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Grade 7 12.1 Exploring Probability

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9 views2 pages

Grade 7 12.1 Exploring Probability

Uploaded by

Mr. Math & Science
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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You will need

• a spinner
12.1 Exploring Probability • a calculator

GOAL
Determine probability from an experiment.

Explore the Math


Last year, Omar played 20 baseball games. He was up to bat three times per
game. On average, he gets a hit once in these three times per game.

? What is the probability that Omar will


get two hits in one game?

A. Do an experiment with a spinner like this.


Each trial of three spins represents Omar’s
three at-bats per game. Copy the following table,
and record the results of each at-bat for 20 trials.
Trial number First at-bat Second at-bat Third at-bat
1
2
3

B. Copy the following table. One possible outcome for a trial is no hit, no
hit, hit. (You can write this as N-N-H.) Copy the following table. List all
the possible outcomes for your experiment in the “Outcome” column.
Experimental probability based on your data
event
Outcome Frequency Fraction Decimal Percent
a set of one or more
possible outcomes for a
probability experiment

favourable outcome
C. In your experiment, the event you were investigating was Omar the result that you are
getting two hits in a game. A favourable outcome is H-H-N. Circle investigating in a
the other favourable outcomes in your table. Record the frequency for probability experiment
each outcome from your experiment in the “Frequency” column.
D. Use your results to calculate the probability that Omar will get two experimental
hits in a game. Experimental probability is calculated using the probability
number of trials in which the investigated event was observed a measure of the
ratio  . Record the
total number of trials in experiment likelihood of an event,
experimental probability for each outcome as a fraction, a decimal, and based on data from an
a percent in your table. experiment

NEL
412 Chapter 12
E. Repeat the experiment. Record the results in a new table like the one
in step A. Then complete another table like the one in steps B to D
for the 20 trials in your second experiment.
F. Copy the following table. Record the possible outcomes and the
results for your first and second experiments in your table. Compare
the experimental probabilities from your two experiments.
Probability based on your data
First Second Probability based
Outcome experiment experiment Combined on class data

G. Combine your data from both experiments. Compare the


experimental probability from the combined results with the
experimental probabilities calculated in the individual experiments.
H. Combine your results with your classmates’ results. Complete
your table.

Reflecting
1. a) Will the probabilities from an experiment with 20 trials be
exactly the same if you repeat the experiment? Explain.
b) Will the probabilities from an experiment with 100 trials be
exactly the same if you repeat the experiment? Explain.

2. Suppose that you conducted an experiment with 1000 trials, and


then repeat it. How would the experimental probability from the
first experiment compare with the experimental probability from
the second?

3. Suppose that you are designing an experiment to determine the


probability of an event. How should you design your experiment
so that the experimental probabilities will be as close as possible
to each other every time the experiment is repeated?

NEL
Probability 413

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