Eco Project
Eco Project
EDUCATION
In this article, we examine the events that led to the collapse Lehman
Brothers.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
• Lehman Brothers had humble beginnings as a dry-goods store,
but eventually branched off into commodities trading and brokerage
services.
• The firm survived many challenges but was eventually brought
down by the collapse of the subprime mortgage market.
• Lehman first got into mortgage-backed securities in the early
2000s before acquiring five mortgage lenders.
• The firm posted multiple, consecutive losses and its share price
dropped.
• Lehman filed for bankruptcy on September 15, 2008, with $639
billion in assets and $619 billion in debt.1 2
Lehman Brothers History
Lehman Brothers had humble origins, tracing its roots to a general
store founded by German brothers Henry, Emanuel and Mayer
Lehman in Montgomery, Alabama, in 1844. Farmers paid for their
goods with cotton, which led the company into the cotton trade. After
Henry died, the other Lehman brothers expanded the scope of the
business into commodities trading and brokerage services.2
The firm prospered over the following decades as the U.S. economy
grew into an international powerhouse. But Lehman face plenty of
challenges over the years. The company survived the railroad
bankruptcies of the 1800s, the Great Depression, two world wars, a
capital shortage when it was spun off by American Express (AXP) in
1994 in an initial public offering, and the Long Term Capital
Management collapse and Russian debt default of 1998.3
Despite its ability to survive past disasters, the collapse of the U.S.
housing market ultimately brought Lehman to its knees, as its
headlong rush into the subprime mortgage market proved to be a
disastrous step.
The Prime Culprit
The company, along with many other financial firms, branched into
mortgage-backed securities and collateral debt obligations. In 2003
and 2004, with the U.S. housing bubble well under way, Lehman
acquired five mortgage lenders along with BNC Mortgage and Aurora
Loan Services, which specialized in Alt-A loans. These loans were
made to borrowers without full documentation.4
At first, Lehman's acquisitions seemed prescient. Lehman's real estate
business enabled revenues in the capital markets unit to surge 56%
from 2004 to 2006. The firm securitized $146 billion of mortgages in
2006—a 10% increase from 2005. Lehman reported record profits
every year from 2005 to 2007. In 2007, it announced $4.2 billion in
net income on $19.3 billion in revenue.4
The Colossal Miscalculation
In February 2007, Lehman's stock price reached a record $86.18 per
share, giving it a market capitalization of nearly $60 billion.5 But by
the first quarter of 2007, cracks in the U.S. housing market were
already becoming apparent. Defaults on subprime mortgages began to
rise to a seven-year high. On March 14, 2007, a day after the stock
had its biggest one-day drop in five years on concerns that rising
defaults would affect Lehman's profitability, the firm reported record
revenues and profit for its fiscal first quarter. Following the earnings
report, Lehman said the risks posed by rising home delinquencies
were well contained and would have little impact on the firm's
earnings.6
The Beginning of the End
Lehman's stock fell sharply as the credit crisis erupted in August 2007
with the failure of two Bear Stearns hedge funds. During that month,
the company eliminated 1,200 mortgage-related jobs and shut down
its BNC unit.5 It also closed offices of Alt-A lender Aurora in three
states. Even as the correction in the U.S. housing market gained
momentum, Lehman continued to be a major player in the mortgage
market.
In 2007, Lehman underwrote more mortgage-backed securities than
any other firm, accumulating an $85 billion portfolio, or four times its
shareholders' equity. In the fourth quarter of 2007, Lehman's stock
rebounded, as global equity markets reached new highs and prices for
fixed-income assets staged a temporary rebound. However, the firm
did not take the opportunity to trim its massive mortgage portfolio,
which in retrospect, would turn out to be its last chance.5
Hurling Toward Failure
In 2007, Lehman's high degree of leverage was 31, while its large
mortgage securities portfolio made it highly susceptible to the
deteriorating market conditions. On March 17, 2008, due to concerns
that Lehman would be the next Wall Street firm to fail following Bear
Stearns' near-collapse, its shares plummeted nearly 48%.7
By April, after an issue of preferred stock—which was convertible
into Lehman shares at a 32% premium to its concurrent price—
yielded $4 billion, confidence in the firm returned somewhat.7
However, the stock resumed its decline as hedge fund managers
began to question the valuation of Lehman's mortgage portfolio.
On June 7, 2008, Lehman announced a second-quarter loss of $2.8
billion, its first loss since it was spun off by American Express, and
reported that it raised another $6 billion from investors by June 12.5
According to David P. Belmont, "The firm also said it boosted its
liquidity pool to an estimated $45 billion, decreased gross assets by
$147 billion, reduced its exposure to residential and commercial
mortgages by 20%, and cut down leverage from a factor of 32 to
about 25."7
0 seconds of 2 minutes, 38 secondsVolume 75%
2:38
Dalio: Are we repeating a historical financial crisis?
Too Little, Too Late
These measures were perceived as being too little, too late. Over the
summer, Lehman's management made unsuccessful overtures to a
number of potential partners. The stock plunged 77% in the first week
of September 2008, amid plummeting equity markets worldwide, as
investors questioned CEO Richard Fuld's plan to keep the firm
independent by selling part of its asset management unit and spinning
off commercial real estate assets. Hopes that the Korea Development
Bank would take a stake in Lehman were dashed on September 9, as
the state-owned South Korean bank put talks on hold.8
The devastating news lead to a 45% drop in Lehman's stock, along
with the firm's debt suffering a 66% increase in credit-default swaps.8
Hedge fund clients began abandoning the company, with short-term
creditors following suit. Lehman's fragile financial position was best
emphasized by the pitiful results of its September 10 fiscal third-
quarter report.7
Facing a $3.9 billion loss, which included a $5.6 billion write-down,
the firm announced an extensive strategic corporate restructuring
effort. Moody's Investor Service also announced that it was reviewing
Lehman's credit ratings, and it found that the only way for Lehman to
avoid a rating downgrade would be to sell a majority stake to a
strategic partner. By September 11, the stock had suffered another
massive plunge (42%) due to these developments.7
With only $1 billion left in cash by the end of that week, Lehman was
quickly running out of time. Over the weekend of September 13,
Lehman, Barclays, and Bank of America (BAC) made a last-ditch
effort to facilitate a takeover of the former, but they were ultimately
unsuccessful.7 On Monday, September 15, Lehman declared
bankruptcy, resulting in the stock plunging 93% from its previous
close on September 12.