1
1
Sensitivity % change in one variable would be needed for the NPV of a project to fall to zero.
项目测算中
Duration is the average time to recover the present value of the project
The main problem with the duration calculation is interpreting what it actually
means.
The shorter the duration period, the the risk.
If the project is discounted at the internal rate of return, it is the time taken to
recover the initial investment.
VAR Risk - it can be confident that the present value will not fall by more than......
影响债务融资的因素
2017/12Q1 Discuss the possible reasons for the finance director’s suggestions that
Conejo Co could benefit from higher levels of debt with respect to risk, from
protection against acquisition bids, and from tax benefits. (7 marks)
access to cash increase the debt capacity of the acquirer by using the
resources assets of the target company
• Quite a few candidates however received limited marks when they described the
theoretical capital structure models such as “Modigliani and Millers with and
without taxes”, not recognising the fact that the company in the scenario 1) pays
tax and 2) it is currently all equity financed and the amount it expects to borrow is
not high. 【MJ:答偏了】
• Some candidates explained that raising debt finance for an investment would
, without realising that the objective of the
investment is to increase the company’s annual cashflows, thereby potentially
increasing future dividends.【MJ:思路错了】
Zhichi Co has used a fixed discount rate of 10% to assess all investment
projects for some years now. None of the company's senior management can
remember why this rate was chosen: and
Zhichi Co has continually funded new investment projects using equity finance
and the analysis concluded that this financing strategy sent the
(a)Discuss and justify the actions Zhichi Co should take to address the Two financial
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strategy policy failures (6 marks)
A fixed discount rate to appraise new investment projects, which Zhichi Co uses, can
be when a decision is being made whether or not to undertake the project.
This is because projects will have different risks attached to them and therefore the
returns required from these projects would differ.
This could result in low-risk projects being rejected which could have added to Zhichi
Co’s corporate value, and high-risk projects being accepted which could reduce
corporate value.
Zhichi Co should instead estimate an appropriate discount rate which accounts for
the risk of the project. In this way, the company can assess the value of projects
more accurately and thereby add to its corporate value.
may have advantages such as tax benefits and controlling the actions of
managers.
Investors have less information compared to managers and directors in a company,
and use companies’ actions on Issuing debt finance can
also be seen as that the company can fulfil its interest payment
commitments, and can therefore be considered to be stable and less risky by investors.
Information asymmetry between investors and a company’s managers sends signals
that the company is only raising equity finance when share prices have peaked or
shares are over-valued. This causes share prices to fall following announcements that
a company is raising new equity finance. It is likely that Zhichi Co has experienced
this.
Therefore, Zhichi Co should finance through a long-term strategy of internal finance,
followed by debt issues and then equity issues as a last resort.
Conventional debt finance would raise an initial borrowed amount, on which Zhichi
Co will as required. When using asset
securitisation, the borrowing aspect for Zhichi Co is in terms of
Management
Discuss the validity of the chief executive’s reasons for adjusting the discount rate
used in appraising the project in Canvia. (6 marks)
Colvin Co’s investment in Canvia
. The company’s would normally
be expected to provide a reasonable measure of risk for the new project. 【MJ:最基
本的这点要会写】
The chief executive’s justification for a risk premium is based on the increased risk
the company is exposed to in Canvia, a developing economy, compared to Eurozone.
The chief executive has incorporated other factors, such as political risk and foreign
exchange risk in determining this premium.【MJ:抄题,别放弃努力】
Furthermore, are likely to be well diversified
across global markets and asset classes. The potential for further risk reduction by
Colvin Co from diversifying operations globally is therefore limited when the
Delta value
A member of Awan Co’s treasury team has suggested that if option contracts are
purchased to hedge against the interest rate movements, then the number of contracts
purchased should be determined by a hedge ratio based on the delta value of the
option.
Required: Discuss how the delta value of an option could be used in determining the
number of contracts purchased. (6 marks)
Gamma
Explain the possible characteristics of a with a (3
marks)
Gamma measures the rate of change of the delta of an option.
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Deltas range for a long call option which is , where
the price of the option is insensitive to changes in the price of an underlying asset,
for a long call option which is , where the price of the
option moves in line and largely to the same extent as the price of the underlying asset.
When the long call option is , the delta is 0·5but also changes rapidly.
Hence, the for a long call option which is at-the-money.
The gamma is also when the option is closer to expiry. It would seem,
therefore, that the option is probably trading near at-the-money and has a relatively
short time period before it expires.
Theta
Explain the significance of the time until expiry in the context of option valuation.
Time
An option’s price consists of two elements, its intrinsic value and its .
at the point that the option expires.
The change in theta for in the money and out of the money options is broadly
linear.
Theta for at
the money options does not change in a linear fashion, but changes more rapidly as
the expiry date approaches.
Net present value assumes that a decision must be made immediately or not at all,
and once made, it cannot be changed.
Real options recognise that many investment appraisal decisions have some
flexibility.
, decisions may not have to be made immediately and can be delayed to
assess the impact of any uncertainties or risks attached to the projects.
This flexibility has value, known as the .
Net present value captures just the intrinsic value of an investment opportunity,
whereas real options capture both the intrinsic value and the time value, to give
an for an opportunity.
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Assumptions of the Black-Scholes model
The BSOP model was developed for financial products and not for ,
on which real options are applied.
The BSOP model assumes that a market exists to trade the underlying asset
without restrictions.
The BSOP model assumes that the can be
determined accurately.
Whereas for traded financial assets this would most probably be reasonable, as there
is likely to be sufficient historical data available to assess the underlying asset’s
volatility.
However, this is probably not going to be the case for real options. For large, one-off
projects, there would be no historical data available.
This involves assessing the associated with the implementation phase and
identifying from the investment plan so that can be taken
where necessary. Controls should be established to ensure effective delivery of the
project.
Effective investment monitoring may have
An effective monitoring system would ensure that any changes to the cost estimates
would be justified and authorised.
Post-completion audit
A post-completion audit is an objective, the fact, appraisal of all phases of the
capital investment process regarding a specific project. It examines the rationale
behind the initial investment decision and the efficiency and effectiveness of the
outcome.
The key objective is to improve the appraisal and implementation of future capital
investment projects by learning from past mistakes and successes.
An effective post-completion audit may have identified the reasons behind the
failure of the Co’s project.
By comparing the actual project outcome with the original projections, an audit will
examine whether the benefits claimed prior to approval ever materialise.