G1_VALUATION
G1_VALUATION
Submitted by:
Romero, Arnie
Taladro, Moschino
September 2024
BRIEF OUTLINE:
I. Foundations of Value
II. Definition of Valuation
III. The Value of Business can be basically linked into three major factors:
Current Operations
Future Prospects
Embedded Risks
Intrinsic Value
Book Value
Liquidation Value
Portfolio Management
Corporate Finance
Other Purposes
• The market commands what the proper rate of return for investors
Market Approach
Income Approach
Asset/Cost Approach
- Concepts of Values
- Principles and Techniques of Valuation
To be discussed by:
Romero, Arnie
Taladro, Moschino
I. Foundations of Value
In today's economy, "value" is what determines how much something is worth, whether it's an
estimate or a specific number. When people invest, they expect the value of their investment to
grow enough to make up for the risk or effort they put in, taking into account the time it takes.
Everything we do involves some kind of sacrifice, and that sacrifice has value. It means giving up
something important, hoping to get something in return, like a profit or reward, that feels worth
the trade-off. Therefore, knowing how to measure value or how to create value is an essential tool
for everybody to be able to make wise decisions.
Valuation is the estimation of an asset's value based on variables perceived to be related to future
investment returns, on comparison with similar assets, or when relevant, on estimates of
immediate liquidation proceeds.
III. The Value of Business can be basically linked into three major factors:
• Current operations
• Future prospects
• Embedded risk.
Current operations mainly focus on the day-to-day activities of the business which correspond to
the operating performance of the firm in the recent year measured using the key metrics of
revenue, profitability, market share and operational efficiency. With the business on its growing
stage, it creates a path for identifying what expectation in terms of its growth can be expected and
its potential opportunities that can be capitalize or invested by the business, this second factor
emphasize on the long-term and strategic direction the business can grab and grow their business
into such as expanding the business in terms of its location and operation matters. The third factor
on the other hand emphasize that the possible value of a business is embedded with risks,
meaning doing business or operating a business an individual should expect risk including
possible challenges and uncertainties that can affect one’s business operation. This includes
market volatility, competition, regulatory changes, and operational risks.
These factors are the major variables that can affect the valuation of a business but as new
innovations and globalization occur new technologies being utilized also changed in order to keep
up and stay competitive as this increased competition, making a complex supply chain,
Additionally, due to globalization it led consumers to have diverse expectations towards the
products or services consumed and incurred by the consumers.
Valuation is based on economic factors, industry variables, and the analysis of financial
statements and the entire outlook of the firm. The valuation process will determine the long-run
fundamental economic value of its common stock or preferred stock. Different concepts of
valuation are based on the following:
• Intrinsic Value – a concept based on an asset's theoretical 'true worth' and is determined
by its record and potential earning power.
• Going Concern Value – the value of an asset to the enterprise as a going concern or the
value of an asset 'in use". Most business valuations will be prepared based on a going
concern. - The value of the firm as an operating business.
• Book Value – the amount at which an asset or liability is recorded on the entity's books of
accounts; also called carrying value or carrying amount.
- The accounting value of a firm or an asset
• Liquidation Value- This refers to the net amount that would be gained if a business is
terminated and its assets are sold off piece by piece. The value of the company is
calculated under the assumption that it will shut down, and its assets will be sold
separately through a liquidation process.
• Fair Market Value- This refers to the price at which a property would be exchanged
between a hypothetical buyer and seller, both willing and able, in an open and unrestricted
market. The transaction occurs at arm’s length, meaning both parties are independent and
acting in their own best interest. Neither the buyer nor the seller is under any pressure or
compulsion to make the deal, and both have a reasonable level of knowledge about the
relevant details and facts surrounding the property and the market conditions.
V. ROLES OF VALUATION
• Portfolio Management
Fundamental Analysts- These are persons who are interested in understanding and measuring
intrinsic value of a firm.
Activists Investors- Activist investors tend to look for companies with good growth prospects
that have poor management.
Chartists- Chartists rely on the concept that stock prices are significantly influenced by how
investors think and act.
Information Traders- Traders that react based on new information about firms that are revealed
to the stock market
Valuation plays a very big role when analyzing potential deals. Potential acquirers typically use
relevant valuation techniques (whichever is applicable) to estimate value of target firms they are
planning to purchase and understand the synergies they can take advantage from the purchase.
They also use valuation techniques in the negotiation process to set the deal price.
Acquisition - usually has two parties: the buying firm and the selling firm. The buying firm needs
to determine the fair value of the target company prior to offering a bid price. On the other hand,
the selling firm (or sometimes, the target company) should have a sense of its firm value, as well
to gauge reasonableness of bid offers. Selling firms also use this information to guide which bid
offers to accept or reject. On the downside, bias may be a significant concern in acquisition
analyses. Target firms may show very optimistic projections to push the price higher or pressure
to make resulting valuation analysis favorable if the target firm is certain to be purchased as a
result of strategic decision.
Merger - transaction two companies’ combined to form a wholly new entity. An example is the
merger of Divestiture Sale of a major component of segment of a business (e.g. brand or product
line) to another company
Spin-off - Separating a segment or component business and transforming this into a separate
légal entity whose ownership will be transferred to shareholders.
Leveraged buyout - Acquisition of another business by using significant debt which uses the
acquired business as a collateral.
Synergy - potential increase in firm value that can be generated once two firms merge with each
other. Synergy assumes that the combined value of two firms will be greater than the sum of
separate firms. Synergy can be attributable to more efficient operations, cost reductions,
increased revenues, combined products/markets or cross-disciplinary talents of the combined
organization.
Control - change in people managing the organization brought about by the acquisition. Any
impact to firm value resulting from the change in management and restructuring of the target
company should be included in the valuation exercise. This is usually an important matter for
hostile takeovers
• Corporate Finance
Corporate finance mainly involves managing the firm's capital structure, including funding sources
and strategies that the business should pursue to maximize firm value. Corporate finance deals
with prioritizing and distributing financial resources to activities that increase firm value. The
ultimate goal of corporate finance is to maximize the firm value by appropriate planning and
implementation of resources, while balancing profitability and risk appetite.
Small private businesses that need additional money to expand, use valuation concepts when
approaching private equity investors and ventures. capital providers to show the promise of the
business. The ownership stake that these capital providers will ask from the business in exchange
of the money that they will put in will be based on their estimated value of the small private
business.
Larger companies who wish to obtain additional funds by offering their shares to the public also
need valuation to estimate the price they are going to be offered in the stock market. Afterwards,
decisions regarding which projects to invest in, amount to be borrowed and dividend declarations
to shareholders are influenced by company valuation.
Corporate finance ensures that financial outcomes and corporate strategy drives
maximization of firm value: Current business conditions push business leaders to focus on
value enhancement by looking at the business holistically and focus on key levers affecting value
in order to provide some level of return to shareholders.
Firms that are focused on maximizing shareholder value use valuation concepts to assess
impact of various strategies to company value. Valuation methodologies also enable
communication about significant corporate matters between management, shareholders,
consultants and investment analysts.
• Legal and Tax Purposes
Valuation is important for businesses for legal and tax reasons as well. For instance, when
a new partner joins a partnership or an existing partner retires, the entire partnership needs to be
valued to determine the appropriate buy-in or sell-out amount. This is similarly true for businesses
that are dissolved or liquidated at the owners' discretion. Additionally, firms are valued for estate
tax purposes in the event of the owner's death.
• Other Purposes
- Issuance of a fairness opinion for valuation provided by third party.
- Basis for assessment of potential lending activities by financial institutions.
- Share-based payment/compensation.
It includes performing industry and competitive analysis and analysis of publicly available
financial information and corporate disclosures. it is important as these give analysts and
investors the idea about the following factors that affect the business:
Industry Structure - the inherent technical and economic characteristics of an industry and the
trends that may affect this structure
Industry Characteristics - these are true to most, if not all, market players participating in that
industry.
Poster’s Five Forces is the most common tool used to encapsulate industry structure.
Competitive position
- refers how the products, services and the company itself is set apart from the other
competing market players.
- typically gauged using the prevailing market share level that the company enjoys.
Generally, a firm’s value is higher if it can consistently sustain its competitive advantage against
its competitors.
According to Michael Porter, there are generic corporate strategies to achieve competitive
advantage:
• Cost Leadership - incurring the lowest cost among market players with quality that is
comparable to competitors allow the firm to price products around the industry average.
Quality of earnings analysis also compares net income against operating cash flow to make sure
reported earnings are actually realizable to cash and are not padded through significant accrual
entries. Typical observations that analysts can derive from financial statements are listed below:
Based on AICPA guidance, other red flags that may indicate aggressive accounting include
the following:
Forecasting financial performance After understanding how the business operates and
analysing historical financial statements, forecasting financial performance is the next step.
Forecasting financial performance can be looked at two lenses: (a) on a macro perspective
viewing the economic environment and industry where the firm operates in and (b) on a micro
perspective focusing in the firm's financial and operating characteristics. Forecasting summarises
the future-looking view which results from the assessment of industry and competitive landscape,
business strategy and historical financials. This can be summarized in two approaches:
Bottom-up forecasting approach - Forecast starts from the lower levels of the firm and is
completed as it captures what will happen to the company based on the inputs of its
segments/units. For example, store expansions and increase in product availability is collated and
revenues resulting from these are calculated. Inputs from various segments are consolidated until
company-level revenues is calculated.
The appropriate valuation model will depend on the context of the valuation and the
inherent characteristics of the company being valued. Details of these valuation models and the
circumstances when they should be used will be discussed in succeeding chapters.
Once the valuation model is decided, the forecasts should now be inputted and converted
to the chosen valuation model. This step is not only about manually encoding the forecast to the
model to estimate the value (which is the job of Microsoft Excel).
To do this, two aspects should be considered:
• Sensitivity analysis
• Situational adjustment
Once the value is calculated based on all assumptions considered, the analysts and
investors use the results to provide recommendations or make decisions that suits their
investment objective.
- The consideration here is the term future. It implies that historical results of the
company's earnings before the date of valuation are useful in predicting the future
results of the business under certain conditions. Another consideration is the term
cash flow. It is because cash flow, which takes into account capital investments,
working capital changes, and taxes, is the true determinant of business value.
Business owners should aim at building a comprehensive estimate of future cash
flows for their companies. Even though making estimates is a subjective
undertaking, it is vital that the value of the business is validated. Reliable historical
information will help in supporting the assumptions that the forecasts will use.
• The market commands what the proper rate of return for investors
- The market determines the appropriate rate of return that investors should expect.
Market forces are constantly in flux and generally guide what returns can be
anticipated from various investment options. These forces can vary depending on
the industry type and prevailing economic conditions. For investors, understanding
the rate of return set by the market is crucial, as it allows them to identify the correct
discount rate for valuation purposes. This understanding can significantly impact
their decisions regarding buying or selling investments.
- This is one of the measurement tools since future cash flows are transferred by
the ability by which the value of a business is highly determined. This is because
some degrees of client relationship are based on the current owner or some
specific skills that put dependence on the current owner; the perceived risk is high
and thus reduces the business value to the potential buyers significantly. On the
other understanding, more customer loyalty, better and stronger systems and
management evaluation resulting from the separation of the business from its
owner lead to more transportable cash flows hence the increase in the value of the
business. Hence, it is the responsibility of the business owner to ensure that there
is an effective operational environment to put in place towards realizing the ideal
situation of transferring cash and generically valuing.
Market Approach
-The market approach utilizes prices and other relevant data generated by market transactions
involving identical or similar assets and liabilities this means that a company can determine its
assets, investment or business through comparing its market price to the other company that also
have the same nature and feature of its assets, investment and business. The techniques that
can be used were market multiples derived for certain variables and matrix pricing.
Income Approach
-The income approach converts future amounts (such as cash flows or income and expenses)
into a singular discounted amount, taking into account various factors, including risk and
uncertainty (IFRS 13.B15-B17). This approach is intrinsic meaning the value of the business is
derive from the ability of the business to generate future cash flows. Techniques that are aligned
to the income approach are the present value techniques, option pricing models, and the multi-
period excess earnings method (IFRS 13.B10-B11)
Asset/Cost Approach
-Often referred to as the current replacement cost, the cost approach aims to represent the sum
that would presently be required to replace the service capacity of an asset, adjusted for
obsolescence (for example, physical deterioration, technological or economic obsolescence). The
techniques used in this approach were Book Value Method and Adjusted Book Value Method.