PMT

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Candidate surname Other names

Pearson Edexcel Centre Number Candidate Number

International
Advanced Level

Tuesday 16 June 2020

Morning (Time: 1 hour 30 minutes) Paper Reference WST03/01

Mathematics
International Advanced Subsidiary/Advanced Level
Statistics S3

You must have: Total Marks

Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables (Blue), calculator

Candidates may use any calculator permitted by Pearson regulations.

Calculators must not have the facility for symbolic algebra manipulation,
differentiation and integration, or have retrievable mathematical
formulae stored in them.
Instructions
•• IfUsepencil black ink or ball-point pen.

• Fcandidate
is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).
ill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name, centre number and

• Answer
number.
all questions and ensure that your answers to parts of questions are

• A– nswer
clearly labelled.
the questions in the spaces provided

• Ywithout
there may be more space than you need.
ou should show sufficient working to make your methods clear. Answers

• Values
working may not gain full credit.
from statistical tables should be quoted in full. If a calculator is used instead

• Inexact
of the tables the value should be given to an equivalent degree of accuracy.
answers should be given to three significant figures unless otherwise
stated.
Information
•• A There
booklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.

• – use this asfora guide

are 7 questions in this question paper. The total mark for this paper is 75.

T he marks each question are shown in brackets
as to how much time to spend on each question.
Advice
•• Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.

•• Check
Try to answer every question.
your answers if you have time at the end.
If you change your mind about an answer, cross it out and put your
new answer and any working underneath. Turn over

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©2020 Pearson Education Ltd.

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1. The random variable X has the discrete uniform distribution
1
. P( X  x)  for x  1, 2, ..., 

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The mean of a random sample of size n, taken from this distribution, is denoted by X

(a) Show that 2X is a biased estimator of α

(2)

A random sample of 6 observations of X is taken and the results are given below.

. 8  7  3  7  2  9

(b) Use the sample mean to estimate the value of α

(2)
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(Total 4 marks)

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2. A university awards its graduates a degree in one of three categories, Distinction, Merit
or Pass.

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Table 1 shows information about a random sample of 200 graduates from three departments,
Arts, Humanities and Sciences.

Arts Humanities Sciences Total

Distinction 22 32 38 92
Merit 15 30 13 58
Pass 18 15 17 50
Total 55 77 68 200

Table 1

Xiu wants to carry out a test of independence between the category of degree and the
department.
(O − E ) 2
Table 2 shows some of the values of for this test.
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Arts Humanities Sciences Total
Distinction 0.43 0.33 1.44 2.20
Merit 0.06 2.63 2.29 4.98
Pass

Table 2

(a) Complete Table 2

(4)

(b) Hence, complete Xiu’s hypothesis test using a 5% level of significance. You should
state the hypotheses, the degrees of freedom and the critical value used for this test.
(5)
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(Total 9 marks)

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3. Each of 7 athletes competed in a 200 metre race and a 400 metre race.

The table shows the time, in seconds, taken by each athlete to complete the 200 metre race.

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Athlete A B C D E F G
200 metre race (seconds) 23.4 23.1 22.9 23.7 27.6 24.4 24.1

The finishing order in the 400 metre race is shown below, with athlete A finishing in the
fastest time.

A  B  G  C  D  F  E

(a) Calculate the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient between the finishing order in
the 200 metre race and the finishing order in the 400 metre race.
(5)

(b) Stating your hypotheses clearly, test whether or not there is evidence of a positive
correlation between the finishing order in the 200 metre race and the finishing order
in the 400 metre race. Use a 5% level of significance.
(4)

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The 7 athletes also competed in a long jump competition with the following results.

Athlete A B C D E F G
Long jump (metres) 6.50 6.47 6.12 6.12 6.48 6.38 6.47

Yuliya wants to calculate the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient between the finishing
order in the 200 metre race and the finishing order in the long jump for these athletes.

(c) Without carrying out any further calculations, explain how Yuliya should do this.
(2)
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(Total 11 marks)

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4. Luka wants to carry out a survey of students at his school.

He obtains a list of all 280 students.

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(a) Explain how he can use this list to select a systematic sample of 40 students.
(2)

Luka is trying to make his own random number table. He generates 400 digits to put in his
table. Figure 1 shows the frequency of each digit in his table.

Digit generated 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Frequency 36 42 33 41 44 43 48 38 32 43

Figure 1

A test is carried out at the 10% level of significance to see if the digits Luka generates
follow a uniform distribution.
(O E ) 2
For this test 5.9
E

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(b) Determine the conclusion of this test.
(3)

The digits generated by Luka are taken two at a time to form two-digit numbers.

Figure 2 shows the frequency of two-digit numbers in his table.

Two-digit numbers generated 00–19 20–39 40–59 60–79 80–99

Frequency 31 49 30 42 48

Figure 2

(c) Test, at the 10% level of significance, whether the two-digit numbers generated by
Luka follow a uniform distribution. You should state the hypotheses, the degrees of
freedom and the critical value used for this test.
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There are 70 students in Year 12 at his school.

(d) State, giving a reason, the advice you would give to Luka regarding the use of his
table of numbers for generating a simple random sample of 10 of the Year 12 students.
(2)
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(Total 15 marks)

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5. A greengrocer is investigating the weights of two types of orange, type A and type B. She
believes that on average type A oranges weigh greater than 5 grams more than type B
oranges. She collects a random sample of 40 type A oranges and 32 type B oranges and

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records the weight, x grams, of each orange.

The table shows a summary of her data.

n x ∑x 2

Type A oranges 40 140.4 790 258

Type B oranges 32 134.7 581 430

(a) Calculate unbiased estimates for the variance of the weights of the population of
type A oranges and the variance of the weights of the population of type B oranges.
(3)

(b) Test, at the 5% level of significance, the greengrocer’s belief. You should state the
hypotheses and the critical value used for this test.
(7)

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(c) Explain how you have used the fact that the sample sizes are large in your answer to
part (b).
(2)
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(Total 12 marks)

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6. The number of toasters sold by a shop each week may be modelled by a Poisson
distribution with mean 4

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A random sample of 35 weeks is taken and the mean number of toasters sold per week is
found.

(a) Write down the approximate distribution for the mean number of toasters sold per
week from a random sample of 35 weeks.
(2)

The number of kettles sold by the shop each week may be modelled by a Poisson
distribution with mean λ

A random sample of 40 weeks is taken and the mean number of kettles sold per week is
found. The width of the 99% confidence interval for λ is 2.6

(b) Find an estimate for λ

(4)

A second, independent random sample of 40 weeks is taken and a second 99% confidence

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interval for λ is found.

(c) Find the probability that only one of these two confidence intervals contains λ
(2)
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(Total 8 marks)

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7. A company makes cricket balls and tennis balls.

The weights of cricket balls, C grams, follow a normal distribution

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C ~ N(160, 1.252)

Three cricket balls are selected at random.

(a) Find the probability that their total weight is more than 475.8 grams.
(4)

The weights of tennis balls, T grams, follow a normal distribution

T ~ N(60, 22)

Five tennis balls and two cricket balls are selected at random.

(b) Find the probability that the total weight of the five tennis balls and the two cricket
balls is more than 625 grams.
(4)

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A random sample of n tennis balls T1 , T2 , T3 , ..., Tn is taken.
n
The random variable Y  (n  1)T1   Tr
r 2

Given that P Y > 40   0.0838 correct to 4 decimal places,

(c) find n.
(8)
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DO NOT WRITE IN THIS AREA

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DO NOT WRITE IN THIS AREA

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___________________________________________________________________________ Q7

(Total 16 marks)
TOTAL FOR PAPER: 75 MARKS

END

24
*P64769A02424*