Der
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- Specula on: Taking posi ons based on expected future price movements
- Hedging: Protec ng against adverse price movements by taking offse ng posi ons
Given:
- Premium = Rs 5
- For op ons to be more profitable, stock price should rise above Rs 106
Recommenda on:
If investor strongly believes in significant upside, op ons provide be er leverage. However, shares
are safer as they don't expire and have no me decay. Given the small difference in break-even
points, shares would be the more conserva ve choice.
Given:
F = S × e^(r×t)
= 153.80
Since actual forward price (152) is less than theore cal price (153.80), arbitrage opportunity exists:
Strategy:
Buy stock now and sell forward, as forward is underpriced. This will yield risk-free profit of
approximately Rs 1.80 per share.
Where:
R2 = 24-month rate = 5%
T1 = 1.5 years
T2 = 2 years
= 5.75% approximately
This represents the implied 6-month rate star ng 18 months from now based on current zero rates.
Let me help you with these ques ons about financial deriva ves and futures markets. I'll address
them one by one:
Normal backwarda on occurs when the futures price is below the expected future spot price, while
contango is when the futures price is above the expected future spot price. These traits are
commonly visible in commodity markets - for example, in the oil markets during supply gluts
(contango) or supply shortages (backwarda on).
- Convenience yield is the benefit or premium associated with holding the physical underlying asset
rather than the futures contract. It represents the advantages of having immediate access to the
asset when needed.
- Cost of carry refers to the total costs incurred for holding an asset over me, including storage
costs, insurance, financing costs, and any other related expenses.
- Convenience yield = 7%
= 107.5 + 5 - 5.25
= 107.25
- Bull spread: A bullish strategy created by buying a call op on with a lower strike price and selling
another call with a higher strike price (same expira on)
- Bear spread: A bearish strategy created by buying a put with a higher strike price and selling
another put with a lower strike price
- Bu erfly spread: Combines bull and bear spreads using three strike prices to create a range-bound
trading strategy
- Calendar spread: Involves trading op ons of the same type and strike price but with different
expira on dates
This creates a bu erfly spread that profits most when the price stays near the middle strike price (Rs.
60).
Let me help you solve these ques ons about bonds, swaps, and op ons:
Dura on measures the price sensi vity of a bond to interest rate changes. There is an inverse
rela onship - when interest rates increase, bond prices decrease, and vice versa. The longer the
dura on, the greater the price sensi vity to interest rate changes.
- Annual coupon = 8%
- Yield = 11%
- Time = 2 years
= 94.86
≈ 1.92 years
Here's an example of using swaps to convert fixed to floa ng liability and vice versa:
Suppose Company A has a Rs. 10 million loan at a fixed 8% rate but wants a floa ng rate. Company B
has a floa ng rate loan (LIBOR + 2%) but wants a fixed rate. They can enter into a swap where:
This effec vely converts A's fixed rate to floa ng and B's floa ng rate to fixed.
Given:
u = 42/40 = 1.05
d = 38/40 = 0.95
2) Calculate risk-neutral probability (p):
≈ 0.4837
3) Calculate op on payoffs:
≈ Rs. 1.44
Let me help you solve these arbitrage and forward pricing ques ons:
Cash-and-carry arbitrage:
- Used when futures price is too high rela ve to spot price plus carrying costs
- Used when futures price is too low rela ve to spot price plus carrying costs
Given:
F = S × (1 + r)
F = $2000 × (1 + 0.05)
F = $2100
Since actual forward price ($1200) < theore cal forward price ($2100), there's a reverse cash-and-
carry arbitrage opportunity:
2. Invest proceeds at 5%
F = S × (1 + r)
where:
2. No surplus cash
F = 600 × (1 + 0.05)
F = INR 630
- If F > 630: Traders could profit by short selling stock, inves ng at 5%, and buying forward
- If F < 630: Traders could profit by borrowing at 5%, buying stock, and selling forward
Therefore, the 1-year forward price should be INR 630, regardless of whether you own the stock or
have surplus cash, as arbitrageurs would push the price to this level.
Let me solve these futures trading problems:
Given:
- No dividends
F = S₀ × (1 + r × t)
F = 228 × (1 + 0.0167)
F = 228 × 1.0167
F = Rs. 231.81
Given:
- Ini al spot price (Jan 1) = INR 30/kg
Transac on sequence:
2. March 31:
Therefore, the net cost of purchase for the rice is INR 33/kg (the futures price), as this was locked in
through the hedge, resul ng in an effec ve profit of INR 2/kg due to the favorable movement in spot
prices.
Let me help you solve these op ons and por olio management ques ons:
- Premium paid: Rs 95
At expiry:
- Investment (Premium) = Rs 95
i) Moneyness analysis:
Op on A (Strike 100):
- Intrinsic value = 105 - 100 = 5
- Total premium = 2
Op on B (Strike 105):
- Intrinsic value = 0
- Total premium = 8
- Time value = 8 - 0 = 8
Op on C (Strike 110):
- Intrinsic value = 0
- Total premium = 14
- Time value = 14 - 0 = 14
For a Rs 100 crore por olio with beta = 1 and maximum acceptable loss of 10%:
2. Put op on strategy:
- Buy protec ve puts at strike price of 16,200 (10% below current 18,000)
3. Implementa on steps:
4. Benefits:
1. Long Call:
- Gives holder the right (but not obliga on) to buy the underlying asset at strike price
2. Long Put:
- Gives holder the right (but not obliga on) to sell the underlying at strike price
- Maximum profit poten al is strike price (minus premium) if asset goes to zero
3. Short Call:
4. Short Put:
- Strategy:
* Storage costs
* Insurance
* Transporta on
- Strategy:
- Considera ons:
* Borrowing costs
* Storage facili es
Given:
- No dividends
F = 600 × (1 + 0.05)
F = 600 × 1.05
F = Rs 630
- Arbitrageurs would:
* Borrow Rs 600 at 5%
- Arbitrageurs would:
* Invest proceeds at 5%
* Cash posi on
The lack of stock ownership or surplus cash doesn't affect the theore cal price because market
par cipants with access to these resources will exploit any price discrepancies un l the no-arbitrage
price prevails.
Let me analyze each investment op on and calculate their respec ve ROIs:
Given:
ROI Summary:
3. Op ons: 150%
1. Cash Market:
- No leverage effect
- No me decay risk
2. Futures:
- No me decay risk
3. Op ons:
- Affected by me decay
1. Risk-Return Tradeoff:
2. Suitability:
3. Considera on Factors:
- Investment horizon
- Risk tolerance
- Transac on costs
- Margin requirements
- Understanding of products
2. Investment exper se
3. Capital availability
5. Investment horizon
In this specific case, given the strong convic on about price rise, op ons provide the best return
poten al while limi ng downside risk to premium paid, making them the most a rac ve choice
despite their complexity.
I'll help you solve these ques ons step by step.
Q4. (a) (i) The determinants of op ons premium according to Black-Scholes model are:
(i) Moneyness:
Op on A (Premium = 2):
- Time Value = 2 - 5 = -3 (Note: This appears mispriced as op ons can't have nega ve me value)
Op on B (Premium = 8):
- Time Value = 8 - 0 = 8
Op on C (Premium = 14):
- Time Value = 14 - 0 = 14
- Premium paid = Rs 95
- Ini al cost = 95
- Profit = 118 - 95 = Rs 23
Note: This was a bullish posi on (though the ques on men ons bearish, the trade actually profited
from an upward movement), and the trader made a posi ve return as Ni y moved above the strike
price.
1. Types of Swaps:
- A complex financial deriva ve where two par es exchange principal and interest payments in
different currencies
- Used for hedging currency risk and accessing be er rates in foreign markets
- Example: A US company needing Euros might swap USD principal and interest payments with a
European company needing USD
- Agreement between par es to exchange one stream of interest payments for another over a set
period
- Most common type is "plain vanilla" swap: fixed rate for floa ng rate
- Example: Company A pays LIBOR + 1% but wants fixed rate, swaps with Company B who pays 5%
fixed but wants floa ng rate
- Useful when en es want to hedge only principal currency risk without interest rate exposure
2. Black-Scholes-Merton Model:
C = S₀N(d₁) - Ke^(-rT)N(d₂)
P = Ke^(-rT)N(-d₂) - S₀N(-d₁)
Where:
- K = Strike price
- r = Risk-free rate
- T = Time to maturity
- d₂ = d₁ - σ√T
This model revolu onized op ons trading by providing a mathema cal framework for pricing
op ons, though it has limita ons due to its assump ons not always matching real-world condi ons.
- Longer me to expira on
These equa ons allow traders and investors to calculate theore cal op on prices and understand
how different factors affect op on values, making it a fundamental tool in modern deriva ves
trading.
Forward Contract:
Futures Contract:
2. Types of Orders:
Market Order:
Limit Order:
- Similar to stop order but used for buying below market or selling above
Basis Risk:
- Risk that arises from poten al changes in the basis (difference between spot and futures price)
* Time to delivery
* Quality differences
* Loca on differences
Cross Hedging:
Zero Rate:
- No reinvestment risk
* Purchase price
* Face value
* Time to maturity
* Coupon payments
Par Yield:
- Important for:
* Bond pricing
Key differences:
These concepts are fundamental to understanding financial markets and risk management, with each
playing a crucial role in different aspects of trading and investment decisions.
1. Forward Rates:
- These are interest rates for future periods implied by current interest rates
- Used for:
* Risk management
- Key components:
- Investors prefer shorter terms and need premium for longer terms
- Investors have preferred investment horizons but will switch for sufficient premium
a) Convenience Yield:
- Reflects:
* Storage costs
* Supply availability
b) Cost of Carry:
* Storage costs
* Insurance
* Financing costs
* Transporta on
* Deteriora on/spoilage
s = storage cost
c = convenience yield
Contango:
Backwarda on:
- Indicates:
The rela onship between these elements affects commodity futures pricing and trading strategies:
* Hedging decisions
* Trading strategies
* Risk management
* Investment ming
These concepts are interconnected and fundamental to understanding interest rate markets and
commodity futures trading. They provide the theore cal framework for pricing, trading, and risk
management in these markets.
1. Call Op on:
- Right (not obliga on) to buy underlying asset at strike price un l expiry
- Used for:
* More me to expiry
2. Put Op on:
- Used for:
* More me to expiry
OR
- Characteris cs:
OR
- Characteris cs:
* Limited downside poten al
- Construc on:
- Characteris cs:
* Limited risk
* Limited reward
- Construc on:
* Sell near-term op on
* Buy longer-term op on
- Characteris cs:
* Benefits from me decay
* Limited risk
- Used for:
* Exploi ng me decay
These op on strategies provide different risk-reward profiles and can be used in various market
condi ons to:
- Generate income
- Market outlook
- Risk tolerance
- Available capital
- Time horizon
- Vola lity expecta ons
- Transac on costs
- Market liquidity
1. Credit Risk:
- Components:
- Managed through:
* Credit analysis
* Diversifica on
* Collateral requirements
2. Market Risk:
- Types:
- Measured by:
* Beta
* Standard devia on
* Stress tes ng
* Scenario analysis
- Categories:
* Process risk
* Technology risk
* People risk
* External events
- Management through:
* Internal controls
* Process documenta on
* Staff training
* Backup systems
* Insurance
* Underlying price
* Strike price
* Time to expira on
* Vola lity
* Interest rates
* Dividends
- Impact varies by op on type:
5. Call-Put Parity:
- Formula: C - P = S - Ke^(-rT)
Where:
* C = Call price
* P = Put price
* S = Spot price
* K = Strike price
* r = Risk-free rate
* T = Time to expira on
- Used for:
* Op on pricing verifica on
Lower bound:
Upper bound:
Lower bound:
Upper bound:
- American Put: K
- Risk management
1. Risk Management:
- Developing mi ga on strategies
- Se ng risk limits
- Capital alloca on
2. Trading:
- Op on pricing accuracy
- Posi on sizing
- Risk assessment
- Hedging decisions
- Performance a ribu on
4. Regulatory Compliance:
- Risk repor ng
- Internal controls
- Risk managers
- Traders
- Investment professionals
- Regulators
- Trading strategies
- Investment decisions
- Regulatory compliance
- Financial innova on
Let me answer each of these ques ons in detail:
- The basis is the difference between spot price and futures price
Example:
This nega ve basis suggests storage costs and interest rates exceed any convenience yield from
holding physical oil.
- As the futures contract approaches expira on, the basis converges to zero
- This means futures price and spot price become almost iden cal at expiry
For an open-ended fund manager with long-term stock investments, futures hedging might not be
cri cal because:
1. Investment Horizon Considera ons:
4. Performance Impact:
Yes, the answer would change significantly for a close-ended fund manager because:
- No redemp on pressure
4. Strategic Benefits:
* Risk management
* Market ming
- Open-ended funds: Less cri cal due to flexibility in unit crea on/redemp on
- Close-ended funds: More important due to fixed capital and price sensi vity
- Investment horizon
1. Ac ons on January 1:
Given:
- Remaining me = 6 months
Contango:
- Arises when:
Backwarda on:
- Arises when:
* Supply shortages
* Storage constraints
2. Supply-demand imbalances
3. Seasonal factors
1. Business Nature:
2. Risk Tolerance:
3. Stakeholder Requirements:
Yes, OTC deriva ves expose par cipants to counterparty credit risk.
Mi ga on Strategies:
1. Collateral Requirements:
- Ini al margin
- Varia on margin
- Regular mark-to-market
2. Ne ng Agreements:
- Bilateral ne ng
- Mul lateral ne ng
- Close-out ne ng
3. Central Counterpar es:
- Clearing houses
- Standardized contracts
- Regular se lement
5. Due Diligence:
- Credit ra ng monitoring
- ISDA agreements
- Master ne ng agreements
These measures help manage but cannot eliminate counterparty risk in OTC markets.