Unit 4
Unit 4
To measure the longer-term monetary and fiscal profit margins of any option
contract, companies can use the capital-budgeting process. Capital budgeting
projects are accepted or rejected according to different valuation methods
used by different businesses. Under certain conditions, the internal rate of
return (IRR) and payback period (PB) methods are sometimes used instead of
net present value (NPV) which is the most preferred method. If all three
approaches point in the same direction, managers can be most confident in
their analysis.
It might seem like an ideal capital budgeting approach would be one that
would result in positive answers for all three metrics, but often these
approaches will produce contradictory results. Some approaches will be
preferred over others based on the requirement of the business and the
selection criteria of the management. Despite this, these widely used
valuation methods have both benefits and drawbacks.
Investing in capital assets is determined by how they will affect cash flow in
the future, which is what capital budgeting is supposed to do. The capital
investment consumes less cash in the future while increasing the amount of
cash that enters the business later is preferable.
In smaller businesses, a project that has the potential to deliver rapid and
sizable cash flow may have to be rejected because the investment required
would exceed the company's capabilities.
The amount of work and time invested in capital budgeting will vary based on
the risk associated with a bad decision along with its potential benefits.
Therefore, a modest investment could be a wiser option if the company fears
the risk of bankruptcy in case the decisions go wrong.
Sunk costs are not considered in capital budgeting. The process focuses on
future cash flows rather than past expenses.
Formula:
This brings the enterprise to conclude that Product B has a shorter payback
period and therefore, it will invest in Product B.
Despite being an easy and time-efficient method, the Payback Period cannot
be called optimum as it does not consider the time value of money. The cash
flows at the earlier stages are better than the ones coming in at later stages.
The company may encounter two projections with the same payback period,
where one depicts higher cash flows in the earlier stages/years. In such as
case, the Payback Period may not be appropriate.
Evaluating capital investment projects is what the NPV method helps the
companies with. There may be inconsistencies in the cash flows created over
time. The cost of capital is used to discount it. An evaluation is done based on
the investment made. Whether a project is accepted or rejected depends on
the value of inflows over current outflows.
This method considers the time value of money and attributes it to the
company's objective, which is to maximize profits for its owners. The capital
cost factors in the cash flow during the entire lifespan of the product and the
risks associated with such a cash flow. Then, the capital cost is calculated with
the help of an estimate.
Formula:
i = discount rate
R = net cash flow
t
Discount Rate = 9%
Calculation
Year Flow Present Value
0 -$10,000 -$10,000 -
Total $18,629
This indicates that if the NPV comes out to be positive and indicates profit.
Therefore, the company shall move ahead with the project.
IRR refers to the method where the NPV is zero. In such as condition, the cash
inflow rate equals the cash outflow rate. Although it considers the time value
of money, it is one of the complicated methods.
It follows the rule that if the IRR is more than the average cost of the capital,
then the company accepts the project, or else it rejects the project. If the
company faces a situation with multiple projects, then the project offering the
highest IRR is selected by them.
DiscountInternal
rate thatRate
makes
of NPV=0;
Return=
implies discounted cash inflows are equal to discounted cash
outflows
turn Rule = Accept investments if IRR greater than Threshold Rate of Return, else
reject.
Example:
We shall assume the possibilities exhibited in the table here for a company
that has 2 projects: Project A and Project B.
Project B
Year Project A
0 -$10,000 -$10,000
1 $2,500 $3,000
2 $2,500 $3,000
3 $2,500 $3,000
4 $2,500 $3,000
5 $2,500 $3,000
Here, The IRR of Project A is 7.9% which is above the Threshold Rate of Return
(We assume it is 7% in this case.) So, the company will accept the project.
However, if the Threshold Rate of Return would be 10%, then it would be
rejected as the IRR would be lower. In that case, the company will choose
Project B which shows a higher IRR as compared to the Threshold Rate of
Return.
#4 Profitability Index
This method provides the ratio of the present value of future cash inflows to
the initial investment. A Profitability Index that presents a value lower than
1.0 is indicative of lower cash inflows than the initial cost of investment.
Aligned with this, a profitability index great than 1.0 presents better cash
inflows and therefore, the project will be accepted.
Formula:
Example:
Assuming the values given in the table, we shall calculate the profitability
index for a discount rate of 10%.
0 -$10,000 -$10,000
1 $3,000 $2,727
2 $5,000 $4,132
3 $2,000 $1,538
4 $6,000 $4,285
5 $5,000 $3,125
Total $15,807
As per the rule of the method, the profitability index is positive for the 10%
discount rate, and therefore, it will be selected.
It mainly consists of selecting all criteria necessary for judging the need for a
proposal. In order to maximize market value, it has to match the company's
mission. It is crucial to consider the time value of money here.
In addition to estimating the benefits and costs, you should weigh the pros
and cons associated with the process. There could be a lot of risks involved
with the total cash inflows and outflows. This needs to be scrutinized
thoroughly before moving ahead.
Selecting a Project
After the project has been finalized, the other components need to be
attended to. These include the acquisition of funds which can be explored by
the finance department of the company. The companies need to explore all
the options before concluding and approving the project. Besides, the factors
like viability, profitability, and market conditions also play a vital role in the
selection of the project.
Implementation
Once the project is implemented, now come the other critical elements such
as completing it in the stipulated time frame or reduction of costs. Hereafter,
the management takes charge of monitoring the impact of implementing the
project.
Performance Review
This involves the process of analyzing and assessing the actual results over
the estimated outcomes. This step helps the management identify the flaws
and eliminate them for future proposals.
Capital Return
Accounting Methods
Structure of Capital
Availability of Funds
Management decisions
Government Policies
Working Capital
Earnings
Taxation Policies
LIMITATIONS OF CAPITAL
BUDGETING
Cash Flows
Time Horizon
Time Value
Discount Rates
Cash Flow
Time Horizon
Usually, capital budgeting as a process works across for long spans of years.
While the shorter duration forecasts may be estimated, the longer ones are
bound to be miscalculated. Therefore, an expanded time horizon could be a
potential problem while computing figures with capital budgeting.
Time Value
Discount Rates
The accounting for the time value of money is done either by borrowing
money, paying interest, or using one’s own money. The knowledge of
discount rates is essential. The proper estimation and calculation of which
could be a cumbersome task.
Even if this is achieved, there are other fluctuations like the varying interest
rates that could hamper future cash flows. Therefore, this is a factor that adds
up to the list of limitations of capital budgeting.
Whereas, External sources of funds are the sources that lie outside
an organization, such as suppliers, lenders, and investors. When a
large amount of money is needed to be raised, it is generally done
through the external sources. External funds may be costly as
compared to those raised through internal sources.
Types of projections
Short term projections mainly cover one year and breaks into monthly
projections. This type of projection is mostly useful for small businesses
where the only plans related to increasing sales and revenue are
considered.
Long term projections cover mainly the next three to five years and is used
in large businesses for creating strategic plans for expansion and
development are made. It also attracts investors so that they invest a large
amount in their business.
It helps to find out the additional requirement, which is there for assets to support
increased revenue and also create a positive impact on the financial statement.
It helps in predicting the future outcomes of any business
It supports the business planning process.
Business growth becomes easy as financial projections help to measure how much
debt or equity will be required for the business in the future.
Businesses never run out of cash as it generates additional cash and revenue whenever
required.
For applying for a loan from banks or any other institution, Projected financial
statements are very much important.
As well as creditors also ask for projected statements to know the capability of the
business to reimburse the debts.
Important data and statements required for financial
projections:
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow statement
Projecting work begins from an income statement in which past values are compared with
the present values and then, future values are forecasted. The statement of income is
projected to analyse the net income and make future business plans accordingly.
Sales revenue
Cost of goods sold
Direct expenses
Depreciation expense
Interest expense
Tax expense
These items are important for preparing the income statement and will help to project the net
income of the company.
The financial forecast of balance sheet items is done simultaneously with the items of the
income statement. This will be helpful to project the financial items one by one and forecast
each of the items properly to complete the forecasting of financials completely.
Current Assets
Inventory
Account’s receivables
Other current assets
Non-Current Assets
Investments
Property, plant, and equipment
Other long-term assets
Current Liabilities
Creditors
Account’s receivables
Other current liabilities
Non-Current Liabilities
Long-term debts
Deferred tax liabilities
Bonds payable
Equity
Shareholder's capital
Retained earnings
Dividend distribution