HansABaerMerril TheAnthropologyOfClim 2018 3TheArchaeologyOfClim
HansABaerMerril TheAnthropologyOfClim 2018 3TheArchaeologyOfClim
THE ARCHAEOLOGY OF
CLIMATE CHANGE
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about 15 billion years) or even the age of Earth (estimated to be about 5 billion years
old), it becomes quickly obvious that human existence has been so far, and probably
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AN: 1753628 ; Hans A. Baer, Merrill Singer.; The Anthropology of Climate Change : An Integrated Critical Perspective
Account: s5776608.main.eds
42 The archaeology of climate change
ultimately will constitute, a quick blip in cosmic time. Gareth Morgan and John
McCrystal (2009: 85–86) delineate a geological memory lane for Earth consisting
of the following distinctive stages:
Figure 3.1 displays the various geographic ages identified by the environmental
sciences that match up with Morgan and McCrystal’s climatic world model. These
ages are dated to have occurred within particular geological and climatic epochs in
Earth’s history.
Quarternary era
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The archaeology of climate change 43
s Glacial periods are named intervals of time (in thousands of years) within
an ice age, marked by cooling temperatures and the growth of glaciers around
the planet. Interglacials, in turn, are named warmer periods within an ice
age that occur between cooler glacial periods. A stadial (such as the Older
Dryas, the Younger Dryas, and the Little Ice Age) is a period of lower pressure
during an interglacial of insufficient duration (less than 10,000 years) to be
classified as a glacial period. There have been at least five major ice ages in
Earth’s history, outside of which Earth seems to have been ice-free even in high
latitudes.
s Thermals are named climate events, including the Holocene Climate Optimum
(a warm interval from 8,000 to 5,000 years ago) and the Roman Climatic
Optimum or Medieval Warm Period (a mild climatic period from 1,060 to 900
years ago prior to the Little Ice Age).
s The Cenozoic (meaning “new life”) is a geological epoch of time that stretches
from 65 million years ago, marked by the extinction of most dinosaur species,
to the present. It is subdivided into three eras, the Quaternary (2.5 million years
ago to the present), the Neogene, and the Paleogene. Of importance to human
history and activity on the planet are the two time periods that comprise the
Quaternary: the Holocene (12,000 years ago to the present) and before it
the Pleistocene (2.5 million to about 12,000 years ago).
Climatically, as this discussion suggests, Earth has seen periods of both relative
stability and dramatic change.
As seen in the various studies cited in this chapter, archaeologists and paleonto-
logists use several different dating schemes, including “kyr” (thousand years
before present), BCE (years before the contemporary or common era), BP
(years before present), and BC/AD (before Christ and Anno Domini, “in the year
of the Lord.”). We mention these here to avoid confusion in the review below.
This chapter scans times and places that “climate change” played a role in
human dispersal across the planet. In the course of the evolutionary history of
our species, different patterns of climate change occurred in different eras and in
different locations (across a spectrum of heating and cooling ranges). Throughout
the sweep of time, climate conditions have interacted with the tendency of life
forms (in this case, our pre-human and human ancestors) toward biological dis-
persal across local environments. Such movement tends to be constrained by
dispersal barriers, such as climate, that can make some places hard to colonize
at particular points in time. In the case of our species, the expanding capacity of
the human brain, other bodily changes, and the emergence of culture allowed
a particularly flexible response to quite diverse environmental challenges and
opportunities.
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44 The archaeology of climate change
Hominin [or hominid] evolution began in Africa at the times of these cli-
matic changes. Due to the increasing dryness, the dense forests were gradually
replaced with open woodland. Tracts of grasslands began to appear between
large patches of trees. We tend to think that the grass-adapted animals we
associate with the modern-day African savannahs, such as the antelopes and
zebra, have always been there. But they and the savannah they inhabit are
relatively recent phenomena. The common ancestor of modern humans and
living chimpanzees probably lived in the dense forest. Some of its descendants,
though, began to adapt to life on the ground in more open conditions.
The particular epoch of our 5–6 million years or so on the planet has led to
humans being described by some as the “children of the ice” (Behringer 2010:
39). In all, Earth has experienced ten major and 40 minor episodes of glaciations
over the past million years (Farley 2008). Milankovitch cycles, during which the tilt
of the Earth’s axis fluctuates between 22° and 24.5°, occur about every 41,000 years.
This shift in the axis of the planet causes the beginning and ending of ice ages. Other
natural forces that can affect climate include (1) changes in the Sun’s energy output;
(2) variations in the distance of the Earth from the Sun; (3) changes in the atmospheric
and oceanic circulation systems; (4) changes in the absorption or radiations of energy
by the Earth’s surface, related to the extent of cloud cover and the nature of
the planet surface; and (5) volcanic eruptions (Farley 2008; Officer and Page 2009).
The climate for the better part of the past 110,000 years has fluctuated between
“warm” states resembling the present time and prolonged “cold” states marked
by glacial advances and temperatures of 8°C (14.4°F) or more below the present
average, with the Last Glacial Maximum having occurred about 20,000 years ago
(Kennedy 2006). Atmospheric CO2 hovered between 180 and 300 ppm over the
course of the 650,000 years prior to recent times (Maslin 2009: 8). Most recently it
has begun to rise, but not because of natural factors.
Despite the emphasis that some archaeologists, such as Brian Fagan, give to
climatic factors in the rise and fall of civilizations, many archaeologists, as well as
historians, ignore or downplay the role of environmental and climatic change in
shaping social evolution as a reaction to the strong environmental determinism
earlier posited by V. Gordon Childe (1928/1954). Some archaeologists, in fact,
believe that scholars who write books like the one you are reading have fallen prey
to what Butzer (2011: 1) terms the “popular ‘new’ environmental determinism
centered on civilizational collapse in response to ‘abrupt’ climate climatic change”
and in relation to which he calls for “strong voices of caution.” He objects to the
work of people like Jared Diamond (2005) who argue that various ancient societies,
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The archaeology of climate change 45
Most of the more popular claims that climate has impacted history are
deductive and based on data that are inadequate or misrepresented. Social
resilience and adaptation are not considered, ignoring case studies of the ways
in which people have confronted short- or long-term crises in the past.
Conversely, Ferri A. Hassan (2009: 60) argues that while historically human
societies have often “adapted” to multi-decadal fluctuations, they are “not immune
from experiencing environmental stresses caused by unanticipated, multicentennial
and millennial severe, abrupt climatic events.” Paleoanthropologist Ian Tattersall
(2012: 3) also recognizes the role of climate change in the human evolutionary
trajectory:
The earliest representatives of our own group lived at the end of the Miocene
and at the beginning of the following Pliocene epoch, each between about
six and 4.5 million years ago. And they appear just as the arrival of many new
open-country mammal genera in the fossil record signals another climatic
change. Oceanic cooling affected rainfall and temperatures on continents
worldwide. . . . [I]n Africa it inaugurated a trend toward the breakup of forest
masses and the formation of woodlands into which grasslands intruded locally.
This episode of climatic deterioration furnished the larger ecological stage on
which the earliest known hominids made their debut.
Controversies of this sort are not unusual in the sciences. The passage of time,
new data, new ways of understanding older data and of seeing the world, and the
arrival of a new generation of scholars often helps to sort out such disagreements.
Increasingly, in the work of younger scholars especially, acceptance of the significant
impact of climate change is becoming apparent.
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46 The archaeology of climate change
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The archaeology of climate change 47
time or other over the course of the past 4 million years. Since this observation,
paleoanthropologists have identified and debated over several new categories
of proto-hominids and early hominids, as well as added new named members of
the hominid family to our branch-rich family tree, a discussion that falls outside the
purview of this book.
Potts (1998) has proposed what he terms a variability selection hypothesis, which
asserts that specific adaptations that appeared among early human ancestors were not
narrowly shaped by any particular habitat. Rather, the key to human evolution was
environmental instability. Hominins did not become physically limited by diet or
other factors to a single type of environment, as is seen in some species, but, because
of continued exposure to a changing environment/climate, developed as generalists
capable of surviving in many different kinds of habitats. Indeed, the “survival condi-
tions of human evolution were continually revised as climate oscillated between arid
and moist and between cold and warm” as supported by environmental records
on shifting conditions from around the world (Potts 2010: 50). Over the course of
human evolution, hominins increased their physical and cultural coping skills,
allowing them to invade new and ecological quite different physical environments.
Prior to 2 million years ago, the African climate had been temperate and humid,
but became colder and more arid after about 1.9 million BP (Hetherington and
Reid 2010). The first hominids may have moved out of Africa about 2 million years
ago, with Homo erectus populations living in the region we today known as Pakistan
about this time and arriving in Java by 1.5 million years ago, possibly as early as
1.9 million years ago, and in Jordan by around 1.5 million years ago. It is at this
time that Earth underwent another warming, leading to an expansion once again of
the African forests (Hetherington and Reid 2010). Around 1.3 million years BP, the
climate chilled again, resulting in increased grasslands in Africa. Homo erectus appeared
in Europe around 900,000 years ago, a period of warming and rising of sea levels.
As Hetherington and Reid (2010: 87) observe:
During the early Pleistocene, glaciations were generally low amplitude and
high frequency, occurring about every 41,000 years. In the middle Pleistocene,
after about 800,000 years ago, glaciations were of higher amplitude and
reducing frequency, occurring about every 100,000 years. . . . Transitions
between glacial and interglacial conditions were more pronounced, resulting
in greater latitudinal shifts in fauna and flora. Beginning 1.2 million years ago,
a series of mainly mammalian dispersals began in Asia. By about 800,000 years
ago, more than 25 species of mammals had left Asia and relocated in central
and Western Europe. These dispersals are believed to be related to climate
change. It is possible that early hominins were part of this major mammalian
dispersal out of Asia.
Potts (1996) maintains that in the period between 500,000 and 200,000 years ago
there was a continual process of human diversification. Some scientists, he notes,
believe all of the hominids that lived during this period were members of a single
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48 The archaeology of climate change
evolving evolutionary line that connected Homo erectus to modern Homo sapiens.
Other researchers, by contrast, view the paleontological record as being comprised
of four different species of humans during this era, with Homo erectus living in eastern
Asia, Homo heidelbergensis dwelling in Europe, some poorly known populations of
archaic Homo sapiens occupying Africa, and toward the end of this time range, the
Neanderthals, who had evolved in Europe and western Asia, living in Africa.
In John Hoffecker’s (2009) reading of the paleontological and archaeological
records, the Asian counterparts of Homo heidelbergensis vacated northern Asia during
glaciations. The Neanderthals followed in the wake of Homo erectus and Homo
heidelbergensis in Europe. Many scholars view the Classic Neanderthals, with their
big bodies, as an adaptation to intense cold in Europe and Eurasia. While many
physical anthropologists have argued that the Neanderthals were more or less
in direct line with modern humans, and have been designated as Homo sapiens
neanderthalensis, others, like Fagan (2010), view them as having been a sideline that
fell outside the genetic range of modern humans, a group that could not compete
with the more modern Cro-Magnon types who filtered into Europe from western
Asia around 45,000 years ago. However, genetic studies indicate that Neanderthal
genes are still found in human populations, so some interbreeding clearly occurred,
thus substantially supporting an argument posited by some paleoanthropologists in
the past (Stringer 2012).
In contrast to the Neanderthals, who “survived by moving into sheltered valleys
and slightly warmer environments in Italy and south of the Pyrenees,” the Cro-
Magnons with their more elaborate tool kits refined hunting techniques in a wide
array of landscapes, ranging from tundras to the margins of coniferous forests (Fagan
2010: 156–157). Fagan (2010: 157) boldly asserts that the “diverse Cro-Magnon
societies of the Last Glacial Maximum were an exemplar of later arctic hunter-
gather societies.” Eurasia’s population possibly fluctuated between the stadials and
interstadials of the Upper Paleolithic (Fagan 2010: 140). The climate in Europe
suddenly became warmer with the Boelling oscillation that set in about 14,500 BP,
lasting about 1,500 years (Fagan 2010: 226).
One study based upon a database of 499 archaeological collections from 332
European sites indicates that the Neanderthal tool kit only began to diversify during
the Fourth Glacial, suggesting technological stagnation during the long dura-
tion of the Middle Paleolithic, a period of 200,000–250,000 years, with a high
degree of climatic variability (Bocquet-Appel and Tuffreau 2009). In contrast,
modern humans during the Upper Paleolithic developed a wide variety of more
sophisticated tools, indicating a higher cognitive capacity.
Fagan (1999: 68) argues that oceans and deserts have repeatedly proven to be
“powerful engines in human affairs.” The Sahara Desert, for example, functions as
a pump which is driven by atmospheric changes and global climatic shifts (Fagan
1999: 68). The area had more precipitation some 130,000 years ago and contained
shallow lakes and semi-arid grasslands. When the Sahara dried up as glaciers advanced
in more northerly environments, it became a barrier between tropical Africa and
the Mediterranean area, but not before modern humans or Homo sapiens emerged
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The archaeology of climate change 49
in Africa and radiated out to Eurasia (Stanley 1996: 208–211). Thus, Hassan (2009:
47–48) argues:
Human dispersal out of Africa took place between 130 and 90kyr . . . and may
have coincided with the global climatic changes associated with the last major
glaciation. Modern humans appeared in Palestine ca. 90kyr, and remains of
early humans in Southeast Asia date to c.75kyr. . . . This suggests that this
phase of dispersal may have been associated with warmer interstadials that
cluster in the period c.85–75kyr.
Lake Chad has been a climatological barometer of the ancient Sahara. Present-
day Lake Chad is miniscule compared with the Lake Chad of 120,000 years ago,
which filled a vast basin larger than the Caspian Sea. The Sahara began to dry up
sometime before 2,700 BP for reasons that are still not understood. The Sahel
became an undulating grassy steppe fluctuating between 200 and 400km in length,
bordered on the north by the Sahara and to the south by forests. The Sahel has
experienced a climate characterized by irregular and sometimes severe droughts for
the past 2,500 years.
Between 1 million and 10,000 years ago, a period that more or less corres-
ponded with the Fourth Glacial, humans made their way to Eurasia, Australia, and
the Americas (Burroughs 2005). Hassan (2009: 48) identifies dispersals into southwest
Asia at about 50,000–40,000 years ago and into northern Europe around 40,000
years ago which apparently were “triggered by very severe cold conditions 50kyr,”
to Australia around 38,000 to 30,000 years ago, which “coincided with a period
of frequent millennial changes in climate starting before 40kyr until 36kyr,” to
northeastern Siberia around 20,000 years ago, “during the Last Glacial Maximum
(LGM), perhaps in response to episodic amelioration in climate during that cold
phase,” and across the Bering Strait to the Americas possibly “during the Younger
Dryas 13,000 to 11,600 years ago.” According to Hoffecker (2009: 127), a “wave
of innovation and change ensued between 30,000 years ago, when the Neanderthals
disappeared, and the maximum cold of the last glacial period about 23,000–21,000
years ago.” Technological innovations that occurred during this period included
large settlements in northern Eurasia and large dwelling units with multiple fireplaces
in south Siberia, at sites near Lake Baikal, as well as kilns used to fire ceramics in
parts of northern Eurasia.
As this discussion indicates, in the end, the Neanderthals joined many other
branches of the diverse evolutionary tree of hominids and became extinct. Notes
Potts (2010: 52):
Over the past three million years in particular, powerful climate swings would
have led to large fluctuations in supplies of crucial resources, contributing to
occasional crashes in population size. All of these factors can influence the
survival or extinction of species.
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50 The archaeology of climate change
A lesson of the hominid fossil record is that extinction related to climate change
is as familiar to our own ancestral line as it is to other species. The critical question,
of course, is how it will figure in the hominid future.
As the foregoing review indicates, the progressive interaction of our biology with
climate/environments in conjunction with human interaction led us on a biosocial
course of brain capacity expansion and cultural production, which, in turn, allowed
our full dispersal to most ecological zones on the planet. We have become the
beings we now see in the mirror through our interactions with shifting climate/
environments, and, as the capacities born of this interface grew, especially the cul-
tural capacities, we have, in turn, shaped the world around us. When carried further,
however, with the continued development of the transformative capacity of culture
(particularly of technology), there has emerged an ability for humans to not only
adapt to varied environments, but to adversely impact and degrade the climate/
environment at the peril of our own extinction.
Alluding to the disappearance of various species of mega-fauna (i.e., large animal
species) in the Americas and Australia at the end of the Pleistocene, Potts (1996:
216) maintains:
Over the course of the past 10,000 years or so, generally referred to as the
Holocene and viewed by many as essentially the Fourth Interglacial, Earth’s climate,
as noted in Chapter 1, has been relatively stable (although hardly rigid and
unchanging). Indeed, it would be appropriate to refer to much of the Holocene as
a period of constrained but shifting stability. Anthropogenic climate change in very
recent times, however, has begun to play havoc with this relative stability. This
is not an entirely new set of circumstance for our species. Certainly, prior to the
Holocene, humanity, over the course of the last glacial, was in a climatically pre-
carious situation. Stanley Ambrose (1998: 623) refers to the Late Pleistocene as an
era of “bottlenecks and releases” during which many humans perished but some
survived in large tropical refuges, such as in equatorial Africa. He maintains that the
Fourth Glacial was preceded by 1,000 years of the coldest temperatures of the Later
Pleistocene (c. 71,000–70,000 years ago) which may have been caused by the
eruption of the Toba volcano in Sumatra, resulting in the decimation of most
modern human populations of the day.
Lower sea levels proved to be beneficial for some sectors of humanity, in
that they facilitated the movement of populations that had to migrate in order
to gradually accommodate their increasing numbers. According to Burroughs
(2005: 102):
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The archaeology of climate change 51
In particular, in the Persian Gulf, around India, and most of all, down through
southeast Asia and Indonesia, the linking of many of the islands (which we
now call Sundaland) greatly assisted human mobility. The drop in sea level
after 85kya, and the low level between 67 and 61kya may have played a
crucial part in the movement out of Africa and the early arrival of humans in
Australia, although they still had to overcome the considerable challenge of
sailing across the much reduced Timor Sea. The same pattern applies to the
land bridge that formed between northeastern Asia and Alaska (termed
Beringia), which is regarded to be the only feasible route for modern humans
to reach North America.
The retreat of ice sheets allowed humans to penetrate North America and
Scandinavia (Hoffecker 2009). The subsequent rise of the sea levels, however,
eradicated the Bering Land Bridge between Siberia and Alaska possibly by 11,000
years ago (Hoffecker 2009). In the case of North America, a corridor developed
between the eastern and western ice sheets that allowed humans to penetrate into
the interior of North America and eventually make their way to South America.
A sea level drop of some 90m exposed a 300m-wide relatively flat section of the
continental shelf, the now submarine plain bordering the continent, which allowed
humans to penetrate the western coast of North America.
Climate change continued to be somewhat erratic at the end of the Fourth
Glacial, but overall the climate was warmer, facilitating the peopling of the New
World from Canada to the tip of South America, and from the Atlantic to the Pacific
coasts.
In retrospect, it appears that while fluctuations in climate nearly wiped out the
entire hominid line at certain points in time, these shifts also allowed the dispersal
of humans to new geographic zones, a dissemination that probably played a role in
the survival of our species despite devastating local climate/environmental upheavals.
suggested that a colder, dryer climate forced humans and animals to retreat
to where the best sources of water remained and where hunting and
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52 The archaeology of climate change
In a similar vein, Fagan (2013: 40) argues that the drought cycle that contributed to
a shift from a reliance on nuts and wild grasses to the domestication of plants and
animals in the Middle East led to the rapid spread of farming settlements throug-
hout the region as well as the eastern Mediterranean coast as the “cold snap and
accompanying droughts eased.”
Climatic factors also have played an important role in human relations with the
seas. Archaeologist Lewis Binford (1968) asserted that global change in sea level in
the post-Pleistocene era contributed to greater reliance on fish and other aquatic
resources, which in turn led to sedentarization in areas rich in marine resources and
to rapid population growth in certain regions based on stable, protein-rich diets.
Conversely, population pressures in these regions forced some populations into
more marginal environments where they shifted to food production as a means of
retaining or replicating standards of living in richer environments.
In a somewhat alternative perspective, Donald O. Henry (1989) argues that
environmental changes prompted by global climatic oscillations forced human
populations to gradually shift to farming near the end of the Fourth Glacial, some
10,000–13,000 years ago. According to Ian Whyte (2008: 56), the:
onset of the drier conditions that characterized the Younger Dryas period may
have forced the later Natufians [the name given to the sedentary hunter-
gatherers living in the Eastern Mediterranean between about 12,500 and
10,200 years ago] to switch from harvesting wild cereals to the deliberate
cultivation of these same crops in the Fertile Crescent.
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The archaeology of climate change 53
It is clear that even within relatively uniform global climatic events, societies
respond in both parallel and diverse ways. Moreover, the same society at
one point in time may respond in a positive direction to the input and at
another point negatively.
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54 The archaeology of climate change
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The archaeology of climate change 55
2. The establishment of a new resource base which alleviates social inequities and
leads to a reversion to a simpler society.
3. The occurrence of some insurmountable catastrophe.
4. Insufficient response to circumstances.
5. Presence of other complex societies.
6. Intruders.
7. Class conflict, societal contradictions, elite mismanagement or self-serving
behavior.
8. Social dysfunctions that contribute to societal disintegration.
9. Mystical factors such as societal decadence or loss of social vitality.
10. Chance concatenation of events such as invasion by warrior tribal societies or
the coming to power of ineffectual rulers.
11. Economic factors.
Tainter notes that there is considerable overlap in the factors listed above. He
argues that two major explanations for the collapse of civilizations are subsumed
under the theme of resource depletion, namely “the gradual deterioration or
depletion of a resource base (usually agriculture), often due to human mismanagement,
and the more rapid loss of resources due to an environmental fluctuation or climatic
shift” (Tainter 1988: 44). Various scholars have sought to link climate and resource
depletion with the collapse of civilizations. Below is a brief review of the connection
between climate and resource depletion in selected places cited by Tainter.
The American Southwest:
Karl Butzer has argued in a number of studies . . . that the collapse of the
Old Kingdom, and other political catastrophes of Egyptian history, can
be traced at least in part to variations in Nile flood levels, and thus to
precipitation patterns in the interior of Africa. . . . [He] sees Nile fluctuations
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56 The archaeology of climate change
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The archaeology of climate change 57
mortar and plaster also added to CO2 emissions. According to Dincauze (2000), the
massive deforestation that has occurred in various regions of the world for several
millennia has contributed to climate change. Ruddiman contends that methane
emissions began to increase around 5,000 years ago as various populations started to
irrigate for rice production and to raise livestock. Livestock produces methane from
both manure and gaseous belches. The clearing of forests and burning of grasslands
also produced methane, as did human waste. Of course, as these human-driven
transformations of the environment were taking place, people were unaware of the
larger impacts on the planet. Had human technologies remained at these levels,
those impacts would have been limited. This is not what occurred, however.
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58 The archaeology of climate change
(2007), however, contends that in the light of the environmental and societal
resilience of the Mayan civilization, political, economic, and ideological factors
internal to the composition of that society may have been of greatest significance.
Nevertheless, along with these factors, he, along with Lisa J. Lucero and Joel D.
Gunn, argues that the Mayan royal rulers who managed the supply of water for
farming public ceremonies, games, festivals, feasts and other socially integrative
activities by means of an elaborate system of reservoirs in the interior of their
kingdom lost their legitimacy as the water supply seriously diminished as a result of
a series of droughts during the Terminal Classic period (c. AD 800–950) (Lucero
et al. 2011).
Farther south, the Moche civilization flourished along the arid north coast
of Peru between AD 100 and 800 (Fagan 1999). This state society relied upon an
elaborate agricultural system that captured water from the Andes and fed a complex
irrigation system. The Moche also consumed anchovy and other fresh fish that they
extracted from the Pacific Ocean. Ultimately, however, El Niño contributed to
the collapse of yet another ecologically fragile empire that existed in a generally
parched environment (Fagan 1999). There had been droughts between AD 534 and
AD 540 and again between AD 563 and AD 594. In addition, El Niño produced
devastating floods that polluted springs and streams, strained sanitation systems, and
eroded fertile fields (Fagan 1999). These multiple climate-related assaults eventually
overwhelmed local resiliency, leading to household, community and societal
collapse.
Climate change also appears to have been a factor in the collapse of the Anasazi
culture of the American Southwest. Due to droughts and El Niño events, the
Anasazi abandoned sites such as Mesa Verde in southwest Colorado and Chaco
Canyon in northwest New Mexico in the twelfth century (Fagan 1999). Today the
Pueblos Indians, descendants of the Anasazi, live in a series of villages scattered
about the Rio Grande Valley of New Mexico, three mesas in northeast Arizona
(in the case of the Hopi), and the villages of Laguna and Acoma in western New
Mexico. As has occurred in multiple times and places, as complex social systems lose
their resiliency and collapse under pressure from climate/environment changes,
people, often less densely gathered together and in simpler social arrangements,
manage to survive in the shadow of fallen hierarchical social structures. The lesson
of this repeated pattern is difficult to gauge because the megacities of today are far
greater than anything seen in human history. It is hard to imagine societal collapse
of globally connected nation states in the contemporary era that would not lead to
a significant drop in the surviving populations.
The Medieval Warm Period (c. AD 900–1200) or the Medieval Climatic
Optimum has been the topic of much scholarly discussion. Apparently, actual
warming varied regionally during this period, with some places, such as Scandinavia,
Greenland, China, the Sierra Nevada Mountains in California, the Canadian
Rockies, and Tasmania experiencing warming, and other places, such as the US
Southwest, southern Europe along the Mediterranean, and parts of South America,
not experiencing warming (Hassan 2009). The Vikings took their long boats to
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The archaeology of climate change 59
Iceland, Greenland, and Vinland (North America) during the Medieval Warm
Period. The population in northern Europe probably doubled between AD 1100
and 1300 during the Medieval Warm Period (Morris 2011: 363). Conversely, the
Medieval Warm Period adversely impacted the Islamic core, where population size
may have declined by 10 percent (Morris 2011: 364). By contrast, some areas of
North Africa flourished during this period.
The Little Ice Age commenced around AD 1250 and lasted until around the
mid-nineteenth century. While McGovern (1994: 141) acknowledges that climate
change played a major role in the extinction of the Norse colonies in Greenland,
he does not believe it was the only factor involved, noting that they “had failed
to make full use of resources locally available, while continuing to deform the
subsistence economy to produce inedible prestige goods for export.” McGovern
(1994: 154) further argues that the fate of the Norse colonies serves as a lesson for
large portions of humanity which are “pursuing limited, but intensive strategies
of exploitation requiring precarious balancing of distant resource zones and
markets,” processes that are inherent in the capitalist world system. The Low
Countries were buffeted by storm surges during the fourteenth and fifteenth
centuries, and a seven-year period of heavy summer rains devastated farming,
resulting in the deaths of some 1.5 million people (Fagan 2009a). According to
Fagan (2009a: 204):
The climax of the Little Ice Age came in the late 17th century, during the
Maunder Minimum, a period of reduced sunspot activity. This was when
the Thames froze and fairs thrived on the ice. . . . The cooler and unsettled
centuries saw major fluctuations in Alpine glaciers, as well as a revolution in
agriculture that first took hold in the Netherlands, then Britain. The incidence
of famine was reduced, except in much of France, where bread shortages,
caused in part by poor harvests, contributed to the unrest of the French
Revolution.
The Little Ice Age ended in the 1850s as the Industrial Revolution was well
under way and already dependent on coal as an energy and warming source (Fagan
1999). Generally, the world entered a new era of warmer temperatures and less
dramatic climatic swings, although occasional cold spells occurred, including three
severe winters between 1939 and 1942 which interfered with Nazi invasions in
France and the Soviet Union (Fagan 1999). Behringer (2010: 174) argues that if was
not for rapid industrialization, which contributed significantly to global warming,
the “Little Ice Age was heading for another ‘cold maximum’, all the more intense
because of the volcanic eruption on Krakatoa in Indonesia.”
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60 The archaeology of climate change
Comparative sociologist Sing C. Chew (2001, 2007) has discussed in detail the
idea of Dark Ages which various civilizations, including the Mesopotamian, ancient
Egyptian, Harappan in northwestern India, and Mycenaean Greece, as well as
the vast Roman Empire, historically encountered in the wake of periods of rapid
climatic, ecological, and social upheaval. However, these Dark Ages, such as the
one during the Middle Ages in western Europe when socioeconomic activities
broke down, allowed for the rejuvenation of the environment. Thus, “In certain
ways, the Dark Age of Antiquity was a rebalancing of Nature–Culture relations
following centuries of anthropogenic stress of the landscape” (Chew 2007: 165). In
the past, climatic and ecological crises often prompted populations to disperse to
new locations which had previously been either uninhabited or sparsely populated
by human beings. In contrast, catastrophic climate change in the present world may
not leave many options for adversely affected populations to relocate to uninhabited
areas. As Chew (2007: 181) so eloquently argues:
In the present, societal collapse, expressed as failed states, economic crises, mass
migrations of populations, and intense humanitarian crises, is not likely to be solely
a consequence of climate change, but rather the multiple blows of climate-induced
turmoil in interactions with diverse anthropogenic ecocrises that overwhelm the
ability of states, communities, and households to adapt. Indeed, Tattersall (2012:
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The archaeology of climate change 61
230) somberly reminds us that “behaviors that a resilient environment could simply
absorb when Homo sapiens was thin on the ground became hugely damaging to
human populations when there are seven billion of us around.” However, it is
important to note that the more affluent sectors of the world, particularly in the
developed countries, but increasingly among the rising super-rich and middle classes
of the developing world, are having a more drastic destructive impact on the planet
than the billions of indigenous peoples, peasants, and poor urbanites who struggle
for their existence from day to day. These are the conditions of our world today, a
world that anthropologists among and with others are struggling to understand and
to develop meaningful responses.
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62 The archaeology of climate change
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