Scribd
Upload
12 views

IPS Unit-1

Probability engeneering 1

Uploaded by

amankumarojha0335
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
12 views

IPS Unit-1

Probability engeneering 1

Uploaded by

amankumarojha0335
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 61
Ord - 4 Basic Probabliity Random €2tPesimert \ Sample i Event (subset fe SAMPle SPacy ees alr ees Mutua Equauy Madetau exctasive. Akay exhadstive PAN B) =o % Peobabitity 2 > Let an event ‘A’ can lrafren ‘Mm wayx and ait im “" ways , ave being equauiy Aikely to occuy tun Probability ch Laprening t- evenk A dg: A>m™ Way x A + 1 ways Pe) u No. ay fevourable Cage Sessa Sige ase Te+ar no, f- care Pa = m Q PCa) = n M+y M+y Po => PAD + PCAD M+n mtn omy Bl Note t- TRe Paobabitity 4 Laaprening de an event “AC colle cinoHigy = Vert “B’ ag cetoead Uapreneel ig cattect dee condition at Pookability At ie, PEA/B) 5 uusse A B ade Mat InclePendont. 2> What is 4Ue Proobabllity Het Hy a card 8 drawn de vandom gown au ordinasy Pack fy Card Hen we get: W A wed card Gy ~” Claboou diy one de de count card 52 cacds Black) {Blacks Sader Club a) ae Heart Diamond Im) [oO] ® [Aces | 13 ® ® 3) —> |Aces La aaj om oe 2,3.4,5, 6, #,8,35,10]— > Number Cardy OF p Gel carly “SE BES sz 2 dbp cclub card) = 1B 2 Sz 2 iy > pCcousk Card) = 12 5. @> # bag Contains 4 wuite , S Red and itr Blatks baus - GW wuak Is Hi Probabi Pandow ax ct red. ome BH watlte, one Is rh and livy Huot 3 baus arawn at db Prvbabitity Hak one ba black. $x 4 XAE ws pars 5 _& Pee rani : SF vs) Se 1K Ves Ue 7 TE KISK 4X UF BB Gx we = KK x GB @ te XIX ens = BK (LX EXER FE wy PCB) 5 ite q, icy \6 gs = 4xsxt = t%0 Sie uc 1 xBK EK 560 Gaede aE, BU BXEXLX *& AddiHon Meoxm *- > Prats) Por By) = PHD + PCB) HOU g ac mutuauy exciusive cand p(Aer B) oO > PUB) = PA) + PCB) ~ tla = PUA) + PLB) * muusirlication Tost PCB) PP CALBy = /PCAD que ALB coc Indefendot events. > PAB) = PCAD- PCB/A) C, tonditioncdt Probability Cdependens events D PCB) (A aud 8) = PCANB) = PAD {Inderendent events Y + drawing a card jpom Rack Suc Hat He card Q> Find Hua Probability a weet Shafted is King oy Quetn - > A> king = ae Baie pe = ee 13 Peppa. Aes 2a > P(AvrB) 2 ped + PBI = auras HK RePeated Priat i even S Th Wee Pebabittty of Hee ap Peacing dp an ee, : Nie In one tole ish Han dla Pebabilty de Mattoring exactiy 2" Hmes in tn! dotat 48 Po no. te success qe uw dailuce n> no. d- ria Yo no. d- YePetation o> The He Peobabitity dp Hee Worse ‘A coining Hin vace iS tig aud Norse 'B* tye wlak is Hee Probabidity , one ae tu, Uorse wide win cplqning Hee vace \s He van? > Pia = RA 87 Bij SS PUAN ga C88 contain 20 afftes and 10 oranges ad o> A Basket wwuida 5 aphles aud 3 oranges ve defective: Th a person jain oot 2 ak vaudowr , wwuat ot apple Is Hee “peobabitity fuctk eijuer bok 4 aud bom are goa? yp geod orrie =F =. = Arle = 20 deb = Orage = 10 pet =? > gro ooauge = 4 Now, A> Bola aot oprle Bo Bom ast god cged aprle / orauge) @ pox sx ME : 2, 19 X > PA) = 20 = won Sees EY = KEK Ue 10X35 e = as are er 15 30x 29 X GE isx2g @ et piensa Lex it : > pcp) = 22¢ & pax rix 26 aL = 20 a ae RS Co = 6 3OX29X SH a3s @ —_—_—_ wxer Th Born ace apple dud Bory aoe guool deen) > > PCAUB) = PCA) + PCBY— PLANB) - > ptavsy = 2% 22 y 2 Gs. Se, 30 cq BOes poe > pevusy = 190 | 931 10s 43s 43s 43S = 36 43S DS A Policemen fies 4 buuets on a dawik- Mme Probability Hay to dacoit will be lcitved by Out buttek Is 0-6 , So wwuak js Hie Probabltity Mat We dacot is shy alive 2 > RO ahive on hie lb, plvek , banat Bo au at 1 eos, vet ae independewt ee e woe . ped v evewty Bass wou . are > PAD = 2-06 FO4 Simdlarry | PCB) = o-@ Peo) = 0-4 PCD) = oe So, +H Probability adr dacott- belng ative Ae: > P(ANBA CAA) = PCA). PCB. PCO: Pedy e ins 2) = 90286 5 K conditionat Prebabitl ly oe 4uwo events associated orith Ap a random ance A A’ uudex occured ot > tek A and B be Same Sanrpie space Yun lu PrebabiUty by occu? tie condipon Hk B’ tha alzeady cated Hie coudiHoriar Probability exfpernun sk PCB) #0 is ‘A Gud “dd devoted by - p(A/B) = PCANB) : eae pa) #O PCB) Shadlany ; P(B/A) = PCANB) aes PAD Properties 4- condiponal paobabllity 2- > Let av” |B ae events 4 & Sawrie SPace ‘S” dy an excPerimans °(&) Ss °(4) ae ye Th A & B axe -Hwo events a Sample SPace ‘Sand F is’ any evenk dy 'S) Sau Haak PCF) #70 Huon p( rus 2 PN. pce) sk ( F ) PCF) * CR ee) ES EV oy - 4 Pref) ee () BS A pair de dies iy vonted bind PAB My A=2 aPrears on agleatk one dyes aud B = Sum dy ne. APPearing on dyes ‘a 86 > = A TEA 2 F285 ul2 BI, Bay, (26). Q,2), (3,20 4,2), (5225), (6,294 NA) = oe Bx POS) 2,49 03,3), (4,2), (Sy NIB) = 5 > n(ANB) = 2 A ae PANB 2/ *) Pat (Gaus eee 2136, Z PCB) 5/36 o> Two Marvels ast deawn Successively Aron a bo Containing 3 black aud + wlbte Marvels Find He Probability tak both We marvels ar black Wye He Aiast morvel jg nod Dequired behere Hee second drawing . D Aw Prcbablltiy de black marver In brsh drawy Bo ou 4 v " und ; a PA = 2 + > Pe C%ayee New, > By_ PANE) e(a)= POA) > &_ PANB) a tener 3 af P PANE = Ly 3 3° 4 alr Rena, PANE) = Lb = ang, A Heke > + bag fentaining 13 Hckets No aud anetus Heket is deawn = wirieut wy Hack is deawn Find Pacbabitity Maz be sePlacnunk vo Skew even number - > A= Ot Heke stows even M0- B= ws n 0 Now, > pw = 2 p{ 2s z a eRe Tn = P(ANB > t(8qy = TABS reanba's 1) - 20) P(A) Cre Pe yg. eng == Be oS Two Integers ae Setected ak 2andom rem (1-14) + The due sum jg even Se find He Probablilty Haak bol, numbers at odd- > A = Both No's are odd ee B= sum d- Nos Jk even odd -6 Now, > P(ANB) = A). & PCA) rg) Het, Spar = Se, meet GA S Teele gece ce ee = evn edd todd = odd pt co D> P (ANB) = be, aes Tay > cele) =, tCAAe pcey = be = 2 / ie, (6c, 5Co )/ ee, 6 As = c se Sen + Sey ¥ Random variable “Set dy oceecomes dy wandom Ww experiment” ca peat number +o acy > A rule dmal- assign A rule Is oultome is canted pandom Variable MNoduing bat et dunctlon h- Variable 07 rA is value Aor each out Come: es pandom Variable I—> = Coulindous " a * Discoete Raudom variable i> CPRVI => A random Variable 'X' with Can rake only Ainite values In an Intervet be He demain is caued DRV- EX:= t No. apPeasing on oP de dyes wun it Is Hha0wn - Gh No, ap Heerhone caatis vecelved Pex day Giy No. 4- Wustalces Pex Page. Disocte Probability Distribution /punaion i= CD&DJ L Poobabisity mats Ayunciten | PO i Sra) Se den ex t= 2 Conk ave dew Rr X x rx] 5 a ae {TT TH, HT, WHY roy] Ma | 2/4] Aca | POO | ail Ga] ES > MS Pixs od = Mn ye PCXi) = POX + POL) 4 POG) d= ie aig Ty a rvandon Variable 'X' can essume a discrete Set od Values Say X,, x ato Probability —p Bee XS —--- WIM YesPect +, Pp 2 Such dak BaP 4 Bas Pe 2 Le, n PG) S48 den j Tan, occurance de Vole "Gy Wi >aPective Pobabitiny “Ri is caueqd DPD de x’, % Distribution uncon om, Cammatative Disteibutien function :- => Thx’ is a’ zandom Variable dan Probability of P(X >%X) Is. Canted cammulaHve | dist>tbation Auncton CcpF) amd is denoted by: FO) PCX 2x) Now, 2 -O KX Lx, §, xy SX OR, Ooi f+ fh, SX 2%, Fit fla 4, He x Hy n Ne) ie Exi- Th 3B ong ar tossed } hs ae XM. HH aT Hue x Cle ate 28 He 4 3 3X, dy Hr POO 1s | 3s | 8 g ae noe THA Tye Tare ee cor 5 Hm KX KO “7g Onk “Aid Me & FOX) = one Bh Avo ht 8 Parsee Ss 262%X <3 Sms) ony, 143 +343 = gtr 36x <0 Expectaton of a Discsete random variable f- Th 'X' is aq. disczele 2andom variable wich assume Mat discete Set cy Values dike Orr eC none eC cole relPectve Poobabisity PLP, Ps --- Py Hun Hu exPectaHon OF expected value de ‘x! s 5 is 0 js " ECK) = Pr + XP, +.9GR --_. n 7 AL = GUND = > Py @e des Profeaty Ae GQ) The 'x' is a dandem Vartabte aud ‘er is censtout- Hay @) Etaxy = a ew) @G@) E(xX-4 = 0 > EU) - EU [mean > cong 2 EK) - Ab 7. 30 FE CX YY) Sy Gitxy VE CY) (i) Ey) = EX). EW ¥ variance 4 Staudard DeviaHon (Sd) ~ Tis var adr Discete szaudom variable CDRv) dere expected Value b- (x-4t)* Is Var = © Ctx-4u*J BS Vary eee Tews = & Cx*4 2b - 2uxy = € Ox + EY ~ 24 EO = EOD 4 ou Eur 4 u2- au = Oty oat Var = Ex) - Cewy* var > JERD- fewy> a 7 = wae ute a> A yandom Variable ‘x! has determing :- wK wy WAsan Wy variance

You might also like