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Pub Energy Roadmap Maldives 2024 2033

The Energy Road Map for the Maldives outlines a strategy to achieve 33% of electricity from renewable sources by 2028, addressing challenges such as reliance on imported fossil fuels and climate change impacts. It emphasizes the need for collaboration across sectors to enhance energy security, create jobs, and promote social inclusiveness while integrating renewable technologies like solar, wind, and ocean energy. Key interventions include improving energy efficiency, transitioning to cleaner fuels, and developing a robust regulatory framework to support a just energy transition.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
378 views58 pages

Pub Energy Roadmap Maldives 2024 2033

The Energy Road Map for the Maldives outlines a strategy to achieve 33% of electricity from renewable sources by 2028, addressing challenges such as reliance on imported fossil fuels and climate change impacts. It emphasizes the need for collaboration across sectors to enhance energy security, create jobs, and promote social inclusiveness while integrating renewable technologies like solar, wind, and ocean energy. Key interventions include improving energy efficiency, transitioning to cleaner fuels, and developing a robust regulatory framework to support a just energy transition.

Uploaded by

jing qiang
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© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 58

PAVING THE WAY FOR A JUST

ENERGY TRANSITION IN
MALDIVES

ROAD MAP FOR THE ENERGY SECTOR 2024 - 2033

Ministry of Climate Change,


Environment and Energy ASIAN DEVELOPMENT BANK
Republic of Maldives
Contents

FOREWORD by the President of Maldives i

FOREWORD by the Minister of Climate Change, Environment and


Energy ii

ABBREVIATIONS iii

WEIGHTS AND MEASURES iv

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY v

1» BACKGROUND 8
1.1 Maldives Development Path 8
1.2 Positive Policy Evolution 9

2» AMBITION AND CHALLENGES 13


2.1 Government Target and Expected Result 13
2.2 A Turn Towards a Just Energy Transition 13
2.3 Challenges 14
2.3.1 Resiliency to Severe Weather and the Impacts of Climate Change 14

2.3.2 Fuel Price Volatility and the Subsidy Issue 15

2.3.3 Grid Integration of Renewable Energy Technologies 16

2.3.4 Independence and Capacity of the Regulator 17

2.3.5 Protection of the Environment and Biodiversity 17

3» SOURCES OF ENERGY 18
3.1 Renewable Energy Resources 18
3.1.1 Solar Energy 18

3.1.2 Wind Energy 19

3.1.3 Ocean Energy 20

3.1.4 Biomass Energy 20


3.2 Fuel Imports 21

4» SECTOR ASSESSMENT 22
4.1 Electric Power 22
4.1.1 Greater Male’ 23

4.1.2 Other Inhabited Islands 24

4.1.3 Resort islands 26

4.2 Other Energy Uses 26


4.2.1 Transport 26

4.2.2 Liquefied Petroleum Gas 27

5» WAY FORWARD 28
5.1 Flagship Interventions 29
5.1.1 Accelerating the Uptake of Rooftop Renewable Energy 29

5.1.2 Leapfrogging Solarization of Islands 30

5.1.3 Evaluating Maximum Potential for Renewable Energy Integration into the Grid 31

5.1.4 Decarbonizing Transport 31

5.1.5 Mainstreaming Efficient Consumption 33


5.1.6 Transitioning to Cleaner Fuels in Greater Male’ 34

5.1.7 Setting Up a Cost Reflective Tariff and Replacing the Indirect Subsidy Mechanism by a

Targeted Mechanism 35

5.1.8 Erecting and Integrating Waste-to Energy Plants 36

5.1.9 Preparing Smart, Flexible and Reliable Grids 36

5.1.10 Exploring Interconnection Possibilities of Island Clusters and Extending Electricity

Service 37

5.1.11 Interconnecting Power Systems of Greater Male’ 37

5.1.12 Strengthening Regulatory Framework 38

5.1.13 Accessing and Collecting Reliable Energy Data 39

5.1.14 Developing Institutional Capacity and Strengthen International Cooperation 40

5.1.15 Unleashing the Potential of Marine Renewable Energy and Exploring Green Hydrogen

Options 40

5.2 Evolution of Renewable Energy Share 41

6» ENABLING A JUST ENERGY TRANSITION 45


6.1 Implement an Integrated and Comprehensive Framework 45
6.2 Increase Cross-sectoral Efforts 46
6.3 Prepare the Future Workforce for Change 47
6.4 Continue Community Engagement for Gender Equality and Social Inclusiveness 47
6.5 Monitoring Road Map Results and Preparing Plans and Studies 48
6.6 Alignment with Sustainable Development Goals 48
6.7 Financing Schemes 49

References 50
FOREWORD by the President of
Maldives

I am pleased to present the Energy Road Map of Maldives, a


crucial blueprint for our nation's sustainable energy future. As
we navigate the challenges posed by climate change, I am proud
to announce our commitment to the ambitious goal of generating
33% of our electricity from renewable sources by the year 2028.

During the recent COP28 conference, I had the honor of announcing this bold target as part of
our steadfast commitment to combatting climate change and transitioning towards a more
sustainable energy landscape. This commitment reflects our dedication to reducing greenhouse
gas emissions, enhancing energy security, and fostering economic growth and social
inclusiveness through renewable energy technologies.

Achieving our goal will require coordinated efforts and collaboration from all sectors of society.
It is an opportunity for us to showcase our leadership in embracing clean energy solutions and
setting an example for other nations to follow.

I call upon local and international partners to support our collective efforts in realizing this
vision. Together, we can harness the power of renewable energy to build a more resilient,
inclusive and prosperous future for our nation and protect the pristine beauty of our islands
for generations to come.

Let us work hand in hand to make the Energy Road Map a reality and lead the way towards a
sustainable and bright future for Maldives.

H.E. Dr. Mohamed Muizzu

President of the Republic of Maldives

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> i


FOREWORD by the Minister of
Climate Change, Environment
and Energy

The rapid development of the country has led to a significant


increase in energy demand. Contributing factors include the
growing population and the expansion of industries such as
construction, transportation and tourism. Achieving universal
access to electricity in 2008 was a historic milestone for us. However, energy security remains
a challenge, as we rely almost entirely on imported fossil fuels.

The Maldives' energy sector is transitioning towards an environmentally friendly and


sustainable model by adopting greener and more innovative technologies. In line with this
strategy, President Dr. Mohamed Muizzu has declared the government’s commitment to
developing renewable energy systems to meet 33% of the nation’s electricity needs by 2028.

Increasing the share of renewable energy will reduce our dependence on imported fossil fuels,
lower government expenditure on subsidies, cut harmful emissions, and enhance the country’s
energy security. The Energy Road Map is crucial for achieving our sustainable development
goals. This road map will guide Maldives in transforming its energy sector and expanding
economic activities.

The Energy Road Map outlines a plan to achieve a 33% renewable energy share in the
electricity sector by 2028, ensuring energy that is sufficient, reliable, sustainable, secure, and
affordable. It also suggests ways to increase renewable energy use in other sectors. Beyond
2028, exploring additional renewable energy technologies will be crucial. These initiatives aim
to enhance energy security, create jobs, stimulate economic growth, and mitigate climate
change, showcasing the government's commitment to sustainable development and carbon
neutrality. Achieving these targets will require collaborative efforts from our institutions,
international donor agencies, and development partners.

I would like to express my gratitude to the multilateral development banks, other donor
agencies, and relevant stakeholders for their continuous support to Maldives in developing and
transforming its energy sector. I am confident that, with the support of all parties, we will
achieve the goal and targets outlined in the Road Map.

Thoriq Ibrahim

Minister of Climate Change, Environment and Energy

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> ii


ABBREVIATIONS
ARISE Accelerating Renewable Energy Integration and Sustainable Energy

ASPIRE Accelerating Sustainable Private Investments in Renewable Energy

ASSURE Accelerating Sustainable System Development Using Renewable Energy

BESS battery energy storage system

CO2 carbon dioxide

GDP gross domestic product

GESI gender equality and social inclusion

GHG greenhouse gas

IPP independent power producer

IWMC Island Waste Management Center

LPG liquefied petroleum gas

MEE Ministry of Environment and Energy

MCCEE Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy

MOH Ministry of Health

MVR Maldivian rufiyaa

NDC Nationally Determined Contribution

OTEC ocean thermal energy conversion

POISED Preparing Outer Islands for Sustainable Energy Development

PPA power purchase agreement

PV photovoltaic

SAP Strategic Action Plan

SDG Sustainable Development Goal

SMEs small and medium-sized enterprises

STELCO State Electric Company Ltd.

SWAC seawater air-conditioning

URA Utility Regulatory Authority

V2G vehicle-to-grid

WDC Women Development Committee

WEC wave energy converter

WTE waste to energy

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> iii


WEIGHTS AND MEASURES

kW kilowatt

kWh kilowatt-hour

kWp kilowatt-peak

m3 cubic meter

m/s meter per second

MMTPA million air-conditioning tons per annum

MTPA metric ton per annum

MW megawatt

MWh megawatt-hour

MWp megawatt-peak

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> iv


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The Republic of Maldives, a nation of 1,192 islands in the Indian Ocean that includes 187
inhabited islands, 168 resort islands, with population of 515,132 as of 2022, has seen
considerable economic growth over the past four decades in sectors such as tourism, fisheries,
sea transport, and construction. Tourism contributes 25% to GDP, while construction and
fisheries account for 7% and 5%, respectively. However, socio-economic inequality persists,
particularly between Male' and the outer atolls. The country’s heavy reliance on imported fossil
fuels poses fiscal challenges and makes the economy vulnerable to price fluctuations. Fossil
fuels remain the primary energy source, with imports accounting for about 13.5% of GDP in
2023. The logistics of fuel distribution across islands are complex and costly.

Maldives faces significant geographic and climate challenges. The COVID-19 pandemics
exposed weaknesses in its economic model, underscoring the need for diversification, job
creation, and reduced fossil fuel dependence. Strengthening sectors like fishing and
agriculture, and investing in renewable energy, are crucial for economic transformation and
reducing fiscal burdens. The Maldives Ministry of Climate Change, Environment, and Energy
(MCCEE) aims to transition to a renewable energy-based sector, promoting equity, climate
justice, and social inclusion. The updated Energy Road Map aligns with the Government’s
commitment to source 33% of its electricity from renewables by 2028, and with its broader
policy objectives, such as economic growth, poverty reduction, job creation, and climate
resilience.

Maldives has abundant renewable energy resources, including solar, wind, and ocean energy.
Solar PV projects are highly viable, with ongoing integrations with diesel power plants. Wind
and ocean energy hold promise but require further assessment and technological development.
As of July 2024, Maldives has an installed electricity capacity of 600 MW, with 68.5 MW from
solar PV, producing about 6% of all electric power consumed by the country. The main
challenge for the energy transition is island dispersion. Central power generation is limited to
Greater Male’. Greater Malé has an electricity generation capacity of 140 MW from diesel
generators and 10 MW from solar PV. Demand growth is expected at 9.6% in 2024. The rest
of inhabited islands have a capacity of 208 MW of which 27 MW were solar PV, with ongoing
projects aiming to create hybrid solar PV-diesel systems. Gender inclusion and women’s
empowerment are promoted through renewable energy education. Resort islands have an
installed capacity of 242 MW, mainly from diesel generators, with 31 MW from solar PV. These
islands have high operational costs and limited reporting on their energy usage, complicating
efforts to assess and improve efficiency.

Electricity consumption in Maldives is increasing at about 5% per year, projected to reach


2,400 GWh by 2028. The Government's target of 33% renewable energy in electricity
consumption means that 800 GWh must come from renewable sources. Currently, Maldives
has 68.5 MW of solar PV installed, with an additional 90 MW under development, totaling about
160 MW by 2028. Achieving the Government's targets will require an estimated 330 MW of
additional renewable energy capacity. Moreover, significant investments are necessary to
upgrade the islands' power systems to support a high proportion of renewable energy.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> v


Altogether, integrating this 330 MW of renewable energy is projected to require approximately
$1.3 billion in financing over the next four years. Investment mechanisms include Power
Purchase Agreements for large projects and net-metering for smaller installations. Beyond
2028, exploring wind, ocean and other marine renewable energy technologies will be essential.
These initiatives are expected to enhance energy security, create jobs, stimulate economic
growth, and mitigate climate change, demonstrating the government's commitment to
sustainable development and carbon neutrality.

Maldives' isolation and dispersed population also make transport fuel-intensive and expensive,
despite a basic nationwide ferry and jetty network serving all inhabited islands. Diesel and
petrol consumption for transport has nearly doubled over the past decade, with registered
vessels increasing by 50% and vehicles more than doubling from 2010 to 2020, though data
on their manufacturing year, efficiency, and CO2 emissions are lacking. Additionally, most
imported liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) is used for cooking, with imports rising from 14,500
tons in 2017 to nearly 17,500 tons in 2022, distributed to consumers in standard LPG bottles.

The Maldives Energy Road Map outlines 15 flagship interventions fulfilling the 25 strategies
defined by the Energy Policy and Strategy 2024-2029 and the guidelines of the Electricity Act
2021. These flagship interventions include:

1. Accelerating the uptake of rooftop renewable energy.


2. Evaluating maximum potential for renewable energy integration into the grid.
3. Decarbonizing transport.
4. Leapfrogging solarization of islands.
5. Mainstreaming efficient consumption.
6. Setting up a fair and cost reflective electricity tariff and replacing indirect subsidy
mechanism by targeted subsidy.
7. Transitioning to cleaner fuels in Greater Male’.
8. Erecting and integrating waste-to-energy plants.
9. Preparing smart, flexible and reliable grids.
10. Exploring interconnection possibilities of island clusters and extending access to
electricity service.
11. Interconnecting power systems of Greater Male’.
12. Strengthening regulatory framework.
13. Accessing and collecting reliable energy data.
14. Developing institutional capacity.
15. Unleashing the potential of marine renewable energy and exploring Green Hydrogen
options.

Transitioning to renewable energy in Maldives is a capital-intensive process, particularly for


the islands, and requires private sector involvement, which has been difficult to secure.
Engaging local SMEs in renewable energy infrastructure can create jobs and diversify the
economy. An enabling environment to facilitate a just energy transition is needed for the
successful implementation of the Energy Road Map. Such enabling environment should be
founded in 7 elements:

• an integrated and comprehensive framework,

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> vi


• the increase of cross-sectoral efforts,
• preparation of the future workforce for change,
• continuation of already successful community engagement efforts for gender equality
and social inclusiveness,
• monitoring road map results,
• aligning with sustainable development goals, and
• ensuring financing schemes.

An integrated framework is essential for a smooth and inclusive energy transition. This
framework should cover multi-sectoral policies, financing, social protection, resilience, and
institutional strengthening. The Road Map identifies eight critical domains for guiding the just
energy transition, including coherent policies, access to key utilities, economic development,
green jobs, social protection, community-centered governance, technological innovation, and
financing.

The POISED project highlights the importance of cross-sectoral efforts, with initiatives like
solar PV-based ice-making plants for fisheries and renewable energy-based ferries that
enhance livelihoods and women's income opportunities, demonstrating resilience during crises
like the COVID-19 pandemic.

It is essential to prepare the next generation for the challenges and opportunities within the
energy sector. Initiatives aimed at educating and training students from an early age are
crucial. Programs focusing on renewable energy, efficiency, and conservation practices should
be integrated into school curriculums, particularly for students in grades 8–12. These initiatives
can include hands-on training, internships, and field trips to renewable energy sites, offering
students practical experience and insights into potential career paths. Looking at the future,
the country needs more vocational and higher education programs on science, technology,
engineering and mathematics careers.

In relation to efforts to achieve gender equality in the sector, Maldives has already set
exemplary action for initiating change and close the gender gap. The POISED project has
prioritized empowering women by engaging communities vigorously through sustained
campaigns on gender inclusivity, renewable energy, and the green economy across its targeted
160 islands. The MCCEE aims to reinforce and mainstream these training and educational
activities in all its programs.

Finally, ensuring robust financing schemes, leveraging international support and improving
financial performance through lower renewable energy generation costs are all crucial for the
successful implementation of the Energy Road Map.

The Government is committed to provide such enabling environment to confer authority, build
consensus, attract attention to, and provide needed resources for the Road Map
implementation.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> vii


1 » BACKGROUND
1.1 Maldives Development Path
Maldives, with its 1,192 islands in the central Indian Ocean, is one of the world’s most
geographically dispersed countries.1 The population of Maldives in 2022 was 515,1322, with
most people living in Male’3 (211,908 people) and Addu City (25,062 people).4 The rest of
inhabited islands are small, with dispersed population; and 27% of the inhabited islands have
a population of less than 500 (footnote 4). In defiance of this complexity, Maldives achieved
universal access to electricity in 2008.

The extraordinary economic growth in tourism, fishery industry, sea transport, and
construction over the past 4 decades has led to an exponential growth of the country’s
connectivity and universal access to basic healthcare and education for the population. The
tourism sector contributes to about 25% of the national gross domestic product (GDP),
followed by the construction industry with about 7% and fishing industry with up to 5%. The
continuous improvement of economic opportunities in the atolls is at the top of priorities of the
Government. This requires a reliable, sufficient, sustainable and affordable energy supply.

Each island operates independent power generation and distribution facilities because of their
geographic isolation. These systems rely on centrally stored fuel that is transported when
required. Maldives is highly dependent on foreign imports for almost all goods, including staple
food items, electronics and appliances, and other necessities. Imported goods are transported
to all islands by boats that run on fossil fuel. Thus, the prices of imported fuels and the volatility
of those prices have a direct and strong impact on the country’s economy and social stability.
Maldives’ dependence on fossil fuels imposes a significant fiscal burden on the government
budget and makes it vulnerable to fuel price fluctuations. Transitioning to cost-effective
renewable energy (RE) sources is the best option Maldives has to stop this dependency.

The interventions implemented in the country already show great success scaling up RE.5 As
of July 2024, Maldives has installed approximately 68.5 megawatts (MW) of solar photovoltaic
(PV) electricity generation systems and at least 8 megawatt-hours (MWh) of battery energy
storage systems (BESS) across the nation. The demand for electricity in inhabited islands has
more than doubled in the past 15 years due to economic growth; thus, the need for new RE
investments is continuous to maintain and keep increasing the RE share in the energy mix.
This Road Map will contribute to reducing dependency on fossil fuels and improve national
accounts. The Road Map establishes actions and targets independently for the electric power

1
Out of its 1,192 islands, 187 are inhabited, 106 are leased for long-term development (mostly for
agricultural and industrial purposes), and 293 are allocated for tourism development (168 operate as
self-contained tourist resorts and marinas).
2
74% resident Maldivians and 26% resident foreigners.
3
Population of Male' City includes inhabitants of Villingili and Hulhumale’.
4
Government of Maldives, Ministry of National Planning & Infrastructure, National Bureau of Statistics.
2023. Maldives Population and Housing Census 2022 – Population Dynamics in the Maldives. Male’.
5
Particularly important in this journey are the Asian Development Bank funded projects Preparing
Outer Islands for Sustainable Energy Development (POISED) and Accelerating Sustainable System
Development Using Renewable Energy (ASSURE), and the World Bank funded project Accelerating
Sustainable Private Investments in Renewable Energy (ASPIRE).

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 8


use and other energy uses. Table 1 specifies the general assumptions for the electric power
use and other energy uses. By implementing this Road Map, the country will have the
opportunity to capitalize on a low-carbon economy, create new jobs and skills, and cut energy
bills. A low-carbon energy sector will, therefore, contribute to the economic growth of Maldives
and the well-being of its population.

Table 1: General Assumptions Used in the Road Map

Electric Power Other Uses

•Fuel used: All thermal power plants of •Industry: Electrification through


Maldives use diesel fuel renewables of a sector mostly dependent
on diesel.
•Three differentiated geographic
scopes: Greater Male' Region, other •Sea and road transport: Uses diesel
inhabited islands, resorts/industrial/ and petrol. Replacement with efficient
agricultural islands. engines, solar boats, hybrid and
electrical buses /vehicles / bikes.
•Technologies proposed: Energy
efficiency, switch to LNG in Greater Male' •Air transport excluded from this Road
diesel power plants, Hybrid RE-diesel Map.
plants, PV (rooftops, ground-mounted
•Cooking: Double use of fuels since LPG
and floating solar), small wind turbines,
is transported bottled by ferry to
waste to energy and ocean energy.
islands. Replacement with induction
•Storage: Battery energy storage in the stoves for islands with high penetration
short term. Introduction of Hydrogen of renewable energy.
storage.

LPG = liquefied petroleum gas, PV = photovoltaic.


Source: Asian Development Bank.

1.2 Positive Policy Evolution


Achieving a dignified life for all the Maldivians is the greatest priority of the Government.
Maldives has defined the vision for its energy sector as the “provision of sufficient, reliable,
sustainable, secure and affordable energy for a prosperous Maldives.” Reversing the country’s
dependence on imported fuel and realizing a better future powered by renewables is possible
for Maldives. Since early 2008, Maldives has called upon a cut in global greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions. The Energy Action Plan 2009–2013 included a series of energy efficiency
interventions and conservation awareness aiming to reduce the country’s CO2 emissions. The
2010 National Energy Policy has pledged to carbon neutrality by 2020, and to provide all
citizens with access to an affordable and reliable supply of electricity. The 2012 Maldives
Scaling-Up Renewable Energy Investment Plan has put forward a strategy to scale-up
renewable energy in the country. The Energy Policy and Strategy 2016 established seven
guiding principles, including 100% electricity access, reduction of fossil fuel dependency,

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 9


improved energy efficiency, adoption of low carbon technologies, exploitation of renewable
energy, engaging the private sector, and ensuring energy equity through social protection. The
Strategic Action Plan (SAP) 2019–2023 also outlined energy efficiency and renewable energy
development targets and priorities of the government for clean energy, the use of waste as
resource, water and sanitation, and transport. The COVID-19 pandemics and the subsequent
economic crisis prevented many of these targets to be achieved in the planned timeline. The
government is working to update the strategic action plan for the next period with updated
targets for the energy sector.

The current Maldives’ energy policy framework comprises the updated Nationally Determined
Contributions (NDC)6 submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC) in 2020, the Maldives Energy Act from 2021 7, and the recently drafted
Energy Policy and Strategy 2024-2029.8 The updated NDC establishes a 2030 conditional GHG
emissions reduction target of 26%, and states the government’s goal to reach net-zero by
2030 on the condition that Maldives gets the extensive support and assistance from the
international community. The updated NDC defines the energy and waste sectors as key
sectors for GHG emissions reduction. At the 28th Conference of the Parties (COP28)9, President
Dr. Mohamed Muizzu announced an even more ambitious goal to generate 33% of the
country’s electricity demand from renewable sources by 2028.

The Maldives Energy Act of 2021 establishes the framework to make energy services available
to consumers at a reasonable price, promoting renewable energy sources, and ensuring that
the energy sector promotes sustainable development that is environmentally friendly and
adaptable to climate change. The Energy Policy and Strategy 2024-2029 establishes 5 policy
objectives:

1. Diversifying the energy mix by promoting the development and utilization of RE


sources.
2. Improving energy efficiency by implementing measures across all sectors to reduce
energy consumption and lower GHG emissions.
3. Enhancing access to energy services by ensuring universal access to affordable,
reliable, and modern energy services for all citizens.
4. Strengthening energy governance by enhancing institutional capacity, regulatory
frameworks, and governance structures.
5. Promoting public awareness and engagement by promoting community participation
in energy conservation and renewable energy initiatives.

The Energy Policy and Strategy 2024-2029 translates these policy objectives into 25 strategies
(Table 2). Realizing these policy objectives and strategies requires a realistic and consensus-

6
Government of Maldives, Ministry of Environment, Climate Change and Technology. 2020. Update of
Nationally Determined Contribution of Maldives. Male’.
7
Government of Maldives, Ministry of Environment, Climate Change and Technology. 2021. Maldives
Energy Act 18/2021. Male’.
8
Government of Maldives, Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy. 2024. Energy Policy
and Strategy 2024-2029. Male’.
9
The 28th Conference of the Parties (COP28) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate
Change (UNFCCC) was held in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, from 30 November to 12 December
2023.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 10


based road map that addresses multiple barriers—regulatory, infrastructural, technical,
financial, and human resource barriers. The Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and
Energy (MCCEE) is in charge of formulating the national energy policy, and planning and
developing the energy sector. After a thorough consultative process with all relevant
stakeholders in the country, international and national experts, and other government
agencies, the MCCEE has developed this Road Map to open new development and business
opportunities for the country and facilitate the alignment of external assistance with the
national policy. The updated Road Map aims to provide direction to policy makers, financing
institutions, and other stakeholders, and help them effectively coordinate their efforts in
creating an enabling environment for the needed investments.

Table 2: Overview of Maldives Policy and Strategies for 2024-2029

Policy Strategies

1. Increase RE 1.1. Encourage renewable energy utilization amongst public


integration and
1.2. Encourage private sector renewable energy development and deployment
sustainable
transportation 1.3. Establish innovative financing mechanisms to facilitate RE investments

1.4. Increase awareness on RE opportunities

1.5 Introduce and promote sustainable transportation

2. Promote energy 2.1. Increase public awareness on energy efficiency and energy conservation
efficiency and
2.2. Expand energy efficiency standards and labelling program
conservation
2.3. Introduce energy efficiency practices in buildings

2.4. Improve supply side energy efficiency and infrastructure

2.5. Introduce low emission fuels

2.6. Develop a standard and monitoring plan for the quality of fossil fuel sold in
the country

3. Improve energy 3.1. Introduce targeted subsidies for electricity sector


security and
3.2. Review tariff structure for electricity sector
affordability
3.3. Increase and enhance fuel storage capacity

3.4. Diversify energy mix

3.5. Increase use of locally available renewable energy sources

3.6. Improve operational performance of service providers to maintain electric


power infrastructure

4. Strengthen 4.1. Strengthen regulatory framework for energy sector


institutional capacity
4.2. Develop a mechanism for reliable energy data collection and access

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 11


and regulatory 4.3. Develop institutional and human resource capacity for a sustainable energy
framework of the future
energy sector
4.4. Strengthen national, regional and international cooperation in energy sector
development

5. Promote energy 5.1. Increase investments in energy R&D


research and
5.2. Collaborate with national and international parties on R&D
development
5.3. Encourage energy sector innovations

5.4. Provide incentives through financing mechanisms for R&D

RE = renewable energy and R&D = research and development.


Source: Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy. 2024. Energy Policy and Strategy 2024-
2029.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 12


2 » AMBITION AND CHALLENGES
2.1 Government Target and Expected Result
The Government of Maldives has pledged in December 2023 at the COP28 its commitment to
develop renewable energy systems to provide 33% of the nation’s electricity needs within the
next five years, that is by end of 2028. The updated Road Map forecasts a continuous and
sustained moderate transformation of the national energy matrix and builds up on this
commitment, on the guidelines established by the Maldives Energy Act 2021, and the
Government’s Energy Policy and Strategy 2024-2029.

Diesel fuel used for electricity generation has doubled in 10 years reaching an estimate of
390,000 tons in 2023 due to Maldives extraordinary economic growth. It is expected that by
achieving the Government’s target for 2028, the annual consumption of diesel for electricity
generation would reduce to 330,000 tons, without affecting the promising economic growth in
the years to come.

2.2 A Turn Towards a Just Energy Transition


Maldives’ geographical dispersion and its dependence on fossil fuels are major obstacles to
improving shared prosperity. The geographical peculiarity of the country makes it exceptionally
vulnerable to climate change, weather severity, and external economic shocks. The large
dependence on fossil fuels reduces the country’s capacity to invest in creating jobs, improve
health care and education, and introduce new farming practices to keep yields up in times of
food insecurity. The development challenges of Maldives stem from these vulnerabilities. The
massive and unexpected economic shock caused by the coronavirus disease (COVID-19)
pandemic exposed the weaknesses of the economic model implemented in Maldives over the
recent decades. While tourist arrivals recovered to a large extent a year after Maldives relaxed
its travel restrictions in July 2020, they are not be able to offset rising trade deficit, severely
impacted by the import of fossil fuels.

Looking at the future, the resilience of Maldives’ economy largely depends on its capacity to
diversify income sources, create jobs, and reduce its dependence on fossil fuel imports. A rapid
economic transformation will require the incorporation of modern climate-smart practices and
technical precision. Strengthening and modernizing the fishing industry and other primary
sectors such as agriculture will contribute to reduce inequality and the expense on food
imports, improving also the country’s food security. The economic transformation should be
based on the economic empowerment of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) through
entrepreneurship, innovation and jobs creation. Investments in renewable energy are an
opportunity to lower production costs. Moreover, investments in renewable energy will also
result in the reduction of fossil fuel imports, consequently reducing the burden on government
finances. Thus, a reliable, sustainable, and affordable energy supply for citizens and businesses
across the country is key to achieving the aimed transformation.

This Road Map establishes the guidelines for transitioning from a fossil-fuel-based energy
sector to a cost-effective, business-competitive, affordable, and sustainable renewable energy.
Through a cross-sectoral approach, the Road Map has been formulated to serve Maldives’

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 13


vision for the energy sector, and it is built upon the country’s broader policy objectives:
economic growth, end of poverty, creation of employment, reduction of regional disparities in
living standards, and resilience to weather severity and effects of climate change. The update
of the Energy Road Map is fruit of a consensus process to accelerate the energy transition of
Maldives, prioritizing equity, climate justice and social inclusion. Maldives is committed to take
the opportunities presented in this Road Map to leap-frog technology, economic and social
development gaps, and inequities based on the growth of its tourism, fishing and agriculture
industries, leading to sustainable economic and social development.

2.3 Challenges
Maldives faces many challenges to the transition towards a low carbon energy sector. These
challenges must be addressed when implementing this Road Map since they can quickly affect
the security and affordability of the energy supply. Thus, negatively impacting the country’s
economy and the country’s efforts to end poverty and reduce regional disparities in living
standards.

2.3.1 Resiliency to Severe Weather and the Impacts of Climate


Change
Maldives is at the forefront of the most vulnerable countries to the impacts of climate change.
Its high vulnerability stems from the geographical characteristics of the islands—their small
size, low elevation, and scattered distribution in a large ocean area. These distinctive
characteristics have led to the establishment of the country’s critical infrastructure within 100
meters from the coastline. These include powerhouses, desalination plants, medical centers,
waste collection and treatment plants, and households.10 Such proximity makes Maldives’
islands very vulnerable to the many effects of climate change, including the erosion caused by
sea level rise, tsunamis, extreme weather, and sea temperature rise. 11 The “El Niño”
phenomenon is happening with more frequency in the past 2 decades and causes significant
coral bleaching of the coral reefs of Maldives. Coral reefs are not only home to thousands of
fish species, hundreds of mollusks and crustacean species, and species of amphibians, whales,
and dolphins; they also protect the islands from the erosive effects of the sea. Rainwater
shortages are also more frequent due to the effects of climate change.12

The country lacks sufficient capacities and resources to respond locally, on time, and effectively
to weather-related disasters. Extreme weather events disrupt, and many times, fully stop the
regular supply of food, fuel, and essential goods to the islands. The small size of the islands
and their lack of resources have made emergency stockpiling very difficult.

Higher levels of community resilience to prevent and combat these risks and enhance local
human capacity to respond to emergencies can be achieved through renewable energy

10
Government of Maldives, Ministry of Environment and Energy. 2016c. Second National
Communication of Maldives to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Male’.
11
The 2007 IPCC report predicted that global warming would result in sea level rises of up to 59
centimeters by 2100, which would mean that most of the country may need to be abandoned.
12
Maldives Meteorological Services predicts an overall decreasing trend for annual rainfall over
Hanimaadhoo, Malé and Gan of 9.5, 0.02 and 2.21 mm respectively.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 14


investments. Besides achieving energy independence, renewable energy offers the opportunity
to strengthen water and food security and fuels-free transport through renewable energy
powered solutions for water desalination and for agricultural irrigation, sea water cooling for
fishing vessels, ice-making factories for food preservation, solar-powered vessels, etc. Pilots
of these solutions are already being implemented and tested in the country.13 These pilots will
provide relevant information for the scale up and replication of these solutions across the
country.

2.3.2 Fuel Price Volatility and the Subsidy Issue


Imports of fossil fuels, including diesel, petrol, LPG, and aviation fuel, represent the most
significant energy source for Maldives, accounting for 13.5% of its GDP in import expenses in
2023. In addition, several economic insecurity issues are associated with the import of fossil
fuels. The limited volume of imports tendered hinders the potential for price competition in
Maldives. Local importers are often unable to take advantage of the credit terms that their
counterparts in larger countries might receive. The typical credit term offered to Maldivian
importers by international suppliers is 45 days, with a few extending up to 90 days.
Additionally, the capacity of tankers utilized by Maldivian firms is limited to a maximum of
24,000 metric tons, preventing them from accessing facilities in South Asia and securing more
competitive freight rates. As a result, importers in Maldives frequently have to arrange
shipments through more distant nations, leading to vessels transporting cargo one way and
returning with ballast, thus incurring additional freight costs for these companies.
Consequently, fuel price volatility has a huge impact on Maldives’ economy.

To aggravate this challenge, subsidies to fuel used in electricity generation have increased 10
times in the past 7 years because of the multiplying effect of power demand growth and fuel
price increase.14 This fuel subsidy amounted to roughly $150 million in 2022 and $130 million
in 2023. For comparison, the annual fuel subsidy for electricity generation in pre-COVID years
was close to $14 million in 2017 and close to $40 million in 2019. The fuel subsidy accounts
for the volatility in fuel prices above the threshold baseline rate paid by utilities to the State
Trading Organization (STO). The difference between the market price and the baseline rate is
paid by the Government to STO. Thus, this is a generalized subsidy benefitting everyone in
Maldives, rather than benefitting only those in need. This situation has led to a financially
unsustainable power sector with limited access to financing to invest in transmission and
distribution infrastructure and renewable energy technologies.

Addressing the challenge of fuel price volatility and the subsidy issue requires:

• Accelerating the transition to renewable energy sources across the country. As the
renewable energy transition for Greater Male’ will be slower due to its limited options
for cost-effective renewable energy solutions, the substitution of diesel fuel for a less

13
The POISED project includes the piloting of a solar ferry and community ice-making plants for fishery
activities. The ASSURE project is financing a pilot solar desalination plant for agricultural irrigation
activities.
14
Between 2017 and 2023, the amount of diesel used for electricity generation increased 56% due to
the growing power demand, and the subsidy per liter of diesel increased in the same period 7 times,
from 1.16 MVR/liter to 6.07 MVR/liter.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 15


expensive and lower GHG emissions fuel such as liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Greater
Male’s plants should be strongly considered.
• Visualizing the dire situation of generalized subsidies to the population through clear
communication of the actual costs of fuel and electricity.
• Implementing a sensible subsidy and tariff reform that benefits those really in need.

2.3.3 Grid Integration of Renewable Energy Technologies


Prior to 2014, Utility companies owning and operating electricity production assets in Maldives
have mainly implemented conventional energy projects since the beginning of the country’s
industrialization. They have been operating and maintaining diesel-based power plants and
grids with poor flexibility services for many years. When it comes to renewable energy
technologies, including their integration to grids, however, they are still walking the learning
curve of their installation, operation and maintenance. While they progress fast in this learning,
the risk of wrong technology choices, deficient design of solutions (including capacity sizing,
storage, control system installation, and service implementation), and non-optimal or poor
configuration of power systems is still relevant.

As consequence, power grids in small islands are not sufficiently prepared for the increasing
capacity of rooftop PV solar installations. Electricity demand in most islands is in the same
range as the cumulative capacity of solar PV installed. Small variations in power generation
from solar PV can create relatively large disturbances in the island grids when equipment to
monitor and control the grids, and batteries to compensate manage surpluses or deficits are
not installed. A large number of solar PV systems multiplies the risk of disturbances, impacting
the reliability and stability of grids. Fenaka has to frequently curtail the electricity production
of its own solar PV systems to allow the injection of electricity produced by customers’ rooftop
solar PV installations to be absorbed. In relation to the Male’-Hulhulmale’ interconnected grid,
the risk of large voltage fluctuations would be significant when larger penetration of renewable
energy is achieved. At present, solar PV installations currently provide no more than 7% of the
maximum demand of the power system. However, sometimes power quality is affected in parts
of the grid due to harmonics caused by inverters operating with solar PV systems. These
voltage fluctuations affect the lifetime of electrical motors and all types of electronic
equipment. Furthermore, the grid stability would be better controlled if the generation dispatch
of STELCO’s diesel gensets would be automatically controlled (currently generation dispatch is
done with old fashioned manual controls) and the distribution grid would be adequately
monitored and controlled with modern equipment.

New emerging technologies such as ocean energy and small wind technologies will be explored
and piloted.15 The implementation of such pilot projects is also relevant to study their
interactions with evolving policies, regulations, tariff methodologies, and business models.

15
The ASSURE project will test a pilot wind power system on Noonu Manadhoo Island and a pilot ocean
power system off an island yet to be determined.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 16


2.3.4 Independence and Capacity of the Regulator
The Utility Regulatory Authority (URA) was established under new legislation, Law No.
26/2020. However, URA needs to be strengthened in terms of human resources with required
skills and knowledge and required facilities.

2.3.5 Protection of the Environment and Biodiversity


Maldives is globally known for its unique beauty formed by coral reefs, seagrass, mangroves,
beaches, forests, and brackish lakes and ponds. These natural habitats and their rich
biodiversity have contributed in the past years to 89% of the national GDP and 71% of
employment.16

Numerous challenges faced in waste management, including the lack of adequate and effective
procedures to dispose used chemicals and untreated sewerage, has increased the levels of
pollution across the country—harming biodiversity and aquifers. In the absence or insufficiency
of natural water supplies, the population is forced to produce larger amounts of desalinized
water and import more prepared food and bottled water. This has led to larger use of fossil
fuels which could significantly harm the environment and biodiversity.

Besides power generation, renewable energy offers solutions to other energy uses. Such
solutions give the opportunity to reduce the possibility of fossil fuel spills and pollution by
contributing to sustainable agriculture and fishing practices, water desalination and renewable
energy based transport.

16
Government of Maldives, Ministry of Environment and Energy. 2015b. National Biodiversity Strategy
and Action Plan of Maldives 2016-2025. Male’.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 17


3 » SOURCES OF ENERGY
3.1 Renewable Energy Resources
Maldives does not have any proven fossil fuels reserves. However, it has abundant renewable
energy resources, including solar, wind, ocean and waste to energy.

3.1.1 Solar Energy


Solar PV energy is an indigenous resource with the most immediate exploitation possibilities
in Maldives. The annual solar irradiation per square meter (m2) is in the order of 1,200 kilowatt-
hour (kWh)17, which is considered good for any solar PV project. The solar PV project is being
successfully implemented in hybrid systems in many islands of the country. Energy
management systems (EMS) are used to enhance the control of the hybrid systems. This hybrid
configuration can offer short pay back times when compared to current prices of electricity
produced by diesel generation sets.

Solar photovoltaic panels on the roofs of schools and public buildings are connected to diesel
power plants—forming hybrid systems (photo of POISED project installation by the Ministry of
Climate Change, Environment and Energy).

17
ADB. 2014. Toward a Carbon-Neutral Energy Sector: Maldives Energy Roadmap, 2014–2020. Manila.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 18


3.1.2 Wind Energy
Wind resources are not equally distributed across the country. The wind energy resource maps
indicate that the northern half of the country is relatively richer in wind resource than its
southern part.18 Wind speed recorded at 40 meter height in 2016 showed an annual average
of 5.69 m/s in Naifaru and 5.73 m/s in Gulhifalhu. Such wind speed is not as high as those for
large wind farm projects in the world, but they can sufficiently compete against diesel-
generated electricity. However, the economic viability of such projects needs to be further
explored. Power grid capacity of each island, land availability, and logistics constraints have
led to a scenario that only industrial islands in the Greater Male´ region have the potential for
large-scale onshore wind projects using 2 MW turbines (estimated potential is 80 MW). For
other islands, the deployment of midsize wind turbines of between around 100 kilowatts (kW)
and 300 kW rated capacity could be explored. Wind turbine noise impacts must be carefully
examined for each case.

Wind - Solar photovoltaic and Battery Energy Storage system installed at K.


Kaashidhoo Island.

18
National Renewable Energy Laboratory. 2003. Wind Energy Resource Atlas of Sri Lanka and Maldives.
https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy03osti/34518.pdf; M. Purcell and T. Gilbert 2015. Wind Resource
Mapping in Maldives: Mesoscale Wind Modeling Report. Washington, DC: World Bank Group.
http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/ en/836871467997849102/Wind-resource-mapping-in-the-
Maldives-mesoscale-wind-modeling-report

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 19


3.1.3 Ocean Energy
Ocean energy (from marine currents, wave, and thermal sources) is considered one of the
most promising renewable energy resources for Maldives. Progressive development of ocean
energy technologies and projects are key to the successful adoption of ocean energy for
Maldives. Marine current, wave, and ocean thermal energy for electricity production and
various co- applications such as cooling, desalination or water production, and initiatives
toward a green maritime ecosystem (i.e., green ports, electrification of vessels, smart bays
and buoys) are particularly interesting. It is a major advantage over solar and wind energy
that ocean energy could provide a continuous stream of energy. This advantage reduces the
need for any form of energy storage, which is usually expensive. This characteristic is
particularly relevant for the resort islands where some of their services, such as laundry, air-
conditioner, or desalination water plants, run day and night. However, their quantification is
at the very early stages and most technologies are not fully commercial yet. A preliminary
resource assessment of tidal and in-stream energy has quantified the potential in a range from
28 MW to 106 MW in selected channels and currents reaching up to 1.5 m/s to 2.6 m/s.19
Current or in-stream energy is harvested by extraction technologies, such as marine current
or tidal turbines, placed in the water where fast-flowing currents turn the turbine blades
(similar to what wind does with wind turbines). Wave energy is also potentially an important
source of renewable energy for Maldives. A constant stream of waves propagated from the
South Pole and across the Indian Ocean reaches Maldives. Wave energy installations face a
low risk of damage from extreme weather conditions as Maldives is not prone to hurricanes or
typhoons. A recent study indicates good potential of 8.46 kW per meter (kW/m) to 12.75
kW/m. 20 Ocean thermal energy conversion (OTEC) may also become promising in the future
once OTEC technologies reach commercial stages of development.

As the potential of these types of energy is affected by atoll configurations, more precise
assessments are needed to initially find areas where resource and consumption exist in an
aligned manner (i.e., not too far from each other that it becomes economically impractical).

3.1.4 Biomass Energy


Biomass resources are constrained because they are distributed in much dispersed small
quantities across the country. Those amounts are too small for local solutions, and their
collection would be complex and carbon-intensive to bring them to a place with large energy
demand. Marine biomass may become an interesting resource in the long term when
technologies for converting them into energy are cost-effective. No assessment on the
potential of marine biomass exists at the moment.

19
Centre for Understanding Sustainable Practice, Robert Gordon University. 2011. Marine Energy in
Maldives: Pre-Feasibility Report on Scottish Support for Maldives Marine Energy Implementation.
Aberdeen
20
P. Contestabile et al. 2017. Offshore Wind and Wave Energy Assessment around Male’ and
Magoodhoo Island. Maldives. Sustainability. 9 (4). p. 613. DOI: 10.3390/su9040613. Basel.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 20


3.2 Fuel Imports
Fossil fuel imports are the most important source of energy for Maldives with an import bill of
about 13.5% of GDP in 2023. Approximately half of the fuel imports is for electricity generation.
In 2022, with tourism activities fully recovered after the COVID-19 pandemics, Maldives
imported more than 850,000 tons of refined petroleum products21 (Figure 1), 50% more than
what the country imported in 2017. Fossil fuels are used for the following purposes.

• Diesel is used for electricity generation, industrial uses (fisheries and water
desalination) and sea transport.
• Petrol is used in road and sea transport
• LPG is used for cooking.
• Aviation fuel is used by the aviation sector.

Figure 1: Fuel Imports by Maldives in 2022


(tons)

6%
2%
Diesel

11%
Petrol

LPG

Kerosene

81%
Aviation fuel

Source: Government of Maldives, Maldives Customs Service. 2023.

21
Government of Maldives, Maldives Customs Service. 2020. Total imports 2019.
https://www.customs.gov.mv/Media/Documents/downloads Male’

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 21


4 » SECTOR ASSESSMENT
4.1 Electric Power
Universal access to electricity was achieved in all of Maldives in 2008. As of June 2024,
Maldives had a total power generation capacity of about 600 MW, of which 68.5 MW are solar
PV, producing about 6% of all electric power consumed by the country. The growth of solar PV
capacity in Maldives is shown in Figure 2. The rest of installed capacity corresponds to diesel
generators. The dispersion and small size of most islands have prevented the possibility of
central power generation.

Cooperatives that traditionally provided electricity at each island have been consolidated into
two public utility companies: State Electric Company Limited (STELCO) and Fenaka
Corporation Limited (Fenaka). STELCO operates power plants in 30 inhabited islands including
the Greater Malé. Fenaka operates power plants in 157 inhabited islands. In addition, the
power system of one island, ADh. Maamigili, is operated by a private party and island, R.
Dhuvaafaru, is operated by the Malé Water and Sewage Company. While current private
investments in the power sector are mostly limited to provide electricity service to self-
contained resorts, Maldives and its development partners are working together to increase
private sector investments in renewable energy.

Figure 2: Evolution of Renewable Energy Installations in Maldives


(megawatt)

Source: Asian Development Bank with information from the Ministry of Climate Change, Environment
and Energy.

The URA establishes tariffs, guidelines, and regulations to ensure the reliability and security of
the grids, and to safeguard the rights and obligations of consumers and service providers. The
cost of electricity production on many islands is among the highest in South Asia because of
genset inefficiency and expensive diesel fuel logistics. The imported diesel fuel is shipped in
small quantities by boat to each island across the country, which can make fuel notably more

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 22


expensive. The most efficient diesel generators in Maldives produce electricity at a cost ranging
between $0.23/kWh and $0.33/kWh. In order to provide electricity at current tariff rates
government has to provide subsidy to the electricity sector (fuel subsidy and utility operational
subsidy) amounted roughly to MVR3 billion ($200 million) in 2023,22 which accounted for more
than 70% of all indirect subsidies given by Maldives. Subsidies is one of four areas identified
by the government for stricter expenditure management. Both STELCO and Fenaka rely heavily
on government subsidies. Fuel subsidy accounted for the volatility in fuel prices and made up
about 41% of the direct subsidy budget in 2023. It is applied if the fuel cost per liter is above
a threshold baseline rate. The difference between the market price and baseline rate is then
paid off directly to the State Trading Organization (STO) as a subsidy to allow the utilities to
purchase fuel from STO at a lower price. Usage subsidy accounts for about 30% of latest direct
subsidy budget, to be paid to the utilities to compensate an adjustment for harmonizing
domestic and business category tariffs across all islands. As a consequence, despite 100%
accessibility, energy supply becomes expensive and the country cannot guarantee the financial
sustainability of the sector.

4.1.1 Greater Male’


As of June 2024, the power generation installed capacity of diesel generators in Greater Male’
is about 140 MW and 10 MW solar PV. Solar PV installations include small rooftop PV
installations in Male’ and Hulhulmale’, and two larger installations of 1,500 kW in Hulhumale’
and 5,600 kW installed on the link of the road connecting Hulhumale’ and the Velana
international airport under power purchase agreements (PPAs).23

A 100 kilowatt peak solar PV system installed at Maldives Center for Social Education in Male’
(photo by Ministry of Environment)

22
The fuel subsidy for electricity generation accounted approximately for MVR2 billion and the
operational subsidy to electricity utilities accounted for MVR1 billion in 2023.
23
The 2 solar PV installations operating with power purchase agreements were supported by the World
Bank’s funded project ASPIRE.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 23


Expected Demand Growth

The peak demand of the Male’ – Hulhulmale’ system was 108 MW in 2023. For 2024, a growth
rate of 9.6% with respect to 2023 is expected by STELCO’s draft Master Plan. This Master Plan
has considered several approaches to develop the demand forecast of Greater Male’ until year
2040. Those approaches related to the expected timeline of major developments. Figure 3
shows the forecast until year 2028, considering a realistic, still cautious, demand growth rate
of 7.9%

Figure 3: Forecast of the Peak Day Demand in the Greater Male’ Region
(megawatt)

Source: Estimated from STELCO’s draft Master Plan

4.1.2 Other Inhabited Islands


The power generation capacity installed in other inhabited islands was about 208 MW at the
end of 2023, of which 27 MW were solar PV and 181 MW were diesel gensets including 20 MW
installed on industrial islands. Only 12 of these islands have generation capacities above 1 MW,
while capacity in the rest of the islands ranges from 100 kW to 800 kW. These small power
systems are often oversized due to always increasing demand growth. This causes that many
power systems of the islands run at very low loads during off-peak hours. Operations at low
loads mean poor fuel efficiency and increased maintenance. Their average specific fuel
consumption is particularly high, with often two or more generations sets running all the time
at low load. The average specific consumption in these islands is 0.42 liter/kWh. These values
are much larger than acceptable average rates for isolated systems operating with no flexibility
options such as energy storage, usually marked at 0.35 liter/kWh.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 24


Left: 1,600 kilowatts-peak (kWp) Solar photovoltaic system in Addu City, S. Hithadhoo at
phase 1. Right: 200 kWp in Kelaa, Haa Ali at phase 2 (photos of POISED project installations
by Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy).

Expected Demand Growth

The expected aggregated peak day demand of other inhabited islands to year 2028 is shown
in Figure 4. Large growth rates of 9% for the next four years are expected. The opening of
guest houses and tourism services on these islands have catalyzed the modernization of
residential and public buildings and the improvement of their comfort conditions, which were
traditionally lagging behind

Figure 4: Forecast of the Aggregated Peak Day Demand in Outer Inhabited Islands
(megawatt)

Source: Asian Development Bank.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 25


4.1.3 Resort islands
As of June 2024, the total installed capacity in resort islands is estimated at 242 MW, of which
211 MW are diesel gensets24 and 31 MW are solar PV. The typical diesel power generation
installed capacity on a resort island ranges between 1 MW and 2 MW.

Expected Demand Growth

The expected aggregated peak day demand of outer inhabited islands to year 2028 is shown
in Figure 5. Different than inhabited islands, resort islands are already well equipped with all
services their guests need. As most of these islands have fixed maximum capacity of guests,
power demand growth is basically due to new resort island developments or enlargement of
their capacities. An average 2% growth rate of power demand has been forecasted for resort
islands.

Figure 5: Forecast for the Aggregated Peak Day Demand in Resort Islands
(megawatt)

Source: Asian Development Bank.

4.2 Other Energy Uses

4.2.1 Transport
The country’s geographic nature and highly scattered population makes transport of people,
goods, and services fuel-intensive and very expensive. While all inhabited islands are served
by a basic nationwide transportation network of ferries and jetties, connectivity across the
islands still needs to be improved to sustain the development efforts of Maldives.

24
Government of Maldives, Ministry of Environment and Energy. 2019. Electricity Data Book 2019.
Male’.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 26


The estimated consumption of diesel and petrol fuel used in transport has practically doubled
over the past decade. During the period 2010–2020, the number of registered vessels has
increased 50%, and the number of registered vehicles has more than doubled.

4.2.2 Liquefied Petroleum Gas


The liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) imported by the country is used for cooking. LPG imports
have grown from almost 14,500 tons in 2017 to almost 17,500 tons in 2022. LPG is distributed
in standard LPG bottles to the final consumer.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 27


5 » WAY FORWARD
The Energy Road Map 2024-2033 foresees fifteen flagship interventions fulfilling the 25
strategies defined by the Energy Policy and Strategy 2024-2029 and the guidelines of the
Electricity Act 2021 for the remaining period until 2033. The flagship interventions are listed
in Table 3 and presented in detail in the following sections.

Table 3: Flagship Interventions Proposed by the Energy Road Map and Their
Contribution to the Energy Policy and Strategy 2024-2029

Nº Energy Road Map Flagship Intervention Strategies(a)


Supported

1 Accelerating the uptake of rooftop RE 1.1, 3.4, 3.5

2 Leapfrogging solarization of islands 1.2, 1.3, 3.4, 3.5

3 Evaluating maximum potential for RE integration into the grid 1.2, 1.4

4 Decarbonizing transport 1.5

5 Mainstreaming efficient consumption 2.1, 2.2, 2.3

6 Transitioning to cleaner fuels in Greater Male’ 2.4, 2.5, 2.6, 3.3, 3.4

7 Setting up a fair and cost reflective electricity tariff and replacing 3.1, 3.2
indirect subsidy mechanism by targeted subsidy

8 Erecting and integrating WTE plants 3.4, 3.5

9 Preparing smart, flexible and reliable grids 3.6

10 Exploring interconnection possibilities of island clusters and extending 3.6


access to electricity service

11 Interconnecting power systems of Greater Male’ 3.6

12 Strengthening regulatory framework 4.1

13 Accessing and collecting reliable energy data 4.2

14 Developing institutional capacity and strengthen international 4.3, 4.4


cooperation

15 Unleashing the potential of marine RE and exploring Green Hydrogen 5.1, 5.2, 5.3, 5.4
options

(a) The list of Strategies defined by the Energy Policy and Strategy 2024-2029 is presented in Table 2.
RE = renewable energy, WTE = waste to energy
Source: Asian Development Bank

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 28


5.1 Flagship Interventions

5.1.1 Accelerating the Uptake of Rooftop Renewable Energy


The installation of rooftop PV panels in Greater Male’ has been increasing in the past 3 years,
thanks to the net-metering tariffing system and STELCO’s roof renting program. It is estimated
that 9 MW of rooftop PV systems can be installed in Greater Male’s households until 2028
under net-metering. To help this process, the Accelerating Sustainable System Development
Using Renewable Energy (ASSURE) project, supported by ADB, will finance the installation of
6 MW of rooftop PV systems through net metering for at least 1,000 domestic and commercial
consumers through the Government’s Magey Solar Program. Rooftop PV under net metering
has also already been successful in Addu city and in many other islands. The updated Road
Map proposes to promote the installation additional 8 MW rooftop PV under the net metering
scheme in Addu and other islands by 2028. Furthermore, 25 MW of rooftop PV systems are
also foreseen over the roofs of the future commercial/industrial developments in Gulhifalhu
and Thilafushi under a PPA arrangement by the end of 2028

Solar photovoltaic systems installed on a rooftop.

To ensure the success of this intervention, the utilities and the MCCEE should organize
awareness campaigns to sensitize the public on the economic benefits, such as the reduction
of their energy bill, rooftop solar PV offer through the net-metering mechanism. As the uptake
of rooftop PV installations progresses, the net-metering regulation should be reviewed to adapt
it to the challenges of integrating larger amounts of intermittent decentralized renewable
energy into the grids.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 29


5.1.2 Leapfrogging Solarization of Islands
The successful Preparing Outer Islands for Sustainable Energy Development (POISED) project,
supported by ADB, has been a game-changer during the last decade in the country’s journey
towards renewable energy. The POISED project installs smart hybrid RE mini-grid systems in
islands combining solar PV panels, BESS, EMS, efficient gensets and upgraded grid networks.25
The ASSURE project builds on the experience of POISED and will help 20 outer islands attain
higher levels of renewable energy penetration through capital-intensive investments in energy
storage to ensure island grids are ready for private investments for higher renewable energy
penetration. By the end of 2028, ASSURE will provide utilities with 40 MWh BESS and improved
EMS to enable the integration of at least 20 MW of solar PV through independent power
producers (IPPs). The new power generation capacity will be additional to those already
installed in the selected islands. ASSURE will also provide dedicated financial mechanisms,
performance-based incentive schemes, and it will establish payment insurance coverage to
safeguard risks of private investors. The World Bank funded Accelerating Sustainable Private
Investments in Renewable Energy (ASPIRE) and the Accelerating Renewable Energy
Integration and Sustainable Energy (ARISE) projects will also provide 36 MW of solar PV
installations, including BESS by 2026. In addition, the updated Road Map proposes that
additional 70 MW solar PV systems, with corresponding BESS and EMS, are installed on
inhabited islands. BESS, at utility level in the distribution network, compensate the grid
stability problems caused by insufficient spinning reserve or inertia in the system at instants
of large intermittency of renewable energy production. Poor inertia is especially a challenge in
systems like Male’ - Hulhulmale’, run by diesel gensets. The technical interventions listed in
Table 4 are recommended to ensure the success of these investments.

Table 4: Recommended Technical Interventions to Ensure Solarization Investments

Recommendation Details

Test and Program Inverters Inverters should absorb or deliver reactive power, certified
for harmonics compatibility, and programmed for voltage
rise/drop issues.

Grid-Forming Inverters Strongly consider for new solar installations.

Upgrade Grids Invest in control and monitoring equipment, including


cabling, smart metering, and advanced energy management
systems.

Modern Dispatch Center for Equip STELCO with automated dispatching technology and
STELCO modern generator management system.

Install Weather Station Support Male’ – Hulhulmale’ system with weather


forecasting models, cameras for cloud monitoring for a
timely increase of spinning capacity.

25
By the end of 2025, POISED will have installed about 28 MW of solar PV power and about 22 MWh of
energy storage in 126 outer islands.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 30


Weather forecasting model Use of weather forecasting models for day-ahead forecasting
will help operational planning of power systems.

Source: Asian Development Bank.


The updated Road Map also proposes that the Solar Street Light and Solar PV Installation
Program is expanded to all Island Councils and that the Government establishes a revolving
fund promoting the adoption of RE solutions across all economic sectors to contribute to
sustainable economic growth.

As for the resort islands, the successful experience Maldives has had by converting power
systems of inhabited islands into smart RE hybrid mini-grids has set an example to follow. At
present, half of the RE capacity installed in Maldives is installed in resort islands, which
illustrates that resorts are catching up at fast pace. Some resorts already have small floating
solar systems installed. Transitioning to RE is a pure economic decision for resorts. The
updated Road Map foresees that additional 125 MW are installed in resorts and industrial
islands by the end of 2028.

5.1.3 Evaluating Maximum Potential for Renewable Energy


Integration into the Grid
Utilities should carry out analytical studies that include adequate modelling to determine the
maximum levels for renewable energy integration into the grid. Those studies should identify
the technical measures and solutions to increase those maximum levels in a phased manner
suitable to the investments proposed in the updated Energy Road Map. This is in particular
important for STELCO in determining the upgrades and flexibility services needed in the Male’
- Hulhumale’ grid to allow higher levels of renewable energy penetration.

5.1.4 Decarbonizing Transport


Maldives population is scattered across hundreds of small islands. This unique characteristic
requires efficient and affordable transportation systems. Thus, the provision of inter-island
transport is crucial for Maldives. In relation to road intra-island road transportation, private
vehicles are mainly used, causing high levels of road congestion. Interventions in energy
efficiency, demand curtail, fuel substitution, and integration of new technologies are foreseen.
Flag interventions for these energy uses are listed in Table 5.

Table 5: Proposed Interventions for Sea and Road Transport

Transport Measure Details Goal


Type
Sea Replacement The initiative aims to replace a Replace 10% of the
of inefficient portion of the existing sea vessels existing sea vessels
fleet with more efficient units, including within the next 5
electric models, while improving fuel years with more
efficiency and reducing operational efficient units
costs. This will be achieved by including electric
conducting a comprehensive fleet models to improve

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 31


audit to identify inefficiencies and overall fuel
establishing a government tax efficiency.
incentive program: to support vessel
replacement, setting technical
standards for new vessels, installing
charging infrastructure for electric
vessels, and regularly monitoring
fuel efficiency and operational costs.
Sea Hybrid solar Introduce hybrid solar boats as pilot No sound and
boats project for short-distance travel, vibrations and are
particularly for tourism purposes. fuel odor free when
Electric motors run on batteries propelled by the
charged with power supplied by solar electric motor.
panels mounted on the boat.
Road Reduction of Move from the use of personal Efficient and
vehicles vehicles to efficient and sustainable sustainable public
registration public transportation by placing transportation.
restrictions on the issuance of new
registrations and on the age of
vehicles allowed on the roads.
Road Replacement To replace an inefficient fleet with Replace 10% of the
of inefficient more efficient vehicles, including existing inefficient
fleet electric and hybrid models, and and old vehicles
improve average specific with more efficient
consumption, the following steps will electric and hybrid
be taken: conduct a fleet audit to models over the
identify inefficiencies; establish a next 5 years to
government tax incentive program to enhance overall fuel
support the replacement of old efficiency
vehicles with electric and hybrid
models; install EV charging
infrastructure; and regularly monitor
fuel efficiency and operational costs.
Road Electric buses, Introduction of full electric buses, Achieve a 1% share
vehicles and vehicles and motorbikes nationwide. of hybrid or electric
motorbikes Requires proper charging units by 2028.
infrastructure.
Source: Asian Development Bank.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 32


5.1.5 Mainstreaming Efficient Consumption
The updated Road Map focuses its energy efficiency and conservation interventions in the built
environment, efficient electrical appliances, and public awareness and responsible energy
consumption behavior.

Built environment. Energy consumption in buildings and houses accounts for a large share
of the total end use of energy in Maldives. However, there is no data available on their energy
consumption and their levels of energy efficiency. Most buildings in Maldives suffer from large
energy losses. The majority of residential buildings have been designed for the use of fans as
the source of comfort air. These buildings later adopted air-conditioners. Unfortunately, not
many dwellings are designed to keep comfortable room temperatures.

Interventions related to the energy efficiency in the built environment are shown in Table 6.
The promotion of energy service companies (ESCOs) and the use of energy savings
performance contracts (ESPCs) may facilitate the implementation of these measures.

Table 6: Mainstreaming Energy Efficient Interventions in the Built Environment

Intervention Description
Revise and enforce building Require energy efficiency and conservation measures for
codes public buildings and new housing developments. Promote
installation of rooftop solar PV panels for electricity
production and solar thermal for water heating.
Implement a certification For energy-efficient buildings and carry out energy efficiency
mechanism audits. Audits should identify most viable options for dwelling
refurbishments and should be obligatory for all public
buildings and new housing developments.
Promote efficient lighting The “FahiAli” program, managed by the MCCEE, illustrates
well the success story of the promotion of efficient lighting.
Phase 3 of this program has handed a total of 262,500 LED
lights to Fenaka for distribution to each beneficiary
household. Previously, phase 2 of this program distributed
75,000 LED lights to different institutions and individuals, and
534 harbor lights were provided to seven islands. Phase 1 of
the program distributed a total of 265,000 LED lights to 164
islands and 511 institutions. It is recommended to maintain
similar programs for low-income households.
Source: Asian Development Bank.

Efficient appliances. Imports of air conditioners, refrigerators, freezers and washing


machines have grown rapidly over the past decade. However, efficient, automated, centralized
air conditioning systems are not the norm in buildings. Most buildings and houses use manually
controlled air conditioning units installed in each room and space to be climatized. Import and
purchasing of air conditioning units do not follow any energy performance criteria. The
necessary information for monitoring the energy performance of appliances arriving to

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 33


Maldives is lacking; for instance, technical records of imported equipment are nonexistent. The
data regularly recorded by the Maldives Custom Services do not capture information related
to the capacity and technology of products imported, the energy rating, and the models and
make, among others. Without this information, it is difficult to plan and implement adequately
tax incentives to best performing appliances and equipment, or to inform the population on
the benefits of using energy-efficient equipment, or to monitor the results of any related
campaign. It is recommended to continue and expand the energy efficiency labeling for
electrical appliances, making sure that it covers all types of air-conditioners, refrigerators,
freezers, other type of cooling appliances, washing machines and microwaves for household,
commercial and industrial use. It is also recommended to review procurement policies and the
Public Finance Act to promote procurement of energy-efficient appliances

Public awareness and behavior. The following interventions are recommended to improve
public awareness and promote responsible behaviors in energy consumption and conservation.

• The MCCEE and the power utilities to regularly conduct public awareness campaigns
on energy efficiency and conservation.
• The MCCEE, in collaboration with the Ministry of Education, to develop energy
efficiency guidelines for schools.
• The MCCEE, in collaboration with the Ministry of Tourism, to promote eco-tourism
across the country.

5.1.6 Transitioning to Cleaner Fuels in Greater Male’


Power demand in Greater Male’ is expected to increase to about 400 MW by 2040. Transitioning
to RE and achieving the 33% RE target in Greater Male’ presents two important challenges
affecting the promptness of needed large RE projects:

• the size and technology readiness of RE installations (large floating solar PV, ocean
and other marine energy power plants), and
• the flexibility of the grid to integrate such large projects.

Substituting old and inefficient diesel gensets by modern, more efficient and less polluting gas
fueled units with larger power output is an effective measure for the energy transition of
Greater Male’. For example, natural gas burns cleaner than diesel fuel, releasing about 25%
less CO2 emissions. Natural gas as a fuel for the power sector has advantages beyond its
cleaner burning properties. Natural gas fired combined cycle power plants can provide required
flexibility for the integration of important amounts of intermittent RE, are more efficient than
diesel gensets, and incur less maintenance and operating costs. Also, the construction of LNG
facilities increases and enhances fuel storage capacity. Thus, natural gas fueled power plants
neither compete nor delay the implementation of large RE projects but can complement future
large RE projects and help their integration into the grid. However, the replacement of diesel
gensets may require moving the powerhouses to more adequate locations. In addition, lacking
domestic reserves means Maldives must import liquefied natural gas (LNG), which must be
turned back into gas form and delivered via pipelines to power stations.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 34


At present, Maldives lacks the infrastructures needed to import, store, transport and use LNG.
A recent report conducted for the MCCEE under technical assistance funded by the Asian
Development Bank (ADB), analyzed the competitiveness of generation of power through gas
and diesel through an estimation of levelized cost of electricity (LCOE). 26 At a plant load factor
of 60% for a power plant located in Gulhifalhu, with an initial size of 140 MW (and growing
over time up to 400 MW), the cost of generation of power through diesel is estimated to be
27.7 $cents/kWh as compared to 14.0 $cents/kWh for a gas fired power plant. Since, the most
efficient diesel generators in Maldives produce electricity at a cost ranging between $0.23/kWh
and $0.33/kWh, gas as a fuel for electric power production shall remain affordable as long as
the delivered cost of gas at plant gate is below 25 $/MMBtu, which is significantly higher than
prevailing LNG prices.

It is recommended to undertake a detailed feasibility study assessing the techno-economic


viability of LNG sourcing, including a floating storage unit, associated seaside mooring
infrastructure, pipeline network and construction and operation of the resulting power plant(s).

5.1.7 Setting Up a Cost Reflective Tariff and Replacing the Indirect


Subsidy Mechanism by a Targeted Mechanism
The URA should work with the MCCEE and the Government of Maldives to implement cost-
reflective electricity tariffs and eliminate generalized indirect subsidies that may have a
distorting effect on electricity pricing and financial viability of the utilities.

The current level of subsidies to the electricity sector is economically unsustainable and unfair
to most economically vulnerable consumers. The mechanism of generalized indirect subsidies
rewards the most to large consumers (Figure 6). A consumer of 1,500 kWh/month will benefit
from a monthly subsidy of MVR 2,285, while a consumer of 50 kWh/month will benefit from a
subsidy of MVR176.50. Instead, a target subsidy scheme for those consumers in need of
economic assistance would be the best option for getting out of the dangerously spiral of
boundless subsidy growth.

26
Deepak Mahurkar. 2024. Maldives Energy Transition – Role of LNG – Prefeasibility Report.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 35


Figure 6: Subsidy in Electricity Bill According to Household Consumption
(in MVR/month)

Source: Asian Development Bank.

The updated Road Map recommends to transition from the current indirect subsidy mechanism
benefitting everyone, to a targeted subsidy mechanism by implementing the following steps:

• Finalize the preparation of a cost reflective electricity tariff methodology.


• Establish transparency rules for the quantification and communication of operational
costs of the Utilities to the URA.
• Elaborate and implement a 4-years tariffs reform road map that includes the
transitioning from the current indirect subsidy mechanism to direct targeted subsidies
to eligible consumers.

5.1.8 Erecting and Integrating Waste-to Energy Plants


The most pressing environmental issue at present in Maldives is waste management. Open
burning of waste is still widely practiced in several islands. The fraction of organic waste is the
largest stream, followed by the plastic and paper waste fractions. Most of the inhabited islands
have Island Waste Management Centers (IWMCs), where waste is collected. Machinery and
technical know-how are deficient in these facilities. Most of them lack the basic equipment
required for effective waste management. In the case of the Greater Male’ Region, the island
of Thilafushi was developed to collect and treat the Region’s household waste. In order to
generate power from municipal solid waste, 3 different projects have been initiated and should
be fully operational by the end of 2024:

• 12 MW capacity in K. Thilafushi,
• 1.5 MW capacity in Addu city, and
• 0.5 MW capacity in R. Vandhoo.

5.1.9 Preparing Smart, Flexible and Reliable Grids


A large part of distribution grids in the Greater Male’ Region was not designed for the current
and forecasted uses. Energy losses in these grids are a concern that must be promptly
addressed. The current average grid losses is estimated at 8% for Greater Male’ and at 12%

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 36


for outer islands. The upgrade of grids aims at reducing such losses country wide to 5% by
2028.

It is recommended to improve the efficiency of electricity power grids through upgrades and
by establishing a benchmark for utilities to control grid losses.

Upgrading of distribution grids should include smart metering, automation of distribution


systems and remote data acquisition. Smart metering allows to measure electricity
consumption as close as possible to real-time. Smart metering enables utilities to offer
differentiated hourly tariffs according to the time of day and the source of energy supplied
(renewable or diesel).

Enhancing the energy storage capacity becomes very relevant when the share of renewable
energy in a system surpasses the 25% ratio and becomes essential when it surpasses the 40%
ratio. Flexibility services provided by energy storage provide stability to the grids and facilitate
the integration of a larger amount of intermittent renewable energy. Feasibility studies will be
needed to determine the specific amount of energy storage required by each island.

5.1.10 Exploring Interconnection Possibilities of Island Clusters


and Extending Electricity Service
Interconnection possibilities for some close-by island systems should further be studied in
detail. If a power interconnection is found to be feasible, it is also good to include the option
of fiber optic so that the cable can be used for power and also for telecommunication. That will
eliminate microwave radio used between islands for telecommunication and can cater for
future capacity required in the country. Fenaka has identified at least seven cases where
distance between islands is smaller than 2 km and interconnection seems possible. Resulting
electrical systems would range between 2 MW to 10 MW. Interconnections will be done either
with a submarine cable or aerial cable, depending on the depth of the sea and traffic of vessels.
Feasibility studies are currently being carried out. Continuous assessments of those
possibilities are recommended.

It is also recommended to extend the electricity service to newly developed, reclaimed,


industrial and agricultural islands, and when possible, integrate them to interconnected island
clusters.

5.1.11 Interconnecting Power Systems of Greater Male’


The interconnection of Greater Male’ power grids, together with the implementation of energy
storage and other flexibility services, are essential for enabling the integration of new
renewable energy, and for increasing the reliability and efficiency of the power system.

A radial three-phase transmission grid interconnecting the six islands of Greater Male’ at 132kV
voltage will result in larger penetration of renewable energy sources and more efficient and
redundant network that will optimize operation and reduce power losses in the interconnected
system. Interconnection of power grids is, therefore, crucial for the success of this Road Map.
The interconnection of Greater Male’ involves two phases:

• Phase 1: Hulhulmale’-Hulhule’ -Male’, operational since 2021 (Figure 7).

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 37


• Phase 2: Male’- Villingili-GulhiFalhu-Thilafushi, expected to complete by the end
of 2026.

The interconnection is proposed level to optimize power transmission from Male’.

Figure 7: Phase 1 of the Interconnection of the Greater Male’ Region

kV = kilovolt, SS =substation.
Source: Government of Maldives, State Electric Company Ltd. (STELCO). January 2020.

5.1.12 Strengthening Regulatory Framework


The regulatory framework should constantly be revised and adapted to technical developments
and economic challenges. The technical regulatory measures proposed by the Energy Road
Map are shown in Table 7.

Table 7: Technical Regulatory Measures Proposed by the Road Map

Regulatory Measure Description


Revise the Energy Act The Energy Act from 2021 requires an update to
better enable private sector participation in the
sector. It should also establish renewable energy
targets and obligations to accelerate the energy
transition.
Revise the net metering regulation The net metering regulation should be periodically
reviewed and updated when needed.
Develop and update codes and Technical codes for the power industry. Develop
standards for products and technical operation codes and technical standards for
services in the energy sector equipment used in power generation and in the

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 38


operation of hybrid power plants. Define basic
controller functions in technical codes, including
automatic start-up, shut down, load sharing, and
automatic recovery. Modernizing the grid code offers
straightforward advantages for achieving a certain
level of grid monitoring. A new grid code will establish
technical requirements for all solar PV connections
and the technical parameters for grid control and
monitoring.
Technical standards for generation equipment.
Develop and enforce technical specifications for
electricity generation equipment, make compliance
obligatory in all purchases with public finance.
Technical standard for fuels quality. The
substitution of diesel and petrol for lower-emission
fuels requires that a fuel quality standard and a
monitoring plan are implemented to ensure that the
quality of fossil fuel sold in the country is adequate.
Technical codes for grid connection of
decentralized renewable energy. Establish clearer
regulations and technical codes for the connection to
the grids of prosumers’ systems, ensure proper
handling of intermittent energy and ensure grid
security
Update the Energy Road Map The Energy Road Map should be updated periodically.
periodically These updates should be preceded by an assessment
of its implementation.
Source: Asian Development Bank.

5.1.13 Accessing and Collecting Reliable Energy Data


It is essential for the Government to empower URA and provide it with necessary resources to
ensure that the electricity sector is regulated as per international best practices. Part of this
empowerment is having enough capacities and enforcement power to collect annually audited
cost-related and operational information from utilities and having full capabilities to assess and
verify the adequacy of the collected information.

URA should also have enough capacity and enforcement power to collect information on power
generation from resorts and privately managed islands. It is recommended that URA
establishes a central data acquisition system to collect all relevant operational data, electricity
generated, fuel consumed, batter performance, and RE generation and usage. All this data is
necessary to monitor energy production and usage statistics in Maldives. Once collected and
analyzed, this information should be made available to relevant stakeholders. Finally, it is
recommended to set up an energy laboratory for regulatory monitoring purposes.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 39


5.1.14 Developing Institutional Capacity and Strengthen
International Cooperation
Enabling the transition requires strengthening institutional and staff capacities in the energy
sector. Strengthening international cooperation with the different development partners and
multilateral organizations supporting Maldives offers an excellent opportunity for accelerating
best quality capacity building activities, based on knowledge transfer of best international
practices. Staff from the sector (MCCEE, URA and utilities) should be permanently trained on
electricity pricing mechanisms and power purchase agreements. In particular, training on
innovative auctioning systems as potential future option for international private sector
investment will be needed. MCCEE’s staff should also be trained to improve knowledge on
energy planning and the design of adequate regulation. Capacity building for the URA should
cover the wide range of energy planning, tariffication, energy pricing, compensation
mechanisms to large and decentralized power generators, and in general any other topics that
facilitates their regulatory role. Furthermore, energy utilities should make all necessary efforts
to train their staff to excel in operations and maintenance of their power plants. In particular,
staff from remote inhabited islands should be benefitted with capacity-building programs
offered by utilities.

Looking at the future, the country needs more vocational and higher education programs on
science, technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM). It is recommended to collaborate
with the Ministry of Education and the Ministry of Higher Education to further develop these
programs.

5.1.15 Unleashing the Potential of Marine Renewable Energy


and Exploring Green Hydrogen Options
The Government is actively working to promote private sector investments through IPPs in
large scale floating solar and marine energy projects. For the longer term, the integration of
the full potential of marine renewable energy would require a specific strategy and feasibility
studies to identify the locations and technologies. The R&D required would benefit greatly from
collaboration with international parties. A Marine Renewable Energy Road Map will be
developed in the first half of 2025 through international technical assistance supported by the
ASSURE project. The ASSURE project will also support the integration of evidence-based
innovative technology solutions by financing one pilot project on marine renewable energy and
one pilot on wind energy.

Hydrogen produced with RE (green hydrogen) is a future alternative to decarbonized


generators, as well as over conventional lithium-ion BESS. The surplus of RE produced in the
islands can be converted to hydrogen using electrolysis. Hydrogen can be stored, transported,
and used as fuel in internal combustion engines. This is also an option for retrofitted ferries
and jetties. At present, the most critical challenge facing the commercial production of green
hydrogen is the cost of electrolysis. A pilot project is needed, preferably by 2030, to determine
which options (technologies and sizes) are the most economically viable for Maldives. These
innovative ideas require long-term R&D support. It is recommended that the Government
provide incentives through financing mechanisms for national involvement in energy R&D.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 40


5.2 Evolution of Renewable Energy Share
Electricity consumption in the country is steadily increasing at around 5% per year and
expected to reach 2,400 gigawatts-hour (GWh) in 2028 (Figure 8). The Government target of
33% renewable energy in electricity consumption means that 800 GWh must come from
renewable energy. Maldives currently has 68.5 MW of renewable energy from solar PV
installed, and an additional 90 MW of renewable energy is already under development, making
it a total of about 160 MW RE generation capacity installed by 2028. An additional 330 MW of
solar PV infrastructure will be needed to achieve the 800 GWh target by 2028.

Figure 8. Forecasted Electricity Consumption in Maldives

Electricity Demand (GWh)


3500

3000

2500

2000

1500

1000

500

0
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

Male' Region (GWh) Other Inhabited Islands (GWh) Resort and Industrial Islands (GWh)

Source: Asian Development Bank.

Table 8 outlines a list of planned and potential future initiatives that can be implemented by
the end of 2028 and Figure 9 shows the proposed implementation plan for these initiatives.
The investment mechanisms selected for these projects include Power Purchase Agreements
(PPA) for larger infrastructure projects and net-metering tariffs for smaller rooftop
installations. Achieving the Government's targets will require an estimated 330 MW of
additional renewable energy capacity. Moreover, significant investments are necessary to
upgrade the islands' power systems to support a high proportion of renewable energy.
Altogether, integrating this 330 MW of renewable energy is projected to require approximately
$1.3 billion in financing over the next four years. This substantial investment will help drive
the expansion of RE in Maldives and reduce reliance on imported fossil fuels.

Beyond 2028, the exploration and development of other RE technologies, such as wind and
ocean energy, will be crucial. It is important to trial these technologies in the coming years to
assess their feasibility and potential for broader implementation. By doing so, Maldives can
continue to diversify its energy portfolio, work towards achieving its NDC targets, and progress
towards carbon neutrality.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 41


Furthermore, these initiatives not only contribute to environmental sustainability but also offer
significant economic and social benefits. By investing in RE, Maldives can enhance energy
security, create job opportunities, and stimulate economic growth. The transition to a greener
energy system will also help mitigate the impacts of climate change, safeguarding the nation's
natural beauty and resources for future generations. The Government's commitment to
expanding renewable energy capacity and exploring new technologies demonstrates a
proactive approach to sustainable development. Continued collaboration with international
partners and stakeholders will be essential to mobilize the necessary resources and expertise
to realize these ambitious goals.

Table 8. Planned and Possible Initiatives to achieve 33% Renewable Energy Share
in the Electricity Sector

Project Investment Planned (MW) Potential


Initiatives
(MW)
Greater Male’

Rooftop PV under ASSURE project 4


Rooftop PV 5
WTE plant Thilafushi 2x4000 kW 12
Roof top PV in commercial buildings of Gulhifalhu / 25
Thilafushi
Wind turbine Gulhifalhu / Thilafushi 2
Floating solar with storage 100
Other Inhabited Islands

Planned Solar PV in POISED project 15


Rooftop PV under ASSURE project 4
Rooftop PV 4
ARISE project (hybridization of power plants + 11
Batteries)
ASSURE project (hybridization of power plants + 20
Batteries)
WTE plants Vandhoo (500 kW) and Addu (1500 2
kW)
Further Solar PV hybrid plants including storage 15
(under the ARISE project)
Solar PV hybrid plants including storage 35

Floating solar with storage (Addu City under the 10


ARISE project)

Floating solar with storage 35


Resort and Industrial Islands
Solar PV 75
Floating solar with storage 50
Total 93 331

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 42


Source: Asian Development Bank.

The proposed interventions will drive islands to meet the 33% renewable energy share
announced by the Government of Maldives. The evolution of the Renewable Energy share over
the years is shown in Figure 10.

Figure 9. Implementation Plan for the Potential Renewable Energy Initiatives

Source: Asian Development Bank.

Figure 10: Forecast of Renewable Energy Share in the Electricity Produced in


Maldives
(%)

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 43


40%
33%

30%

20%

8%
10%

0%
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Greater Male' Outer islands Resort islands

Source: Asian Development Bank.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 44


6 » ENABLING A JUST ENERGY TRANSITION
An enabling environment to facilitate a just energy transition is needed for the successful
implementation of the updated Energy Road Map. The Government is committed to provide
such enabling environment to confer authority, build consensus, attract attention to, and
provide resources for the Road Map implementation.

6.1 Implement an Integrated and Comprehensive Framework


An integrated and comprehensive framework is essential for a smooth and inclusive energy
transition cover multi-sectoral policies, financing for catalyzing just energy transition, social
protection, resilience, and institutional strengthening in the energy sector, along with social
and technical assessments of energy transition initiatives. Eight domains are identified to guide
a just energy transition in Maldives (Table 9). These domains are interconnected and
interrelated.

Table 9: Framework Domains Guiding the Just Energy Transition

Domains Description
Policies GESI policies should be in place to promote inclusive
outcomes. Coherent policies are needed across the economic,
environmental, social, education, training, and labor
portfolios. Policies should also enable MSMEs, workers,
investors and consumers to participate and drive the
transition towards environmentally sustainable and inclusive
economies and societies. Subsidy reforms are also needed,
informed by GESI considerations.
Access to key utilities and Access by excluded and vulnerable groups in an integrated
quality energy services manner: income poor, women, older people, persons with
disability, disadvantaged ethnic groups and castes, those in
vulnerable geographic locations, slum and transient
populations, and marginalized due to their sexual orientation,
gender identity, and gender expression.
Economic development The growth of green industries and the promotion of
sustainable practices can lead to the creation of new job
opportunities, MSMEs and contribute to economic
development. Maximizing GESI in access to these
opportunities means addressing the gender gap in STEM
education, STEM industries and closing the gender pay gap in
STEM industries.
Employment and green Workers in carbon-intensive industries may require new skills
jobs and training to transition into green jobs. Governments,
employers, and educational institutions play an important
role in providing the necessary training and support. Social
dialogue between governments, employers, trade unions,

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 45


and civil society is essential to develop inclusive and effective
strategies for just energy transition and to address potential
conflicts and challenges.
Social protection The establishment of adequate social protection systems is
essential to enable a just energy transition. Social protection
systems need to provide income security and social services,
based on international labor standards, to increase resilience
and safeguard communities against the impacts of economic
and environmental vulnerabilities and shocks.
Community-centered Local Vulnerable communities on the frontlines should be a part of
Governance the decision making and leadership of their transition. This
also involves the utilization of traditional, indigenous and local
knowledge; valuing of non-polluting care work as ‘climate
work’; application of integrated (community, district,
subnational and national levels and across industries and
sectors), inclusive and decentralized, community-based
participatory approaches.
Technology innovation Technology innovation presents promising opportunities for
just energy transition, such as distributed generation and
demand side participation in the power system and energy
markets. The new challenges require socio-technical
approaches for system design.
Financing Funding mechanisms and arrangements to support GESI
outcomes in the energy transition must be ensured. Countries
that commit to a GESI-inclusive energy transition can use
their commitments to leverage international funding.
GESI = specific gender equality and social inclusion; MSME = micro, small and medium enterprise; STEM
= science, technology and mathematic.
Source: Source: R. Mohideen. 2024. Managing gender-inclusive, just energy transitions in South Asia.
Oxford Open Energy, Volume 3, 2024. United Kingdom.

6.2 Increase Cross-sectoral Efforts


Soon after the POISED project started, the MCCEE realized that it needed to think cross
sectoral. The production of renewable energy is not a sufficient outcome. It is a means to
achieve a better quality of life for the population. Additional financing processed by ADB in
2020 supported cross sectoral pilot initiatives including solar PV based ice-making plants to
support fisheries, and renewable energy-based passenger ferry to support marine transport.
In partnership with island councils and the Women Development Committees (WDCs), POISED
is installing ice-making plants on four islands to support the fishery industry and to expand
women’s income-earning opportunities and community-based enterprises. This initiative will
not only boost livelihood in fisheries communities and become an income generation for

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 46


women, but also contribute significantly to develop alternatives to tourism industry activities,
which is relevant in times of distress as it happened during the COVID-19 pandemics.

Regarding the synergies of energy and water, many of the islands need to install and operate
desalination plants since aquifers have been contaminated with the intrusion of saltwater or
uncontrolled disposal of waste. Reverse osmosis is the most suitable technology for those
plants. Reverse osmosis is an energy-intensive process that could benefit from renewable
energy production. It is recommended to further explore water–energy synergies in all other
inhabited islands, as well as in resorts, industrial, and agricultural islands.

6.3 Prepare the Future Workforce for Change


As Maldives transitions towards a more sustainable energy future, it is essential to prepare the
next generation for the challenges and opportunities within the energy sector. Initiatives aimed
at educating and training students from an early age are crucial. Programs focusing on
renewable energy, efficiency, and conservation practices should be integrated into school
curriculums, particularly for students in grades 8–12. These initiatives can include hands-on
training, internships, and field trips to renewable energy sites, offering students practical
experience and insights into potential career paths. Moving forward, the nation requires an
expansion of vocational and higher education initiatives in STEM careers.

6.4 Continue Community Engagement for Gender Equality and


Social Inclusiveness
Achieving gender parity in the power sector remains a significant challenge, with women
underrepresented across various roles. Current participation levels show that female staff
constitute a small percentage of the workforce, particularly in technical and management
positions. The female staff at STELCO reaches only 16%. Fenaka shows a slightly better
situation with 18.4% female staff. Less than 15% of middle and top management positions
are occupied by women, and female presence in technical positions is below 2%. Efforts are
being made through leadership programs and initiatives aimed at enhancing skills in energy
planning and management to increase female participation in these areas. Additionally,
projects are promoting income-generating activities, especially for women, by supporting
innovative practices and renewable energy solutions. 27

Maldives has already set exemplary action for initiating change and close the gender gap in
the access to higher education and professional opportunities in the energy sector. The POISED
project has prioritized empowering women by engaging communities vigorously through
sustained campaigns on gender inclusivity, renewable energy, and the green economy across
its targeted 160 islands. It also launched a gender-inclusive outreach program focusing on
island women's committees to increase awareness about renewable energy and demand-side
management at home. By the end of 2023, 113 gender-inclusive community programs were
delivered to a populace of 12,908, with women making up more than half. These efforts should
be mainstreamed in all programs. The MCCEE aims to reinforce, and mainstream in all
programs, the continuation of training and educational activities carried out under the POISED

27
Both initiatives funded by the ASSURE project.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 47


project and planned under the ASSURE project. In particular, the Ministry should establish a
long-term emphasis on training the female staff of the utilities in implementing the renewable
energy mini-grid systems foreseen in this Road Map, and on increasing the number of female
technicians and engineers. The current activities on career guidance sessions for school
children for Grades 8–12 and on the promotion of women-run enterprises supplied with
electricity from solar systems are crucial to achieve transformational change on gender
equality.

6.5 Monitoring Road Map Results and Preparing Plans and


Studies
Successful implementation of the Energy Road Map requires continuous monitoring and
evaluation of results. Monitoring and evaluation provide the opportunity to test planning
assumptions, compare effectiveness of different approaches, adjust and correct future actions,
anticipate capacity-building needs, and prepare new regulations. It also informs the national
government for better delegation of responsibilities to local authorities, provides the foundation
for oversight, and facilitates accountability arrangements. A mechanism led by the MCCEE
needs to be in place to monitor, assess, and communicate results, and coordinate actions with
other ministries, government offices, energy utilities, city councils, industries, and resorts
management. A well-functioning monitoring mechanism is also useful for facilitating access to
international climate finance.

The MCCEE should also develop and keep updated the national energy balance, plans and
feasibility studies, necessary for the effective monitoring of Road Map results. The energy
balance should be updated annually with timely reporting inputs from energy companies, island
councils, main industrial players and resorts.

6.6 Alignment with Sustainable Development Goals


The updated Energy Road Map is fully aligned with several United Nations’ Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) (Figure 11). The important level of foreseen investments in
renewable energy infrastructure by this Road Map has its most direct impact on SDG 7
(affordable and clean energy), SDG 12 (responsible consumption and production), SDG 13
(climate action), and SDG 14 (life below water). This Road Map has an important positive effect
on the conservation of oceans and life below water since it stops the uncontrolled growth of
fossil fuel transportation by boats and possible spills this activity sometimes causes. Also,
through the implementation of cross-sectoral interventions, the Energy Road Map also has
clear socioeconomic impacts on SDG 1 (by contributing to reduce poverty), SDG 2 (by
contributing to improve food security), SDG 5 (by contributing to gender equality in the
sector), SDG 8 (decent work and economic growth), SDG 9 (industry, innovation, and
infrastructure) and SDG 11 (sustainable cities and communities).

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 48


Figure 11: United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals

Source: https://www.un.org/

6.7 Financing Schemes


Maldives faces many difficulties in structuring the financing of its development projects,
including climate change mitigation projects such as those listed in this Road Map. The main
limiting factor is the reduced public sector financing capacity. This characteristic makes
Maldives highly dependent on grants and soft loans from development cooperation to boost
private sector investments. The foreseen actions for the transformation and paradigm shift
scenarios are summarized in the design and monitoring framework found in the appendixes of
this report.

The Road Map requires an important extra financial effort to achieve proposed targets. These
additional efforts include:

• sustained support by multilateral development banks to specific actions and targets;

• bilateral cooperation with donor countries, which should include knowledge and
technology transfer mechanisms;

• establishing alliances with foreign investors interested in the introduction of innovative


renewable energy technologies; and,

• strengthening knowledge sharing with other island states.

Lower generation cost from renewable energies would improve financial performance of the
public utilities and reduce the need for budget support to the electricity sector, thus improving
the country’s fiscal sustainability. Furthermore, renewable energy would positively impact the
cost of electricity service as it can decrease the logistics difficulties in shipping and storing fuel
across a large number of islands. Savings from lower generation costs should be transformed
into a financing instrument leveraging additional funds for renewable energy infrastructure,
particularly for the most economically vulnerable inhabited islands.

>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 49


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>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 52
>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 53
>> Ministry of Climate Change, Environment and Energy >> 54

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