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Consequence Analysis

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lucky Bell
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20 views

Consequence Analysis

Uploaded by

lucky Bell
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Faisal Akbar Adin

Brief Overview:
Consequence Analysis
Consequence Analysis
A Process Safety related Incident usually results in the loss of
contaiment of hazardous material from the main process.

Consequence analysis is consist of:


Source Modelling: This describes how materials are
discharged from the process.

Dispersion Modelling: This illustrates how the materials are


transported downwind and dispersed to a certain
concentration level.

Fire and Explosion Modelling (for flammable releases):


Convert release source model information into potential
energy hazards, including thermal radiation and explosion
overpressure.

Effect Modelling: This converts incident-specific outcomes


into their effects on individuals (injury or death) and structures

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Consequence Analysis
Scenario Selection
Rupture or break in pipe
Hole in a Tank or Pipe
External Fire to Vessel
Others

Source Modelling
Result are may include:
Release rate
Material Phase

Dispersion Modelling
Result are may include:
Release rate
Material Phase

Flammable and/or Toxic

Fire and Explosion Modelling Effect Modelling


Result may Include: Result may Include:
Blast Overpressure Toxic Response
Radiant Heat Flux Property Damage
No of Individual Affected

Mitigation Factors:
Note to Remember: Emergency Response
Consequence models have uncertainties and arise due to Containment Dikes
1. Incomplete understanding of the geometry of release Others
2. Unknown physical properties
3. Poor understanding of the chemical or release process Risk Calculation
4. Poorly understanding of mixture behaviour

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Reference
Guidelines For Chemical Process Quantitative Risk Analysis 2nd
Edition

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Faisal Akbar Adin

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