GRID

DEVELOPMENT PLAN
2018– 2040

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 1
 GRID
DEVELOPMENT PLAN
2018– 2040

2 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Message from Management of UETCL

I am pleased to introduce to you this latest edition of our Grid development Plan
(GDevP) 2018 – 2040. The GDevP is a strategic document in UETCL’s overall planning,
which is in line with the Company’s Corporate Business Plan (CBP). It details the future
grid requirements in terms of projects and investment costs to meet the national load
growth, generation developments and regional interconnection requirements.

The 2018 edition of the Grid Development Plan provides a 23 year outlook of the
Uganda transmission system.

The Electricity Sector is one of the major enablers of economic transformation and
with this in mind, the GDevP will aid UETCL and the sector at large to make the right
investments to the grid to enable industrialization which is line with Vision 2040. The
GDevP is therefore a necessary guide to Government of Uganda on the required
investments to the transmission grid and will aid in sourcing funding and prioritizing
investments. As such, this document is important in fast tracking the Implementation
of Uganda’s Development Agenda.

Finally, I would like to thank and appreciate the efforts of all our stakeholders whom
we have worked with over the course of the year formulating various plans and
in particular, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Development, Electricity Regulatory
Authority, Uganda Electricity Distribution Company Limited, Uganda Electricity
Generation Company Limited, UMEME, Rural Electrification Agency amongst others.
Your contribution is much appreciated.

Willy K. Kiryahika
Managing Director/CEO

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 3
Foreword

The Grid Development Plan (GDevP) is a strategic document in UETCL’s overall planning, which is in line with
the company’s Corporate Business Plan (CBP).

The GDevP is updated annually. It details the future grid requirements in terms of projects and investment
costs to meet the national load growth, generation developments and regional interconnection requirements.
The 2018 edition of the Grid Development Plan provides a 23 year outlook of the Uganda transmission system.
The GDevP presents the latest demand forecast, generation expansion plan, Demand – Supply Balance for
the current and subsequent years, power system analysis result, the Grid Investment Requirements and
Implementation Schedule.

The 2018 edition presents an outlook of three scenarios showing their planned implementation strategy and
recommendations.
• The base case scenario looks at the business as usual case.
• The National Development Plan II (NDP 2015-2020) scenario that aims at strengthening Uganda’s
competitiveness for sustainable wealth creation, employment and inclusive growth with set targets
to be implemented within 5years.
• The Uganda’s VISION 2040 scenario that aims at transforming Ugandan Society from a Peasant to a
Modern and Prosperous Country within 30 years.

The 2018 GDP edition is our planning reference guide for the year 2018-2040.

4 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Table of Contents

Foreword 4
Table of Contents 5
List of Tables 7
List of Figures 8
Abbreviations and Acronyms 9
Executive Summary 11
Background 12
2 The Grid Development Plan Process 13
2.1 Objective for the Grid Development Plan 13
2.2 Methodology 13
2.2.1 The Grid Development Plan Process 13
3 Planning Criteria 15
3.1 Transmission Planning Criteria 15
3.1.1 System Voltage 15
3.1.2 Synchronism 15
3.1.3 Equipment Loading 16
3.1.4 Reactive Power Compensation 16
3.1.5 Voltage Selection 16
3.1.6 Reliability Criteria 16
3.1.7 Operating Reserve 16
3.1.8 Generation 16
3.1.9 Fault Current Criteria 16
3.1.10 System Frequency 17
3.1.11 Information and Communication Technology 17
Base Case Scenario 19
4 Load and Generation Prognosis 20
4.1 Assumptions for Demand - Supply Prognosis 20
4.1.1 Historical Demand Trends 20
4.1.2 Gross Domestic Product 22
4.1.3 Population Growth 22
4.1.4 System Losses 22
4.1.5 Export Potential 22
4.1.6 Load Factor 23
4.2 Assumptions for Generation Plan 23
4.3 Generation Expansion Plan 25
4.4 Present Demand - Supply Status 27
4.5 Demand Forecast 29
4.6 Forecasted Generation Mix 31
4.7 Demand-Supply Balance Findings 33
4.7.1 Observations and Findings from Demand Supply Balance 34

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 5
5 Power System Analysis 36
5.1 Present Power System 36
5.2 Power System Models 36
5.2.1 Model Inputs And Outputs 36
5.2.2 2017 Model – Baseline 37
5.2.3 2018 Model 38
5.2.4 2019 Model 39
5.2.5 2020 Model 40
5.2.6 2025 Model 41
5.2.7 2030 Model 43
5.2.8 2035 Model 44
5.2.9 2040 Model 45
6 Grid Investment Plan (2018-2040) 47
6.1 Grid Investment Plan Summary 47
6.2 Summary of Financial Requirements by the year 2040 59
6.3 Regional Interconnection Power Lines 61
6.4 Project Prioritization for Financing 61
6.5 Information and Communication Technology 64
7 NDPII Scenario 65
7.1 Load and Generation Prognosis 66
7.1.1 Assumptions for Demand Supply Prognosis 66
7.1.2 Demand and Generation Balance 67
7.1.3 Existing and Proposed Generation Resources 67
7.2 Observations 68
7.3 Projects to Realize NDPII 68
8 Vision 2040 71
8.1 Load and Generation Prognosis 72
8.1.1 Assumptions for Demand Supply Prognosis 72
8.1.2 Assumptions on Available Energy Resources By 2040 72
8.1.3 Vision 2040 Case GDP Forecast by 2040 72
8.1.4 Demand Forecast Vision 2040 73
8.2 Recommendations 74
9 Risk Analysis 75
10 Stakeholders 77
Appendices 79
A.1 Demand - Supply Balance and Prognosis 81
A.2 GIP Implementation Plan and Schedule 91
A.3 UETCL Transmission Lines 107
A.4 UETCL Substation Transformation Capacity 113
A.5 Maps 123
A.5.1 Uganda Power System Present and Future Network 124
A.5.2 East African Power System 125
A.5.3 National Development Plan Scenario (NDP) 126

6 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
List of Tables

Table 1: Voltage limits 15

Table 2: Switchgear rated fault current interrupting capacity 17
Table 3: Trend of Growth in Energy sales and Power peak demand 20
Table 4: Average demand and energy growth for years 2008- 2017 20
Table 5: Historical GDP values 22
Table 6: GDP projections 22
Table 7 :System losses 22
Table 8 : System loss projections 22
Table 9: Energy exports 23
Table 10: Historical load factor 23
Table 11: Load factor projection 23
Table 12: Generation expansion plan 25
Table 13: Existing generation plants 28
Table 14: Demand forecast (MW) 2018-2040 29
Table 15: Energy forecast (GWh) 2018-2040 30
Table 16: Demand and energy average growth for period 2018-2040 30
Table 17: Deficit/Excess supply 2018-2040 34
Table 18: Transmission loss trajectory 46
Table 19: The grid investment plan-Base case 48
Table 20: Transmission line length growth 59
Table 21: Additional substations and transformation capacity 59
Table 22: Summary of financial requirements by 2040 59
Table 23: Commited funding and additional funding requirement 2018-2040 59
Table 24: 5 Year Plan GDP 2018 – 2040 Investment Requirement Summary 60
Table 25: 5 year plan GDP 2018 – 2040 donor funding and counterpart funding requirements 60
investment requirement summary
Table 26: Project prioritization for Financing 61
Table 27: Projected export potential (MW)-NDP case 66
Table 28: GDP growth projection-NDP case 66
Table 29: Demand forecast for ndpII 67
Table 30: Existing and proposed enegy sources-NDPII case 67
Table 31: Comparison between the base case 2026 and NDPII targets 68
Table 32: Financial requirements for NDPII 68
Table 33: Assumptions for demand supply prognosis-vision 2040 72
Table 34: Assumptions on available energy resources by Vision 2040 72
Table 35: Vision 2040 case GDP forecast (UGX billion) 72
Table 36: Demand forecast vision 2040 73
Table 37: Risk analysis 75
Table 38: Stakeholders 77

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 7
List of Figures

Figure 1: GDevP process 14

Figure 2: Trend of Uganda’s electricity peak demand (Jan 2011 - Jan 2018). 21
Figure 3: Energy supply and demand Dec 2016 - Dec 2017 27
Figure 4: Load duration curve Dec’17 28
Figure 5: Forecasted generation mix for 2018 31
Figure 6: Forecasted generation mix for 2020 31
Figure 7: Forecasted generation mix 2025 31
Figure 8: Forecasted generation mix 2030 32
Figure 9: Forecasted generation mix 2035 32
Figure 10: Forecasted generation mix 2040 32
Figure 11: Forecasted generation mix for planning period 33
Figure 12: Power projection 2017 – 2040 33
Figure 13: Energy projection 2017-2040 34
Figure 14: Transmission power losses (%) 46
Figure 15: Transmission energy losses (%) 46
Figure 16: UETCL grid investment requirements 2018-2040 60
Figure 17: Demand-Supply NDPII scenario 60
Figure 18: Assumptions on available energy resources by vision 2040 72
Figure 19: Demand supply power balance for VISION 2040 73
Figure 20: Demand supply power balance prognosis for all three scenarios 74
Figure 21: Demand supply energy balance for all three scenarios 75

8 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Abbreviations and Acronyms

AAAC All Aluminim Alloy Conductor

ACSR Aluminium Conductor Steel Reinforced
AFD French Development Bank
AfDB African Development Bank
BID Better Investment Decisions
CBP Corporate Business Plan
CCTV Closed Circuit Television
DCST Double Circuit
EAC East African Community
EAPMP East African Power Master Plan
EAPP Eastern Africa Power Pool
EIA Environmental Impact Assessment
EPC Engineering Procurement and Construction
ERA Electricity Regulatory Authority
ERP Enterprise Resource Planning
ESIA Environmental and Social Impact Assessment
EXIM Export and Import
FS Feasibility Study
GDevP Grid Development Plan
GDP Gross Domestic Product
GIP Grid Investment Plan
GIS Geographical Information System
GoU Government of Uganda
GWh Giga Watt Hour
HFO Heavy Fuel Oil
HPP Hydro Power Plant
HTLS High Temperature Low Sag
HVTG High Voltage Transmission Grid
Hz Hertz
IEC International Electromechanical Commission
IP Internet Protocol
IPP Independent Power Producer
ISDB Islamic Development Bank
JICA Japan International Cooperation Agency
kA Kilo Amperes
KCCL Kasese Cobalt Company Limited
KFW German Development Bank

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 9
km Kilo meter
KML Kilembe Mines Limited
kV Kilo Volt (1kV=1000 Volts)
kW Kilo Watt (1kW=1000 Watts)
kWh Kilo Watt Hour
MDMS Meter Data Management System
MEMD Ministry of Energy and Mineral Development
MoFPED Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Developement
MVA Mega volt Ampere
MVAr Mega Volt Ampere- reactive
MW Mega Watt
NBI Nile Basin Initiative
NDP National Development Plan
NELSAP Nile Equatorial Lakes Subsidiary Action Programme
NEMA National Environment Management Authority
NFA National Forestry Authority
OPGW Optical Ground Wire
OTDR Optical time Domain Reflectometer
PDH Plesiochronous Digital Hierarchy
PMA Power Market Analyzer
PSA Power Sales Agreement
PSS/E Power System Simulation for Engineers
RAP Resettlement Action Plan
REA Rural Electrification Agency
RPT Regional Power Trade
SCADA Supervisory, Control, and Data Acquisition
SDH Synchronous Digital Hierarchy
SVC Static var Compensator
SWECO SWECO AB of Sweden
TCP Transfer Control Protocol
SIA Social Impact Assessment
UBOS Uganda Bureau of Statistics
UETCL Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited
USD United States Dollar
UWA Uganda Wildlife Authority
var Volt Ampere Reactive
WA Wheeling Agreements
WIS Wayleaves Information System
WB World Bank

10 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Executive Summary
Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited (UETCL) has a leading role in developing, Operating and
maintaining an efficient High Voltage Transmission Grid (HVTG) to meet the national load demand, power evacuation
from new generation plants and regional power exchange requirement through regional interconnections within
the national and International technical, social-economic and environmental standards.

A key responsibility in this respect is to constantly plan and develop the HVTG. The purpose is to establish a
rationale for building a robust network, improve reliability and quality of supply, which will in turn contribute
towards the economic development of Uganda.

In line with company objectives, the Grid Development Plan (GDevP) is a strategic document in UETCL’s overall
planning process and thus must be communicated to all major stakeholders. The plan, which covers a period of 23
years, identifies and justifies new grid investments. It is reviewed and updated annually to reflect latest information
on Government policy and strategies. It is also an input to the company’s financial projections and annual budget.
The GDevP presents results of technical analyses for various investments to meet the national demand and power
exchange obligations.

The technical analysis derived from power system studies form a basis for determining technical feasibility of
the proposed projects. The results from the technical analysis are used to determine the Grid Investment plan
and the associated cost estimates which culminate into financial projections. The Environmental and Social
Impact Assessment are carried out before implementation of each individual project as required by the National
Environment Management Authority (NEMA).

The results from the above analyses indicate high capital investment requirements over a period of 2018-2025.
This is mainly attributed to the many generation plants that are to be commissioned during this period and
the corresponding power evacuation transmission lines and Substations. In order to absorb the new generation
capacity, several grid and substations extensions and reinforcements are to be implemented in the same period.

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 11
Background
Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited (UETCL) has a major role in contributing to the development
of an efficient electricity sub sector in Uganda through planning, developing and maintaining an efficient
transmission grid to meet the national electric power requirements within the allowable national, regional and
international standards.

UETCL owns, operates, develops and maintains the high voltage transmission grid. The grid connects power
generation plants to load centers throughout the country as well as interconnection with neighboring countries.
UETCL also owns a National Control Center which coordinates and monitors grid operations and maintenance
activities.

Presently, the transmission grid comprises 150km of 220kV (initially operated at 132kV), 1443km of 132kV, 300m of
132kV underground cable, 35.2km of 66kV high voltage transmission lines and 20 substations (includes Kabulasoke
and Nalubaale switching stations).

The Grid Development Plan (GDevP) is a planning document that is written in line with UETCL’s strategic Corporate
Business Plan. It details present and future transmission grid infrastructure that will support National demand
growth, generation requirements and regional power trade obligations.

The GDP is updated annually to review the System Demand forecast, Generation Planning, Demand – Supply
Balance for the current and subsequent years, Power evacuation transmission lines and Substations, Grid
expansion requirements in line with National Development Plan II (NDP), Vision 2040, sustainable energy for all,
rural electrification strategy and plan, renewable energy policy among others, Power System Modeling Analysis
Results, the 2018-2040 Grid Investment Plan, Financial Implications and Proposed implementation schedule as
well as expectations from Stakeholders to provide a harmonized energy sector planning process.
The 2018 edition GDP is UETCL’s planning reference guide for the years 2018-2040.

12 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
2 THE GRID DEVELOPMENT PLAN PROCESS

2.1 OBJECTIVE FOR THE GRID DEVELOPMENT PLAN

The main objectives of the Grid Development Plan are:
• To give an outlook of the future power system of Uganda.
• To present the High Voltage Transmission Grid’s (HVTG) investment requirements to meet forecasted demand.
• To detail the new generation development projects over the planning horizon and their associated evacuation
infrastructure.
• Identify power transmission investment requirements to mitigate anticipated system constraints.
• To form a basis for the company’s financial projections, multi -year tariff and multi-year budget.

2.2 METHODOLOGY
A scenario based approach has been adopted for the 2018 Grid Development Plan Update. Three scenarios have
been considered as follows:
• Base Case Scenario
The main assumptions for this scenario include: observed historical demand growth trends, Growth projections
of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), distribution connection strategies and regional power trade projections,
implementation of loss reduction strategies and the need to address constraints that have created suppressed
demand in the past.
• NDPII Scenario
This scenario is designed to implement the second National Development Plan (NDPII) launched in March
2015. The planning horizon of this scenario is five years from 2015 to 2020.
• Vision 2040
Uganda Vision 2040 provides development paths and strategies to operationalize Uganda’s Vision statement
which is “A Transformed Ugandan Society from a Peasant to a Modern and Prosperous Country within 30
years”. It aims at transforming Uganda from a predominantly peasant and low income country to a competitive
upper middle income country.

It builds on the progress that has been made in addressing the strategic bottle-necks that have constrained
Uganda’s socio-economic development since independence, including; ideological disorientation, weak private
sector, underdeveloped human resources, inadequate infrastructure, small market, lack of industrialization,
underdeveloped services sector, underdevelopment of agriculture, and poor democracy, among others.

The Vision 2040 is conceptualized around strengthening the fundamentals of the economy to harness the
abundant opportunities around the country. The identified opportunities include: oil and gas, tourism, minerals,
ICT business, abundant labour force, geographical location and trade, water resources, industrialization and
agriculture among others that are to date considerably under-exploited. Achieving the transformational goal will
thus depend on the country’s capacity to strengthen the fundamentals including: infrastructure (energy, transport,
water, oil and gas, and ICT); Science, Technology, Engineering and Innovation (STEI); land use and management;
urbanization; human resource; and peace, security and defense and that’s where UETCL comes in to expand the
transmission network and offer a strong backbone that delivers bulk, quality and reliable power.

2.2.1 THE GRID DEVELOPMENT PLAN PROCESS

The process used for formulating the GDevP is illustrated in Figure 1 below.

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 13
Figure 1: GDevP process

From Figure 1, it can be observed that the inputs to the GDevP process include both external and internal factors,
which are then used in the analyses (load forecast and power system analysis) to yield results which are further
analyzed to come-up with the outputs.

The load forecast conducted for the Base, NDPII, and Vision 2040 scenarios for the period 2018 - 2040 was based on
the respective assumptions for each scenario as detailed in sections below respectively. Power system constraints
as observed in the day to day operation of the network were considered in the power system analysis. These
include quality of supply, equipment loading, system reliability and availability.

Generation expansion planning was based on the implementation timelines for power plants under construction
and those planned (Licensed, with or without executed Power Purchase Agreements). The demand-supply balance
analysis for each respective scenario recommended the timing of additional required generation capacities.
Power system studies and analysis were carried out on eight system models. The results formed the basis for
determining the Grid Investment Plan that details the technically feasible projects with their respective cost
estimates and timing.

14 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
3 PLANNING CRITERIA

3.1 TRANSMISSION PLANNING CRITERIA

The transmission planning criteria provides a framework for system design in order to operate the power grid in
a manner that satisfies the grid code requirements and the regional interconnection requirements as well. This
section describes the criteria utilized when analyzing Uganda’s transmission system and serves as a guide for
determining future transmission infrastructure investments.
The Planning criteria are utilized to ensure the following objectives are met:
• Provide a transmission system that can adequately serve the system loads.
• Provide a robust transmission system that can withstand reasonable system disturbances on the bulk
power system.
• Provide a transmission system that contributes to overall bulk system integrity and supports effective
competition in a power pool.
• Provide a transmission system whose revenue requirements, capital and operating costs are minimized
while being consistent with the above goals.

3.1.1 SYSTEM VOLTAGE

Under steady state and post contingency conditions, all system voltages from 66kV and above (i.e. 132kV, 220kV,
and 400kV) should be within the limits set in Table 1: Voltage Limits
Normal condition Contingency condition
Minimum Maximum Minimum Maximum
Location
Value/ % Value/ % Value/ % Value/ %
400 kV Transmission Substation Bus Voltage 380 (95%) 420 (105%) 360 (90%) 440 (110%)
220 kV Transmission Substation Bus Voltage 209 (95%) 231 (105%) 198 (90%) 242 (110%)
132 kV Transmission Substation Bus Voltage 125.4 (95%) 138.6 (105%) 118.8 (90%) 145 (110%)
66 kV Transmission Substation Bus Voltage 62.7 (95%) 69.3 (105%) 59.4 (90%) 72.6 (110%)
Table 1: Voltage limits

The above limits may be exceeded only during outages of 400kV lines and in such cases it is necessary to supply
dynamic VAr resources at sensitive nodes. Such nodes should be identified by conducting power system analyses.
Under normal operations when all the system elements are healthy and tap positions of the power transformers
at the sending end at the nominal tap, the system voltages at various levels at the tail end of the lines shall be as
close to the nominal voltage as possible. The tap positions may be increased or decreased at peak load or off load
conditions as need arises.

The system should withstand outage of any two circuits of 220kV lines or any one circuit of 400 kV line with voltage
and frequency levels remaining within prescribed limits.

3.1.2 SYNCHRONISM
The system shall remain in synchronism even in case of a single line to ground fault or three phase fault, assuming
successful clearance of fault by the protective devices.

Adequate margin shall be available, in terms of voltage and steady state oscillating stability. The voltage angles
between consecutive substations should be in the region of 30 degrees.

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 15
3.1.3 EQUIPMENT LOADING
Under normal conditions all transmission equipment can be loaded up to 100% of the continuous rating. Under
contingency conditions, this will be allowed to increase to 120% of continuous rating depending on the age and
physical conditions of the equipment.

3.1.4 REACTIVE POWER COMPENSATION

Reactive resources should be planned and designed such that adequate reactive power reserves are available in
the form of dynamic reserves at synchronous generators and Static var Compensators (SVCs) in anticipation of
system disturbances. Reactive loads should be served by fixed and mechanically switched shunt compensation to
the extent practical. Reactive power dynamic reserves at generators and SVC should help minimize the impact of
system disturbances and unusual operating conditions.

3.1.5 VOLTAGE SELECTION

Voltage selection shall consider cases where existing voltages are found inadequate and will also consider new
power transmission lines, catering for all power plants to be developed and power to be evacuated from that
particular region. This aims at optimizing transmission capacity, optimizing way-leaves, reducing technical losses
and operation & maintenance costs.

3.1.6 RELIABILITY CRITERIA

The future transmission system is planned to operate satisfactorily under the condition of a single element
contingency, N-1. Modifications and enhancements shall be made to the system to improve reliability when
needed. Criteria such as contingency, load growth, load density was used in the analysis of reliability.

3.1.7 OPERATING RESERVE

Operating reserves consist of spinning reserves and non-spinning reserves.
Spinning reserves constitute the additional output from generating plant that must be realisable in real time
in order to arrest a drop of system frequency due to a loss of generation or a loss of external inter-connector or
mismatch between generation and demand.
Non-spinning reserves constitute the output available from standby generating units that can be synchronized
and loaded up within 5 minutes for a hydro and 30 minutes for a thermal plant to respond to abnormal demand
increase or further generating units breakdown.

3.1.8 GENERATION
For peak load conditions, optimal generation mix comprising of various energy resources taking into consideration
the marginal cost of production for the different plants is recommended to be used. For the minimum load
conditions, the must run power plants shall be used in conjunction with the most economical generation.

3.1.9 FAULT CURRENT CRITERIA

Three phase and single phase to ground fault current values associated with transmission system buses are
reviewed to check equipment rating adequacy. Transmission facilities are rechecked as needed to determine that
all equipment can withstand available fault duty. These checks include fault interrupting capacities, fault withstand
capacities both electrical and mechanical, and grounding checks. Maximum fault levels should not exceed 80% of

16 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
the rated fault interrupting capacity of the circuit breaker.
Rated Voltage (kV) Switchgear Rating (kA)
400 63
220 40
132 31.5
66 31.5
33 25*
11 25*
Table 2: Switchgear rated fault current interrupting capacity

*Due to the distribution grid configuration adopted and the proximity of generation sources to the medium
voltage buses, it has necessitated the installation of higher rated circuit breakers. This is considered on a case by
case basis.

3.1.10 SYSTEM FREQUENCY

The operating frequency of the system should be maintained within ±1% of 50Hz. This is a Uganda grid code
requirement. Sufficient means to carry out active load balancing with active power generation shall be put in
place to ensure that the frequency is within the set limits.
Under frequency load shedding is carried out in the stages below:-
Stage 1 – at 49.2Hz
Stage 2 – at 49Hz
Stage 3 – at 48.9Hz
Stage 4/ decoupling – at 48Hz

3.1.11 INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY

As new transmission infrastructure is planned, consideration shall be made of the fact that sufficient communication
facilities shall be incorporated to cater for present and future needs of the company and other potential external
users.

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 17
18 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 BASE CASE
SCENARIO

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 19
4 LOAD AND GENERATION PROGNOSIS

The load forecast is based on projected growth of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), population and new electricity
connection, regional power trade obligations and power transmission and distribution losses. The tool used for
load forecasting is an excel based econometrics model. The assumptions and results for the load forecast and
demand-supply balance are discussed below.

4.1 ASSUMPTIONS FOR DEMAND - SUPPLY PROGNOSIS

4.1.1 HISTORICAL DEMAND TRENDS

Total Energy System Domestic
Sales Peak Domestic Peak
Year Growth Growth
including Demand Growth Sales (GWh) Demand Growth
Export (GWh) (MW) (MW)
2007 1,825 17% 394.9 1,759 17% 379.7
2008 2,017 11% 389.5 -1.4% 1,950 11% 380.0 0.7%
2009 2,233 11% 400.7 2.8% 2,151 10% 393.9 3.6%
2010 2,413 8% 434.7 8.5% 2,336 9% 423.9 7.6%
2011 2,544 5% 454.6 4.6% 2,450 5% 445.9 5.2%
2012 2,739 8% 545.1 16.6% 2,640 8% 498.2 10.5%
2013 2,933 7% 516.6 5.2% 2,826 7% 492.3 -1.2%
2014 3,098 6% 549.8 6.4% 2,931 4% 508.3 3.15%
2015 3,219 4% 560.1 1.9% 3,097 6% 520.7 2.4%
2016 3,400 6% 579.3 3.4% 3,235 4% 534.1 2.6%
2017 3,716 9% 625.3 7.9% 3,399 5% 562.5 5.3%
Table 3: Trend of Growth in Energy sales and Power peak demand
Source: UETCL Statistics Reports

The average growth for the past ten years for system peak demand, domestic demand, system energy and
domestic energy is shown the table below.
Average growth (2008 – 2017)
System peak demand (MW) 5.59%
Domestic demand (MW) 3.99%
System Energy (GWh) 7.5%
Domestic Energy (GWh) 6.9%
TABLE 4: Average demand and energy growth for years 2008- 2017

20 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Figure 2: Trend of Uganda’s electricity peak demand (Jan 2011 - Jan 2018).

* Domestic Demand excludes Tanzania load.

• The total peak demand for Uganda including exports significantly increased from 440MW in 2011 to as
high as 540MW in December 2012 as shown in figure 2. The significant growth in 2012 was as a result of
the commissioning of the Bujagali Hydro Power Plant which unlocked some of the unserved demand
due to load shedding that was experienced up to 2011.

• A significant spike is observed in 2012, 2014, 2016 and 2017 for the total peak demand due to an increase
in exports. This increase in exports for 2012 and 2014 was attributed to the shutdown of the transmission
line in western Kenya whereas for 2016 and 2017 was attributed to the draught in the western region
of Kenya and constraints in their transmission line capacity between western and eastern side of Kenya
leading to an increase in purchases of power by Kenya.

• The rate of growth in domestic peak demand is however noted to have been on average increasing
slowly at the rate of 5.6% starting from 2011 to 2017. In particular, domestic demand has been fluctuating
between 420MW and 562 MW from 2011 to 2017 with the highest domestic demand registered in
December 2017.

• Trend of energy sales compared to peak demand, it can be observed that the average growth in energy
sales has been 6% since 2011 to date. Despite the lower growth in peak demand which was less by 2%,
the growth in sales was significantly higher. The growth of total energy sales in 2017 was 9% compared to
6% in 2016 due to increased exports to Kenya.

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 21
4.1.2 GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
Historical of GDP Growth Rate
Recorded GDP
2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17
growth rate
4.4% 3.3% 4.8% % 4.7% 4.0%
Source: UBOS
Table 5: Historical GDP values

Forecast of GDP Growth Rate

Forecast 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2021/25 2026/30 2031/35 2036/40
6.0% 6.1% 6.3% 8.35% 8.22% 8.07% 7.83%
Table 6: GDP projections
Source: NDPII & Vision 2040

4.1.3 POPULATION GROWTH

• The 2014 national census results indicated that Uganda’s population is estimated at 34.9million1 showing
that the country’s population has grown by 10.7 million from 24.2 million since the last census in 2002.
At an average annual growth rate of 3.03%, Uganda’s population is projected to increase to 39.3 million
in 2018 and to 61.3 million in 2040.

4.1.4 SYSTEM LOSSES

• It was assumed that, given the aggressive program that is in place to reduce the distribution non-technical
and technical losses, non-technical losses will reduce to 3% and the technical losses will reduce to 11% to
make a total of 14% by 2020. Thereafter distribution losses are assumed to reduce farther to 12.8 by 2024
and remain at the same levels to 2040 while transmission losses will be at 2.5% by 2040.

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Total Energy Losses (%) 38 39 33.9 31.3 29.6 28.1 25 23.1 20.3 19.2
Transmission Losses (%) 4.3 3.8 4.2 3.35 3.98 3.6 3.27 3.37 3.9 3.86
Distribution Losses (%) 34 35 30 27.3 26.1 24.3 21.3 19.5 19 16
Table 7 :System losses
Source for transmission losses: UETCL System Annual Operations Reports

2018 2019 2020 2022 2024-2040

Total Energy Losses (%) 18.1 17.5 16.7 15.5 15.3

Transmission Losses (%) 3.1 3 2.7 2.5 2.5
Distribution Losses (%) 15 14.5 14 13 12.8
Table 8 : System loss projections

4.1.5 EXPORT POTENTIAL

Uganda has exported up to about 17 MW to Tanzania. The general exchange of power between Uganda and
Kenya has been on the basis of the tie line agreement of only 4 MW, however, Uganda has been the net exporter
over the last couple of years with an exchange up to about 50MW in year 2017 as observed from the national
control centre system report. Table 10 shows the trend of export by Uganda to its neighboring countries.
1 MoFPED – 2014 Uganda Population Report

22 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 Energy Sales (GWh)
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
KPLC 29.24 38.2 37.9 47.41 107.06 56.03 83.21 225.88

TANESCO 45.36 50.94 57.1 54.44 55.65 61.23 77.18 79.17

EWSA 1.97 3.13 1.8 1.4 2.59 1.94 2.42 9.28

SNEL 0.14 1.6 2.4 2.11 2.44 2.25 2.19 2.3

Total Export 76.71 93.87 99.20 105.36 167.74 121.45 165 316.63
% Growth Rate -6.5% 22.4% 5.7% 6.2% 59.2% -27.6% 35.9% 91.9%
TABLE 9: Energy exports
Source: UETCL Annual Report

Uganda has not concluded any new export contract with her neighbouring countries however a Wheeling
Agreement was signed between Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda for the export power from Kenya to Rwanda over
UETCL’s network until 2019.

In this analysis it is assumed that no additional export above 50 MW (export to Kenya and Tanzania) will be made
by end of 2020. This assumption is mainly based on the fact that Uganda does not have any new Power Sale
Agreements. It is assumed that with the commissioning of various interconnectors with neighbouring countries
the export capacity shall increase to more than 50MW during the planning horizon. This is subject to UETCL
entering into Power Sales Agreements with the neighbouring countries refer to Annex-A.1: Demand-Supply
Balance prognosis.

4.1.6 LOAD FACTOR

Current Load factor is 74% based on the 2016 System Annual Operations report. The load factor is assumed to
increase to maximum 79% by the end of the planning period.
Year 2002-2005 2006-2009 2010-2011 2012-2013 2014-2015 2016-2017
Load factor 65% 68% 69% 70% 71% 74%
Table 10: Historical load factor

Year 2018-2022 2023-2028 2029-2031 2032-2035 2036-2038 2039-2040

Load factor 74% 75% 76% 77% 78% 79%
Table 11: Load factor projection

The assumed increase in the load factor is due to growth in the base load due to increased industrialization.

4.2 ASSUMPTIONS FOR GENERATION PLAN

1. For the River Nile based generation plants, the average flow considered is 800 cumecs which is equivalent
to P502.

2. Spinning Reserve –the additional output from generating plant that must be realisable in real time in
order to arrest a drop of system frequency due to a loss of generation or a loss of external inter-connector
or mismatch between generation and demand. The spinning reserve should be equal to the largest unit
on the grid.
2 Probability of getting 50%

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 23
 3. Plant factor for large hydros is :
• Nalubaale & Kira – 0.38
• Bujagali – 0.6

4. Eskom dispatch is optimised in accordance with the allowable discharge as follows:

• Peak: 190-220MW
• Shoulder: 150-176MW
• Off peak: 80-138MW –The Exact dispatch will depend on the coincident demand requirements for
the different periods

5. Dispatch of Bujagali HPP will follow the discharge from Kiira and Nalubaale thus limiting its capacity to
1.237 times the combined dispatch of Nalubaale and Kiira and is estimated as below;
• Peak: 235 -250MW
• Shoulder : 185 - 217MW
• Off peak: 100 -169MW -The exact dispatch will depend on the coincident maximum demand
requirements for the different periods.

6. Mini hydros have been dispatched with a plant factor between 40% and 80%. All the mini-hydro Power
Plants are dispatched as base plants. The following plant factors have been observed and are assumed to
hold for the future:-
• Mobuku 1(KML) 0.52
• TPL(Bugoye) 0.77
• EMS (Mpanga) 0.52
• EPUL (Ishasha) 0.4
• Hydromaxx (Buseruka) 0.48
• Mobuku 3(KCCL) 0.78
• Muvumbe (0.55)
• Siti 1 (0.57)
• Rwimi (0.56)

7. Thermal Power Plants:

• Namanve 50MW HFO Thermal Plant: The thermal power plant shall be dispatched according to
merit order dispatch of up to 50MW but with a minimum dispatch of 7MW. It has an availability
factor of 85%.
• Electromaxx (50MW) thermal power plants: The power plant shall be dispatched according to
merit order dispatch of up to 33.7 MW but with a minimum dispatch of 7MW. It has an availability
factor of 85%.
• A 50MW Thermal Plant in the Albertine Region:

8. Cogeneration Plants
• 51MW Kakira dispatching up to 32MW
• 14.5MW Kinyara dispatching 2-5MW
• 11.9MW SAIL dispatching up to 6.9MW

9. Solar Power Plants

• Access Solar 10MWp dispatched during the shoulder band
• Tororo Solar North 10MWp dispatched during the shoulder band

24 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
4.3 GENERATION EXPANSION PLAN
The objective of generation expansion planning is to determine the generation capacity and energy requirements
to meet forecasted demand during the planning period.

Table 10 shows the generation plan with evacuation line projects

Estimate
Capacity
No. Power Plant Commission Evacuation Line Project Name
(MW)
Year

42km, 132kV Isimba Bujagali double Circuit transmission

1 Isimba HPP 183 2018 line, 2x132kV Isimba bays at Bujagali and 2x132kV Bujagali
bays at Isimba

2 Mahoma HPP 2.7 2018 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
3 Nkusi HPP 9 2018 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
4 Sindila HPP 5.25 2018 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
5 Mayuge Solar plant 10 2018 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
Embedded generation, To be evacuated at Nkenda
6 Nyamwamba HPP 9.2 2018 Substation: new 2x60MVA, 33/132kV additional
transformers are proposed at Nkenda Substation
7 Agago-Achwa HPP II (ARPE) 42 2018 132kV - Gulu Agago double Circuit transmission line Project
Karuma Interconnection Project:
248.2km, 400kV, 1423MVA Double Circuit Karuma Kawanda
Transmission line, 2x650MVA, 400/220kV Kawanda
Substation
8 Karuma HPP 600 2018 54.25km, 400kV 1423MVA Double Circuit Karuma Olwiyo
Transmission line, 2x125MVA, 400/132/33kV Olwiyo
Substation
75.5km, 132kV, 135MVA Karuma Lira Double Circuit
Transmission line
80km, 132kV Mbale Bulambuli transmission line, 132/33kV
9 Siti 2 HPP 16.5 2018 2X32/40MVA Mbale substation, 132/33kV, 2X32/40MVA
Bulambuli substation
10 Mayuge Sugar plant 23 2020 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
11 Waki Hydro HPP 4.8 2019 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
12 Kakaka HPP 5 2019 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
Embedded generation and operating off grid but shall
13 Nyagak III HPP 5.5 2019 eventually be evacuated via 132kV Lira Gulu Nebbi Arua
Project
14 Kyambura HPP 7.6 2019 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
To be evacuated at Nkenda Substation: new 2x60MVA,
15 Nyamagasani 1 HPP 15 2019 33/132kV additional transformers are proposed at Nkenda
Substation)
To be evacuated at Nkenda Substation: A new 2x60MVA,
16 Nyamagasani 2 HPP 5 2019 33/132kV Substation is proposed adjacent to Nkenda
Substation
17 Ndugutu HPP 5.1 2019 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
18 Kanyampara 4.8 2019 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
19 Nyamabuye 7 2019 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
20 Nyabuhuka-Mujunju HPP 3.2 2019 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
21 SCOUL 25 2020 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 25
 Estimate
Capacity
No. Power Plant Commission Evacuation Line Project Name
(MW)
Year
22 Xsabo Solar 20 2019 132kV Kabulasoke Substation
23 Nengo Bridge HPP 6.7 2020 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
24 Bukinda HPP 6.5 2020 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
25 Kikagati HPP Project 14 (7) 2020 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
26 Senok Wind Project 20 2020 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
27 Agago-Achwa HPP I (ARPE) 42 2020 132/33kV Agago Substation
28 Keere Small HPP 6.3 2021 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
29 Kinyara Cogen plant 35 2021 45km, 220kV double circuit Hoima Kinyara transmission line
30 Albatros Thermal Power 50 2021 220kV Hoima Nkenda Project
31 Sironko HPP 7 2021 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
32 Gas to Power 58 2021 220kV Hoima Nkenda Project
33 Kabeywa HPP 12 2021 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
38km, 132 kV double circuit Mirama-Nsongezi Transmission
line, Mirama 220/132kV Substation extension
34 Nshongezi HPP Project 35 (17.5) 2021
Nshongezi 33/132kV Substation: 2x32/40MVA power
transformer 2 x line feeder bay for 33kV lines from Kikagati
35 Ngoromwo HPP 8 2021 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
36 Maziba 1 2021 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
37 Nyagak 1 3.5 2021 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
38 Cresta 5 2021 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
39 Muyembe-Sirimityo HPP 7 2021 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
40 Jinke solar 500 2021 Unknown
41 CP- EM solar 1000 2021 Unknown
42 Sky power Solar 500 2021 Unknown
43 Bukwa HPP 9 2021 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
44 Ngoromwo HPP 8 2021 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
To be interconnected and evacuated via 132 (220kV)
45 Muzizi HPP 44.7 2022 double circuit Nkenda Fort Portal Hoima transmission line
(Evacuation line is 6km)
Agago-Achwa HPP III
46 13 2022 132/33kV Agago Substation
(ARPE)
Agago-Achwa HPP IV
47 10.5 2022 132/33kV Agago Substation
(ARPE)
48 Kigwabya 4.2 2022 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
80km 132kV Mbale Bulambuli transmission line, 132/33kV
49 Sisi 7.1 2022 2X32/40MVA Mbale substation, 132/33kV, 2X32/40MVA
Bulambuli substation
80km 132kV Mbale Bulambuli transmission line, 132/33kV
50 Simu 9.9 2022 2X32/40MVA Mbale substation, 132/33kV, 2X32/40MVA
Bulambuli substation
51 Lwakhaka 6 2024 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
52 Agbinika 2 2024 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)
53 Okulacere 6.5 2024 Embedded generation: (connecting to the 33kV grid)

26 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 Estimate
Capacity
No. Power Plant Commission Evacuation Line Project Name
(MW)
Year
54 Oriang HPP 392 2025 To be evacuated at Olwiyo Substation
12.57km, 400kV underground cable double circuit Ayago
55 Ayago HPP 840 2025
Olwiyo transmission line
12km, 400kV underground cable double circuit to Ayago
56 Kiba 330 2025
switchyard
Embedded generation, 132kV Mirama Kabale Double Circuit
57 Kabale Peat 30 2027
Transmission Line Project
40km, 400kV underground cables double circuit to Ayago
58 Uhuru 600 2035
switchyard.
Total 5,614.05
TABLE 12: Generation expansion plan

4.4 PRESENT DEMAND- SUPPLY STATUS

The graph below shows the energy demand3 and supply as recorded for the period December 2016 – December
2017. An analysis shows an annual growth in energy supply and demand of 5% (Refer to Table 4). This shows that
the electricity supply needs to be maintained at this rate or higher in order to avoid running into a deficit situation
.

FIGURE 3: Energy supply and demand Dec 2016 - Dec 2017

The graph below shows the load duration curve for December 2017. It illustrates the relationship between
generating capacity requirements and capacity utilization.
The maximum system peak demand registered in 2017 was about 562.45MW and 534MW in 2016. The peak
demand period is experienced for about 15% of the time. There is need to improve Demand Side Management
measures to reduce the peak demand to avoid investment in expensive peak generation facilities.
The future outlook of the Demand –Supply is presented in Annex A.1.

3 Source: UETCL Control Centre Monthly Reports

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 27
FIGURE 4: Load duration curve Dec’17

The Load Duration curve shows that the base load of the Ugandan grid is about 250MW and the maximum power
peak load of the Ugandan grid is about 590 MW that is observed to occur for approximately a period of less than
5% of the time. Therefore since UETCL is the system operator should ensure that the generators are well scheduled
to serve the different load requirements.

In order to meet the power and energy requirements, the generation plants in Table 14 are utilized.
CATEGORY/SUPPLIER INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW)
LARGE HYDROS
ESKOM UGANDA LIMITED 380MW
BUJAGALI 250MW
MINI HYDROS
MPANGA 18MW
BUGOYE 13MW
KILEMBE MINES 5MW
KASESE COBALT 10.5MW
ISHASHA 6.4MW
BUSERUKA 9MW
RWIMI 5.54MW
MUVUMBE 6.5MW
SITI 1 5MW
LUBILIA 5.4MW
NYAMWAMBA 9.2MW
NKUSI 9.6MW
CO-GENERATION
KAKIRA SUGAR WORKS 51MW

28 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 CATEGORY/SUPPLIER INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW)
KINYARA SUGAR WORKS 14.5MW
SAIL SUGAR WORKS 11.9MW
THERMAL
JACOBSEN UGANDA LIMITED (NAMANVE HFO) 50MW
ELECTROMAXX (TORORO HFO) 50MW
SOLAR
ACCESS UGANDA SOLAR (OPUYO) 10MW
TORORO SOLAR NORTH LIMITED 10MW
AVAILABLE TOTAL GENERATION 930.54
Table 13: Existing generation plants
Source: Executed Power Purchase Agreements

4.5 DEMAND FORECAST

The demand prognosis was prepared using 2017 as the base year. For the Base case scenario demand forecast,
the assumptions in section 4.1 above were used. A correlation factor between electricity consumption and the
Gross Domestic Product was determined using historical values. The average annual growth rates obtained for the
planning period is 4.1% for both peak demand and energy. A summary of the load forecast results is shown in the
Tables below:-

Domestic Demand Export Demand Industrial Loads Total Demand

Year
(MW) (MW) (MW) (MW)
2018 590 47 100 737
2019 615 21 410 1046
2020 641 21 659 1320
2021 667 51 692 1410
2022 695 114 726 1535
2023 723 114 763 1600
2024 753 164 801 1718
2025 784 164 841 1789
2026 816 164 981 1961
2027 849 164 1030 2044
2028 884 164 1082 2130
2029 920 164 1136 2220
2030 958 164 1192 2314
2031 997 164 1252 2413
2032 1,037 164 1315 2516
2033 1,079 164 1380 2624
2034 1,123 164 1449 2736
2035 1,169 164 1521 2854
2036 1,216 164 1597 2977

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 29
 Domestic Demand Export Demand Industrial Loads Total Demand
Year
(MW) (MW) (MW) (MW)
2037 1,265 164 1677 3106
2038 1,317 164 1761 3242
2039 1,370 164 1849 3383
2040 1,426 164 1941 3536
TABLE 14: Demand forecast (MW) 2018-2040
Source for Industrial loads : Umeme LTD

Domestic Demand Export Demand Proposed Industrial Total Demand

Year
(GWh) (GWh) Loads (GWh) (GWh)
2018 3,827 82 876 4,785
2019 3,987 37 3,592 7,615
2020 4,208 37 5,771 10,017
2021 4,383 89 6,060 10,532
2022 4,625 200 6,363 11,187
2023 4,815 200 6,681 11,696
2024 5,013 287 7,015 12,316
2025 5,357 287 7,367 13,011
2026 5,576 287 8,594 14,457
2027 5,953 287 9,024 15,264
2028 6,196 287 9,475 15,958
2029 6,448 287 9,948 16,684
2030 6,711 287 10,446 17,444
2031 7,421 287 10,968 18,676
2032 7,722 287 11,517 19,526
2033 8,036 287 12,092 20,416
2034 8,362 287 12,697 21,347
2035 8,702 287 13,324 22,313
2036 9,055 287 13,990 23,333
2037 9,423 287 14,690 24,400
2038 9,805 287 15,424 25,517
2039 10,204 287 16,196 26,687
2040 10,619 296 17,005 27,920
TABLE 15: Energy forecast (GWh) 2018-2040

Average growth (2018 – 2040)

System peak demand (MW) 13.84%
Domestic demand (MW) 3.95%
System Energy (GWh) 11.66%
Domestic Energy (GWh) 12.07%
TABLE 16: Demand and energy average growth for period 2018-2040

30 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
4.6 FORECASTED GENERATION MIX

FIGURE 5: Forecasted generation mix for 2018

FIGURE 6: Forecasted generation mix for 2020

FIGURE 7: Forecasted generation mix 2025

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 31
FIGURE 8: Forecasted generation mix 2030

FIGURE 9: Forecasted generation mix 2035

FIGURE 10: Forecasted generation mix 2040

32 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Figure 11: Forecasted generation mix for planning period

4.7 DEMAND-SUPPLY BALANCE FINDINGS

The Load forecast, Power and Energy balance are presented in appendix A.1. The charts below illustrate the
demand-supply balance prognosis 2017-2040.

Figure 12: Power projection 2017 – 2040

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 33
Figure 13: Energy projection 2017-2040

4.7.1 OBSERVATIONS AND FINDINGS FROM DEMAND SUPPLY BALANCE

Observation and Mitigation measures
• A deficit is observed in 2019 because of the anticipated industrial load however there is a surplus in case
the industries are not realized as depicted in table 17 below.
• Excess generation is envisaged throughout the planning horizon from 2020 to 2040 and can be utilized
through:
• Development of heavy Industrial loads.
• Exportation to neighbouring countries e.g. Rwanda , DR Congo, South Sudan and Tanzania

Recommendations
• Demand growth opportunities need to be explored in order to realise demand that matches the
generation capacity development.
• Hydro power generation plant development should be matched with demand growth outlook..

Power Excess/ Deficit Power Excess/ Deficit

Power Excess/ Deficit
Year (Domestic with proposed (Domestic with industrial
(Domestic) (MW)
industrial loads) (MW) loads + Export) (MW)
2018 167 114 67
2019 359 -30 -51
2020 899 261 240
2021 1,792 1,151 1,100
2022 2,204 1,592 1,478
2023 2,220 1,571 1,457
2024 2,191 1,554 1,390
2025 2,984 2,307 2,143
2026 2,949 2,132 1,968
2027 2,906 2,039 1,875
2028 2,849 1,932 1,768

34 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 Power Excess/ Deficit Power Excess/ Deficit
Power Excess/ Deficit
Year (Domestic with proposed (Domestic with industrial
(Domestic) (MW)
industrial loads) (MW) loads + Export) (MW)
2029 2,806 1,834 1,670
2030 1,648 619 455
2031 2,805 1,717 1,553
2032 2,764 1,614 1,450
2033 3,063 1,847 1,683
2034 3,019 1,734 1,570
2035 3,324 1,967 1,803
2036 3,376 1,943 1,779
2037 3,527 2,014 1,850
2038 3,475 1,879 1,715
2039 3,422 1,737 1,573
2040 3,411 1,639 1,470
TABLE 17: Deficit/Excess supply 2018-2040

Note: Excess generation is envisaged throughout the planning horizon from 2020 to 2040, however in the event
that the industrial loads do not materialize as envisaged, the quantity of surplus power will significantly increase
and this will bear a financial burden on UETCL due to payment of deemed energy fees.

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 35
5 POWER SYSTEM ANALYSIS

5.1 PRESENT POWER SYSTEM

The current transmission lines and substations are presented in appendix A.3 and A.4 detailing the capacities of
the components. The present 2017 power system network is illustrated in appendix A.5.1. This grid consists of:
• The hydro power plants: Owen-Falls complex (Nalubaale and Kiira HPPs) whose installed capacity is 380MW,
Bujagali (250MW),Tibet hima mining Co Ltd formerly kilembe mines (5MW), Bugoye (13MW),Kasese
Cobalt company Ltd (9.5MW), Mpanga (18MW), Ishasha (6.5MW), Buseruka (9MW), Siti I 5MW, Muvumbe
6.5MW, Rwimi 5.5MW.
• The thermal power plants: Namanve 50MW and Electromaxx 50MW plants
• Co-generation, Bagasse plants: Kakira Sugar works 51MW plant , Kinyara sugar works 7.5MW plant and
Sail plant 12MW
• Solar plants: Access solar TSK 10MW, Tororo solar north 10MW.
• The transmission grid: Presently, the transmission grid comprises 150km of 220kV (initially operated at
132kV), 1443km of 132kV, 300m of 132kV underground cable and 35.2km of 66kV high voltage transmission
lines and 19 substations (Including Kabulasoke switching station).

5.2 POWER SYSTEM MODELS

Power system models were developed to enable analysis of present and future power systems. An Engineering
software, PSS/E (Power System Simulation for Engineers), was used to develop the models. Six models were
developed to analyze the present and future grids. The eight models included 2017 models (as at September base
models), 2018 model, 2019 model, 2020 model, 2025 model and 2030 model.
The above grid models were established and analyzed to determine whether the grid shall behave within agreed
voltage and thermal limits. The power system studies included: load flow and fault analysis. The results were
analyzed to pre-determine the following:
• Network reliability
• Power supply quality
• Technical losses and Optimum utilization of transmission lines and substations

5.2.1 MODEL INPUTS AND OUTPUTS

Input Data
The input data for power system modeling is:
• Plant and Generator data
• Exciter Data
• Governor Data
• Transformer data
• Substation loads
• Line parameters for Existing transmission lines
• Line parameters for planned transmission lines

Output Results
The output results for power system modeling are:
a) Power flow result in terms of:
• Voltage profile to guard against insulation failure and maintain quality of supply
• Line and transformer loading

36 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 • Power flow and
• Losses
b) Fault calculation results in terms of:
• Fault levels to confirm switchgear safe breaking capability and protection settings
c) Contingency Analysis
d) Economic Dispatch/ Optimal power flow
e) Dynamic System Analysis:
• Power system stability to avoid black outs and maintain quality of supply
The technical analysis derived from power system studies formed a basis for determining technical viability and
timing of the projects. The results of the studies are presented below.

5.2.2 2017 MODEL – BASELINE

 The demand and generation capacity modelled are:-
• Peak Demand : 666.3 MW
• Required generation : 630.8MW
• Total losses : 35.45MW
• Transmission power losses : 28.84MW (4.33%)
• Transmission energy losses : 3.54%

Key Events
• Queensway substation 132/33kV substation commissioned
• The following generation plants were commissioned;
 Mini hydro power plants ; Siti I(5MW), Muvumbe (6.5MW), Rwimi (5.5MW).
 Solar ; Tororo north solar (10MW).

Findings
• No buses violate the voltage limits of +/- 10%
• Violations of loading above 100% of MVA rating:
 Kawanda 132/33kV– 100.4%
 N-1 criterion is violated at the following:
• Substation ;Lugogo 132/33/11kV,Kawanda 132/33kV,Mutundwe 132/33/11kV,Lugazi
66/11kV ,Nkonge 132/33kV,Opuyo 132/33kV,Mbarara 132/33kV,Lira 132/33kV,Tororo
132/33kV,Kampala North 132/33/11kV,Kawaala 132/11kV,Masaka West 132/33kV,Owenfalls
33/66kV.
 Transmission line ; Kabulasoke – Masaka west 132kV , Nalubaale - Namanve 132kV.

Mitigation Measures
• Expedite the upgrade of Opuyo, Kawanda, Kampala North and Tororo substations.
• Upgrade transformation capacities where N-1 criterion is violated.
• UMEME should consider 33kV interconnectors between the primary substations to allow for flexible
transfer of loads.

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 37
5.2.3 2018 MODEL
Scenario without envisaged additional Industries
The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 637MW
• Required generation : 660.3MW
• Total losses : 23.35MW
• Trans. power losses : 19.86MW (3%)
• Transmission energy losses : 2.4%

Scenario envisaged with Industries

The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 737MW
• Required generation : 769.5MW
• Total losses : 32.54MW
• Trans. power losses : 29.03MW (3.77%)
• Transmission energy losses : 3.08%

Key Events
• Commissioning of large hydro:
 Isimba -183MW and Agago/Achwa – 42MW
• Commissioning of the following mini-hydros;
 Siti II (16.5MW), Sindila (5.5MW), Nkusi (9.6MW), Nyamwamba (9.2MW), Mahoma (2.7MW), and
Lubilia (5.4MW).
• The following projects commissioned:
 Kawanda-Masaka 220kV, Nkenda-Fortportal-Hoima 220kV, Bujagali-Isimba 132kV, Mbarara-Mirama
220kV, Mbarara-Nkenda 132kV, Kawanda-Kapeeka 132kV and supply to phosphate Sukulu factory
(with 25MVAr Capacitor Bank) commissioned.
• Additional Industrial Load – 100MW

Findings- without industries

• No high Voltage violations are observed at + 10%
• Low Voltage violations of -10% are observed at;
 Lugazi 66kV (0.84pu)
• Loading violations are observed at;
 Kawanda 132/33kV, 32/40MVA Transformers (111.2%)
• Additional N-1 violations at;
 Substation; Namanve 132/33kV (55.2%), Queensway 132/33kV (54.9%)
 Transmission line; Nalubaale – Lugazi 66kV (70.7%), Mutundwe – Queensway 132kV (53.6%),
Lugogo-Mutundwe (T-Queensway) – 60.3%.

Findings- with Industries

• No high Voltage violations are observed at + 10%
• Low Voltage violations of -10% are observed at;
 Lugazi 66kV (0.832pu), Lugazi 11kV (0.899), Opuyo 132kV (0.895), Lira 132kV (0.881), Tororo 132kV.
• Loading violations are observed at;
 Kawanda 132/33kV, 32/40MVA Transformers (111.4%)
• Additional N-1 violations at;
 Substation ; Kawanda 132/33kV 20MVA (70.1%), Nalubaale 132/33kV (55.9%), Kapeeka 132/33kV

38 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 20MVA (54.1%).
 Transmission line; Bujagali – Iganga – Tororo 132kV (77%), Bujagali – Isimba 132kV (55.7.5), Tororo-
Sukulu 132kV (90.8%).

Mitigation Measures
• Expedite the commissioning of 132kV Tororo – Opuyo – Lira Transmission line
• Install a 10MVar capacitor bank at Lugazi 66kV.
• Install a 25MVar capacitor bank at Sukulu 10.5kV.
• Expedite upgrade of Kapeeka substation

5.2.4 2019 MODEL

Scenario without envisaged additional Industries
The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 736MW
• Required generation : 760.4MW
• Total losses :24.36MW
• Transmission power losses : 22.28MW (2.93%)
• Transmission energy losses : 2.4%

Scenario with envisaged additional Industries

The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 1044.4MW
• Required generation : 1093.6MW
• Total losses :49.6MW
• Transmission power losses : 44.19MW (4.04%)
• Transmission energy losses : 3.3%

Key Events
• Large hydro commissioned :
 Karuma is fully commissioned 600MW.
• Mini hydros commissioned:
 Waki(4.8MW), Kakaka(5MW), Kyambura(7.6MW), Nyamagasani I & II(20MW), and Nyamabuye
(7MW),
• Solar plant commissioned ;
 Xsabo Solar (20MW).
• The following projects commissioned:
 Bujagali-Tororo-Lessos 220kV,132kV Opuyo – Moroto, Tororo-Lira 132kV Mutundwe-Entebbe 132kV,
Bujagali-Kawanda 220kV, Opuyo, Kawanda, Tororo, Lira and Kampala North substation upgrade,
Electrification of Industrial Parks (Namanve South,Luzira, Iganga and Mukono) and 54km, 132kV
Kawanda-Kasana
• Additional Industrial Load – 310MW

Findings without additional industries

• Voltage Violations were observed at -10%: Lugazi 66kV (0.8241pu), Lugazi 11kV (0.7138)
• No Loading violations are observed
• Additional N-1 criterion violations are observed at
 Substations: Kawanda 220/132kV (51.4%), Nkenda 132/33kV (55.6%).
 Transmission Lines: 3km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale132kV (63.8%)

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 39
Findings with envisaged additional industries
• Voltage Violations were observed at -10%: Lugazi 66kV (0.7337pu), Lugazi 11kV (0.6239pu), Moroto 132kV
(0.8619pu), Nalubaale 66kV (0.8472pu)
• Loading violations are observed at:-
 Substations: Mutundwe 132/11kV (110.5%), Lira 132/33kV (103.7%)
 Transmission lines: Nalubaale – T-Bujagali (130.1%)
• Additional N-1 criterion violations are observed at
 Substations: Moroto 132/33kV (84.2%), Kasana 132/33kV (69.2%)
 Transmission Lines: 8km Nalubaale – Bujagali 132kV (130.1%), Kampala North – Lugogo 132kV
(59.1%), Nalubaale – T-Mukono 132kV (86.2%), Kawanda – Kasana 132kV (52.2%)

Mitigation Measures
• Expedite the upgrade of Nkenda Substation to higher transformation capacity of 2x60MVA

5.2.5 2020 MODEL

Scenario without envisaged additional Industries

The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 1071MW
• Required Generation : 1117.8MW
• Total losses : 46.79MW
• Transmission power Losses : 42.47MW (3.8%)
• Transmission energy losses : 3.11%

Scenario with envisaged additional Industries

The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 1318.7MW
• Required Generation : 1384.4MW
• Total losses : 65.69MW
• Transmission power Losses : 60.26MW (4.35%)
• Transmission energy losses : 3.56%

Key Events
• Mini hydros commissioned;
 Nengo Bridge (6.7MW), Bukinda (6.5MW), Kikagati (16MW), Achwa III &IV (42MW),Nyagak I (3.5MW),
Nyagak III (5.5MW), Ndugutu (51MW).
• Wind generation commissioned;
 Senok wind (10MW).
• Cogeneration Plants Commissioned
 Mayuge Sugar (23MW)
• The following projects commissioned;
 313km, 132kV Lira-Gulu-Nebbi-Arua132kV
 83km Gulu – Agago 132kV
 Nkenda Substation Upgrade
• Additional Industrial Load – 249MW

40 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Findings without additional industries
• Voltage Violations were observed at Moroto 132kV (0.8982pu)
• Loading violations are observed at
 Substations; Mutundwe 132/11kV (112.7%)
 Transmission Lines; 3km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale132kV (119.9%)
• Additional N-1 criterion violations are observed at
 Transmission lines: Mukono-Namanve (52%), Lugogo- Nalubaale (50.5%)

Findings with additional industries

• Voltage Violations were observed at Moroto 132kV (0.8983pu), Moroto 33kV (0.8945pu)
• Loading violations are observed at;
 Substations; Mutundwe 132/11kV (112.4%), Kasana 132/33kV (112.2%)
 Transmission Lines; 3km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale132kV (140.7%), 5km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale132kV
(100.3%), Nalubaale – T-Mukono 132kV (104.3%)
• Additional N-1 criterion violations are observed at
 Substations; Entebbe 132/33kV (56.7%), Luzira 132/33kV (66.9%)
 Transmission Lines; Kawanda- Kapeeka (50%), Kampala North-Namanve (51.4%) ,
Kampala North-Mutundwe 33kV (74.4%)
Mitigation measures
• Expedite commissioning of Kampala Metropolitan Project to relieve the Nalubaale-Mukono leg
• All big customers should ensure local reactive power compensation. (Moroto cement factory)
• Upgrade Mutundwe 132/11kV substation with additional transformation capacity
• Upgrade Kasana 132/33kV substation with additional transformation capacity
• Reconductor the Bujagali-Nalubaale 8km transmission line.
• Expedite the planned projects to feed the industrial areas in the Luwero area i.e. Wobulenzi-Kapeeka
220kV, Kapeeka-Kaweweta-Nakasongola 132kV and associated substations

5.2.6 2025 MODEL

Scenario without envisaged additional Industries
The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 1606.8MW
• Required Generation : 1657.MW
• Total losses : 50.19MW
• Transmission power Losses : 44.61MW (2.69%)
• Transmission energy losses : 2.22%

Scenario with envisaged additional Industries

The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 1789 MW
• Required Generation : 1856.6MW
• Total losses : 67.49MW
• Transmission power Losses : 61.69MW (3.3%)
• Transmission energy losses : 2.72%

Key Events
• Large hydros commissioned include Ayago (840MW), Oriang (392MW) and Kiba (330MW), Muzizi
(44.7MW),

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 41
 • Mini-hydros commissioned
 Kabeywa (12MW), Bukwa (9MW), Keere Small HPP (6.3MW),Ngoromwo HPP (8MW),
Maziba(1MW),Okulacere(6.5MW),Agbinika(2MW),Lwakhakha(6MW),Nyagak1(3.5MW),Crest
(5MW),Nshongezi (35MW), Muyembe-Sirimityo (7MW), Sironko (7MW).
 Other generation plants commissioned include; Gas to power -Tilenga&Kingfisher (58MW), Kinyara
25MW
• The following transmission projects commissioned;
 Hoima-Kinyara-Kafu 220kV, Kampala Metropolitan project, Mirama-Nsongezi132kV,Mutundwe-
Gaba-Luzira132kV,Bulambuli-Kapeterol 132kV,Nkenda-FortPortal-Lyanda-Kaabale-Hoima
220kV,Nkenda-Mpondwe220kV,Mirama-Kabale132kV,Masaka-Mwanza 220kV, Ayago
interconnection project, Oriang interconnection project Kiba interconnection project, Olwiyo-
Nimule-Juba 400kV, Masaka–Mbarara220kV, Ishaka132/33kV and associated transmission
lines ,Wobulenzi-Kapeka 220kV ,Kapeka-Kaweweta-Nakasongola 132kV, Lugazi 132/33kV and
associated transmission line, ,Evacuation of tilenga and kingfisher oil fields,
 Upgrade Tororo, Mbarara South and Mirama 220/132kV substations, Upgrade of Moroto
Tororo, Mbarara North, Masaka West, Nkonge, Lira (kole), Mutundwe and Lugogo 132/33/11kV
substations
 Supply to 5 Standard Gauge Railway traction stations(Iganga, Tororo, Nyenga, Buwoola and
Kampala East) at 132kV Eastern Route)
• Additional Industrial Load – 182MW

Findings without additional Industries

• No Voltage Violations are observed at +/-10%
• Loading violations are observed at;
 Substations; Kasana 132/33kV (112.4%)
 Transmission Lines; 3km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale132kV (110.2%)
• Additional N-1 criterion violation is observed at
 Substations; Olwiyo 400/132kV (82.6%)
 Transmission Lines; Mutundwe-Kabulasoke (T-Buloba) 132kV (66%)

Findings with additional Industries

• Voltage Violations were observed at Moroto 132kV (0.891pu), Entebbe 33kV (0.874pu) Kawanda 33kV
(0.896pu), Kasana 33kV (0.891pu), Kampala North 11kV (0.873pu)

• Loading violations are observed at;

 Substations; Kasana 132/33kV (102.7%)
 Transmission Lines; 3km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale132kV (106.9%)
• Additional N-1 criterion violations are observed at
 Substations; Kafu 400/220kV 75MVA (52.5%), Mbale 132/33kV 3x60/80MVA (61.7%)
 Transmission Lines; Mutundwe-Entebbe 132kV (51.7%), Nalubaale-Mukono (T-Lugazi) 132kV
(66.9%)

Mitigation measures
• All big customers should ensure local reactive power compensation. (Entebbe, Kawanda, Kasana)

42 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
5.2.7 2030 MODEL

Scenario without envisaged additional Industries

The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 1962 MW
• Required Generation : 2041.6MW
• Total losses : 79.51MW
• Transmission power Losses : 71.5MW (3.5%)
• Transmission energy losses : 2.91%

Scenario without envisaged additional Industries

The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 2312 MW
• Required Generation : 2408.2MW
• Total losses : 96.09MW
• Transmission power Losses : 88.26MW (3.66%)
• Transmission energy losses : 3.05%

Key Events
• The following projects commissioned:
 Masaka-Mbarara 400kV, 130.5km
 Supply to Sukulu at 220kV
 Northern Corridor (Tororo-Wobulenzi-Masaka, Mbarara-Shango 400kV, 535.8km)
 Tororo-Karuma 400kV, 345km
 Supply to Standard Gauge Railway traction stations for the Western Route (15 Traction Stations
each at 2X4MVA) and Northern Routes (15 Traction Stations each at 2X4MVA) at 132kV
• Additional Industrial Load – 351MW

Findings without additional industries

• Voltage Violations are observed at Entebbe 33kV (0.7691pu), Kampala North 11kV (0.8585)
• Loading violations are observed at;
 Substations; Kawanda 132/33kV (113.8%)
 Transmission Lines; 8km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale132kV (154.2%)
• Additional N-1 criterion violation is observed at
 Substations; Tororo 400/220kV 1x200MVA (54.6%)
 Transmission Lines; Namanve-Namanve South 132kV (64.8%)

Findings with additional industries

• Voltage Violations were observed at Lugazi 66kV (0.897pu),Entebbe 33kV (0.8752pu) Kawanda 33kV
(0.8968pu), Nkonge 33kV (0.899pu), Kampala North 11kV (0.8527pu), Lugazi 11kV (0.8193pu), SCOUL 11kV
(0.8193pu)
• Loading violations are observed at;
 Substations; Kasana 132/33kV (102.7%), Kawanda 132/33kV (113.9%)
 Transmission Lines; 8km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale 132kV (150.5%)
• Additional N-1 criterion violations are observed at :
 Substations; Masaka 400/220kV 1x200MVA (52.9%) Buloba 132/33kV 2x125MVA (50.5%),
Kahungye 132/33kV 2x40MVA (60.7%), Kasana 132/33kV 2x15/20MVA (54.1%)
 Transmission Lines; Tororo-Mbale 132kV (51.2%)

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 43
Mitigation measures
• Install an additional 200MVA transformer at Tororo 400/220kV substation

5.2.8 2035 MODEL

Scenario without envisaged additional Industries

The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 2523 MW
• Required Generation : 2632.3MW
• Total losses : 109.31MW
• Transmission power Losses : 101.08MW (3.84%)
• Transmission energy losses : 3.22%

Scenario without envisaged additional Industries

The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 2853 MW
• Required Generation : 3011.7MW
• Total losses : 158.65MW
• Transmission power Losses : 150.01MW (4.98%)
• Transmission energy losses : 4.18%

Key Events
• The following projects commissioned:
 Ishaka-Kabale 132kV 94km
 Kapeka-Kiboga 220kV 67.2km
 Kiboga-Hoima 220kV 75.7km
 Kabulasoke-Kiganda-Kiboga 132kV
• Additional Industrial Load – 329MW

Findings without additional loads

• Voltage Violations are observed at Moroto 132kV (0.8691pu), Lugazi 66kV (0.8755)
• Loading violations are observed at;
 Substations; Kawanda 132/33kV 2x 32/40MVA (133.4%), Lira 132/33kV 2x15/20MVA (116.1%)
 Transmission Lines; 8km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale132kV (161.3%), Mutundwe-T-Buloba (117.4%)
• Additional N-1 criterion violation is observed at :-
 Substations; Kawanda 400/220kV 2x 650MVA (53.4%)
 Transmission Lines; Karuma-Kole 132kV (52.7%), Nkenda-Kahungye (53.4%)

Findings with additional loads

• Voltage Violations were observed at Entebbe 132kV (0.8887pu), Nkonge 132kV (0.8110pu), Kawaala 11kV
(0.8897pu), Lugazi 66kV (0.8661pu), Mubende 132kV (0.7913pu), Mubende 33kV (0.8581pu), Opuyo 132kV
(0.888pu), Mbale 132kV (0.8760pu), Moroto 132kV (0.8248pu), Moroto 33kV (0.8952).
• Loading violations are observed at;
 Substations; Tororo 400/220kV (101.5%), Kawanda 2x32/40MVA 132/33kV (133.2%), Nkonge
132/33kV 2x32/40MVA (97.9%), Lira 132/33kV 2x32/40MVA (116.4%), Mbale 132/33kV 3x60/80MVA
(109%)
 Transmission Lines; 8km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale132kV (163.3%), Mutundwe-T-Buloba (109.5%),
Nkonge – Kabulasoke (113.4%), Nkenda-Kahungye (107.3%), Jinja Industrial-Nalubaale 33kV
(109%)

44 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 • Additional N-1 criterion violation is observed at :-
 Substations; Mubende 132/33kV 2x40MVA (54%), Rakai 132/33kV 2x40MVA (53.8%), Tororo
400/220kV 2x200MVA (101.5%)
 Transmission Lines; Kole-Lira 132kV (75.2%), Masaka-Rakai 132kV (85.6%), Nkonge-Kabulasoke
132kV (113.4%), Nkonge-Kahungye 132kV (69.3%), Opuyo- Lira 132kV (61.2%), Nile HPPS –Ayago
400kV (57.3%)

Mitigation measures
• Upgrade Lira 132/33kV substation
• Re-conductor Nkenda-Kahungye-Nkonge-Kabulasoke 132kV transmission line

5.2.9 2040 MODEL

Scenario without envisaged additional Industries

The demand and generation capacity modeled are:-
• Peak Demand : 3114.1 MW
• Required Generation : 3301.2 6MW
• Total losses : 187.15MW
• Transmission power Losses : 176.88MW (5.4%)
• Transmission energy losses : 4.61%

Key Events
• The following projects commissioned:
 Bulambuli-Moroto 132kV 15km
 Moroto-Kitgum 132kV 250km
 kitgum-Agago 132kV 50km
 Agago-Adjumani 132kV 86km
 Adjumani-Arua 132kV 110km
 Arua-Aru 132kV 5.4km
• Additional Industrial Load – 420MW

Findings without additional loads

• Voltage Violations were observed at Entebbe 132kV (0.8818pu), Kampala North 132kV (0.8889pu), Nkonge
132kV (0.7899pu), Kawaala 132kV (0.8925pu), Mubende 132kV (0.7695pu), Mubende 33kV (0.8331pu),
Lugogo 132kV (0.8868pu), Mutundwe 132kV (0.8995pu), Mbale 132kV (0.8936pu), Lugogo – Mutundwe
(t-Queensway) 132kV (0.8910pu), Queensway 132kV (0.8907pu), Nkonge 33kV (0.8869pu), Kawaala 11kV
(0.8780pu)
• Loading violations are observed at;
 Substations; Tororo 400/220kV (108.7%), Kawanda 220/132kV (120.8%), Nalubaale 132/33kV 2 x
60MVA (107.4%), Nkonge 132/33kV 2x32/40MVA (107.7%), Lira 132/33kV 2x32/40MVA (115.5%),
Mbale 132/33kV 3x60/80MVA (109.1%)
 Transmission Lines; 8km T-Bujagali – Nalubaale132kV (183%), Mutundwe-T-Buloba (136.1%),
Nkonge – Kabulasoke (117.7%), Nkenda-Kahungye (114.2%), Jinja Industrial-Nalubaale 33kV
(144.9%)
• Additional N-1 criterion violation is observed at
 Substations; Mukono 220/132kV 2x125MVA (51.4%)
 Transmission Lines; Karuma-Ayago 400kV (76.3%), Kawaala-Mutundwe 132kV (69%), Kawanda-
Mutundwe (53.7%), Kampala North-Mutundwe 132kV (57.1%)

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 45
 2018 2019 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040
Power losses
Without new industries 3 2.93 3.8 2.69 3.5 3.84 5.4
(%)
With industries 3.77 4.04 4.35 3.3 3.66 4.98
Load factor 0.74 0.74 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.79
Conversion Factor 0.82 0.82 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.85
Energy losses Without new industries 2.45 2.40 3.11 2.22 2.91 3.22 4.61
With industries 3.08 3.30 3.56 2.72 3.05 4.18
Table 18: Transmission loss trajectory

FIGURE 14: Transmission power losses (%)

FIGURE 15: Transmission energy losses (%)

46 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
6 GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040)

To ensure that the future electricity needs of the nation are satisfied, there is need to have major capital investments
in the power sector. Such investments comprise of generation plants, transmission lines and expansion of the
distribution network.

It is against this background that the Grid Investment Plan was developed to establish a rationale for building
a robust network, contribute to Government of Uganda’s strategic objective to provide adequate and reliable
energy supply to meet national and regional, socio-economic development.
The Grid Investment Plan Projects have been classified into the following categories:
• Power evacuation projects
• Grid re-investment projects
• System Expansion Projects
• Regional Projects

6.1 GRID INVESTMENT PLAN SUMMARY

The Grid Investments, objectives, cost estimates and implementation period are presented in the Table 16 below.
The detailed Grid Investment Plan is presented in Appendix A.2. 1USD=UGX 3,655.25; Source BOU 31/10/2017.

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 47
 UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY

48
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD
A POWER EVACUATION PROJECTS

Bujagali 220kV Switchyard Project

Evacuation of Power from
1 (2X250MVA 220/132/33kV Power 32.90 9,001.80 2012 – 2017 In Defects Liability Period AfDB at EPC
Bujagali HPP
Transformers)

Karuma Hydro Power & Interconnection

Project (2X650MVA 400/132kV Karuma SS,
2X20MVA 132/33kV Karuma SS, 2X650MVA
Evacuation of power from
400/132kV Kawanda SS, 2X20MVA 132/33kV China EXIM Bank at
2 Karuma HPP and Supporting 1,171.26 320,432.78 2013 – 2019 Under Construction
Olwiyo SS; 248km 400kV Karuma - Kawanda EPC
Rural electrification program
Transmission Line, 54.2km 400kV Karuma
- Olwiyo Transmission Line, 75.5km 132kV
Karuma - Lira Transmission Line)

Improvement of reliability
220kV Nkenda - FortPortal - Hoima Government of the
and quality of supply in the
(2X40MVA 132/33kV Hoima SS, 2X40MVA Royal Kingdom of
western region of Uganda.
3 132/33kV FortPortal SS; 54km 220kV Nkenda 299.03 81,807.85 2015 – 2018 Under Construction Norway and French
Provision of transmission
- FortPortal Transmission Line, 172km 220kV Development Agency
capacity to evacuate power
FortPortal - Hoima SS) (AFD) at EPC
from Kabaale 53MW Testcrude

Provision of transmission
China EXIM Bank at
4 132kV 42km Isimba Interconnection Project capacity to evacuate power 2,114.25 578,414.20 2015 – 2018 Under Construction
EPC
from Isimba HPP

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Provision of transmission
5 220kV Bujagali – Kawanda Line Bays capacity to evacuate power 11.63 3,182.81 2017 - 2019 Under Construction World Bank
from Bujagali Substation

Provision of transmission Under Consideration

Muzizi Interconnection: (2x90 MVA Sourcing for Financing for
6 capacity to evacuate power 106.05 29,014.00 2018 – 2023 for Funding Using
220/132/33 kV Muzizi Substation) Implementation
from Muzizi SHPP EPC+F

Ayago Interconnection Project (2km

400kV Ayago - Nile HPPs Switching Station Provision of transmission
At Feasibility Study/ Under Consideration
7 Underground Cable; 10km 400kV Nile HPPs capacity to evacuate power 123.51 33,789.20 2018 – 2023
Project Proposal Stage. using EPC + F
Switching Station - T-Ayago Underground from Ayago HPP
Cable)
Feasibility Study
Complete
37.3km 132kV Mirama-Kikagati-Nsongezi Provision of transmission Under Consideration
8 122.14 33,414.12 2016 – 2022
(2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Nsongezi SS) capacity to evacuate power using EPC + F
Sourcing for Funding for
EPC

48 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD
183km, 132kV single circuit Agago - Lira Provision of transmission
Sourcing for Funding from
9 Transmission Line on wooden structures and capacity to evacuate power 79.42 21,728.42 2018 GOU
GOU for Implementation
related substations from Agago 42 MW HPP
Feasibility Study
Provision of transmission Complete
83km 132kV Gulu-Agago TL Project GOU at FS and kfW
10 capacity to evacuate power 144.14 39,432.65 2016 – 2020
(2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Agago SS) at EPC
from Agago 83MW HPP Procurement of EPC
Contractor stage
Government of the
Update of Tender
Royal Kingdom of
Documents.
45km 220kV Hoima-Kinyara (2X90/40MVA Provision of transmission Norway at FS
11 169.10 46,261.08 2016 – 2021
220/132/33kV Kinyara SS) capacity to evacuate power
Sourcing for Financing
EPC Funding to be
for EPC
determined
74km 132kV Mbale – Bulambuli - Kapterol Provision of transmission
12 Transmission Line; 2X 60/80MVA 132/33kV capacity to evacuate power 208.58 57,063.71 2017-2022 Feasibility Study Ongoing KFW at FS
Mbale SS, 2X45/60MVA 132/33kV Kapterol SS from IPPs in Bulambuli area

Extension of Transmission Grid to Evacuate

excess electricity generated from Tilenga
and Kingfisher oil fields (Substations:
2x32/40MVA 132/33KV King Fisher SS, Provision of transmission
Sourcing for Financing
3x32/40MVA 132/33KV Tilenga SS & capacity to evacuate power Under Consideration
13 386.90 105,847.73 2018 – 2021 for Feasibility Study and
2x250/250/50MVA 220/132/33 kV Kabaale from Tilenga and King Fisher using EPC + F
Implementation
SS; Transmission Lines: 135km, 132kV Oil Fields
transmission line from Tilenga SS to Kabaale
SS & 50km, 132kV transmission line from
Kingfisher SS to Kabaale SS)

400kV Oriang Interconnection project (10km Provision of transmission Sourcing for Financing
14 400kV Oriang - Nile HPPs Switching Station capacity to evacuate power 206.11 56,388.45 2019 – 2023 for Feasibility Study and To be determined
Underground cable) from Oriang HPP Implementation

400kV Kiba Interconnection Project (10km Provision of transmission Sourcing for Financing
15 400kV Kiba - Nile HPPs Switching Station capacity to evacuate power 202.49 55,398.30 2021 – 2025 for Feasibility Study and To be determined
Underground cable) from Kiba HPP Implementation

400kV Uhuru Falls Interconnection Project Provision of transmission Sourcing for Financing
16 (145km 400kV Uhuru - Tilenga - Kabaale capacity to evacuate power 479.30 131,126.35 2025 - 2031 for Feasibility Study and To be determined
Transmission Line) from Uhuru Falls Implementation

Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040

49Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited
 UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY

50
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD
B GRID RE-INVESTMENT PROJECTS

High Voltage Transmission Line Works

Kabulasoke-Nkonge-Nkenda 132kV 216.5 km Improvement of reliability and

1 10.97 3,000.00 2019 Sourcing for Financing To be determined
(Re-stringing) power supply quality

Kabulasoke-Masaka West 132kV 60km (Re- Improvement of reliability

2 5.48 1,500.00 2019 Sourcing for Financing To be determined
stringing) and power supply quality

Reconductoring 3km of Bujagali - Nalubaale Improvement of reliability and

3 1.83 500.00 2019 Sourcing for Financing To be determined
line with HTLS Conductor power supply quality

Reconductoring 113km of Bujagali - Tororo Improvement of reliability and

4 69.02 18,883 2019 Sourcing for Financing To be determined
line with HTLS Conductor power supply quality

Substation Works

50MVA 33/33kV Bujagali Phase Shifting Enable power supply to the

5 17.54 4,798.00 2020 Sourcing for Financing To be determined
Transformers distribution network

Sourcing for Financing

Mirama Substation Upgrade (2X50/63MVA, Enable power supply to the Under Consideration
6 22.83 6,244.69 2019 - 2021 for Feasibility Study and
132/33kV Transformers) distribution network using EPC + F
Implementation

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Connection of 132kV grid Sourcing for Financing
Tororo 2x250MVA 220/132kV Interbus Under Consideration
7 to the 220kV grid at the 40.94 11201.53 2021 for Feasibility Study and
Transformers using EPC + F
substation Implementation

Connection of 132kV grid Sourcing for Financing

2X250MVA 220/132kV Mbarara South Under Consideration
8 to the 220kV grid at the 40.94 11201.53 2021 for Feasibility Study and
Interbus Transformers using EPC + F
substation Implementation

Reallocation of 1X60MVA 220/132/33kV

Provision of additional Sourcing for Financing
9 Transformer from Mbarara to Mirama 0.37 100 2019 GOU
Transformation capacity from GOU
Substation
Refurbishment of transformer bay and shift
Improvement of reliability Sourcing for Financing
10 of 20MVA Transformer to Lira Substation 0.29 80.00 2019 GOU
and power supply quality from GOU
from Tororo

50 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD
To be pitched to the
Improvement of reliability Sukulu Phosphate Developer of Sukulu
11 20MVAr Capacitor Banks at Sukulu 10.5kV Bus 2.56 700.00 2018
and power supply quality Developer for Phosphate Factory
implementation

Improvement of reliability Sourcing for Financing

12 10MVAr 11kV Capacitor Banks at Lugazi 1.86 510.00 2019 GOU
and power supply quality from GOU

Improvement of reliability and

13 Tororo 80MVA, 132/33kV 8.11 2,219.18 2019 Under Procurement GOU
power supply quality

Sourcing for Financing Under Consideration

Mbarara North Substation Upgrade Improvement of reliability and
14 26.61 7,279.69 2022 for Feasibility Study and for Funding Using
(2x50/63MVA, 132/33kV Power Transformers) power supply quality
Implementation EPC+F

Kampala North substation upgrade Provision of adequate

15 7.21 1,972.60 2019 Under Procurement GOU
(1X32/40MVA 132/33kV Transformer) capacity

Kawanda substation upgrade (1X32/40MVA Provision of adequate

16 7.21 1,972.60 2019 Under Procurement GOU
132/33kV Transformer) capacity

Opuyo Substation 132/33kV Upgrade Provision of adequate

17 21.20 5,800.00 2017 – 2019 Under Construction KFW
(2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Transformers) capacity

Preparation of Tender
Documents by World World Bank for
Nkenda Substation 132/33kV Upgrade Bank. Tender Document
18 Increase Substation Capacity 43.83 11,992.20 2018 – 2020
(2X60MVA 132/33kV Transformers) Preparation. EPC - To
Sourcing of Financing for Be Determined
Implementation

Provision of adequate Sourcing for Financing

2km 132kV Mukono - Nalubaale Toff - Lugazi
19 capacity, improvement of 89.73 24,548.95 2020 - 2025 for Feasibility Study and To be determined
SS (2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Lugazi SS)
reliability Implementation

Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040

51Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited
 UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION

52
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD
Kampala Metropolitan Area Improvement
Project ((Transmission Lines; 25.4km 132kV
1 cct Mukono branch point (Northern trunk
line) – Kampala North Substation, 10.2km
2cct Kampala North Substation – Mutundwe
Substation, 5.3km 132kV 2 cct Kampala
North Substation – Lugogo Substation,
0.1km 132kV 2 cct Kawaala branch point –
Feasibility Study
Kawaala Substation, 0.3km 132kV 2 cct (New
Complete.
Mukono Substation – Mukono Substation),
4.2km 220kV 4 cct New Mukono branch Provision of adequate
EPC Loan approved.
20 point – New Mukono Substation, 0.4km capacity, improvement of 506.98 138,700.00 2015 - 2021 JICA at EPC
132km 2 cct New Mukono Substation – New reliability
Procurement of
Mukono branch point (Southern trunk line),
Supervision Consultant
0.8km 132kV 2 cct Buloba branch point
ongoing
– Buloba Substation, 0.9km 220kV 4 cct
Buloba branch point – Buloba Substation;
Substations (2X 125MVA 220/132kV Buloba
SS, 2X40MVA 132/33kV Buloba SS, 3X125MVA
220/132/33kV Mukono SS, 3X40MVA
132/33kV Kawaala SS, 1X20MVA 132/11kV
Kawaala SS, 1X250MVA 220/132/33kV
Bujagali SS, 1X20MVA 132/33kV Mobile SS))

Power Transformers Project 1 (Reinforced

Substations: 2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Nkonge
SS, 2X50/60MVA 132/33kV Mutundwe
SS, 2X50/60MVA 132/11kV Mutundwe
SS, 2X50/60MVA 132/33kV Lugogo SS,

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
2X50/60MVA 132/11kV Lugogo SS,
2X50/60MVA 132/33kV Masaka West SS; New Provision of adequate
Sourcing for Financing for Under Consideration
21 Substations: 3X50/60MVA 132/33kV Jinja SS, capacity, improvement of 449.77 123,047.32 2019 - 2022
Feasibility Study and EPC using EPC + F
2X40MVA 132/33kV Mubende SS, 2X40MVA reliability
132/33kV Ishaka SS & 2X40MVA 132/33kV
Rakai SS; Transmission Lines: 5km 132kV
Bujagali Tororo T-Off to Jinja SS, 30km 132kV
Nkonge - Mubende, 10km 132kV Mbarara -
Nkenda T-off to Ishaka & 10km 132kV Masaka
- Kyaka T-Off to Rakai)

Substation Reinforcement Project (Upgrade

132/33kV Power Transformers), Upgrade
Provision of adequate
of Tororo Substation (2x125MVA, 132/33kV Sourcing for Financing for Under Consideration
22 capacity, improvement of 114.67 31,371.78 2019 - 2022
Power Transformers), Upgrade of Kole Feasibility Study and EPC using EPC + F
reliability
Substation (2x32/40MVA, 132/33kV Power
Transformers)

52 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD
Upgrade of Nkenda - Hoima to 220kV
(Nkenda 2X250MVA 220/132/33kV Provision of adequate
Sourcing for Financing for Under Consideration
23 Substation, 2X90MVA Fort Portal capacity, improvement of 431.70 118,103.75 2019 - 2021
Feasibility Study and EPC using EPC + F
220/132/33kV Substation, 2X250MVA Hoima reliability
220/132/33kV Substation)

C System Expansion Projects

Improvement of reliability
and quality of supply in the
160km 132kV Mbarara-Nkenda & 260km western region of Uganda
1 132kV Tororo - Opuyo - Lira TL Project & & Provision of transmission 114.93 31,442.21 2014 - 2018 Under Construction AfDB at EPC
2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Fortportal SS capacity to evacuate power
from other generation plants
in the West.

137km 220kV Kawanda-Masaka Project:

Substations; 2X125MVA 220/132kV Masaka
Improvement of reliability,
SS; 2X250MVA 220/132kV Kawanda SS;
2 availability and quality of 244.61 66,921.53 2014 - 2018 Under Construction WB at EPC
15MVAr 220kV Shunt Reactor at Masaka SS;
power supply
2X15MVAr 220kV Shunt Reactor at Mbarara
SS

23.5km 132kV Mutundwe-Entebbe

Improvement of reliability and
3 Transmission Line Project: Substation; 209.41 57,291.03 2015 - 2019 Under Construction KFW at FS and EPC
quality of power supply
2X60/80MVA 132/33kV Entebbe SS

Improvement of reliability,
Queensway SS Project (2X32/40MVA
4 availability and quality of 23.14 6,330.26 2015 - 2017 In Defects Liability Period JICA at EPC
132/33kV SS)
power supply

Industrial Parks SS Project: Substations;

3X32/40MVA 132/33kV Luzira SS, 3X40/63
MVA 132/33kV Mukono SS, 2X32/40MVA
132/33kV Iganga SS, 3X40/63MVA
132/33kV; Transmission Lines; 15km 132kV
2cct Namanve South SS - Luzira SS, 8km
Improvement of availability,
132kV 2cct 132kV Nalubaale-Namanve China EXIM Bank at
5 reliability, and quality of 467.49 127,895.12 2016 - 2019 Under Construction
Transmission Line to Mukono SS, 15km EPC
power supply
132kV 2cct from the Existing 132kV Bujagali-
Tororo Transmission Line to Iganga SS &
6km 132kV 2cct from the Existing 132/33kV
Namanve Substation and 132kV Nalubaale-
Namanve Transmission Line to the proposed
Namanve South SS.

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
53
 UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY

54
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD

Grid expansion to serve new

160km 132kV Opuyo-Moroto Transmission
load centers and supporting
6 Line Project (2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Moroto 234.48 64,147.60 2015 - 2019 Under Construction ISDB at EPC
rural electrification
SS)
programme

130km 132kV Bulambuli - Moroto

Improvement in availability Sourcing for Financing for
7 Transmission Line (60/80MVA 132/33kV 283.35 77,517.44 2036 - 2040 To be determined
of power supply Feasibility Study and EPC
Bulambuli SS)

90km 132kV Kabale - Ishaka Transmission Improvement in availability Sourcing for Financing for
8 194.09 53,099.05 2029 - 2033 To be determined
Line Project of power supply Feasibility Study and EPC

65km 132kV Kitgum - Agago Transmission Improvement in availability Sourcing for Financing for
9 189.97 51,972.77 2036 - 2040 To be determined
Line (2X15/20MVA 132/33kV Kitgum SS) of power supply Feasibility Study and EPC

220km 132kV Kitgum - Moroto Transmission Improvement in availability Sourcing for Financing for
10 419.71 114,823.25 2036 - 2040 To be determined
Line of power supply Feasibility Study and EPC

110km 132kV Agago - Adjumani

Improvement in availability Sourcing for Financing for
11 Transmission Line Project (2X15/20MVA 274.04 74,972.39 2036 - 2040 To be determined
of power supply Feasibility Study and EPC
132/33kV Adjumani SS)

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
105km 132kV Adjumani - Arua Transmission Improvement in availability Sourcing for Financing for
12 207.04 56,642.13 2036 - 2040 To be determined
Line of power supply Feasibility Study and EPC

Improvement of availability,
85km 132kV Mirama - Kabale Transmission Procurement of EPC
13 reliability, and quality of 179.35 49,067.07 2016 - 2020 ISDB at EPC
Line (2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Kabale SS) Contractor On-going
power supply

Improvement of availability, AFD at FS

130.5km 400kV Masaka - Mbarara
14 reliability, and quality of 390.49 106,829.86 2016 - 2021 Procurement for EPC
Transmission Line
power supply AFD and KFW at EPC

54 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD
132kV Mutundwe-Gaba-Luzira (32/40MVA
Improvement of availability,
132/33kV Gaba SS; 25km 132kV Mutundwe Sourcing for Financing for
15 reliability, and quality of 165.44 45,262.15 2020 - 2025 To be determined
- Gaba Transmission Line, 25km 132kV Gaba - Feasibility Study and EPC
power supply
Luzira Transmission Line)

132kV Lira-Gulu-Nebbi-Arua Project

(Substations: 2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Gulu
SS, 2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Nebbi SS & Improvement of availability,
16 2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Arua SS; Transmission reliability, and quality of 354.35 96,941.73 2016 - 2020 Procurement for EPC World Bank at FS & EPC
Lines: 90km 132kV Lira SS - Gulu SS, 160km power supply
132kV Gulu SS - Nebbi SS & 63km 132kV
Nebbi SS - Arua SS)

65 km 132kV Mubende - Kiboga Improvement of availability,

Sourcing for Financing for
17 Transmission Line (2X15/20MVA 132/33kV reliability, and quality of 302.22 82,681.52 2030 - 2035 To be determined
Feasibility Study and EPC
Kiboga SS) power supply

Improvement of availability,
47km 220kV Kinyara-Kafu Transmission Line Sourcing for Financing Under Consideration
18 reliability, and quality of 154.04 42,142.54 2016 - 2021
(2x250/250MVA, 400/220/33kV Kafu SS ) for EPC using EPC + F
power supply

54km 132kV Kawanda - Kasana (1X20MVA

Improvement of availability,
132/33kV Kawanda SS, 1X20MVA 132/33kV Sourcing for Financing for
19 reliability, and quality of 26.77 7,322.49 2017 - 2019 GOU
Kasana SS & 132kV Matugga Switching Feasibility Study and EPC
power supply
Station)

Improvement of availability,
50km 220kV Buloba - Gaba Transmission Line Sourcing for Financing for
20 reliability, and quality of 185.20 50,665.90 2023 - 2028 To be determined
(2X60MVA 220/132/33kV Gaba SS) Feasibility Study and EPC
power supply

303km 220kV Nkenda - Buloba Transmission Improvement of availability,

Sourcing for Financing for
21 Line (Consideration to be made for 400kV; reliability, and quality of 545.47 149,228.52 2023 - 2028 To be determined
Feasibility Study and EPC
initially operated at 220kV) power supply

Improvement of availability,
345km 400kV Karuma - Tororo Transmission Sourcing for Financing for
22 reliability, and quality of 635.08 173,745.12 2026 -2031 To be determined
Line (2X650MVA 400/220kV Tororo SS) Feasibility Study and EPC
power supply

Sukulu Phosphate Transmission Line Project

Improvement of availability,
2X50/63MVA 132/10.5Kv Power Transformers Phase 1: 2018 Phase 2: Sourcing for Financing for
23 reliability, and quality of 83.05 22,720.62 To be determined
– Phase 1; 2x125MVA, 220/10.5kV Power 2018 - 2026 Feasibility Study and EPC
power supply
Transformers – Phase 2)

Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040

55Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited
 UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY

56
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD

T-Matugga - Kapeeka (Substations: 1X20MVA Improvement of availability,

24 132/33kV Kapeeka; Transmission Lines: 45km reliability, and quality of 25.42 6,953.11 2018 Under Implementation GOU
132kV T-Matugga - Kasana) power supply

Nakasongola - Kaweweeta - Kapeeka

(2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Nakasongola SS; Improvement of availability,
Sourcing for Financing for Under Consideration
25 2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Kaweweeta SS reliability, and quality of 299.43 81,917.27 2018 - 2022
Feasibility Study and EPC using EPC + F
160km, 132kV double circuit Nakasongola, power supply
Kaweweta Kapeeka transmission line )

37km 220kV Wobulenzi - Kapeeka

Transmission Line (2x250/250/50MVA
Improvement of availability,
400/220/33kV Wobulenzi Substation, Sourcing for Financing for Under Consideration
26 reliability, and quality of 248.56 68,000.32 2018 - 2021
2x125MVA 220/132/33kV Kapeeka Feasibility Study and EPC using EPC + F
power supply
Substation, 3X50/63MVA 132/33kV Kapeeka
SS)

Improvement of availability,
142.9km 220kV Kapeeka – Kiboga - Hoima Sourcing for Financing for
27 reliability, and quality of 267.46 73,172.06 2018 - 2021 To be determined
Transmission Line Feasibility Study and EPC
power supply

Improvement of availability,
Mbale Industrial and Business Park
reliability, and quality of Sourcing for Financing for Under Consideration
28 Substation (3X60/80MVA 132/33kV 76.43 20,909.21 2019 - 2020
power supply to several Feasibility Study and EPC using EPC + F
Transformers)
industrial parks in Mbale

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Standard Gauge Railway Transmission Line
Project (Substations: 2X10MVA 132/27.5kV
Tororo, Buwoola, Iganga, Nyenga and
Kampala East Traction Stations; Transmission
Lines: 11km 132kV 2cct from UETCL Tororo to
the SGR Tororo SS, 64km 132kV 2cct double
Improvement of availability,
pi-branch off from Bujagali – Tororo 132kV Sourcing for Financing for Under Consideration
29 reliability, and quality of 174.21 47,660.00 2019 - 2021
to the SGR Buwoola SS, 3.5km 132kV 2cct Feasibility Study and EPC using EPC + F
power supply
from UETCL Iganga Industrial Park SS to SGR
Iganga SS, 5km 132kV cct double pi-branch
off from Nalubaale – Lugogo 132kV to the
SGR Nyenga Traction SS & 3.7km 132kV 2cct
from UETCL Namanve south Industrial Park
SS to SGR Kampala East Traction SS)

56 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD
Improvement of availability,
reliability, and quality of
Olwiyo 400kV Line Bays 13.92 3,809.17 2022 - 2024 Sourcing for Financing To be determined
power supply

D Other System Expansion Projects

Improvement of availability,
SCADA and Communication upgrade and
1 reliability, and quality of 27.74 7,590.00 2017 – 2020 Under Implementation World Bank
Emergency Control Centre
power supply

E Regional Interconnection Projects

220kV NELSAP (Bujagali - Tororo & Mbarara

- Mirama): Substations: 1X60MVA 220/132
Mirama SS, 1X60MVA 220/132kV Mbarara SS,
20MVAr 220kV Shunt Reactors at Mbarara,
1 Regional Power Trade 95.70 26,182.20 2013 – 2019 Under Construction AfDB and JICA at EPC
Mirama and Tororo SSs; Transmission Lines:
127km 220kV Bujagali – Tororo- UG/KY
Border & 66km 220kV Mbarara – Mirama-UG/
RW Border )

Nkenda-Mpondwe (D.R.Congo) 220kV,

Under Consideration
2 72.5km Uganda’s side (Consideration to be Regional Power Trade 154.19 42,181.89 2017 – 2022 Sourcing for Financing
Using EPC + F
made for 400kV; initially operated at 220kV)

Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040

57Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited
 UETCL GRID INVESTMENT PLAN (2018-2040) : IMPLEMENTATION SCHEDULE SUMMARY
COST(BILLION COST(X1000 IMPLEMENTATION
No. PROJECT OBJECTIVE CURRENT STATUS FINANCIER
UGX) USD) PERIOD
400kV Northern Corridor
(Substations:2X200MVA, 400/220kV
transformers at , New Masaka, New Mbarara
and Shango SSs; Transmission Lines: 5.76km
220kV Double Circuit Transmission Line
from 220/132kV Tororo SS to 400/220kV
Tororo SS, 41.4km 220kV Double Circuit
Transmission Line from 220/132kV Kawanda
SS to 400/220kV Wobulenzi SS, 2.16km
Feasibility Study
220kV Double Circuit Transmission Line
Improvement of availability, Complete.
from 220/132kV Mbarara SS to 400/220kV
3 reliability, and quality of 1,808.10 494,657.56 2016 - 2030 To be determined
Mbarara SS, 198km 400kV Double Circuit
power supply Sourcing for Financing
Transmission Line from 400/220kV Tororo
for EPC
SS - 400/220kV Wobulenzi SS, 152km 400kV
Double Circuit Transmission Line from
400/220kV Wobulenzi SS - 400/220kV New
Masaka SS, 130km 400kV Double Circuit
Transmission Line from 400/220kV New
Masaka - 400/220kV New Mbarara SS &
160km 400kV Double Circuit Transmission
Line from 400/220kV New Mbarara -
400/220kV Shango SS)
Update of Feasibility
82km 220kV Masaka - Mutukula - Mwanza Study through KfW Update of FS by KFW
4 Transmission Line (Consideration to be made Regional Power Trade 147.63 40,387.72 2016 – 2022 financing On going EPC- Sourcing funds
for 400kV; initially operated at 220kV) from KFW/AFD

400kV Olwiyo-Nimule-Juba(Sudan) 400kV

Sourcing for Financing
Line (Substation: 2X150MVA 400/220kV
5 Regional Power Trade 477.33 130,587.50 2019 – 2026 for Feasibility Study from To be determined
Olwiyo SS; 190km Olwiyo - Nimule - Juba
AfDB through NELSAP
Transmission Line- Uganda’s part)

15km 132kV Arua - Aru TL Project Sourcing for Financing for

6 Regional Power Trade 133.57 36,541.82 2036 – 2040 To be determined
(2X15/20MVA 132/33kV Aru SS) Feasibility Study and EPC

TABLE 19: The grid investment plan-Base case

58 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
By the end of the planning period and upon successful implementation of this plan, the grid shall have a total
additional length of about 13,029.43km, 55 additional substations and 17,229MVA additional transformation
capacity. Tables 19 and 20 below illustrate the incremental transmission line length, number of substations and
transformational capacity during the period.

Line Voltage (kV) Line Length 2017 (km) Line Length 2040 (km) Additional Grid (km)
66 35.20 35.20 0
132 1,406.99 6,688.99 5282.00
220 260.00 2,939.84 2679.84
400 0 3,365.40 3365.40
TOTAL 1,702.19 13,029.43 11,327.24
TABLE 20: Transmission line length growth

2017 2040 Additional Grid

No. of Stations (Substations and Switching Stations) 18 73 55
Transformation Capacity (MVA) 1,640.5 18,870 17,229
TABLE 21: Additional substations and transformation capacity

6.2 SUMMARY OF FINANCIAL REQUIREMENTS BY THE YEAR 2040

Project Category Estimated Cost (Billion UGX) Estimated Cost (x1000USD)
Power Evacuation Projects 5,856.82 1,602,303
Re-investment Projects 1,921.66 525,727
System Expansion Projects 7,106.62 1,944,222
Regional Interconnection Projects 2,816.51 770,539
Total Grid Re-investment Requirement 17,701.61 4,842,791
TABLE 22: Summary of financial requirements by 2040

COMMITTED FUNDING AND ADDITIONAL FUNDING REQUIREMENT 2018 – 2040

Project Category EPC COUNTERPART FUNDS
COMMITTED ADDITIONAL *COMMITTED ADDITIONAL
FUNDS REQUIREMENT FUNDS REQUIREMENT
(x1000USD) (x1000USD) (x1000USD) (x1000USD)
Power Evacuation Projects 977,963 485,752 49,899 88,690
Re-investment Projects 129,100 372,555 87 23,984
System Expansion Projects 464,996 1,057,576 82,032 339,619
Regional Interconnection
20,993 666,806 13,683 69,057
Projects
Total Grid Re-investment
1,593,051 2,582,689 145,701 521,350
Requirement
*Committed counterpart funds represents funds released since inception of project up to Q4 2017/2018
TABLE 23: COMMITED FUNDING AND ADDITIONAL FUNDING REQUIREMENT 2018-2040

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 59
TABLE 24:5 YEAR PLAN GDP 2018 – 2040 INVESTMENT REQUIREMENT SUMMARY
Project Category Estimated Cost (x1000USD)
2018-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030 2031-2035 2036-2040
Power Evacuation Projects 1,243,748 172,031 169,874 16,651 0
Re-investment Projects 279,217 246,510 0 0 0
System Expansion Projects 818,711 270,224 313,160 166,199 375,928
Regional Interconnection Projects 73,156 129,347 531,494 0 36,542
Total Grid Re-investment Requirement 2,414,832 818,112 1,014,528 182,850 412,470

TABLE 25: 5 YEAR PLAN GDP 2018 – 2040 DONOR FUNDING AND COUNTERPART FUNDING
REQUIREMENTS INVESTMENT REQUIREMENT SUMMARY
Project
Estimated Cost (x1000USD)
Category
2018-2020 2021-2025 2026-2030 2031-2035 2036-2040

EPC RAP EPC RAP EPC RAP EPC RAP EPC RAP TOTAL
Power
Evacuation 1,137,737 106,012 156,206 15,825 153,121 16,752 16,651 0 0 0 1,602,303
Projects
Re-investment
258,012 21,205 243,644 2,867 0 0 0 0 0 0 525,727
Projects
System
Expansion 650,386 168,325 227,251 42,973 256,414 56,746 144,973 21,226 243,548 132,380 1,944,222
Projects
Regional
Interconnection 49,639 23,517 123,800 5,548 481,234 50,260 0 0 33,127 3,415 770,539
Projects
Total Grid
Re-investment 2,095,773 319,059 750,900 67,213 890,769 123,758 161,624 21,226 276,675 135,795 4,842,791
Requirement

A GRAPH SHOWING GDP 2018 – 2040 INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS

Figure 16: UETCL grid investment requirements 2018-2040

60 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
6.3 REGIONAL INTERCONNECTION POWER LINES
Regional interconnection power lines are based on the recommendations from the interconnection studies carried
out by the regional bodies (NBI and EAC) including EAPMP, the Comprehensive Basin Wide Study undertaken by
the Nile Basin Initiative (NBI) and the Eastern Africa Power Pool Master Plan by EAPP.

Within the Nile Basin Initiative framework, the NELSAP has engaged in solidarity actions to promote poverty
reduction, economic growth and reverse the environmental degradation process in member countries. Regarding
the energy sector, the NBI focused on optimization and development of hydroelectric power generation and
interconnection among member states.

The Interconnections projects, involving Uganda under the NELSAP project are currently under construction with
expected commissioning year as 2018. These include:
• Uganda (Bujagali) – Kenya (Lessos) 220 kV line
• Uganda (Mbarara) – Rwanda (Birembo) 220 kV line
And studies have been concluded for the following interconnectors awaiting implementation :-
• Uganda (Masaka) – Tanzania (Mwanza) 220kV line

The update of the feasibility study is yet to commence under the financing of KFW. Procurement of the consultant
is ongoing and the process is being spreaheaded by TANESCO in Tanzania.
• Uganda (Nkenda_ - DRC (Beni/Bunia) 220kV line

No feasibility studies have been carried out on the proposed Uganda (Olwiyo)- Juba (Southern Sudan) 400kV
interconnector ; However the Government of Uganda and the Government of South Sudan entered into an MOU
on the development of the project and AfDB has expressed interest in funding the study.
• 400kV Northern Corridor
• Arua – Aru 132kV line

6.4 PROJECT PRIORITIZATION FOR FINANCING

It is observed, from the Grid Development Plan process, that there are numerous grid projects that have to be
implemented in the first five years of the planning horizon. It is therefore necessary to prioritize these projects
as a means of allowing special attention to the most critical ones. The projects have been categorized as follows:

• Power Evacuation Projects

• Projects leading to industrial Growth
• Regional Interconnection Projects

Project Rationale Current Status Financing Status

Provision of transmission
Under Consideration for
Muzizi Interconnection capacity to evacuate power Sourcing for Financing
Funding Using EPC+F
from Muzizi SHPP

Provision of transmission Financing for EPC being

Sourcing for Financing
Ayago Interconnection Project capacity to evacuate power secured from China EXIM
from China EXIM Bank
from Ayago HPP Bank

Feasibility Study Financing for F/S Secured

37.3km 132kV Mirama-Kikagati-Nsongezi Evacuation of Kikagati and Complete from RNE
Transmission Line and Associated Substations Nsongezi HPPs Sourcing for EPC Sourcing Financing for
Financing EPC

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 61
Project Rationale Current Status Financing Status
183km, 132kV single circuit Agago - Lira Provision of transmission
Sourcing for financing for Sourcing for financing
Transmission Line on wooden structures and capacity to evacuate power
Interim solution from GOU
related substations from Agago 42 MW HPP

Feasibility study Financing for Review

Evacuation of Committed Co- Complete of Tender documents
45km 220kV Hoima-Kinyara transmission line and
generation from Kinyara Sugar Procurement of secured from World Bank.
associated substations
Works Supervision of works Sourcing for financing
Consultant ongoing for EPC
Provision of transmission
74km 132kV Mbale – Bulambuli - Kapterol Financing for Feasibility
capacity to evacuate power Feasibility study ongoing
Transmission Line and associated substations Study secured from KfW
from IPPs in Bulambuli area

Extension of Transmission Grid to Evacuate

excess electricity generated from Tilenga and Provision of transmission
Kingfisher oil fields (135km, 132kV transmission capacity to evacuate power Under Consideration
Sourcing for Financing
line from Tilenga SS to Kabaale SS & 50km, 132kV from Tilenga and King Fisher using EPC + F
transmission line from Kingfisher SS to Kabaale SS Oil Fields
and associated substations)

Provision of transmission
Sourcing for Financing for
400kV Oriang Interconnection project capacity to evacuate power Sourcing for Financing
Feasibility Study
from Oriang HPP

Provision of transmission
Sourcing for Financing for
400kV Kiba Interconnection Project capacity to evacuate power Sourcing for Financing
Feasibility Study
from Kiba HPP

50MVA 33/33kV Bujagali Phase Shifting Enable power supply to the

Sourcing for Financing Sourcing for Financing
Transformers distribution network

Mirama Substation Upgrade (2X50/63MVA, Enable power supply to the Under Consideration
Sourcing for Financing
132/33kV Transformers) distribution network using EPC + F

Tororo 2x250MVA 220/132kV Interbus Connection of 132kV grid to the Under Consideration
Sourcing for Financing
Transformers 220kV grid at the substation using EPC + F

2X250MVA 220/132kV Mbarara South Interbus Connection of 132kV grid to the Under Consideration
Sourcing for Financing
Transformers 220kV grid at the substation using EPC + F

Improvement of reliability and

10MVAr 11kV Capacitor Banks at Lugazi Sourcing for Financing GOU
power supply quality

Mbarara North Substation Upgrade (2x50/63MVA, Improvement of reliability and Under Consideration for
Sourcing for Financing
132/33kV Power Transformers) power supply quality Funding Using EPC+F

World Bank for Tender

Nkenda Substation 132/33kV Upgrade (2X60MVA
Increase Substation Capacity Under Implementation Document Preparation.
132/33kV Transformers)
EPC - To Be Determined

Tender Documents
Prepared
2km 132kV Mukono - Nalubaale Toff - Lugazi SS Provision of adequate capacity,
Procurement of To be determined
(2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Lugazi SS) improvement of reliability
Supervision of works
Consultant ongoing

Power Transformers Project 1 (Reinforced

Substations: 2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Nkonge
SS, 2X50/60MVA 132/33kV Mutundwe SS,
2X50/60MVA 132/11kV Mutundwe SS,
2X50/60MVA 132/33kV Lugogo SS, 2X50/60MVA
132/11kV Lugogo SS, 2X50/60MVA 132/33kV
Masaka West SS; New Substations: 3X50/60MVA Provision of adequate capacity, Under Consideration
Sourcing for Financing
132/33kV Jinja SS, 2X40MVA 132/33kV Mubende improvement of reliability using EPC+F
SS, 2X40MVA 132/33kV Ishaka SS & 2X40MVA
132/33kV Rakai SS; Transmission Lines: 5km
132kV Bujagali Tororo T-Off to Jinja SS, 30km
132kV Nkonge - Mubende, 10km 132kV Mbarara
- Nkenda T-off to Ishaka & 10km 132kV Masaka -
Kyaka T-Off to Rakai)

62 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 Project Rationale Current Status Financing Status
Substation Reinforcement Project (Upgrade
132/33kV Power Transformers), Upgrade of
Provision of adequate capacity, Under Consideration
Tororo Substation (2x125MVA, 132/33kV Power Sourcing for Financing
improvement of reliability using EPC+F
Transformers), Upgrade of Kole Substation
(2x32/40MVA, 132/33kV Power Transformers)

Upgrade of Nkenda - Hoima to 220kV (Nkenda

2X250MVA 220/132/33kV Substation, 2X90MVA Provision of adequate capacity, Under Consideration
Sourcing for Financing
Fort Portal 220/132/33kV Substation, 2X250MVA improvement of reliability using EPC+F
Hoima 220/132/33kV Substation)

130km 132kV Bulambuli - Moroto Transmission Improvement in availability of

Sourcing for Financing Sourcing for Financing
Line (60/80MVA 132/33kV Bulambuli SS) power supply

Improvement of availability,
47km 220kV Kinyara-Kafu Transmission Line Under Consideration
reliability, and quality of power Sourcing for Financing
(2x250/250MVA, 400/220/33kV Kafu SS ) using EPC+F
supply

54km 132kV Kawanda - Kasana (1X20MVA Improvement of availability,

Sourcing for Financing
132/33kV Kawanda SS, 1X20MVA 132/33kV reliability, and quality of power Sourcing for Financing
from GOU
Kasana SS & 132kV Matugga Switching Station) supply
Sukulu Phosphate Transmission Line Project
Improvement of availability,
(2X50/63MVA 132/10.5kV Power Transformers
reliability, and quality of power Sourcing for Financing Sourcing for Financing
– Phase 1; 2x125MVA, 220/10.5kV Power
supply
Transformers – Phase 2)
160km 132kV Nakasongola - Kaweweta – Improvement of availability,
Kapeeka Transmission line and associated reliability, and quality of power Sourcing for Financing To be determined
substations supply
Improvement of availability,
37km 220kV Wobulenzi - Kapeeka Transmission Under Consideration
reliability, and quality of power Sourcing for Financing
Line and associated substations using EPC + F
supply
Improvement of availability,
142.9km 200kV Kapeeka– Kiboga - Hoima Under Consideration
reliability, and quality of power Sourcing for Financing
Transmission Line and associated substations using EPC + F
supply
Improvement of availability,
Mbale Industrial and Business Park Substation reliability, and quality of power
Sourcing for Financing Sourcing for Financing
(3X60/80MVA 132/33kV Transformers) supply to several industrial
parks in Mbale
Standard Gauge Railway Transmission Line Project
Improvement of availability,
(2X10MVA 132/27.5kV Tororo, Buwoola, Iganga,
reliability, and quality of power Sourcing for Financing Sourcing for Financing
Nyenga and Kampala East Traction Stations and
supply
associated transmission lines)

Nkenda-Mpondwe (D.R.Congo) 220kV, 72.5km Under Consideration

Regional Power Trade Sourcing for Financing
Uganda’s side Using EPC + F
Government of Uganda
400kV Northern Corridor 2X200MVA, 400/220kV Improvement of availability,
Sourcing for Financing Government of Rwanda/
transformers at New Masaka, New Mbarara and reliability, and quality of power
for EPC Government of Kenya
Shango SSs and associated transmission lines supply
at FS
Update of FS by KFW
82km 220kV Masaka - Mutukula - Mwanza Sourcing for Financing
Regional Power Trade EPC- Sourcing funds from
Transmission Line for EPC
KFW/AFD
400kV Olwiyo-Nimule-Juba(Sudan) 400kV Line
(Substation: 2X150MVA 400/220kV Olwiyo SS;
Regional Power Trade Sourcing for Financing To be determined
190km Olwiyo - Nimule - Juba Transmission Line-
Uganda’s part)

15km 132kV Arua - Aru TL Project (2X15/20MVA

Regional Power Trade Sourcing for Financing To be determined
132/33kV Aru SS)

TABLE 26: Project prioritization for Financing

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 63
6.5 INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY
UETCL’s objective is to build and maintain a smart national grid that maintains a flexible and reliable electricity
supply. This requires a changed approach to grid investment and a similar change in its telecommunications
investment.

UETCL currently implements the Optical Fibre with Ground Earth wire (OPGW) as part of every EPC contract for
construction of transmission lines and as such the communication infrastructure is expanding at the same pace
as the power transmission grid.

The current UETCL telecommunications network is in most cases up to date but there is need to make certain that
it shall continue to be future proof.

The demand for a reliable communication network that ensures optimum management of the power system and
its ability to meet other business requirements are increasing.
UETCL’s response to the challenges faced includes and shall continue to have the following initiatives:
• Communication infrastructure that enables improved monitoring and control of the power system as
well as increased access to detailed power system network information.
• The telecommunications network needs to support UETCL’s critical grid services comprising of tele-
protection, SCADA, telemetering and voice communication.
• The move towards an IP based environment is leading UETCL into paying more attention to communication
networks.
• Evolving real time requirements that shall impact on communication infrastructure development include:
o SCADA, which is changing to IP based solutions
o IT security, which requires a robust and reliable network
o New substation features, such as IP CCTV
In addition, new lines of business in telecommunication are being identified by the company. This shall ensure
better utilisation of present and future grid communication infrastructure.
Optical Fibre Leasing: This is a business area that has been identified by UETCL. All new transmission lines shall
have sufficient optical fibre installed to cater for other users who wish to lease the fibre. An aggressive marketing
campaign shall be used to attract more users. UETCL, however, has a challenge of avoiding service interruptions
resulting from vandalising the towers that support the fibre.

64 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
7|NDPII
SCENARIO

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 65
7.1 LOAD AND GENERATION PROGNOSIS

The current National Development Plan (NDP II) is the second out of the six - five-year NDPs that will be implemented
under Vision 2040 and covers the fiscal period 2015/16 to 2019/20. It builds on the achievements attained under
NDP I, mitigates the challenges encountered during its implementation, and seeks to take advantage of regional
and global development opportunities. Unlike its predecessor, NDP II will serve as the point of reference to
inform government planning processes, thereby eliminating parallel planning. The goal of this Plan is to propel
the country towards middle income status by 2020 through strengthening the country’s competitiveness for
sustainable wealth creation, employment and inclusive growth.

7.1.1 ASSUMPTIONS FOR DEMAND SUPPLY PROGNOSIS

• Electricity per Capita Consumption raised from 80kWh (2012) to 578kWh by 2020
• Rural Electrification raised from the current 14% to 30% by 2020
• Generation capacity shall be increased from the current 825MW to 2500MW by 2020.
• System losses shall be reduced to 16% by 2020.
• The forecast growth rate for the country is 3.2% per annum on average between 2014 and 2030. By 2040 the
population of Uganda is estimated at 61 million.4
• Export potential is assumed to be as presented in Table below.

Market 2011-2016 2016 - 2040

Tanzania 20-40 MW 40MW
Kenya 4-50MW 50-200MW
D.R. Congo 2-30MW 50MW
Rwanda 2 50 MW
Sudan -- 50MW
TABLE 27: Projected export potential (MW)-NDP case
• GDP growth rate5
The average targeted growth rate of about 6.3 percent will be driven by growth in public and private
investments and exports up to 2020

Year 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2 2019/20

Overall GDP growth 5.5 5.7 6.0 6.1 6.3
TABLE 28: GDP growth projection-NDP case

4 Source: NPA – NPD II 2015-2020

5 Source: NDPII

66 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
7.1.2 DEMAND AND GENERATION BALANCE
The charts below illustrate the growth outlook of demand and generation capacity.

FIGURE 17: Demand-Supply NDPII scenario

Population Population Population

Consumption Forecasted Comp-uted Demand
Year with access to growth rate accessing
per capita kWh population GWh MW
electricity (%) (%) electricity
2015 80 14 3.3 36,058,680 5,048,215 404 46
2016 90 16 3.0 37,151,258 5,944,201 535 61
2017 212 17 3.0 38,265,796 6,505,185 1,379 157
2018 341 18 2.9 39,375,504 7,087,591 2,417 276
2019 463 25 2.8 40,478,018 10,119,504 4,685 535
2020 578 30 2.5 41,489,968 12,446,991 7,194 821
Table 29: Demand forecast for NDPII
Source: Second National Development Plan (NDP II) 2015/16-2019/20

7.1.3 EXISTING AND PROPOSED GENERATION RESOURCES

Plant Capacity (MW)
1 AgagoI,II,III 88
2 Electromaxx 50
4 Nalubaale 180
5 Kiira 200
6 Albartros 50
7 Jacobsen-Namanve 50
8 Kilembe Mines Limited (KML) 5
9 Kasese Cobalt Co. Ltd. (KCCL) 9.5
10 Kakira Sugar Ltd 12
11 Kikagati Power Company Ltd 16
12 Eco Power (Ishasha) 6.5
13 Buseruka 9
14 Bugoye 13
15 Mpanga 18
16 Kinyara 4.5

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 67
 Plant Capacity (MW)
17 Kabaale & Refinery 53
18 Bujagali 250
19 Isimba 183
20 Karuma 600
21 Mini hydros 203
22 Solar Generation 20
23 Co-generation (Biomass) 100
24 Peat (Kabale) 33
25 Ayago 840
TOTAL (MW) 2500
TABLE 30:Existing and proposed enegy sources-NDPII case

7.2 OBSERVATIONS

In order to meet the NDP II targets, the requirement is to fast track the implementation of the grid investments
plan for the planning horizon 2018 –2026 within the next two years.

The table below shows the rationale for the deduction above
NDP II target- 2020 Base case -2026
Domestic Demand forecast 821 816
Generation forecast 2500 4022
Table 31: Comparison between the base case 2026 and NDP11 targets

Financial requirements for NDP II scenario (Base Case 2018-2026)

Project Category Estimated Cost (Billion UGX) Estimated Cost (x1000USD)
Power Evacuation Projects 5,175.03 1,415,779
Re-investment Projects 1,921.66 525,727
System Expansion Projects 4,262.61 1,166,160
Regional Interconnection Projects 948.33 259,443
Total Grid Re-investment Requirement 12,307.63 3,367,109
Table 32: Financial requirements for NDPII

7.3 PROJECTS TO REALIZE NDPII

The following projects should be implemented within the next two years to realize NDPII.
Power evacuation projects
1. Bujagali 220kV Switchyard Project (2X250MVA 220/132/33kV Power Transformers)
2. Karuma Hydro Power & Interconnection Project
3. 220kV Nkenda - FortPortal – Hoima 229 km
4. 132kV 42km Isimba Interconnection Project.
5. 220kV Bujagali – Kawanda Line Bays.
6. Muzizi Interconnection: (2x90 MVA 220/132/33 kV Muzizi Substation)
7. Ayago Interconnection Project (2km 400kV Ayago - Nile HPPs Switching Station Underground Cable;
10km 400kV Nile HPPs Switching Station - T-Ayago Underground Cable)
8. 37.3km 132kV Mirama-Kikagati-Nsongezi (2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Nsongezi SS).
9. 183km, 132kV single circuit Agago - Lira Transmission Line on wooden structures and related substations.
10. 83km 132kV Gulu-Agago TL Project (2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Agago SS.

68 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 11. 45km 220kV Hoima-Kinyara (2X90/40MVA 220/132/33kV Kinyara SS).
12. 74km 132kV Mbale – Bulambuli - Kapterol Transmission Line; 2X 60/80MVA 132/33kV Mbale SS,
2X45/60MVA 132/33kV Kapterol SS.
13. Extension of Transmission Grid to evacuate excess electricity generated from Tilenga and Kingfisher oil
fields.
14. 400kV Oriang Interconnection project (10km 400kV Oriang - Nile HPPs Switching Station Underground
cable)
15. 400kV Kiba Interconnection Project (10km 400kV Kiba - Nile HPPs Switching Station Underground cable)
Grid re-investment projects
1. Kabulasoke-Nkonge-Nkenda 132kV 216.5 km (Re-stringing)
2. Kabulasoke-Masaka West 132kV 60km (Re-stringing)
3. Reconductoring 3km of Bujagali - Nalubaale line with HTLS Conductor
4. Reconductoring 113km of Bujagali - Tororo line with HTLS Conductor.
5. 50MVA 33/33kV Bujagali Phase Shifting Transformers.
6. Mirama Substation Upgrade (2X50/63MVA, 132/33kV Transformers).
7. 2X250MVA 220/132kV Mbarara South Interbus Transformers.
8. Reallocation of 1X60MVA 220/132/33kV Transformer from Mbarara to Mirama Substation.
9. Refurbishment of transformer bay and shift of 20MVA Transformer to Lira Substation from Tororo.
10. 20MVAr Capacitor Banks at Sukulu 10.5kV Bus.
11. 10MVAr 11kV Capacitor Banks at Lugazi.
12. Tororo 80MVA, 132/33kV.
13. Mbarara North Substation Upgrade (2x50/63MVA, 132/33kV Power Transformers).
14. Kampala North substation upgrade (1X32/40MVA 132/33kV Transformer).
15. Kawanda substation upgrade (1X32/40MVA 132/33kV Transformer).
16. Opuyo Substation 132/33kV Upgrade (2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Transformers).
17. Nkenda Substation 132/33kV Upgrade (2X60MVA 132/33kV Transformers).
18. 2km 132kV Mukono - Nalubaale Toff - Lugazi SS (2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Lugazi SS).
19. Kampala Metropolitan Area Improvement Project.
20. Power Transformers Project 1 (Reinforced Substations: 2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Nkonge SS, 2X50/60MVA
132/33kV Mutundwe SS, 2X50/60MVA 132/11kV Mutundwe SS, 2X50/60MVA 132/33kV Lugogo SS,
2X50/60MVA 132/11kV Lugogo SS, 2X50/60MVA 132/33kV Masaka West SS; New Substations: 3X50/60MVA
132/33kV Jinja SS, 2X40MVA 132/33kV Mubende SS, 2X40MVA 132/33kV Ishaka SS & 2X40MVA 132/33kV
Rakai SS; Transmission Lines: 5km 132kV Bujagali Tororo T-Off to Jinja SS, 30km 132kV Nkonge - Mubende,
10km 132kV Mbarara - Nkenda T-off to Ishaka & 10km 132kV Masaka - Kyaka T-Off to Rakai).
21. Substation Reinforcement Project (Upgrade 132/33kV Power Transformers), Upgrade of Tororo Substation
(2x125MVA, 132/33kV Power Transformers), Upgrade of Kole Substation (2x32/40MVA, 132/33kV Power
Transformers).
22. Upgrade of Nkenda - Hoima to 220kV (Nkenda 2X250MVA 220/132/33kV Substation, 2X90MVA Fort Portal
220/132/33kV Substation, 2X250MVA Hoima 220/132/33kV Substation).

System Expansion projects

1. 160km 132kV Mbarara-Nkenda & 260km 132kV Tororo - Opuyo - Lira TL Project & 2X32/40MVA 132/33kV
Fortportal SS.
2. 137km 220kV Kawanda-Masaka Project: Substations; 2X125MVA 220/132kV Masaka SS; 2X250MVA
220/132kV Kawanda SS; 15MVAr 220kV Shunt Reactor at Masaka SS; 2X15MVAr 220kV Shunt Reactor at
Mbarara SS.

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 69
 3. 23.5km 132kV Mutundwe-Entebbe Transmission Line Project: Substation; 2X60/80MVA 132/33kV Entebbe
SS.
4. Industrial Parks SS Project:
5. 160km 132kV Opuyo-Moroto Transmission Line Project (2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Moroto SS).
6. 85km 132kV Mirama - Kabale Transmission Line (2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Kabale SS).
7. 130.5km 400kV Masaka - Mbarara Transmission Line.
8. 132kV Mutundwe-Gaba-Luzira (32/40MVA 132/33kV Gaba SS; 25km 132kV Mutundwe - Gaba Transmission
Line, 25km 132kV Gaba - Luzira Transmission Line.
9. 132kV 313km Lira-Gulu-Nebbi-Arua Project.
10. 47km 220kV Kinyara-Kafu Transmission Line (2x250/250MVA, 400/220/33kV Kafu SS ).
11. 54km 132kV Kawanda – Kasana.
12. 50km 220kV Buloba - Gaba Transmission Line (2X60MVA 220/132/33kV Gaba SS).
13. 303km 220kV Nkenda - Buloba Transmission Line.
14. Sukulu Phosphate Transmission Line Project 2X50/63MVA 132/10.5Kv Power Transformers – Phase 1;
2x125MVA, 220/10.5kV Power Transformers – Phase 2).
15. T-Matugga - Kapeeka (Substations: 1X20MVA 132/33kV Kapeeka; Transmission Lines: 45km 132kV
T-Matugga - Kasana).
16. Nakasongola - Kaweweeta - Kapeeka (2X32/40MVA 132/33kV Nakasongola SS; 2X32/40MVA 132/33kV
Kaweweeta SS 160km, 132kV double circuit Nakasongola, Kaweweta Kapeeka transmission line ).
17. 37km 220kV Wobulenzi - Kapeeka Transmission Line (2x250/250/50MVA 400/220/33kV Wobulenzi
Substation, 2x125MVA 220/132/33kV Kapeeka Substation, 3X50/63MVA 132/33kV Kapeeka SS).
18. 142.9km 200kV Kapeeka – Kiboga - Hoima Transmission Line.
19. Mbale Industrial and Business Park Substation (3X60/80MVA 132/33kV Transformers).
20. Standard Gauge Railway Transmission Line Project.
21. SCADA and Communication upgrade and Emergency Control Centre.

Regional Interconnection projects

1. 220kV NELSAP (Bujagali - Tororo & Mbarara - Mirama): Transmission Lines: 127km 220kV Bujagali – Tororo-
UG/KY Border & 66km 220kV Mbarara – Mirama-UG/RW Border ).
2. Nkenda-Mpondwe (D.R.Congo) 220kV, 72.5km Uganda’s side.
3. 400kV Northern Corridor.
4. 82km 220kV Masaka - Mutukula - Mwanza Transmission Line.
5. 400kV Olwiyo-Nimule-Juba(Sudan) 400kV Line

70 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
8|VISION 2040

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 71
8.1 LOAD AND GENERATION PROGNOSIS
8.1.1 ASSUMPTIONS FOR DEMAND SUPPLY PROGNOSIS
• expected to increase from the current 35 million to 60.4
Uganda’s Population
million by 2040
Average Energy Consumption per capita • 3,668kWh/person/ year by 2040
Access to National Grid • 80%
Installed Generation Capacity • 41,738MW by 2040
TABLE 33: Assumptions for demand supply prognosis-vision 2040
SOURCE: NPA –VISION 2040

8.1.2 ASSUMPTIONS ON AVAILABLE ENERGY RESOURCES BY 2040

Energy Estimated Capacity (MW)
Hydro 4,500
Geothermal 1,500
Solar 5,000
Nuclear 24,000
Biomass 1,700
Peat 800
Thermal 4,300
TABLE 34: Assumptions on available energy resources by Vision 2040
SOURCE: NPA –VISION 2040

FIGURE 18: Assumptions on available energy resources by Vision 2040

8.1.3 VISION 2040 CASE GDP FORECAST BY 2040

Year 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
GDP 22,838 25,198 27,801 30,672 33,304 36,162 39,264 42,633 46,291 50,156
Growth 2.8% 10.3% 10.3% 10.3% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.6% 8.4%
Year 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031
GDP 54,344 58,882 63,799 69,126 74,808 80,957 87,612 94,814 102,607 110,888
Growth 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.4% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.1%
Year 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
GDP 119,837 129,507 139,959 151,253 163,096 175,867 189,637 204,486 220,497
Growth 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8%
TABLE 35: Vision 2040 case GDP forecast (UGX billion)

72 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
8.1.4 DEMAND FORECAST VISION 2040

Year Maximum Demand(MW) % Demand Growth

2017 157.4* -
2018 275.9* 75.3%
2019 534.9 93.9%
2020 821.3 53.54%
2021 964.494 17.435%
2022 1,132.65 17.435%
2023 1,330.13 17.435%
2024 1,562.04 17.435%
2025 1,834.38 17.435%
2026 2,154.21 17.435%
2027 2,529.79 17.435%
2028 2,970.86 17.435%
2029 3,488.83 17.435%
2030 4,097.11 17.435%
2031 4,811.44 17.435%
2032 5,650.31 17.435%
2033 6,635.44 17.435%
2034 7,792.33 17.435%
2035 9,150.93 17.435%
2036 10,746.4 17.435%
2037 12,620 17.435%
2038 14,820.3 17.435%
2039 17,404.3 17.435%
2040 20,438.7 17.435%
TABLE 36: Demand forecast vision 2040

FIGURE 19: Demand supply power balance for VISION 2040

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 73
8.2 RECOMMENDATIONS
From the above studies and analysis, the following recommendations are made for consideration.
• The Ugandan 2040 Vision case methodology differs from the other cases in order to be able to match the
targeted per capita consumption levels of the reference document. These targets yield very ambitious
demand levels and would require a complete transformation of the sector and massive levels of
investment in the next 23 years up to 2040.
• The forecasts presented in the above table requires substantial amounts of investments in the power
system infrastructure i.e. generation plants, transmission line network and distribution network in order to
be realized. Nuclear power plants, given their base load generation profiles, will play a key role in the future
investment portfolio allowing for the supply of reliable base load energy that can be complemented with
other technologies in order to adapt to the future load profile of the country. These investments will be
enormous for the Ugandan 2040 Vision case and will require a complete transformation of the Ugandan
electricity system.
• Review other Government Policies e.g. Energy policy, transport, housing, agriculture, industry etc. to align
them with the 2040 vision.
• The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Development should give policy guidance to ensure harmonized
planning within the energy sector (generation, transmission, distribution and rural electrification.
The demand supply balance prognosis comparing all the three scenarios is shown in the figures below.

FIGURE 20: Demand supply power balance prognosis for all three scenarios

FIGURE 21: Demand supply energy balance for all three scenarios

74 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
9 RISK ANALYSIS
Below are the general risks identified, relating to the implementation of the GDevP and the proposed mitigation
measures. Mitigation measures will further be discussed in the feasibility studies of the individual projects.

RISK ASSESSMENT MITIGATION MEASURES

Strategic and Business

a) Failure to adequately commit
and invest in the grid due • GoU to attract potential private participation
to limitations /budget in the projects
constraints. • Transmission line and substation projects to
b) Failure to obtain alternative be in timely presented to GoU for soliciting
financing for capital and grid of financing.
investment to meet future • To consider applying Cost recovery tariffs.
energy/power demands • Hard currency should be used for settlement
c) Unfavorable forms of of transaction in the Regional Power Trade.
financing could put the • The load growth patterns should constantly
High
company in a poor financial be watched and load forecasts adjusted
situation accordingly.
d) Uncertainty on currency • RPT projects should be implemented under
exchanges the established initiatives i.e. EAPP, NELSAP
e) Possibility of not meeting and NBI.
future demand. • Constant liaison with the National Planning
f ) Inadequate harmonization of Authority.
plans with other utilities

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 75
 RISK ASSESSMENT MITIGATION MEASURES

Environmental and Social Risks

• Feasibility studies should be conducted and
Delayed implementation of
detailed EIA and SIA to include mitigation
projects as a result of ;
measures in line with NEMA and potential
a) Social
financier’s guidelines and all stakeholders
b) Environmental
should be consulted.
c) Political
High • Financial and Economic analysis should be
d) Legal
conducted in the Feasibility Studies
e) Economic
• Security issues should be addressed in the
f ) Security
social Environmental studies
g) RAP implementation

• Use technologies extensively proven in

other parts of the world
Technical Risks
• UETCL to be trained for proper operation of
a) Increasing skill gaps due to
equipment
changing technology
• Equipment should be covered under the
b) Likelihood of equipment
manufactures warranties.
failure Low
• UETCL staff to participate in Factory
c) Possibility of Equipment under
Acceptance Tests to ensure quality of
sizing
equipment supplied.

• Timely procure Consultancy Services for

Project Supervision.
• Contracts to include penalty clauses to
Project Implementation Risks compensate or time delays
a) Cost overruns • Ensure that contractor goes for insurance
b) Engineering coverage
c) Design • Provide for variation order clause to cater for
d) Construction unavoidable risks
Low-
e) Commissioning • Projects intended for evacuation of IPP to
Medium
f ) Handover be packaged together with the Hydropower
Projects.
• UETCL counterpart staff to be involved
in all aspects from its inception to the
commissioning stage.

• Hydropower plants should be planned

basing on firm capacity.
• Steel tubular poles should be used instead
of steel lattice towers which are vulnerable
to vandalism.
Operational Risks • Use of conductors such as AAAC that are
a) Limitation in Hydrology less prone to vandalism.
b) Vandalism Medium- • Engage stakeholders to develop more
high stringent measures / penalties in the laws.
• Advocate for the regulation of scrap market.
• Local leaders at LCI level are to be engaged
to provide security to the lines in their areas
where the lines traverse.
TABLE 37: Risk analysis

76 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
10 STAKEHOLDERS

Due to the nature of the projects and the environment in which UETCL operates, identification of key
stakeholders is a prerequisite for the successful implementation of this Grid Development Plan.
Further still, the key stake holders need to create an environment conducive for the survival of UETCL as a self-
sustaining organization without collapsing under the debt burden.
Below are some of the stakeholders and their roles.

STAKEHOLDER ROLE

• Sector policy and strategies

Government of Uganda (GoU) • Provide counterpart funding for activities like RAP implementation
• Power sector contribution to GoU wider objectives
• Source for funding from development partners
• Power sales Agreements (PSA’s)
Distributors (Umeme & others) • Wheeling Agreements (WA’s)
• Provide data regarding consumers
• Issue licenses
Electricity Regulatory Authority
• Approve budgets
• Approve bulk supply tariff

Rural Electrification Agency • Provide data on future rural electrification projects

• Facilitates implementation of rural electrification program

Regional utilities • Power Exchange Agreements

Independent Power Producers • Generate and sell power under Power Purchase Agreements

• Project identification
Funding agencies • Project appraisal
• Approval of financing
• Project supervision

Government Valuer • Approval of RAP costs and budget

• Provision of properties compensation amounts.
Public • Way leaves acquisition
• Land acquisition
• Approval of ESIA report
NEMA
• Ensuring compliance with environmental conservation guidelines
• Approval of ESIA report
NFA
• Wayleaves acquisition
• Approval of ESIA report
UWA
• Wayleaves acquisition
UIA • Information on upcoming demand
NPA • Harmonize national planning

• UNRA (Uganda National Road Authority).

• NWSC (National Water Sewage Corporation)
Infrastructure Utilities
• PAU ( Petroleum Authority of Uganda)
These provide data on their respective infrastructure plan.
TABLE 38: Stakeholders

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 77
78 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 APPENDICES

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 79
80 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
A.1 DEMAND - SUPPLY
BALANCE AND PROGNOSIS

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 81
82 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
A.2 GIP IMPLEMENTATION
PLAN AND SCHEDULE

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 91
A.3 UETCL TRANSMISSION
LINES

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 107
 Period: 1954 - 2017
Route Circuit Line
Nominal No. of No. of In service Line Rating
Line Length Length Type Age
Voltage (kV) circuits structures date (MVA)
(km) (km) (yrs)
Kampala North - Namungoona 132 5.6 2 11.2 20 Steel tower 1959 59 79.1
Namungoona - Mutundwe 132 5.4 2 10.8 16 Steel tower 1959 59 79.1
Lugogo - Kampala North 132 5.7 2 11.4 25 Steel tower 1997 21 73.2
Lugogo - Mutundwe 132 10.2 2 20.4 46 Steel tower 1997 21 180
Mutundwe - Kabulasoke 132 84.7 1 84.7 476 wooden 1963 55 63.1
Kabulasoke - Masaka West 132 60 1 60 338 wooden 1963 55 63.1
Masaka West - Kyaka 132 84.5 1 84.5 262 Steel tower 1994 24 73.8
Masaka West - Mbarara North 132 130.5 1 130.5 407 tower 1995 23 151.6
Kabulasoke - Nkonge 132 78.5 1 78.5 422 wooden 1963 55 63.1
Nkonge - Rugonjo 132 62.113 1 62.113 529 wooden 1963 55 63.1
Rugonjo - Nkenda 132 40.978 1 40.978 229 wooden 1963 55 63.1
Nalubaale – Namanve 132 56.3 1 56.3 169 Steel tower 1954 64 147
Namanve - Kampala North 132 12.6 1 12.6 37 Steel tower 1954 64 147
Nalubaale - Lugazi 66 35.2 1 35.2 104 Steel tower 1963 55 10.6
Nalubaale- Lugogo 132 70.2 2 140.4 243 Steel tower 1998 20 180.6
Bujagali – Tororo 132 118.8 2 237.6 207 Steel tower 1954 64 78
Tororo - Opuyo 132 119.5 1 119.5 775 wooden 1963 55 63.1
Opuyo – Lira 132 141.2 1 141.2 607 wooden 1963 55 63.1
Tororo - Kenya 132 27 2 54 28 Steel tower 1954 64 78
Bujagali - Nalubaale 132 8 2 16 35 Steel tower 2011 7 205.8
Bujagali - Kawanda 220 75 2 150 212 Steel tower 2012 7 205.8
Kawanda - Mutundwe 132 17 2 34 72 Steel tower 2012 7 457
Underground
Queensway – Lugogo Queens way t off 132 0.3 1 0.3 2017
cable
Nkenda – Fort Portal 220kV 55 2 110 Steel tower 2017
Total 1701.19

108 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
PLANNED TRANSMISSION LINES

Period: 2018 – 2040

Nominal Voltage Route Length Circuit Length Expected

Line No. of circuits Type
(kV) (km) (km) commissioning year

Mbarara – Nkenda 132 160 2 320 Steel tower 2018

Bujagali – Tororo - UG’KY border 220 127 2 254 Steel tower 2018
Mbarara – Mirama - UG’RW border 220 66 2 132 Steel tower 2018
Kawanda – Masaka 220 137 2 274 Steel tower 2018
Fort Portal – Hoima 220 170 2 340 Steel tower 2018
Isimba – Bujagali 132 42 2 84 Steel tower 2018
Karuma – Olwiyo 400 54.2 2 108.4 Steel tower 2018
Karuma – Lira 132 75.5 2 151 Steel tower 2018
Karuma – Kawanda 400 248 2 496 Steel tower 2018
T Matuga Kapeka 132 45 2 90 Steel tower 2018
Mutundwe – Entebbe 132 23.5 2 47 Steel tower 2019
Namanve South - Luzira 132 15 2 30 Steel tower 2019
T-Mukono from Nalubaale - Namanve Transmission Line 132 8 2 16 Steel tower 2019
T- Iganga from Bujagali - Tororo Transmission Line 132 15 4 60 Steel tower 2019
Namanve - Namanve South 132 6 2 12 Steel tower 2019
Kawanda - Kasana 132 54 2 108 Wooden poles 2019
Opuyo – Moroto 132 160 2 320 Monopoles 2019
Gulu – Agago 132 83 2 166 Steel tower 2020
Lira – Gulu 132 90 2 180 Steel tower 2020
Gulu - Nebbi (Via Olwiyo) 132 160 2 320 Steel tower 2020
Nebbi – Arua 132 63 2 126 Steel tower 2020
Buloba branch point – Buloba Substation 132 0.8 2 1.6 Steel tower 2020

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
109
Period: 2018 – 2040

Nominal Voltage Route Length Circuit Length Expected

Line No. of circuits Type
(kV) (km) (km) commissioning year

(New Mukono Substation – Mukono Substation) 132 0.3 2 0.6 Steel tower 2020

New Mukono branch point – New Mukono Substation

(including modification of 132kV Transmission Line between 220 4.2 4 16.8 Steel tower 2020
No. 77 & No.78)

New Mukono Substation – New Mukono branch point

132 0.4 2 0.8 Steel tower 2020
(Southern trunk line)

Mukono branch point (Northern trunk line) – Kampala North

132 25.4 1 25.4 Steel tower 2020
Substation

Kampala North Substation – Mutundwe Substation 132 10.2 2 20.4 Steel tower 2020
Kawaala branch point – Kawaala Substation 132 0.1 2 0.2 Steel tower 2020
Buloba branch point – Buloba Substation 220 0.9 4 3.6 Steel tower 2020
Mirama – Kabale 132 85 2 170 Steel tower 2020
Masaka - Mbarara 400 130.5 2 261 Steel tower 2021
Tororo SS – SGR Tororo Traction SS 132 11 2 22 Steel tower 2021
Bujagali – Tororo T/L T-off to SGR Buwoola SS 132 64 2 128 Steel tower 2021
Iganga SS – SGR Iganga Traction SS 132 3.5 2 7 Steel tower 2021
Nalubaale – Lugogo T/L to SGR Nyenga SS 132 5 2 10 Steel tower 2021
Namanve South – SGR Kampala East SS 132 3.7 2 7.4 Steel tower 2021
Hoima - Kinyara 220 45 2 90 Steel tower 2021
Kinyara – Kafu 220 47 2 94 Steel tower 2021
Kingfisher – Kabale 132 50 2 100 Steel tower 2021
Tilenga - Kabale 132 135 2 270 Steel tower 2021
Wobulenzi – Kapeka 220 37 2 74 Steel tower 2022

110 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Period: 2018 – 2040

Nominal Voltage Route Length Circuit Length Expected

Line No. of circuits Type
(kV) (km) (km) commissioning year

Kapeka - Kiboga - Hoima 220 142.9 2 285.8 Steel tower 2022

Nakasongola – Kaweweta- Kapeka 132 160 2 320 Steel tower 2022
Mbale - Kapetrol - Bulambuli 132 74 2 148 Steel tower 2022
Mirama – Nsongezi 132 37.3 2 74.6 Steel tower 2022
Masaka – Mutukula 220 82 2 164 Steel tower 2022
Bujagali – Tororo T off to Jinja 132 5 2 10 Steel tower 2022
Mbarara Nkenda Toff to Ishaka 132 10 2 20 Steel tower 2022
Masaka Kyaka Toff to Rakai 132 10 2 20 Steel tower 2022
Nkonge – Mubende 132 30 2 60 Steel tower 2022
Nkenda – Mpondwe 220 72.5 2 145 Steel tower 2022
Underground
Oriang interconnection 400 10 2 20 2023
cable
Underground
Ayago interconnection 400 12 2 24 2023
cable
Mukono Nalubaale T off to Lugazi 132 2 2 4 Steel towers 2025
Mutundwe – Gaba – Luzira 132 50 2 100 Steel towers 2025
Phosphate – Tororo 220 1 2 2 Steel tower 2026
Nkenda – Buloba 220 303 2 606 steel towes 2026
Buloba – Gaba 220 50 2 100 Steel tower 2026
Olwiyo – Nimule 400 190 2 390 Steel tower 2026
Tororo - Wobulenzi 400 198 2 396 Steel tower 2030
New Masaka – Mbarara 400 130 2 260 Steel tower 2030
Wobulenzi – Masaka 400 152 2 304 Steel tower 2030
New Mbarara – Shango 400 160 2 320 Steel tower 2030
Tororo 400 /220 - Tororo 220 /132 220 5.76 2 11.52 steel towers 2030
Kawanda – Wobulenzi 220 41.4 2 82.8 Steel towers 2030

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
111
Period: 2018 – 2040

Nominal Voltage Route Length Circuit Length Expected

Line No. of circuits Type
(kV) (km) (km) commissioning year

Mbarara 400/220 - Mbarara 220/132 220 2.16 2 4.32 Steel towers 2030
Tororo - Karuma 400 345 2 690 Steel tower 2031
Underground
Kiba interconnection project 400 10 2 20 2031
cable
Underground
Uhuru – Olwiyo 400 38 2 76 2031
cable
Kabale – Ishaka 132 90 2 180 Steel towers 2033
Kabulasoke – Kiboga 132 131 2 262 Steel towers 2035
Bulambuli – Moroto 132 130 2 260 Steel towers 2040
Kitgum – Agago 132 65 2 130 Steel towers 2040
Kitgum – Moroto 132 220 2 440 Steel towers 2040
Agago – Adjumani 132 110 2 220 Steel towers 2040
Adjumani – Arua 132 105 2 210 Steel towers 2040
Arua – Aru 132 15 2 30 Steel towers 2040
Total 11327.24
TOTAL CIRCUIT LENGTH BY 2040 13,029.43

112 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
A.4 SUBSTATION
TRANSFORMATION
CAPACITY

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 113
A.4 UETCL SUBSTATION TRANSFORMATION CAPACITY

Period: 1963-2017

IMPEDANCE CONNECTION
YEAR OF MIN MAX VOLTAGE NOMINAL NO. OF EARTHING
SUBSTATION TRANSFORMER MAKE/ TYPE VOLTAGE AT SYMBOL
MANUFACTURE MVA MVA RATIO TAP TAPS RESISTANCE
NOMINAL TAP (VECTOR GROUP)

CENTRAL REGION

NAMANVE

Transformer 1 Crompton Greaves 2007 32 40 132/33kV 5 11.52% 17 YNyn0d1

Transformer 2 Crompton Greaves 2007 32 40 132/33kV 5 11.52% 17 YNyn0d1

Transformer 3 Crompton Greaves 2008 32/40 40 132/33kV 5 11.52% 17 YNyn0d1

LUGOGO

Transformer 1 ABB Kraft 1997 32 40 132/11kV 7 10.21% 17 YNyn0 21 Ohms

Transformer 6 ABB 1998 32 40 132/33kV 5 13.60% 17 YNyn0

Transformer 3 ABB 1998 32 40 132/33kV 5 13.60% 17 YNyn0

Transformer 5 Elektro Putere-Romania 1991 32 40 132/11kV 7 10.78% 17 YNyn0 (d) 21 Ohms

MUTUNDWE

Transformer 1 Elektro Putere 1991 32 40 132/33kV 5 13.60% 17 YNyn0(d)

Transformer 2 ABB 1995 32 40 132/33kV 5 13.50% 17 YNyn0

7.94Ohms
Transformer 3 ABB Powertech 2003 15 20 132/11kV 5 9.64% 17 YNyn0 (d)
(25deg Celcius)
7.94Ohms
Transformer 4 ABB Powertech 2003 15 20 132/11kV 5 9.54% 17 YNyn0 (d)
(25deg Celcius)
KAMPALA
NORTH
Transformer 1 ABB 1995 32 40 132/33kV 5 13.60% 17 YNyn0

Transformer 5 EMCO Transformers 2006 32 40 132/11kV 7 9.62% 17 YNyn0 (d)

Transformer 6 EMCO Transformers 2006 32 40 132/11kV 7 9.63% 17 YNyn0 (d)

Transformer 2 Crompton Greaves 2011 32 40 132/33kV 5 13.43% 17 YNyn0d1

114 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Period: 1963-2017

IMPEDANCE CONNECTION
YEAR OF MIN MAX VOLTAGE NOMINAL NO. OF EARTHING
SUBSTATION TRANSFORMER MAKE/ TYPE VOLTAGE AT SYMBOL
MANUFACTURE MVA MVA RATIO TAP TAPS RESISTANCE
NOMINAL TAP (VECTOR GROUP)

KAWAALA

Tranformer no 5 Hawker Siddeley -Brush 1972 15 20 132/11kV 7 9.80% 17 Yy0d1

KAWANDA

Transformer 1 Crompton Greaves 2009 32 40 132/33kV 5 14.17% 17 YNyn0d11

QUEENSWAY

Transformer 1 Aichi Electric 2016 32 40 132/33kV 13.50% 17 YNyn0d11

Transformer 2 Aichi Electric 2016 32 40 132/33kV 13.50% 17 YNyn0d11

Transformer 3 Aichi Electric 2016 32 40 132/33kV 13.50% 17 YNyn0d11

WESTERN
REGION
MASAKA WEST

Transformer 1 Elektro Putere 1991 15 20 132/33kV 5 9.44% 17 YNyn (d)

Transformer 2 ABB 2007 20 20 132/33kV 5 9.43% 17 YNyn0+d11

MBARARA
NORTH
Transformer 1 Crompton Parkinson 1963 15 15 132/33kV 5 10.12% 17 YNynd11

Transformer 2 ABB 2007 20 20 132/33kV 5 9.45% 17 YNyn0+d

NKONGE

Transformer 1 Ferranti 1970 7.5 7.5 132/33kV 5 10.13% 17 YNyn0

NKENDA

Transformer 1 Elektro Putere 1991 15 20 132/33kV 5 9.44% 17 YNyn (d)

Transformer 2 EMCO India 2003 15 20 132/33kV 5 9.77% 17 YNy0(d)

KAHUNGYE
/RUGONJO
Transformer 1 Jiangsu Huapeng 2010 20 20 132/33kV

Transformer 2 Jiangsu Huapeng 2010 20 20 132/33kV

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
115
Period: 1963-2017

IMPEDANCE CONNECTION
YEAR OF MIN MAX VOLTAGE NOMINAL NO. OF EARTHING
SUBSTATION TRANSFORMER MAKE/ TYPE VOLTAGE AT SYMBOL
MANUFACTURE MVA MVA RATIO TAP TAPS RESISTANCE
NOMINAL TAP (VECTOR GROUP)

FORT PORTAL

Transformer 1 32 40 132/33kV

Transformer 2 32 40 132/33kV

EASTERN REGION

LUGAZI

Transformer 1 ABB 2007 14 14 66/11kV 9.00% 17 Dyn11

Transformer 2 ABB 2007 14 14 66/11kV 9.00% 17 Dyn11

TORORO

Transformer 1 Brush 1988 15 20 132/33kV 5 13.34% 17 YNyn0

Transformer 2 Hawker Siddeley Brush 1985 15 20 132/33kV 9 13.57% 17 YNyn0

Transformer 3 Crompton Greaves 2006 32 40 132/33kV 5 9.44% 17 YNyn0(d11)

BUJAGALI

Transformer 1 EMCO 2016 250 250 220/132/33kV 9 14.49% 17 YNa0d11

Transformer 2 EMCO 2016 250 250 220/132/33kV 9 14.49% 17 YNa0d11

NORTHERN
REGION

OPUYO

Transformer 1 Pauwels Trafo 1993 10 10 132/33kV 5 9.05% 17 YNyn0(d11)

LIRA
Hackbridge Hewittic-
Transformer 1 1974 15 20 132/33kV 9 9.82% 17 YNyn0d11
Easun
Transformer 2 ABB 2007 20 20 132/33kV 5 9.39% 17 YNyn0d11

TOTAL 1640.5

116 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
PLANNED SUBSTATIONS

Period: 2018-2040
EXPECTED MIN VOLTAGE
SUBSTATION TRANSFORMER MAX MVA
COMMISSIONING YEAR MVA RATIO
CENTRAL REGION
NAMANVE SOUTH
Transformer 1 2019 40 63 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2019 40 63 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2019 40 63 132/33kV
LUZIRA
Transformer 1 2019 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2019 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2019 32 40 132/33kV
MUKONO
Transformer 1 2019 40 63 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2019 40 63 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2019 40 63 132/33kV
MUTUNDWE
Transformer 1 2022 50 60 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 50 60 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2022 50 60 132/11kV
Transformer 4 2022 50 60 132/11kV
ENTEBBE
Transformer 1 2019 60 80 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2019 60 80 132/33kV
KASANA
Transformer 1 2019 15 20 132/33kV
KAPEEKA
Transformer 1 2018 15 20 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 50 63 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2022 50 63 132/33kV
Transformer 4 2022 50 63 132/33kV
Transformer 1 2022 125 125 220/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 125 125 220/33kV
KAWANDA
Transformer 1 2018 20 20 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2018 250 250 220/132kV
Transformer 3 2018 250 250 220/132kV
Transformer 4 2018 650 650 400/220kV
Transformer 5 2018 650 650 400/220kV
Transformer 6 2019 32 40 132/33kV
WOBULENZI
Transformer 1 2021 250 250 400/220/33kV
Transformer 2 2021 250 250 400/220/33kV
NAKASONGOLA
Transformer 1 2022 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 32 40 132/33kV

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 117
 Period: 2018-2040
EXPECTED MIN VOLTAGE
SUBSTATION TRANSFORMER MAX MVA
COMMISSIONING YEAR MVA RATIO
LUGOGO
Transformer 1 2022 50 60 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 50 60 132/33kV
Transformer 4 2022 50 60 132/11kV
Transformer 5 2022 50 60 132/11kV
KAMPALA NORTH
Transformer 1 2019 32 40 132/33kV
NEW MUKONO
Transformer 1 2021 125 125 220/132kV
Transformer 2 2021 125 125 220/132kV
Transformer 3 2021 125 125 220/132kV
BULOBA
Transformer 1 2021 125 125 220/132kV
Transformer 2 2021 125 125 220/132kV
Transformer 3 2021 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 4 2021 32 40 132/33kV
KAWAALA UPGRADE
Transformer 6 2021 20 20 132/11kV
Transformer 1 2021 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2021 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2021 32 40 132/33kV
MOBILE SUBSTATION
Transformer 1 2018 50 50 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2021 20 20 132/33kV
NYENGA TRACTION
SS
Transformer 1 2021 10 10 132/27.5kV
Transformer 2 2021 10 10 132/27.5kV
GABA
Transformer 1 2025 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2026 60 60 220/132/33kV
Transformer 3 2026 60 60 220/132/33kV
KABULASOKE
Transformer 1 2035 15 20 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2035 15 20 132/33kV
KAMPALA EAST
TRACTION SS
Transformer 1 2021 10 10 132/27.5kV
Transformer 2 2021 10 10 132/27.5kV
KAWEWETA
Transformer 1 2022 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 32 40 132/33kV
WESTERN REGION
MASAKA WEST
Transformer 3 2018 125 125 220/132kV
Transformer 4 2018 125 125 220/132kV

118 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 Period: 2018-2040
EXPECTED MIN VOLTAGE
SUBSTATION TRANSFORMER MAX MVA
COMMISSIONING YEAR MVA RATIO
Transformer 5 2022 50 60 132/33kV
Transformer 6 2022 50 60 132/33kV
NEW MASAKA
Transformer 1 2030 200 200 400/220kV
Transformer 2 2030 200 200 400/220kV
MBARARA SOUTH
UPGRADE
Transformer 1 2018 40 60 132/220kV
Transformer 1 2021 250 250 132/33kV
Transformer 2
2021 250 250 132/33kV
MBARARA NORTH
UPGRADE
Transformer 1 2022 50 63 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 50 63 132/33kV
MBARARA NEW
Transformer 1 2030 200 200 400/220kV
Transformer 2 2030 200 200 400/220kV
FORT PORTAL
Transformer 1 2021 40 90 33/132/220kV
Transformer 2 2021 40 90 33/132/220kV
MIRAMA
Transformer 1 2018 60 60 220/132kV
Transformer 2 2021 60 60 220/132kV
Transformer 2 2021 50 60 133/33kV
Transformer 3 2021 50 60 133/33kV
HOIMA
Transformer 1 2018 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2018 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2021 250 250 220/132/33kV
Transformer 4 2021 250 250 220/132/33kV
NKENDA
Transformer 1 2022 60 60 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 60 60 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2021 250 250 220/132/33kV
Transformer 4 2021 250 250 220/132/33kV
KABALE
Transformer 1 2020 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2020 32 40 132/33kV
NSONGEZI
Transformer 1 2022 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 32 40 132/33kV
KAFU
Transformer 1 2021 250 250 400/220/33kV
Transformer 2 2021 250 250 400/220/33kV
KABAALE

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 Period: 2018-2040
EXPECTED MIN VOLTAGE
SUBSTATION TRANSFORMER MAX MVA
COMMISSIONING YEAR MVA RATIO
Transformer 1 2021 250 250 220/132/33kV
Transformer 2 2021 250 250 220/132/33kV
KINGFISHER
Transformer 1 2021 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2021 32 40 132/33kV
TILENGA
Transformer 1 2021 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2021 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2021 32 40 132/33kV
MUZIZI
Transformer 2 2021 250 250 220/132/33kV
Transformer 3 2021 250 250 220/132/33kV
NKONGE
Transformer 1 2022 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 32 40 132/33kV
MUBENDE
Transformer 1 2022 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 32 40 132/33kV
RAKAI
Transformer 1 2022 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 32 40 132/33kV
ISHAKA
Transformer 1 2022 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 32 40 132/33kV
KIBOGA
Transformer 1 2035 15 20 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2035 15 20 132/33kV
KINYARA
Transformer 1 2021 40 90 132/220kV
Transformer 2 2021 40 90 132/220kV
EASTERN REGION
BUJAGALI
Transformer 3 2021 250 250 220/132kV
JINJA
Transformer 1 2022 50 60 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 50 60 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2022 50 60 132/33kV
TORORO
Transformer 3 2019 60 80 132/33kV
Transformer 1 2021 250 250 220/132kV
Transformer 2 2021 250 250 220/132kV
Transformer 4 2022 50 63 132/33kV
Transformer 5 2022 50 63 132/33kV
Transformer 6 2022 50 63 132/33kV

120 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
 Period: 2018-2040
EXPECTED MIN VOLTAGE
SUBSTATION TRANSFORMER MAX MVA
COMMISSIONING YEAR MVA RATIO
Transformer 1 2031 650 650 400/220kV
Transformer 2 2031 650 650 400/220kV
IGANGA
Transformer 1 2019 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2019 32 40 132/33kV
KAPTEROL
Transformer 1 2022 45 60 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 45 60 132/33kV
MBALE
Transformer 1 2022 60 80 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 60 80 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2020 60 80 132/33kV
BULAMBULI
Transformer 1 2040 60 80 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2040 60 80 132/33kV
TORORO TRACTION
SS
Transformer 1 2021 10 10 132/27.5kV
Transformer 2 2021 10 10 132/27.5kV
BUWOOLA
TRACTION SS
Transformer 1 2021 10 10 132/27.5kV
Transformer 2 2021 10 10 132/27.5kV
IGANGA TRACTION
SS
Transformer 1 2021 10 10 132/27.5kV
Transformer 2 2021 10 10 132/27.5kV
SUKULU PHOSPHATE
Transformer 1 2018 50 63 132/10.5kV
Transformer 2 2018 50 63 132/10.5kV
Transformer 1 2026 125 125 220/10.5kV
Transformer 2 2026 125 125 220/10.5kV
NEW LUGAZI
Transformer 3 2025 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 4 2025 32 40 132/33kV
NORTHERN REGION
OPUYO SUBSTATION
UPGRADE
Transformer 2 2019 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2019 32 40 132/33kV
KARUMA
Transformer 1 2018 650 650 400/132kV
Transformer 2 2018 650 650 400/132kV
Transformer 3 2018 20 20 132/33kV
Transformer 4 2018 20 20 132/33kV
OLWIYO

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 121
 Period: 2018-2040
EXPECTED MIN VOLTAGE
SUBSTATION TRANSFORMER MAX MVA
COMMISSIONING YEAR MVA RATIO
Transformer 1 2018 15 20 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2018 15 20 132/33kV
Transformer 3 2026 150 150 400/132kV
Transformer 4 2026 150 150 400/132kV
GULU
Transformer 1 2020 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2020 32 40 132/33kV
NEBBI
Transformer 1 2020 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2020 32 40 132/33kV
ARUA
Transformer 1 2020 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2020 32 40 132/33kV
AGAGO
Transformer 1 2020 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2020 32 40 132/33kV
MOROTO
Transformer 1 2019 32 40 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2019 32 40 132/33kV
KOLE
Transformer 1 2022 50 63 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2022 50 63 132/33kV
KITGUM
Transformer 1 2040 15 20 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2040 15 20 132/33kV
ADJUMANI
Transformer 1 2040 15 20 132/33kV
Transformer 2 2040 15 20 132/33kV
ARU
Transformer 1 2040 15 20 132/33kV
Transformer 1 2040 15 20 132/33kV
17,229
TOTAL MVA 18,869.50

122 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
A.5 MAPS

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 123
A.5.1 UGANDA POWER SYSTEM PRESENT AND FUTURE NETWORK
UGANDA POWER SYSTEM PRESENT AND FUTURE NETWORK

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited 160

Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040

124 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
A.5.2 EAST AFRICAN POWER SYSTEM

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited 162

Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 125
A.5.3 NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN SCENARIO (NDP)
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN SCENARIO (NDP)

Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited 164

Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040

126 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040
Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040 105
 Plot 10 Hannington Road
P. O. Box 7625, Kampala-Uganda
Tel: +256 414 233 433/4,
+256 417 802 000, +256 314 802 000
Fax: 256-41-4341789
Email: [email protected]

106 Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Limited Grid Development Plan 2018– 2040