mean and number of items of two or more
related groups, we can have a combined mean of these groups as
follows:
�� X� + �� X�
X� =
(�� + �� )
Where X� and X� are the arithmetic mean of group 1 and group 2
respectively, and �� and �� are the number of items in group 1 and group 2
respectively.
For example, arithmetic mean of the production of a commodity during the
period January to August is 400 tonnes per month, and the arithmetic mean
for the period September to December is 430 tonnes per month. Now, we
can compute the mean production for the whole year as follows.
The logic behind the formula is: �� X� is the total value of all the items
belonging to the first group and �� X� is the total for the second group. Thus,
�� X� + �� X� is the total of all the items in both the groups. In other words,
36
the combined mean is the weighted average of the mean of different groups, Measures of Central
Tendency
weights being the number of items in each group.
Check Your Progress B
1) Distinguish between weighted arithmetic mean and simple arithmetic
mean.
2) Calculate the simple mean and weighted mean of price from the
following and state the reasons for the different between the two.
Price per tonns (Rs.) : 45.60 40.70 42.75
Tonnes purchased : 135.00 40.00 25.00
3) From the results of two college A and B, state which of them is better
4) The marks of the student in written oral tests in subject A, B and C are
as follow:
Subject A B C
Written (Out of 75 Marks) 43 32 29
Oral (out of 25 marks) 15 12 18
Find out the mean marks in written examinations taking the percentage
of marks in oral is weights.
37
Business Statistics 6) It is useful in further statistical analysis. It is used in computation of
other statistical measures like standard deviation, coefficient of
variation, co-efficient of skewness, etc.
7) It is characterised as a centre of gravity – a point of balance.
8) For various sampling methods, the simple mean is an unbiased estimate
of the population mean.
Limitations:
1) It is unduly affected by extreme values. Very small and very big values
in the data unduly affect the value of mean. Therefore, for the
distribution where concentration is on small or big values, the mean
will not be a proper average to yield a representative figure.
2) For the open-ended distributions, mean cannot be computed with
accuracy. For example, in an income distribution starting with the class
‘below 500’ and ending with the class ‘above 5,000’ mean cannot be
computed without making assumptions regarding the values of two
extremes. As a result, error may creep in.
3) Mean is not useful for studying the qualitative phenomena e.g., beauty,
honesty, intelligence, etc.
4) For the reasonably norms (bell shaped) distribution, mean can act as a
good measure of central tendency. But for a U-shaped distribution
(which has high frequency in the beginning, low in the middle and
again high towards the end) it hardly succeeds to be a point of location
around which other individual values congregate.
5) Mean does not lead a life of its own. For example, the statement that
the average number of children in Indian family is 4.8 does not imply
that there is even a single family having 4.8 children. Nor was a duck
ever killed by the average of two shots – one a yard in front of it and
one a yard behind it.
6) For non-homogeneous data, average may give misleading conclusion.
For example, sales (in lakh rupees) of two business units A and B
during the last five years are as follows:
A: 30 25 20 15 10
B: 10 15 20 25 30
Here it is clear that the average sales of both the units are exactly the same
and yet unit B is thriving whereas unit A is flickering.
where ��, ��, �� refer to the 'n' items of the series. For example, we have
three numbers 4, 8, and 16, the geometric mean of these three numbers would
be:
� �
G.M. - √4 × 8 × 16 = √518 = 8
Thus, geometric mean is an average based on the product of items. When the
number of items is three or more, finding their product and extracting its
roots becomes difficult. Therefore, computations can be simplified by the
use of logarithm.
Symbolically it can be expressed as:
1
log �. �. = log(�� , �� … … . . �� )
�
log �� + log �� + … … … . . log �� ∑ log �
= =
� �
∑ ��� �
Therefore, G.M.= ������� �
39
Business Statistics Illustration 1: Compared to the previous year, the overhead expenses went
up by 32% in 1987, by 40% in 1988 and by 50% in 1989. Calculate the
average rate of increase in overhead expenses over the three years.
Solution: The increase in overhead expenses is 32%, 40% and 50% in
1987,1988 and 1989 respectively. This means successively expenses become
132%, 140% and 150% of the previous level. Therefore, at the end of three'
��� × ��� ×���
years the final level will be ��� × ��� per cent of the original level.
G.M = 140.5
On an average overhead expenses become 140.5% of previous year's level.
Therefore, average rate of increase in overhead expenses is 40.5% (i.e., 140.5
- 100).
Grouped Data
You know how to compute geometric mean for ungrouped data. Now we
should discuss the procedure for grouped data. As you know, the grouped
data can be in the form of either discrete series or continuous series, we have
to follow different procedures for these two types of series.
Discrete Series: When the data is grouped data i.e., in the form of a
frequency distribution, the geometric mean is computed as follows:
�� � �
G.M. = ���� ��� … … . ���
∑� ��� �
The above expression can be simplified as: G.M. = Antilog � �
�
40
Illustration 2: Calculate the geometric mean from the following Measures of Central
Tendency
distributions.
Marks : 5 15 25 35 45
No. of Students : 5 7 15 25 8
5 5 0.6990 3.4950
15 7 1.1761 8.2327
25 15 1.3979 20.9685
35 25 1.5441 38.6025
45 8 1.6532 13.2256
n = 60 ∑f logx = 84.5243
∑� ��� �
G.M. = Anti log � �
�
��.����
= Anti log � ��
� = Anti log 1.4087
Size Frequency
7.5-10.5 5
10.5-13.5 9
13.5 - 16.5 19
16.5 - 19.5 23
19.5 - 22.5 7
22.5 - 25.5 4
25.5 - 28.5 1
41
Business Statistics Solution: Calculation of geometric mean
∑� ��� �
G.M. = Antilog � �
�
��.����
= Antilog � ��
� = Antilog 1.2045
G.M. =16.02
Geometric Mean for Computing Average Rate of Change
More often we are interested in the average rate of change in a variable
between any two time periods such as annual rate of increase in population,
annual rate of increase in GNP, average rate of increase in profit, etc. The
methods of computing such rates is similar to that of finding the geometric
mean.
For a given series assume �� is the value at the beginning of the period and
�� ,is the value at the end of the period. Now, the average growth rate (r) can
be obtained by using the following compound interest formula:
�� = �� (1 + �)� , where 'n' is the time-span
��
(1 + �)� =
��
� ��
(1 + �) = �
��
� ��
�= � − 1
��
�� ���
= ���� using logarithms
� = 1.031 − 1 = 0.031
���������� �������� �����ℎ ���� �� 100 × � = 3.1%
Like weighted arithmetic mean, we can also calculate the weighted geometric
mean. The computational procedure is as follows:
∑�
Weighted G.M. = ���.�� , ���� … … . ����
∑� ��� �
Or, log Weighted G.M. = ∑�
Steps for calculation: 1) Find the logarithms of value of variables i.e., logx;
2) Multiply the above logarithms with respective weights (w.log x) and
obtain the total i.e., ∑w.logx; 3) Obtain the total of weights i.e. ∑W; 4)
Apply the formula.
Let us consider an illustration to understand the calculation:
Illustration 5: Calculate the weighted Geometric Mean from the following
information:
43
Business Statistics Solution: Calculation of weighted Geometric Mean
∑� ��� �
Weighted G.M. = Antilog � ∑�
�
���.����
= Antilog � ��
�
Where, ��� = Geometric Mean of the first group; ��� = Geometric Mean of
the second group; ��� Geometric mean of the nth group.
For example, let 100 items have GM = 50 and 200 items have GM = 40.
Then the combined geometric mean will be:
��� ��� �� � ��� ��� ��
Combined G.M. = Antilog � �������
�
��� �.�������� �.����
= Antilog � ���
�
44
4) As compared to arithmetic mean, the geometric mean is less affected by Measures of Central
Tendency
large items. It may be stated that the geometric mean has bias towards
small items while arithmetic mean has bias towards large items. For
example, let us take the five items: 2, 3, 5, 10 and 100.
������������
Arithmetic mean = �
= 24
��� ����� ����� ����� ������ ���
Geometric mean = Antilog � �
�
�.������.������.������.������.����
= Antilog � �
�
4.4771
= Antilog = Antilog 0.8954
5
G.M. = 7.86 approximately
You may note that arithmetic mean is 24 which is sufficiently larger than
geometric mean 7.86. So geometric mean has a tendency to be pulled
towards small items, while arithmetic mean has a tendency to be pulled
towards large items.
13.6.1.2 Uses and Limitations
Uses:
1) For computing the averages of ratio and percentages, geometric mean is
the most suitable average.
2) As it has bias towards lower values, it is particularly useful when a given
phenomenon has a limit for lower values but no such limit for upper
values. For example, price cannot be below zero.
3) In the construction of index numbers, geometric mean is considered to be
the best average. It is especially used in developing Fisher’s Ideal
Formula that satisfies time reversal and factor reversal tests. (The study
of these concepts is beyond the scope of this course.)
4) When large weights are desired to be assigned to small items and small
weights are to be assigned to large items, it is a more suitable average
than arithmetic mean.
Limitations:
1) Even if the single item of the given series is zero, geometric mean will be
zero. Hence, it cannot be computed. For example, geometric mean of
�
the three items 0, 10, 100 will be: √0 × 10 × 100 = 0.
2) If any of the items is negative, geometric mean does not exist.
3) The computational procedure is difficult especially when the items are
very large.
4) Its bias for lower values obstructs its use in the situations where
disparities are to be highlighted as the case of income distributions
45
Business Statistics
Check Your Progress C
1) Money invested in NSC VI issue becomes double in 6 years. What is
the percentage rate of growth per year:
2) Marks secured by 70 students in a test (maximum marks 75) are given
below. Compute geometric mean and compare it with arithmetic mean.
No. of Students : 12 15 25 10 6 2
Illustration 6: A motorist travelled for three days at the rate of 480 kms. A
day. On the first day. he traveller for 10 hours at a speed of 48 kms. per hour,
on the second day he travelled for 12 hours at a speed of 40.kms. per hour
and on the third day for 15 hours at a speed of 32 kms. per hour. What was
his average speed?
Solution: Here the total distance travelled per day s constant, and time and
speed are variable. We are required to compute the average speed. Therefore,
harmonic mean is the appropriate average. ’
� � ����
H.M. = � � � = �� = ��
= 39 ���. ��� ℎ��� (�������������).
� �
�� �� �� ���
Here, now does the harmonic mean become the appropriate average? It can
be verified easily as below:
The total distance travelled in 3 days = 480 + 480 + 480 = 3 × 480 kms. The
total time taken = l0 + 12 + 15= 37
����
Therefore, The average speed= ��
= 39 kms. per hour approximately.
Now you should note that the result obtained by this logical method is equal
to the harmonic mean. Hence, in averaging speeds, when total distance is
constant and time is variable, harmonic mean is the appropriate average.
Grouped Data
As you know, there are two types of grouped data: 1) Discrete series, and 2)
Continuous series. Now, let us study the methods of computing harmonic
mean for these two types of data sets.
Discrete Series: For a discrete series, harmonic mean is calculated as
follows:
�
� � Σ� �
H.M. = �(����������� �� �) = � �� ����������
Σ �� �
� ��
H.M. = � = ��.� = 5.0
Σ ��
48
Measures of Central
Class Interval f Tendency
0-10 5
10-20 8
20-30 10
30-40 12
40-50 7
50-60 6
60-70 3
� ��
H.M. = � = �.��� = 19.68
Σ�
�
49
Business Statistics In this Illustration, the weighted harmonic mean is the appropriate method. It
can be verified by calculating the average speed by ordinary arithmetic
method.
Average speed = 19/6.17 = 3. 08 kms. per hour. The two results are exactly
the same. So, when harmonic mean is to be calculated for items which differ
in relative importance also, weighted harmonic mean should be calculated.
Illustration 9: Mr. Rakesh started for a village at a distance of six kms. He
travelled in his car at a speed of 40 kms. per hour. After travelling for 4 kms.
the car stopped running. He then travelled in a rickshaw at a speed of 10 kms.
per hour. After travelling a distance of 1.5 kms. he left the rickshaw and
covered the remaining distance on foot at a speed of 4 kms. per hour. Find his
average speed per hour and verify the result.
Solution: Here speeds are �� = 40 , �� = 10; ��= 4 and the weights are the
distance travelled i.e., �� = 4, �� = 1.5, �� = 0.5
� ���.���.� � �
H.M. = � = � � � = �.���.����.���
= �.��� = 16
�� �.�� �.�
� �� �� �
Therefore, the average speed of Rakesh is 16 kms. per hour. Let us verify the
answer by calculating the time taken.
50
4) Amongst the three means (viz., arithmetic mean, harmonic mean and Measures of Central
Tendency
geometric mean), harmonic mean is the least i.e., AM ≥ GM ≥ HM.
To illustrate this, let us calculate the harmonic mean of five items 2, 3, 5, 10
and 100, and compare it with the arithmetic mean and geometric mean.
� � �
H.M. = � � � � � = �.����.����.����.����.��
= �.�� = 4.39
� � � �
� � � �� ���
Now, let us slightly change the above information. Suppose for the same
trip the person travels at 30 kms. per hour for half of the time and at 20
kms. per hour for the other half of the time. Since the times of the trip are
given, arithmetic mean will be chosen as an average. Further as two time
periods are equal, simple arithmetic mean is suitable.
�����
Arithmetic Mean = �
= 25 kms. p. h.
You can verify here whether the arithmetic mean is the correct average
or not. With the arithmetic mean speed of 25 kms. per hour, he can cover
200 kms. in 8 hours. If he travels for half of the time i.e., 4 hours with a
speed of 39 kms. per hour and 4 hours with a speed of 20 kms. per hour
he would cover exactly 200 kms. Hence, in this case the correct average
speed is arithmetic mean.
2) The second distinguishing point is that the arithmetic mean is affected by
the extreme items, whereas harmonic mean is more sensitive to low
values. Therefore, for an uneven distribution use of arithmetic mean is
not suggested, whereas for the analysis of economic data, use of
harmonic mean is not used.
13.7 MEDIAN
The median is also a measure of central tendency. Unlike arithmetic mean,
this median is based on the position of a given observation in a series
arranged in an ascending or descending order. Therefore, it is called a
positional average. It has nothing to do with the magnitude of all the
observations, as in the case of arithmetic mean. Simply, median refers to the
middlemost value of the variable when they are arranged in order of
magnitude. The position of the median in a series is such that an equal
number of items lie on either side of it. Median of a given series is the value
of the variable that divides the series-into two equal parts. It is the most
central point of a series where half of the items lie above this value and
the remaining half lie below this value. In the case of a frequency curve the
median is that value of the variable which splits the area into two equal parts.
The median is usually denoted by '�� '. Canor defined the median as “The
median is that value of the variable which divides the group in two equal
parts, one part comprising all the values greater and other all values less than
the median.
Marks : 40 15 25 5 30 35 10 50 45 20
No. of : 9 75 72 20 45 39 43 6 8 76
Students
Marks : 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
No. of : 20 43 75 76 72 45 39 9 8 6
Students
Here, n = 393
��� �����
Median = �
th item = �
th item = 197th item
The 197th item falls in the class with cumulated frequency 214. The value of
the variable in that class is 20. Therefore, median marks are 20,
55
Business Statistics
Where, l = lower limit of the median class; u= upper limit of the median
�
class; f = frequency of the median class; m = � th item; c = cumulative
frequency of the class preceding the median class.
Steps to calculate the median in continuous series data:
1) If the classes are given in inclusive form they must be converted into
exclusive method or it is enough to convert the median class only. The
procedure will be explained latter in this unit. It is not necessary to
convert unequal classes into equal classes.
2) Calculate less than cumulative frequency (cf).
3) Find the n/2th item and locate the value of that item where it lies in the
cumulative frequency then find the corresponding class of the
cumulative frequency. This class is the median class.
4) Interpolate the value of median from the median class by using any
formula as presented above under the method.
Method 2: the assumption in the formula used in the first method is that
cumulated frequencies are calculated from lower values side. In case
cumulated frequencies are circulated from higher values side. i.e., “more
than” method the above formula can be slightly modified as:
�
��
�� = � + � � × �
56
Measures of Central
Tendency
Where, U = lower limit of the median class; C= cumulative frequency of a
class next to the median class; f = simple frequency of the median class; i =
the class-interval of the median class
You should note that the procedure for computation of median under this
method is same as the procedure explained under method 1, except in step
No.2, i.e., in this method we have to calculate more than cumulative
frequency instead of less than cumulative frequency.
These two methods produce exactly the same result. The assumption and the
logic for interpolating median by these two methods are almost the same.
Now, let us explain the assumptions for the formula under Method 1.
If items are counted from the lower values side, ‘C’ items will be completed
upto the lower limit I of the median class. But to reach the median point, N/2
�
items must be covered. Therefore � − � items are to be covered. Therefore
�
�
− � item are to be covered in the median class. There are ‘f’ items spread
over a class intervals ‘i’ of this median class. It is now assumed that all these
‘f’ items are uniformly distributed over the range ‘i’. Thus, to cover N/2 – C
� �
items in the median class, a distance of � × � � − �� has to be travelled from
‘l’ limit (i.e., the lower limit) onwards.
� �
Therefore, median �� = � + � × � � − ��
You should note the difference in the assumptions behind the median and the
mean. In case of median the assumption is that items are uniformly spread
Out in a class intervals, whereas in the case of arithmetic mean it is assumed
that the values of all items of a class interval are equal to the mid-point of
that class interval. Let us take up an illustration to understand the calculation
of median by using both the methods.
Illustration 2: The manager of a departmental store compiled information on
200 accounts receivable which were delinquent. For each account he has
noted the number of days passed after the due date. He then grouped the data
as shown in the following frequency distribution. Determine the median.
Here, N/2 = 200/2 = 100 . This implies that there are 100 items below
median. Therefore, 60-74 is the class where the median lies. Now, as per the
first step, we have to convert the Inclusive form of the class into Exclusive
form to obtain the real limits of the median class 60-74. The procedure for
conversion is as follows: obtain the difference between the lower limit of a
class and upper limit of the preceding class here it is 1 (one), divide the
difference by 2 i.e., ½ = 0.5.
Now, subtract the result (0.5) from the lower limit of the median class i.e.,
60-0.5 = 59.5 and add the same result to upper limit of the same class i.e., 74
+ 0.5 = 74.5. Accordingly, the real limit of the median class is 59.5 – 74.5.
Now compute the median using the first method.
�
��
�� = � + �
�
�
Solution:
Below 100 50 50
100-200 500 550
200-300 555 1,105
300-500 100 1,205
500-800 3 1,208
800 and above 2 1,210
Median has N/2th item below it which mean 1,210/2 = 605th items below it.
Therefore, the median lies in the 200-300 class. Now applying the formula
of interpolation.
�
��
�� = � + � � × �
20 58 58-54 = 4
40 54 54-48 = 6
60 48 48-38 = 10
80 38 38-22 = 16
100 22 22-10 = 12
120 10 10-3 = 7
140 3 3-0 = 3
160 0 0
60
Finding the missing frequency: It is possible to find the missing frequencies Measures of Central
Tendency
with the help of the value of median and the total number of observations
(N). Let us consider the following illustration.
Illustration 5: You are given the following incomplete frequency
distribution. It is known that total frequency is 1,000 and that the median is
413.11. Estimate the missing frequencies.
Values Frequency
300-325 5
325-350 17
350-375 80
375-400 -
400-425 326
425-450 -
450-475 88
475-500 9
Since the median is given as 413.11, the formula must be in 400-425 class.
�
��
Now �� = � + � � × �
If you study the above table carefully, you will notice that the least total is
18, which is the sum of absolute deviations from median.
2) It is not affected by the extreme items. It is of course affected by the
number of items.
3) For an open ended distributions, median is the more suitable average,
For example, since the income distribution is an open-ended
distributions, median income would be a more representative figure.
4) For the qualitative information, median is probably the only suitable
measure of central tendency. For example, a respondent may be asked
to rate his evaluation of the corporate image, in the order of
importance, an dynamic, prestigious, cooperative (business-wise),
successful and withdrawn. Suppose he ranks them exactly as given
here. The third adjective viz. cooperative (business-wise) is the median
of his five ratings.
5) The median can also be located graphically.
62
6) It is easily to compute the lucid to understand. In some cases it is Measures of Central
Tendency
obtained even by an inspection.
Marks 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
No. of 20 43 75 76 72 45 39 9 8 6
Students
6) The following information is about the life (in hours) of 100 new-type
light bulbs. Find the median life.
13.8.1 Quartiles
The values of a variate that divide the series or the distribution into 4 equal
parts are known as Quartiles. Since three points are required to divide the
data into 4 equal parts, we have three quartiles ��, �� , and �� .
The first quartile (��), known as a, lower quartile, is the value of a variate
below which there are 25% of the observations and above which there are
75% of the observations.
The second quartile (�� ) h the.value of a variate which divides the
distribution into two equal parts. It means, there are 50% observations above
it and 50% below it. Therefore, �� is the same as median.
The third quartile (�� ), known as an upper quartile,'is the value of a variate
below which there are 75% observations and above which there are 25%
observations.
It is clear that ��< �� < ��
Computation of Quartiles
i) Discrete Series (i.e. Individual Values Known): When the data is
expressed in less than cumulative frequency i.e., assigned in the
ascending order:
���
��= size of �
�ℎ item
�(���)
�� = size of �
�ℎ item
�(���)
�� = size of �
�ℎ item
65
Business Statistics
13.8.2 Deciles
The values of a variate that divide the series or the distribution into 10 equal
parts are called Deciles. Each part contains 10% of total observations.
Obviously there should be nine such values denoted as �� , �� ..... �� . They
are called first decile, second decile, etc. The 5th decile (�� ) is the median.
Computation of Deciles
i) Discrete Series (i.e. Individual Values Known).
���
�� = Size of � ��
�ℎ item. J = 1 to 9
where, C is the cumulated frequency preceding the Jth decile class, the other
symbols have usual meaning.
13.8.3 Percentiles
The value of a variate which divides a given series or distribution into 100
equal parts are known as percentiles. Each percentile contains 1% of the total
number of observations. The percentile P. is that value of the variate upto
which lie exactly j % of the total number of observations. For example:
��� = Value of a variate upto which lies exactly 10% of observations. This
is same as �� .
��� = Value of a variate upto which lies exactly 20% of observations.
��� = Value of a variate upto which lies exactly 25% of the total number of
observations. This is same as �� .
��� = Value of a variate upto which lies exactly 50%of the total number of
observations. This is the same as �� or �� or median.
Similarly, ��� = ��
Computation of Percentiles
i) Discrete Series (i.e. Individual Values Known).
���
�� = Size of � ���
�ℎ item.
�� (���)
e.g., ��� = Size of ���
�ℎ item
Where, C is the cumulated frequency preceding the jth percentile class. The
remaining symbols have usual meaning. Let us understand the computation
of partition values by two illustrations.
66
Illustration 6: Marks of 16 students in a class,test (maximum marks 20) are Measures of Central
Tendency
as follows:
2, 3, 6, 7, 10, 10, 11, 11, 11, 12, 12, 14, 15, 16, 18, 19.
Calculate ��, ��� , ��
Solution: Marks are already arranged in ascending order in the illustration.
(���)
�� = Size of �
th item
���� �
= �
th item = 4 �th item
�
�� = 4th item + � (5th item – 4th item)
�
= 7 � = 7.75
��(���)
��� = Size of ���
th item
�� (����) ��
= ���
th item = 5 ��� �ℎ item
��
��� = 5th item + ��� (6th item – 5th item)
��
= 10 + ��� �10– 10� = 10 + 0 = 10
�(���) �
�� = Size of ��
= 15 �� �ℎ item
�
�� = 15th item + �� (16th item – 15th item)
�
= 18 + �� �19– 18� = 18 + 0.3 = 18.3
You may note that there is no student who has obtained 7.75 or 18.3 marks.
When the size of item to be selected involves fraction, such hypothetical
values can arise. The interpretation of such values become valid if the given
data is a continuous series and not a discrete series.
Illustration 7: The following table gives the distribution of monthly income
of 600 families in Ahmedabad city.
a) �� has 2N/10 items below it. It means 2 × 600/10 = 120 items below it.
Therefore, �� falls in the 75-150 class.
��
��
Now, �� = 1 + ��� × �
������ ��
= 75 + ���
× 75 = 75 + ��� × 75
�� has 5N/10 items below it. It means 5 × 600/10 = 300 items below
it. Therefore, �� falls in the 150-225 class.
��
��
Now, �� = 1 + ��� × �
������� ��
= 150 + ���
× 75 = 75 + ��� × 75
��� has 25N/100 items below it. It means 25 × 600/100 = 150 items
below it. Therefore, ��� falls in the 75-150 class.
���
��
Now, ��� = 1 + ���
�
�
������ ��
= 75 + ���
× 75 = 75 + ��� × 75
��� has 75N/100 items below it. It means 75 × 600/100 = 450 items
below it. Therefore, ��� falls in the 225-300 class.
���
��
Now, ��� = 1 + ���� �
68
������� Measures of Central
= 225 + ��
× 75 Tendency
�� has 3N/4 items below it, which means 3 × 600/4 = 450 items
below it. ��� also has 450 items below it. So �� must be same as ��� .
�� = Rs. 233.08.
Median has N/2 items below it, which means 600/2 = 300 items
below it. So it falls in the 150-225 class intervals
�
��
Now, �� = � + � � × �
������� ��
= 150 + ���
× 75 = 150 + ��� × 75
13.9 MODE
Mode is also a measure of central tendency. Mode is the value of a variate
which is repeated most often in the data set. The genesis of the word 'mode'
lies in the French word ‘le mode’ that means fashion. Mode is, therefore,
considered to be the most common or most fashionable value.
Mode is often considered to be that value of the variate which occurs most
frequently. But it is not exactly true for every frequency distribution. Rather
it is that value of the variate around which the other items tend to concentrate
most heavily. It shows the centre of concentration of the frequency in and
around a given value. If is not the centre of gravity like mean. It is a
positional measure similar to median. It is commonly denoted by �� .
For example, take the case of a shopkeeper who sells shoes or garments. He
is interested to know the sizes of shoes or garments which are commonly
demanded. Here in such a situation, mean would indicate a size that may not
fit any person. Median may not provide a representative size because of the
unevenness in the distribution. It is the mode which will help in making a
choice of approximate size for which an order can be placed. Similarly mode
is also useful and appropriate average in problems related to the expression of
preferences in a situation where it is not possible to measure in quantity.
Such as design of garments, preferences on different advertisements etc. In
such situations, we can consider the model preferences only for decision
making but not arithmetic mean and median.
Size of Item 20 21 22 23 24 25
Frequency 15 20 25 45 30 12
In this frequency distribution, 23 has the highest frequency, not only highest
frequency but also implying that there is a heavy concentration of items at
this value. Therefore, mode is 23.
In a series like this it is easy to obtain mode. Difficulty arises when nearly
equal concentrations are found in two or more neighbouring classes; i.e.,
there is a small difference between the maximum frequency and the
frequency preceding it or succeeding it. To locate a modal class in such
situations, there is a need for Grouping and Analysis of the distribution.
Grouping Table: A grouping table has six columns as explained below:
Column 1 : It is of class frequencies written against each class and the
highest frequency is masked or circled.
Column 2 : Frequencies are grouped in this column in two's, and totals
are found. Then the highest total is marked or circled.
Column 3 : Leaving first frequency from the top, the remaining
frequencies are grouped in two’s their tables are obtained
and the highest total is marked.
Column 4 : Starting from the top, frequencies are grouped in three's,
their totals are obtained and the highest total is marked.
Column 5 : Leaving first frequency from the top, remaining frequencies
are again grouped in three's. Their totals are obtained and
the highest total is marked.
71
Business Statistics Column 6 : Leaving the first two frequencies from the top,
remaining frequencies are grouped in three's. Their
totals are calculated and the highest total is marked.
Analysis Table : After preparing a grouping table, an analysis table is
prepared by considering the highest tables (observation) in each column. It is
two fold :
1) vertical (i.e., stubs) where the column numbers, as obtained in a
grouping table, are taken.
2) horizontal (i.e., captions) where the values of the variate (or the
classes) are taken.
Now, you take the grouping table, where you have marked or circled highest
frequencies in every column, Take these circled frequencies in turns along
with the corresponding values of the variate. In the analysis table under these
values and in the row corresponding to relevant column number, tally bars
are placed. The number of bars placed in each column of an analysis table
are totalled. The maximum of these totals is marked. The value of the variate
corresponding to it is the mode or the modal class. Let us study the
preparation of grouping and analysis tables by taking an illustration.
Illustration 1: Find the mode (�� ) for the following information on the
marks obtained by the students:
Marks 55 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 68 70
No. of 4 6 5 10 20 22 24 6 2 1
Students
Solution: As you notice here, the difference between the highest frequency
(i.e. 24) and the two frequencies preceding it (i.e., 22 and 20) is very small.
The frequency which is next to the highest frequency (i.e., 6) also is very
small. Therefore, grouping has to be done to ascertain the modal class.
Grouping Table
72
Analysis Table Measures of Central
Tendency
Marks
Col. No. 55 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 68 70
1 I
2 I I
3 I I
4 I I I
5 I I I
6 I I I
Total 1 3 5 4 1
Now, look at the analysis tables, highest total table is five. The value of
variable corresponding to it is 64. Therefore the mode (�� ) is 64. It may be
noted here that the highest frequency (as shown in data) is for 65, whereas
grouping and analysis tables indicated concentration of frequencies around
64. Thus, the correct value of mode is 64.
Continuous Series: In the case of continuous series, (i.e. data with class
intervals) which have equal class intervals throughout, there be two major
steps in computing the mode.
Step 1: Ascertain the modal class by preparing grouping table and analysis
table exactly in the same way as discrete series. The minor difference in the
procedure is that different classes of the given frequency distribution are
taken vertically.
Step 2: Having located correctly a model class, the value of mode (�� ) is
obtained by interpolation by using any of the following formulas:
∆�
Formula 1: �� = � ∆� � ∆�
�
73
Business Statistics Where, |�� − �� | and |�� − �� | mean absolute values of the difference i.e.,
difference neglecting signs.
Where, the modal class is other than the one containing the maximum
frequency, the following formula is more suitable:
��
Formula 3: �� = � + �� � ��
�
Notes:
1) If the very first class of the frequency distribution is the modal class,
the �� is taken as zero. If modal class is the last group, then f2 is taken
as zero.
2) These formulas hold good only for the distributions with equal class
intervals. Why is it so? The reason is simple. If two class intervals of
size 10 and 20 have frequencies 15 and 18 respectively, then on simple
comparison it appears frequency 18 is larger than 15. But mode is
concerned with concentration of items. Concentration for the first
group is 15/10 or 1.5 items per unit length of class interval. While in
the second case it is only 18/20 or 0.9 items per unit length of class
interval. Thus, from the point of view of determining mode, frequency,
l8 for class interval size 20 is less than the frequency 15 for the class
interval size 10. Therefore, direct comparisons of frequencies can
only be made when class intervals are equal.
3) For the distributions with unequal class intervals, first the class intervals
are made equal assuming that frequencies are uniformly distributed or by
combining classes or land splitting classes and then apply the usual
formula. The procedure will be explained in illustration 11.
4) If the distribution is given in inclusive method, the model class should
be converted into ‘exclusive’ method. The procedure of this
conversion is explained in the previous unit.
Illustration 2 : For the following frequency table, calculate the mode:
75
Business Statistics Illustration 3: Calculate the mode from the following data:
Analysis Table
Marks
Col. No. 0-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59
1 I
2 I I
3 I I
4 I I
5 I I
6 I I I
Total 4 5 3
From the analysis table, it is obvious that 30-39 is the modal class. But the
maximum frequency lies in class 20-29. Therefore, a more suitable formula
for calculating the mode is:
��
�� = � + �� � ��
�
�
= 29.5 + ���
× 10
��
= 29.5 + ��
= 29.5 + 4.29 = 33.79
Therefore, mode is 33.8. You may note that a different result will be obtained
if mode is calculated by the following formula:
76
|�� � �� | Measures of Central
�� = � + |�� � �� |� |�� � �� |
� Tendency
|���|
= 29.5 + |���|� |���|
× 10
�
= 29.5 + ���
× 10 = 29.5 + 10/2 = 34.5
You should note that the mode is 34.5 under this method whereas under the
� ��
earlier method it is 33.8. If you use the formula �� = � + �� �� � �� � × �
� � �
denominator will become zero and the numerator will be negative and
therefore, this formula is not applicable. It is important to note at unlike
arithmetic mean and median, the different methods of calculating mode can
give different results.
Smooth Data: When the data shows more or less uniform movement, it is
called the smooth data. For such data mode can be obtained easily without
using any of the above formulas. It can be worked out by a very simple
calculation. The rules to be followed for computing mode for smooth data
are as under: when �� = �� i.e., the frequencies neighbouring the modal etc.
frequency are equal, the mode is the mid-point of two limits of the modal
class. Study the following illustration carefully,
The highest frequency being 20, the modal class here is 30-40. Since each of
the two frequencies neighbouring the maximum frequency are equal (i.e.,
15), the mode is the simple mean of 30 to 40
�����
Therefore, �� = �
= 35
You may verify whether the result obtained by this formula is the same as the
result obtained by the methods suggested earlier for the grouped data.
Whenever �� = �� for both �� and �� less than �� this will always happen.
When �� ≠ �� (i.e., the two frequencies neighbouring the modal frequency
and the modal frequency is not very large, the mode is the weighted mean of
the two limits – upper (u) and the lower (l) of modal class – the weights being
the neighbouring frequencies falling on either side of a modal class.
��� � ���
Therefore �� = �� � ��
.
Here the modal class is 30-40 corresponding to the highest frequency 748
(�� ). Two neighbouring frequencies are 740 (�� ) and 745 (�� ) which are not
equal and they do not differ much from �� . The medal class is 30-40, ‘l’ is 30
and u is 40.
�����������
∴�� = ������� 77
Business Statistics ��,���
= �,���
= 35.02
The result derived by this method will always be the same as obtained by
�
using the formula : �� = � + � �� � × �. You may verify it.
� �
Marks
Col. No. 60-69 70-79 80-89 90-99 100-109 110-119
1 I
2 I I
3 I I
4 I I I
5 I I I
6 I I I I I I
Total 1 2 5 5 3 1
In the analysis table maximum total occurs twice. The mode, therefore, is ill-
defined and is to be determined empirically by using the formula:
�� = 3�� − 2X . You may check yourself that here Median = 83.84 and X
= 80.14.
∴�� = 3 (83.84) – 2(80.14).
= 251.52 – 168.28 = 91.24 ∴Mode = 91.24.
79
Business Statistics
Check Your Progress G
1) Define mode.
2) State the various formulas for the computation of mode
3) What is empirical relationship between arithmetic mean, median, and
mode?
4) For a frequency distribution, the mean is 26.8 and the median is 27.9,
Find the mode.
5) Calculate mean, median and mode from the following data:
Solution: Let us assume that the missing frequency is ‘F’. As the mode is
32, the modal group is 30-35.
�� � ��
Now, �� = � + ��� � �� � ��
�
54 − 2� = 90 − 5�
3� = 36
� = 12 ∴ Missing frequency is 12.
Illustration 9: Unequal class interval
Calculate mode from the data given below:
Solution: Here the class interval are not equal. In such cases two methods
can be used:
i) Rewriting the data with equal class intervals, ii) Using empirical
relationship.
i) On combining the first two groups class intervals will become 0-10.
Next two class intervals are of size 10. The last class interval is of size
20. It can be divided into two i.e., 30-40 and 40-50. Assuming
frequencies as uniformly distributed, both such groups will have
frequencies of 10 each. Thus, the given data can be written as:
82
∴ Mode of the profit is Rs. 22.7 lakhs. Measures of Central
Tendency
ii) You may verify arithmetic mean = Rs. 24.3 lakhs and the median is Rs.
23.6 lakhs.
Now, mode = 3 Median – 2 Arithmetic Mean
= 3 × 23.6 − 2 × 24.3
= 70.8 − 48.6 = 22.2
∴ Mode of profit is Rs. 22.2 lakhs.
Illustration 10: As a manager of a transport company you want to buy 100
tyres from either producer A or producer B. The price of the two tyre types is
same. The following information is available about the average distance run
by these two types of tyres:
83
Business Statistics
13.10 CHOICE OF SUITABLE AVERAGE
Starting from Unit 13, we have discussed various averages viz., mean,
geometric mean, median, partition values and mode etc. You have studied
merits, demerits, and specific uses of each of these averages separately.
Now, we should know how to make choice of a suitable average for a given
purpose. Examining from the point of view of essential qualities of a good
measure of central tendency, arithmetic qualities. Given the situation,
however, the choice of a suitable average poses a problem. If the choice is
not proper, the conclusions will not be much dependable. With an improper
choice of an average, the comparative scene that emerges will be far from
reality. Therefore, while making the choice of an average, you should keep
in mind the following aspects.
1) The Purpose: The choice is to be made in accordance with the purpose
that an average is designed to serve. If the purpose is to give all the
items of the series an equal importance, arithmetic mean will be a proper
average. If the purpose is to find the most common or most fashionable
item, the mode will be a suitable average. If the purpose is to locate a
position of an item in relation to other items, it would be the median that
serves the purpose. When small items are to be given a little more
importance than big items, the choice falls on geometric mean. If
sufficiently greater weights are to be assigned to smaller values,
harmonic mean should be used.
2) Nature and the Form of the data Set: If the distributions are skewed,
mode or mean will be preferred. For an open-ended distribution, again
mode or median would be more suitable. In case of j-shaped or reverse
j-shaped distribution i.e., which highly deviate from symmetry, the
median is the most arithmetic mean will be an appropriate average. Price
distribution and income distribution are two examples of it. If the data is
evenly spread out and does not display wide variations, the arithmetic
mean will be an appropriate average. Average cost of production is an
example if it. When the ratios or percentages are to be averaged,
geometric mean is the most appropriate measures. The data set in which
the value of a variable is compared with another variable which is
constant, harmonic mean is the most suitable average. Examples are
varying speed with constant distance, varying quantities bought per
rupee, etc.
3) Amenability to further Algebraic Treatment: If an average is to be
used for further algebraic treatment, arithmetic mean is considered to be
the best as it is very widely used.
4) Qualitative Phenomena: For the characteristics which are qualitative in
nature such as honesty, beauty, intelligence, etc., median seems to be
proper average.
5) Special Purpose: For calculating trend in time-series analysis, the
moving average would be most suitable average.
84
Though the above considerations act as a guiding principle in making a Measures of Central
Tendency
choice of a suitable average, in many cases it is arbitrary. If the higher value
is required to prove the hypothesis, it is tempting to use the measure which
give the higher value. Since we can select the measures of central tendency
to sit our fancy, there is a possibility of selecting the average which produces
the result we want. When use unscrupulously or incompetently, the user is at
fault not the tool.
iv) 31
2) Rs. 164.33
3) i) 68; ii) 0
4) Rs. 128.33 by both methods
5) 40.2
(Hint: Find total hours under each category and take it as weight)
(Ans.: Rs. 0.84 per hour)
6) A State authority as estimated the age of households in two districts
as given below. Calculate the mean age for?
i) Area ‘A’
ii) Area ‘B’ and
iii) Two areas taken together
Estimated age (in Years) Percentage of Houses
Area ‘A’ Area ‘B’
0-20 16 13
20-40 37 35
40-80 35 46
80-100 12 6
89
Business Statistics 7) If the population has doubled itself in twenty years, is it correct to say
that the rate of growth has been 5% per annum? If not, what is the
true rate of growth?
(Ans.: No. 1.035%)
8) The annual growth rate of production of a factory in 5 years is 5.0,
7.5, 5.0, 2.5, and 10 per cent, respectively. What is the compound
rate of growth of production per annum for the period.
(Ans.: 5.9 per annum)
9) Geometric mean of 8 items is 3 and geometric mean of 12 items is 11.
What will be the geometric mean of all 20 items?
(Ans.: Rs. 6.54)
10) Find the Harmonic mean for the following data:
i) 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
ii) 1, 1/2, 1/3, 1/4, 1/5, 1/6, 1/7, 1/8, 1/9
(Ans.: i) 3.184; ii) 4.505)
11) You take a trip which entails travelling 900 miles by train at an
average speed of 60 km.p.h.; 3000 miles by boat at an average speed
of 25 km.p.h.; 4,000 km. by plane at 350 km.p.h.; and finally 15 miles
by taxi at 25 km.p.h. What is the average speed for the entire
distance?
(Ans.: Rs. 31.6 km.p.h.)
12) The number of books issued at the counter of a university library on
10 different days are: 180, 95, 75, 70, 80, 102, 100, 94 75, 400.
Which average would represent this data best? Calculate it?
(Ans.: Median 97.5)
13) Information on insurance claims for automobile accidents is given
below. Determine the median.
90
14) Calculate the median from the following data, taking mean value as Measures of Central
Tendency
45.5.
If both brands are the same price, which brand should be purchased
by the laundry.
(Ans.: Rs. 6.54)
91
Business Statistics 18) Calculate ��, ��� , �� from the given data given below:
Size of collar worm : 14” 14.5” 15: 15.5” 16”
No. of Students : 20 37 43 26 14
(Ans.: �� = 14.5”, ��� = 14.5”, �� = 15.5”)
19) Calculate the values of �� , Median, ��� , ��, and �� from the
following data.
Age 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
(years)
No. of 37 162 343 390 256 433 161 355 65 85 49 49 40
Women
(Ans.: 18 years)
21) The following tables gives the relative distribution of sales calls made
on Amar Pharmaceuticals in the past months. Fin the modal calls.
(Ans.: 71.34)
92
23) Estimate the median when arithmetic mean is 27.9 and mode is 25.2. Measures of Central
Tendency
Give the assumption, if any.?
(Ans.: 27)
24) Calculate Mode from the following distribution:
(Ans.: 40)
In the case of the numbers which are less the characteristic is equal to
one more than the number of zeros after the decimal point and before any
significant digit. Thus, characteristic of 0.98 is −1,10.098 is −2, 0.00908
is −3 so on and so forth.
Note that mantissa is always positive. It is not affected by the position of the
decimal point. That is to say, the mantissa of would be the same. Looking at
the table, it can be seen that the mantissa value of 245 is 0.3892. The
characteristic of a number can be decided upon by looking at the digits in that
number itself and the mantissa can be obtained from the table using the first
four significant digits. Look at the following table and observe how the
characteristic is changing without a change in the mantissa value.
93
Business Statistics
2450.0 2.3892
245.0 3.3892
24.5 1.3892
2.45 0.3892
0.245 1.3892
0.0245 12.3892
0.00245 13.3892
Note: For some log values, you can find a bar over the characteristic.
Putting bar over the characteristic indicates that the part where the bar
appeared is negative and mantissa (the decimal part) is positive.
3. Anti Logarithms: As you know the logarithm tables give the value of
mantissa in the logarithms of Whereas the antilog tables give the
value of the number whose log value is known. Suppose in the above
example, log value 3.3892 is known. We are now interested in finding
out the corresponding actual number whose log value is 3.3892 the
number 2450. Here, we can say that the antilog of 3.3892 is 2450. Now
let us learn how this antilog value is found from antilog tables.
In order to find the antilog of 3.3892, first consider only the mantissa
part, Look at the antilog tables at the row corresponding to .38 and
column corresponding to number is 2449. Look at the mean column at
2in the same row, and the value is 1. By adding 1 to 2449, the digits in
the antilog value will be 2450. The next task is to decide the decimal
position. In the log value of 3.3892 the characteristic is 3. So according
to rules earlier, there should be four digits in the antilog number.
Therefore, place a decimal value after four digits. That means, 2450.0 is
the original value. To find the number corresponding to log 2.3892, the
digits in antilog value obtained from the table will have to be the same as
in the earlier case. Only the position of decimal point will change, which
will have to be decided by the characteristic. In this case, characteristic is
So according to rules given earlier, the antilog must be less than ‘1’ and
there must be one zero after the decimal and before the first significant
digit in the result. Thus antilog 2.3892 would be 0.0245.
FURTHER READINGS
Arora, P.N. Sumeet Arora and Arora. A., 2007, Comprehensive Statistical
Methods. S. Chand and Company Ltd., New Delhi.
Beri, G.C., 2005, Business Statistics, Tata Mc Graw-Hill Publishing
Company, Ltd., New Delhi.
94
Elhance, D.N. and Veena Elhance, 1988. Fundamentals of Statistics, Kitab Measures of Central
Tendency
Mahal: Allahabad. (Chapters 9, 10 & 18)
Gupta, C.B., An Introduction to Statistical, Methods, Vikas Publishing
House: New Delhi. (Chapters 10, 11 & 17)
Gupta, S.P., 1989, Elementary Statistical Methods, Sultan Chand & Sons :
New Delhi. (Chapters 8 & 9)
Sancheti, D.C., and Kapoor, V.K., 1989, Statistics Theory Methods and
Applications, Sultan Chand & Sons : New Delhi.
Simpson, G, and.Kafka, F. Basic Statistics, Oxford & IBH Publishing 1 New
Delhi.
95
Business Statistics
UNIT 14 MEASURES OF DISPERSION
Structure
14.0 Objectives
14.1 Introduction
14.2 Concept of Dispersion
14.3 Significance of Measuring Dispersion
14.4 Properties of a Good Measure of Dispersion
14.5 Absolute and Relative Measures of Dispersion
14.6 Measures of Dispersion
14.6.1 Range
14.6.2 Quartile Deviation
14.6.3 Mean Deviation
14.6.4 Standard Deviation
14.6.4.1 Properties
14.6.4.2 Merits and Limitations
14.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you should be able to :
• explain the concept of dispersion and significance of measuring it,
• differentiate between absolute and relative measures of variation,
• compute several measures of dispersion such as the range, quartile
deviation and mean deviation for different types of data, and
• decide the use of appropriate measures under different situations.
• define & compute standard deviation and narrate its properties, means
and limitations
• define and compute variance and coefficient of variation for different
kinds of data
• compare different measures of dispersion and use them at appropriate
situations
96
Measures of
14.1 INTRODUCTION Dispersion
Measure of Dispersion
Measure of
Quartile Mean Standard
Absolute Range Deviation Deviation Deviation
Dispersion
14.6.1 Range
The range is defined as the difference between the highest (numerically
largest) value and the lowest (numerically smallest) value in a set of data.
Thus, Range = X��� − X���
Where, X��� = highest value, X��� = lowest value.
From Illustration 1 discussed earlier (section 14.2), consider the daily sales
data for the three firms and compute the range.
For Firm A, Range = 60,000 − 60,000 = 0; For Firm B, Range = 68,250 −
52,250 = 16000; For Firm C, Range = 2,10,000 − 18,000 = 1,92,000
The interpretation of the value of range is very simple. In this illustration, the
variation is zero in case of daily sales for Firm A, the variation is small in
cases of Firm B, and the variation is very large in case of Firm C.
For grouped data, the range may be determined, in discrete series, as the
difference between the highest value and lowest value of the observation. In
case of continuous series, the range may be approximated as the difference
between the upper limit of the largest class and the lower limit of the smallest
class. The relative measure corresponding to range, called the coefficient of
range, is obtained by expressing range as the ratio of sum of two extreme
items. In this case ratio is not expressed in terms of average, as the range
does not depend on average. It relates only to two selected items of the data.
So the coefficient of range is defined as:
� ��
Coefficient of Range = ���� � ����
��� ���
101
Business Statistics Study Illustration 2 carefully and understand the procedure involved in the
computation of the coefficient of range.
Illustration- 2 Calculate the coefficient of range from the following data :
Sales (Rs. in Lakhs) No. of Days
30 - 40 12
40 - 50 18
50 - 60 20
60 - 70 19
70 - 80 13
80 - 90 8
90 − 30
=
90 + 30
60
=
120
= 0.5.
You should note that the frequency of the distribution should not be taken
into account for computing range.
The range is very easy to calculate and it gives us some idea about the
variability of the data. Since only two extreme values are used for computing
range, it is a crude measure of variation. It fails to disclose the characteristics
of the distribution and it is not applicable in case of open-end distribution.
Applicability: The concept of range is extensively used in statistical quality
control. Range is helpful in studying variations in the prices of shares,
debentures and agricultural commodities which are very sensitive to price
changes. The range is a good indicator for weather forecast.
Where, Q� is the first quartile (lower quartile) and Q� is the third quartile
102 (upper quartile).
To understand the procedure for computing Q� and Q� , you are advised to Measures of
Dispersion
refer unit 13 once again where we discussed the methods of computing
quartiles under the section Partition Values.
As the difference between Q� , and Q� is the distance between the two
quartiles, this may be called Inter Quartile Range and half of this, Semi-
Inter Quartile Range is called Quartile Deviation.
Quartile Deviation (QD) is dependent on the two quartiles, and does not take
into account the variability of the largest 25% and the smallest 25% of
observations. It is, therefore, unaffected by extreme values. Another
advantage of quartile deviation is that it is the only measure of variability
which can be used for open-end distribution. The main limitation of quartile
deviation is that it does not depend on the magnitudes of all observations. It
is based on the middle 50% of the observations.
The relative measure of dispersion based on quartile deviation is called
coefficient of quartile deviation. The coefficient of quartile deviation is
defined as:
� ��
Coefficient of Quartile Deviation = �� � ��,
� �
This is because quartiles are also two selected items of the data and they have
nothing to do with the average of the data. Study the following Illustrations
carefully, you will understand the procedure involved in the calculation of
Quartile Deviation from ungrouped and grouped data.
Ungrouped Data (Individual Observations):
Illustration 3: Calculate the value of quartile deviation and its coefficient
from the following data relate the marks obtained by 7 students.
Marks : 40 10 26 32 15 49 25
Solutions : As we discussed in unit 13 (Quartiles) we have to arrange the
value of variables either in ascending or in descending order. Here, the marks
are arranged in ascending order as follows:
Marks : 10 15 25 26 32 40 49
��� ���
Q� = size of �
th observation = size of �
= 2nd observation
103
Business Statistics Weight(in Kgs): 60 61 62 63 65 70 75 80
No. of Workers : 1 3 5 7 10 3 1 1
Solution: Computation of Quartile Deviation and its Coefficient
Weight in Kgs Frequency Cumulative Frequency
60 1 1
61 3 4
62 5 9
63 7 16
65 10 26
70 3 29
75 1 30
80 1 31 = n
��� ��
Q� = size of � �
� = 8th observation
= 0.024.
Continuous distribution
Illustration 5: Calculate semi-interquartile range and its coefficient from the
following data:
Marks : 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80 80-90
No. of
Students: 11 18 25 28 30 33 22 15 22
Solution: To compute quartile deviation, we need the values of the first
quartile and the third quartile which can be obtained from the following table:
Marks Frequency(f) Cumulative
Frequency (c.f.)
0-10 11 11
10-20 18 29
20-30 25 54
30-40 28 82
40-50 30 112
104
50-60 33 145 Measures of
Dispersion
60-70 22 167
70-80 15 182
80-90 22 204
� ���
Q� has �
th observation i.e., �
= 51 th observation. 51th observation which
lies in 54 cumulative frequency. So Q� lies in the 20-30 class.
�
��
Q� = � + �
�
× �
Here, the value of �, �, � and � are relate to the upper quartile (Q� )
�������
Thus, Q� = 60 + ��
× 10 = 63.64.
= Rs. 957.14.
�� � � ���
Q� has �
th observation i.e., �
= 225 th observation which lies in 260
cumulative frequency. So, Q� class in the class 1050-1100.
��
�� ���� ���
Q� = 1 + �
�
× � = 1,050 + ��
× 50 = Rs. 1,076.67.
�� � �� �,���.�� – ���.��
Q.D = �
= �
= Rs.59.760.
�.�.����� �
Similarly a coefficient of M.D. about Mean(�) = �
You should keep in mind that the procedure to compute mean deviation from
ungrouped and grouped sets of data is different, but computing coefficient of
mean deviation is the same.
Mean deviation is based on all observations and hence takes into account the
variability of each of the items in the data set. However, the practice of
neglecting algebraic signs and taking absolute deviations makes it difficult to
be treated algebraically. Although, the average deviation is a good measure of
variability, its use is limited. If one desires only to measures and compare
variability among several sets of data, the average deviation may be used.
The computation of mean deviation from different sets of data will become
clear if you study the following illustration carefully.
Calculation of mean deviation – Ungrouped data
∑|�|
Formula = M.D. = �
107
Business Statistics Illustration 7: Calculate the mean deviation and its co-efficient from the
following values about the Mean, median and mode:
18, 25, 63, 59, 29, 72, 17, 25, 105, 87.
Solution: Calculation of �, M� and M� :
∑� ���
Mean (�) = �
= ��
= 50
Median: Since there are ten observations which is an even number, the
median is the average of the two middle most observations, when arranged in
order of magnitude as follows:
17, 18; 25, 25, 29, 59, 63, 72, 87, 105
��� �� ����
Median (M� ) = Size of � �
� item = � �
�= 5.5th item
�����
(M� ) = � � = 44
�
108
∑|�| ��� Measures of
M.D. about mode = �
= ��
= 28 Dispersion
�.�. ��
Coefficient of M.D. = ��
= �� = 1.12
∑�� �,���
Mean (�) = �
= ��
= 41marks
��� ��
Median (M� ) = Size of � �
� item
����
=� �
�= 30.5th item
Size of 30.5th item lies in the 40th item of the cumulative frequency, its
corresponding value is 40 marks.
Hence, Median = 40 marks
∑�|�| ���
Mean Deviation about mean = �
= ��
= 10.67 marks
�.�. ��.��
Coefficient of M.D. (about Mean) = ���� = ��
= 0.26 109
Business Statistics ∑�|�| ���
Mean deviation about Median = �
= ��
= 10.33 marks
�.�. ��.��
Coefficient of M.D. (about Median) = ������ = ��
= 0.26
Here, you may notice that, as we discussed earlier, the mean deviation about
median is least.
Illustration 9: From the following grouped data relating to the sales of 100
Companies, find the Coefficient of Mean Deviation by using mean (�) .
�.���
= ��.�
= 0.23.
∑��
Formula: σ = � �
1) Calculate: the arithmetic mean of the data (�); 2) Take the deviations by
subtracting the arithmetic mean from each and every value of the items (X -
�). Denote it by ‘d’; 3) Square the deviations (� � ) and obtain the total i.e.,
∑�� ; 4) Obtain the number of items (n) and apply the formula.
∑�� ∑� �
Short-cut Method: Formula: σ = � �
−���
Wage (Rs.) : 20 22 27 30 31 32 35 45 40 48
workers X
��
1 20 -13 169
2 22 -11 121
3 27 -6 36
4 30 -3 9
5 31 -2 4
6 32 -1 1
7 35 2 4
8 40 7 49
9 45 12 144
10 48 15 225
n = 10 ∑X = 330 ∑�� = 762
∑� ���
Now, � = �
= ��
= 33
∑�� ���
σ=� �
= � �� = √76.2 = Rs. 8.73
∑�� ∑� �
Now, σ =� �
−���
��� �� �
= � �� − ���� = √77.2 − 1 = √76.2 = Rs. 8.73
You may note that the results obtained by both the methods are the same.
You should also note that if you take any value as assumed mean, you would
get the same result. To test this , you are advised to find the standard
deviation by choosing different values of assumed mean say 27, 35, ….. so
on.
Grouped Data-Discrete distribution: Direct method
∑���
Formula for σ =� �
∑��� ∑�� �
Formula = σ = � �
−� �
�
Where, ∑�� � is the sum of the products which obtained by the multiplication
of squared deviation from assumed mean (� � ) by its respective frequency;
∑�� is the sum of the products which obtained by the multiplication of the
deviations from assumed mean to its respective frequencies; and n is the total
of the frequency.
Steps to compute S.D. for discrete series by short-cut method:
1) Select a value as assumed mean and take deviations of the items from the
assumed mean (X-A) denote these deviations by ‘d’; 2) Square the above
deviation (�� ); 3) Multiply the deviations with its corresponding frequency
(fd) and obtain (∑fd); 4) Multiply the squared deviation (� � ) with its
corresponding frequency and denote it as �� � ; 5) Obtain the total (i.e.,
∑��� ); 6) Obtain the total of the frequency (n) and 7) apply the formula.
Study Illustration 12 carefully to understand the procedure clearly.
114
Illustration 12: Calculate the standard deviation from the following Measures of
Dispersion
frequency distribution by direct and short-cut methods using 14 as assumed
mean.
No. of workers : 3 5 9 16 8 7 2
Now, � = ∑��
�
=
���
��
= Rs. 16
∑��� ���
�= � �
= � �� = √8.8 = Rs. 2.97
∑��� ∑�� �
Now, σ =� �
−� �
�
��� ��� �
= � �� − � �� �
∑���
Formula: σ = � �
Where, ∑fd2 is the sum of the products, which obtained by multiplying the
squared deviations (taken from actual mean to midvalues) with its respective
frequencies; n = total of the item
Steps to compute S.D. for continuous series by direct method:
1) Find out the mid values; 2) Compute of the arithmetic mean; 3) Take the
deviations of the mid values form the arithmetic mean (M-X) i.e., d; 4)
Square the deviation i.e., d2; 5) Multiply the squared deviations (d2)with its
respective frequencies (f) and obtain the total i.e., ∑fd2 ; 6) Obtain the total
of items (n) and apply the formula.
Short Cut Method
∑��� ∑�� �
Formula : σ =� �
−� �
�
116
Solution: Direct Method Measures of
Dispersion
Calculation of Standard Deviation
Classes Mid No. of �� � �� ���
(Profit Values Companies
(X - �)
Rs. in X f
lakhs)
20-30 25 4 100 -34.1 1162.81 4651.24
30-40 35 8 280 -24.1 580.81 4646.48
40-50 45 18 810 -14.1 198.81 3578.58
50-60 55 30 1650 -4.1 16.81 504.30
60-70 65 15 975 5.9 34.81 522.15
70-80 75 10 750 15.9 252-81 2525.10
80-90 85 8 680 25.9 670.81 5366.48
90-100 95 7 665 35.9 1288.81 9021.67
n = 100 ∑fx = 5,910 ∑��� = 30819.00
∑�� ����
�= �
= ���
= Rs. 59.10 lakhs
∑��� �����
σ=� �
= � ���
= √308.19 = Rs. 17.56 lakhs
117
Business Statistics 2. By comparing illustration 13 the computation of standard deviation by
Direct and short-cut methods you could may notice the difficult and
time consuming calculations in direct method if the arithmetic mean is
in fraction. This difficulty can overcome in short-cut method.
Step Deviation Method: The formulas of direct and short-cut methods could
be used conveniently, if the value of X and f are small. If the values of X and
f are large, the calculation standard deviation through the above discussed
methods are quite tedious and time consuming. In such a case, the calculation
can be reduced to a greater extent by step deviation method. This method
may be applied for grouped data. It is applicable when there is constant gap
in between the values of items. In case of continuous series, if class intervals
are equal then only it is applicable. Now, you study the procedure carefully
to understand this method.
∑���� ∑��� �
Formula: σ = � �
−� �
� �
1) Find mid value of various classes; 2) Select a mid value as the assumed
mean and take the deviation of the mid values from the assumed mean (M-A)
and denote these deviations by ‘d’; 3) Take the common factor of the
deviations and divide the deviations by the common factor, denote these
deviation by �� ; 4) Square the deviations and denote by � �� ; 5) Multiply the
respective frequencies with their deviations (� � ) obtained in step 3 and get the
total i.e., ∑��� ; 6) Multiply the squared deviation (� �� ) with the respective
frequencies and obtain the total i.e., ∑�� �� ; 7) Get the sum of the items (n)
and apply the formula.
Note: Instead of squaring the deviations (in step 4) you may also multiply the
��� values with its respective deviations (� � ) to find ���� . The clarifications
is that:
���� means f (��� ); ��� = (�� ) (�� ); Therefore ���� = f (�� ) (�� ) i.e.
��� (�� )
118
Solutions : Calculation of Standard Deviation Measures of
Dispersion
Income per No. of Mid-point (x-750) �� =
����� ��� f(��� )
month (Rs.) employees (m) (d)
���
x (f)
0-500 90 250 -500 -2 -180 360
500-1000 218 750 0 0 0 0
1000-1500 86 1250 500 2 172 344
1500-2000 41 1750 1000 4 164 656
2000-3000 15 2500 1750 7 105 735
N = 450 - - - �
∑�� = 261 ��
∑�� = 2095
Here, assumed mean (A) is 750 and common factor (C) is 250.
∑���� ∑��� �
S.d. =� �
−� �
� × �
���� ��� �
= � ��� − ����� × 250
1 -2 4 1 + 10 = 11 -2 4
2 -1 1 2 + 10 = 12 -1 1
3 0 0 3 + 10 = 13 0 0
4 1 1 4 + 10 = 14 1 1
5 2 4 5 + 10 = 15 2 4
Total 15 0 10 65 0 10
∑� ��
Arithmetic mean of X = �
= �
=3
∑(� − �)2 ��
σ of X = � �
= � � = √2 = 1.414
∑� ��
Arithmetic mean of Y = �
= �
=3
∑(� − �)2 ��
σ of Y = � �
= � � = √2 = 1.414
1 -2 4 10 -2 4
2 -1 1 20 -1 1
3 0 0 30 0 0
4 1 1 40 1 1
5 2 4 50 2 4
Total 15 0 10 150 0 10
∑� ��
�= = =3
� �
∑� ���
�= = = 30
� �
σ of Y = 10 (σ of x)
Thus, you may conclude that the standard deviation is independent of any
change of origin but is not independent of the change of scale.
120
3) For a given set of observations, standard deviation is never less than Measures of
Dispersion
mean deviation about arithmetic mean and quartile deviation. In fact
� �
mean deviation is � � and quartile deviation is � � for normal data.
�� = ��� − �� ; �� = ��� − ��
∑(� � �)�
Root Mean Square Deviation about 4 =� �
��
= � � = √3 = 1.732
But standard deviation of X is√2 or 1.414. So, root mean square deviation
about a value other than arithmetic mean is than standard deviation.
6) In an ordinary type data or normal type data the number of items
between the range A. M. ± σ is about 68%, in the range A.M. ± 2 σ is
about 95% and in range A.M. ± 3 σ is almost all the items of the data
lie.
To explain it, let us consider the data of Illustration 12. For this data A.M. is
16 and σ is 2.97. So the range A.M. ± σ will be 16 ± 2.97 or 13.03 to 18.97.
In the data, number of items lying between 13.03 to 18.97 are 9+16+8 or 33
i.e., 66% of total items (i.e., 50) which is quite close to 68%. Similarly, the
range A.M. ± 2 σ will be 16 ± 2 x 2.97 o r 10.06 to 21.94.
All items except the items of the first and the last group fall in this range.
Thus, total number of items in the range 10.06 to 21.94 are 45 i.e., 90%, a
value not very much different from 95%. You can also verify whether or not
100% items lie within the range A.M. 23 σ. 121
Business Statistics The percentages of items' lying between different ranges calculated above are
not exactly the same as stated in the property. This only points out that the
data of Illustration 12 is not perfectly normal but is quite close to it.
For Team B, the average number of goals scored per match was 2.5 with a
standard deviation of 1.25 goals. Find which team is more consistent.
Solution: Computation of Arithmetic Mean and Standard Deviation of Team A
∑��� ∑�� �
Standard Deviation of Team A: =� �
−� �
�
�� � �
= ��� − ����
= √1.2 − 0 = √1.2
= 1.1
�.�. �.�
Coefficient of Variation of Team A : = �
× 100 = �
× 100 = 55%
�.�. �.��
Coefficient of Variation of Team B: = �
× 100 = �.�
× 100 = 50%
124
Solution: Computation of Arithmetic Mean and Standard Deviation of Measures of
Dispersion
Series-A
Class-Interval Mid- Frequency Step fd Fd2
(Variable) Value (f) Deviation
(m) (d)
(x)
10-20 15 10 -2 -20 40
20-30 25 18 -1 -18 18
30-40 35 32 0 0 0
40-50 45 40 1 40 40
50-60 55 22 2 44 83
60-70 65 18 3 54 162
N = 140 ∑fd= 0 ∑fd2 = 30
∑��� ∑�� �
σA = � �
−� �
� × �
��� ��� �
= ���� − ����� × 10
= √2.486 − 0.510 × 10
= 1.4057 × 10 = 14.057
�
C.V. (Series A) = � × 100
��.��
= ��.�
× 100 = 33.3%
∑��� ∑�� �
Variance (Series A): = �
−� �
� × ��
��� ��� �
= ��� − ����� × 10�
125
Business Statistics Computation of Arithmatic Mean and Standard Deviation of Series-B
Class-Interval Mid- Frequency Step fd Fd2
(Variable) Value (f) Deviation
(m) (d)
(x)
10-20 15 18 -2 -36 72
20-30 25 22 -1 -22 22
30-40 35 40 0 0 0
40-50 45 32 1 32 32
50-60 55 18 2 36 72
60-70 65 10 3 30 90
N = 140 ∑fd= 40 ∑fd2 = 288
��
= 35 + ��� + 10 = 35 + 2.85 = 37.85 approximately.
= 1.4057 × 10 = 14.057
� ��.��
C.V. (Series B) = � × 100 = ��.�� × 100 = 37.1%
Variance (Series B) = ��
126
Measures of
Profits (Rs. lakhs) No. of Companies Dispersion
20-30 4
30-40 8
40-50 18
50-60 30
60-70 15
70-80 10
80-90 8
90-100 7
Solution : Computation
∑�� � ∑�� �
b) Variance = �
−� �
�
�,��,��� ���� �
= ���
− � ��� �
= 3801.00 – 3492.81
= Rs. 308.19 Lakhs
c) Standard Deviation = √�������� = √308.19
= 17.56 Lakhs
In the above illustration you may notice that by using sums of items and their
squares to calculations involved are large. This method is a direct method in
the sense that we have used the items directly and not calculated their
deviation from any value. This method may be used only when size of items
are small and their total number is also small.
Illustration 18: Calculate Mean and Standard Deviation from the following
distribution:
127
Business Statistics
Class-Interval : 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60 60-70 70-80
Frequency : 4 8 8 16 12 6 4
∑��
Mean � =A + �
× C
�
= 45 + �� × 10 = 45
∑��� ∑�� �
Standard Deviation =� � �
−� �
�
��� � �
= 10 × � �� − ����
128
The age of 25 persons who secured the pension rights are given below: Measures of
Dispersion
74 62 84 72 83 72 81 64 71 63 61
60 61 67 74 64 79 73 75 76 69 78
6 67 68
Calculate the monthly average pension payable and standard deviation,
variance and co-efficient of standard deviation.
Solution: Classification of Data
250 7 -2 -14 28
300 5 -1 -5 5
350 6 0 0 0
400 4 1 4 4
450 3 2 6 12
25 - −9 49
∑��� ∑�� �
σ =� �
−� �
� × �
�� �� �
= ��� − � �� � × 50 = 1.353 × 50 = 67.65
= � � = 67.65� = 4576.52
�
Coefficient of σ = � × 100
��.��
= ���
× 100 = 20.04%
129
Business Statistics Thus, the monthly average pension is Rs. 332; standard deviation is Rs. 67.65
variance is 4776.52 and C.V. is 20.04%.
Illustration 20: For a Group of 50 male workers, the mean and standard
deviation of their daily wages are Rs. 72 and Rs. 9 respectively. For another
group of 40 female workers these are Rs. 54 and Rs. 6 respectively. Find the
standard deviation for the combined group of 90 workers.
Solution: In this data �� = 50 and �� = 40
��= 72 and �� = 54
σ� = 9 and σ� = 6
�� �� � �� �� ���� � ����
Combined mean for group of 90 (���) = �� ���
= ��
�,��� � �,���
= ��
= 64
��,���
=� ��
= √240.54 = 15.51
You may note that the combined mean of the two groups has a value in
between the means of the two groups but the combined standard deviation
has a value much greater than the greater of the given standard deviations.
Combined mean will always be in between the range of the given mean, but
there is nothing wrong in getting combined standard deviations with a value
outside the range of the given standard deviation. In fact, greater the
difference between the given mean, the combined standard deviation will be
more away from the largest given standard deviation. When all the given
groups have equal means, then only the combined standard deviation will be
between the range of the given standard deviations.
Illustration 21: Calculate mean deviation about mean for data given
previously in Illustration 18 and show that mean deviation is less than
standard deviation.
Solution: Calculation of Mean Deviation
∑���� ��� �
(σ)= � �
−� �
� × � Standard deviation is rigidly defined and based on
all items.
133
Business Statistics
Calls Duration Frequency
4 but less than 8 4
8 but less than 12 5
12 but less than 16 7
16 but less than 20 2
20 but less than 24 1
24 but less than 28 1
Total 20
(Answer : σ = 2.77)
12). An analysis of production rejects resulted in the following figures.
Calculate mean and standard deviation.
Calculate i) mean, ii) standard deviation, and iii) range within which
middle 50% of the consumers fall.
(Answer : i) 25.9 ii) 10.96 iii) 34 to 17.6) .
16). In a small town, a survey was conducted in respect of profits made by
retail shops. The following results were obtained :
Note: These questions and exercises will help you to understand the unit
better. Try to write answers for them. But do not submit your answers to the
University.
FURTHER READINGS
Arora, P.N. Sumeet Arora and Arora. A., 2007, Comprehensive Statistical
Methods. S. Chand and Company Ltd., New Delhi.
Beri, G.C., 2005, Business Statistics, Tata Mc Graw-Hill Publishing
Company, Ltd., New Delhi.
Elhance, D.N. and Veena Elhance, 1988. Fundamentals of Statistics, Kitab
Mahal: Allahabad. (Chapters 9, 10 & 18)
Gupta, C.B., An Introduction to Statistical, Methods, Vikas Publishing
House: New Delhi. (Chapters 10, 11 & 17)
Gupta, S.P., 1989, Elementary Statistical Methods, Sultan Chand & Sons :
New Delhi. (Chapters 8 & 9)
Sancheti, D.C., and Kapoor, V.K., 1989, Statistics Theory Methods and
Applications, Sultan Chand & Sons : New Delhi.
Simpson, G, and.Kafka, F. Basic Statistics, Oxford & IBH Publishing 1 New
Delhi.
138
Simple Linear
UNIT 15 SIMPLE LINEAR CORRELATION Correlation
Structure
15.0 Objectives
15.1 Introduction
15.2 Simple Correlation
15.2.1 Meaning
15.2.2 Scatter Diagram
15.3 Correlation Coefficient
15.3.1 Karl Pearson’s Correlation Coefficient
15.3.2 Spearman’s Rank Correlation
15.4 Let Us Sum Up
15.5 Key Words
15.6 Answers to Self Assessment Exercises
15.7 Terminal Questions/Exercises
15.8 Further Readings
15.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
• explain the concept of correlation,
• use scatter diagrams to visualize the relationship between two variables,
• compute the simple and rank correlation coefficients between two
variables,
15.1 INTRODUCTION
In previous units, so far, we have discussed the statistical treatment of data
relating to one variable only. In many other situations decision-makers need
to consider the relationship between two or more variables. For example, the
sales manager of a company may observe that the sales are not the same for
each month. He/she also knows that the company’s advertising expenditure
varies from year to year. This manager would be interested in knowing
whether a relationship exists between sales and advertising expenditure. If
the manager could successfully define the relationship, he/she might use this
result to do a better job of planning and to improve predictions of yearly sales
with the help of the regression technique for his/her company. Similarly, a
researcher may be interested in studying the effect of research and
development expenditure on annual profits of a firm, the relationship that
exists between price index and purchasing power etc. The variables are said
to be closely related if a relationship exists between them. In this unit we
discuss bi-variant analysis of Simple Linear Correlation and Simple Linear
Regression will be covered in the next unit i.e. Unit-16.
The word ‘bi-variate’ is used to describe the situation in which two
characteristics are measured on each variable or item, the characteristics
being represented by the variables or item.
139
Business Statistics This unit, therefore, introduces the concept of correlation and statistical
techniques of simple correlation.
Y Y
r=1 r = –1
X X
(a) (b)
Perfect Positive Correlation Perfect Negative Correlation
Y r>0 r<0
Y
X X
(c) (d)
Positive Correlation Negative Correlation
140
Y Y Simple Linear
Correlation
X X
(e) (e)
Non-linear Correlation No Correlation
If X and Y variables move in the same direction (i.e., either both of them
increase or both decrease) the relationship between them is said to be
positive correlation [Fig. 15.1 (a) and (c)]. On the other hand, if X and Y
variables move in the opposite directions (i.e., if variable X increases and
variable Y decreases or vice-versa) the relationship between them is said to
be negative correlation [Fig. 15.1 (b) and (d)]. If Y is unaffected by any
change in X variable, then the relationship between them is said to be un-
correlated [Fig. 15.1 (f)]. If the amount of variations in variable X bears a
constant ratio to the corresponding amount of variations in Y, then the
relationship between them is said to be linear-correlation [Fig. 15.1 (a) to
(d)], otherwise it is non-linear or curvilinear correlation [Fig. 15.1 (e)].
Since measuring non-linear correlation for data analysis is far more
complicated, we therefore, generally make an assumption that the association
between two variables is of the linear type.
If the relationship is confined to two variables only, it is called simple
correlation. The concept of simple correlation can be best understood with
the help of the following illustration which relates advertisement expenditure
to sales of a company.
Illustration 1
Table 15.1 : A Company’s Advertising Expenses and Sales Data (Rs. in crore)
Years: 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Advertisement 6 5 5 4 3 2 2 1.5 1.0 0.5
expenses (X)
Sales (Y) 60 55 50 40 35 30 20 15 11 10
The company’s sales manager claims the sales variability occurs because the
marketing department constantly changes its advertisement expenditure.
He/she is quite certain that there is a relationship between sales and
advertising, but does not know what the relationship is.
The different situations shown in Figure 15.1 are all possibilities for describing
the relationships between sales and advertising expenditure for the company.
To determine the appropriate relationship, we have to construct a scatter
diagram shown in Figure 15.2, considering the values shown in Table 15.1.
141
Business Statistics
60
50
Figure 15.2 : Scatter Diagram of Sales and Advertising Expenditure for a Company.
142
A representation of data of this type on a graph is a useful device which will Simple Linear
Correlation
help us to understand the nature and form of the relationship between the two
variables, whether there is a discernible relationship or not and if so whether
it is linear or not. For this let us denote score in Economics by X and the
score in Statistics by Y and plot the data of Table 15.1 on the xx-y plane. It
does not matter which is called X and which Y for this purpose. Such a plot
is called Scatter Plot or Scatter Diagram. For data of Table 15.2 the scatter
diagram is given in Fig. 15.3.
An inspection of Table 15.2 and Fig. 15.3 shows that there is a positive
relationship between x and y. This means that larger values of x are
associated with larger values of y anand smaller values of x with smaller values
of y. Further, the points seem to lie scattered around both sides of a straight
line. Thus it appears that a linear relationship exists between x and y.
However, this relationship is not perfect in the sense that tthere are deviations
from such a relationship. It would indeed be useful to get a measure of the
strength of this linear relationship.
(∑�)(∑�)
∑���
�= �
�
�
(2)
(∑�)
�∑� � � �∑� � �(∑�)
� �
144
Solution: Table 15.3: Calculation of Correlation Coefficient Simple Linear
Correlation
We know that
(∑�)(∑�)
∑�� − �
�=
(∑�)� (∑�)�
�∑� � − �∑� � −
� �
����.��(��)(���)
�� 310.5
= =
(��)� (���)� 315.7
�122.5 − �13696 −
�� ��
=0.9835
The calculated coefficient of correlation r = 0.9835 shows that there is a high
degree of association between the sales and advertisement expenditure. For
this particular problem, it indicates that an increase in advertisement
expenditure is likely to yield higher sales. If the results of the calculation
show a strong correlation for the data, either negative or positive, then the
line of best fit to that data will be useful for forecasting (it is discussed in
Unit-16 on ‘Simple Linear Regression’).
Illustration-4
Calculate correlation coefficient for the data given in illustration 2.
145
Business Statistics Solution:
Table 15.4: Calculation of Correlation Coefficient
1 (Σ�)� 1 (1502)�
σ__
� = �Σ� −
� = �116292 − = √174.59; = 13.21;
N � 20 20
1 (Σ�)� 1 1133�
σ__
� =
�Σ� � − = �67141 − = √147.83; = 12.16;
N � 20 20
146
1 (ΣX)(ΣY) 1 1502 × 1133 Simple Linear
σ�y = �Σ�� − �= �87450 − � = 118.09 Correlation
N N 20 20
Thus using formula i.e.
σ��
�=
σ� σy
118.09
r= = 0.735
13.21 × 12.16
Now, let us use the another formula i.e.
(Σ�)(Σ�)
∑XY − �
�=
(Σ�)� (Σ�)�
�Σ� � − �Σ� � −
� �
Thus, we see that both the formulae provide the same value of correlation
coefficient r.
Now, you can check yourself that the same value of coefficient of correlation
(r) is obtained by using the formula (1) as stated earlier. For this purpose you
need the values to be computed in the table 15.4 as follow with five columns.
(i) (� − ��) = ��; (ii) � − �� = ��; (iii) �� � ; (iv) �� � and, ����.
Solution:
The above data was given in percentage of marks not in the ranks. Therefore,
for calculation of rank correlation, first, we have to assign the ranks to the
given values. As we discussed earlier the ranks may be assigned either from
the largest value to smallest value or visa-versa. Here, we assign the ranks
from largest to smallest value which is normally in practice.
149
Business Statistics Calculation of rank correlation:
150
2) Consider the above exercise and assign the ranks to price of shares and Simple Linear
Correlation
price of debentures. Find the degree of association by applying
Spearman’s formula.
Age of 23 27 28 29 30 31 33 35 36 39
husband
Age of wife 18 22 23 24 25 26 28 29 30 32
x 5 7 9 11 13 15
y 1.7 2.4 2.8 3.4 3.7 4.4
Student 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marks in 78 36 98 25 75 82 90 62 65 39
Mathematics
Marks in 84 51 91 60 68 62 86 58 53 47
statistics
Competitors: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rank by A 1 6 5 10 3 2 4 9 7 8
Rank by B 3 5 8 4 7 10 2 1 6 9
Rank by C 6 4 9 8 1 2 3 10 5 7
Using rank correlation method, discuss which pair of judges has the nearest
approach to common liking in music.
152
Peters, W.S. and G.W. Summers, 1968, Statistical Analysis for Business Simple Linear
Correlation
Decisions, Prentice Hall, Englewood-cliffs.
Hooda, R.P., 2000, Statistics for Business and Economics, MacMillan India
Ltd., New Delhi.
Gupta, S.P. 1989, Elementary Statistical Methods, Sultan Chand & Sons:
New Delhi.
Chandan, J.S. - Statistics for Business and Economics, Vikas Publishing
House Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi.
153
Business Statistics
UNIT 16 SIMPLE LINEAR REGRESSION
Structure
16.0 Objectives
16.1 Introduction
16.2 The Concept of Regression
16.3 Simple Linear Regression Equations
16.3.1 Estimating the Linear Regression: Two Variable Case
16.3.2 Simple Linear Regression Equations
16.3.3 Using Regression for Prediction
16.3.4 Method of Least Squares
16.4 Relationship between Correlation, Coefficient and Regression.
16.5 Difference between Correlation and Regression
16.6 Let Us Sum up
16.7 Key Words
16.8 Answers to Check Your Progress Exercises
16.9 Terminal Questions
16.10 Further Reading
16.0 OBJECTIVES
After going through this unit, you shall be able to:
• explain the concept of regression
• estimate the linear regression
• explain the method of least squares
• apply linear regression methods to given data
• use regression equations for predictions; and
• identify the relationship and difference between correlation and
regression coefficient
16.1 INTRODUCTION
In the previous unit we have learnt about simple linear correlation and
understood that correlation tells whether exists a relationship between two
variable or not but it does not reflect cause and effect relationship between
two variables. Therefore, we cannot predict the value of one variable for a
given value for other variable. This limitation is removed by regression
analysis. In regression analysis, the relationship between variable are
expressed in the form of a mathematical equation. It is assumed that one
variable is cause and the other is the effect. Please note that regression is a
statistical tool which helps understand the relationship between variables and
predicts the unknown values of the dependent variable from known values of
the independent variable.
154
Simple Linear
16.2 THE CONCEPT OF REGRESSION Regression
X
Figure 16.1 Scatter Diagram
We plot the data on a graph paper. The scatter diagram looks something like
Figure 16.1 we observe from figure 16.1 that the prints do not like strictly on
a straight line. But they show an upward rising tendency where a straight
line on the fitted. Let us draw the regression line along with the scatter plot.
157
Business Statistics
X
Figure 16.2
When we draw the regression lines with the help of a scatter diagram as
shown earlier in Fig. 16.1, we may get an infinite number of possible
regression lines for a set of data points. We must, therefore, establish a
criterion for selecting the best line. The criterion used is the Least Squares
Method. According to the least squares criterion, the best regression line is
the one that minimizes the sum of squared vertical distances between the
observed (X, Y) points and the regression line, i.e., Σ(� − ��)� is the least
value and the sum of Σ�� − ��� = 0. It is important to note that the distance
between (X, Y) points and the regression line is called the ‘error’.
Regression Equation of Y on X
�� = � + ��
where, �� is the computed values of Y (dependent variable) from the
relationship for a given X, ‘a’ and ‘b’ are constants (fixed values), ‘a’
determines the level of the fitted line at Y-axis (Y-intercept), ‘b’ determines
the slope of the regression line, X represents a given value of independent
variable.
(Σ�)(Σ�)
�� (Σ��) −
�
��� = � = �
�� (Σ �)
Σ� � − �
158
Regression equation of X on Y Simple Linear
Regression
�� = � + ��
Illustration 2
From the following 12 months sample data of a company, estimate the
regression lines.
(Rs. in lakh)
Advertisement
Expenditure: 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.6
Sales: 22 28 22 26 34 18 30 38 30 40 50 46
Solution:
159
Business Statistics Now we establish the best regression line (estimated by the least square
method).
�� − �� = ��� (� − ��)
384 32.8
�� = = 32; �� = = 2.733
12 12
(Σ�)(Σ�)
Σ�� − �
��� =
(Σ�)�
Σ� � − �
(��.�)(���)
1,150 − ��
= = 100.4/17.31 = 5.8
(��.�)�
106.96 − ��
Now Y on X equation is �� − �� = ��� (�� − ��)
�� − 32 = 5.8 (� − 2.733)
�� = 5.8 � − 15.85 + 32 = 5.8 � + 16.15
Or �� = 16.15 + 5.8�
which is shown in Figure 16.2. Note that, as said earlier, this line passes
through �� (2.733) and �� (32).
�� − �� = ��� (� − ��)
(�)(�) (��.�)(���)
�� Σ�� − �
1,150 − �� 100.4
��� = � = � = = = 0.093
�� (Σ �) (���)� 1,080
Σ� � − � 13368 − ��
Now X on Y equation is :
�� − 2.733 = 0.093 (� − 32)
�� − 2.733 = 0.093� − 2.976
�� = 2.733 − 2.976 − 0.093�
�� = −0.243 + 0.093�
We have the values of �� = 2.733 and �� = 32
Now we calculate the bxy value:
(Σ�)(Σ�)
Σ�� − �
��� =
(Σ�)�
Σ� � − �
160
Simple Linear
Regression
Rainfall (in : 60 62 65 71 73 75 81 85 88 90
mm)
Agricultural : 33 37 38 42 42 45 49 52 55 57
Production
(in tones)
162
In this case dependent variable (Y) is quantity of agricultural production and Simple Linear
Regression
independent variable (X) is amount of rainfall. The regression equation to be
fitted is
�� = � + ���
For the above equation we find out the normal equations by the method of
least squares. Next we construct a table as follows:
Table 16.3: Computation of Regression Line
� � �� �� �� � − ��
60 33 3600 1980 33.85 -0.85
62 37 3844 2294 35.34 1.66
65 38 4225 2470 37.57 0.43
71 42 5041 2982 42.03 -0.03
73 42 5329 3066 43.51 -1.51
75 45 5625 3375 45.00 0.00
81 49 6561 3669 49.46 -0.46
85 52 7225 4420 52.43 -0.43
88 55 7744 4840 54.66 0.34
90 57 8100 5130 56.15 0.85
∑� = ��� ∑� = ��� ∑�
2
= ����� ∑�� = ����� � = ���
∑� ∑� � = �
164
Simple Linear
750 750 Regression
�� = = 75 ��� �� = = 45
10 10
∑���� �� 776
�= � �= = 0.743
∑��� � 1044
� = �� − ��� = 45 − 0.743 × 75 = −10.73
Thus the regression line in this method also �� = – 70.73 + 0.743�
Coefficient b is called the regression coefficient. This coefficient reflects the
amount of increase in Y when there is a unit increase in X. In regression
equation the coefficient b = 0.743 implies that if rainfall increase by 1 mm.
agricultural production will increase 0.743 thousand tonne.
You might have observed that, it may be noted, this short cut method is the
easiest for calculation only when the arithmetic mean of both X and Y series
are having absolute value (10, 25,32 etc.) not in fraction value (i.e. 10.62,
53.12, 83.95 etc.).
165
Business Statistics 4) Regression coefficients are independent of change of origin, but not
of scale.
2) Correlation need not imply cause and effect relationship between the
variables under study. But regression analysis clearly indicates the cause
and effect relationship between the variables. The variable corresponding
to cause is taken as independent variable and the variable corresponding
to effect is taken as dependent variable.
3) Correlation coefficient ‘r’ is a relative measure of the linear relationship
between X and Y variables and is independent of the units of
measurement. It is a number lying between ±1. Whereas the regression
coefficient byx (or bxy) is an absolute measure representing the change
in the value of the variable Y (or X) for a unit change in the value of the
variable X (or Y). Once the functional form of the regression curve is
known, by susbstituting the value of the dependent variable we can
obtain the value of the independent variable which will be in the unit of
measurement of the variable.
4) There may be spurious (non-sense) correlation between two variables
which is due to pure chance and has no practical relevance. For example,
the correlation between the size of shoe and the income of a group of
individuals. There is no such thing as spurious regression.
5) Correlation analysis is confined only to study of linear relationship
between the variables and, therefore, has limited applications. Whereas
regression analysis has much wider applications as it studies linear as
well as non-linear relationships between the variables.
X 25 22 28 26 35 20 22 40 20 18
Y 18 15 20 17 22 14 16 21 15 14
Note: These questions/exercises will help you to understand the unit better.
Try to write answers for them. But do not submit your answers to the
university for assessment. These are for your practice only.
168
Index Number
UNIT 17 INDEX NUMBERS
Structure
17.0 Objectives
17.1 Introduction
17.2 Meaning and Concept of Index Numbers
17.2.1 Characteristics of Index Number
17.3 Uses of Index Numbers
17.4 Issues in Construction of Index Numbers
17.5 Classification of Index Numbers
17.6 Methods of Constructing Numbers
17.6.1 Unweighted Index Numbers
17.6.2 Weighted Index Numbers
17.7 Tests for Index Numbers
17.7.1 The Time Reversal Test
17.7.2 The Factor Reversal Test
17.8 Consumer Price Index Number (CPI)
17.9 Let Us Sum Up
17.10 Key Words
17.11 Answers to Self Assessment Questions
17.12 Terminal Questions/ Exercises
17.13 Further Reading
17.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
• define and explain the meaning of Index numbers,
• discuss the characterstics and uses of Index numbers
• identify and avoid various issues faced while developing index numbers
for some special purposes,
• discuss the classification of index numbers
• construct and calculate index numbers applying different methods, and
• describe the limitations of index numbers to avoid errors in
interpretations.
17.1 INTRODUCTION
In the previous block-5 we have learnt how to calculate the statistical data
relating bi-variant in nature by applying the statistical devices. They are
simple linear correlation and simple linear regression which provide to
establish the relationship between the two variables. In this unit we shall
discuss the methods of constructing various types of index numbers for
different purposes. This device is an extension of the time series analysis
169
Business Statistics because an index number combines two or more time series variables related
to non-comparable units. You would have read in newspapers or heard on the
television/the radio that the cost of living index has increased by so many
points, hence for government employees another slab of Dearness Allowance
has been declared. Probably you might have wondered what is this cost of
living index?
Many of you must also be aware of the Stock Exchange Share Price Index –
commonly referred to as BSE SENSEX or, more recently, NSE SENSEX. In
fact, these various types of index series have come to be used in many
activities such as industrial production, export, prices, etc. In this Unit, you
will study and understand the meaning and uses of index numbers, various
problems resulting from the incorrect use of index numbers, methods for
construction of various index numbers, and their limitations.
170
e) With reference to some specified period and number known as base Index Number
period and base number, the latter is always 100. For example, if the
consumer price index, with base year 1996 is calculated to be 180 for
the year 2003, it means that consumer prices have increased by 80 per
cent in 2003 as compared to the prices prevalent in 1996.
171
Business Statistics
17.3 USES OF INDEX NUMBERS
Though originally the index number was developed for measuring the effect
of change in prices, today they have become indispensable for analyzing the
data related to business and economic activity. This statistical tool can be
used in several ways as follows:
1) Decision makers use index numbers as part of intermediate
computations to understand other information better. Nominal income
can be transformed into real income. Similarly, nominal sales into real
sales & so on …, through an appropriate index number. Consumer
price index, also known as cost of living index, is arrived at for a
specified group of consumers in respect of prices of specific
commodities and services which they usually purchase. This index
serves as an indicator of ‘real’ wages (or income) of the consumers. For
example, an individual earns Rs. 100/- in the year 1970 and his
earnings increase to Rs. 300/- in the year 1980. If during this period,
consumer price index increases from 100 to 400 then the consumer is
not able to purchase the same quantity of different commodities with
Rs. 300, which he was able to purchase in the year 1970 with his
income of Rs. 100/-. This means the real income has declined. Thus
real income can be calculated by dividing the actual income by dividing
the consumer price index:
������ ������ �� 1980
���� ������ �� 1980 = × 100
�������� ����� ����� �� 1980
���
= ��� × 100 = ��. 75/− with respect to 1970 as base year
Therefore, the consumer’s real income in the year 1980 is Rs. 75/- as
compared to his income of Rs. 100/- in the year 1970. We can also say
that because of price increase, even though his income has increased,
his purchasing power has decreased.
2) Different types of price indices are used for wage and salary
negotiations, for compensating in price rise in the form of DA
(Dearness Allowance).
3) Various indices are useful to the Government in framing policies. Some
of these include taxation policies, wage and salary policies, economic
policies, custom and tariffs policies etc.
4) Index numbers can also be used to compare cost of living across
different cities or regions for the purpose of making adjustments in
house rent allowance, city compensatory allowance, or some other
special allowance.
5) Indices of Industrial Production, Agricultural Production, Business
Activity, Exports and Imports are useful for comparison across
different places and are also useful in framing industrial policies,
import/export policies etc.
172
6) BSE SENSEX is an index of share prices for shares traded in the Index Number
174
index for the purpose of negotiating wages or compensating for price Index Number
176
17.6.1 Unweighted Index Numbers: Index Number
This type of indices are also referred to as simple index numbers. In this
method of constructing indices, weights are not expressly assigned. These are
further classified under two categories:
1) Simple Aggregative Index
2) Simple Average of Relatives Index
Let us study the construction of indices under these two methods:
1) Simple Aggregative Index: This is the simplest and least satisfactory
method of constructing indices. In the case of price indices, through this
method, the total of unit cost of each commodity in the current year is
divided by the total of unit cost of the same commodity in the base year
and the quotient is multiplied by 100. Symbolically,
∑�
��� = �∑�� � × 100
�
Illustration 1: By considering the hypothetical data for the year 1990 and
2000 the following computation was done for construction of price index and
quantity index.
Table 17.1 Computation of Index by Simple Aggregative Method
The price index for the year 2000 with reference to base year 1990 the simple
aggregative method is
∑� ����.�
��� = �∑�� � × 100 = ����.� × 100 = 156.54
�
177
Business Statistics 1) The unit size affects the index number. For instance, in the above
illustration if the price of wheat was quoted in terms of per kg. Rs. 7/- in
1990 and Rs. 9.5 in 2000) the index might be very different.
2) Relative importance of different commodities is not reflected in the
index. For example, in the above illustration a total of Rs. 2,800/- is
spent on wheat, which is the most important item of expenditure. This is
not reflected in this method.
Analogously, the Quantity Index by the simple aggregate method is:
∑�
��� = �∑�� � × 100
�
Here, you should note that the ‘P’ in the formulae of price index will be
replaced by ‘q’ in constructing index. This expression is applicable to the
formulae of different methods.
Limitation: The units of quantities being different cannot be added and
the quantities do not represent appropriate variables for the purpose of
comparing expenditure.
2) Simple Average of Relatives Index
In this method of constructing price index, first of all price relatives have
to be computed for the different items included in the index then the
average of these is calculated simbolically,
� ��� �� ���
∑� � ×����
�� ����� ���������
��� = �
or ��.�� �����
Using the same data by considering only prices given in the illustration-
1, the computation of price index as simple average of price relatives is
as follows:
Illustration 2
Table 17.2: Computation of Index by Simple Average of Relatives Method
∑� �
Quantity Index = (����� ) = �∑�� �� � × 100,
� �
∑� �
Quantity Index = (����� ) = �∑�� �� � × 100,
� �
overestimate the value of indices. It is argued that when prices increase, the
consumers reduce the consumption of commodities (which are price elastic)
for which price rise has been highest. Thus the use of base year quantities
increases the value of the numerator, thus increasing the value of index
number. The same is true when prices are falling. The Paasche’s index, on
the other hand, has a tendency to underestimate. This is because when prices
are rising, reduced current quantities are used as weights which reduces the
value of the index. When price changes are not very rapid, there is not much
difference between the index values given by the two methods.
c) Fisher’s Ideal Index: Irving Fisher used geometric mean of the
Laspeyre’s and Paache’s indices to overcome the shortcomings of the both.
Thus,
∑� � ∑� �
Price Index (���� ) = ��∑�� �� � �∑�� �� � × 100
� � � �
This shows that prices for the group (sample commodities) have
increased by 18.94 per cent in 2018 as compared to those prevailing in
2013.
The quantity index according to Laspeyre’s formula is computed as
shown below:
∑�� ��
(��� ) = ∑�� ��
× 100
The sum of �� �� and �� �� may be taken from the Table 17.3 as ∑�� �� =
∑�� ��, and ∑�� ��= ∑�� �� .
10900
����� = × 100 = 119.78
9100
This shows a 19.78 percent increase in aggregate quantity consumption
for this group in 2018 as compared to 2013.
∑�� ��
ii) Paache’s Price Index or (����� ) = ∑�� ��
× 100
�����
= �����
× 100 = 120.18
Thus, according to the Paache’s Index the price index reveals an increase
of 20.18 per cent in prices in 2018 as against 2013.
Analogously, Paasche’s quantity index is
∑�� ��
(����� ) = � � × 100
∑�� ��
The values of ∑�� �� and ∑�� �� in the Table 17.3, as they are equivalen to
∑�� �� and ∑�� �� respectively.
�����
Thus, (����� ) = �����
× 100 = 121.03
It shows a 21.03 per cent increase in quantity consumption for this group
in 2018 as compared to 2013.
∑� � ∑� �
iii) Fisher’s Index or (���� ) = ��∑�� ��� �∑�� �� � × 100
� � � �
����� �����
(���� ) = �� ���� � ������� × 100 = √1.43 × 100 = 119.55
which you may compute and interpret on your own using the data in the
182 Table 17.3.
Illustration-4: Construct Index Number of prices of items in the year 2018 Index Number
Items �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� �� ��
A 10 10 5 25 100 250 50 125
B 35 4 35 10 140 350 140 350
C 30 3 15 15 90 450 45 225
D 10 25 20 20 250 200 100 80
E 40 3 40 5 120 200 120 200
Σ=700 Σ=1450 Σ=455 Σ=980
∑�� ��
1) Laspeyres method : (����� ) = ∑�� ��
× 100 = (455/700) × 100 = 65
∑�� ��
2) Paasche’s method: (����� ) = ∑�� ��
× 100 = (980/1450) × 100 = 67.58
∑� � ∑� �
3) Fisher’s method: (���� ) = ��∑�� �� � �∑�� ��� × 100
� � � �
As an illustration let us consider the data given in Table 17.5 which also
contains required computations for constructing index number through
weighted average of relatives method. 183
Business Statistics Illustration-5: Table 17.5: Computation of Index Number through
Weighted Average of Relatives Method
This means that according to this method, the rise in prices in 2015 as
compared to the base year 2005 is 65.88 per cent. In this method, the index of
quantity relatives is expressed as:
�
∑�� � ×������ �� � ∑��
��
(��� ) = =
∑�� �� ∑�
which you may compute and interpret on your own by using the data in Table
17.5.
number.
Algebraically, it is expressed as: ��.� × ��.� = 1
Where, ��.�= Index number for current period (�� ) with the base period (�� )
��.� = Index number for base period (�� ) with the current period (�� )
As we discussed the three method of construction of indices under Weighted
Aggregative Index in Section 17.6.2, Fisher’s Ideal Index Satisfies this test.
Hence this method is considered as ideal index.
Now, let us discuss this as below:
∑� � ∑� �
Fisher’s Ideal Index ��.� = ��∑�� �� � �∑�� ���
� � � �
∑�� �� ∑�� ��
��.� = �� �� �
∑�� �� ∑�� ��
With the above, now, we verify the result of time reversal test i.e.
��.� × ��.� = 1
Hence,
∑�� �� ∑�� �� ∑�� �� ∑�� ��
��.� × ��.� = � × × ×
∑�� �� ∑�� �� ∑�� �� ∑�� ��
185
Business Statistics
�
∑�� �� ∑�� ��
��.� =� ×
∑�� �� ∑�� ��
∑�� �� ∑�� ��
��.� = � ×
∑�� �� ∑�� ��
Hence,
Illustration-6: We show the following data that Fisher’s ideal index satisfies
the Time Reversal Test and Factor Reversal Test:
186
ii) Factor Reversal Test: Index Number
∑�� �� 1880
��� ����� ����� ��.� × ��.� = �� ����� ��
∑�� �� 1360
Illustration-7: Let us observe how to construct the Consumer Price Index for
food with the help of the following data pertains to current price, base price
and weights of seven items:
187
Business Statistics Construction of an Index for food
Item : A B C D E
Price of Base Year (Rs.) : 85 15 45 55 17
Price of Current Year (Rs.) : 115 20 61 100 23
Weights : 35 15 10 25 15
189
Business Statistics (ii) Simple Aggrivative Index for the year 2018 over the year
2016 = 273
C Weighted Aggregates index number:
����� = 183.9; ����� = 180.4; ���� = 181.9;
Weighted Average of Relatives Index (��� ) = 183.9
D CPI = 146.65
Find the price indices and quantity indices by using the methods of
unweighted index numbers and comment on the results.
7) A department of Statistics has collected the following data describing
the prices and quantities of harvested crops for the years 1990, 2000
and 2004 (Price in Qtls. and Production in tons).
190
Index Number
Items 1990 2000 2004
Price Production Prince Production Prince Production
Paddy 200 1.050 500 1,300 600 1,450
Wheat 250 940 550 1,220 700 1,450
Groundnut 350 400 800 500 1,000 480
Note: These questions will help you to understand the unit better. Try to write
answers for them. But do not submit your answers to the university. These
are for your practice only.
191
Business Statistics
17.13 FURTHER READINGS
A number of good text books are available for the topics dealt with in this
unit.
The following books may be used for more indepth study.
Hooda, R.P, 2001. Statistics for Business and Economics, Macmillan India
Ltd.
Richard I. Levin and David S. Rubin, 1996, Statistics for Management,
Prentice Hall of India Pvt. Ltd.
Gupta, S.P., Statistical Methods, 2000, Sultan Chand and Sons.
Gupta, C.B. and Vijay Gupta, 2001. An Introduction to Statistical Methods,
Vikas Publishing House Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi.
192
Time Series Analysis
UNIT 18 TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
Structure
18.0 Objectives
18.1 Introduction
18.2 Definition and Utility of Time Series Analysis
18.3 Components of Time Series
18.4 Decomposition of Time Series
18.5 Preliminary Adjustments
18.6 Methods of Measurement of Trend
18.6.1 Moving Average Method
18.6.2 Least Square Method
18.7 Let Us Sum Up
18.8 Key Words
18.9 Answers to Self Assessment Questions
18.10 Terminal Questions/ Exercises
18.11 Further Reading
18.0 OBJECTIVES
After studying this unit, you should be able to:
• define the concept of time series,
• appreciate the role of time series in short-term forecasting,
• explain the components of time series, and
• estimate the trend values by different methods
18.1 INTRODUCTION
In the previous unit, you have learnt types of the index numbers and various
methods in constructing index numbers. The nature of data varied from case
to case. You have come across quantitative data for a group of respondents
collected with a view to understanding one or more parameters of that group,
such as investment, profit, consumption, weight etc. But when a nation,
state, an institution or a business unit etc., intend to study the behavior of
some element, such as price of a product, exports of a product, investment,
sales, profit etc., as they have behaved over a period of time, the information
shall have to be collected from a fairly long period, usually at equal time
intervals. Thus, a set of any quantitative data collected and arrangement on
the basis of time is called ‘Time Series’. The unit of time may be a decade, a
year, a month, or a week etc.
Usually, the quantitative data of the variable under study are denoted by �� ,
�� ,….�� and the corresponding time units are denoted by �� , �� ,….�� . The
193
Business Statistics variable ‘y’ shall have variations, as you will see ups and downs in the
values. These changes account for the behavior of that variable.
Instantly it comes to our mind that ‘time’ is responsible for these changes, but
this is not true. Because, the time (t) is not the cause and changes in the
variable (y) are not the effect. The only fact, therefore, which we must
understand is that there are a number of causes which affect the variable and
have operated on it during a given time period. Hence, time becomes only
the forecasting any event helps in the process of decision making.
Forecasting is possible if we are able to understand the past behavior of that
particular activity. For understanding the past behavior, a researcher needs
not only the past data but also a detailed analysis of the same. Thus, in this
unit we will discuss the need for analysis of time series, fluctuations of time
series which account for changes in the series over a period of time, and
measurement of trend for forecasting.
Components
Year Quarter Series Trend Seasonal Cyclical –
(O) (T) (100 S) Irregular
(100 CI)
1 1 79 80 120 82
2 58 85 80 85
3 84 90 92 102
4 107 95 108 105
2 1 130 100 120 108
2 93 105 80 132
3 121 110 92 120
4 161 115 108 130
3 1 216 120 120 150
2 132 125 80 132
3 150 130 93 125
4 163 135 108 112
4 1 176 140 120 105
2 112 145 80 97
3 128 150 93 93
4 142 155 108 85
Thus, each quarterly figure (Y) is the product of the T, S and CI. Such as
synthetic composition looks like an actual time series and has encouraged use
of the model as the basis of the analysis of time series data.
We can have either an odd period of moving average (e.g., 3 years, 5 years, 7
years) or an even period of moving average (i.e., 2 years, 4 years 6 years).
As said above, the period of moving average is generally, determined in the
light of the length of the cycle in the data. Ordinarily, the moving average
period ranges between 3 to 10 years for business series.
Odd Period of moving average: When period of moving average is odd (say
3 years, 5 years 7 years etc.) the moving average is associated with mid point
of relevant time interval. Study Table 18.3 carefully to understand the
procedure.
Table 18.3: Computation of Odd Period Moving Average
You should note that the moving average for the first three years (2001, 2002
and 2003) i.e., 72 is associated with the middle year 2002. Having dropped
the first year, the moving average of the next three years i.e. 2002, 2003 and
2004 is placed against 2003; and so on. You must also note that moving
average for the first year and the last year in the given data cannot be
obtained. If the period of moving average is 5 years, moving average for the
first two years and last two years cannot be obtained.
Even Period of Moving Average: If the period of moving average is even
(say 4 years, 6 years, 8 years etc.) the moving totals and moving averages
would not coincide with the original time period. It would not be possible to
place moving average exactly against some year. Therefore, you have to
resort to ‘Centering’. Centering is done in a manner that helps coincide the
moving average with the original data. Study Illustration-1 carefully and
understand the procedure involved in centering.
Illustration-1: Compute 4 yearly moving averages for the following data:
Years : 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Sales (Rs. In : 75 60 54 69 86 65 63 80 90 72
‘000)
The total 258 of the first four figures (years 1997 to 2000) and their average
64.20 is written against the middle of this time period i.e., middle of the years
1998 and 1999. This middle time period is a specially designed year taking
200
last six months from 1998 and the first six months from 1999. Similarly, the Time Series Analysis
total 269 corresponding to year 1998 to 2001 and their average 67.25 is
written against the specially designed year i.e., the mid-year of 1999 and
2000. This process continues till the last average 76.25 and the total 305 is
noted against the mid-year of 2004 and 2005. To find out the first centred
moving average 65.72 (i.e., a figure of moving average which will coincide
with the year 1999), we have to find the mid-value 64.20 and 67.25, the first
two figures in Column 4. This can be easily seen with the help of diagram
given below:
The diagram shows that the figure which coincides with the year 1999 will
come from half of 64.20 and half of 67.25, which means that it is the mean of
the two moving averages. This mean value 65.72 is, therefore, called
centered moving average and is entered in the last column. The various
entered moving averages are, thus, calculated by taking successively mean of
the two consecutive figures from Column 4.
It is to be noted that when the number of time units involved is even, the
point of origin will have to be chosen between the two middle time units.
Let us consider an illustration to understand the procedure for estimation of
the trend by using the method of least squares.
Illustration 2: The decision making body of a fertilizer firm producing
fertilizer wants to predict future sales trend for the year 2006 and 2008 based
on the analyses of its past sales pattern. The sales of the firm for the last 7
years, for this purpose are given below:
Solution: to find the straight line equation (�� = a + bx) for the given time
series data, we have to substitute the values of already arrived expression,
that is:
∑� ∑��
�= �
, and � = ∑� �
In order to make the total of x = ‘zero’, we must take median year (i.e. 2001)
as origin. Study the following table carefully to understand the procedure for
fitting the straight line.
Table 18.4: Computation of Trend
202
∑� ��� ∑�� ��� Time Series Analysis
�= �
= �
= 87, and � = ∑� �
= ��
= 4.18
The reason for this is that the trend values increased by a constant amount ‘b’
every year. Hence the annual increase in sales in 4:18 thousand tons.
Trend values are to be obtained as follow:
����� = 87+4.18 (–3) = 74.5
����� = 87+4.18(–2) = 78.6 and so on …..
Predicting with decomposed components of the time series: The
management wants to estimate fertilizer sales for the years 2006 and 2008.
Estimation of sales for 2006, ‘x’ would be 5 (because for 2004 ‘x’ was 3)
����� = 87 + 4.18 (5) = 1.7.9 thousand tonnes
Estimation of sales for 2008, ‘x’ would be 7.
����� = 87 + 4.18 (7) = 116.3 thousand tonnes
Illustration-3: Fit a straight line trend by the method of least square from the
following data and find the trend values.
Year Sales X X� XY
1958 65 −2 4 −130
1959 95 −1 1 −95
1960 80 0 0 0
1961 115 1 1 115
1962 105 2 4 210
Total ΣY=460 ΣX=0 ΣX �=10 ΣXY=100
Years Production
2008 40
2009 60
2010 45
2011 83
2012 130
2013 135
2014 150
2015 120
2016 200
205
Business Statistics 1) Addictive model, which considers the sum of various components
resulting in the given values of overall time series data and
symbolically it would be expressed as Y = T + C + S + I.
2) The multiplicative model assumes that the various components
interact in a multiplicative manner to produce the given values of the
overall time series data dn symbolically it would be expressed as : y =
T × C × S × I.
The trend analysis brings out the effect of long-term causes. There are
different methods of isolating trends, among these we have discussed only
two methods i.e., Moving Average Method and Least Square Method.
Long-term predictions can be made on the basis of trends, and only the least
square method of trend computation offers this possibility.
Years 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Sales 214 320 305 298 360 450 340 500 520
Note: These questions will help you to understand the unit better. Try to write
answers for them. But do not submit your answers to the university. These
are for your practice only.
207
Business Statistics Mentgomery, D.,C. and L.A. Johnson, 1996, ‘Forecasting and Time Series
Analysis’ McGraw Hill: New York.
Chandan, J.S., 2001, Statistics for Business and Economics, Vikas Publishing
House Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi
Gupta, S.P. and H.P. Gupta, 2001, Business Statistics, S. Chand, New Delhi.
C.B. Gupta & Vijay Gupta, Vikash Publishing Honk Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi.
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Time Series Analysis
209
Business Statistics
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Time Series Analysis
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Business Statistics
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Time Series Analysis
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Business Statistics
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