AFM Charts Book
AFM Charts Book
DINESH JAIN
ADVANCED FINANCIAL
MANAGEMENT
Techniques of Capital
Budgeting
Discounted
Payback Profitability
Payback NPV ARR IRR
Method Index
Method
Introduction to Capital Budgeting
Format for computation of various techniques
NPV and PI
Concept 3 and 4 – NPV and Profitability index (or) Benefit cost Ratio (or) Present value Index Method
(or) Desirability Factor
Accounting Rate of
Return (only technique
based on Profits)
On Initial On Average
Investment Investment
Note:
Opening investment + Closing investment
Average investment = ; Closing investment = Salvage value
2
Concept 5 – Accounting Rate of Return
Concept 6 - IRR
Initial guess rate
Start with an initial
= 2/3 of ARR on
guest rate and
average
compute NPV
investment
Increase DR if NPV is
Steps in positive and reduce
Computation of DR if NPV is negative
IRR
Compute IRR
once one Positive NPV at L1
NPV and L1 + x L2 − L1
NPV at L1 − NPV at L2
Negative NPV is
Computed
Concept 6 - IRR
Depreciation (Non-
cash Item)
Relevant Irrelevant
Cost of an item which has already Example: Market survey expense, R&D
been incurred (whether paid or not) Costs
Apportioned/ General/
Specific/ Incremental OH
Corporate OH
Irrelevant Relevant
Other
concepts
Take effective tax rate Deduct expenses as Add Back: Amount which was not
= Normal tax rate x (1 per accrual concept to be deducted and deduct amount
- Exemption %) for tax comption which was already paid
Concept 12 and 13 – Tax Exemption for Specific % of Profits and Expenses not paid in the year of
incurrence
Compute expected utility value for the project = Weighted average of utility
values with probability being the assigned weight
Type 2 Problem
Type 3 Problem
Long-term
Ignore cash flow
funds
between company and Discount at Get Project
approach
equity share-holder, cost of NPV and
(FCFF) -
preference share-holder capital Project IRR
Preferred
Project and debentureholders
Approach
evaluation
approach
Equity
Ignore cash flow Discount at Get equity
shareholders
between company and cost of NPV and
approach
equity-shareholder equity equity IRR
(FCFE)
APV Approach
Inflation in capital
budgeting
Real CF to be discounted at
How to adjust
Real DR and Money CF to be How to adjust CF
DR
discounted at Money DR
Risk ሺSDሻ
Expected value = Weighted SD = Deviation from CV =
Return ሺNPVሻ
average of various possible expected value - Computed
CF/NPV with Probabiltiy using format 1 of Porfolio
being assigned weight Management
RADR
Approaches of
sensitivity Analysis
Approach 1 - Impact on NPV for Approach 2 - Find out what percentage change
uniform % change in variable in variable will make the NPV as zero
Factor with maximum fall in NPV is Variable with smallest change making
the most sensitive factor NPV 0 is the most sensitive factor
Simulation (Useful for complex project which has lot of uncertainty - Simulate NPV
computation million times and find out the expected performance and deviation)
Efficient Market
Run Test and Correlation Test
Hypothesis
Introduction
Economy Analysis
Value of share = Intrinsic
Fundamental value = PV of future
Industry Analysis
Analysis dividends = Buy under-
valued and sell over-valued
Company Analysis
Breadth Index
Confidence Index
Concept 5 to 7 – Interpretation
Efficient Market - Cannot be predicted what
will happen in future
Inefficient market - Can be predicted based
Types of Market Run Test
on past trends
Run Test
Correlation closer to
+1 or -1 = Inefficient
market
Calculate correlation coefficient
between two data change
Correlation closer to
0 = Weak form of
efficiency
Concept 9 – Correlation Test
Security Valuation
Rights Money
Equity Bond Convertible Enterprise
issue and Market
Valuation Valuation Instruments Valuation
Buyback Instruments
Introduction
R> Ke (Growing) 0%
D1 D0 x ሺ1 + Gሻ E1 x Payout Ratio
P= P= P=
Ke − G Ke − G Ke − G
FV = PV x FVF r, n
Retained earnings (OR)
RR =
Total Earnings PV = FV x PVF r, n
Future value FV = PV x 1 + r n
(Compounding)
Present value FV
PV =
(Discounting) 1+r n
Future value
AA x FVAF (r,n)
Time Value of Money (Annuity)
(Most important concept
of FM) Present value
AA x PVAF (r,n)
(Annuity)
Loan Amount
Loan instalment
Amount PVAF r, n
EAES
Amount of equity
Return on Equity
EPS SC + Reserves − Fictitious Assets
BVPS =
BVPS No of shares
G = Growth
Rate
Concept 11, 12 and 14 – Computation of Cost of Equity
BHARADWAJ INSTITUTE (CHENNAI) 19
AFM CHARTS CA. DINESH JAIN
P1 = P0 x 1 + K e − D1 P2 = P1 x 1 + K e − D2
Real-rate of return on
Inflation
risk-free security
Note:
• Real-return of any security = Normal return of security – Inflation rate
• Inflation premium forms part of Risk-free Rate and hence any increase in inflation premium
will increase the Risk-free Rate
Concept 33 and 34 – Component of Required Return and Inflation Premium
Step 1 - PV of Compute DPS till
Dividend Growth stability
Value of Share = PV of
Step 2 - Compute price at beginning of
Dividend + PV of sale proceeds
stabilization using Gordon's Formula
of share price on sales
1 1
PE = PE =
Ke ROE
Concept 28 – PE Multiple Approach
E1
D0 x ሺ1 + Gሻ
Ke − G P1 =
Ke − G
Concept 29 – Earning Growth Model Concept 21 – Implied Growth Rate by CMP
Share price = PV of
Dividend + Sale price of
Bonus issue (one share will shares
become 1.2 or 1.5 shares on
last date) Sale proceeds = Higher
Sale price of shares = Sale
number of shares x Selling
proceeds - Transaction cost
Price
Concept 24 – Impact on Bonus on Terminal value
Formula:
D1
Cost of GDR = +G
P0 − F
Concept 16 – GDR
Step 1: Take the
Direct formula of
Cost of equity with CMP as outflow of Step 2: Compute
concept 11 cannot
multiple growth the investor dividends till the
be used as Growth
rates assuming we buy it stabilization phase
changes
today
Step 5: Increase DR
Step 3: Take Step 6: Compute
Step 4: Discount if we get positive
terminal value IRR. IRR of investor
above and compute NPV and Decrease
based on perpetuity = Cost of equity of
NPV DR if we get
valuation company
Negative NPV
Concept 13 – Computation of Cost of Equity (Dividend Paying Company with Multiple Growth
Rates)
Compute Price without
growth. Take EPS as DPS.
100% Payout ratio
PVGO (Extra Premium paid by company
due to growth in company)
PVGO = CMP - Price
computed above
CA
Current Ratio CL
Liquidity Ratios (Ability to
repay short-term liabilities) QA
Quick Ratio (or) QA = CA - stock -
Acid Test Ratio CL Prepaid expenses
Equity or Networth
Equity Ratio Capital Employed
Debt
Capital Structure (Ability to
Debt to Equity Ratio Equity
repay Long-term Liabilities)
Debt + Preference
Capital Gearing Ratio Equity
Equity
Proprietary Ratio Total Assets
EAES
Equity Dividend
Coverage Ratio Equity Dividend
Conversion 365
Debtor days =
into days Debtors Turnover Ratio
EBIT
Pre-tax CE
ROI (or)
ROCE EBIT x 1 − T
Profitability Ratios What is earned
related to Return on Post-tax CE
What is invested
Assets/Investments
EAES
ROE Equity
DPS
Payout Ratio EPS
Concept of Risk
and Return
Return Risk
Format 1
Probability Return Product Deviation 𝐏𝐝𝟐
Format 2:
Security A Security B
Prob Return Product Deviation 𝑷𝒅𝟐 Return Product Deviation 𝐏𝐝𝟐 𝐏𝐝𝐚 𝐝𝐛
Format 3:
Return of security (X) Return of market (Y) XY 𝐘𝟐
P1 − P0 + D1 P1 − P0
Return = Return = + DY Risk = pd2
P0 P0
Co-variance of A
and A is called
variance
COVAB = ∑𝐏𝐝𝐀 𝐝𝐁
Co-variance of A and B =
Co-variance and Beta of A x Beta of B x
Correlation Variance of Market
coefficient
COVAB
Correlation can
COR AB = SD range between -
A SDB
1 to +1
Concept 3 – Computation of Correlation coefficient and Covariance
Online Retailers vs
Performance will have
Brick and Mortar
negative correlation
Stores
Benefit of Diversification:
40 -10 15
30 0 15
10 10 10
-10 20 5
-15 40 12.5
Average Return = 11% Average Return = 12% Average Return = 11.50%
Two Securities
= 𝑆𝐷1 𝑊1 2 + 𝑆𝐷2 𝑊2 2 + 2𝑆𝐷1 𝑊1 𝑆𝐷2 𝑊2 𝐶𝑂𝑅12
Act Return − Risk Free Return Act Return − Risk free rate
TR = SR =
Beta SD
Types of Risk
Measure of Risk
Standard Deviation
Beta (Systematic Risk)
(Total Risk)
How to we
measure Beta?
Concept 9 - Beta
Interest in Rs.
Multiple Risk-free Rf = Hidden Rf in question
Rates value per Bond
Conservative Approach = Rf =
Lower Number
Moderate Approach = Rf =
Average
Concept 7 – Risk-Free Rate
Portfolio Beta
Concept 15 and 16 – Portfolio Beta and Weights for Target Portfolio Beta
Format for computing Portfolio Beta and weights of Portfolio for target Beta
Security Beta Weight Product
Return
Beta
Decison on Purchase/sell
Purchase Sell
Under-valued Over-valued
Act Return > Fair Return Act Return < Fair Return
Act Price < Fair Price Act Price > Fair Price
Act Beta < Fair Beta Act Beta > Fair Beta
Concept 14 – Decision on Purchase/Sale of Security
Numerator of F2 of Beta
Systematic Risk
Computation
Systematic Risk and
Unsystematic Risk
(Computation) Unsystematic
risk/Specific SD/ Total Risk - Systematic
Residual Risk/ Random Risk
error
Portfolio Risk
Co-efficient of Determination
Components of Return
Stock Specifc
Characteristic Line
CL = Alpha + Beta x (Return
of Market)
Concept 23 – Alpha
Portfolio Strategies
Var2 − COV12
W1 =
Var1 + Var2 − 2COV12
Two Securities
W2 = 1 − W1
Minimum Risk
Portfolio Three Securities Critical Line Approach
Critical Line
Approach (Three
Securities)
Weight of Security 1 = a
+ b (weight of security 2)
More than
3 Securities
Note:
• TR = Treynor Ratio
• USR = Unsystematic Risk
PV of cash flows
Based on Cash Flows discounted at required
return
Concep 29 – Real Estate Valuation
MF Introduction (Financial
Doctor for Managing Investor
Money)
HPR
Period of Holding = x 365 days or 12 Months
Annual Return
Dividend Declared by MF
[Dividend Rate x Face value]
Bonus Plan:
Bonus
units
Unit (B = A x Total
held Bonus Bonus units
Date (A) ratio Ratio) (A + B)
Types of MF Schemes
Taxation Impact
Cost of Acquisition of bonus units STT is not tax deductible expense for
is 0 computing capital gain
Effective Yield
Collected extra
Front-end Public offer price − NAV
on entry and
Load (or) NAV
hence increases
Entry Load
Load purchase price
in MF Collected on
exit and hence NAV − Redemption Price
Back-end Load
decreases NAV
(or) exit load
redemption
price
Record cash as an
asset if given for
Not possible
NAV computation -
Tracking of cash else ignore it
inflows and
outflows Prepare Cash book
and compute
Possible
closing cash and
consider in NAV
Concept 18 – Cash Balance Computation to Value NAV
Applicable and
Original Shares
will be received
Dividend income
of MF on its
Will not be applicable
investments
Rights in case dividend
shares/Bonus declared before
shares allotment of
bonus/rights shares
Concept 21 – Dividend Income on Equity Shares
No need to do
Yes dividend equalization
adjustment
Valuation of Assets
Will decline by
Cash component
expense per unit
Break-up of NAV
Will increase or
Equity Component decrease based on
market change
Economies of scale,
Operating Synergies
improved market
(Improvement in cash
reach, lower
flow/PAT)
competition
Merger of company with
Financial Synergies
surplus cash with another
Why Merger? (Improvement in Cost of
company having high-
capital/ PE Multiple)
return projects
Empire Building,
Managerial self-interest Stronger
Management Team
Introduction
Concept 1 – Format for doing Merger Analysis
Particulars AC TC Merged company
PAT/EAES XXX XXX XXX
No of equity shares XXX XXX XXX
EPS [PAT/ No of shares] XXX XXX XXX
PE Multiple XXX XXX XXX
MPS [PAT x PE Multiple] XXX XXX XXX
No of equity shares XXX XXX XXX
Market value of firm [MPS x No of shares] XXX XXX XXX
Note:
• AC = Acquiring Company; TC = Target Company
• Market value of firm (real formula) = PAT x PE Multiple
Cash flow/PAT of
merger firm > Sum
of individual
Gain from Merger = companies)
Value of Merged
Arises due to the
Firm - (Pre-merger
following Post-merger
value of AC + Pre-
merger value of TC) PE/Cost of capital is
better than weighted
average of AC and
TC
Concept 2 – Gain from Merger
Cost of Merger (Consideration Paid
to TC)
Net Cost or
Gross Cost
True Cost
For AC For TC
ER for
To maintain ER based on Only if no PAT and
maintenance
MPS MPS PE Multiple Synergy
of parameter
Concept 8 – PE Multiple
Note 1 Note 1
True cost of merger (or) net cost of NPV of merger (or) Gain of AC
merger (or) Gain of TC Shareholders shareholders
ROE
EPS (ROE x
BVPS)
Price (EPS x PE
BVPS
Multiple)
PE Multiple
Taken as equal to
Real value of
Intrinsic value MPS in absence of
company
information
Normal Approach
[(PAT of AC of year 0 +
PAT of TC of Year 0) x (1 +
Post-merger growth of
merged firm)] + Synergy
Post Merger PAT of Gain
Next year Retained earnings are
already re-invested Post merger PAT of
Year 2 = [Post-merger
[PAT of AC of year 0 + AC PAT of year 1] x (1 +
Growth Rate] + [PAT of TC Merged company
of year 0 + TC Growth Growth Rate)
Rate] + Synergy Gain
CR = Items increasing
Compute capital
NW - Items decreasing
Reserve
NW
Internal
Reconstruction
Prepare revised
Balance sheet post
reconstruction giving
effect to changes