Total No. of Questions : 5] SEAT No.

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P-7899 [Total No. of Pages : 4

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302-GC-12 : DECISION SCIENCE

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(Revised 2019 Pattern) (Semester - III)

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Time : 2½ Hours] [Max. Marks : 50
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Instructions to the candidates:

1) All questions are compulsory.
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2) Each question carries 10 marks.

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3) Each question has an internal option.
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4) Use of simple calculator is allowed.
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Q1) Solve any five questions : [10]
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a) What is Pure Strategy Game?

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b) Explain CPM and PERT.

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c) What is Flood’s Technique! Hungarian Method?

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d) Explain Principal of Dominance

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e) Explain Modified Distribution Method ic-

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f) What is Hurwicz Alpha Criterion?

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g) What is Single Server Queuing Model?

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Q2) Solve any two out of the three questions : [10]

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a) Elaborate with suitable example any five applications of Markov-chain

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in Management field.
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b) Describe Network crashing and various components of project cost.

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c) Describe Importance of Decision Science in Organisational Decision

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Making Process.
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Q3) Solve Any One : [10]

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a) Solve the following LPP graphically :

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Maximise Z = 120x + 100y

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Subject to; 10x + 5y < 80

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6x + 6y < 66

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4x + 8y > 24

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5x + 6y < 90
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x > 0, y > 0
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b) A company manufactures around 150 mopeds. The daily production

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varies from 146 - 154 depending upon the availability of raw materials

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and other working conditions.

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Production 146 147 148 149 150 151 152 153 154

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Probability 0.04 0.09 0.12 0.14 0.11 0.10 0.20 0.12 0.08
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The finished mopeds are transported in a specially arranged lorry
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accommodating only 150 mopeds. Using following random numbers :

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80, 81, 76, 75, 64, 43, 18, 26, 10, 12, 65, 68, 69, 61, 57. Simulate the
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process to find out :

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i) What will be the average number of mopeds waiting in the factory?

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ii) What will be the average Number of empty spaces on the lorry?

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Q4) Solve Any One : [10]

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a) A self-service store employs one cashier at its counter. Nine customers

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arrive on an average every 5 minutes while the cashier can serve 10

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customers in 5 minutes. Assuming poission distribution for arrival rate

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and exponential distribution for service rate find :

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i) Average number of customers in the system.

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ii) Average number of customers in the queue or average queue length

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iii) Average time a customer spends in the system

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iv) Average time a customer waits before being served.

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 b) The following information is gathered for a project :

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Activity Preceding Activity Duration (Week)

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B A 3

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D A 3
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E D 2

F B,C,E 4
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G D 9

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I H 2
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J F,G,I 2
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i) Draw the network diagram.

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ii) Determine critical path and project Duration.

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iii) What is the Effect on the project duration if :

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1) D is changed to 6 weeks.
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2) F is changed to 8 weeks.
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Q5) Solve Any One : [10]

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a) Two breakfast food manufacturing firms A and B are competing for

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an increased market share. To improve its market share both the firms
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decide to launch the following strategies.

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A1B1 = Give coupons

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A2B2 = Decrease price

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A3B3 = Maintain Present strategy

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A4B4 = Increase Advertising

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 The pay-off matrix shown in the following table describes the increase

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in the market share for firm A and decrease in the market share for firm

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B.

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Firm A B1 B2 B3 B4

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A1 35 65 25 5

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A2 30 20 15 0
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A4 55 60 10 15
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Determine the optimal strategies for each firm and the value of the
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Game.

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b) Four cards are drawn at random from a pack of 52 cards, Find the
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probability that :
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i) They are a king, a queen, a jack and an ace
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ii) Two are kings and two are jacks.
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iii) All are clubs

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iv) All are red or all are blacks

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