MBA MK02 UNIT-1
MBA MK02 UNIT-1
A lot of vital information related to the preferences and requirements of the customer can be obtained with the help of marketing
analytics apart from the most obvious reason for marketing activities, i.e., increasing sales and generating leads. Most of
organizations are still not able to understand the potential of marketing analytics, despite having several advantages from it. The
following reasons induce the use of marketing analytics:
1) Getting information related to new marketing trends;
2) Identifying successful programs and evaluating their reasons for success;
3) Analysing trends over time;
4) Completely analyzing the ROI of each program and
5) Forecasting the outcomes.
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MARKET DATA
MEANING OF DATA
The term data has been derived from the Latin plural word “datum”. Any fact or figure that is collected by experience, experiment,
or observation within a computer system is termed as data.
According to Davis, “Data, raw material for information, is defined as groups of non-random symbols, which represent quantities,
actions, objects, etc. Data items in information systems are formed from the characters. These may be alphabetic, numeric, or
special symbols.”
Research can be carried-out with the help of two types of data, viz., primary data and secondary data. The former can be defined
as the data that is collected for the first time by the researcher, while the latter can be defined as the data that are already
collected and statistically processed for a particular event or problem. Secondary data are indirectly based on primary data or are
directly calculated from the primary data.
In other words, secondary data can be called as processed primary data. Based on the purpose of the research study, researchers
choose the primary or secondary data to find relevant solutions. The methods for collecting primary and secondary data are
different.
Marketing data is information that can be used to improve product development, promotion, sales, pricing, distribution, and
related strategies such as branding.
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5) Resources Available→ To obtain numerous and quick responses, the researcher might use a less suitable data collection
method. This is mainly applied when there is scarcity of resources (time, money, or manpower) on the part of the researcher.
The survey must be conducted with appropriate quality, so choosing such a data collection method in a hurry gives rise to
conflicts.
There are various alternatives available to the researcher such as, compromising a planned reduction in quality of data,
reducing the coverage, or selecting a less efficient method of choosing data. The researcher might also look for other sources
for cost savings and for acquiring resources.
6) Sampling Frame and the Population→ The selection of data collection methods are influenced by the quality and type of
sampling frame as well. For example, if survey is to be conducted on homeless people, a mail survey method is not at all a
suitable method. Mail surveys are appropriate when the target population includes shift workers or those who are
unavailable at their houses when the researcher can reach them.
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PRIMARY DATA
The data collected by the researcher himself for finding the solution of a particular problem or situation, is known as primary data.
This type of data is characterised by its originality as it is freshly collected. Various organisations conduct surveys, observations,
interviews, etc. and as a result generate primary data. Although secondary data provides a basic understanding to the research
problems, but sometime, it becomes necessary to collect primary data as the previously generated secondary data may not serve
the purpose.
Just like secondary data, researchers should also take additional care while collecting primary data such that it is accurate, reliable,
and unbiased. For collecting primary data, researchers need to take many decisions regarding proper selection of relevant sources,
sampling techniques, research tools, etc. To conduct any research effectively and produce valid results, researchers should collect
primary data as it contains current and exact information about the incident or event. One of the major benefits of primary data
is that its validity and reliability can be verified by other experts. There are many ways to collect primary data such as observation,
interviews, group discussions, case studies, etc.
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resembling a real life situation. This real life situation is simulated by using various mathematical equations and
variables. Researchers can determine the relation between different variables by altering one of the variables and
finding its effect on the others.
8) Depth Interview→ When a small group of respondents is intensively interviewed on individual basis so as to measure their
perception about a particular event, concept, idea or situation, it is called ‘Depth Interview’. For example, a depth
interview can be conducted to explore the reviews of participants of an organisational event about the nature of operations,
activities, its usefulness or changes required if any. Numerous topics or issues like strategic planning, program improvement,
problem identification, need analysis, etc., can be facilitated with the help of depth interviews. It is very helpful for getting
in-depth information from a relatively small number of participants, with the help of asking only open-ended questions.
As depth interviews allow researchers to intensely recognise the attitudes and perceptions of the respondents over a given
issue, they are majorly used for designing and evaluating extension programs.
9) Projective Technique→ Projective techniques are used in those areas of qualitative research where the researcher aims to
achieve a greater understanding of a subject. Under this technique, individuals are asked to express their opinions and feelings
on a situation or behaviour of another individual. Hypothetical situations and/or behavioural patterns of individuals are
created, which are ambiguous and vague in nature, and respondents are requested to express their beliefs and feelings on
the same.
In doing so, researchers are able to study the motivations and attitudes of the respondents themselves, thereby enabling
them to dig deeper into the research. The degree of ambiguity of the situation determines the depth of motivations and
emotions of the respondents that the researcher is able to unveil.
10) Focus Group→ Focus group is a method in which a group of respondents is selected so as to collect desired information
through a formal interactive session. It is also called ‘group interviewing method’. In this, the respondents response to the
questions of a moderator (sometimes researcher himself/herself) to discuss about the given topic or research problem.
Moderator asks specially designed questions so as to explore in-depth information. The information explored here is not
possible to collect from other techniques like surveys, observations or interviews.
Focus group method is characterised by the use of significant methods and strategies so as to collect and analyse the
information generated here. This makes focus group method a reliable source of data collection. This type of method is used
in areas like new product concept or new product development, improvement of production-line in an organisation,
motivation program for new employees, etc.
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4) Huge Quantity of Data→ Sometimes data collected through primary sources are in huge quantity. This large volume of data
leads to confusion about the accuracy of the information. The processing and analysis of the data becomes complex and
cumbersome due to large size.
5) Unwillingness to Answer→ Sometimes, participants do not cooperate in data collection by showing unwillingness to answer
or by giving wrong information. These factors act as hurdles in primary data collection and also reflect biasness in responses.
SECONDARY DATA
When a researcher uses data which are previously collected by some other researchers, institutions, or agencies for their own
purposes are called secondary data. The researchers collect secondary data either from an internal source of an organisation, or
from the published sources like reports and journals. The purposes of data may vary from that of the current study. Hence, few
portions of this data may be used for current research problem. It should be kept in mind that, secondary data needs to be
processed before applying in research; as the contexts of data may have changed and modified as per their own purposes.
For example, Total contribution of different sectors to the GDP are published by the government or some trade association, which
may be a secondary data source for analysing the current market position of a particular organisation within a particular industry.
That published data may provide the required information or fraction of it.
Secondary data helps in various activities in a research study, such as, generating new ideas, analysing the needs previously
addressed, understanding the tools and techniques used for similar cases, save the time, etc. Secondary data is given preference
in the situation where a research has to be completed in shorter time duration.
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related to the storage of materials and therefore suggesting suitable methods to be adopted.
2) External Secondary Data→ Sometimes, important secondary data is not found within the organisation. The secondary data
derived from different sources outside the organisation is known as “external secondary data”. Some important sources of
secondary data are as follows:
a) Libraries: Library is one of the external secondary data sources, which the researcher may use to collect the necessary
information for the research. Different kinds of libraries provide a range of data for the research. Books related to
research topics, journals, magazines, research papers, etc., are available in various libraries, maintained by different
organisations and institutions.
b) Literature: A variety of literature is available on different subjects and issues. These literatures are the result of extensive
research practices. There is plenty of valuable information in such kind of sources, which can be utilised for the resolution
of current research problems.
c) Periodicals: Business periodicals are published at regular time intervals, viz., yearly, half yearly, bi- monthly, fortnightly,
quarterly, etc. The secondary data are published by various government and non-government agencies regarding finance,
trade, transport, industry, labour, etc. These periodical contain various trends, future prospects, opportunities in market,
etc., which can be used by researchers in their current research problem.
d) References and Bibliography: The references and bibliography of a particular research or journal can be a useful resource
for deriving secondary data related to specific issue. Researchers can take a huge amount of data which can then be
analysed to get deeper insight.
e) Census and Registration Data: Data collected through census and different registration programs may become very
useful in deriving secondary data. As this data is collected through extensive effort and field work, it contains the
appropriate information about various issues like, agriculture, trade, transport, banking, etc.
f) Trade Associations: Large amount of useful data may be derived from trade associations as these contain the relevant
information about the changes and happenings in the industry. The information from one trade association is exchanged
with other trade association for updating the information content. Research firms gain the access to different information
from these associations.
g) Government Departments: The information available from government departments may be utilized as secondary data
in research process. Government departments can provide various information regarding position and growth of different
sectors of an economy like finance, banking, trade and transport, agriculture, etc.
h) Private Sources: There are many organisations which publish the statistically processed data for further use. These are
the private institutions which perform primary research about particular events or situations and compile the final facts
and figures. Some of the examples of such sources are Economic Times, Financial Express, Indian Marketing Association,
etc. The researchers engaged in current marketing research can utilise the information available from these institutions
by purchasing journals, magazines, newspapers, etc., which are publicly available.
i) Commercial Research Institutions: Some institutions in the market deal in purchasing and selling of different kind of data
or information, which are collected through research. Many market research institutions are in the business of providing
statistically processed data or information, by taking help of secondary data or by conducting fresh surveys.
j) International Organisations: Several international organisations like World Health Organisation, World Bank,
International Monetary Fund, International Labour Organisation. Asian Development Bank etc. are helpful in deriving
required information or data about a particular research. These organisations have plenty of information or resources to
provide data about issues like population, inflation, agriculture, education, labour problems, child problems, women
development, trade and transport, etc.
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not be suitable for other level of inquiry. Hence, suitability is required to be ascertained before acceptance of data.
3) Adequacy/Sufficiency of Data→ There are cases like dying statement of a person, eye witness of an accident or a murder,
version of a squad deputed on secret mission, etc., which cannot be generated from the primary source and thus, secondary
data has to be considered. In such cases, it is simply not possible to access the original source. However, in cases of availability
of no data, fresh efforts are to be made to generate primary data from original sources.
Sometimes the level of inquiry rises and data collected from the secondary sources is not sufficient to satisfy the requirements.
In such cases no final decision can be made and it remains useful for research work only. Sometimes limited area is selected
for data collection and the information is required for much bigger area or information collected from much bigger area and
information needed for a very limited area, in either case the secondary data may not be useful and cannot be relied upon.
The data has to be reliable, suitable and adequate for the researchers.
For ascertaining if the data collected is sufficient or not, it is important to view it in relationship with the needs of the survey
and the geographical area taken into consideration while collecting the secondary data. For example, in case the research
aims at collecting the data pertaining to salary of the employees in the cotton industry and the literature provides insight
about all the workers in the industry, then such a data might prove to be futile for this study at hand. Data adequacy is also
questionable in terms of the time frame of its availability.
4) Consistency of Data→ Consistency of data means the absence of contradictory reports and this can be achieved by collecting
the data from various sources without any bias and from different locations. For example, for the ground level evaluation of
flood relief supplied from the government agencies, the data has to be collected from different sources other than the
government agencies to arrive at the correct conclusions.
The tools used for collecting the information may be suitable questionnaire format, interviews, observation of official
procedures and other different types of tools used for data collection. This ensures the data collected is accurate and
consistent.
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PRIMARY DATA VERSUS SECONDARY DATA
Basis of Primary Data Secondary Data
Difference
The data is collected by the researcher himself for When a data, which was earlier created by some
1) Meaning finding the solution of a particular problem or researchers or organisations for their own purposes, is
situation, is known as primary data. used in current research for a similar purpose, it is
known as secondary data.
2) Cost The collection of primary data is costly as it includes It is less costly than primary data collection. The
several tools and techniques. secondary data can be obtained easily, involving
zero or very less amount of money.
3) Sources It is directly collected from respondents. It is collected from some already available
published or unpublished sources.
The methods used for primary data collection The methods used for secondary data collection
4) Methods include interviews, include studying and analysing reports, journals,
questionnaires, observations, and surveys. census, and different
databases.
5) Reliability Primary data is more reliable as it is original and new. The reliability of secondary data is
comparatively less reliable, as this data belongs
to different problem or situation.
The selection of primary data is scientific in nature. It The selection of secondary data is manual. It is
6) Scientific includes forming hypothesis about the problem or selected according to the content of the source and
Method situation, collecting data, and analysing data to prove the current research topic.
the hypothesis right or wrong.
7) Precaution Precautions are relatively nominal in A lot of precaution is taken in the selection
collecting primary data than secondary data. of secondary data.
8) Form of Data Form of primary data is like raw which needs to Secondary data are already processed data that
be processed to get meaningful information. needs to be analysed and studied to use in research
study.
9) Accuracy Primary data is original and accurate, as it is The secondary data is not completely
developed according to the need. accurate as it was developed for some other purpose.
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MARKET SIZING
Market sizing is the process of estimating the potential of a market. Understanding the potential of a market is important for
companies looking to launch a new product or service.
Market size is a key component of strategic marketing planning. Knowledge of the size of th e target market allows fully
assessing opportunities and accurately planning the firm’s approach and investments - wisely.
Market size is a measurement of the total volume of a given market. Calculating market size accurately can be a challenge, so it is
important to be clear on what one is measuring. Variables are often dynamic, so they must be clearly defined. Size can also be
based on consumption or production figures, so it is important to know what approach marketers will take.
Marketers must take the time to assess market size and they may find answers that reveal how to achieve the level of growth they
need. When they know their market size, they can more easily determine how to invest R&D budget for the year. It can also help to
determine a wise level of sales and marketing investments - in the right areas. Marketing strategies become clear. Marketers do not
want to spend too much in a market when the return will be low, but they also do not want to underinvest in a high-growth, fast-
moving market. But be careful not to base investment decisions on rumor or expert opinions.
1) MARKET POTENTIAL→ Assuming 100% market share, the total potential value of product/service sold over a specified
timeframe.
2) TAM (Total Addressable Market)→ The potential value of Product/Service sold to a particular customer segment.
3) SAM (Serviceable Available Market)→ The total value of Product/Service that can fulfill the demand of a segment using one
revenue stream/channel.
4) SOM (Serviceable Obtainable Market)→ The total value of SAM divided by the expected percentage market share that the
company can capture.
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Stakeholders can be internal or external. Internal stakeholders are people whose interest in a company comes through a direct
relationship, such as employment, ownership, or investment. External stakeholders are those people who do not directly work
with a company but are affected in some way by the actions and outcomes of said business. Suppliers, creditors, and public groups
are all considered external stakeholders.
1) Internal Stakeholder→ Investors are a common type of internal stakeholder and are greatly impacted by the outcome of a
business. If, for example, a venture capital firm decides to invest $5 million into a technology start-up in return for 10% equity
and significant influence, the firm becomes an internal stakeholder of the start-up. The return of the company’s investment
hinges on the success, or failure, of the start-up, meaning it has a vested interest.
2) External Stakeholder→ External stakeholders are a little harder to identify, seeing as they do not have a direct relationship
with the company. Instead, an external stakeholder is normally a person or organization affected by the operations of the
business. When a company goes over the allowable limit of carbon emissions, for example, the town in which the company
is located is considered an external stakeholder because it is affected by the increased pollution.
Conversely, external stakeholders may also sometimes have a direct effect on a company but are not directly tied to it. The
government, for example, is an external stakeholder. When it makes policy changes on carbon emissions, continuing from
above, the decision affects the operations of any business with increased levels of carbon.
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TOP-DOWN APPROACH
When deciding whether to use this form of market sizing analysis, it needs to be determined if a reliable top-line demand estimate
is available. There are numerous sources that one can turn to in
search of a top-line demand estimate, each of which has
advantages and disadvantages that need to be balanced in the
performance of this analysis. Oftentimes, more than one of these
techniques can, and should, be used in conjunction with one
another.
BOTTOM-UP APPROACH
The bottom-up approach is typically taken when no reliable sources of top-line demand exist or when a more reliable estimate
can be developed by analysing product consumption as it relates to a direct indicator. This approach can be more time consuming
than a top-down methodology and is sensitive to seemingly small assumptions that can cascade through the analysis.
This uses the reverse approach, building up the estimate from the
lowest point where the product can be used. For example, if a product
is sold into hospitals, we could start with the number of hospital beds.
Assuming we see a £5 average sales data, we can multiply £5 by the
total number of hospital beds. As with the top-down approach, further
refinement is often needed, for example, to account for different sizes
and types of hospitals as well as differences in bed use, etc.
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customers might yield something like the below plot.
One can even go a step further with segmentation. For example, Universities come in all shapes and sizes. Universities may
include: Research Universities, Liberal Arts Colleges, and Community Colleges. Likewise, Government funded groups vary in size,
from 100K students (small) to urban school programs (large) which may support up to 500K students.
Step 2: Find the Market Contribution of Each Segment: Use resources such as Census data, Bureau of Labour Statistics, or other
public databases. For example, if a marketer is looking at Community Colleges, The National Centre for Education Studies reports
that there are 1,669 Community Colleges in India in total. These schools spend 465 million dollars annually. Of this total, 15 million
is allocated to IT services. If one can realistically capture 1% of this segment, then the Community Colleges segment can
contribute
$150,000 to his total annual market potential. Repeat the process for the Research University segment, Liberal Arts College
segment, etc.
Step 3: Iterative Market Analysis: These projections are not set in stone and they will change as one can understand his market
better. Refine this model as one learns more about competitors and customers. Maybe the market is much smaller than
anticipated and you need to reposition the offering. Maybe it is much larger than expected, and one needs to raise funding, to
achieve the necessary scale to become profitable.
Based on these assumptions, the Indian e-commerce market is currently valued at ₹3.2 trillion annually, with robust growth potential
driven by rising internet penetration, increased digital adoption, and the ongoing shift towards online shopping.
This method of market sizing can be applied to other industries by adjusting for user base, average spending, and market trends
relevant to the target sector.
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MARKET SIZING ILLUSTRATION: EXAMPLE FROM INDIA'S ELECTRIC VEHICLE (EV) MARKET
In this example, we will estimate the market size of electric vehicles (EVs) in India using both the Top-Down and Bottom-Up
approaches, relying on available data.
Based on these calculations, the Indian EV market is currently estimated at ₹1.5-2.7 trillion, with significant potential for growth over
the next decade as infrastructure and consumer awareness improve.
This market sizing example highlights how the combination of top-down and bottom-up approaches can provide insights into the scale
and potential of emerging industries like electric vehicles in India.
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MARKET SIZING FOR SMART PHONE MARKET:
Total Smartphone Smartphone Replaceme Annual Expected Sales Average Estimated
Regio Age Income Growth
Population Penetration Users nt Cycle Smartphone Sales in 2025 Selling Price Revenue (₹
n Group Bracket Rate (%)
(millions) Rate (%) (millions) (years) (millions) (millions) (₹) millions)
Urban 18-35 Low 100 65% 65 1.5 43.33 10% 47.67 10,000 476666.667
18-35 Middle 120 85% 102 2 51.00 12% 57.12 15,000 856800.000
18-35 High 80 95% 76 1.5 50.67 15% 58.27 25,000 1456666.667
36-55 Low 80 55% 44 3 14.67 5% 15.40 8,000 123200.000
36-55 Middle 110 70% 77 2.5 30.80 6% 32.65 12,000 391776.000
36-55 High 70 80% 56 3 18.67 8% 20.16 20,000 403200.000
56+ Low 50 30% 15 4 3.75 2% 3.83 7,000 26775.000
56+ Middle 60 45% 27 4 6.75 3% 6.95 10,000 69525.000
56+ High 40 60% 24 3 8.00 4% 8.32 15,000 124800.000
Rural 18-35 Low 250 40% 100 2.5 40.00 8% 43.20 8,000 345600.000
18-35 Middle 150 60% 90 3 30.00 10% 33.00 10,000 330000.000
18-35 High 30 75% 22.5 2 11.25 12% 12.60 18,000 226800.000
36-55 Low 200 30% 60 3.5 17.14 6% 18.17 7,000 127200.000
36-55 Middle 130 45% 58.5 3 19.50 8% 21.06 9,000 189540.000
36-55 High 20 65% 13 3 4.33 9% 4.72 14,000 66126.667
56+ Low 150 20% 30 4 7.50 4% 7.80 6,000 46800.000
56+ Middle 100 35% 35 4 8.75 5% 9.19 8,000 73500.000
56+ High 10 50% 5 3 1.67 6% 1.77 12,000 21200.000
Market Size= 5356176.000
Several insights can be gained from the above market sizing.
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OTHER APPROACHES TO MARKET SIZING:
Market sizing is the process of estimating the potential of a market in terms of revenue or customer base. Different market sizing
approaches are used depending on the context, data availability, and the level of detail required. Here are the main approaches to
market sizing:
1. Top-Down Approach
• Overview: This method begins with the total size of the market and narrows down by applying filters or assumptions to estimate
the target market size. It uses existing data like industry reports, government statistics, or research papers.
• Process:
• Start with the total market size (e.g., total industry revenue).
• Apply filters such as geographic region, target customer segments, or specific product lines.
• Narrow down the market based on the proportion relevant to your business.
• Example: Estimating the smartphone market in India by starting with the global smartphone market, narrowing it down by
country, and further by demographic or purchasing power.
• Pros:
• Quick and easy when using established data.
• Works well for established markets with reliable data sources.
• Cons:
• Based on assumptions that might not reflect actual conditions.
• May overlook nuances or segments that could be crucial.
2. Bottom-Up Approach
• Overview: This method builds up the market size estimate by aggregating data from smaller units or segments (e.g., sales data
from individual stores, customers, or regions).
• Process:
• Start by estimating demand or revenue for individual units (e.g., per store, per customer).
• Multiply by the number of units to build a larger market estimate.
• Example: Estimating the total revenue of a fast-food chain by calculating the average sales of a single restaurant and multiplying
it by the total number of restaurants.
• Pros:
• More accurate and specific to the business’s situation.
• Allows for detailed market segmentation.
• Cons:
• Data collection can be time-consuming and difficult.
• May miss out on larger trends that could affect the market.
3. Value Chain Analysis
• Overview: This method assesses the different stages in the value chain, from raw materials to end customers, to estimate the
market size. It examines the flow of products through the supply chain and their value at each stage.
• Process:
• Identify key stages in the value chain (suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers).
• Estimate the market size at each stage by analyzing production, sales, or revenue data.
• Aggregate or adjust these estimates based on margins or markups at each stage.
• Example: Estimating the market size for a new consumer electronics product by analyzing production volumes of components,
assembly data, distribution channels, and final retail sales.
• Pros:
• Provides a comprehensive view of the market structure.
• Useful in industries with complex supply chains or high levels of intermediation.
• Cons:
• Requires detailed knowledge of the industry’s value chain.
• May be difficult to find data for every stage.
4. Demand-Side Approach
• Overview: This approach focuses on analyzing the demand side of the market by studying customer needs, behaviors, and
purchasing patterns. It often involves surveys, interviews, and secondary data on consumer behavior.
• Process:
• Identify potential customers and their spending habits.
• Segment customers by factors such as demographics, purchasing power, or usage patterns.
• Estimate market size based on the likely adoption rates and willingness to pay.
• Example: Estimating the market size for a new fitness app by surveying potential users on their interest and willingness to pay
for premium features.
• Pros:
• Focused on actual customer behavior.
• Useful for understanding new or emerging markets.
• Cons:
• Survey data may be biased or incomplete.
• Adoption rates and willingness to pay are often uncertain.
5. Supply-Side Approach
• Overview: This method examines the capacity and output of producers, suppliers, or distributors to estimate the potential
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market size. It is useful in industries where supply constraints or production capacity play a significant role.
• Process:
• Assess the production capacity or output of key players in the market.
• Analyze factors like supply chain constraints, manufacturing capacity, or distribution channels.
• Estimate the market size based on the supply-side limitations.
• Example: Estimating the market size for electric vehicles by analyzing the production capacities of major automakers and their
ability to meet future demand.
• Pros:
• Useful in supply-constrained markets.
• Provides insights into how production bottlenecks affect market potential.
• Cons:
• Ignores demand-side factors like customer preferences or price sensitivity.
• Supply constraints may change rapidly due to technological or economic factors.
6. Comparative or Analogous Market Approach
• Overview: This method estimates market size by comparing it to a similar, more established market. The analogy is based on
similarities in customer behavior, product types, or market conditions.
• Process:
• Identify a similar or analogous market.
• Assess key similarities between the markets (customer base, product lifecycle, economic conditions).
• Adjust for differences and estimate the target market size.
• Example: Estimating the market size for electric scooters in India by comparing it to the market for electric bikes in China,
adjusting for population and income levels.
• Pros:
• Fast and relatively easy when good analogies exist.
• Works well for new markets with limited direct data.
• Cons:
• Assumptions may not hold, leading to inaccurate estimates.
• Differences between markets may be larger than initially perceived.
7. Hybrid Approach
• Overview: This approach combines elements of both top-down and bottom-up methods to achieve a more accurate market
size estimate. It triangulates different data points and approaches.
• Process:
• Start with a top-down estimate to get an initial market size.
• Use bottom-up data or supply/demand insights to validate and refine the estimate.
• Example: Combining industry reports on the total size of the smartphone market with specific sales data from major retailers
to estimate market size in a specific region.
• Pros:
• Balances speed with accuracy.
• Can use multiple data sources to provide a more comprehensive view.
• Cons:
• More complex and time-consuming than using a single method.
• May require reconciling contradictory data sources.
8. Extrapolation Method
• Overview: This method involves projecting future market size based on historical data and trends. It assumes that past growth
rates or patterns will continue into the future.
• Process:
• Gather historical data on market size, growth rates, or sales.
• Apply trend analysis or regression techniques to project future market size.
• Example: Estimating the future market for smartphones by extrapolating from historical growth rates in unit sales and customer
adoption.
• Pros:
• Simple and easy to implement when historical data is available.
• Useful for mature markets with stable growth rates.
• Cons:
• May not account for disruptions, changes in technology, or market saturation.
• Assumes the future will mirror the past, which is not always the case.
Each of these market sizing approaches has its strengths and weaknesses, and the choice of approach depends on the industry, the
availability of data, and the complexity of the market. Often, businesses use a combination of methods to cross-verify estimates and
get a more accurate and reliable picture of the market potential.
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PESTLE ANALYSIS
PESTLE stands for political, economic, socio-cultural, technological, legal, and environmental. It is an analytical tool available to
companies to determine how external factors influence their operations and make them more competitive in the market.
This method looks at the factors in a nation or marketplace, and examines how those factors affect the consumer:
1) Political factors→ Includes government policy and legislative changes that affect the economy, such as tax and employment
laws.
2) Economic factors→ These are inflation, exchange rates, recessions, and supply and demand.
3) Socio-cultural factors→ Includes consumer demographics, culture, and lifestyle.
4) Technology→ These are factors like changes in technology, how technology is used in different sectors and industries, and
research.
5) Legal factors→ These are legal aspects that affect businesses such as consumer law, copyright law, and health and safety law.
6) Environmental factors→ These have little to do with the actual business, including climate, pollution, weather, and
environment-related laws.
PESTLE analysis allows managers, marketing, and financial experts to examine specific factors (outside of money) when making
decisions about the company's services or products.
Results from PESTLE analysis allow the company to make specific choices when planning the company's future, from how the brand
should be presented, to any changes within the structure of the company's organization, to the development of new products.
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MBA MK02: Marketing Analytics: Unit-I
• Eco-friendly Products and Green Technologies: As consumers and businesses move towards eco-friendly products, market
sizes for sustainable products and services are expanding.
• Example: Increasing demand for renewable energy solutions in response to environmental concerns can boost the market
size for solar panels, wind turbines, and electric vehicles.
How PESTLE Analysis Supports Market Sizing:
1. Risk and Opportunity Assessment: PESTLE helps identify risks (e.g., political instability, legal barriers) and opportunities (e.g.,
economic growth, technological advancements) that can expand or contract the market size.
2. Better Forecasting: It improves the accuracy of demand forecasting by integrating macroeconomic factors that influence
customer behavior, such as economic downturns or technological disruptions.
3. Strategic Decision-Making: By understanding external influences through PESTLE, businesses can make more informed
decisions on market entry, product development, and resource allocation.
4. Customizing Market Sizing Models: Each factor in PESTLE may require adjustments to market sizing models. For example, a
new regulation could shift market demand or alter competitive dynamics, leading to adjustments in sales estimates or pricing
strategies.
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MBA 301: STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT-UNIT 1
PORTER FIVE FORCE ANALYSIS
Porter’s 5 Forces is an analytical model used to help identify the structure of an industry and to help companies determine
their competitive strategies. The model was developed by Harvard Business School professor Michael E. Porter as part of his
book “Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors,” published in 1980.
The model can be applied to any segment of the economy. It helps explain why various industries maintain different degrees
of profitability.
The model is widely used to analyze the industry structure of a company as well as its corporate strategy. Porter identified Page |
five undeniable forces that play a part in shaping every market and industry in the world. The forces are frequently used to 21
measure competition intensity, attractiveness and profitability of an industry or market.
These forces are:
1) Threat of new entrants→ This force determines how easy (or not) it is to enter a particular industry. If an industry is
profitable and there are few barriers to enter, rivalry soon intensifies. When more organizations compete for the same
market share, profits start to fall. It is essential for existing organizations to create high barriers to enter to prevent new
entrants. Threat of new entrants is high when:
• Low amount of capital is required to enter a market;
• Existing companies can do little to retaliate;
• Existing firms do not possess patents, trademarks or do not have established brand reputation;
• There is no government regulation;
• Customer switching costs are low (it doesn’t cost a lot of money for a firm to switch to other industries);
• There is low customer loyalty;
• Products are nearly identical;
• Economies of scale can be easily achieved.
2) Bargaining power of suppliers→ Strong bargaining power allows suppliers to sell higher priced or low quality raw
materials to their buyers. This directly affects the buying firms’ profits because it has to pay more for materials. Suppliers
have strong bargaining power when:
• There are few suppliers but many buyers;
• Suppliers are large and threaten to forward integrate;
• Few substitute raw materials exist;
• Suppliers hold scarce resources;
• Cost of switching raw materials is especially high.
3) Bargaining power of buyers→ Buyers have the power to demand lower price or higher product quality from industry
producers when their bargaining power is strong. Lower price means lower revenues for the producer, while higher
quality products usually raise production costs. Both scenarios result in lower profits for producers. Buyers exert strong
bargaining power when:
• Buying in large quantities or control many access points to the final customer;
• Only few buyers exist;
By Pashupati Nath Verma
MBA 301: STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT-UNIT 1
• Switching costs to other supplier are low;
• They threaten to backward integrate;
• There are many substitutes;
• Buyers are price sensitive.
4) Threat of substitutes→ This force is especially threatening when buyers can easily find substitute products with
attractive prices or better quality and when buyers can switch from one product or service to another with little cost.
For example, to switch from coffee to tea doesn’t cost anything, unlike switching from car to bicycle. Page |
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5) Rivalry among existing competitors→ This force is the major determinant on how competitive and profitable an
industry is. In competitive industry, firms have to compete aggressively for a market share, which results in low profits.
Rivalry among competitors is intense when:
• There are many competitors;
• Exit barriers are high;
• Industry of growth is slow or negative;
• Products are not differentiated and can be easily substituted;
• Competitors are of equal size;
• Low customer loyalty.
When a company’s management uses the five forces, it can create ways to take better advantage of a situation of strength,
overcome a situation of weakness, and avoid making mistakes that would provide someone else a competitive edge.
Example: Applying Porter’s Five Forces to Market Sizing in the Indian EV Market
Step 1: Estimate Market Size (TAM)
• Estimate the total population of potential EV buyers.
• Forecast demand based on government policies, consumer preferences, and industry growth rates.
Step 2: Apply Porter’s Five Forces
• Threat of New Entrants: Government subsidies lower barriers to entry, meaning the obtainable market share might
decrease due to new entrants.
• Bargaining Power of Suppliers: High supplier power from battery manufacturers may increase production costs, affecting
pricing and profit margins.
• Bargaining Power of Buyers: Buyers may demand lower prices due to various EV brands, shrinking the obtainable share.
• Threat of Substitutes: Traditional gasoline vehicles are substitutes, reducing the total demand for EVs.
• Industry Rivalry: High rivalry in the EV market may lead to price wars, further reducing margins.
Step 3: Refine Market Size
After applying Porter’s Five Forces, the initially estimated market size is adjusted to reflect competitive dynamics and profitability
constraints, leading to a more accurate and strategic market sizing model.
In conclusion, combining market sizing with Porter’s Five Forces ensures that businesses not only understand the revenue
potential but also the competitive challenges and profitability in a market. This comprehensive approach allows for better-
informed decisions about market entry, product positioning, and growth strategies.