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DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF
CLINICAL TRIALS
Concepts and Methodologies
Second Edition
SHEIN-CHUNG CHOW
Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Cambridge, MA
JEN-PEI LIU
National Cheng-kung University
Tainan, Taiwan
National Health Research Institutes
Taipei, Taiwan
Second Edition
WILEY SERIES IN PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS
A complete list of the titles in this series appears at the end of this volume.
DESIGN AND ANALYSIS OF
CLINICAL TRIALS
Concepts and Methodologies
Second Edition
SHEIN-CHUNG CHOW
Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Cambridge, MA
JEN-PEI LIU
National Cheng-kung University
Tainan, Taiwan
National Health Research Institutes
Taipei, Taiwan
No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by
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Wiley also publishes its books in a variety of electronic formats. Some content that appears in print, however,
may not be available in electronic format.
ISBN 0-471-24985-8
10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
CONTENTS
Preface ix
Preface to the First Edition xi
1. Introduction 1
1.1 What are Clinical Trials?, 1
1.2 History of Clinical Trials, 3
1.3 Regulatory Process and Requirements, 7
1.4 Investigational New Drug Application, 15
1.5 New Drug Application, 22
1.6 Clinical Development and Practice, 31
1.7 Aims and Structure of the Book, 35
Bibliography 649
Appendices 683
Index 713
PREFACE
In recent years, there has been an explosive growth of literature in clinical trials. As
indicated in the first edition, the purpose of this book is to provide a comprehensive and
unified presentation of the principles and methodologies in designs and analyses utilized for
various clinical trials and to give a well-balanced summary of current regulatory
requirements and recently developed statistical methods in this area. Since the first edition
was published in 1998, it has been well received by clinical scientists/researchers and is
now widely used as a reference source and a graduate textbook in clinical research and
development. It is our continuing goal to provide a complete, comprehensive, and updated
reference and textbook in the area of clinical research.
The second edition can be distinguished from the first in three ways. First, we have
revised and/or updated sections to reflect good clinical practice in regulatory review/
approval process and recent developments in design and analysis in clinical research. For
example, the second edition provides an update of the status of clinical trials and
regulations, especially ICH (International Conference on Harmonization) guidelines for
clinical trials since 1998. Second, the second edition is expanded to 15 chapters.
Additional new topics and three new chapters are added to provide a total account of the
most recent development in clinical trials. To name just a few, the second edition includes
new topics such as clinical significance and reproducibility and generalizability (Chapter
2); goals of clinical trials and target population (Chapter 4); clustered randomized design,
group sequential design, placebo-challenging design, and blinded reader design (Chapter
5); superiority trials, active control and equivalence/noninferiority trials, dose-response
trials, bridging studies, and vaccine clinical trials (Chapter 7); sample size determination
on equivalence and noninferiority trials and comparing variabilities (Chapter 11); and use
of genomic information for evaluation of efficacy (Chapter 12). The three new chapters
include “Designs for Cancer Clinical Trials” (Chapter 6), “Preparation and Implementation
of a Clinical Protocol” (Chapter 14), and “Clinical Data Management” (Chapter 15).
ix
x PREFACE
Finally, the second edition includes more than 280 new references from clinical-related
literature. We believe that this revised and expanded second edition will benefit clinical
scientists/researchers from the medical-pharmaceutical industry, regulatory agencies, and
academia by serving as an extremely useful reference source in clinical research.
From John Wiley and Sons, I would like to thank Steve Quigley for providing us the
opportunity to work on this edition, and Susanne Steitz for her outstanding efforts in
preparing this edition. The first author would like to thank support from colleagues from
StarPlus, Inc. and Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc. during the preparation of this edition.
The second author wishes to express his gratitude to his wife, Dr. Wei-Chu Chie, and their
daughter Angela for their support, patience, and understanding during the preparation of
this edition.
Finally, the views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of
Millennium Pharmaceuticals, Inc., and National Cheng-Kung University and National
Health Research Institutes, Taiwan. We are solely responsible for the contents and errors of
this edition. Any comments and suggestions will be very much appreciated.
SHEIN-CHUNG CHOW
JEN-PEI LIU
Cambridge, Massachusetts
Tainan, Taiwan
September, 2003
PREFACE TO THE FIRST EDITION
Clinical trials are scientific investigations that examine and evaluate safety and efficacy of
drug therapies in human subjects. Biostatistics has been recognized and extensively
employed as an indispensable tool for planning, conduct, and interpretation of clinical
trials. In clinical research and development, the bio-statistician plays an important role that
contributes toward the success of the trial. An open and effective communication among
clinician, biostatistician, and other related clinical scientists will result in a successful
clinical trial. The mutual communication, however, is a two-way street: not only (1) the
biostatistician must effectively deliver statistical concepts and methodologies to his/her
colleagues but also (2) the clinician must communicate thoroughly clinical and scientific
principles embedded in clinical research to the biostatistician. The biostatistician can then
formulate these clinical and scientific principles into valid statistical hypotheses, models,
and methodologies for data analyses. The integrity, quality, and success of a clinical trial
depend on the interaction, mutual respect, and understanding among the clinician, the
biostatistician, and other clinical scientists.
There are many books on clinical trials already on the market. These books, however,
emphasize either statistical or clinical aspects. None of these books provides a balanced
view of statistical concepts and clinical issues. Therefore the purpose of this book is not
only to fill the gap between clinical and statistical disciplines but also to provide a
comprehensive and unified presentation of clinical and scientific issues, statistical
concepts, and methodologies. Moreover this book focuses on the interactions among
clinicians, biostatisticians, and other clinical scientists that often occur during the various
phases of clinical research and development. This book is intended to give a well-balanced
overview of current and emerging clinical issues and newly developed statistical
methodologies. Although this book is written from a viewpoint of pharmaceutical research
and development, the principles and concepts presented in this book can be applied to
nonbiopharmaceutical settings.
xi
xii PREFACE TO THE FIRST EDITION
It is our goal to provide a concise and comprehensive reference book for physicians,
clinical researchers, pharmaceutical scientists, clinical or medical research associates,
clinical programmers or data coordinators, and biostatisticians in the areas of clinical
research and development, regulatory agencies, and academe. Hence this book is written
for readers with minimal mathematical and statistical backgrounds. Although it is not
required, an introductory statistics course that covers the concepts of probability, sampling
distribution, estimation, and hypothesis testing would be helpful. This book can also serve
as a textbook for graduate courses in the areas of clinical and pharmaceutical research and
development. Readers are encouraged to pay attention to clinical issues and their statistical
interpretations as illustrated through real examples from various phases of clinical research
and development.
The issues covered in this book may occur during the various phases of clinical trials in
pharmaceutical research and development, and their corresponding statistical interpreta-
tions, concepts, designs, and analyses. All the important clinical issues are addressed in
terms of the concepts and methodologies of the design and analysis of clinical trials. For
this reason this book is composed of clinical concepts and methodologies. Each chapter
with different topics is self-contained.
Chapter 1 provides an overview of clinical development for pharmaceutical entities, the
process of drug research and development in pharmaceutical industry, and regulatory
processes and requirements. The aim and structure of the book is also discussed in this
chapter. The concepts of design and analysis of clinical trials are covered from Chapters 2
through 6. Basic statistical concepts such as uncertainty, bias, variability, confounding,
interaction, and statistical versus clinical significance are introduced in Chapter 2. Funda-
mental considerations for the selection of a suitable design in achieving certain objectives
of a particular trial under various circumstances are provided in Chapter 3. Chapter 4
illustrates the concepts and different methods of randomization and blinding that are
indispensable to the success and integrity of a clinical trial. Chapter 5 introduces different
types of statistical designs for clinical trials such as parallel, crossover, titration, and
enrichment designs and discusses their relative advantages and drawbacks. Various types
of clinical trials, which include multicenter, active control, combination, and equivalence
trials, are the subject of Chapter 6.
Methodologies and the issues for clinical data analysis are addressed in Chapters 7
through 12. Since clinical endpoints can generally be classified into three types,
continuous, categorical, and censored data, various statistical methods for analyses of
these three types of clinical data and their advantages and limitations are provided in
Chapters 7, 8, and 9, respectively. In addition, group sequential procedures for interim
analysis are given in Chapter 9. Different procedures for sample size determination are
provided in Chapter 10 for data under different designs. Statistical issues in analyzing
efficacy data are discussed in Chapter 11. These issues include baseline comparisons,
intention-to-treat analyses versus evaluable or per-protocol analyses, adjustment of
covariates, multiplicity issues, and data monitoring. Chapter 12 focuses on the issues of
analysis of safety data, including the extent of exposure, coding, and analysis of adverse.
events, and analysis of laboratory data.
For each chapter, whenever possible, real examples from clinical trials are included to
demonstrate the clinical and statistical concepts, interpretations, and their relationships and
interactions. Comparisons of the relative merits and disadvantages of statistical methodo-
logy for addressing different clinical issues in various therapeutic areas are discussed in
appropriate chapters. In addition, if applicable, topics for future development are provided.
PREFACE TO THE FIRST EDITION xiii
All computations in this book were performed using SAS. Other statistical packages such
as SPSS, BMDP, or MINTAB may also be applied.
At John Wiley, we would like to thank Acquisition Editor Steve Quigley for providing
us with the opportunity to work on this book and for his outstanding effort in preparing this
book for publication. We are greatly indebted to the Bristol-Myers Squibb Company and
Covance, Inc. for their support, in particular, to S. A. Henry, L. Meinert, and H. Koffer. We
are grateful for A. P. Pong, C. C. Hsieh, and G. Y. Han for their assistance in preparing the
many charts, figures, graphs, and tables in this book. We are grateful to Y. C. Chi, F. Ki,
and C. S. Lin for many helpful discussions and for reviewing the manuscript. We also wish
to thank A. P. Pong, M. L. Lee, and E. Nordbrock for their constant support and
encouragement. The first author also wishes to express his appreciation to his wife, Yueh-Ji,
and their daughters, Emily and Lilly, for their patience and understanding during the
preparation of this book.
Finally, we are fully responsible for any errors remaining in the book. The views
expressed are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of Covance, Inc. and the
National Cheng-Kung University.
SHEIN-CHUNG CHOW
JEN-PEI LIU
Clinical trials are clinical investigations. They have evolved with different meanings by
different individuals and organizations at different times. For example, Meinert (1986)
indicates that a clinical trial is a research activity that involves administration of a test
treatment to some experimental unit in order to evaluate the treatment. Meinert (1986) also
defines a clinical trial as a planned experiment designed to assess the efficacy of a treat-
ment in humans by comparing the outcomes in a group of patients treated with the test
treatment with those observed in a comparable group of patients receiving a control treat-
ment, where patients in both groups are enrolled, treated, and followed over the same time
period. This definition indicates that a clinical trial is used to evaluate the effectiveness of
a treatment. Piantadosi (1997) simply defined a clinical trial as an experimental testing
medical treatment on human subject. On the other hand, Spilker (1991) considers clinical
trials as a subset of clinical studies that evaluate investigational medicines in phases I, II,
and III, the clinical studies being the class of all scientific approaches to evaluate medical
disease preventions, diagnostic techniques, and treatments. This definition is somewhat
narrow in the sense that it restricts to the clinical investigation conducted by pharmaceuti-
cal companies during various stages of clinical development of pharmaceutical entities
which are intended for marketing approval. The Code of Federal Regulations (CFR)
defines a clinical trial as the clinical investigation of a drug that is administered or dis-
pensed to, or used involving one or more human subjects (21 CFR 312.3). Three important
key words in these definitions of clinical trials are experimental unit, treatment, and evalu-
ation of the treatment.
Design and Analysis of Clinical Trials: Concepts and Methodologies, Second Edition
By Shein-Chung Chow and Jen-pei Liu
ISBN 0-471-24985-8 Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
1
2 INTRODUCTION
Experimental Unit
An experimental unit is usually referred to as a subject from a targeted population under
study. Therefore the experimental unit is usually used to specify the intended study popu-
lation to which the results of the study are inferenced. For example, the intended popula-
tion could be patients with certain diseases at certain stages or healthy human subjects. In
practice, although a majority of clinical trials are usually conducted in patients to evaluate
certain test treatments, it is not uncommon that some clinical trials may involve healthy
human subjects. For example, at very early phase trials of clinical development, initial
investigation of a new pharmaceutical entity may only involve a small number of healthy
subjects, say fewer than 30. Large primary prevention trials are often conducted with
healthy human subjects with size in tens of thousand subjects. See, for example, Physi-
cian’s Health Study (PHSRG, 1988), Helsinki Health Study (Frick et al., 1987), and
Women Health Trial (Self et al., 1988).
Treatment
In clinical trials a treatment can be a placebo or any combinations of a new pharmaceutical
identity (e.g., a compound or drug), a new diet, a surgical procedure, a diagnostic test, a
medial device, a health education program, or no treatment. For example, in the Physi-
cian’s Health Study, one treatment arm is a combination of low-dose aspirin and beta
carotene. Other examples include lumpectomy, radiotherapy, and chemotherapy as a com-
bination of surgical procedure and drug therapy for breast cancer; magnetic resonance
imaging (MRI) with a contrast imaging agent as a combination of diagnostic test and a
drug for enhancement of diagnostic enhancement; or a class III antiarrhythmic agent and
an implanted cardioverter defibrillator as a combination of a drug and a medical device for
treatment of patients with ventricular arrhythmia. As a result, a treatment is any interven-
tion to be evaluated in human subjects regardless that it is a new intervention to be tested
or serves as a referenced control group for comparison.
Evaluation
In his definition of clinical trials, Meinert (1986) emphasizes the evaluation of efficacy of
a test treatment. It, however, should be noted that the assessment of safety of an interven-
tion such as adverse experiences, elevation of certain laboratory parameters, or change in
findings of physical examination after administration of the treatment is at least as impor-
tant as that of efficacy. Recently, in addition to the traditional evaluation of effectiveness
and safety of a test treatment, clinical trials are also designed to assess quality of life, phar-
macogenomics, and pharmacoeconomics such as cost-minimization, cost-effectiveness,
and cost-benefit analyses to human subjects associated with the treatment under study. It is
therefore recommended that clinical trials should not only evaluate the effectiveness and
safety of the treatment but also assess quality of life, impact of genetic factors, pharma-
coeconomics, and outcomes research associated with the treatment.
Throughout this book we will define a clinical trial as a clinical investigation in which treat-
ments are administered, dispensed, or used involving one or more human subjects for evalua-
tion of the treatment. By this definition, the experimental units are human subjects either with
a pre-existing disease under study or healthy. Unless otherwise specified, clinical trials in this
book are referred to as all clinical investigations in human subjects that may be conducted by
HISTORY OF CLINICAL TRIALS 3
pharmaceutical companies, clinical research organizations such as the U.S. National Institutes
of Health (NIH), university hospitals, or any other medical research centers.
We humans since our early days on earth have been seeking or trying to identify some inter-
ventions, whether they be a procedure or a drug, to remedy ailments that inflict ourselves
and our loved ones. In this century the explosion of modern and advanced science and tech-
nology has led to many successful discoveries of promising treatments such as new medi-
cines. Over the years there has been a tremendous need for clinical investigations of these
newly discovered and promising medicines. In parallel, different laws have been enacted and
regulations imposed at different times to ensure that the discovered treatments are effective
and safe. The purpose for imposing regulations on the evaluation and approval of treatments
is to minimize potential risks that they may have for human subjects, especially for those
treatments whose efficacy and safety are unknown or are still under investigation.
In 1906, the United States Congress passed the Pure Food and Drug Act. The purpose
of this act is to prevent misbranding and adulteration of food and drugs. However, the
scope of this act is rather limited. No preclearance of drugs is required. Moreover the act
does not give the government any authority to inspect food and drugs. Since the act does
not regulate the claims made for a product, the Sherley Amendment to the act was passed
in 1912 to prohibit labeling medicines with false and fraudulent claims. In 1931, the U.S.
Food and Drug Administration (FDA) was formed. The provisions of the FDA are intended
to ensure that (1) food is safe and wholesome, (2) drugs, biological products, and medical
devices are safe and effective, (3) cosmetics are unadulterated, (4) the use of radiological
products does not result in unnecessary exposure to radiation, and (5) all of these products
are honestly and informatively labeled (Fairweather, 1994).
The concept of testing marketed drugs in human subjects did not become a public issue
until the Elixir Sulfanilamide disaster occurred in the late 1930s. The disaster was a safety
concern of a liquid formulation of a sulfa drug that caused more than 100 deaths. This
drug had never been tested in humans before its marketing. This safety concern led to the
pass of the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act (FD&C Act) in 1938. The FD&C Act
extended its coverage to cosmetics and therapeutic devices. More important, the FD&C
Act requires the pharmaceutical companies to submit full reports of investigations regard-
ing the safety of new drugs. In 1962, a significant Kefauver-Harris Drug Amendment to
the FD&C Act was passed. The Kefauver-Harris Amendment not only strengthened the
safety requirements for new drugs but also established an efficacy requirement for new
drugs for the first time. In 1984, the Congress passed the Price Competition and Patent
Term Restoration Act to provide for increased patent protection to compensate for patent
life lost during the approval process. Based on this act, the FDA was also authorized to
approve generic drugs only based on bioavailability and bioequivalence trials on healthy
male subjects. It should be noted that the FDA also has the authority for designation of
prescription drugs or over-the counter drugs. In the United States, on average, it will take
a pharmaceutical company about 10 to 12 years for development of a promising pharma-
ceutical entity with an average cost between $350 millions to $450 millions US. Drug
development is a lengthy and costly process. This lengthy process is necessary to ensure
the safety and efficacy of the drug product under investigation. On average, it may take
more than two years for regulatory authorities such as the FDA to complete the review of
4 INTRODUCTION
the new drug applications submitted by the sponsors. This lengthy review process might
be due to limited resources available at the regulatory agency. As indicated by the U.S.
FDA, they will be able to improve the review process of new drug applications if
additional resources are available. As a result, in 1992, the U.S. Congress passed the
Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA), which authorizes the FDA to utilize the
so-called user fee financed by the pharmaceutical industry to provide additional resources
for the FDA’s programs for development of drug and biologic products. From 1992 to
1997, this program has enabled the FDA to reduce the average time required for review of
a new drug application from 30 months to 15 months. In 1997, the U.S. Congress also
passed the Food and Drug Administration Modernization Act (FDAMA) to enhance the
FDA’s missions and its operations for the increasing technological, trade, and public
health complexities in the 21st Century by reforming the regulation of food, drugs,
devices, biologic products, and cosmetics.
The concept of randomization in clinical trials was not adapted until the early 1920s
(Fisher and Mackenzie, 1923). Amerson et al. (1931) first considered randomization of
patients to treatments in clinical trials to reduce potential bias and consequently to increase
statistical power for detection of a clinically important difference. At the same time a Com-
mittee on Clinical Trials was formed by the Medical Research Council of the Great Britain
(Medical Research Council, 1931) to promulgate good clinical practice by developing
guidelines governing the conduct of clinical studies from which data will be used to support
application for marketing approval. In 1937, the NIH awarded its first research grant in
clinical trial. At the same time the U.S. National Cancer Institute (NCI) was also formed to
enhance clinical research in the area of cancer. In 1944, the first publication of results from a
multicenter trial appeared in Lancet (Patulin Clinical Trials Committee, 1944). Table 1.2.1
provides a chronic accounts of historical events for both clinical trials and the associated
regulations for treatments intended for marketing approval. Table 1.2.1 reveals that the
advance of clinical trials goes hand in hand with the development of regulations.
Oklin (1995) indicated that there are at least 8,000 randomized controlled clinical trials
conducted each year whose size can include as many as 100,000 subjects. As more clinical
trials are conducted worldwide each year, new service organization and/or companies have
emerged to provide information and resources for the conduct of clinical trials. Table 1.2.2
provides a summary of resources available for clinical trials from a web-based clinical trial
listing service called CenterWatch.® These trials are usually sponsored by the pharmaceutical
industry, government agencies, clinical research institutions, or more recently a third party
such as health maintenance organizations (HMO) or insurance companies. In recent years
clinical trials conducted by the pharmaceutical industry for marketing approval have become
more extensive. However, the sizes of clinical trials funded by other organizations are even
larger. The trials conducted by the pharmaceutical industry are mainly for the purpose of reg-
istration for marketing approval. Therefore, they follow a rigorously clinical development
plan which is usually carried out in phases (e.g., phases I, II, and III trials, which will be dis-
cussed later in this chapter) that progress from very tightly controlled dosing of a small num-
ber of normal subjects to less tightly controlled studies involving large number of patients.
According to USA Today (Feb. 3, 1993), the average time that a pharmaceutical com-
pany spends getting a drug to market is 12 years and 8 months. Of this figure, six years and
8 months are spent in clinical trials to obtain the required information for market registra-
tion. The FDA review takes 2 years and 6 months. As a result of PDUFA, the review time
at the U.S. FDA has been reduced considerably. Table 1.2.3 provides a summary of median
review time at the Center for Drug Review and Research (CDER) at the U.S. FDA in 2001.
Table 1.2.1 Significant Historical Events in Clinical Trials and Regulations
Year Clinical Trials Regulations
1906 Pure Food and Drug Act (Dr. Harvey Wiley)
1912 Sherley Amendment
1923 First randomization to experiments (Fisher and Mackenzie, 1923)
1931 First randomization of patients to treatments in clinical trials Formation of U.S. Food and Drug Administration
(Amberson, et al., 1931)
Committee on clinical trials by the Medical Research Council
of Great Britain (Medical Research Council, 1931)
1937 Formation of National Cancer Institute and First Research
Grant by National Institutes of Health (National Institutes
of Health, 1981)
1938 U.S. Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act (Dr. R. Tugwell)
1944 First publication of results from a multicenter
trial (Patulin Clinical Trial Committee, 1944)
1952 Publication of Elementary Medical Statistics (Mainland, 1952) FDA makes designation of Prescription Drug or OTC
1962 Publication of Statistical Methods in Clinical and Amendment to the U.S. Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act
Preventive Medicine (Hill, 1962)
1966 Mandated creation of the local boards (IRB) for Funding by U.S. Public Health Service
1976 Medical Device Amendment to the U.S. Food, Drug Cosmetic Act (1976)
1977 Publications of General Considerations for Clinical Evaluation of Drugs (HEW (FDA), 1977)
1984 Drug Price Competition and Patent Term Restoration Act (Waxman and Hatch, 1984)
1985 NDA rewrite
1988 Publication of Guidelines for the Format and Content of the Clinical and Statistical Section
of an Application (FDA, 1988)
1990 Publication of Good Clinical Practice for Trials on Medicinal Products in the European
Community (EC Commission, 1990)
1987 Treatment IND (FDA, 1987)
1992 Parallel track and accelerated approval (FDA, 1992)
Prescription Drug User Fee Act
1997 Publication of Good Clinical Practice: Consolidated Guidelines (ICH, 1996)
U.S. FDA Modernization Act
5
6 INTRODUCTION
For example, for the 10 drugs receiving priority status, the median review time is only
6 months. The median overall approval time is 14 months. However, it is not surprising
that new molecular entities requires about more than 7 months to review. This lengthy clin-
ical development process is necessary to assure the efficacy and safety of the drug product.
As a result, this lengthy development period sometimes does not allow the access of prom-
ising drugs or therapies to subjects with serious or life-threatening illnesses. Kessler and
Feiden (1995) point out that the FDA may permit promising drugs or therapies currently
under investigation to be available to patients with serious or life-threatening diseases
under the so-called treatment IND in 1987. The Parallel Track Regulations in 1992 allow
promising therapies for serious or life-threatening diseases to become available with
considerably fewer data than required for approval. In the same year, the FDA published the
regulations for the Accelerated Approval based only on surrogate endpoints to accelerate the
approval process for promising drugs or therapies indicated for life-threatening diseases.
The size of trials conducted by the pharmaceutical industry can be as small as a dozen
subjects for the phase I trial in human, or it can be as large as a few thousands for support
of approval of ticlopidine for stroke prevention (Temple, 1993). The design of the trial can
be very simple as the single-arm trial with no control group, or it can be very complicated
as a 12-group factorial design for the evaluation of the dose responses of combination
drugs. Temple (1993) points out that information accumulated from previous experience in
the database of preapproval New Drug Application (NDA) or Product License Application
(PLA) can range from a few hundred subjects (e.g., contrast imaging agents) to four or five
thousand subjects (antidepressants or antihypertensives, antibiotics, etc.).
When the safety profile and mechanism of action for the efficacy of a new drug or ther-
apy are well established, probably after its approval, a simple but large confirmatory trial is
usually conducted to validate the safety and effectiveness of the new drug or therapy. This
Table 1.2.3 Summary of Median Review Time at CDER of the U.S. FDA in 2001
Number of Approved Drugs Median Review Time in Months
66 14
NME (24) 19
Priority status (10) 6
Standard status (56) 12
Source: FDA talk paper on January 25, 2002 at www.fda.gov.
NME ⫽ New Molecular Entities.
REGULATORY PROCESS AND REQUIREMENTS 7
kind of trial is large in the sense that there are relaxed the entrance criteria to enroll a large
number of subjects (e.g., tens of thousands) with various characteristics and care settings.
The purpose of this kind of trial is to increase the exposure of a new drug or therapy to
more subjects with the indicated diseases. For example, the first Global Utilization of
Streptokinase and Tissue Plasminogen Activator for Occluded Coronary Arteries Trial
(GUSTO I, 1993) enrolled over 41,000 subjects in 1,081 hospitals from 15 countries while
in the Physician’s Health Study funded by the NIH over 22,000 physicians were random-
ized to one of four arms in the trial. In addition, these trials usually follow subjects for
a much longer period of time than most trials for marketing approval. For example,
Helsinki Heart Study followed a cohort over 4,000 middle-aged men with dyslipidemia for
five years (Frick et al., 1987). The recent Prostate Cancer Prevention Trial (PCPT) plans
to follow 18,000 healthy men over age 55 for 7 years (Feigl et al., 1995). Such trials are
simple in the sense that only few important data are collected from each subject. Because
the sizes of these trials are considerably large, they can detect a relatively small yet impor-
tant and valuable treatment effects that previous smaller studies failed to detect. Some-
times, public funded clinical trials can also be used as a basis for approval of certain
indications. An example is the combined therapy of leuprolide with flutamide for patients
with disseminated, previously untreated D2 stage prostate cancer. Approval of flutamide
was based on a study funded by NCI.
On the other hand, health care providers such as HMO or insurance companies will be
more interested in providing funding for rigorous clinical trials to evaluate not only efficacy
and safety of therapies but also quality of life, pharmacoeconomics, and outcomes. The pur-
pose of this kind of clinical trial is to study the cost associated with the health care provided.
The concept is to minimize the cost with the optimal therapeutic effect under the same qual-
ity of health care. Temple (1993) points out that from the results of the study of Systolic
Hypertension in the Elderly (SHEP), a potential savings of six billion dollars per year can be
provided by the treatment regimen of chlorthalidone with a beta blocker backup such a atenol
as compared to the combined treatment of an angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitor
with a calcium channel blocker backup. Temple (1993) also indicates that a multicooperative
group study supported by health care providers is already under way to evaluate the effects of
bone marrow transplant with aggressive chemotherapy for breast cancer.
Chow and Liu (1995a) indicated that the development of a pharmaceutical entity is a lengthy
process involving drug discovery, laboratory development, animal studies, clinical trials,
and regulatory registration. The drug development can be classified into nonclinical, pre-
clinical, and clinical development phases. As indicated by the USA Today (Feb. 3, 1993),
approximately 75% of drug development is devoted to clinical development and regulatory
registration. In this section we will focus on regulatory process and requirements for clini-
cal development of a pharmaceutical entity.
For marketing approval of pharmaceutical entities, the regulatory process and require-
ments may vary from country (or region) to country (or region). For example, the European
Community (EC), Japan, and the United States have similar but different requirements as
to the conduct of clinical trials and the submission, review, and approval of clinical results
for pharmaceutical entities. In this section, for simplicity, we will focus on the regulatory
process and requirements for the conduct, submission, review, and approval of clinical
8 INTRODUCTION
trials currently adopted in the United States. As was indicated earlier, the FDA was formed
in 1931 to enforce the FD&C Act for marketing approval of drugs, biological products, and
medical devices. With very few exceptions, since the enactment of the FD&C Act, treat-
ment interventions such as drugs, biological products, and medical devices either currently
on the market or still under investigation are the results of a joint effort between the phar-
maceutical industry and the FDA. To introduce regulatory process and requirements for
marketing approval of drugs, biological products, and medical devices, it is helpful to be
familiar with the functional structure of the FDA.
Division of Data
Advisors and Consultants Management and Services
Staff (HFD-021) (HFD-090)
9
Figure 1.3.1 Center for Drug Evaluation and Research.
10
Pregnancy Labeling Program Management Reports and Data Mgmt. Pharmacology/Toxicology
Team (HFD-020) Team (HFD-022) Team (HFD-023) Staff (HFD-024)
Office of New Drugs (HFD-020)
Sandra Kweder William Oswald Robert Osterberg, Ph.D.
John Jenkins, M.D. Ann Myers (Actg.)
301-594-5476 301-594-5665 301-594-2109
301-594-3937 301-594-5476
FAX 301-827-0486 FAX 301-827-6707
FAX 301-827-0486 FAX 301-827-1540 FAX 301-594-5147
Informatic Computation
Safety Analysis Staff Operations Staff
(HFD-901)
Joseph Contrera, Ph.D
301-827-5188 Vacant
FAX 301-827-3787
Office of New Drug Chemistry Office of Generic Drugs Office of Clinical Office of Testing and
(HFD-800) (HFD-600) Pharmacology and Research (HFD-900)
Biopharmaceutics (HFD-850)
Yuan-yuan Chiu, Ph.D. Gary Buehler Lawrence J. Lesko, Ph.D. Frank Sistare, Ph.D. (Actg.)
301-827-5918 301-827-5845 301-594-5690 301-827-5917
FAX 301-594-0746 FAX 301-594-0183 FAX 301-827-7705 FAX 301-827-3787
Division of Pharmaceutical
Division of New Drug Division of Bioequivalence Evaluation III (HFD-880) Division of
(HFD-650) Pharmaceutical Analysis
Chemistry III (HFD-830) (HFD-920)
John Lazor, Pharm.D.
Chi-Wan Chen, Ph.D. Dale P. Conner, Pharm.D.
301-827-2010 Moheb Nasr, Ph.D.
301-827-2001 301-827-5847
FAX 301-827-2579 314-539-2136
FAX 301-827-2103 FAX 301-594-0181 FAX 314-539-2113
from adequate and well-controlled clinical trials to CDER, CBER, or CDRH of the FDA,
respectively. The current regulations for conducting clinical trials and the submission,
review and approval of clinical results for pharmaceutical entities in the United States can
be found in CFR (e.g., see 21 CFR Parts 50, 56, 312, and 314). These regulations are devel-
oped based on the FD&C Act passed in 1938. Table 1.3.1 summarizes the most relevant
regulations with respect to clinical trials. These regulations cover not only pharmaceutical
entities such as drugs, biological products, and medical devices under investigation but
also the welfare of participating subjects and the labeling and advertising of pharmaceuti-
cal products. It can be seen from Table 1.3.1 that pharmaceutical entities can be roughly
divided into three categories based on the FD&C Act and hence the CFR. These categories
include drug products, biological products, and medical devices. For the first category,
a drug is as defined in the FD&C Act (21 U.S.C. 321) as an article that is (1) recognized in
the U.S. Pharmacopeia, official Homeopathic Pharmacopeia of the United States, or offi-
cial National Formulary, or a supplement to any of them; (2) intended for use in the diag-
nosis, cure, mitigation, treatment, or prevention of disease in humans or other animals,
12 INTRODUCTION
or (3) intended to affect the structure or function of the body of humans or other animals.
For the second category, a biological product is defined in the 1944 Biologics Act (46
U.S.C. 262) as a virus, therapeutic serum, toxin, antitoxin, bacterial or viral vaccine, blood,
blood component or derivative, allergenic product, or analogous product, applicable to the
prevention, treatment, or cure of disease or injuries in humans. Finally, a medical device is
defined as an instrument, apparatus, implement, machine contrivance, implant, in vitro
reagent, or other similar or related article, including any component, part, or accessory
that—similar to a drug—is (1) recognized in the official National Formulary or the U.S.
Pharmacopeia or any supplement in them; (2) intended for use in the diagnosis in humans
or other animals; or (3) intended to affect the structure or function of the body of humans
or other animals.
REGULATORY PROCESS AND REQUIREMENTS 13
Table 1.3.1 U.S. Codes of Federal Regulation (CFR) for Clinical Trials Used to
Approve Pharmaceutical Entities
CFR Number Regulations
21 CFR 50 Protection of human subjects
21 CFR 56 Institutional review boards (IRB)
21 CFR 312 Investigational new drug application (IND)
Subpart E Treatment IND
21 CFR 314 New drug application (NDA)
Subpart C Abbreviated applications
Subpart H Accelerated approval
21 CFR 601 Establishment license and product license applications
(ELA and PLA)
Subpart E Accelerated approval
21 CFR 316 Orphan drugs
21 CFR 320 Bioavailability and bioequivalence requirements
21 CFR 330 Over-the-counter (OTC) human drugs
21 CFR 812 Investigational device exemptions (IDE)
21 CFR 814 Premarket approval of medical devices (PMA)
21 CFR 60 Patent term restoration
21 CFR 201 Labeling
21 CFR 202 Prescription drug advertising
The CDER of the FDA has jurisdiction over administration of regulation and approval
of pharmaceutical products classified as drug. These regulations include Investigational
New Drug Application (IND) and New Drug Application (NDA) for new drugs, orphan
drugs, and over-the-counter (OTC) human drugs and Abbreviated New Drug Application
(ANDA) for generic drugs. On the other hand, the CBER is responsible for enforcing the
regulations of biological products through processes such an Establishment License
Application (ELA) or Product License Application (PLA). Administration of the regula-
tions for medical devices belongs to the jurisdiction of the CDRH through Investigational
Device Exemptions (IDE) and Premarket Approval of Medical Devices (PMA) and other
means.
A treatment for a single illness might consist of a combination of drugs, biological
products, and/or medical devices. If a treatment consists of a number of drugs, then it is
called a combined therapy. For example, leuprolide and flutamide are for treatment of dis-
seminated, previously untreated D2 stage prostate cancer. However, if a treatment consists
of a combination of drugs, biologics, and/or devices such as drug with device, biologic
with device, drug with biologic, drug with biologic in conjunction with device, then it is
defined as a combined product. For a combined product consisting of different pharma-
ceutical entities, FDA requires that each of entities should be reviewed separately by
appropriate centers at the FDA. In order to avoid confusion of jurisdiction over a combina-
tion product and to improve efficiency of approval process, the principle of primary mode of
action of a combination product was established in the Safe Medical Devices Act (SMDA) in
1990 (21 U.S.C. 353). In 1992, based on this principle, three intercenter agreements were
signed between CDER and CBER, between CDER and CDRH, and between CBER and
14 INTRODUCTION
CDRH to establish the ground rules for assignment of a combined product and intercenter
consultation (Margolies, 1994).
Phase IV trials generally refer to studies performed after a drug is approved for market-
ing. The purpose for conducting phase IV studies is to elucidate further the incidence of
adverse reactions and determine the effect of a drug on morbidity of mortality. In addition
a phase IV trial is also conducted to study a patient population not previously studied such
as children. In practice, phase IV studies are usually considered useful market-oriented
comparison studies against competitor products.
Note that there is considerable variation within the pharmaceutical industry in categoriz-
ing clinical studies into phases. For example, in addition to phases I through IV described
above, some pharmaceutical companies consider clinical studies conducted for new indica-
tions and/or new formulations (or dosage forms) as phase V studies.
As indicated in the previous section, different regulations exist for different products, such
as IND and NDA for drug products, ELA and PLA for biological products, IDE and PMA
for medical devices. However, the spirit and principles for the conduct, submission, review,
and approval of clinical trials are the same. Therefore, for the purpose of illustration, we
will only give a detailed discussion on IND and NDA for drug products.
Before a drug can be studied in humans, its sponsor must submit an IND to the FDA.
Unless notified otherwise, the sponsor may begin to investigate the drug 30 days after the
FDA has received the application. The IND requirements extend throughout the period
during which a drug is under study. As mentioned in Sections 312.1 and 312.3 of 21 CFR,
an IND is synonymous with Notice of Claimed Investigational Exemption for a New Drug.
Therefore an IND is, legally speaking, an exemption to the law that prevents the shipment
of a new drug for interstate commerce. Consequently the drug companies that file an IND
have flexibility of conducting clinical investigations of products across the United States.
However, it should be noted that different states might have different laws that may require
the sponsors to file separate IND to the state governments. As indicated by Kessler (1989),
there are two types of INDs, commercial and noncommercial. A commercial IND permits
the sponsor to gather the data on the clinical safety and effectiveness needed for an NDA.
If the drug is approved by the FDA, the sponsor is allowed to market the drug for specific
uses. A noncommercial IND allows the sponsor to use the drug in research or early clinical
investigation to obtain advanced scientific knowledge of the drug. Note that the FDA itself
does not investigate new drugs or conduct clinical trials. Pharmaceutical manufacturers,
physicians, and other research organizations such as NIH may sponsor INDs. If a commer-
cial IND proves successful, the sponsor ordinarily submits an NDA. During this period the
sponsor and the FDA usually negotiate over the adequacy of the clinical data and the word-
ing proposed for the label accompanying the drug, which sets out description, clinical
pharmacology, indications and usage, contraindications, warnings, precautions, adverse
reactions, and dosage and administration.
By the time an IND is filed, the sponsor should have enough information about the chem-
istry, manufacturing, and controls of the drug substance and drug product to ensure the iden-
tity, strength, quality, and purity of the investigational drug covered by the IND. In addition the
sponsor should provide adequate information about pharmacological studies for absorption,
distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) and acute, subacute, and chronic toxicologi-
cal studies and reproductive tests in various animal species to support that the investigational
drug is reasonably safe to be evaluated in clinical trials of various durations in humans.
16 INTRODUCTION
dosing schedule, endpoint measurements, and clinical procedure should be submitted along
with the investigational plan and other information such as chemistry, manufacturing, and
controls, pharmacology and toxicology, previous human experiences with the investiga-
tional drug, and any additional information relevant to the investigational drug. Note that the
FDA requires that all sponsors should submit an original and two copies of all submissions
to the IND file, including the original submission and all amendments and reports.
the primary objective based on the primary efficacy endpoint, the statistical hypothesis for
sample size determination can be formulated and stated in the protocol. The treatment
effects assumed in both null and alternative hypotheses with respect to the experimental
design employed in the protocol and the variability assumed for sample size determination
should be described in full detail in the protocol as should the procedures for accurate, con-
sistent, and reliable data. The statistical method section of any protocols should address
general statistical issues often encountered in the study. These issues include randomiza-
tion and blinding, handling of dropouts, premature termination of subjects, and missing
data, defining the baseline and calculation of statistical parameters such as percent change
from baseline and use of covariates such as age or gender in the analysis, the issues of mul-
ticenter studies, and multiple comparisons and subgroup analysis.
If interim analyses or administrative looks are expected, the protocol needs to describe
any planned interim analyses or administrative looks of the data and the composition, func-
tion, and responsibilities of a possible outside data-monitoring committee. The description
of interim analyses consists of monitoring procedures, the variables to be analyzed, the fre-
quency of the interim analyses, adjustment of nominal level of significance, and decision
rules for termination of the study. In addition the statistical methods for analyses of
demography and baseline characteristics together with the various efficacy and safety end-
points should be described fully in the protocol. The protocol must define adverse events,
serious adverse events, and attributions and intensity of adverse events and describe how
20 INTRODUCTION
the adverse events are reported. Other ethical and administration issues should also be
addressed in the protocol. They are warnings and precautions, subject withdrawal and dis-
continuation, protocol changes and deviations, institutional review board and consent
form, obligation of investigators, case report form, and others.
It should be noted that once an IND is in effect, the sponsor is required to submit a pro-
tocol amendment if there are any changes in protocol that significantly affect the subjects’
safety. Under 21 CFR 312.30(b) several examples of changes requiring an amendment are
given. These examples include (1) any increase in drug dosage, duration, and number of
subjects, (2) any significant change in the study design, (3) the addition of a new test or
procedure that is intended for monitoring side effects or an adverse event. In addition the
FDA also requires an amendment be submitted if the sponsor intends to conduct a study
that is not covered by the protocol. As stated in 21 CFR 312.30(a) the sponsor may begin
such study provided that a new protocol is submitted to the FDA for review and is
approved by the institutional review board. Furthermore, when a new investigator is added
to the study, the sponsor must submit a protocol amendment and notify FDA of the new
investigator within 30 days of the investigator being added. Note that modifications of the
design for phase I studies that do not affect critical safety assessment are required to be
reported to FDA only in the annual report.
Safety Report
The sponsor of an IND is required to notify FDA and all participating investigators in a writ-
ten IND safety report of any adverse experience associated with use of the drug. Adverse
experiences need to be reported include serious and unexpected adverse experiences. A seri-
ous adverse experience is defined as any experience that is fatal, life-threatening, requiring
inpatient hospitalization, prolongation of existing hospitalization, resulting in persistent or
significant disability/incapacity, or congenital anomaly/birth defect. An unexpected adverse
experience is referred to as any adverse experience that is not identified in nature, severity,
or frequency in the current investigator brochure or the general investigational plan or else-
where in the current application, as amended.
The FDA requires that any serious and unexpected adverse experience associated with
use of the drug in the clinical studies conducted under the IND be reported in writing to the
agency and all participating investigators within 10 working days. The sponsor is required
to fill out the FDA-1639 form to report an adverse experience. Fatal or immediately life-
threatening experience require a telephone report to the agency within three working days
after receipt of the information. A follow-up of the investigation of all safety information is
also expected.
Treatment IND
During the clinical investigation of the drug under an IND, it may be necessary and ethical
to make the drug available to those patients who are not in the clinical trials. Since 1987
the FDA permits an investigational drug to be used under a treatment protocol or treatment
IND if the drug is intended to treat a serious or immediately life-threatening disease, espe-
cially when there is no comparable or satisfactory alternative drug or other therapy avail-
able to treat that stage of the disease in the intended patient population. FDA, however,
may deny a request for treatment use of an investigational drug under a treatment protocol
or treatment IND if the sponsor fails to show that the drug may be effective for its intended
use in its intended patient population or that the drug may expose the patients to an unrea-
sonable and significant additional risk of illness or injury.
For approval of a new drug, the FDA requires at least two adequate well-controlled clinical
studies be conducted in humans to demonstrate substantial evidence of the effectiveness
and safety of the drug. The substantial evidence as required in the Kefaurer-Harris amend-
ments to the FD&C Act in 1962 is defined as the evidence consisting of adequate and well-
controlled investigations, including clinical investigations, by experts qualified by scientific
training and experience to evaluate the effectiveness of the drug involved, on the basis of
which it could fairly and responsibly be concluded by such experts that the drug will have
the effect it purports to is represented to have under the conditions of use prescribed, rec-
ommended, or suggested in the labeling or proposed labeling thereof. Based on this
amendment, the FDA requests that reports of adequate and well-controlled investigations
provide the primary basis for determining whether there is substantial evidence to support
the claims of new drugs and antibiotics. Section 314.126 of 21 CFR provides the definition
of an adequate and well-controlled study, which is summarized in Table 1.5.1. It can be
seen from Table 1.5.1 that an adequate and well-controlled study is judged by eight criteria
specified in the CFR. These criteria are objectives, method of analysis, design of studies,
selection of subjects, assignment of subjects, participants of studies, assessment of
responses, and effect. First, each study should have a very clear statement of objectives for
clinical investigation such that they can be reformulated into statistical hypotheses and
estimation procedures. In addition proposed methods of analyses should be described in
the protocol and actual statistical methods used for analyses of data should be described in
detail in the report. Second, each clinical study should employ a design that allows a valid
comparison with a control for an unbiased assessment of drug effect. Therefore selection
of a suitable control is one of keys to integrity and quality of an adequate and well-
controlled study. The CFR recognizes the following controls: placebo concurrent control,
dose-comparison concurrent control, no treatment control, active concurrent control, and
historical control. Next, the subjects in the study should have the disease or condition
NEW DRUG APPLICATION 23
under study. Furthermore subjects should be randomly assigned to different groups in the
study to minimize potential bias and ensure comparability of the groups with respect to
pertinent variables such as age, gender, race, and other important prognostic factors. All
statistical inferences are based on such randomization and possibly stratification to achieve
these goals. However, bias will still occur if no adequate measures are taken on the part of
subjects, investigator, and analysts of the study. Therefore blinding is extremely crucial to
eliminate the potential bias from this source. Usually an adequate and well-controlled
study is at least double blinded whereby investigators and subjects are blinded to the treat-
ments during the study. However, currently a triple-blind study in which the sponsor (i.e.,
clinical monitor) of the study is also blinded to the treatment is not uncommon. Another
critical criterion is the validity and reliability of assessment of responses. For example, the
methods for measurement of responses such as symptom scores for benign prostate hyper-
plasia should be validated before their usage in the study (Barry et al., 1992). Finally,
appropriate statistical methods should be used for assessment of comparability among
treatment groups with respect to pertinent variables mentioned above and for unbiased
evaluation of drug effects.
Section 314.50 of 21 CFR specifies the format and content of an NDA, which is sum-
marized in Table 1.5.2. The FDA requests that the applicant should submit a complete
archival copy of the new drug application form (A) to (F) with a cover letter. In addition,
the sponsor needs to submit a review copy for each of the six technical sections with the
cover letter, application form (356H) of (A), index of (B), and summary of (C) as given in
Table 1.5.2 to each of six reviewing disciplines. The reviewing disciplines include chem-
istry reviewers for the chemistry, manufacturing, and controls; pharmacology reviewers
for nonclinical pharmacology and toxicology; medical reviewers for clinical data section;
and statisticians for statistical technical section. The outline of review copies for clinical
reviewing divisions include (1) cover letter, (2) application form (356H), (3) index, (4) sum-
mary, and (5) clinical section. The outline of review copies for statistical reviewing divi-
sion consists of (1) cover letter, (2) application form (356H), (3) index, (4) summary, and
(5) statistical section.
Table 1.5.3 provides a summary of the format and content of a registration dossier for
the European Economic Community (EEC). A comparison of Table 1.5.2 and Table 1.5.3
reveals that the information required by the FDA and ECC for marketing approval of a drug
is essentially the same. However, no statistical technical section is required in the ECC
24 INTRODUCTION
registration. In October 1988, to assist an applicant in presenting the clinical and statistical
data required as part of an NDA submission, the CDER of the FDA issued the Guideline
for the Format and Content of the Clinical and Statistical Sections of an Application under
21 CFR 314.50, which is summarized in Table 1.5.4. The guideline indicates the prefer-
ence of having one integrated clinical and statistical report rather than two separate reports.
A complete submission should include clinical section [21 CFR 314.50(d)(5)], statistical
section [21 CFR 314.50(d)(6)], and case report forms and tabulations [21 CFR 314.50(f)].
The same guideline also provides the content and format of the fully integrated clinical
and statistical report of a controlled clinical study in an NDA. A summary of it is given in
Table 1.5.5. Based on the content and format of the fully integrated and statistical report of
a controlled study required by the FDA, the Structure and Content of Clinical Study
Reports was also issued by the European Community in May 1993. A summary is given in
Table 1.5.6. In addition the European Community also published a guideline entitled Bio-
statistical Methodology in Clinical Trials in Applications for Marketing Authorizations for
Medicinal Products in March 1993.
Expanded Access
A standard clinical development program of phases I, II, and III clinical trials and tradi-
tional approval of a new pharmaceutical entity through IND and NDA processes by the
FDA will generally take between 8 to 12 years with an average cost around $500 million.
Kessler and Feiden (1995) indicated that on average, the FDA receives around 100 origi-
nal NDAs each year. For each NDA submission, FDA requires substantial evidence of
efficacy and safety be provided with fully matured and complete data generated from at
least two adequate and well-controlled studies before it can be considered for approval.
This requirement is necessary for drugs with marginal clinical advantages and for
NEW DRUG APPLICATION 25
treatment of conditions or diseases that are not life-threatening. However, if the diseases
are life-threatening or severely debilitating, then the traditional clinical development and
approval process might not be soon enough for the subjects whose life may be saved by
the promising drugs. According to Section 312.81 in 21 CFR, life-threatening diseases
are defined as (1) the diseases or conditions where the likelihood of death is high unless
the course of the disease is interrupted and (2) diseases or conditions with potentially fatal
outcomes, where the endpoint of clinical trial analysis is survival. On the other hand,
severely debilitating diseases are those that cause major irreversible morbidity. Since
1987 regulations have been established for early access to promising experimental drugs
and for accelerated approval of drugs for treatment of life-threatening or severely debili-
tating diseases.
Expanded access is devised through treatment IND (Section 312.34 of 21 CFR) and
parallel track regulations. For a serious or immediately life-threatening disease with no
satisfactory therapy available, as mentioned before, a treatment IND allows promising
new drugs to be widely distributed even when data and experience are not sufficient
enough for a full marketing approval. On the other hand, for example, for the patients
infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) who are not qualified for clinical tri-
als and have no other alternative treatment, parallel track regulations issued in 1992 pro-
vide a means for these patients to obtain experimental therapy very early in the
development stage through their private physicians. In 1992 the FDA also established the
regulations for accelerated approval of the drug for serious or life-threatening diseases
based on a surrogate clinical endpoint other than survival or irreversible morbidity (Sub-
part H of Section 314 in 21 CFR). A new concept for approval called Telescoping Trials
has also emerged (Kessler and Feiden, 1995). Under this concept, phase III clinical trials
might be totally eliminated. For example, the FDA might consider approval of a drug for a
serious disease which, during phase II clinical trials, demonstrates a positive impact on
survival or irreversible morbidity. The time table for drug evaluation and approval is illus-
trated in Figure 1.5.1 which is adopted from Kessler and Feiden (1995). A successful
example of expanded access and accelerated approval provided by these regulations is the
review and approval of dideoxyinosine (ddI) of Bristol-Myers Squibb Company for
patients with HIV. An expanded access to ddI was initiated in September 1989. The new
drug application based on the data of phase I clinical trials with no control group was filed
in April 1991. The FDA granted conditional approval of the drug in October 1991 based
on a clinical surrogate end point called a CD4⫹ lymphocyte count. With the data from
phases II and III clinical trials submitted in April 1992, the approval of ddI was broadened
in September 1992. The history of ddI case is illustrated in Figure 1.5.2 (also adopted
from Kessler and Feiden, 1995). Another example for fast-track development and acceler-
ated approval is the case of fludarabine phosphate (fludara) for treatment of refractory
chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) (Tessman, Gipson, and Levins, 1994). Fludara is the
first new drug approved for this common form of adult leukemia in the United States over
50 years. The NDA, filed in November 1989 and approved in April 1991, was in fact based
on retrospective analyses of phase II clinical trials conducted by NCI through cooperative
groups including Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) and M.D. Anderson Cancer Center
in Houston, Texas. In addition an early excess to the drug was provided in 1989 through
NCI’s Group C protocol, which is equivalent to NCI’s version of treatment IND. The last
example is the approval of Gleevec (omatinib mesylate) for oral treatment for patients
with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) by the U.S. FDA in 2001. Gleevec is a specific
inhibitor of tyrosine kinase enzymes that plays an important role in CML. Under acceler-
ated approval regulation and orphan drug status, the U.S. FDA reviewed and approved the
marketing application in less than 3 months. This approval for three phases of CML was
based on separate single-arm studies using surrogate endpoints such as major cytogenetic
response. One of these studies was recently published (Kantarjian et al., 2002). However,
the then-U.S. FDA acting commissioner, B. A. Schwetz, D.V.M., Ph.D., indicated that fur-
ther studies are needed to evaluate whether Gleevec provides an actual clinical benefit,
such as improved survival.
28
Figure 1.5.1 Time table for drug evaluation and approval. Drug development can take many years of successively larger clinical studies (top).
The FDA’s expanded-access rules now make available to patients serious illness drugs that are still under investigation (middle). The agency has
also reduced the time it takes to approve new drugs for sale, and it may issue provisional approval for widespread marketing of a compound on
the basis of significantly fewer data than it once required (bottom). A drug may then be removed from the market if later evaluations show that
it is not beneficial. (Source: Kessler and Faiden, 1995.)
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his bunch are going to ‘get’ you, on account of that fight. I heard
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Patrick O’Neill was not smiling now.
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to know, ranger, that he has a scheme of his own for getting rid of
you.”
“Yes? And if I might ask——”
“I shouldn’t tell you, because it isn’t going to work, anyway. He
merely wrote to his brother-in-law—who is my uncle, of course—in
Washington, asking him to see that you are removed from this
district as your conduct is most obnoxious. But that doesn’t mean
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“I think,” said Ranger O’Neill, turning to his horse, “I had better
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“You will not!” Isabelle caught him by the arm. “That’s exactly
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guard and refuse to be drawn into any argument, as you were at
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than anything else.”
“And would you have me stick close to my station, then?” O’Neill’s
eyes held a sparkle it was as well Isabelle did not see. “And what
then, if they come after me there?”
“That,” cried Isabelle, “is beside the point! They would never dare
attack you at the station. What I think they will do is probably start
another quarrel with you, and when you are silly enough to fight,
they mean to—to shoot you, for all I know! Little Bill said: ‘We’re
goin’ to get him, next time, and get him good! And you’ve got to
keep out, I tell you. All this fighting is exactly what they want.’
“And they’ll get what they’re wantin’ or my name is not Patrick
O’Neill! Leave go my arm, Queen Isabelle, and let me carry the war
to the enemy’s camp—for that’s what they taught me at West Point,
and it’s one thing they taught that I thoroughly approve!”
“Oh,” wailed Isabelle, while tears of anger stood in her eyes,
“you’re such a blithering fool! All you Irish can think of is fighting!
You’re worse than Cushman or Waller or any of the other shoot-’em-
up rangers that had to leave or get killed. You promised me you’d
win them to you with kindness and courtesy, and if you break that
promise, I hope they break your head!”
“And thank you for that same, Miss Boyce,” said Patrick O’Neill,
with icy politeness, as he sprang to the saddle. “It’s a fine example
of kindness and courtesy you’re setting me now—as like your father
as one white bean is like another! So I’ll pass it along to Peterson
and Little Bill, and crack their heads as you so sweetly wish them to
do by me!”
He lifted his hat from his thick brown hair and gave her a courtly
bow that left her furiously stamping her foot and gritting her teeth at
him as he galloped away, headed north to the Box S Range that lay
along Bad Cañon Creek, between Lodgepole Basin and Trout Creek
where the sheep had entered. That the trail led homeward as well
never once occurred to Isabelle, who saw him going foolhardily to
place his head in the jaws of the lion that roared for his bones to
crunch; in other words, to fight on their own ground Peterson and
his crowd that had boasted how they would get him.
“She’ll do me the favor to be thinking of me now,” said Patrick
O’Neill to himself, though he never once looked back.
CHAPTER V. PLOTTERS AT WORK.
He stopped to reach forward, poised for the cast, then froze in his
tracks as some one beyond the bushes spoke his name. He turned
his head and stared upward, but could see nothing save the yellow-
leaved thicket.
“Aw, that damn ranger!” came Peterson’s drawling voice. “Forget
him! Plenty of time for gettin’ him outa the way. Now we’ll settle
about the cattle for Whiskers. When will he be through gatherin’
’em?”
“We’re through now with the bunch I told yuh about,” the voice of
Little Bill made reply. “All you can git away with safe. They was
throwed in on Castle Creek yesterday. That’s the reason the old
man’s been keepin’ cattle outa Castle Creek, so the feed’ll be good
to hold his beef steers on till he gits ready to trail ’em out.”
“Somebody’ll stay with ’em, perhaps. Will you be the one, Bill?”
“Aw, they don’t need herdin’, Gus. The drift fence holds ’em from
crossin’ to Drew’s range and they won’t work back up over the ridge
the other way—not with the feed like it is in there. That’s the way
old Boyce figures on savin’ men’s wages. He’ll throw all the beef in
there fast as we gather, and make one drive out. I’m s’posed to be
huntin’ strays over here, Gus.”
Peterson grunted, and another voice which O’Neill did not
recognize spoke up, offering a few choice remarks on the subject of
Boyce’s stinginess. He was answered by yet another, and when
Peterson spoke again, a third man’s voice was raised in protest.
“If you take ’em up around Lodgepole Basin and across Squaw
Gulch and that way—why, hell! You might just as well ride up to
Boyce and tell ’em you got his steers—and what’ll he do to yuh! He’s
goin’ to miss the bunch first time any one rides to Castle Creek, an’ a
blind man could foller their trail.
“Now, what yuh want to do is take ’em out on Drew’s range, on
Limestone. We can break the drift fence there and make it look like
the cattle done it, and take the bunch out that way, on Drew’s
range, and haze some of Drew’s cattle back through the fence onto
Castle Creek. That way, old Boyce won’t miss his cattle for a week,
maybe. Neither will Drew, because he ain’t half through with his
round-up yet. When they’re ready to make their drive out, it’ll look
like the cattle got mixed up, is all. And if Boyce don’t find his steers
over on Drew’s range, let ’em lock horns over it if they want to!
They’re always fighting, anyway, over the line or some darn thing.
“That way, there ain’t any mysterious tracks across Myers Creek
and up Squaw Gulch way, and it’s about as close to where you want
to hold ’em, Gus. Time the brands is healed and you get ’em down
outa that high basin, winter’ll be on and you’re dead safe. You’ll
make a late drive this year with your beef, that’s all, and you’ll have
all Box S brands—see? If that damn O’Neill don’t go prowling around
up there-”
“Aw, what’s goin’ to take him up there? That basin is hemmed in
on all sides with young lodgepole pines, and the chances are he
don’t even know it’s there. Yeah, that scheme oughta work fine,
Gus. We’ll see yuh as far as the hideout, for five dollars a head, and
from then on you’ll have to handle it alone.”
“You fellows should help change the brands, too, for five dollars,”
Peterson objected. “A five-spot just for drivin’ the cattle is too much.
I won’t pay five dollars for just to-night’s work.”
While they wrangled over the money, Patrick O’Neill went down
the creek to where his horse was tied, mounted and urged the
animal across the creek and up the farther side of the cañon, taking
a trail that led sharply away from his objective, which was the trail
up from Bad Cañon to the Box S Ranch. He wanted very much to
see the three men whose voices he failed to recognize.
Little Bill and Peterson, the ranger could swear to, if it came to a
court trial for cattle stealing, but he would feel much easier in his
mind if he had the added evidence of meeting the group riding up
the cañon where he had heard them planning the details of the
crime.
Morenci, the horse, was sweating to his ears when O’Neill finally
reached the trail he wanted and loped along it to Bad Cañon. The
detour had been made in record time, but even so he was too late,
as he was forced to admit when he rode down to the creek at the
point where he had heard the discussion, and found the men gone.
A windowless log hut set back from the creek bank beyond the
willow thicket had been their meeting place, he discovered. There
were signs enough of their presence—cigarette stubs on the dirt
floor, burned matches, boot tracks, while farther back from the creek
he found the place where they had tied their horses.
“They went down the creek, and I missed them entirely,” he
decided ruefully, at last. “Rode straight away from them as if the
devil was after me, when all I had to do was stop where I was, at
the creek with my fishing tackle, and they’d have been atop of me
before they knew I was there—and me with the best and most
peaceful excuse any man could want! Pat, me lad, you should be
well booted for that blunder!”
That night they would make the drive, they had said. They were
wise to hurry the job, since there was little time to spare before the
winter snows would send the stolen herd down from the high basin;
and the altered brands would take some time to heal so that the
theft would not be apparent. Furthermore, it was only a matter of
days until Boyce or Drew would discover the broken drift fence and
begin to search for strayed cattle.
Ranger O’Neill rode with a cigarette gone cold from neglect
between his lips while he pondered the best manner of protecting
Boyce. He could ride to the Bar B and warn them——
“But what if those strange men are Bar B riders?” he argued the
point with himself. “Or what if Boyce is not at home, or more likely
starts his tongue wagging at me and stirs the Irish before I get out
the news? I’d ride away and let Peterson put through the steal—if
Boyce makes me mad enough. And the time is short for a ride to the
Bar B and back again to Castle Creek soon enough to stop them.
“Morenci, you’ve the mark of a good cow pony in the way you
handle yourself on range inspection, and if you work fast enough,
I’m thinking we can handle this little matter alone; though it’s little
encouragement I’ve lately received for playing the patron saint to old
Boyce. Still, there’s a way to work it that appeals to my sense of
humor, and it’s that we’re going to do. So shake a leg, Morenci!
You’ve a lot of violent exercise between you and your feed box to-
night.”
And Patrick O’Neill, for the first time that day, whistled under his
breath, as he galloped, to show how content he was with his
mission.
CHAPTER VI. A QUICK CHANGE.
Later Pat O’Neill did not whistle, though he still rode in haste. The
afternoon was older than he had suspected when he rode up out of
Bad Cañon and across the high grazing ground that lay between his
fishing place and Lodgepole Basin. He had a plan which he felt
would work beautifully, if only he had time for it; but now with the
sinking of the sun, he was not so sure. A great deal depended upon
his horse, and he had not spared the animal in his roundabout ride
to cut the homeward trail of Peterson and his men.
“First, I must be sure that Boyce’s steers are safe,” he decided,
and crossed Limestone Creek with a splash and a clatter of hoofs on
the stones. “It’s a new range the Bar B cattle are on, and if I can
read the mind of cow brutes, they have traveled as far down the
creek as they can go. They will not be satisfied to stay at the upper
end of the bottom where the grass is quite as good, but must range
farther in the vain hope of finding range that pleases them better. At
any rate, it’s worth the gamble.”
As he opened the wire gate in the drift fence which separated
Drew’s range from Boyce’s on Castle Creek just above its junction
with Limestone, the parklike basin was dusky with the coming of
night, but as he led his horse through, closed the gate and
remounted, a steer snorted dew from its nostrils not far away. O’Neill
turned and rode that way, peering down satisfiedly at the dark forms
of the Bar B beef steers bedded down on a rise of ground just back
from the creek and the mosquitoes and close to the fence.
“What did I tell you, Morenci? Now, rout them up and we’ll haze
them on down the fence toward Picket Pin. If it’s through a fence
they want to travel, they may try the other side of the fence on
Picket Pin and welcome—and the farther they drift, the safer they’ll
be, though it will make more work for the Bar B riders.”
When he had finished that job and the Bar B steers were plodding
in the dark to find another bed ground on Picket Pin, Patrick O’Neill
cautiously lighted a match in the crown of his hat and looked at his
watch.
“Eight o’clock and our work only begun! Get away from here,
Morenci, and show the stuff that’s in you!” And striking into a cow
path that wound through thickets of aspen and across little open
glades, he pelted away up Castle Creek to the steep trail where the
rim rock broke down in a great slide of boulders on the divide
between Myers Creek and Castle.
When he reached Lodgepole Basin, his watch said ten o’clock and
Ranger O’Neill had a deep crease between his eyebrows, for Morenci
was wet to his ears—and that not from splashing through creeks,
though he had crossed two—and there were more cattle to be
moved.
But these were Peterson’s and Ranger O’Neill was not so gentle.
Across Lodgepole Basin, he galloped, to where a hundred head or
more of Box S cattle ranged happily enough and had for their bed
ground a knoll not far from Squaw Gulch, which was not very distant
from the Myers Creek divide. For the Stillwater Forest Reserve, you
must know, is a network of streams and their cañons, once you are
back in the hills.
So Ranger O’Neill made a hasty gathering of Peterson’s cattle and
hazed them along at a lumbering gallop to the fenced gap in the rim
rock and so down into the Castle Creek pasture which was leased to
Boyce. Just for good measure he rode after them and threw a hastily
gathered rock or two, and the cattle went down the creek as if a full
crew rode hard at their heels.
Ranger O’Neill pulled up and listened until the last sound of
whipping brush and the clicking of cloven feet against the rocks had
died to silence. The cattle were tired after that headlong drive up
Myers Creek to the rim. It had been steep in places and only the
manner in which he had rushed them along had held them to the
trail. Morenci was standing with his feet slightly braced—the mark of
a tired horse—and his flanks palpitating with exhaustion. O’Neill
listened while the horse caught his wind, then suddenly he leaned
forward and gave the reeking neck a grateful slap.
“Not a dozen horses in the district could have done it, and that’s
the truth, Morenci!” Then he fell silent, though his thoughts went on
quite as definitely as if he were actually speaking them.
“No sound of riders down below there, so the cattle will quiet
down before Peterson comes for them—he chooses late hours for his
stealing, thank the Lord! So now let him steal his own stock, though
what he’ll think or what he’ll say when he sees their brands in the
morning, I sure would like to know. I’d like to go and collect a bit of
gratitude from Queen Isabelle and the Honorable Standish Boyce for
this night’s work, but that will have to wait until Thursday, for I’m
due at Blind Bridger to-morrow. But when I do see her, she will
admit I’m doing much to promote peace and quiet along the
Stillwater, I’m thinking.”
Wherefore Ranger Patrick O’Neill was a contented young man
although a weary one as he rode home under the cool stars of
midnight. Morenci got an extra rubdown as well as his supper before
O’Neill went away to the cabin to fill his own empty stomach. The
fish he had caught were far past their fresh toothsomeness and he
threw them away and dined upon what happened to stand ready
cooked in the cupboard. But it was a good night’s work and he
grinned over it frequently.
“Murray would appreciate that!” O’Neill chuckled, as he pulled off
his boot. He was thinking of Peterson’s slack-jawed amazement
when he recognized the cattle he had stolen away from Castle Creek
that night.
The ranger’s last thought as he put his head on the pillow was of
the peppery Bar B owner and his probable mystification when he
found his beef herd over on the Picket Pin. Some one would catch a
tongue lashing, O’Neill suspected.
“But I’ll ride over and tell him about it before he has time to
discover the change of pasture,” he comforted himself. “Peterson
was counting on a week or so before the rustling would be
suspected, and I’ll see Boyce before then. And Isabelle,” he added
sleepily, and then began to dream of all that he would have to say.
CHAPTER VII. FROM BAD TO WORSE.
“Sure and a most loyal subject bows before the queen this day!”
cried Patrick O’Neill, with his best brogue and a somewhat self-
satisfied grin on his face. “I was scarce hoping you’d ride out to
meet me, and that’s why I was taking the short cut to the Bar B this
morning. I’ve things to report that——”
“I should think you would have,” Isabelle Boyce told him sharply.
“With all this mix-up over the cattle, and the trouble it’s making, I
should think you would have something to say on the subject! Do
you know how Tod Drew’s cattle came to be on father’s best range,
and father’s beef herd over on that barren ground that wouldn’t
furnish grazing for a sheep? And the drift fence down——”
“Do I know? It’s a night’s sleep I lost in getting full knowledge of
the mystery, Queen Isabelle! I drove your father’s cattle to the Picket
Pin——”
“Indeed?” So much meaning may be crowded into one word with
a rising inflection that Patrick O’Neill felt a momentary panic. “I
hope, Mr. O’Neill, you will oblige me with your reasons for so
astounding a piece of trouble making. I am frankly curious to know
what possessed you to commit such a deed.”
“It was a good deed, of which I am proud to tell,” he informed
her, secretly pleased at the dramatic change he would presently
produce in her mood. “On last Friday afternoon I chanced to hear a
plan to steal your father’s gathering of beef steers which he was
holding on Castle Creek. Peterson was the leader, and they meant to
tear down the drift fence between your father’s range and Drew’s,
and drive out the steers that way. They would then drive as many of
Drew’s cattle as they could handily gather through the fence and
onto Castle Creek, so that it would look as though the cattle had
broken down the drift fence and were trespassing of their own
accord, and it would not be suspected at once that the beef herd
was stolen. Castle Creek Basin being brushy in the hollows, the plan
had a fair chance of success.
“I failed to see the men—and that was a bit of bad guessing, of
which I am not proud. But I recognized the voice of a Bar B rider,
among others. It was late, and though I could have waited at the
drift fence and held them up when they came, I could bring no
charge against them unless they had actually stolen the cattle. So I
thought I would play a trick on Peterson.
“I went to Castle Creek and moved the Bar B steers out of harm’s
way—regretting the poor pasturage but having little time to choose a
range for them. Then I rode back to Lodgepole, where a bunch of
Peterson’s cattle grazed, took them across Squaw Gulch to the head
of Myer’s Creek, and up over the divide and through the gap to
Castle Creek Basin. It was fast work and it was pretty work, Miss
Boyce, and I repeat that I am proud of it!”
With lips slightly parted and eyes wider than usual, Isabelle stared
at him and did not speak. So presently the grin smoothed itself from
his lips and the twinkle died in his eyes and left a puzzled look there,
which could easily turn hostile.
“Would you rather I had let them take your father’s whole beef
herd and run the fat off them getting them into some hidden place
in the mountains? Or perhaps you think I should have confronted
Peterson and fought the lot of them!”
“Of course I don’t think you should do anything so insane! But it
couldn’t be much worse. Why didn’t you come and tell father? Why
did you let days go by without saying a word? Is it possible you
don’t know that father and Tod Drew are always at sword’s points
over something, and jump at the least excuse for quarreling? You’ve
managed to stir up a pretty mess, Mr. O’Neill. You may have saved
father’s beef herd—but what is that when he and Drew have sent
each other warning that it will be shoot on sight from now on? I’ve
had all I could do to keep father from riding over and killing Drew
deliberately!”
“It couldn’t be for what I did the other night,” O’Neill protested.
“What if the fence is down and Drew’s cattle were found on your
father’s range? That’s not a shooting matter, with sane men.”
Isabelle gave him a withering look. “Oh, how can you be so
dense! Do you suppose for one minute that father could ride to
Castle Creek and discover Tod Drew’s cattle there, and his own
driven over on Picket Pin—because there was no fence broken down
there to lay the blame on the cattle!—without doing something
about it? He drove Drew’s cattle off with his six-shooter. He killed
one and crippled another so Drew had to have it shot. If Tod Drew
had been at that drift fence, Mr. O’Neill, there would have been
murder! There will be yet, if something isn’t done to stop them, for
Tod Drew shot our cattle with a shotgun! For a man who was going
to do such great things in psychology,” she cried distractedly, “and
instill both liking and respect for the forest service into the hearts of
the Stillwater men, you have promoted as bloodthirsty a feud as
ever happened anywhere! The only difference is that it is confined to
two men, so far—though the cowboys are just as likely to take it up
as not, just for the excitement of it!”
“I have received no instructions, Miss Boyce, for guarding the
morals of other men,” Patrick O’Neill said somewhat stiffly. “But since
your respected parent has not yet committed a murder as well as a
felony against his neighbor’s property, I have time enough perhaps
to curb his homicidal tendencies. A bit of an explanation will clear
the air, I’m thinking.” And he reached for Morenci’s dragging bridle
reins.
“You’re never going to face them now and tell them you did it?”
Isabelle’s voice rose to a high note of protest. “They’ll kill you!”
But Ranger O’Neill was in the saddle and away, pelting along to
Drew’s place, since that was closer than the Bar B. Isabelle watched
him out of sight, then mounted and galloped up the road in the dust
cloud he left behind him, her heart beating queerly, away up in her
throat.
It is strange how training oft will drop away from a man like a
garment of winter grown uncomfortable as summer approaches, yet
fall into place when the need of it arises again. So with Ranger
Patrick O’Neill when he pulled up his horse at Drew’s gate. In the
years since West Point he had put aside much of his military bearing
in everyday life, and he had gone rather irresponsibly out to meet
life, with his rollicky Irish manner to the front because it was easy to
wear.
Yet when he dismounted and walked up the path to the house, his
back was straight and his step was alert, his chest was out and his
belt was in and his eyes looked with keen discernment straight into
the leathery countenance of Tod Drew, who glanced cautiously out
of a near-by window before he opened the door to his insistent
knocking.
“Mr. Drew, I came to report what I know of the drift fence being
broken between your range and the Bar B lease on Castle Creek last
Friday night.” And Ranger O’Neill forthwith explained, with malice
toward none and naming no names, but making himself perfectly
clear for all that.
“I have no direct evidence upon which to convict these men, for I
failed to get a sight of them. There was little time to forestall them,
Mr. Drew, but I did what seemed to me best as a measure of
precaution. Since there has been a misunderstanding in the matter
of the cattle, I stand ready to make a fair adjustment of whatever
damages may have resulted from my removal of the Bar B herd
without due notice. I want you to go with me to call upon Mr. Boyce,
and I feel sure we can arrive at a friendly understanding.” Then, and
not until then, Drew had a glimpse of the grin that was so much a
part of Patrick O’Neill.
Drew gave O’Neill a peculiar, squinting look. “Say, me and that old
he-wolf has promised to swap lead however and wherever we meet
up with each other!” he stated emphatically, at last. “I’ll have to ride
up a-shootin’, or he’ll likely think I’m scared and plug me fer a
sheep!”
“Not if I ride with you,” urged Patrick O’Neill.
“Dern that ole pelican! he shot two steers fer me——”
“And you killed one or two for him, but if necessary I can arrange
to pay for the damages. There’s nothing like going straight out
toward trouble, Mr. Drew. Nine times in ten it backs out of sight as
you ride toward it. If you’re willing to take a chance——”
“Oh, I was goin’ to ride over there and have it out with him,”
Drew told him, with dark meaning. “I’m willin’ to meet the old coot
halfway, whether it’s shootin’ or shakin’ hands!”
“I’ve had it in mind to get you two together and see what can be
done about clearing out this rustling. You may be the next to suffer,
you know. I’m here to do whatever you two think best——”
“Well, I got an idea we might set some kinda trap——”
Shortly thereafter, Isabelle Boyce reined her horse out of the trail
to let the two riders pass. Her heart was still beating heavily in her
throat, but she would not acknowledge the smiling salute she
received from Ranger O’Neill. They were headed for her father’s
ranch, but she refused to hurry after them; instead, she waited a
while before she turned her horse toward home. Of course, with Tod
Drew talking and gesticulating in his usual manner, she could not
think that he was going to do murder. Ranger O’Neill would put a
stop to all that. But her father would rave and threaten and she
doubted whether he would stop long enough to listen to the story
which Ranger O’Neill had to tell, or believe it when it was told.
But when she rode up to the house, there stood the two horses
tied to the fence, and there were no high voices to be heard. She
stood for a minute on the porch, looking and listening. A murmur of
conversational tones floated out from the living room, and she went
in and stood just outside the closed door, eavesdropping with no
compunction whatever.
“If one of my men is involved in this nefarious spoilation of the
range,” her father’s rasping voice was saying, “I see no way of
exculpating the others until such time as the thieves are
apprehended. Mr. O’Neill, I must concur in one statement which you
have made, and that is the statement that leasers of government
property are entitled to government protection. I shall write to my
relative, who stands very close to the head of the department of
forestry in Washington——”
Isabelle gave a relieved little laugh which caught in her throat like
a strangled sob, and ran upstairs to choose a dainty dress—just in
case Ranger O’Neill was invited to stay for supper.
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