ROI basics
ROI basics
Phillips
Contents
iii
Contents
iv
About the Training Basics Series
v
Preface
vii
Preface
viii
Preface
What’s New
What’s Inside?
ix
Preface
x
Preface
Basic Rules
Noted
Getting It Done
What Do We Mean?
xi
Preface
Acknowledgments
xii
1
The Basics
Defining ROI
Calculation: Compares the annual net benefits of an investment to the cost of the
investment; expressed as a percentage.
Calculation: Compares annual net income (annual earnings) to total assets; expressed
as a percentage.
2
The Basics
Calculation: Compares earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to total assets minus
current liabilities.
Calculation: Divides amount of cash flows (C; or sum of money) by the interest rate (r)
over a period of time (t).
PV = C / (1 + r)t
Net Present NPV Measures the difference between the present value of cash inflows and the present
Value value of cash outflows. Another way to put it: measures the present value of future
benefits with the present value of the investment.
Calculation: Compares the value of a dollar today to the value of that same dollar in the
future, taking into account a specified interest rate over a specified period of time.
T
t
/ (1 + r)t) – C0
t=1
Internal Rate IRR Makes the net present value of all cash flows from a particular project equal to zero.
of Return Used in capital budgeting. The higher the IRR, the more desirable it is to undertake the
process.
Calculation: Follows the NPV calculation as a function of the rate of return. A rate of
return for which this function is zero is the internal rate of return.
T
t
/ (1 + r)t) – C0 = 0
t=0
PP = Costs / Benefits
Benefit-Cost BCR Used to evaluate the potential costs and benefits of a project that may be generated if
Ratio the project is completed. Used to determine financial feasibility.
3
Chapter 1
4
The Basics
Noted
Periodically, someone will report a BCR of 3:1 and an ROI of 300 percent. This is not possible. ROI is the
net benefits divided by the costs, which translates to 200 percent. The net benefit is equal to benefits
minus costs.
5
Chapter 1
6
The Basics
Noted
The levels of evaluation are categories of data; timing of data collection does not necessarily define the level
to which you are evaluating. Level 1 data can be collected at the end of the program (as is typical) or in a
follow-up evaluation months after the program (not ideal).
Levels 4 and 5 data can be forecasted before a program is implemented or at the end of the program.
The true impact is determined after the program is implemented when actual improvement in key measures
can be observed. Through analysis, this improvement is isolated to the program, accounting for other fac-
tors. The basics of forecasting ROI are described in the appendix.
7
Chapter 1
8
The Basics
Input
Reaction
Learning
Application
Impact
ROI
Intangible Benefits
9
Chapter 1
Process Model
10
The Basics
Noted
The ROI Methodology was originally developed in 1973 by Jack J. Phillips. Jack, at the time, was an electrical
engineer at Lockheed Aircraft (now Lockheed Martin) in Marietta, Georgia, who taught test pilots the electrical
and avionics systems on the C-5A Galaxy. He was also charged with managing a co-operative education program
designed as part of Lockheed’s engineer recruiting strategy. His senior leader told him that in order to continue
funding the co-operative education program, Jack needed to demonstrate the return on Lockheed’s investment
(ROI). The senior leader was not looking for an intangible measure of value, but the actual ROI.
ROI and cost-benefit analysis had been around for decades, if not centuries. But neither had been applied
to this type of program. Jack did his research and ran across a concept referred to as four-steps to training eval-
uation, developed by an industrial-organizational psychologist named Raymond Katzell. Don Kirkpatrick wrote
about these steps and cited Katzell in his 1956 article titled “How to Start an Objective Evaluation of Your Train-
ing Programs.” Because the concept had not been operationalized nor did it include a financial metric describing
the ROI, Jack added the economic theory of cost-benefit analysis to the four-step concept and created a model
and standards to ensure that reliable data, including the ROI, could be reported to his senior leadership team.
Jack’s 1983 Handbook of Training Evaluation and Measurement Methods put the five-level evaluation frame-
work and the ROI process model on the map. As he moved up in organizations to serve as head of learning and
development, senior executive VP of human resources, and president of a regional bank, he had his learning
and talent development and HR teams apply this approach to major programs.
Then, in 1994, his book, Measuring Return on Investment Volume 1, published by the American Society of
Training & Development (ASTD), now the Association for Talent Development (ATD), became the first book of
case studies describing how organizations were using the five-level framework and his process to evaluate talent
development programs.
Over the years, Jack Phillips, Patti Phillips, and their team at ROI Institute have authored more than 100
books describing the use of the ROI Methodology. The application of the process expands well beyond talent
development and human resources. From humanitarian programs to chaplaincy, and even ombudsmanship,
Jack’s original work has grown to be the most documented and applied approach to demonstrating value for
money of all types of programs and projects.
11
Chapter 1
12
Successfully Leading Virtual Teams
Implementation
13
Chapter 1
LEVEL 2: LEVEL 4:
LEARNING IMPACT
14
The Basics
Make It
Credible:
Capture
ANALYZE DATA Costs of OPTIMIZE RESULTS
Program
LEVEL 5: ROI
Make It
Credible:
Identify
Intangible
Measures
INTANGIBLES
Collect Data
15
Chapter 1
Analyze Data
Optimize Results
16
The Basics
Justify Spending
New Programs
17
Chapter 1
Existing Programs
Noted
Many people fear a negative ROI; howev-
er, more can be learned through evalua-
tion projects that achieve a negative ROI
than those achieving a high, positive ROI.
Set Priorities
18
The Basics
Basic Rule 1
Not every program should be evaluated to impact and ROI. ROI is reserved for those programs that are
expensive, have a broad reach, drive business impact, have the attention of senior managers, or are highly
visible in the organization. However, when evaluation does go to impact and ROI, results should be reported
at the lower levels to ensure that the complete story is told.
19
Chapter 1
Gain Support
20
The Basics
Employees
Getting It Done
Instructions: For each of the following statements, circle the response that best matches the talent development
function at your organization.
21
Chapter 1
7. When determining the timing of training and the target audiences you:
a. have lengthy, nonspecific talent development training courses for large audiences
b. tie specific talent development training needs to specific individuals and groups
c. deliver talent development training almost immediately before its use, and it is given only to those people who
need it
9. Systematic, objective evaluation, designed to ensure that participants are performing appropriately
on the job, is:
a. never accomplished; the only evaluations are during the program and they focus on how much the participants
enjoyed the program
b. occasionally accomplished; participants are asked if the training was effective on the job
c. frequently and systematically pursued; performance is evaluated after training is completed
13. To ensure that talent development is transferred into performance on the job, you:
a. encourage participants to apply what they have learned and report results
b. ask managers to support and reinforce training and report results
c. use a variety of training transfer strategies appropriate for each situation
14. The talent development staff’s interaction with line management is:
a. rare; you almost never discuss issues with them
b. occasional; during activities, such as needs analysis or program coordination
c. regular; to build relationships, as well as to develop and deliver programs
22
The Basics
20. New talent development programs and projects, without some formal method of evaluation, are implemented at
your organization:
a. regularly
b. seldom
c. never
23. During a business decline at your organization, the talent development function will:
a. be the first to have its staff reduced
b. be retained at the same staffing level
c. go untouched in staff reductions and possibly beefed up
25. The principal group that must justify talent development expenditures is:
a. the talent development department
b. the human resources or administrative function
c. line management
23
Chapter 1
29. When an employee completes a talent development program and returns to the job, their supervisor is likely to:
a. make no reference to the program
b. ask questions about the program and encourage the use of the material
c. require use of the program material and give positive rewards when the material is used successfully
30. When an employee attends an outside seminar, upon return, they are required to:
a. do nothing
b. submit a report summarizing the program
c. evaluate the seminar, outline plans for implementing the material covered, and estimate the value of the
program
24
2
Plan Your Work
Noted
“There is nothing so useless as doing efficiently that which should not be done at all.”
—Peter Drucker, Austrian-born American management consultant, educator, and author
26
Plan Your Work
Payoff Needs
27
Chapter 2
Business Needs
28
Plan Your Work
Performance Needs
29
Chapter 2
Noted
You can use collaborative analytics to discern opportunities to improve output, quality, and cost, as well as
employee engagement, customer experience, and other business measures. It is also useful in determining
the impact change in collaborative networks has on business measures. While its use is still in its infancy, it
is important that talent development professionals become familiar with the opportunities it offers. A good
place to begin this learning journey is a research piece authored by Rob Cross, Tom Davenport, and Peter
Gray, titled “Driving Business Impact Through Collaborative Analytics” (Connected Commons, April 2019).
Learning Needs
30
Plan Your Work
Preference Needs
Input Needs
31
Chapter 2
32
Plan Your Work
Noted
Specificity drives results.
Vague and nebulous leads
to vague and nebulous.
33
Chapter 2
Objective Measure
At the end of the course, • 80 percent of participants rate program relevance a 4.5 out of 5 on a Likert scale.
participants will perceive
program content as
relevant to their jobs.
Objective Measures
At the end of the course, • 80 percent of participants indicate that they can immediately apply the knowledge
participants will perceive and skills in their work as indicated by a 4.5 rating out of 5 on a Likert scale.
program content as • 80 percent of participants view the knowledge and skills as reflective of their day-to-
relevant to their jobs. day work activity as indicated by rating this measure a 4.5 out of 5 on a Likert scale.
34
Plan Your Work
Basic Rule 2
When conducting a higher-
level evaluation, collect
data at lower levels.
35
Chapter 2
Objective Measures
At the end of the course, Within a 10-minute time period, participants will be able to demonstrate to the
participants will be able to facilitator the following applications of Microsoft Word with zero errors:
use Microsoft Word. • File, save as, save as web page
• Format, including font, paragraph, background, and themes
• Insert tables, add columns and rows, and delete columns and rows
36
Plan Your Work
Objective Measures
Participants will use • Participants will develop a detailed agenda outlining the specific topics to be covered
effective meeting for 100 percent of meetings.
behaviors. • Participants will establish meeting ground rules at the beginning of 100 percent of
meetings.
• Participants will follow up on meeting action items within three days following 100
percent of meetings.
37
Chapter 2
Objective Measure
Improve the quality of the • Reduce the number of warranty claims on the X-1350 by 10 percent within six
X-1350. months after the program.
• Improve overall customer satisfaction with the quality of the X-1350 by 10 percent as
indicated by a customer satisfaction survey taken six months after the program.
• Achieve top scores on product quality measures included in industry quality survey.
38
Plan Your Work
39
Chapter 2
Purpose
Noted
Decisions are made with
or without evaluation
data. By providing data,
the talent development
team can influence the
decision-making process.
40
Plan Your Work
41
Chapter 2
Levels of Evaluation
Level 4: Impact
Economic
Level 5: Return on Investment
42
Plan Your Work
43
Chapter 2
Level 3: Application
System
and Implementation
Level 4: Impact
Economic
Level 5: Return
on Investment
Feasibility
Program Objectives
Availability of Data
44
Plan Your Work
45
Chapter 2
Noted
Not all programs are suitable for impact and ROI evaluation; but when you do evaluate to these levels, use
at least one method to isolate the effects of the program and credibly convert data to monetary value.
46
Plan Your Work
47
Chapter 2
48
Plan Your Work
Cost Categories
Intangible Benefits
Comments
49
50
Table 2-12. Completed Data Collection Plan
• Positive reaction • Average rating of at least 4.0 on • End-of-course • Participants • End of Course • Facilitator
5.0 scale on quality, usefulness, questionnaire
and achievement of program
objectives
• Identify the extent and • Given cost guidelines, identify the • Meeting profile • Participants • At the beginning • Facilitator
cost of meetings cost of the last three meetings of the program
(pre)
• Identify positives, • From a list of 30 positive and • Written test • At the end of
negatives, and negative meeting behaviors, the program
implications of basic correctly identify the implications (post)
meeting issues and of each behavior
dynamics
• Use of effective meeting • Reported change in behavior to • Action plan • Participants • Three months • Program
behaviors planning and conducting meetings owner
• Time savings from • Time savings • Questionnaire • Participants • Three months • Program
fewer meetings, shorter (for three owner
meetings, and fewer groups)
participants (hours
savings per month)
Comments:
• Target an ROI of at
least 25%
51
Plan Your Work
Chapter 2
Getting It Done
Program:
Evaluation Team:
4. Transfer your answers to questions 2 and 3 to the first two columns in the data collection plan (Table 2-14).
52
Table 2-13. Completed ROI Analysis Plan
Program: Effective Meetings Responsibility: Date:
Data Items Methods for Methods of Cost Categories Intangible Communication Other Comments
(Usually Level Isolating the Converting Data Benefits Targets for Final Influences or
4) Effects of the to Monetary Report Issues During
Program Values Application
• Time savings • Participants’ • Hourly wage • Prorated cost • Improvement • Business unit • Participants Participants will
• Miscellaneous estimates and benefits of needs in individual president must see identify specific
business • Participants’ • Participants’ assessment productivity • Senior manag- the need for improvements
measures estimates estimates • Program fee not captured ers providing as a result of
(using stan- per participant elsewhere • Managers of measurement meetings being
dard values • Travel, lodging, • Stress reduc- participants • Follow-up conducted more
when available) and meals tion • Participants process will effectively
• Facilities • Improved • Training and be explained
• Participants’ planning and development to participants
salaries plus scheduling staff during the
benefits for • Greater program
time in work- participation in • Three groups
shop meetings will be
• Evaluation cost measured
• Participants
must report
productivity
gains due to
time saved
53
Plan Your Work
54
Table 2-14. Data Collection Plan
Program: Responsibility: Date:
Chapter 2
Level Data Collection Data Timing Responsibilities
Program Objectives Measures of Success Method Sources
1
5 ROI Comments:
3
Collect Data
56
Collect Data
Thank you for participating in the Leading Change in Organizations course. This is your opportunity to provide
feedback as to how we can improve this course.
Please respond to the following questions regarding your perception of the program as well as your anticipated
use of the skills learned during the program. We also would like to know how you think the skills applied from this
course will affect business measures important to your function.
Strongly Strongly
Disagree Agree
I. Your reaction to the course facilitation
1 2 3 4 5
57
Chapter 3
16. What percentage of your total work time requires the knowledge and skills presented in this course?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
17. On a scale of 0% (not at all) to 100% (extremely critical), how critical is applying the content of this course to
your job success?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
18. What percentage of the new knowledge and skills learned from this course do you estimate you will directly
apply to your job?
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
19. What potential barriers could prevent you from applying the knowledge and skills learned from this course?
20. What potential enablers will support you in applying the knowledge and skills learned from this course?
1 2 3 4 5
Productivity
Sales
Quality
Costs
Time
Job Satisfaction
Customer Satisfaction
58
Collect Data
Action Plan
1. __________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________
2. __________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________
3. __________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________
4. __________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________
5. __________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________
59
Chapter 3
60
Collect Data
Questionnaire
Interviews
Focus groups
Program assignments
Action planning
Performance contracting
Performance monitoring
Monetary values
Cost data
Questionnaires
61
Chapter 3
Noted
Technology enables us to ask questions in such a way that analysis has never been easier. For example,
questions about monetary value can be asked and simply calculated, so that neither the respondents nor
the talent development professional has to worry about math. Qualtrics.com is one such tool that provides
survey developers and respondents with an improved survey experience.
Interviews
62
Collect Data
Coaching Questions
1. To what extent did coaching positively influence the following measures:
Productivity
Sales
Quality
Costs
Efficiency
Time
Employee Satisfaction
Customer Satisfaction
3. Of the measures listed above, improvement in which one is most directly linked to coaching? (Check only one)
Productivity Employee Satisfaction Sales Quality
Cost Customer Satisfaction Efficiency Time
4. Please define the measure above and its unit for measurement
5. How much did the measure identified in Questions 3 and 4 improve since you began this process?
Weekly Monthly Annually
6. What other processes, programs, or events may have contributed to this improvement?
7. Recognizing that other factors may have caused this improvement, estimate the percentage of improvement
related directly to coaching?
8. For this measure, what is the monetary value of improvement for one unit of this measure? (Although this is
difficult, please make every effort to estimate the value.)
9. Please state your basis for the estimated value of improvement you indicated above.
10. What is the annual value of improvement in the measure you selected above?
11. What confidence do you place in the estimates you have provided in the prior questions? (0 percent is no
confidence, 100 percent is complete certainty.)
63
Chapter 3
64
Collect Data
Focus Groups
Noted
Collecting data using qualitative techniques such as interviews and focus groups is a noble idea, but one
that often falls short of its real potential. Two challenges present themselves. The first challenge is tran-
scribing interview and focus group responses. The second is making meaning out of the data. Gig workers,
machine learning, and artificial intelligence (AI) are enabling researchers to tackle both issues with more
ease than in the past, enabling evaluators to leverage the value qualitative data have to offer.
65
Chapter 3
Table 3-5. Focus Group Protocol for a Study of an Emergency Response Support Program
This focus group is intended to help us understand how knowledge and skills gained in the program have been
applied (Level 3). During the focus group you will identify effectiveness with application, frequency of application,
barriers, and enablers to application.
What to Do
What to Take
1. Directions.
2. Point of contact’s telephone numbers.
3. Tent cards. Each tent card should have a number in a corner. Participants can write their first name just so
you call them by name, but your notes will refer to the participant number.
4. Refreshments—something light, but a treat because people respond to food, and it relaxes the environment.
5. Flipchart.
6. Markers for the tent cards and the flipchart.
7. Focus group notepads.
8. An umbrella.
What to Wear
You will be in a comfortable environment, so ties and high-heels are not necessary, but do dress professionally. No
jeans and tennis shoes: business casual.
66
Collect Data
What to Say
The intent is to understand how participants are applying what they learned during training. Start on time. You do
not want to keep the participants over the allotted time.
Questions
Each person will answer each question before moving to the next question. The idea is to allow each person to hear
what the others say so that they can reflect on their responses. You want to know what each individual thinks.
1. Now that you have had a chance to apply what you learned regarding your emergency response duties, how
effectively have you been able to execute those duties?
2. What specific barriers have interfered with your ability to execute your duties?
3. What has supported your efforts?
Question:
Location:
Facilitator:
67
Chapter 3
Action Plans
Basic Rule 3
Extreme data items and unsupported claims
should not be used in ROI calculations.
68
Table 3-6. Sample Action Plan for Levels 3 and 4 Data
Part I. Action Plan for the Leadership 101 Training Program SAMPLE
Improvement Measure: Quality Current Performance: 8,000 kg wasted monthly Target Performance: Reduce waste by 80 percent
69
70
Table 3-6. Sample Action Plan for Levels 3 and 4 Data (cont.)
Part II. Action Plan for the Leadership 101 Training Program SAMPLE Chapter 3
Improvement Measure: Quality Current Performance: 8,000 kg wasted monthly Target Performance: Reduce waste by 80 percent
Analysis
1. What is the unit of measure? Waste reduction Does this measure reflect your performance alone? Yes No
If not, how many employees are represented in the measure? 32
2. What is the value (cost) of one unit? $3.60 per kilogram of gelatin mass
E 3. How did you arrive at this value? This is the cost of raw materials and is the value we use for waste.
4. How much did this measure change during the last month of the evaluation period compared to the average before the
training program? (monthly value) 2,000 kg monthly waste.
Please explain the basis of this change and what you or your team did to cause it. 6,000 kilograms of waste eliminated. Reduction in
machines from 19 to 12 created additional savings, but did not calculate. Gains in machine hours (efficiency) in the encaps dept. More
awareness of gel mass waste and its costs. Key contributing factors were problem solving skills, communicating with my supervisors
and technicians and their willing response, as well as my ability to manage the results.
5. What level of confidence do you place on the above information? (100% = certainty | 0% = no confidence) 70%
6. What percentage of this change was actually caused by the application of the skills from the Leadership 101 training program
(0–100%) 20%
7. If your measure is time savings, what percentage of the time saved was actually applied toward productive tasks? (0–100%) N/A
F Gelatin mass waste has been a problem for our company since startup; with low efficiency in the encapsulation department and the
mistakes made in the gel department, the waste was out of control. In the past few months efficiency has increased and the gel department
has stabilized. As a result, waste is down considerably.
Collect Data
Basic Rule 4
Estimates of improvements should be adjust-
ed for the potential error of the estimate.
71
Chapter 3
72
Collect Data
Performance Records
Response Rates
73
Chapter 3
74
Collect Data
75
Chapter 3
Provide advance communication about the Provide an incentive (or chance of incentive) for
questionnaire. quick response.
Clearly communicate the reason for the Send a summary of results to target audience.
questionnaire. Distribute the questionnaire to a captive audience.
Indicate who will see the results of the questionnaire. Consider an alternative distribution channel, such as
Show how the data will be integrated with other data. email.
Let participants know what actions will be taken Have a third party collect and analyze the data.
based on the data. Communicate the time limit for submitting
Keep the questionnaire simple and brief. responses.
Allow for responses to be anonymous—or at least Review the questionnaire at the end of the formal
confidential. session.
Make it easy to respond; include a self-addressed, Allow for completion of the survey during normal
stamped envelope or return email address. work hours.
If appropriate, let the target audience know that they Add emotional appeal.
are part of a carefully selected sample. Design the questionnaire to attract attention using a
Provide one or two follow-up reminders using a professional format.
different medium. Provide options to respond (paper, email, website).
Get the introduction letter signed by a top executive Use a local coordinator to help distribute and collect
or administrator. questionnaires.
Enclose a giveaway item with the questionnaire (pen, Frame questions so participants can respond
money, and so forth). appropriately and accurately.
76
Collect Data
77
Chapter 3
Utility
78
Collect Data
Performance Records
Participants
79
Chapter 3
Customers
Other Sources
80
Collect Data
Noted
Determining the timing of data collection for follow-up data can be tricky, so it is important to make the
timing decision when establishing the program objectives. When deciding on the timing, consider the cur-
rent state with the measure, the time it will take for participants to use what they learn on a routine basis,
the availability of the data, and the convenience and constraints of collecting it.
Getting It Done
81
4
Isolate Program Impact
84
Isolate Program Impact
85
Chapter 4
86
Isolate Program Impact
Basic Rule 5
Use at least one method to
isolate the effects of a project.
87
Chapter 4
Control Group
(Untrained) Measurement
Experimental Group
Program Measurement
(Trained)
88
Isolate Program Impact
Case Study
89
Chapter 4
90
Isolate Program Impact
91
Chapter 4
Noted
A challenge is when the control group outperforms the experimental group. In some cases, the program
was, in fact, a poor solution to the opportunity. But more times than not, when the control group outper-
forms the experimental design, there is a problem with the research design. Therefore, it is important to
have an alternative approach readily available to determine how much improvement is due the program.
92
Isolate Program Impact
93
Chapter 4
Case Study
Shipment Productivity
100%
Team Training Program
Percentage of Schedule Shipped
tion
ojec
rend Pr
T
90% Pre-Program Average
87.3%
85%
J F M A M J J A S O N D J
Months
94
Isolate Program Impact
Mathematical Modeling
95
Chapter 4
Case Study
96
Isolate Program Impact
Expert Estimation
97
Chapter 4
98
Isolate Program Impact
99
Chapter 4
100
Isolate Program Impact
Basic Rule 6
Adjust estimates of improve-
ment for potential errors of
estimation.
Questionnaire Approach
101
Chapter 4
102
Isolate Program Impact
Case Study
Basic Rule 7
If no improvement data are available
for a population or from a specific
source, it is assumed that little or no
improvement has occurred.
103
Chapter 4
Table 4-2. Sample of Input From Participants in a Leadership Program for New Managers
117 $8,090 Team project completed 10 days ahead of 90% 45% $3,276
schedule. Annual salaries:
$210,500 = $809 per day × 10 days
118 $159,000 Under budget for the year by this amount 100% 30% $47,700
Total $113,721
Basic Rule 8
Avoid use of extreme data
items and unsupported claims
when calculating ROI.
104
Isolate Program Impact
Basic Rule 9
Use only the first year of annual
benefits in ROI analysis of
short-term solutions
105
Chapter 4
106
Isolate Program Impact
107
Chapter 4
Strengthening Credibility
• Reputation of the source of the data • Personal bias of audience • Realism of the outcome data
• Reputation of the source of the study • Methodology of the study • Type of data
• Motives of the researchers • Assumptions made in the analysis • Scope of analysis
108
Isolate Program Impact
Getting It Done
109
110
Table 4-5. ROI Analysis Plan
Program: Responsibility:________________________________ Date:____________
Chapter 4
Data Items Methods for Methods of Cost Intangible Communication Other Comments
(Usually wLevel 4) Isolating the Converting Data Categories Benefits Targets for Influences or
Effects of the to Monetary Final Report Issues During
Program Values Application
5
Calculate ROI
112
Calculate ROI
Output Quality
Units produced Errors
Tons manufactured Waste
Items assembled Rejects
Reports processed Rework
Students graduated Shortages
Research grants awarded Defects
Tasks completed Failures
Number of shipments Malicious intrusions
New accounts generated Accidents
Cost Time
Budget variances Cycle time
Unit costs Response time
Variable costs Equipment downtime
Overhead costs Overtime
Operating costs Processing time
Penalties/fines Supervisory time
Project cost savings Meeting time
Accident costs Work stoppages
Sales expense Order response time
113
Chapter 5
Improve teamwork.
Enhance creativity.
Reduce absenteeism.
114
Calculate ROI
Noted
There are five levels of data. Intangible benefits are impact data not converted to money. They represent a
sixth type of data when reporting an ROI due to their importance to the organization.
Productivity
Quality
Cost Savings and
Time Cost Avoidance
Cost
115
Chapter 5
Research Rank
Vulcan Materials Company produced 195 million tons of crushed stone during 2018.
Source: Annual Report.
IAMGOLD showed an ROI of 345 percent on a leadership program involving first-level managers.
Source: Parker, L., and C. Hubble. 2015. “Measuring ROI in a Supervisory Leadership Development
Program.” In Measuring the Success of Leadership Development, by P.P. Phillips, J.J. Phillips, and
R.L. Ray. Alexandria, VA: ATD Press.
St. Mary-Corwin’s Farm Stand Prescription Pantry saved money for the organization and avoid-
ed medical costs for recipients of service so much so that it resulted in a 650 percent ROI.
Source: Phillips, P.P., J.J. Phillips, G. Paone, and C.H. Gaudet. 2019. Value for Money: How to
Show the Value for Money for All Types of Projects and Programs. Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.
116
Calculate ROI
Standard Values
Basic Rule 10
When collecting and analyzing data,
use only the most credible sources.
117
Chapter 5
Historical Costs
118
Calculate ROI
External Databases
119
Chapter 5
Estimations
120
Calculate ROI
121
Chapter 5
122
Calculate ROI
$2,500
$2,000
Estimated Values
$1,500
$1,000
$500
$0
1 2 3 4 5
Supervisors
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Chapter 5
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Calculate ROI
Basic Rule 11
In converting data to monetary
value, when it doubt, leave it out!
125
Chapter 5
126
Calculate ROI
The value that you put in step 5 is the value that goes in the numerator of the formula.
127
Chapter 5
Basic Rule 12
When developing the denom-
inator, when in doubt, leave
it in.
128
Calculate ROI
Noted
It is incorrect to multiply the BCR
by 100 and report it as an ROI.
129
Chapter 5
Participant costs
Salaries and employee benefits
(no. of participants × avg. salary × employee benefits factor ×
hrs. or days of training time)
Meals, travel, and accommodations
(no. of participants × avg. daily expenses × days of training)
Program materials and supplies
Participant replacement costs (if applicable)
Lost production (explain basis)
130
Calculate ROI
Instructor costs
Salaries and benefits
Meals, travel, and incidental expenses
Outside services
Facility costs
Facilities rental
Facilities expense allocation
Equipment expenses
Other miscellaneous expenses
Getting It Done
131
Chapter 5
The value that you put in step 5 is the value that goes in the numerator of the formula.
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Figure 6-1. People Analytics Competencies That Are Important But Lacking
Psychometrics 24%
IT systems 14%
Employment law 2%
Other 11%
Source: i4cp and ROI Institute (2018)
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Basic Rule 13
Communicate the results of the ROI
Methodology to all key stakeholders.
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Participants
137
Chapter 6
Participants’ Supervisors
Clients
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Meetings
Internal Publications
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Chapter 6
Electronic Media
Brochures
Formal Reports
Developing Reports
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Detailed Reports
Evaluation Methodology
141
Chapter 6
Results
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Basic Rule 14
Hold reporting the actual ROI until
the end of the results section.
Appendixes
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Chapter 6
Results
• General Information
» Response Profile
» Relevance of Materials
• Participant Reaction
• Learning
The results with six
• Application and Implementation
measures: Levels
» Success With Use
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and
» Barriers
intangibles
» Enables
• Impact
» General Comments
» Linkage With Business Measures
• ROI
• Intangible Benefits
Appendix
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Executive Summaries
Single-Page Reports
145
Chapter 6
Level 2: Learning—Results
• Post-test scores average 84
• Pretest scores average 51
• Improvement 65%
• Participants demonstrated they could use skills successfully
Level 4: Impact—Results
Sexual Harassment Business One Year Prior One Year After Factor for Isolating the
Performance Measures to Program Program Effects of Program
Internal complaints 55 35 74%
External charges 24 14 62%
Litigated complaints 10 6 51%
Legal fees and expenses $632,000 $481,000
Settlement/losses $450,000 $125,000
Total cost of sexual harassment
$1,655,000 $852,000
prevention, investigation, and defense
Turnover (nonsupervisory annualized) 24.2% 19.9%
Level 5: ROI—Results
• Total annual benefits $3,200,908
• Total costs $277,987
• ROI 1,052%
Intangible Benefits
• Increased job satisfaction
• Increased teamwork
• Reduced stress
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Macro-Level Scorecard
147
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Level 1: Sponsor Feedback (select programs) % favorable 66% 80% 68% 12% below 75% 5% below
Level 2: Learning (select programs) Score 78% 85% 83% 2% below 85% on plan
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Chapter 6
1 through 4, and do not fixate on or hurry to the ROI calculation—the entire chain of impact is important to
reporting the success of the programs. Report Level 5: ROI and the intangible benefits. Then, present your con-
clusions and next steps. At the end of your presentation, provide each senior manager a copy of your final report.
Do you really expect the senior management team to read this detailed report? No. At best, they will hand it
off to someone else to read and summarize the contents that you will have presented in the meeting. Why then
go to the trouble of preparing this printed copy of the detailed final report for senior managers? To build trust.
You’ve told them your story; now, all they have to do is look in the report to see that you covered the details and
that you provided a thorough and accurate presentation of the report’s contents.
After the first one or two studies, senior management will have bought into the ROI Methodology. Of
course, if you’ve worked the process well, they will have begun to learn the methodology long before your initial
presentation. Given that, after the first or second study, you can start distributing the executive summary. Limit
your report to senior management to the 10 to 15-page report. Again, it has all the components, but not so
many details.
After about five ROI studies, you can begin reporting to senior management using the single-page report,
dashboard, scorecard, or even infographic. This will save time and money. Do remember, the talent development
staff will always have a copy of the detailed, comprehensive report. This will serve as a backup and a blueprint
for future studies.
Data Visualization
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Tables
Noted
Only use visual displays of data
if it makes the information more
accessible and better nudges
the audience toward action.
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Chapter 6
Variable 1 Variable 2
Diagrams
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Phase 2
Summer 2017
2nd Course
Phase 1 Evaluation Phase 3 Phase 4
Summer 2016 Fall 2018 Fall 2018
Evaluation
1st Course 3rd Course Certification
Implementation
Evaluation Evaluation ROI Study
Strategy
4th Course
Evaluation
As participants react positively to the course, acquire knowledge and skills, and apply knowledge and skills,
results occur. However, other intervening variables also influence measures; therefore, steps must be taken to
isolate the effects of the course on these measures.
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Chapter 6
Graphs
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Histograms
16
14
12
10
Frequency
0
Std. Dev = 12.00
35.0 45.0 55.0 65.0 75.0 85.0
Mean = 72.1
40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0 80.0 90.0
N = 60.00
Score on Training Exam
Box Plots
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90
80
Score On Training Exam
70
60
50
40
30
20
N= 20 20 20
1 2 3
Line Graphs
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18
16
14
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Determine Define Reconcile Manage Troubleshoot Recommend
performance root causes requests implementation implementation solutions
gaps
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Uses of Data
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When to Act
159
Chapter 6
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Getting It Done
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Chapter 6
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7
Sustain Momentum
Identifying Resistance
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Sustain Momentum
• This costs too much. • I do not understand this. • The ROI process is too subjective.
• We don’t need this. • Our clients will never buy this. • Our managers will not support
• This takes too much time. • What happens when the results this.
• Who is asking for this? are negative? • ROI is too narrowly focused.
• This is not in my job duties. • How can we be consistent with • This is not practical.
this?
• I did not have input on this.
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166
Sustain Momentum
167
Chapter 7
Sharing Information
Using Technology
Identifying a Champion
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Chapter 7
Noted
It will only take 3 to 5 percent of your talent development budget to create and integrate a robust measurement
and evaluation practice. That’s pennies compared to value of the opportunities lost if you don’t have one.
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Chapter 7
1. Purpose.
2. Mission.
3. Evaluate all programs, which will include the following levels:
• Level 1: Reaction and Planned Action (100%)
• Level 2: Learning (no less than 70%)
• Level 3: Application and Implementation (50%)
• Level 4: Impact (usually through sampling) (10%) (highly visible, expensive)
• Level 5: ROI (7%).
4. Evaluation support group (corporate) will provide assistance and advice in measurement and evaluation,
instrument design, data analysis, and evaluation strategy.
5. New programs are developed following logical steps beginning with needs analysis and ending with
communicating results.
6. Evaluation instruments must be designed or selected to collect data for evaluation. They must be valid,
reliable, economical, and subject to audit by evaluation support group.
7. Responsibility for talent development program results rests with facilitators, participants, and supervisors of
participants.
8. An adequate system for collecting and monitoring talent development costs must be in place. All direct costs
should be included.
9. At least annually, the management board will review the status and results of talent development. The review
will include plans, strategies, results, costs, priorities, and concerns.
10. Line management shares in the responsibility for program evaluation through follow-up, pre-program
commitments, and overall support.
11. Managers and supervisors must declare competence achieved through talent development programs. When
not applicable, the talent development staff should evaluate.
12. External consultants must be selected based on previous evaluation data. A central data or resource base
should exist.
13. All external programs of more than one day in duration will be subjected to evaluation procedures. In addition,
participants will assess the quality of external programs.
14. Talent development program results must be communicated to the appropriate target audience. As a
minimum, this includes management (participants’ supervisors), participants, and all learning staff.
15. Key talent development staff members should be qualified to do effective needs analysis and evaluation.
16. A central database for program development must be in place to prevent duplication and serve as
program resource.
17. Union involvement is necessary in total talent development plan.
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Setting Targets
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Figure 7-2. ROI Implementation Project Plan for a Large Petroleum Company
J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N
Team Formed
Policy Developed
Targets Set
Network Formed
Workshops Developed
ROI Project (A)
ROI Project (B)
ROI Project (C)
ROI Project (D)
WLP Staff Trained
Suppliers Trained
Managers Trained
Support Tools Developed
Evaluation Guidelines Developed
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Chapter 7
Noted
Not every offering of a program is evaluated to impact or ROI. This type of evaluation is typically conducted
on select offerings. So, while 20 unique programs may be targeted for ROI evaluation, it is likely only one
or two will be evaluated to those levels.
Using Technology
176
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Sharing Information
177
Chapter 7
178
Sustain Momentum
179
Chapter 7
Using Shortcuts
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Use Participants
181
Chapter 7
Use Sampling
Use Estimates
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Getting It Done
Purposes of Evaluation
From the list of evaluation purposes, select the ones that are relevant to your organization:
Determine success in achieving program objectives.
Identify strengths and weaknesses in the talent development process.
Set priorities for talent development resources.
Test the clarity and validity of tests, cases, and exercises.
Identify the participants who were most (or least) successful with the program.
Reinforce major points made during the program.
Decide who should participate in future programs.
Compare the benefits to the costs of a talent development program.
Enhance the accountability of talent development.
Assist in marketing future programs.
Determine if a program was an appropriate solution.
Establish a database to assist management with decision making.
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Chapter 7
Stakeholder Groups
Identify specific stakeholders that are important to the success of measurement and evaluation:
Staffing
Indicate the philosophy of using internal or external staff for evaluation work and the number of staff involved in
this process part time and full time.
Responsibilities
Detail the responsibilities of different groups in talent development. Generally, specialists are involved in a leadership
role in evaluation, and others are involved in providing support and assistance in different phases of the process.
Group Responsibilities
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Budget
The budget for measurement and evaluation in best-practice organizations is 3 to 5 percent of the learning and
development budget. What is your current level of measurement and evaluation investment? What is your target?
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Chapter 7
Use of Technology
How do you use technology for data collection, integration, and scorecard reporting, including technology for con-
ducting ROI studies? How do you plan to use technology?
Communication Methods
Indicate the specific methods you currently use to communicate results. What methods do you plan to use?
186
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Use of Data
Indicate how you currently use evaluation data by placing a “ ” in the appropriate box. Indicate your planned use
of evaluation data by placing an “X” in the appropriate box.
Questions or Comments
187
Appendix
ROI Forecasting Basics
Pre-Program Forecasts
Noted
When conducting a pre-program forecast, the step of isolating the effects of the program is omitted. It is
assumed that the estimated results are referring to the influence on the program under evaluation.
189
Appendix
Estimate Business
Calculate the
or Organizational Convert Data to
Return on
Impact (Level 4) Monetary Value
Investment
Data
Identify
Intangible
Benefits
190
Appendix
Pilot Program
Level 1 Forecasting
191
Appendix
1. As a result of this program, what specific actions will you attempt as you apply what you have learned?
2. Indicate what specific measures, outcomes, or projects will change as a result of your action.
3. As a result of these anticipated changes, estimate (in monetary values) the benefits to your organization over a
period of one year. $_______________________
5. What confidence, expressed as a percentage, can you put in your estimate? _______%
(0% = no confidence; 100% = complete certainty)
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Appendix
3. Determine the monetary value of the competencies using salary and benefits of participants:
$40,000 per participant
Multiply percentage of skills used on the job by the value of the job: $50,000 × 80% = $40,000
Calculate the dollar value of the competencies for the group: $40,000 × 10 = $400,000
Multiply the dollar value of the competencies by the improvement in skill level: $400,000 × 10% = $40,000
6. Compare the monetary benefits to the cost of the program: The ROI is 166% and the cost of the program is
$15,000
$40,000 – $15,000
ROI (%) = x 100 = 166%
$15,000
Noted
Forecasting ROI and the use of predictive analytics is becoming much more popular than in the past. Be
forewarned: Don’t rely on forecasting alone. While forecasting and predictive analytics are useful, they re-
sult in mere estimates of what could be. The real meaning is in what actually occurs—hence, the need for
post-program evaluation.
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References
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References
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Additional Resources
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Additional Resources
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Additional Resources
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Additional Resources
200
Additional Resources
201
About the Authors
203
About the Authors
204
About ROI Institute
205