Final Report
Final Report
Author Hyun Cheol Jeong, Minseok Jang, Taegon Kim, Sung-Kwan Joo
Published in
(Conference/journal, Year)
Electronics, MDPI, 26/01/2021
Keyword
I. Introduction
The level of electrification has been increased significantly in the past few years. Furthermore,
the types of electricity customers also have been varied significantly differentiated by their
demographic profile. In this case, the analysis of the customer load profile can be related to
marketing and design of the load management program. This paper proposes k-means clustering
method for electricity consumers by implementing extreme points and feature selection as the
clustering parameters. The clustering analysis of energy consumption customers is carried out
using load profiles from 2041 households with various demographic characteristics is presented.
II. Selection of Extreme Points of The Energy Consumption Pattern with Demographic
Characteristics
For the selection of extreme points, initially all the data is evaluated by using z-score to detect
outliers. By doing this, the clustering result accuracy will be increased. After deleting outliers,
the load profile is normalized to determine the extreme points: morning local minimum point,
morning local maximum point, evening local minimum point, and evening local maximum point.
Furthermore, the last step of this section is feature selection. Feature selection is undertaken by
analyzing the correlation between monthly total energy consumption and customer demographic
data: area, number of household members, salary level, age, and education level.
III. Clustering Method for Residential Customer Energy Profile Using Extreme Points and
Demographic Characteristics
In this section, the k-means clustering method is performed based on the selected features and
extreme points. For the load profiles of residential customers, the difference in energy
consumption between customers is small and the range of energy consumption is wide. In this
section, clustering of load profiles of residential customers is carried out by computing the
distance from the cluster center point in the residential customer energy consumption data. The
load profiles of residential customers are clustered by minimizing the sum of the Euclidean
distances of the group set. The elbow method is adopted to compute the distance from the cluster
center point to residential customer load profile in order to determine the optimal number of
clusters.
IV. Results
According to the k-means clustering with determined extreme points and selected features
results, there are six categories of patterns of residential customers. The patterns of residential
customers are clustered by utilizing K-means into energy consuming, energy saving, M-pattern,
morning concentrated, evening concentrated, and owl. Energy consuming is a typical energy
consumption pattern for residential customers. The energy saving cluster is a type of consumer
that saves energy in the morning. The M-pattern cluster with similar energy consumption in the
morning and the evening, such as office workers which do not stay at home during the day.
Morning concentrated cluster is a type of customer with energy consumption concentrated in the
morning. The evening concentrated is type of energy consumers with energy consumption
concentrated in the evening. Owl cluster has relatively large energy consumption at daybreak
compared to the other clusters with very low energy consumption during the daytime.
Summary of Paper (in your own words)-Do not copy from the abstract
Electricity customer has a very wide variations, that brings difficulty for the utility company to provide
optimal services through electricity market. To help analyze residential customers for constructing the
electricity market strategies, the clustering of load profiles by using extreme points and demographic
characteristics. The results show that the residential customers can be categorized into six types of energy
consumption patterns, and the total monthly energy consumption, area, and number of household members
are analyzed in each cluster. This research then can be a promising solution to be directed toward the
development of personalized residential electricity rates for different demographic characteristics of
customers.
Limitation/Extension (Weakness of the proposed idea, can you think of any improvement?)
The limitation of this work: The load profile analyzed for this work is based on historical data which the
clustering is done on one time only. Meanwhile, for the electricity market, the data should be real
time in order to maintain the proper strategy. Such as, the load balancing process in power system
operation will be determined based on the electricity market operation. In addition, the clusters
determination has significant effect towards electricity market strategy. Thus, if the k-means
clustering is used as the proposed method, for a real-time result, machine learning can be used to do
forecasting such as short term load forecasting by using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and
convolutional neural network (CNN). Then, by implementing short term load forecasting, the
clustering can be performed in real time. In this case, the clustering of load profiles should be
improved by considering real time aspect such as dynamic electricity tariff, real time load capacity,
weather condition, etc. To give another perspective, the figure below presents the flowchart of
paper’s improvement.
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