UGANDA BUSINESS AND TECHNICAL EXAMINATIONS BOARD Business and Humanities Certificate Examinations _ APRIL-MAY 2022 SERIES PROGRAMME CERTIFICATE IN INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY PAPER NAME INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS I PAPER CODE CPSi11 YEAR I, SEMESTER I 2% HOURS WEDNESDAY, 27™ APRIL, 2022 INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES This paper consists of two sections A and B. Section A is compulsory and carries 20 marks. Section B consists of six questions. Answer only four questions from this section. All questions carry equal marks. All answers to each question should begin on a fresh page. Do not write on this question paper. All answers and rough work should be done in the official answer booklet provided. Non-programmable electronic calculators, mathematical tables, and graph papers may be used for this examination. 9. Read other instructions on the answer booklet. SNAKMAKHNE © 2022 Uganda Business and Technical Examinations Board Turn OverSECTION A - (20 MARKS) Answer all questions in this section Question One (2) Outline two characteristics of a good questionnaire. (02 marks) (b) _ Differentiate between positive correlation and negative correlation. (02 marks) (©) __ State two factors that affect the accuracy of a sample. (02 marks) (d) Define the term Hypothesis testing as used in statistical inference. (02 marks) (e) A bank on average dishonors five cheques a day. What is the probability that three cheques will be dishoured on a given day. (02 marks) (f) Company x made the following revenues in UGX (millions) during the year 2017; 10, 12, 15, 20, 60. Compute the geometric mean of the revenues earned. (04 marks) (g) __ Distinguish between inclusive and exclusive classes. (02 marks) (h) Identify two qualities of a good measure of dispersion. (02 marks) () The following quartiles were obtained from a survey in 2017. Q; = 199.75,Q2 = 382.25, and Q; = 1018.75. Compute Bowel’s measure of skewness. (02 marks) SECTION B - (80 MARKS) ‘Answer only four questions from this section. Question Two (a) Explain three ways of measuring probability. (06 marks) (b) A group of 10 candidates is about to sit for an examination. They will subsequently be listed in descending order by reference to the marks scored. Assuming that there are no tied positions with two or more candidates having the same work, calculate the number of different possible results for the top 6 positions. (04 marks) (©) Table 1 shows the summary of alcohol consumption in kk club. Table 1 Crates 30 50 80 100 120 160 Probability x 0.15 0.45, 0.18 0.12 0.05 | Use the data in Table 1 to find the; (i) Value of x. (02 marks) (ii) Expected daily sales. (04 marks) (iii) Variance of the daily sales. (02 marks)(iv) Standard deviation of the daily sales. (02 marks) Question Three (a) (b) Give three distinctions between correlation and regression. (06 marks) Table 2 shows data provided by the production manager showing the relationship between output in tons of a factory and the corresponding costs (in UGX’ 000) of production for the year 2016. Table 2 5 7 Cost (UGX'000) | 20 | 24 | 28 | 32 | 38 | 42 | 52 | 48 Output (Tons) | 250 | 270 | 290 | 310 + 330 | 350 | 400 | 360 () State the dependent and independent variables. (02 marks) (il) Determine the linear regression relationship between the cost and output. (08 marks) (iil) Predict the output produced by the factory if UGX 50,000 is paid. (04 marks) Question Four (@) (b) © (i) Define the term probability. (02 marks) (li) Outline two importance of probability. (02 marks) Explain the following terms as they are used in probability theorem; (i) Statistical experiments. (02 marks) (ii) Outcomes of experiments. (02 marks) (iii) Mutually exclusive events. (02 marks) (iv) Independent events. (02 marks) ‘A wholesaler of Coca cola company limited in Bududa stocks Fanta (F), Coca cola (C), Rwenzori (R) and Sprite (S), all in crates and boxes of 25 bottles. Currently in stock are 50 boxes of R, 200 crates of F, 80 crates of S, and 340 crates of C. If a crate or box is picked at random for inspection, what is the Probability that it is of; (Coca cola. (02 marks) (ii) Rwenzori. (02 marks) (il) Not Sprite. (02 marks) (iv) _ Neither Fanta nor Sprite. (02 marks) Turn OverQuestion Five Your facilitator of introduction to probability and statistics has given you an assignment to present to your fellow classmates the topics “Areas of application of statistical data” and “Methods of data presentation”. The purpose of the presentation is to improve on the students’ performance in the same course unit. (a) Explain six business areas where statistical data is efficiently used. (12 marks) (b) Discuss four methods that students should use when presenting data. (08 marks) Question Six Table 3 shows the outstanding balances (in UGX" 000) of small business accounts in Stanbic bank. Table 3 _ [ Balances UGX 000) [5-10 [10-15] 15-20 | 20-25 | 25 - 30 | Business Number 2 | 9 29 54 i (a) _ Use Table 3 to determine; (i) Median balance to the nearest UGX. (05 marks) (ii) Quadratic mean balance to the nearest UGX. (05 marks) (iii) Interquartile range balance to the nearest UGX. (04 marks) (b) Draw a histogram and use it to estimate the modal outstanding balance. (06 marks) Question Seven (a) Explain the following terms as used in statistics; (i) Qualitative random variable. (02 marks) (ii) Inferential Statistics. (02 marks) (ili) Personal interviews. (02 marks) (iv) Percentiles. (02 marks) (b) You have been provided with the information in Table 4 showing wages paid by XV limited for seven days of the third week of January 2021. Table 4 Day Mon | Tue | Wed | Thur | Fri | Sat | Sun Wages (UGX"000)| 300 456 | 521 | 100 | 500 | 670 | 700 (i) Represent the data on a pie chart. (10 marks) (ii) Outline two reasons why pie charts are regarded as good methods of data presentation. (02 marks) END