WI4675 Exercise 5
WI4675 Exercise 5
Exercise sheet 5
Exercise 21⋆ Suppose you are an asset trader and in the market one asset is traded, that now costs €100 and tomorrow
it will be worth either €120 or €80. The risk-free rate is r = 0. The Oracle of Delphi tells you that the asset will increase
with probability 55% and will decrease with probability 45% . You receive an offer to buy a put option on the asset with
strike €100 expiring tomorrow at the price of €8. Should you buy the put? Could it be possible to earn money without
risk? If yes, design a strategy to do so.
Exercise 22⋆ Consider a one-period financial market model with three traded assets S̄ = (S 0 , S 1 , S 2 ). The first one is
the risk-less asset with current value S00 = 0.8. The other two are risky assets with current value S01 = 8 and S02 = 4.8
respectively. Assume that at the terminal time the market will be in one of the following four states:
1 1 1 1
S̄1 (ω1 ) = 10 , S̄1 (ω2 ) = 12 , S̄1 (ω3 ) = 10 , S̄1 (ω4 ) = 6 . (1)
8 8 4 4
Exercise 23⋆ Consider an arbitrage-free one-period financial market model (S 0 , S), that consists of the risk-free asset
S 0 and a risky asset S, on an underlying probability space (Ω, F, P). The risk-free rate is r = 0, i.e. it holds S00 = S10 = 1.
Moreover, let S0 = 50 and assume that S1 is uniformly distributed on the interval (0, 100) under the probability measure
P. In particular, it holds for every continuous function f : R → R, that
Z ∞
f (x)
EP [f (S1 )] = 1(0,100) (x) dx.
−∞ 100
For m ∈ N, define ϕm : R → R by
2m + 1
ϕm (x) := (x − 50)2m ,
502m
and Zm : Ω → R by Zm (ω) := ϕm (S1 (ω)).
(i) Show that Zm > 0 P-almost surely and EP [Zm ] = 1. Deduce that every Zm is the Radon–Nikodym density
Zm = dQ dP of the probability measure Qm , which is equivalent to P. Show furthermore that EQ [S1 ] = S0 and
m 1 1
(ii) Consider the claim C = |S1 − S0 |, and let π(C) denote the price of this claim. Show, with help from (i), that
π(C) = 50.
Exercise 24⋆ Consider the financial market of Exercise 3.14, where r ∈ (b, h). We extend the financial market (S 0 , S 1 )
on Ω = {b, 0, h}, using another risky asset, denoted S 2 . This asset is actually a European put option on S 1 with maturity
T = 1 and strike price K0 ∈ (s0 (1 + b), s0 ). Let us denote by p0 > 0 the price of this asset at time t = 0. Therefore,
the following hold:
S02 := p0 and S12 := (K0 − S11 )+ .
Finally, let us denote by C : Ω → R+ another claim with payoff profile
1
(i) Show that in the extended financial market (S 0 , S 1 , S 2 ) every claim of the form (2) is replicable and provide the
replicating strategy (ξ 0 , ξ 1 , ξ 2 ).
(ii) Show that the price π(C) of a claim of the form (2) is given by the formula
1
π(C) = qb kb + q0 k0 + qh kh
1+r
and describe qb , q0 , qh as functions of s0 , h, b, r, p0 and K0 .
(iii) Show that the condition qb + q0 + qh = 1 is satisfied and show that qb , q0 , qh > 0 holds if and only if
(K0 − s0 (1 + b))(h − r)
p0 < . (3)
(1 + r)(h − b)
Provide an example of an arbitrage strategy in the extended financial market (S 0 , S 1 , S 2 ), in case condition (3) is
not satisfied. Describe qb , q0 , qh in that case, and explain what does this mean for the extended financial market.
(iv) Compute the price of another European put option on S 1 with maturity T = 1 and strike price K ∈ (s0 (1+b), s0 )
as a function of p0 . Which prices of p0 maximize the latter price? Compare these results with the outcome of
question (iv) in Exercise 3.14.
Exercise 25⋆ Consider a one-period financial market model (Ω, F, P, S 0 , S), where the space of events Ω has a finite
number of elements, while the σ-algebra F := 2Ω . Let S 0 denote the risk-free asset with S00 = 1 at time t = 0 and
interest rate r > −1 (i.e. S10 = 1 + r), and let S denote the risky asset with initial price S0 > 0 at time t = 0, whose
price S1 at time t = 1 is a random variable.
(i) Assume that the space of events contains only two elements, i.e. Ω = {ω1 , ω2 }, where
with a, b ∈ R. Further, let P[{ω1 }] = p = 1 − P[{ω2 }] for p ∈ (0, 1). What conditions should a, b, r satisfy such
that there exists an equivalent martingale measure? Describe the set of equivalent martingale measures.
(ii) Assume that the space of events Ω contains a finite number of elements (i.e. |Ω| = n for 2 < n < ∞) and that it
holds P[{ω}] > 0 for every ω ∈ Ω. Set
and assume that it holds 0 < α < β. Show that the market is free of arbitrage if and only if it holds