BFM All Modules Caiib
BFM All Modules Caiib
1.INTERNATIONAL BANKING
2. RISK MANAGEMENT
3. TREASURY MANAGEMENT
Compiled by-
Ratinder Chopra
[email protected] 9888812880
Banker ZONE ARENA
(An initiative by Ratinder Chopra ex Faculty PSB)
CAIIB SPECIAL
MODULE A
INTERNATIONAL BANKING
Ratinder Chopra
Contact at [email protected]
Phone: 9888812880
FOREIGN EXCHANGE MANAGEMENT ACT, 1999
What is Foreign Exchange Management Act (FEMA)
FEMA Act 1999 was enacted on December 02, 1999 to replace FERA 1973. The
Act come into on June 01, 2000 and extends to entire Country.
FERA FEMA
Objectives of FEMA
1. Facilitating external trade and payments.
2. Promoting the orderly development and maintenance of foreign
exchange market in India. All transactions can be carried by
residents and Non-Residents through Authorized dealer.
BRANCH CATEGORIZATION
AUTHORIZED PERSON
1. Means an AD (Authorized Dealer), Money Changer, Off-shore banking
unit or any person appointed under the Act FEMA by RBI which issues the
license to such authorized persons.
2. This Authorization can be revoked if found not complying with the
guidelines
EXCHANGE RATE:
Exchange Rate is the rate at which one currency is converted into
another currency. It’s a dynamic rate which arrives from day to day,
minute to minute depending upon market factors.
AUTHORISED DEALER
An Authorized person who can be Category I, II or money changer is
called Authorized Dealer. An AD makes purchases or sell foreign
currency. Bankers are Authorized Dealers. When a bank sells foreign
currency, it acquires Home currency and vice versa.
SELLING RATE & BUYING RATE & EXCHANGE RATE QUOTATIONS
To keep spread or margin between the rate for sale and purchase the
banks quote two different rates i.e. Selling rate (at which the bank
sell foreign currency) and Buying rate (at which the bank buys foreign
currency).
DIRECT QUOTATION
When there is variable unit of home currency & Fixed unit of foreign
currency, it is called Direct Quotation.
For example, 1 US$ = 74 Rupees
INDIRECT QUOTATION
When there is Fix unit of home currency & variable unit of foreign
currency, it is called Indirect Quotation.
For example, Rs.100 = US$ 1.25
TT Selling rate: is the rate at which banks sell Demand drafts, foreign
bills collected, Travellers cheques and receives INR.TT (Telegraphic
Transfer) buying rate indicates the rate at which bank convert foreign
inward remittances to INR. TT Selling rate indicates the rate at which
the bank sends an outward remittance through telegraphic transfer.
FOREIGN TYPE OF ACCOUNTS
EXCHANGE
NOSTRO Our Bank a/c with a bank in another country in
the currency of that country.
VOSTRO Other country account in our country in local
currency.
LORO It’s for a third bank which may use the account
with consent of Indian bank having Nostro
account in other country or vice versa.
MIRROR The a/c of a foreign bank maintained in the
books of bank in India. It is the copy of NOSTRO
account.
Exchange rate volatility refers to the tendency for foreign currency to appreciate or
depreciate in value and ultimately affects the profitability of a trade (or transfer)
overseas.
1. Inflation rates
Inflation rates impact a country’s currency value. A low inflation rate typically
exhibits a rising currency value, as its purchasing power increases relative to other
currencies. Conversely, those with higher inflation typically see depreciation in their
currencies compared to that of their trading partners, and it’s also typically
accompanied by higher interest rates.
Government debt also plays a part in inflation rates. A country with government
debt (public or national debt owned by the central government) is less likely to
acquire foreign capital, leading to inflation.
2. Interest rates
Exchange rates, interest rates and inflation rates are all interconnected. An
increase in interest rates cause a country’s currency to appreciate, as lenders are
provided with higher rates and thereby attracting more foreign capital. This can
cause a rise in the value of a currency and therefore the exchange rate. Cutting
interest rates, on the other hand, can lead to a depreciation of the currency.
With the state of the global economy at present, it’s evident that we’re in a global
slowdown and fears of recession are looming. A recession may also cause a
depreciation in the exchange rate because interest rates usually fall.
Other recession factors that can influence currency value include the determent of
foreign investment, which would decrease the value. However, if a recession
causes inflation to fall, this helps a country become more globally competitive and
demand for the currency becomes greater.
4. Tourism
Let's use the US as an example here. If someone travels outside the US to another
country, they will get more from a money transfer to that country when the USD
appreciates against the foreign currency. Similarly, depreciation of a currency
means that foreigners will be more inclined to visit that country and spend more
while there.
5. Geopolitical stability
The political state of a country, coupled with economic performance, can also affect
the strength of the currency. A country with less risk for political turmoil will be more
attractive to foreign investors, leading to an appreciation of the value of its domestic
currency from foreign capital.
The BOP influences the ratio comparing export prices to import prices. If the price
of a country’s exports is greater than their imports, its ‘terms of trade’ have
improved. This creates a greater demand for that country’s exports, and in-turn,
greater demand for the currency.
Like many of the other factors influencing exchange rates, the converse reaction
can also occur. If the exports rise by a smaller rate than the imports, the value of
that country’s exports and currency decrease in value.
FOREX DERIVATIVES:
A derivative is a contract between two or more parties whose value is based on an
agreed-upon underlying financial asset (like a security) or set of assets (like an
index). Common underlying instruments include bonds, commodities, currencies,
interest rates, market indexes, and stocks.
Currency Options
Currency Options are Derivative contracts that enable market participants
which includes both Buyers and sellers of these Options to buy and sell the
currency pair at a pre-specified price (also known as Strike Price) on or before
VERY IMPORTANT
Exchange Rates: Exchange Rates are applied when there is a sale or
purchase of foreign exchange.
Direct Rates and Indirect Rates:
Direct Rate: When foreign currency is fixed and value of home currency is
variable, it is Direct rate e.g., USD$1= Rs 74.12;
Indirect Rate: When home currency is fixed and value of foreign currency is
variable, it is Indirect rate e.g., Rs 100= US $ 1.23.
In India, direct rates are applied. When direct rates are applied, the
principle is "Buy Low and Sell High".
In India, rates are determined by market forces of demand and supply and
not by RBI or any other agency.
Buying or Selling Rate:
Buying Rate: When there is inflow of forex, it is purchased and buying rate is
applied. For example, in the case of purchase of export bills buying rate will
be applicable. Buying rate are of two types. TT Buying rate is applied when
Nostro account of the bank is credited before the payment to the tenderer
e.g., payment of FDD (Foreign Demand Draft) drawn on us or collection of
export bills. Bills Buying Rate is applied when Nostro account is credited later
and payment made earlier as in the case of negotiation of export bills or
purchase of foreign demand draft or cheque drawn abroad.
Selling Rate: When there is outflow of forex, it is sold and selling rate is
applied. For example, in the case of retirement of import bills, selling rate will
be applicable. Selling rates are of two types. Bills Selling rate is applied when
handling of import bill is involved. TT Selling Rate is applied when there is sale
of foreign exchange but import bill is not handled like issue of Foreign
Demand draft, crystalisation of overdue export bills.
TT selling rate is the rate at which banks sell Demand drafts, foreign bills
collected, Travellers cheques and receives INR. TT (Telegraphic Transfer)
buying rate indicates the rate at which bank convert foreign inward
remittances to INR. TT Selling rate indicates the rate at which the bank sends
an outward remittance through telegraphic transfer.
INCOME TAX ACT 1961 does not define who is non-resident. Rather it
defines who is resident and who are not ordinarily resident. Therefore, if
a person does not fall in the category of resident or not ordinarily resident,
he / she will be non-resident.
RESIDENT INDIAN
An individual is resident if any of the following conditions are satisfied:
(i) he stayed in India for 120 days (PREVIOUSLY 182 DAYS) or more
during the previous year, or
(ii) he stayed in India for 365 days or more during the four preceding
years and stays in India for at least 60 days. Stay in India for the above
criteria may be continuous or intermittent.
The irrevocable letter of credit is just the opposite of revocable letter of credit.
The irrevocable letter of credit cannot be withdrawn without prior permission
and intimation of the exporter. Through irrevocable letter of credit, the opening
bank gives definite guarantee to exporter ensuring payment of exports.
However, conditions specified in the letter of credit should be satisfied by the
exporter. Generally, exporter prefers irrevocable letter of credit as it protects the
exporter.
Green clause letter of credit provides an arrangement for the storage of goods at
the port. Pre-shipment finance and storage facility are available to the exporter.
Buying Rate When bank gives Rupees and get foreign currency
Selling Rate When bank gives foreign currency and gets rupees
Spot Rate Rate for next 2 working days
TT Rates Settlement within next 2 days
Deal today Delivery after settled period 3 m , 6 m or
Forward Rates more afterword’s.
Follow this
Rule Direct Rate =Buy Low Sell High
4) Subsidiaries
Subsidiaries are the banks which incorporate in one country which is either partially or
completely owned by a parent bank in another country. The affiliates are somewhat
different from the subsidiaries like it is not owned by a parent bank and it works
independently.
1) Currency risk
An international bank has to be familiar with the currency exchange rate while doing
business internationally. The companies which choose to operate in a foreign country
and at that time it has to deal with currency risk.
3) Reputation risk
A reputation risk means the potential loss in reputational capital based on either real or
observed loss in reputational capital. A bank faces reputation risks like rumours about
the bank, data manipulation, bad customer service, and experience. A bank's reputation
is judged by the clients, investors, leaders, and critics.
4) Systematic risk
The systematic risk is not related to particular one bank but it affects the whole
economy. A systematic risk is associated with failures of the big entity and it affects the
whole economy.
5.Replacement Risk
Replacement risk occurs when counter-parties of a failed bank or Forex broker find they
are at risk of not receiving their funds from the failed bank.
6. Settlement Risk
Settlement risk occurs because of the difference of time zones on different continents.
Consequently, currencies may be traded at different prices at different times during the
trading day. Australian and New Zealand Dollars are credited first, then the Japanese
Yen, followed by the European currencies and ending with the US Dollar. Therefore,
payment may be made to a party that will declare insolvency or be declared insolvent,
prior to that party executing its own payments.
7. Counter-party Default Risk
Over-the-counter ("OTC") spot and forward contracts in currencies are not traded on
exchanges; rather, banks and FCM's typically act as principals in this market. Because
performance of spot and forward contracts on currencies is not guaranteed by any
exchange or clearing house, the client is subject to counter-party risk -- the risk that the
principals with a trader, the trader's bank or FCM, or the counter-parties with which the
bank or FCM trades, will be unable or will refuse to perform with respect to such
contracts. Furthermore, principals in the spot and forward markets have no obligation to
continue to make markets in the spot and forward contracts traded.
8. Leverage Risk
Low margin deposits or trade collateral are normally required in Foreign Exchange, (just
as with regulated commodity futures). These margin policies permit a high degree of
leverage. Accordingly, a relatively small price movement in a contract may result in
immediate and substantial losses in excess of the amount invested.
9. Transactional Risk
Errors in the communication, handling and confirmation of a trader's orders (sometimes
referred to as "out trades") may result in unforeseen losses. Often, even where an out
trade is substantially the fault of the dealing counter-party institution, the
trader/customer's recourse may be limited in seeking compensation for resulting losses
in the account.
RESIDENT- INDIAN:
An individual is resident if any of the following conditions are satisfied:
(i) he stayed in India for 120 days (PREVIOUSLY 182 DAYS) or more during the
previous year, or
(ii) he stayed in India for 365 days or more during the four preceding years
and stays in India for atleast 60 days
Stay in India for the above criteria may be continuous or intermittent.
POI (PERSON OF INDIAN ORIGIN)
A person who is not a citizen of India is deemed to be of Indian origin if he is
not a citizen of Pakistan or Bangladesh and if
1. he at any time held an Indian passport; or
2. he or either of his parents or any of his grandparents was a citizen of
India by virtue of the Constitution of India or Citizenship Act, 1955.
A spouse (not being a citizen of Pakistan or Bangladesh) of an Indian citizen or
of a Person of Indian Origin is also treated as a Person of Indian Origin for the
purpose of NRI deposits if the accounts are held jointly with the NRI/PIO
spouse. PIOs are extended the same facilities for bank account maintenance
in India as NRIs and are also, for such purposes, called by the generic name as
NRI.
Who Can Open the NRI can open NRE account Singly or Jointly with
account their resident, close relative
With regard to joint account with resident, the
operation of the account should invariably be:
“Former or Survivor” and former should be NRI
*The recent RBI guidelines allowed Non-
Resident Indians (NRIs) to operate resident
bank accounts on “either or survivor” basis.*
However, Individuals/ entities of Bangladesh&
Pakistan require prior approval of RBI
RBI RECENT
GIDELINES
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Bankers ZONE ARENA
CAIIB PAPER 2 BFM RISK MANAGEMENT
WHAT IS RISK:
Risk is in financial terms Is the chance that an outcome or
investment's actual gains will differ from an expected
outcome or return. In the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM),
risk is defined as the volatility of returns. The concept of “risk
and return” is that riskier assets should have higher expected
returns to compensate investors for the higher volatility and
increased risk.
Credit Risks.
Market Risks.
Operational Risks.
Moral Hazard.
Liquidity Risk.
Business Risk.
Reputational Risk.
Systemic Risk.
CREDIT RISK:
Credit risk in bank arises when a corporate or individual
borrower fails to meet their debt obligations. It is the
probability that the lender will not receive the principal and
interest payments of a debt required to service the debt
extended to a borrower.
On the side of the lender, credit risk will disrupt its cash flows
and also increase collection costs, since the lender may be
forced to hire a debt collection agency to enforce the
collection. The loss may be partial or complete, where the
lender incurs a loss of part of the loan or the entire loan
extended to the borrower.
2. Concentration risk
3. Country risk
5. Transaction Risk
6. Portfolio Risk
OPERATIONAL RISK
Operational risk in banking is the risk of loss that stems from
inadequate or failed internal systems, internal controls,
procedures, or policies due to employee errors, breaches,
fraud, or any external event that disrupts a financial
institution's processes.
1. Business interruption
2. errors or omissions by employees
3. product failure
4. health and safety
5. failure of IT systems
6. fraud
7. loss of key people
8. litigation
9. loss of suppliers.
LIQUIDITY RISK
These days banks are not very concerned about liquidity risk.
This is because they have the backing of the central / Reserve
bank. In case there is a run on a particular bank, the central
bank diverts all its resources to the affected bank. Therefore,
the depositors can be paid back when they demand their
deposits. This restores depositor’s confidence in the bank’s
finances and the run on the bank is averted.
BUSINESS RISK
Unlike operational risk, business risk is the risk arising from a
bank's long-term business strategy. It deals with a bank not
being able to keep up with changing competition dynamics,
losing market share over time, and being closed or acquired.
REPUTATIONAL RISK
Reputational risk is a threat or danger to the Reputation or
good name or standing of a bank, business or entity.
Reputational risk can occur in the following ways:
RISK MANAGEMENT
Risk management refers to the process designed to reduce
or eliminate the risk of certain kinds of events happening or
having an impact on the business - process for identifying,
assessing and prioritizing risks.
MITIGATION OF RISKS
Banks business may encounter many risks that can affect
their survival and growth. As a result, it is important to
understand the basic principles of risk management and how
they can be used to help mitigate the effects of risks on
business entities.
1. Diversification
2. Hedging
3. Insurance
4. Operating Practices
5. Deleveraging
Companies can lower the uncertainty of expected future
financial performance by reducing the amount of debt they
have. Companies with lower leverage have more flexibility
and a lower risk of bankruptcy or ceasing to operate.
MONITOR RESULTS
Many institutions/businesses including banks do things to
prevent losses or mitigate risks every day but don’t think of it
as risk management. Most prudent business people and
managers take great care to do things like prevent accidents,
protect property, and keep customers and employees from
harm.
SPREAD
1. Sensitivity
2. Downside Potential
3. Value-at-Risk (VaR)
SENSITIVITY
100 1%
1000 10%
10000 100%
DOWNSIDE POTENTIAL
Value-at-Risk (VaR)
Value at Risk (VaR) a statistical tool to measure and quantify
financial risk within a firm or portfolio over a specific time
frame. This metric is often used by Banks to determine the
extent and probability of occurrence of a potential loss on the
advances. It is quite commonly used as a tool for Risk
Management.
The confidence Level tells more than just the possible range
around the estimate. It also tells you about how stable the
estimate is. A stable estimate is one that would be close to
the same value if the survey were repeated. 95% or 99% best
level. The Higher the level the better. the confidence interval
is quite narrow when computed from a large sample.
STRESS TESTING
It seeks to determine possible change in Market Value of
portfolio that could arise due to non-normal movement in
one or more market parameters (such as interest rate,
liquidity, inflation, Exchange rate and Stock price etc.).
2. Scenario test
3. Maximum loss
WHAT IS BASEL 1
WHAT IS BASEL 2
WHAT IS BASEL 3
TREASURY MANAGEMENT
Treasury Management refers as the planning, organizing and
controlling holding, funds and working capital of the financial
institutions/enterprises in order to make the best possible use of the
funds, maintain firm’s liquidity, reduce the overall cost of funds, and
mitigate operational and financial risk.
It covers working capital management, currency management,
corporate finance and financial risk management.
Simply put, treasury management is the management of all financial
affairs of the business such as raising funds for the business from
various sources, currency management, cash flows and various
strategies and procedures of corporate finance.
FUNCTIONS OF TREASURY MANAGEMENT
MONEY MARKET
It is a market for short term debt securities such as commercial paper, repos,
negotiable certificates of deposit and treasury bills with a maturity of one year
or less.
CAPITAL MARKET
This market is different from the capital market, which deals with long term
instruments like bonds, debentures.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) plans to allow retail users undertake
transactions in permitted credit derivatives for hedging their
underlying credit risk, according to its Draft guidelines on Credit
Default Swaps
Security deals are either for Bank’s SLR requirement, or for Treasury’s
own trading book. Though Treasury may also buy and sell securities
on behalf of its retail clients, the activity as on date is not very
significant – many banks have associate companies specializing in fund
management. Treasury’s money market activity is exclusively to meet
bank’s own requirements.
The back office is responsible for confirmation, accounting and
settlement of the deals. The back office obtains independent
confirmation of each and every deal from the counterparty and settles
the deal only if it is within the exposure limits allowed for the
counterparty. Back office also verifies that the rates/prices mentioned
in the deal slips are conforming to the market at the time the deal is
entered into.
Banks also have a Middle Office (mid-office) which is responsible for
risk management and management information system (MIS). Mid-
office would ensure treasury’s compliance with Board approved
policies bearing upon FX risk management, investment management
and liquidity management.
Some of the key responsibilities of Mid-office are: monitoring
compliance with risk limits set in the respective policies, ensuring
compliance with regulatory requirement, daily mark-to-market
(MTM) valuation of Treasury positions, verification of pricing of
treasury products, including derivatives, and periodic reports to top
management.
Mid-office maintains the overall risk profile of Treasury and monitors
the liquidity and interest rate risks closely, in line with Asset Liability
Management (ALM) guidelines. In quite a few banks, the ALM support
group is a part of Mid-office, or works closely with the Mid-office.
2. INTERNAL CONTROLS:
The most important of the internal controls are position limits and
stop loss limits. The limits are imposed on the dealers who trade in
foreign exchange and securities. Trading is a high risk area, vulnerable
to sudden market fluctuations and the limits imposed by management
are preventive measures to avoid or contain losses in adverse market
conditions.
The trading limits in the context of foreign exchange are of three kinds:
1. Limits on deal size
2. Limits on open positions and
3. Stop-loss limits.
All limits are expressed in absolute amounts.
Limits on deal size prescribe the maximum value for a buy/sell
transaction. The limit is a protection against potential losses on the
deal. The limit generally corresponds to the marketable size of the
transaction, and applies only to trade deals.
Open positions refer to the trading positions, where the buy/sell
positions are not matched. The Treasury may buy USD 1 million, and
hold on to the position with an intention to sell when the USD
appreciates against the Rupee. Not only there is a potential loss if the
US dollar does not appreciate, but there is also a ‘carry’ cost, as the
Treasury loses interest on the USD funds during the holding period.
Treasury may also take forward positions expecting a rise or fall in the
exchange rate.
1. LIQUIDITY RISK:
Liquidity risk refers to cash flow gaps which could not be bridged. Let
us assume that the Treasurer has borrowed in call market and
purchased a 5-year government security, assuming the bond prices
would go up next day and he can sell the security with profit. Let us
further assume that the bond market collapses next day and the
Treasurer could not dispose of the security. Though the bank is
solvent, the treasury has faced liquidity risk, as he needs to borrow
funds in the market at whatever cost, if he has to avoid default or
delay in repayment of the call borrowings. Liquidity risk thus translates
in to interest rate risk.
Treasury is generally prepared to meet the known events, such as due
date for a money market loan, or for a deposit. However there are
unforeseen events such as invocation of a guarantee or premature
payment of a large deposit which would strain the bank’s liquidity. The
Treasury needs to have a contingency plan to meet any liquidity crisis.
2. INTEREST RATE RISK:
Interest rate risk refers to rise in interest costs (of a liability) or fall in
interest earnings (from assets) eroding the business profits.
Treasury deals in financial assets, value of which is highly sensitive to
interest rate movements. A steep rise in interest rates may cause a
crash of bond market, eroding the value of securities held by Treasury.
If liquidity is not planned ahead, Treasury may need to borrow at
higher cost to meet its obligations.
The interest rate risk is present wherever there is a mismatch between
assets (cash inflows) and liabilities (cash outflows). The incremental
deposit funds of the bank, say with an average maturity of 1 year, to
the extent they are not lent, are invested by Treasury, say, in 3-month
T-bills. If the yield on T-bills, which changes every three months, does
not match with the cost of the deposit, the net earnings of the bank
will be negative.
3. Currency Risk:
Currency risk or exchange rate risk is also a manifestation of interest
rate risk, although for the sake of clarity, it is identified as a
component of market risk. Interest rates are influenced by factors like
domestic money supply, rate of inflation, activity in debt and equity
markets etc. which also influence exchange rates.
However, exchange rates are influenced more by external trade,
global interest rates and capital flows. As globalization progresses,
exchange rates and interest rates are increasingly influenced by
similar factors, most prominent being GDP growth rate, global interest
rates and capital flows.
The market risks directly affect the transaction values and thereby
profits of the treasury. Additionally, Treasury also plays an important
part in the risk management of the bank as a whole. Market risk
translates into balance sheet risk of the bank, and treasury is closely
connected with the asset – liability management. (ALM).Treasury
provides inputs to ALM and is also instrumental in implementing the
risk management solutions.
3. MEASURES OF RISK:
The movement in currency prices or security prices cannot be
accurately predicted and the uncertainty associated with their price
movements gives rise to price risk. At the same time the treasurer
should have some idea of the inherent risks and the way they would
affect his positions. This quest for risk solutions, led to two important
measures of risk, known as value at risk and duration.
1. Value at Risk (VaR):
VaR is a statistical measure indicating worst possible movement of a
market rate, over given period of time, under normal market
conditions, at a defined confidence level. For instance, a overnight VaR
of 45 bp for USD/INR rate at 95% confidence level implies that there
is only 5% chance of the rate worsening beyond 45 bp next day. If
today’s spot rate is 46.00, tomorrow the worst possible rate for
exports can be assumed to be 45.55, with reasonable safety – there is
only 5% chance of the rate being worse than 45.55.
Similarly, if overnight VaR of 1-year G-Sec yield is 0.35%, current yield
of 7.75% is expected to fall/rise by not more than 0.35% by tomorrow.
In the worst-case scenario, a prospective buyer of security may
therefore expect the yields to fall to 7.75% – 0. 35% = 7.40% by next
day, while a seller of security may expect rise in the yield to 7.75% +
0.35% = 8.10% by next day. At 95% confidence level, there is only 5%
possibility of adverse change being higher than 0.35% (at 99%
confidence level, there is only 1% possibility of loss being higher than
VaR).
VaR is derived from a statistical formula based on volatility of the
market. Volatility is the standard deviation from the mean of, say,
USD/INR exchange rates (or any other asset prices) observed over a
period. Volatility assumes a normal distribution curve and the no. of
standard deviations from the mean denote the probability of reaching
a target level. The volatility multiplied by the no of standard deviations
required for a given confidence level results in the VaR.
MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
The second approach is based on Monte Carlo simulation, where a
number of scenarios are generated at random and their impact on the
subject (stock price/exchange rate etc.) is studied.
HISTORICAL DATA
The third approach is to use historical data to arrive at the probable
loss.
The historical data may simply be time series of data prevailing over a
period (e g daily USD/INR exchange rate for last 90 days), or an index
of changes (e g change in price over previous day). Progressive weights
may also be assigned to the data, as more recent information has
greater impact on future price movements.
While the methodology to arrive at VaR may appear to be complex,
the utility lies in that the concept is easy to understand. The
Management would like to know VaR of all risk positions, as it offers a
single figure – an absolute amount – a potential loss which may affect
bank’s earnings, or, net worth.
In Treasury, VaR is used to measure potential loss, or the worst case
scenario, while holding a trading position either in foreign currency or
in securities, i.e. VaR measure can be used to assess the currency risk
as well as the interest rate and price risks. The VaR is used to measure
the risk of a single investment, or more generally, a portfolio of
investments.
VaR is most commonly used to measure overnight risk, or risk over
short periods, say, over 1 month. VaR for longer periods is calculated
as overnight VaR multiplied by √n (square root of n, where n is the
period for which VaR is required). However, for longer periods, VaR is
not a valid measure.
2. DURATION:
Duration is a measure widely used in investment business, though the
concept of duration is applicable to all assets and liabilities, where
interest rate risk is present. To understand Duration, we need to be
familiar with the concept of YTM or Yield to Maturity of a bond.
The effective return on a bond (based on the coupon rate, market
price and residual maturity) is known as yield. The yield is different
from interest rate in that the yield takes into account the cash flows
during the life of a bond, including interest payments (which are
normally semi-annual or annual) and the payment of principal upon
redemption.
All the cash flows are discounted to arrive at a present value (PV) and
the rate of discount at which the present value equals the market price
of a bond is known as the yield to maturity (YTM) or, simply, as yield
on the bond. Conversely, it is the discount rate at which NPV (net
present value = PV – market price of the bond) of the bond is zero.
Yield is effective rate of return on amount invested in the bond. (The
YTM is calculated on the bond calculator/built in formula in Excel/or
from bond tables).
For instance, a bond carrying a coupon rate of 5% with a balance
maturity of 2 years is traded at a discount of 2%, i.e. at a price of 98.
This indicates that market rate of interest is higher than 5% and hence
the market price is less than the par value. Interest at 5% on a unit
price of 98 will work out to 5.10% which is known as current yield of
the bond. The YTM of the bond works out to 6.08%.
The yield is internal rate of return reflecting the ruling interest rates.
Yield and price of a bond move in inverse proportion. If the yield rises,
price of a bond falls. If the yield falls the bond price rises. It is the same
relationship between interest rates and bond prices.
Bond yields tell us the rate of return at which the present value of cash
flows equals the market price. However the YTM does not reveal how
volatile are the bond prices and how they respond to changes in
interest rates. The YTM of two bonds may be same, but the price risk
associated with them may be different on account of maturity or
frequency of coupon payments. The YTM of two bonds hence is not
comparable.
Duration is a measure which helps us understand the impact of
interest rate on the price, by taking into account periodicity of coupon
flows.
Duration is weighted average measure of life of a bond, where the
time of receipt of a cash flow is weighted by the present value of the
cash flow. If the first cash flow (payment of interest) is occurring after
6 months from the date of investment, the period of 6 months is
multiplied by present value of the cash flow (0.5*PV).
If the second cash flow is occurring after 12 months, the period (1
year) is multiplied by present value of the cash flow. The present value
of final payment of interest and redemption of principal, occurring,
say, after 5 years from the date of investment is similarly used to
weigh the maturity period (5*PV).
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Banker ZONE ARENA
(An initiative by Ratinder Chopra ex Faculty PSB)
CAIIB SPECIAL
MODULE 4
Ratinder Chopra
Contact at [email protected]
Phone: 9888812880
CAIIB PAPER 2: BANK FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
NON-PERFORMING ASSETS (NPA)
As per IRAC (“Issue, Rule, Application, Conclusion”) norms, an Asset
becomes non-performing when it ceases to generate income for the
Bank.
A non-performing asset (NPA) is a loan or an advance where;
b. The account remains ‘out of order’ for a period more than 90 days in respect
of an OD/CC,
c. The bill remains overdue for a period of more than 90 days in the case
of bills purchased and discounted,
d. if the installment of principal or interest thereon remains overdue (in case of
Agriculture Loan)
1) for two crop seasons, for loan granted for short duration crops
2) for one crop season, for a loan granted for long duration crops.
The crop season for each crop, which means the period up to harvesting of the
crops raised, would be as determined by the State Level Bankers’ Committee in
each State.
e. The amount of liquidity facility remains outstanding for more than 90
days, in respect of a Securitisation transaction undertaken in terms of
guidelines on securitization.
f. In respect of derivative transactions, the overdue receivables
representing positive mark-to- market value of a derivative contract, if the
same remain unpaid for a period of 90 days from the specified due date
for payment.
'Out of Order' status: An account should be treated as 'out of order' if
• the o/s balance remains continuously in excess of the sanctioned
limit/drawing power.
• In cases where the o/s balance in the principal operating account is
less than the sanctioned limit/drawing power, but there are no
credits continuously for 90 days as on the date of Balance Sheet or
credits are not enough to cover the interest debited during the
same period.
Overdue: Any amount due to the bank under any credit facility is ‘overdue’ if it
is not paid on the due date fixed by the bank.
CLASSIFICATION OF NPA ON A/C OF CHARGING OF INTEREST AT MONTHLY RESTS-
INCOME RECOGNITION
Income from NPA is not recognized on Accrual basis, but is booked as
income only when it is actually received. This will apply to Government
guaranteed accounts also.
1. As in case of interest and penal interest, No charges which are credited
to income head e.g., commission, incidental charges / service charges
etc., be debited to a NPA account. Such charges are to be calculated and
record to be kept.
2. However, interest on advances against term deposits, NSCs, IVPs, KVPs
and Life policies may be taken to income account on the due date,
provided adequate margin is available in the accounts.
3. Fees and commissions earned by the banks as a result of re-negotiations
or rescheduling of outstanding debts should be recognised on an accrual
basis over the period of time covered by the re-negotiated or
rescheduled extension of credit.
4. If Government guaranteed advances become NPA, the interest on such
advances should not be taken to income account unless the interest has
been realised.
5. The under noted types of charges to be debited to NPA accounts
because these are not taken to income of the bank, but are incurred on
behalf of the borrowers and paid to outside parties/ agencies:
a. Insurance premium, ECGC. Guarantee Fee.
b. Charges of opinion/ issuance of notice, obtaining of non- encumbrance
certificate etc.
c. Other expenses actually incurred by the bank such as Postage, printing etc.
Reversal of income
If any advance, including bills purchased and discounted, becomes NPA ,
the entire interest accrued and credited to income account in the past
periods and also fees, commission and similar income that have accrued
should be reversed or provided for if the same is not realized/collected.
MEMORANDA INTEREST ACCOUNT: The Interest accrued but un-
realized on NPA accounts is to be reflected in the MEMORANDA INTEREST
ACCOUNT (Claw Back).
The recovery in all NPA accounts (including Non-suit filed, suit-filed/
decreed/ compromised accounts) shall be first appropriated towards
Principal amount outstanding in the account and the balance, if any,
towards Memorandum Interest for all NPAs. However, the account
which is marked for up-gradation or in the process of up-gradation, the
recovery affected should be appropriated towards adjustment of the
irregularity in the account till it is fully recovered and account is finally
upgraded.
ASSETS CLASSIFICATION
A) All advances irrespective of balance outstanding are to be classified in
the following four categories.
1. Standard Asset
2. Sub-Standard Assets
3. Doubtful Assets
4. Loss Assets
STANDARD ASSETS: A Standard Asset is one, which has no problem and
does not carry more than normal risk. Such an asset is not an NPA.
There are two Sub categories of Standard Accounts:
a) Standard Regular Accounts,
b) Special Mentioned Accounts.
Standard Regular Accounts: All those loans/Advances (Assets) of the
bank which are regular in payment of interest/installment /charges etc.
on or before due date are Standard Regular Accounts.
Special Mentioned Accounts: As per guidelines by RBI whereby banks
are required to identify potential stress in the account by creating a sub-
category under Standard advance. Accounts SMA classification is as
under:
Doubtful I Doubtful for upto one year i.e., if it has remained in the SS
category for a period of 12 months up to 2 years (12months
-24months) from NPA
Doubtful II Doubtful one year to upto 3 years i.e. If it has remained in
the Doubtful –I category for a period of 24 months i.e., 2 year
up to 4 Years
Doubtful III Doubtful more than 3 years i.e. More than 4 years
LOSS ASSETS: A Loss asset is one where loss has been identified by the
bank or internal or external auditors, or the RBI inspection but the amount
has not been written off wholly. Such an asset is considered uncollectible
and of such little value that its continuance as a bankable asset is not
warranted although there may be some salvage or recovery value.
LOSS ASSETS:
A loss asset is one where loss has been identified by the bank or internal
or external auditors or the RBI inspection but the amount has not been
written off wholly. Loss assets should be written off. If Loss assets are
permitted to remain in the books for any reason, 100% of the balance
outstanding should be provided for.
Accelerated Provisioning Norms
In cases, where banks fail to report SMA status or the accounts to CRILC
or resort to methods with the intent to conceal the actual status of the
accounts or evergreen the account, banks will be subjected to
accelerated provisioning for these accounts and/or other supervisory
actions as deemed appropriate by RBI. The current provisioning
requirement and the revised accelerated provisioning in respect of such
non-performing accounts are as under:
Calculating CAR
The capital adequacy ratio is calculated by dividing a bank's capital by
its risk- weighted assets.
The capital used to calculate the capital adequacy ratio is divided into
two tiers.
EQUITIES AND
LIABILITIES
SHAREHOLDER'S
FUNDS
ASSETS
OTHER ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION
KEY PERFORMANCE
INDICATORS
ASSETS QUALITY
CONTINGENT
LIABILITIES,
COMMITMENTS
COMPONENETS OF LIABILITIES
Capital or Share Capital
Capital represents the owners' stake in a bank and it serves as a
cushion for depositors and creditors to fall back in case of losses. It is
considered to be a long-term source of funds. Minimum capital
requirement for the domestic and foreign banks is prescribed by
Reserve Bank of India.
Deposits: The main source of funds for the banks is deposits. The
deposits are broadly classified as deposits payable on demand which
include current deposits, overdue deposits, call deposits, etc. Second
category is savings bank deposits and lastly the term deposits which
are repayable after a specified period, known as fixed deposits, short
deposits and recurring deposits.
COMPONENTS OF ASSETS
2. Balances With RBI: Cash account also includes the balances held
by each hank with RBI in order to meet statutory cash reserve
requirements (CRR) and also surplus cash parked with RBI over
and above CRR requirement to meet emergency funding
requirements.
3. Balances with Banks and Money at Call and Short Notice: The
bank balances include the amount held by the bank in the
current accounts and term deposit accounts with other banks.
Under Call money market, funds are transacted on an overnight
basis and under Notice money market, funds are transacted for
a period between 2 days and 14 days.
Investments
A major asset item in the balance sheet of a bank is investments in
various kinds of securities. These include investments in government
securities, approved securities, shares, debentures and bonds, and/or
joint subsidiaries ventures and other investments.
Loans/Advances
The most important asset item on a bank's balance sheet is advances.
These advances which represent the Credit extended by a bank to its
customers, forms a major part of the assets for all the banks. The
Advances can be payable on demand & Term Loans
b) Term Loans. All term loans extended by a bank are included here.
These advances also have a specific due date, but they will not become
payable on demand. In short, most of the term loans are repaid in the
form of EMIs (Equated Monthly Instalments).
Other Assets: The remainder of the items on the asset side of a bank's
balance sheet are categorised as other assets. The miscellaneous
assets that appear are:
INCOME ITEMS:
Interest income
1. Interest/ Discount on Advances/ Bills
2. Income on investments
3. Interest on Balances with RBI and Other Interbank Funds
Other income
1. Commission, Exchange and Brokerage
2. Profit on sale or investment
3. Profit on Revaluation of investment
4. Profit on sale of land, Building and other Assets
5. Profit on Exchange Transactions
6. Misc. income
EXPENSES
1. Interest on Deposits
2. Interest on RBI/Interbank Borrowings
3. Operating Expenses
g. Law-charges
i. Insurance
Banks face several risks such as the risks associated with assets,
interest, currency exchange risks. Asset Liability management (ALM) is
at tool to manage MAINLY Interest Rate Risk and Liquidity Risk faced
by various banks, other financial services companies.
Sources & use of funds: Sources are represented by liabilities and uses
are represented by assets.
Interest rate risk is the risk where changes in market interest rates
might adversely affect a bank’s financial condition. Changes in interest
rates affect both the current earnings (earnings perspective) as also
the net worth of the bank (economic value perspective). The risk from
the earnings’ perspective can be measured as changes in the Net
Interest Income (Nil) or Net Interest
GAP ANALYSIS
Problem with poor Management Information systems;
SWOT analysis
SWOT analysis is perhaps one of the oldest textbook-marketing assets.
SWOT stands for strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats.
You can perform a SWOT analysis both quantitatively and
qualitatively. This process will help you determine internal and
external threats to your organization and see where and how you
stand out against the competition.
SWOT Analysis Example
Fishbone diagram
Named for their distinctive shape, fishbone diagrams (also known as
Ishikawa, cause-and-effect, or herringbone diagrams) explore the
possible causes of a Root problem. This type of diagram would be
especially valuable when examining your current situation.
The most commonly used categories for investigation are:
• Measurements
• Materials
• People
• Machines
• Methods
• Environment
You can choose any categories that make sense for the central
problem or effect you’re examining, as shown in the example below.
Fishbone Diagram for Service Industry Example
PESTEL ANALYSIS
Similar to SWOT, PEST analysis helps you identify threats and
opportunities by examining the four primary external factors of your
business environment:
• Political
• Economic
• Sociological
• Technological
This approach eliminates gaps by pinpointing current issues,
highlighting opportunities for change, and minimizing risks in the
market.
PESTEL Analysis
IMPORTANT TERMS
Basis risk: The interest rate of assets and liabilities can change in
different magnitudes. Such risk is basis risk.
Mismatch risk or Gap risk: Risk arising from holding assets and
liabilities with different principal amounts, maturity dates or re-pricing
dates, that leads to exposure to changes in the level of interest' rates.
Yield curve risk: Risk reflected by thee changes in curve (called yield
curve) due to changes in economic business cycles.
Price risk: Risk that arises on account of sale of assets (say investment)
before maturity that may result into loss.
Reinvestment risk: Risk on uncertainty about rate of interest at which
the future cash flows can be reinvested.
Steps
The gap analysis helps define potential for business growth but does
not provide actionable steps for how to grow. In this way the gap
analysis is merely the first step in defining a business problem. Further
investigation is then necessary to define how the business can reach
the new market. What kind of financial investment will it take to reach
the growth potential? Will a new research and development
department need to be set up? How can we continue to evaluate our
products to stay at the top of this continually growing market
Competition
Every business should work to carve out a niche market for its
products. Businesses are independent and require business-specific
gap analysis. Still, competitors will always loom on the horizon and
may have already tapped some new growth potential. Gap analysis
does not always account for the actions of competitors. Managers
should continually analyze what markets competitors are moving into
as well as perform gap analyses on their own company’s performance.
Technology
Technological advances may be known within an organization already
and performing a gap analysis may serve to only highlight obvious
needs. The gap analysis merely points out what technological
advances might be desired by customers but it does not define how
these advances may take place. A hotel chain may realize there is
potential for space tourism and lodging, but the technology to take
civilians into space as tourists is not yet developed. Some company
growth relies on the technological advances of external organizations.
Government
Government entities often control what businesses can and cannot
explore. Gap analysis may serve to point out the desire for market
expansion, but without legal rights to expand the market, a business’s
hands are tied. Gap analysis does not provide methods for working
around this.
Seasonality
Using specific numbers, or benchmarking, performance of products
using quantifiable data is an excellent way to perform a gap analysis,
but numbers can sometimes be deceiving. Businesses often go
through cyclical changes due to external factors like the time of year,
disposable income of consumers around the holidays, or ever-
changing fashion trends. It is important to use a series of numbers or
average numbers when performing a gap analysis. The gap may be
unusually large if the growth potential of a business is judged against
a predictable slow season.
Balance Sheet
Balance Sheet, or Statement of Financial Position, is directly related to
the income statement, cash flow statement and statement of changes
in equity.
Assets, liabilities and equity balances reported in the Balance Sheet at
the period end consist of:
Income Statement
Income Statement, or Profit and Loss Statement, is directly linked to
balance sheet, cash flow statement and statement of changes in
equity.
Market Liquidity
Market liquidity refers to the extent to which a market, such as a
country's stock market or a city's real estate market, allows assets to
be bought and sold at stable, transparent prices. In the example
above, the market for refrigerators in exchange for rare coin is so
illiquid that, for all intents and purposes, it does not exist.
Investors, then, will not have to give up unrealized gains for a quick
sale. When the spread between the bid and ask prices grows, the
market becomes more illiquid. Markets for real estate are usually far
less liquid than stock markets. The liquidity of markets for other
assets, such as derivatives, contracts, currencies, or commodities,
often depends on their size, and how many open exchanges exist for
them to be traded on.
Accounting Liquidity
Accounting liquidity measures the ease with which an individual or
company can meet their financial obligations with the liquid assets
available to them—the ability to pay off debts as they come due.
In the example above, the rare coin collector's assets are relatively
illiquid and would probably not be worth their full value of Rs.1,0000
in a pinch. In investment terms, assessing accounting liquidity means
comparing liquid assets to current liabilities, or financial obligations
that come due within one year.
Measuring Liquidity
Financial analysts look at firm's ability to use liquid assets to cover
their short-term obligations. Generally, when using these formulas, a
ratio greater than one is desirable.
Current Ratio
The current ratio is the simplest and least strict. It measures current
assets (those that can reasonably be converted to cash in one year)
against current liabilities. Its formula would be:
CONTIGENCY FUNDING
A contingency fund is money reserved to address unforeseen financial
circumstances in a business. ... The role of the contingency fund is to
improve a company's financial stability by developing a safety net that
the firm can use to fill emergency needs.
Every prudent company keeps some part of profits in some type of
Reserves like general. Specific reserves to meet out any future
emergencies, deferred payments, of for buying new fixed assets in
future.
BUSINESS STRATEGIES
A business strategy is the combination of all the decisions taken and
actions performed by the business to accomplish business goals and
to secure a competitive position in the market.
Planning
Business strategy is a part of a business plan. While the business plan
sets the goals and objectives, the strategy gives you a way to fulfil
those goals. It is a plan to reach where you intend to.
Strengths & Weaknesses
Most of the times, you get to know about your real strengths and
weaknesses while formulating a strategy. Moreover, it also helps you
capitalise on what you’re good at and use that to overshadow your
weaknesses (or eliminate them).
Competitive Advantage
A business strategy focuses on capitalising on the strengths of the
business and using it as a competitive advantage to position the brand
in a unique way. This gives an identity to business and makes it unique
in the eyes of the customer.
Control
It also decides the path to be followed and interim goals to be
achieved. This makes it easy to control the activities and see if they
are going as planned.
Core Values
It also states the ‘musts’ and ‘must nots’ of the business which clarify
most of the doubts and give a clear direction to the top level, units, as
well as the departments.
SWOT
A SWOT (strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats) analysis
is a rundown of the company’s current situation. It is a necessary
component of a business strategy as it represents the current
strengths and opportunities which the company can make use of and
the weaknesses and threats which the company should be wary of.
Operational Tactics
Unit and functional business strategies get deep into the operational
details of how the work needs to be done in order to be most effective
and efficient. This saves a lot of time and effort as everyone knows
what needs to be done.
Measurement
Unless there are no control measures, the viability of a business
strategy can’t be assessed properly. A good business strategy always
includes ways to track the company’s output and performance against
the set targets.
Product Differentiation
Apple differentiated its smartphone operating system iOS by making
it really simple as compared to Android. This differentiated it and built
its own followership. The company has been following a similar
strategy for its other products as well.
Cost Leadership
OnePlus launched its flagship product OnePlus 6T with similar features
to iPhone X but at a price which is less than half a price of iPhone X.
This strategy worked for OnePlus making it the top premium phone
brand in India and other countries.
LIQUIDITY POSITION
If the bank evaluates less capital the future business concern, which
affects the position of banks and creating a mismatch between the
assets and liability and they force the bank to raise the resources at a
high rate. So, there will be an impact on the profitability of banks,
were they not able to recover the amount from the borrower the level
of profits will come down.
EFFECT ON FUNDING
Increase in non-performing assets leads to scarcity in funding to other
borrowers. As well as the Indian capital market also get affected. And
then there will be only a few banking institutions lend money.
HIGH RISK
High on non-performing assets, low profitability, high risk in business
and work against the bank and may take the two circumstances
survival of the bank. And it affects the risk-bearing capacity of the
bank.
BANK PROFITABILITY
The which makes low profits have lower capital adequacy ratio and
the low capital ratio which limits the further creation of assets. Such
kind of banks face difficulties in their growth, expansion, and plans and
there they need not wherewithal to march boldly on these fronts. In
these growth failures in the expansion, the only consequences and
stagnation and negative growth.
They reduce net interest income as they do not charge the interest to
these accounts.
Profit vs. profitability
Both profit and profitability give insight into different aspects of
business. To avoid confusing the two, one need to understand the
difference between profit and profitability.
Net profit is calculated by deducting all company expenses from its total
Sales/revenue. The result of the profit margin calculation is a percentage
– for example, a 10% profit margin means for each Rs.100 of revenue the
company earns Rs.10 in net profit. Revenue represents the total sales of
the company in a period.
Returns on equity
Returns on equity is the percentage of the earnings, which
shareholders get in return for the investments made towards the
company. Higher the ROE, higher will be the dividends shareholders
will receive. This triggers more investors for your company ultimately
aiding in keeping your company afloat in the market.
How to Calculate Return on Equity capital OR Capital
Return on Capital Formula
or
What is NOPAT?
NOPAT (or net operating profit after tax) looks at a company’s core
operations, net of taxes, and how well it’s faring in terms of income. Since
both debt and equity count as capital invested towards the business, the
formula above uses the term “invested capital.”
Margin Ratios
To understand your company’s financial status during a specific
period, it is imperative to understand your company’s ability to
convert sales into profits. That is what margin ratio represents at
various degrees of measurement. Some of the examples are gross
profit margin, operating profit margin, net profit margin, cash flow
margin, EBIT, EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation,
and Amortization), NOPAT (Net Operating Profit After Tax), operating
expense ratio, and overhead ratio.
Special Considerations
The equation for EVA shows that there are three key components to
a company's EVA—NOPAT, the amount of capital invested, and the
WACC. NOPAT can be calculated manually but is normally listed in a
public company's financials.
Importance of Disclosures
The importance of full disclosure in the corporate and financial world
is essential. It is because:
1. Ensures transparency
Increased transparency in the corporations’ operations and
management makes it easier for investors to make informed
decisions. It also cuts down on the possibility of manipulation or
misuse of investors’ funds.
2. Avoids financial and economic crises
Severe financial and economic crises can be avoided with increased
transparency. The 2008 Global Financial Crisis is an excellent example
of a financial/economic crisis that was largely, if not entirely, the
product of the lack of transparency and accountability in the market.
It led to the mishandling of investors’ funds by corporations and
financial organizations.
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