Kettering University – Department of Mathematics – Course Syllabus

PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS - MATH-258

TIME AND PLACE: M,R: 3:35 – 5:40 pm AB 3-333 + Bb Collaborate

PROFESSOR: Leszek Gawarecki, office 2-100A, tel. 762-9557 (when back to campus),
e-mail: [email protected] (online instruction period)

OFFICE HOURS: M, T,R, F 10:15 - 11:15pm, and

by appointment
(including online instruction period)
HELP ROOM (ASC): W 10:15a.m. - 11:15am (including online
instruction period)
TEXT: Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, J. L. Devore, 9th Ed.
ISBN-13: 978-1-305-25180-9
SUPPLEMENTARY
RESOURCES We will use WebAssign for homework and assessments.
Register using this class key: kettering 2475 1886 Important!

We will use “The Islands” virtual environment for deign of experiments

and data collection. You will receive an email to create a password to your

account. Important!

STUDENT LEARNING By the conclusion of the course, students should be able to

OUTCOMES:
1. Identify specific discrete and continuous probability models and random
variables, and calculate related probabilities.
2. Apply specific probability models to practical problems form the area of
engineering.
3. Use techniques of descriptive statistics to provide exploratory analysis of
data.
4. Calculate and interpret point and interval estimates of selected population
parameters.
5. Formulate and test statistical hypotheses for selected parameters of one
and two populations and interpret the results.
6. Perform one factor ANOVA analysis.
7. Formulate simple and multiple regression models and test related
statistical hypotheses.
A 94 – 100%
A- 90 – 93%
B+ 87 – 89% No. Point Value
8. Assignment Type
B 84 – 86% 1 200 Homework (10) Individual/Group
B- 80 – 84% 2 100 Quizzes (4) Individual
C+ 77 – 80% 3 100 Midterm Individual
C 74 – 76% 4 100 Project Group
C- 70 – 73% 5 100 Final Exam Individual
D+ 67 – 69%
Total 600
D 60 – 66%
F < 60% Use the statistical software MINITAB or R for
descriptive and inferential statistical
analysis.

STUDENT OUTCOMES
(a) an ability to apply knowledge of mathematics, science, and engineering
(b) an ability to design and conduct experiments, and
analyze and interpret data

A topic specific syllabus is attached.

GRADES: Grades will be determined according to a point system. The final grade will
be based upon the % of the total possible points attainable in the course. I
will keep the running tally and communicate your current grade in the
course through Blackboard.

RUBRICS: Your work has to be legible and submitted on time or there will be no credit granted.

Very important during online instruction period!

MAKE—UPS AND
LATE WORK: No late work will be accepted. Make-ups only for emergencies or with a
prior approval.
No exceptions – Very important during

online
instruction period

ATTENDANCE: Class attendance will be taken regularly.

This is automatic through Collaborate

during
online instruction period.
 Students are expected to arrive on time and remain for the full period.
Students who arrive late and may be not admitted to class. Students who
arrive late or leave early without the professor's prior permission may
receive an unexcused absence. You are responsible for the class material
you have missed during your absence and on no account your absence will
be taken as an excuse. Students with more than four (4) unexcused
absences will be withdrawn from class for no attendance (WNA).

SPECIAL CASES: In case of any emergency or unusual circumstances please notify ASC at
762-9775, and me, as soon as possible.
Very important during online

instruction period
COLLABORATION
vs CHEATING Learning and problem solving may be more fulfilling and fun if students
work with each other. You will make “stupid” mistakes, particularly when
you are focusing on the important parts of your solution, so you can ask
your classmate to review your work. In contrast, cheating is handing in
someone else’s work or copying from someone else or from other resources
without contributing your own effort. Cheating on tests is using any
resources that are not allowed, including calculators, notes, book. Cheating
will result in an automatic failure of the course and reporting the case to a
Judicial Board.

FEEDBACK: Feedback goes both ways. I will provide you with continuous feedback
about your progress to help you learn. I also expect feedback from you to
help me create a positive learning environment that is responsive to your
needs.
Very important during online

instruction period

ADVICE: Come to class. Participate in learning. Ask questions.

Do your Homework, Do your Homework, Do your Homework.

It is my goal to help you in

mastering the course content and
I will spend with you as much time
as needed to achieve this goal.
Academically, there is nothing
 more important to me than your
success in this class
DISCIPLINE: To be negotiated by class.

POLICY CHANGES: The professor reserves the right to make any changes he considers
academically necessary.

MATH-258 - PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS – SPRING SCHEDULE

TEXT: Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists, J. L. Devore, 9th Ed.
ISBN-13: 978-1-305-25180-9

Week Section Topic

Week 0
Islands: Exploring the Islands

Prerequisite Mathematics

Week 1 1.1 – 1.2 Populations, Samples and Processes. Pictorial and Tabular Methods.

1.3 – 1.4 Measures of Location. Measures of Variability

2.1 – 2.2 Sample Spaces and Events. Axioms and Properties of Probability.

2.3 – 2.4 Counting Techniques. Conditional Probability.

Week 2
Due: HW 1 (20 points)

Due: Islands: Exploring the Islands – report to the Instructor (10 points)

Quiz 1 (covers Sections 1.1 - 1.4; 25 points)

2.4 - 2.5 Bayes’ Theorem. Independence

3.1 – 3.2 Random Variables. Probability Distributions for Discrete Random Variables.

3.3 Expected Values. The Binomial Distribution.

Week 3
Due: HW 2 (20 points)

Due: Islands: Form groups and formulate research questions – report to the Instructor
(10 points)

3.4 The Binomial Distribution.

3.6 The Poisson Distribution.

4.1 – 4.2 Probability Density Function for Continuous Random Variables. Cumulative Distribution Functions and
Expected Values.

4.3 The Normal Distribution.

Week 4
Due: HW 3 (20 points)

Quiz 2 (covers Sections 2.1 – 3.6; 25 points)

Due: Islands: Refine research questions using Instructor’s input – report to the
Instructor (10 points)

4.4, 4.6 The Gamma and Exponential Distributions. Probability Plots.

5.4 - 5.5 The Distribution of the Sample Mean. The Distribution of the Linear Combination.

Review for the Midterm

Week 5
Due: HW 4 (40 points)

Midterm (covers all Sections from the Review; 100 points)

6.1 General Concepts of Point Estimation

7.1 – 7.2 Properties of Confidence Intervals. Large Sample Confidence Intervals for a Population Mean and
Proportion.

7.3 – 7.4 Intervals Based on a Normal Population. Confidence intervals for the Population Mean, Variance and
Standard Deviation.

Week 6
Due: HW 5 (20 points)

Due: Islands: Data collection – report to the Instructor (10 points)

8.1
Hypotheses and Test Procedures.

8.2 z-Tests for Hypotheses about a Population Mean.

8.3 The One-Sample t-Test.

8.4 Tests concerning a Population Proportion.

Week 7
Due: HW 6 (20 points)

Due: Islands: Final data collection using Instructor’s input – report to the Instructor
(10 points)

Quiz 3 (covers Sections 7.1 – 8.4; 25 points)

9.1 z-Test and Confidence Intervals for a Difference Between Two Population Means.
 9.2 – 9.3 The Two-Sample t-Test and Confidence Interval. Analysis of Paired Data.

9.4 Inferences Concerning Difference Between Population Proportions.

Week 8
Due: HW 7 (20 points)

Due: Islands: First draft results – report to the Instructor (10 points)
9.5
Inferences Concerning Ratio of Two Variances.

10.1 – 10.2 Single Factor ANOVA. Multiple Comparisons.

12.1 The Simple Linear Regression Model.

12.2 – 12.3 Estimating Model Parameters. Inferences about the Slope.

Week 9
Due: HW 8 (20 points)

Due: Islands: Second draft results using Instructor’s input – report to the Instructor
(10 points)

Quiz 4 (covers Sections 9.1 – 9.5; 25 points)

12.4 Inferences Concerning the True Average Response.

12.5 Correlation.

13.1 Assessing Model Adequacy.

13.4 Multiple Regression Analysis.

Week 10
Due: HW 9 (20 points)

Due: Islands: Student project presentations – (10 points project + 10 points

presentation)

13.5 Model Building in Multiple Regression

Review for the Final

Due: Islands: Final project results using Instructor’s input – report to the Instructor
(10 points)

Review for the Final

Week 11 FINAL EXAM (100 points)