Valmeth
Valmeth
current
+
I saTo
↑
ina
NBv =
-
a) -
-
b) -
- -
0
a
↓
T
-
f
BSmet
t
-
~
fors on book
value created
-
inetuents - green
-
brown existing ace
Sm buyny >
2)
-
>
existin
-
walls mergers
Advantages Discu
NBV = if
ter
w dride
NB share
b) Replaced Value
age
siz
comp
adv
D know what asset to
adj
reproductive
cert
if no
replment d) Ligh value
value of
eg annist all parts of the car
adj happen at and part
just add repro adjustment
Wh in being ai
· mestreet
Lay
term Lind +
diamet
lin re
b) Income based approach
>
-
>
-
ma
1) Dividence /relavace Theory ii) bird in
and
price of stock depends Quided capagains
ability
or
sutanding
or
stock prices affected by
-
-
of the asset
Dilution : ↓ J Consident in
sensitivity
analysis
> Ed Contol Prem--" + "to firm to goin
control
-
>
-
precedent trasac -
prev deals
or
experience being evaluated
(innced by RE or
put stods)
1) Weighted Aug Cort of
Cetal/WALL (min reg return
(W)
WALL +
= ↓
·be
Costotvity = R= +
B(km -
Rf]
I carp
-
CCAPM) = 5
Y % + 1 4
.
(3%)
e market risk
X =
5 + 4 2%
.
premium
-
-
92%
equity = Rf + B(Rm-Rf)
A Corp
13 %
3 %+
X(8))
=
n % = 0 08 X
.
1. Si = X
9 2%
.
P Corp
A Coup
11 . 8% = 4% + 1 3
.
(x -
)
4%
M Corp
78% = 1 .
3x -
0 052
.
C Corp >
14 30% (12 x)
= X 1, 25
-
+ %
2
-
1
.
.
6 = .
3x
14 50%
.
=
+ 0 13 1 25 X
x .
-
. x
2 =
- 0 . 0005 = -- 25x
2% = X
#
Net Oper Profit
xwa)
- -
LOGS
Income based -
a)
t
WALL-> min reg return of cost of capital
S
preakeven ???
y cost of dept
100 %= +
CAPM =
Rf + B (Rm Rf)
- NetIncre
Rf dpxim
% share
+
of financing
cost of debt risk free rate + debt premium or credit
to
tax
↓
not of
sure ing
Rf +
B(Rn Rf)
-
Clar rate -
Future Earnings
problem /
Required return %
WALL
itment
Disconte Cash floor's
NI Int +
+
Tax + Dept Amort
=
EBDN
MH
Operatios who tax
EBIT my incre
= Revenue -
OPEX -
depo-amost
omula
!
age -f
sweet
similar used assets similar
or
engineering
size >
-
comp -
distinct ;nigt be fondis
a) Asset Based
similar
separate assets
ne
ruthoncurre
no
asset (over under
=
or
met
curren noncrea
M
i) NBV =
p 35 .
of similar aspects
cost
company value
-
ii) Replacement
UIreplacement
-
value a ad
per share
-fit
RC
est GM
(BIdg)
=
417
cr = pr
so BV-co
CNCACI
Prep
-
Gooa
- - -
=
725
↑
-
3
=
otcapitalasdriveied rous
return
a) CNALL
b) Income based Approach
t
b) CaPm
S
preakeven ???
y cost of dept
100 %=
I
+
-
(ke x
We) + Byxiw Shreffinan , is
cost of debt risk free rate + debt premium or credit
spread
to
tax
↓
not of
sure ing
Rf +
B(Rn Rf)
-
relatinatio of
,
J
of return
(CAPM)
6) EVA = Earning-Cost of Capital 2) :
Earning Capitalizatio/Equity Value
i) fixed
Farmer
↓
reasonable mess of
earnings
Clar rate Equity value =
Fue problem /
COC WALL
appropriate
↓
itment
Earnings- COL
ii) Unriable
netchflow +
IdSets =
Earity Value
-
Dred ,
cash flor met
i)
* if BV persuae
=Cord/common)
2 methods :
iii) 1) Emperical/statistics
or guide transac method
T
a) Comparative data/comp
private company sale . transas
method
2) Heuristic
NI Int +
+
Tax + Dept Amort
=
EBITDA Margin
=
Operatios who tax
EBIT my incre
= Revenue -
OPEX -
depo-amost
F)
Chapter 1 "Fund .
Prin . ofral .
"
(p .
17 -
p .
20) (#30-40 To -
mini
&
SFANTL
Key Principles in Valuation
1) Value >
-
specifictive
vare varies bandon
-
value
3) market distate "approp . rate of return"
-te
"Asset Valuation" (p r 2 Based . 33 - p.
4)
-
value or
-
transparent view s more verifiable - -
Brhistoa
-factors' -
-
i) Age >
-
similar aged or
engineering design
- X accout for full value of eet assets
ii) size >
-
fixed assets
Totali a
iii) Compadr . >
-
distinct ;
ot Assets
=
-
IVBV # OS
Replace
replacement d
.
c) Reproduction Value
-
-
est cost of repro ,
creating , developing a similar asset
d) Liquidation Value method
-
requires reproduction cost analysis
considers salecevalve
internally developed
-
-
value =
amount realize at end of its life
- convinient
-
Reprovalue = -
wr
V
I To be continued
Chapter 3 "Liquidation Based Valuation"
2
< GO
Significat
Liquidation Value
=
General principles
~
in exp .
↓
-most ~
-
doubts in
going concern
ability NAV
conservative approach
-
LV :
-
captures markdown markups -
> value of if to dissolve and
company sell assets · If LV > income based :
indiv
use LV LV
assets sold piecement ·
If bus is limited lifetime :
) known as "Net Asset Value" terminal value based on LV
Assets
should
be valued using liqui method
·
eg perishable goods
sell at discount
·
Liqui Valuation used if bus
continuity
-
is dependent on
management
who will just
if LV > going concerned = significat business leavey
? * LV method be used
can as
benchmark
event transpired -
& profitable = LV < MP
LV = base price or
floor price of firm LV
Declining Shreor
>
=
- -
> resulti n
DONT wisk free
use for profitable or
growing companies arbitrage
profit
*
MP < BU False
X
(NEVER] -T
8
Types of Liqui
Formula :
i) orderly liqui
terminate aftera years
sold over
orderly period to attract > generate ↑
-
an
z]
most for assets
remaet pol
money
-
open market w/ reasonable time
P of Sale of Asset >
-
x
charges)
-
-
tax +
bankruptcy is filed
-
↓ LVh
Lu
F i
/ terminated gr3
Br x
⑪Pr >
-
(PV
-
can 1)
orany
net auch flow x of
-
red
+ SD
↑ "
"(Prof
D
- Prot
Pr cash inflow
[cash flow x
PV]
LV = sale of assets
-
payments -
liqui cost
-
a price
value
caprate:
↑
-
sp-premium
b) Capitalization of Earnings Method
4) Economic Value Added
value >
-
anticipated returns op income earnings
asset
-
to value
-
most conventionalway ↓ based
-
convinient
ability of firm historical earnings
measures to support its COC
-
using earnings S
excess of
↑
earning COC -
-
-
expected earnings
-
↑ excess ; better for firm
- Greenfield inv (no historical reference)
- elements :
(Investmen let
Fixedity =Farnis see
-d value
investment
(ke +
share in
-
We) + (ka x
P
↓ ↓
Rf + B (Rm -
-
most sophisticated approach for Corp value
-
more verifiable
-
assumes a terminal
value
W
I continuation
Chapter 5 "Discounted Cash Flow"
I
ii] Net Cash Flow to Equity
i) Net Cash Flow to firm
I
-
cash avail for common equity participants or shareholders
-
cash flow avail to parties who supplied Capital (lenders > shareholder after
paying OPEX satisfying oper) fixed capital reas .
2 settling
after OPEX (ultaxes) and investing cap expecatures and cash flow transactions
involving debt providers) preferred shareholders.
working
Capital.
avail cash for dividends shareholder
-
level of to common
-
emcompass cash flow avail to all investors - debt or
equity
-
less volatile compared to earnings
bus act its NCF]
-
Enterprise Value [theoretical value of .
by
↓
I E
for corp
valuation
EBITDA Margin =
+ Proceeds from Borrowing
-
Debt Service
- NCF
↑ proceeds from Preferred Shares Issuance
~
operating
X
financing
easy
-DividedonPeter
NOF
~ investing -
I
&approach) ed from NI (indirect
NCF to firm
+ Alon Cash charges (net)
I proceeds from
borrowing
↑ Interest exp (net of tax)
debt
servicing
-
-
a
Equity
of fixed Capital
punt sale
Invest
& From
& statement of Cash Flows N CF
proceeds
to firm
oper
deducted -
Howinvesting
Activitieas
- Dir onBearity
=
Ftfrom
+
1
EBITDA
EBITDA
Taxsarings
Working
,
net of
on
Taxes
Noncash
Capital Adj
Charges I EBITDA
+
+
NCF
proceeds
debt service
to
proceeds from
from
Firm
borrowing
PF issue
1
- Investment in Fixed Capital
-
art
NCF
Additional Ch3 DIT
Si
EBITDA Rev
NCF EBITDA -Taxes CAPEX
= =
-
-
+
Rev
NCF =
butdate COPEX)
in
solving (depr)
NI
bel
inded
EBITDA
Multiple
S
L
EEX
~
EBITDA = Revx multiple
NDV
NCF x of 1)
-2
NCFX (ProfI]
Chapter 6 "Market Approach Valuation"
Terminal Value >
-
no
perfect approach ; depends on risk appetite
G
GLBOs operate to
perpetuity risks) returns should be
guantified
-
-
econ value expected to be stable
a Emperical/Statistical Approach
Challenge determine value
-
: to account returns
generated perpetuity research and
databaseprocessing
econ in
- uses
in or
going concern enviro"
-trend analysis and bench
marking
1 Liquidation Value
i) Comparative Private Company Sales Data
.
2 Est Perpetual Value
comparative transaction method
farthest cash flow est . - [COC-growth]] ) guideline transaction method
-farthest
N -
IV = > growth
~
-
use exact
soure data
industry
is reliable and comparable
a)
terminal
value
-
insufficient market evidence in some industries "
TV
=-onlycocreata iii) Prior
looks
Transac Method
3
. Constant Growth
- challenge to determine reg return
insted use growth rate as it
b) Comparable Company Analysis CLA
proxy
-
.
4 Scientific Estimations factors considered :
Total s
·
absolute should not be compared
-
equity values still based on negotations ·
variables used must be same
·
be considered
>
- comparison of strategy structure) size
vs . earned
percieve
Persharea appreciation
persharea
div
P/ ratio:
rec.
on market
Davidad
persa
↑ a
are
Divided Yield
PErctoint
if Rev = X
appetiti
B HEBD
Rev x EBITDA
margin
nev after deducting
deductive fixed cost
OPEX
tax
&
, before
non cush exe
>
Mehave
-
-
=
NB EBITDA Multiple =
·
BV per share =
commo to
↓ Reu-OPEX + depr
&
b) Merger and
Acquisitions
2) Hreristic Pricing Rules Method
asset to another
acquire another
combine
-
company to
company
professionala
-
use expert optio
of
Merger 2 companies I
~
= >
company
-
take over
-
pricing multiple is made available
-
Acq =
Top reasons
a) Due Diligence
-
minimizes investment risk ... undertaken after intet to purcha investment
1)
willing to take risk
-
PH RA 8799 Sea Rey Code & benefit
2) multiple bets must be
made
Due Diligence
Investment Opportunity Scanning
.
2
> Government Due Diligence
- >
-
.
3 Valuation of Target Investment >
-
>
-
Hard due diligence >
Integration of agreement
-
.
5 execution
>
- soft due diligence
>
-
Combined due diligence
Val metrods used
Factors : a
Discounted Cash Flows
>
-
Market Capitalization
b .
Comparable company analysis
>
-
>
-
Manageret S Share Ownership c .
Divesture
-
on
management
or
Possibilities
>
-
portfolio management
Market Expectation
-
-
enables companies to improve cash flows , discontine
>
Long) Short term risks
-
·
per segments that arent aligned , create additional
shareholder value
Divesture cont .
d) Other Valuation Techniques
e
i) ROI based
assets generated
by investment
-
-
useful his investment place
>
-
gets a
sense on
to
subjective "
-
-
investor or
buyer wants to know :
·
length of time to recover
Types of Divesture :
·
rate of return
a .
attractiveness
sell only portion of business to raise funds
-
.
b Equity Carve Out
-
IPG
dividendezd
-
using 5
year WA of
Saventure
-
y
value sellingon
of
a
)
·
est about of future div paid out
WA dN
b) yield
2) est value of business
FreDr
imme
Value of
field
=
company
=
If w/ working cap :
* for stable companies
ASEF ityorx
working cap="
&
-
Ch -
Value b) Div
NI-
(Dirfield
> GP-OPEX
ratio) &) Earning Valment
seiling
X A
EBA
div
Assets
on WIX
CA + NCA = rat
L
= E
X - >
fiab
xx) -
31 work cap
x
Ans
Sp
%
= X
Value= d
>
-
= v or
value x Sp%
equity
= v
, addbak
Prob
Solving
Ent -
if subtracted in per or
is
-
-5-
P 169
P 10 #46
.
a
#14810
e e
I LV 2 M
#
1) E O-
↑
Im
for district
52/50 -
unsec bonds
Net Value
O
cooks
ord annuity
·
O
sinEa
8 5Mx 30% = 25 5.
25 5 1
4
.
05
4310
- Cash flow
i
) inflow (CollotAR , Rev)
-
(outflow) (pagret expense purch invest)
-
NCF
·
EBITDA writ
Arg
&
% =
FDADiA
EvA = COL EBITDA -> based on operations
Res
·
NI Int +
+
Tax + Dept Amort
=
EBITDA Margin
=
I
-
= Revenue -
OPEX -
depo-amost
market
cunsatisfactory) company > selling opp
⑫ratio
-
g investor >
-
Buying opp
> -
investor I
buying open
⑪
yiald ratio
↑
↓
ratio earnings
↓
↑ dir distric
set
Fun
Dir per
EBITDA Multiple
-E
- ecore a
Returned
Earnings
if trator
market
Frnings
-30
II
:9
Ch4
&
10th
+
chstral
i
Value meoa
Rackment ove
method ???
12
P
F 132 19
20
⑯
is
QuiZ
&
>
-
e
O
O
E
O
-O
O
↑ e
8
O
e
& E