2201.11192v2
2201.11192v2
5
New York University
6
WWF Switzerland
[email protected], [email protected]
Abstract of global anthropogenic emissions and contributes to driv-
ing up atmospherical carbon levels (IPCC 2019). Forests,
Forest biomass is a key influence for future climate, and especially tropical forests, also provide habitats for 80% of
the world urgently needs highly scalable financing schemes, land-based biodiversity and with the increasing risk and fre-
such as carbon offsetting certifications, to protect and restore
forests. Current manual forest carbon stock inventory meth-
quency of wildfires, droughts, and extreme weather, forest
ods of measuring single trees by hand are time, labour, and ecosystems are under severe pressure (Shi et al. 2021).
cost intensive and have been shown to be subjective. They To avoid planetary tipping points (Rockstöm et al. 2009)
can lead to substantial overestimation of the carbon stock and and maintain a stable and livable climate, mankind urgently
ultimately distrust in forest financing. The potential for im- need to reduce carbon emissions until 2050 and restore es-
pact and scale of leveraging advancements in machine learn- sential ecosystems (IPCC 2021). Forests and natural carbon
ing and remote sensing technologies is promising, but needs sequestration are important climate change mitigation strate-
to be of high quality in order to replace the current forest gies (Canadell and Raupach 2008) with a biophysical miti-
stock protocols for certifications.
gation potential of 5,380 MtCO2 per year on average until
In this paper, we present ReforesTree, a benchmark dataset 2050 (IPCC 2019).
of forest carbon stock in six agro-forestry carbon offsetting
sites in Ecuador. Furthermore, we show that a deep learning- Forestry is a large industry and the causes of deforesta-
based end-to-end model using individual tree detection from tion are mostly economically driven (FAO 2020) (Geist and
low cost RGB-only drone imagery is accurately estimating Lambin 2001). For the last 20 years, major conservation ef-
forest carbon stock within official carbon offsetting certifica- forts have been underway to mitigate and safeguard against
tion standards. Additionally, our baseline CNN model out- these losses. One of the global financing strategies is car-
performs state-of-the-art satellite-based forest biomass and bon offsets (Blaufelder et al. 2021). Initially, it started as
carbon stock estimates for this type of small-scale, tropical the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) under the Kyoto
agro-forestry sites. We present this dataset to encourage ma- Protocol, allowing governments and business organizations
chine learning research in this area to increase accountabil- from industrialized countries to invest in forestry in devel-
ity and transparency of monitoring, verification and reporting
(MVR) in carbon offsetting projects, as well as scaling global
oping countries by buying carbon credits to offset industrial-
reforestation financing through accurate remote sensing. ized emissions (FAO 2020) Several other independent bod-
ies have later developed official standards for verifying and
certifying carbon offsetting projects, such as the Gold Stan-
Introduction dard (GS) and the Verified Carbon Standard (VERRA). The
certification process for forest carbon offsetting projects is
The degradation of the natural world is unprecedented in hu- capital and labour intensive, especially due to the high cost
man history and a key driver of the climate crisis and the of manual monitoring, verification and reporting (MVR) of
Holocene extinction (Ceballos and Ehrlich 2018). Forests the forest carbon stock.
play a significant role in the planet’s carbon cycle, directly
impacting local and global climate through its biogeophysi- The carbon offsetting market is rapidly increasing and
cal effects and as carbon sinks, sequestering and storing car- expected to grow by a factor of 100 until 2050 due to
bon through photosynthesis (Griscom et al. 2017). high demand and available capital (Blaufelder et al. 2021).
However, the main obstacle is limited supply of offsetting
However, since the year 2000, we have lost 361 million ha
projects as forest owners lack upfront capital and market ac-
of forest cover, equivalent to the size of Europe, mainly in
cess (Kreibich and Hermwille 2021).
tropical areas (Hansen et al. 2013). This accounts for 18%
Recent research investigations (Badgley et al. 2021; West
Copyright © 2022, Association for the Advancement of Artificial et al. 2020) have shown that the current manual forest carbon
Intelligence (www.aaai.org). All rights reserved. stock practices systematically overestimate forestry carbon
offsetting projects with up to 29% of the offsets analyzed,
totaling up to 30 million tCO2e (CO2 equivalents) and worth
approximately $410 million. The overestimation was identi-
fied to come from subjective estimations and modeling of
the carbon stock baseline and of the project’s additionally
and leakage reporting. There is thus a need for higher quality
carbon offsetting protocols and higher transparency and ac-
countability of the MVR of these projects (Haya et al. 2020).
There are three key aspects that are important for the use
of remote sensing in MVR of forest carbon stock. One as-
pect is financial; using available and accessible technology
and sensors to lower the cost and upfront capital require-
ments for forest owners to get certified, especially in low
and middle-income countries. The second aspect is reducing
subjectivity in estimating carbon stock and increasing trust-
worthiness and transparency in the carbon offsetting certifi-
cation protocols. And lastly, the solutions need to be scalable Figure 1: Drone imagery of each site of the ReforesTree
due to the urgency of financing forest restoration, especially dataset with a resolution of 2cm/px. The red dots are the
in tropical regions. locations of the trees measured in field surveys, plotted to
Various verification bodies, new ventures, and academia make clear that the coverage of drone images were larger
are currently developing remote sensing technologies to au- than the field measured area.
tomate parts of the certification process of forestry carbon
offsetting projects (Narine, Popescu, and Malambo 2020;
Dao et al. 2019). Satellite imagery is increasing in qual-
ity and availability and, combined with state-of-the-art deep To summarize, with ReforestTree, we contribute the
learning and lidar, promises to soon map every tree on earth following: 1) the first publicly available dataset of trop-
(Hanan and Anchang 2020) and to enable forest above- ical agro-forestry containing both ground truth field data
ground biomass and carbon to be estimated at scale (Saatchi matched with high resolution RGB drone imagery at the in-
et al. 2011; Santoro et al. 2021). Compared to current man- dividual tree level and 2) a methodology for reducing the
ual estimates, these advancements reduce time and cost and current overestimation of forest carbon stock through deep
increase transparency and accountability, thus lowering the learning and aerial imagery for carbon offsetting projects.
threshold for forest owners and buyers to enter the mar-
ket (Lütjens, Liebenwein, and Kramer 2019). Nevertheless, Related Work
these algorithms risk additionally contributing to the system-
atic overestimation of carbon stocks, not reducing it, and Deep Learning for Remote Sensing
are not applicable for small-scale forests, below 10,000 ha In recent years, deep learning (DL), and especially deep con-
(White et al. 2018), (Global Forest Watch 2019). volutional neural networks (CNN) are increasing in popular-
Accurately estimating forest carbon stock, especially for ity for image analysis in the remote-sensing community (Ma
small scale carbon offset projects, presents several interest- et al. 2019), (Zhu et al. 2017). With the increase in compu-
ing machine learning challenges, such as high variance of tation power, larger datasets, transfer learning, and break-
species and occlusion of individual tree crowns. There are throughs in network architecture, DL models have outper-
many promising approaches, such as hyperspectral species formed conventional image processing methods in several
classification (Schiefer et al. 2020), lidar-based height mea- image tasks such as land use and land cover (LULC) classifi-
surements (Ganz, Käber, and Adler 2019) and individ- cation, segmentation and detection. Examples of deep super-
ual tree crown segmentation across sites (Weinstein et al. vised learning in remote sensing are the prediction of wild-
2020b). However, these applications have been developed fires (Yang, Lupascu, and Meel 2021), detection of invasive
mainly on datasets from temperate forests and, to the knowl- species (Bjorck et al. 2021). CNNs offer feature extraction
edge of the authors, there is no publicly available dataset of capabilities in recognizing patterns in both spatial and tem-
tropical forests with both aerial imagery and ground truth poral data, even with low resolution inputs. With recent ad-
field measurements. vances in meta and few shot learning these models can be
Here, we present ReforesTree, a dataset of six tropical trained and generalized on larger datasets and fine-tuned for
agroforestry reforestation project sites with individual tree local variance.
crown bounding boxes of over 4,600 trees matched with
their respective diameter at breast height (DBH), species, Manual Forest Inventory
species group, aboveground biomass (AGB), and carbon The standardized forest carbon stock inventory consists of
stock. This dataset represents ground truth field data mapped manually measuring and registering sample trees of a project
with low-cost, high-resolution RGB drone imagery to be site. Tree metrics such as diameter at breast height (DBH),
used to train new models for carbon offsetting protocols and height, and species are then put through scientifically devel-
for benchmark existing models. oped regression models called allometric equations to cal-
S ITE N O . OF N O . OF S ITE TOTAL TOTAL
NO . T REES S PECIES A REA AGB CO2 E
1 743 18 0.51 8 5
2 929 22 0.62 15 9
3 789 20 0.48 10 6
4 484 12 0.47 5 3
5 872 14 0.56 15 9
6 846 16 0.53 12 7
TOTAL 4463 28 3.17 66 40
Figure 2: The standard procedure for calculating the correct Table 1: Overview of the six project sites in Ecuador,
amount of carbon offsets to be certified for a reforestation as gathered in field measurements. Aboveground biomass
project. The tree metrics are collected from manual forest (AGB) is measured in metric tons and area in hectares.
inventory.