1ESG
1ESG
Equity
Economic
2
• Prevent pain, future gain
associated with investment
– Machiavelli
"And it ought to be remembered that there is nothing more difficult
to take in hand, more perilous to conduct, or more uncertain in its
success, than to take the lead in the introduction of a new order of
things. Because the innovator has for enemies all those who have
done well under the old conditions, and lukewarm defenders in
those who may do well under the new.” (The Prince)
11
Institutional Problems
• Annual appropriation vs. multi-year
• Optimistic bias; pessimistic bias
• Tax rate vs Tax yield
• Tax cuts and the Byzantine Empire
• Willie Sutton principle
• Tax exemptions, Tax expenditures
12
Transportation
• Infrastructure investment, operation, and maintence
• Regulation
– Safety
– Worker welfare
– Environment
– Prices
13
Transportation
• Gasoline tax: national vs. state
• VMT tax
• ‘Mitigation” as a source of funding
• CO2 Tax
• Petroleum windfall profits tax
• Who really pays?
• Yield vs. Policy Incentive
14
Institutional Structure
• National (federal)
• Regional (state)
• Local (city, town, county)
Annual Appropriation
• Administration and finance; OMB / Ways and Means
• Same as last year plus inflation
Capital Investment
• Bond authorization; legislative and referendum
• Theory
• Practical politics
Need for Competency
• Agency structure
• Legislative committee
Changing Need for Resources
• Increase revenue within budget vs. increase tax
• Introduce technology; reduce cost; reduce labor
• Contract out; lower labor cost
• No destructive competition; low innovation; low
investment
• Constituency building process – costs are benefits;
surrogate customers = producers
Program Development
• Political will
– Short term benefits
– Long term benefits
– Discount rate
• New has few supporters
• Requires different look at silos
• Generate new structure
Program Implementation
• Maintain political will
• Use mix of technical and distributive criteria
Silos
• Highway categories
• Highway vs. transit (public $)
• Capital vs. operating
• Private payments - good and bad
• Highway transit – apples/oranges
• Public / private (auto cost)
• Highway transit
• Airports
• Rail inter-city passenger; freight
• Bus inter-city
Rules within silos; Rules across silos
Financial Evaluation
• Ways and means
• Bonding
• Federal grants
• Loans
• User finance
• Land use contributions
• EIR and infrastructure adequacy
Federal Role
• Philosophical, trade, etc.
• Job policy, constituencies
• Peanut butter (Nutella, Marmite, Dulce de leche)
• Peanut butter avoidance
• Categories
• Flexibility
Project Purposes and Origins
• Capacity for service quality
• Capacity for quantity, growth
• Access to intermodal facilities, ports
• Access to land use
• Investments to reduce operations costs
• Patronage (municipal, other)
Operations & Maintenance
vs. Capital
• Reasons to fund capital differently
• Distortions from funding capital differently
Use of Models; evaluation
• CTPS
• Conservation Law Foundation
Programming
• Bridges across the Nile
• Interstate highway system
• MPO and flexibility
– long-range plan
– transportation improvement plan
– annual element
• Fiscal constraint
– over-programming
– Batching
– Instructions
• NEPA and lead time
Project Purposes and Origins
Local match: who decides?
• metropolitan planning organization: who really decides?
• surrogate customers
• Municipalities
• land owners, developers, builders
• Jack Sprat & wife
• CTPS: model doesn’t matter
• CLF: model does matter
• Referendum
Timeline and Degradation of the
Environmental Process into a Way of
Delaying Environmentally Beneficial Projects
a) Boston Transportation Planning Review: $1.5 Million, 18
months
b) Red Line extension: 6 years to begin construction
c) Big Dig: 20 years to begin construction
31
Design-Bid-Build vs. Design-Build
• Manage inputs vs. Manage outputs
• Agency Power, Engineering Firm, Optimism bias,
Pipeline
• Discount rate
• Baumol
• Tip of the Iceberg
32
“Cities and CO2: Two Views of Greenhouse Gas Emissions” has been
removed due to copyright restrictions.
Courtesy of Mikel Murga. Used with permission.
Courtesy of Mikel Murga. Used with permission.
Remember, from perspective of 1875,
both transit and autos are “new”.
1900 • Transit as a regulated utility
1916 • Federal highway funding
1920’s • Gasoline taxes dedication
• Turnpikes
1956 • Interstate highway process
– not local streets
– not maintenance
– not transit
36
Remember … (con’t)
37
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