(eBook PDF) Commodity Derivatives: Markets and Applications All Chapters Instant Download
(eBook PDF) Commodity Derivatives: Markets and Applications All Chapters Instant Download
https://ebookluna.com/product/derivatives-markets-3rd-edition-ebook-
pdf/
ebookluna.com
https://ebookluna.com/product/ebook-pdf-commodity-risk-management-
theory-and-application/
ebookluna.com
https://ebookluna.com/product/ebook-pdf-options-futures-and-other-
derivatives-10th-edition/
ebookluna.com
https://ebookluna.com/product/ebook-pdf-equities-fixed-income-
securities-and-derivatives-custom-edition/
ebookluna.com
Derivatives principles and practice 2. ed Edition Das -
eBook PDF
https://ebookluna.com/download/derivatives-principles-and-practice-
ebook-pdf/
ebookluna.com
https://ebookluna.com/download/options-futures-and-other-derivatives-
ebook-pdf/
ebookluna.com
https://ebookluna.com/product/ebook-pdf-translational-medicine-in-cns-
drug-development-volume-29/
ebookluna.com
https://ebookluna.com/download/progress-in-heterocyclic-chemistry-
ebook-pdf/
ebookluna.com
https://ebookluna.com/product/ebook-pdf-options-futures-and-other-
derivatives-9th-by-john-c-hull/
ebookluna.com
Contents
Preface xv
Acknowledgements xvii
2 Risk Management 27
2.1 Categories of risk 27
2.1.1 Defining risk 28
2.1.2 Credit risk 29
2.2 Commodity market participants: the time dimension 29
viii Contents
3 Gold 41
3.1 The market for gold 41
3.1.1 Physical Supply Chain 41
3.1.2 Financial Institutions 42
3.1.3 The London gold market 42
3.1.4 The price of gold 44
3.1.5 Fixing the price of gold 44
3.2 Gold price drivers 45
3.2.1 The supply of gold 45
3.2.2 Demand for gold 48
3.2.3 The Chinese effect 51
3.3 The gold leasing market 51
3.4 Applications of derivatives 54
3.4.1 Producer strategies 55
3.4.2 Central Bank strategies 60
4 Base Metals 69
4.1 Base metal production 69
4.2 Aluminium 70
4.3 Copper 73
4.4 London metal exchange 75
4.4.1 Exchange-traded metal futures 76
4.4.2 Exchange-traded metal options 76
4.4.3 Contract specification 77
4.4.4 Trading 77
Contents ix
4.4.5 Clearing 78
4.4.6 Delivery 80
4.5 Price drivers 81
4.6 Structure of market prices 83
4.6.1 Description of the forward curve 83
4.6.2 Are forward prices predictors of future spot prices? 85
4.7 Applications of derivatives 86
4.7.1 Hedges for aluminium consumers in the automotive sector 86
4.8 Forward purchase 87
4.8.1 Borrowing and lending in the base metal market 88
4.9 Vanilla option strategies 89
4.9.1 Synthetic long put 89
4.9.2 Selling options to enhance the forward purchase price 90
4.9.3 “Three way” 92
4.9.4 Min–max 93
4.9.5 Ratio min–max 94
4.9.6 Enhanced risk reversal 95
4.10 Structured option solutions 95
4.10.1 Knock-out forwards 95
4.10.2 Forward plus 96
4.10.3 Bonus forward 96
4.10.4 Basket options 97
7 Electricity 181
7.1 What is electricity? 181
7.1.1 Conversion of energy sources to electricity 182
7.1.2 Primary sources of energy 183
7.1.3 Commercial production of electricity 184
7.1.4 Measuring electricity 184
7.2 The physical supply chain 185
7.3 Price drivers of electricity 186
7.3.1 Regulation 188
7.3.2 Demand for electricity 190
7.3.3 Supply of electricity 191
7.3.4 Factors influencing spot and forward prices 193
7.3.5 Spark and dark spreads 193
7.4 Trading electricity 196
7.4.1 Overview 196
7.4.2 Markets for trading 196
7.4.3 Motivations for trading 196
7.4.4 Traded volumes: spot markets 197
7.4.5 Traded volumes: forward markets 197
7.5 Nord pool 197
7.5.1 The spot market: Elspot 198
7.5.2 Post spot: the balancing market 199
7.5.3 The financial market 199
7.5.4 Real-time operations 199
7.6 United states of america 200
7.6.1 Independent System Operators 200
7.6.2 Wholesale markets in the USA 201
7.7 United kingdom 203
7.7.1 Neta 203
7.7.2 UK trading conventions 204
7.7.3 Load shapes 205
7.7.4 Examples of traded products 206
7.7.5 Contract volumes 206
7.7.6 Contract prices and valuations 207
xii Contents
8 Plastics 213
8.1 The chemistry of plastic 213
8.2 The production of plastic 214
8.3 Monomer production 215
8.3.1 Crude oil 215
8.3.2 Natural gas 215
8.4 Polymerisation 215
8.5 Applications of plastics 216
8.6 Summary of the plastics supply chain 217
8.7 Plastic price drivers 217
8.8 Applications of derivatives 218
8.9 Roles of the futures exchange 219
8.9.1 Pricing commercial contracts 219
8.9.2 Hedging instruments 220
8.9.3 Source of supply/disposal of inventory 222
8.10 Option strategies 222
9 Coal 225
9.1 The basics of coal 225
9.2 The demand for and supply of coal 226
9.3 Physical supply chain 231
9.3.1 Production 231
9.3.2 Main participants 232
9.4 The price of coal 232
9.5 Factors affecting the price of coal 233
9.6 Coal derivatives 235
9.6.1 Exchange-traded futures 236
9.6.2 Over-the-counter solutions 237
Glossary 287
Notes 299
Bibliography 303
Index 305
Visit https://ebookluna.com
now to explore a diverse
collection of ebooks available
in formats like PDF, EPUB, and
MOBI, compatible with all
devices. Don’t miss the chance
to enjoy exciting offers and
quickly download high-quality
materials in just a few simple
steps!
Preface
Since the start of this century, the commodity markets have been the subject of much
interest with reports in the media usually detailing that some commodity has reached a new
all time price high. My motivation for writing the book, however, did not stem from this
but rather the difficulty I had in finding people who could provide classroom training on the
different products. Although many companies were able to provide training that described
the physical market for each commodity, virtually no one provided training on over-the-
counter (OTC) structures, which arguably comprise the greatest volumes in the market. As
they say, if you want a job done properly. . . . While doing research for the courses I felt that
much of the available documentation either had a very narrow focus, perhaps concentrating
on just one product, or were general texts on trading commodity futures with little insight
into the underlying markets. As a result, I have tried to write a book that documents in one
place the main commodity markets and their associated derivatives.
Within each chapter, I have tried to keep the structure fairly uniform. Typically, there will
be a short section explaining what the commodity is in non-technical terms. For those with
a background in any one specific commodity, this may appear somewhat simplistic but is
included to ensure that the financial reader has sufficient background to place the subsequent
discussion within some context. Typical patterns of demand and supply are considered as
well as the main factors that will influence the price of the commodity. The latter part of
each chapter focuses on the physical market of the particular commodity before detailing
the main exchange traded and OTC products.
One of the issues I was faced with when writing each chapter was to determine the
products that should be covered in each chapter. As I was concerned that I might end up
repeating ideas that had been covered in earlier chapters, I have tried to document structures
that are unique to each market in each particular chapter, while the more generic structures
have been spread throughout the text.
The other issue was to determine which products to include within the scope of the book.
No doubt some readers will disagree with my choice of topics in the book, but I can assure
you that this was still being discussed with the team at Wiley as the deadline for the final
manuscript approached!
Chapter 1 outlines the main derivative building blocks and how they are priced. Readers
familiar with these concepts could skip this chapter and go straight to any individual chapter
without losing too much of the flow. However, it does include a section on the pricing of
commodities within the context of the convenience yield. Chapter 2 sets the scene for a
discussion on the concept of risk management. Two different perspectives are taken, that of
xvi Preface
a corporate with a desire to hedge some form of exposure and an investment bank that will
take on the risk associated by offering any solution. Chapter 3 looks at the market for gold
while Chapter 4 develops the theme to cover base metals. Some readers may complain that
there is no coverage of other “precious” metals such as silver, platinum and palladium, but
I felt that including sections on these metals would amount to overkill and that gold was
sufficiently interesting in itself to warrant an extended discussion. The next three chapters
cover the core energy markets, the first of which is crude oil. Chapter 6 covers natural
gas markets while Chapter 7 discussed electricity. Chapter 8 describes the relatively new
market for plastic, while Chapter 9 details one of the oldest markets, that of coal. Chapter 10
looks at another new market, the trading of carbon emissions. Chapter 11 covers agricultural
products where the focus is on the relationship between some of the “soft” commodities and
ethanol. The book concludes by considering the use of commodities within an investment
portfolio.
Acknowledgements
As ever, it would be arrogant of me to assume that this was entirely my own work. The
book is dedicated to the late Paul Roth, who was taken from us far too early in life. In the
decade that I knew him, I was able to benefit considerably from his insight into the world
of derivatives. It never ceased to amaze me how, after days of pondering on a problem, I
could only half explain to him something that I only half understood, and he could explain
it back to me perfectly in simple and clear terms.
Thanks also to the team at Wiley (Sam Whittaker, Emily Pears, Viv Wickham) who have
helped a publishing “newbie” like me and tolerated the fact that I missed nearly every
deadline they set.
General thanks go to my father, Reg Schofield, who offered to edit large chunks of the
manuscript and tidy up “the English what I wrote”. Rachel Gillingham deserves a special
mention for helping me to express the underlying chemistry of a number of commodities
within the book. Her input added considerable value to the overall manuscript.
At Barclays Capital I would like to thank Arfan Aziz, Natasha Cornish, Lutfey Siddiqui,
Benoit de Vitry and Troy Bowler. They all have endured endless requests for help and have
given generously of their time without complaint. In relation to specific chapters, thanks go
to Matt Schwab and John Spaull (gold); Angus McHeath, Frank Ford and Ingrid Sternby
(base metals); David Paul and Nick Smith (plastics); Thomas Wiktorowski-Schweitz, Orrin
Middleton, Suzanne Taylor and Jonathon Taylor (crude oil); Simon Hastings, Rob Bailey
and David Gillbe (electricity); Paul Dawson and Rishil Patel (emissions); Rachel Frear and
Marco Sarcino (coal); and Maria Igweh (agriculture). Thanks also to Steve Hochfeld who
made some valuable comments on the agricultural chapter. All of these “advisers”contributed
fantastic insights into the different markets and often reviewed drafts of the manuscript,
which enhanced it no end.
A very special thanks must go to Nicki, who never once complained about the project
and has always been very interested and supportive of all that I do.
If I have missed anyone, then please accept my apologies, but rest assured I am grateful.
Although I received a lot of help in compiling the materials, any mistakes that remain in
the text are entirely my responsibility.
xviii Acknowledgements
I am always interested in any comments or suggestions on the text and can be contacted
at either neil.schofi[email protected] or www. commodity-derivatives.net
Neil C. Schofield
PS: Hi to Alan Gamblin and Roger Jarvis, who dared me to include their names. The tea
and toast are on you!
About the Author
Neil C. Schofield is currently the head of Financial Markets Training at Barclays Capital,
where he has global responsibility for all aspects of the bank’s product-related training. As
part of the job, he regularly delivers training on a wide range of subjects in commodities,
fixed income, equity, foreign exchange and credit.
Prior to joining Barclays, he was a director at Chisholm Roth, a financial training com-
pany, where he delivered seminars to a blue-chip client base around the world. He has also
worked in a training capacity for Chase Manhattan bank from 1988 to 1997. The author
was appointed as a visiting fellow at ICMA Centre, Reading University, England in April
2007.
1
An Introduction to Derivative Products
SYNOPSIS The purpose of this chapter is to outline the main features of derivatives and
provide a description of the main ways in which they are priced and valued.
This chapter is divided into two distinct sections that cover:
The coverage is not particularly mathematical in style, although numerical examples are included
where it helps to illustrate the key principles.
In the first section the fundamental concepts of the main derivative products are considered.
The products covered include:
• Futures
• Forwards
• Swaps
• Options (mostly “vanilla” with some “exotic” coverage)
In the second section the focus is on the pricing of derivatives. The approach considers that all
of the building block markets are linked through mathematical relationships and describes how
the price of one product can be derived from another.
One of the unique elements of pricing commodity derivatives is the existence of the conve-
nience yield, which is explained in conjunction with the concepts of contango and backwarda-
tion.
Two extra themes are developed in the pricing section that are relevant to other parts of the
book. The first is a discussion on put–call parity, which will help the reader to understand how
some structures are created. This idea is then developed to outline the potential sources of value
in risk management solutions.
The chapter concludes with a description of the main measures of option risk manage-
ment – the Greeks.
When analysing derivatives it is convenient to classify them into three main building blocks:
However, within the option category it is possible to make a distinction between two sub-
categories, the so-called “plain vanilla” structures (that is, options that conform to a basic
accepted profile) and those that are considered “exotic”, such as binaries and barriers.
For ease of illustration we will use gold in the following examples.
2 Commodity Derivatives
Settlement of financial futures is often for a single date specified by the exchange, such
as the third Wednesday in March, June, September or December. For commodity futures
settlement could be for any day within the ensuing three months (see “trading days” section
in the above specification). By offering delivery on any day for the current and two succes-
sive months, this commodity future possess a feature of the forward market – the flexibility
to settle for a variety of dates. Another difference is the concept of grade and quality spec-
ification. If one is delivering a currency, the underlying asset is homogeneous – a dollar is
always a dollar. However, because metals have different shapes, grades and quality, there
must be an element of standardisation to ensure that the buyer knows what he or she is
receiving. Some of the criteria that NYMEX apply include:
• The seller must deliver 100 troy ounces (±5%) of refined gold.
• The gold must be of a fineness of no less than 0.995%.
• It must be cast either in one bar or in three 1-kilogram bars.
• The gold must bear a serial number and identifying stamp of a refiner approved and listed
by the Exchange.
1.2 SWAPS
In a swap transaction two parties agree to exchange cashflows, the sizes of which are based
on different price indices. Typically, this is represented as an agreed fixed rate against a
variable or floating rate. Swaps are traded on an agreed notional amount, which is not
exchanged but establishes the magnitude of the fixed and floating cashflows. Swap con-
tracts are typically of longer-term maturity (i.e. greater than one year) but the exact terms
of the contract will be open to negotiation. For example, in many base metal markets a
swap transaction is often nothing more than a single period forward, which allows for the
transaction to be cash settled, involving the payment of the agreed forward price against the
spot price at expiry.
The exact form may vary between markets, with the following merely a sample of how
they may be applied in a variety of different commodity markets.
Swaps will usually start as spot and so become effective two days after they are traded.
However, it is also possible for the swap to become effective at some time in the future – a
forward starting swap. The frequency with which the cashflows are settled is open to nego-
tiation but they could vary in tenor between 1 month and 12 months. Where the payments
coincide there is a net settlement between the two parties. One of the features of commodity
swaps that is not shared by financial swaps is the use of an average rate for the floating leg.
This is because many of the underlying exposures that commodity swaps are designed to
hedge will be based on some form of average price.
The motivation for entering into a swap will differ between counterparties. For a corporate
entity one of their main concerns is risk transference. Consider a company that has to
Other documents randomly have
different content
CHAPTER XXI.
may have exhibited such as I have noticed, but the man endued
with a fit turn of mind, and inclined to search out such “beauty-
spots,” will not need the aid of poets to help him on in his
enthusiastic ardour.
CHAPTER XXV.
When very young I read the Bible through and through, but I, at
that time, minded it no more than other histories with which my
scanty library was furnished. I could not then judge of it, nor
properly estimate the sublime precepts it contains. I felt, indeed,
much pleased and excited by the numerous battles therein
described. Sober reflection, however, respecting them quite altered
the bent of my inclination that way, and I began and continued to
consider the political history of the Israelites as very wicked; for they
are so described as under the direction of Moses, who, it is said,
always obtained the command or sanction of the Lord to set the
people at work in the business of war, at which they appear to have
been very ready and very expert. It is, however, evident that in the
nation of the Israelites there were men of great intellectual powers,
and inspired with an ardent desire to trace the Author of Nature
through His works, as well as having a foresight of their future
destiny. It being clear to them that it was the intention of
Omnipotence that men should live in a state of civilized society,
under this impression they set to work, as well as they could with an
uncivilized people, to bring about such a desirable order of things,
but in which they must have felt great difficulties; the first of which
was to abolish Paganism, and to establish the pure religion of
worshipping one God only; thus, “Thou shalt have none other gods
but me,” was the first commandment, and which was most
strenuously urged upon the Israelites in every way, and in every
transaction of their lives, while they were kept together as a nation.
Science, and a knowledge of nature, on which science is founded,
could not in those early times be expected to be known, either by
Moses or their other governers and teachers, who could not explain
such important matters to the people otherwise than they did. The
wonders of this world and the magnitude of the universe were not
then contemplated upon; neither was it perhaps necessary to
attempt any explanation of them in those dark ages: and, besides, it
appears it was not a leading object: civilization seems to have been
the first and perhaps the only important business they had at that
time in view. They therefore, in their endeavours to accomplish this,
and to govern and keep the people in awe, attempted to personify
the Deity, and to prescribe the boundary of time and space, as the
theatre on which He acted, that they, the people, might thus
understand something of the meaning of the commands so
strenuously laid upon them; not a little of which was delivered to
them in allegory and fable. Moses began by telling them of the
beginning of the world, and the length of time it took to make it,
and the manner in which God created Adam and Eve as the parents
of the whole human race; of Paradise, or the Garden of Eden; of the
disobedience of our first parents in eating forbidden fruit, and that
this transgression entailed misery, sin, and death upon the whole
human race. This “Original Sin,” however strange it may appear to
thinking men, has been kept up in terrorem, with uncommon pains,
for hundreds of years past, and is continued with unabating fervency
to the present time. That mankind should suffer under this
condemnation, for the fault of these our first parents, seems
impiously to set aside the justice of an All-wise and Benevolent God.
As to the time it took to create this world, and the whirling,
floating, universe of which it is comparatively a speck or mote—that
is beyond human comprehension; and Time, Eternity—a Beginning
and an End—are still much more beyond the reach of thought; for
the powers of the mind would soon become bewildered and lost in
attempting to form any conception, by figures, of what is meant by
innumerable millions of centuries: and here on this subject we must
rest! This sublime—this amazing—this mighty work of suns and
worlds innumerable is too much for the vision of a finite, purblind,
proud, little atom of the Creation, strutting or crawling about in the
shape of man. It is sufficient for the soul of man in this life to
reverence and adore the Omnipresent, and, except through his
works, the unknowable God, whose wisdom, and power, and
goodness, has no bounds, and who has been pleased to enable his
reasoning creatures so far to see that everything is made by design,
and nothing by chance; and, from the display of His infinite power,
that everything in the universe is systematic; all is connection,
adhesion, affinity: hence we may infer some principle of order, some
moving power, some mighty agent—but all this still ends in the name
of Deity, and dwells awfully retired beyond the reach of mortal eye.
What Moses has said about the deluge, and the destruction it
occasioned to every living creature, we are led to conclude must
have been handed down to him in ancient Eastern traditions, and it
requires no over-stretched credulity to believe that a deluge
happened which destroyed every living creature on that part of the
earth over which its devastations were spread; for it cannot be
doubted that this globe has undergone many such deluges,
convulsions, and changes, equally difficult to account for; and
geologists at this day feel convinced of this, from the changes which
they see matter has undergone, but of which they are still left
greatly to conjecture as to the cause. They cannot, however, doubt
the power of a comet (if it be the will of the Mighty Director) to melt
the ices from the poles, and to throw the sea out of its place, or to
reduce this globe instantly to a cinder—a vitrifaction—to ashes, or to
dust; and that, in its near approach to this our world, it may have
occasioned the various changes and phenomena which have
happened, and may happen again. The marine productions found
imbedded in the earth so many fathoms below its surface, supplies
another source of wonder, and seems either to confirm the foregoing
hypothesis, or to lead men to conclude that a great portion of the
earth has once been covered by the sea; and it may, perhaps, not be
carrying conjecture too far to suppose that nations have been
overflowed and sunk to its bottom, while others have arisen out of
it; and that, in the apparently slow changes which are continually
operating upon all matter, new nations may yet arise, and be now in
progress to take their turn on this globe.[39] Every mountain and hill
is becoming less and less, and is by little and little apparently slowly
sliding away into the ocean; and the same waste may be seen in the
many tons of earthy mud which every flooded river carries off, and
deposits in the sea. The lakes are also continually operated upon, by
the wasting or wearing away of the outlets that form the barriers by
which their waters were and are at present stayed, and it is not
unlikely that every valley was once a lake, till they were operated
upon like those still left, preparatory to their change to dry land.
But the early history of mankind, nor the changes, the wonders,
nor the mighty events which have happened to this globe, cannot be
known; and we may reasonably suppose men must have long
remained in darkness and ignorance till rescued from such a state
first by hieroglyphics and then by letters. What they were before
these enabled them to interchange their thoughts, preparatory to a
social intercourse, is involved in darkness, on which conjecture may
invent and exhaust itself in vain. Nation after nation, in unknown
ages past, may have glided away, or have been by the accumulation
of their own wickedness, more suddenly hurled into oblivion, before
the reasoning powers were drawn forth or men bestowed the least
thought upon the duties they had to perform, or the business they
had to fulfil, as the will of the Creator while they sojourned here. But
the providence of God is over all His creatures, and it pleased Him
that the reasoning powers should not remain longer dormant, and
the provision made for the change, in the natural order of things,
was placed in the latent intellectual powers gifted to man, and
drawn forth from his inspired mind, which thus put in action, as it
may be presumed, was the first effort of cause and effect that
produced the Bible, which, as far as we know, seems to have been
the first instrument of knowledge that shed its rays over and
revealed to mankind the accountable station they were destined to
hold on this globe. Before the religious and moral precepts of the
venerable old Book made their way over a more civilized world, and
taught rational beings to worship one God, the Father of All, and to
consider each other as brethren, it does not appear that the great
Welcome to our website – the ideal destination for book lovers and
knowledge seekers. With a mission to inspire endlessly, we offer a
vast collection of books, ranging from classic literary works to
specialized publications, self-development books, and children's
literature. Each book is a new journey of discovery, expanding
knowledge and enriching the soul of the reade
Our website is not just a platform for buying books, but a bridge
connecting readers to the timeless values of culture and wisdom. With
an elegant, user-friendly interface and an intelligent search system,
we are committed to providing a quick and convenient shopping
experience. Additionally, our special promotions and home delivery
services ensure that you save time and fully enjoy the joy of reading.
ebookluna.com