Medical Industries in Africa - Final - Ag Web
Medical Industries in Africa - Final - Ag Web
TRADE IMPACT
FOR GOOD
Medical Industries in Africa
COVID-19 has severely strained the supply of certain healthcare products. This report shows that Africa can
position itself strategically and develop a regional response to avert future shortages of such products.
Supporting health and positioning the continent strategically in the future trade landscape of the global
medical industry are compatible objectives. Opening markets, diversifying supply and reinforcing regional
value chains to combat COVID-19 would build resilience to future pandemics and help Africa become a
competitive supplier of certain health-related goods. The African Continental Free Trade Agreement
(AfCFTA) has a vital role to play in supporting these value chains.
Page count: 20
Language: English
Citation: International Trade Centre (2020). Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages. ITC, Geneva.
ITC encourages the reprinting and translation of its publications to achieve wider dissemination. Short extracts of this paper may be
freely reproduced, with due acknowledgement of the source. Permission should be requested for more extensive reproduction or
translation. A copy of the reprinted or translated material should be sent to ITC.
ITC is the joint agency of the World Trade Organization and the United Nations.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Foreword
The COVID-19 pandemic has severely burdened the global health system, especially in terms of accessing
medical supplies. The World Health Organization warned in early March 2020 that global production of
certain personal protective equipment would have to increase dramatically to meet the surge in international
demand.
For many countries in Africa, access to these essential materials is complicated by the introduction of export
restrictions from their already limited number of suppliers. Business surveys on non-tariff measures
conducted by the International Trade Centre (ITC) provided evidence to show that complex regulatory
requirements and rules of origin have added pressures on African trade of COVID-19-related products.
We are pleased to present this paper, which aims to support the recently launched UN Framework for the
Immediate Socio-Economic Response to COVID-19, as well as the discussions around the implementation
of the AfCFTA.
In the report, we examine the potential of the African medical supply industry and show how trade can be an
important element of the continent’s health response, both in the short and long term. We suggest a strategic
mix of open markets, diversified procurement and stronger regional value chains to combat the current health
crisis, build Africa’s resilience against future pandemics and help the region become a competitive supplier
of certain health-related products.
As we continue to respond to COVID-19, we hope this report demonstrates our capacity as an institution to
produce prompt, targeted studies to meet immediate needs. We also hope it will serve as a springboard for
future analyses of the health sector and other critical topics.
Dorothy Tembo
Executive Director a.i.
International Trade Centre
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Acknowledgements
Julia Spies conceptualized and prepared this report with valuable research assistance from Maria Cantero,
Dumebi Ochem and Sylvain Périllat. Xavier Pichot kindly shared all tariff and tax data. Ursula Hermelink and
Abdellatif Benzakri kindly provided insights from ITC business surveys on non-tariff measures. Mondher
Mimouni and Lionel Fontagné (Paris School of Economics) offered useful guidance and comments.
Natalie Domeisen and Anne Griffin managed the editorial production of the report and oversaw quality
control. Jennifer Freedman edited the report. Serge Adeagbo and Franco Iacovino provided graphic and
digital printing support.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Contents
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Acronyms
Unless otherwise specified, all references to dollars ($) are to United States dollars, and all references to
tons are to metric tons.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Executive summary
On 3 March 2020, the World Health Organization announced that global production of certain personal
protective equipment would have to ramp up by 40% to meet the surge in international demand due to
COVID-19. Breaking the numbers down to the regional level implies that African health responders alone
need 15.3 million masks, 5.2 million gowns, 273,300 goggles and 13.1 million gloves every month.
The World Health Organization also estimated that Africa would need half a million litres of disinfectant every
month. 1 Demand for other medical supplies, such as ventilators, test kits and therapy equipment, has been
rising as well.
This report examines how Africa could strategically position itself and develop a regional response to these
shortages. We suggest three solutions:
When many suppliers restrict exports of medical products, it becomes essential to consider facilitating market
access by temporarily lifting tariffs and other regulations. While most developed countries had taken steps
to liberalize trade by May 2020, developing countries in Africa and elsewhere were lagging behind.
ITC business surveys on non-tariff measures show that firms in Africa, more often than elsewhere, have
difficulty importing health-related products. In this spirit, a ‘fast lane’, similar to the one in place for perishable
goods, would allow quick customs clearance and rapid arrival of these goods where they are most needed.
2. Diversify suppliers
Africa sources most medical products from the European Union, China and India. On average, the continent
supplies just 8% of such goods to African markets.
The ITC export potential analysis, which takes into account supply and demand conditions as well as bilateral
trade linkages, identifies suppliers with unrealized potential to export health-related products to Africa. Egypt,
for example, would be a viable supplier of adhesive bandages with scope to increase exports to the continent.
Other regional suppliers with export growth potential in selected products to the African market include
Ghana and South Africa.
Governments must look beyond current capacities to secure access to essential supplies. While Africa
possesses many of the key inputs used to manufacture health-related products – such as rubber, fabrics
and ethanol – these goods are often exported without any transformation.
Policymakers could support the development of regional value chains by channeling investments into these
sectors and by leveraging negotiations in the context of the African Continental Free Trade Agreement
(AfCFTA) to ensure that trade functions smoothly along these value chains.
1
World Health Organization estimates of total monthly requirements during COVID-19, broken down to the regional level based on
population data from the International Labour Organization.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Africa sources mainly from the European Union, China and India. African countries are rarely among the
major suppliers of medical products. Hydrogen medications are the most traded product in Africa, with
exports amounting to $340 million, followed by test kits at $150 million and urine bags at $98 million. South
Africa, Eswatini and Kenya together account for more than two-thirds of total intra-African exports.
Globally, the top five exporters account for 71% of African imports of personal protective equipment, 66% of
imports of disinfectants and sterilizers, and 48% of imports of other medical products (Figure 1).
Some of the key suppliers of health products to Africa have restricted exports since the start of the pandemic,
complicating the continent’s access to these vital materials. On average, 76% of African imports of personal
protective equipment and 72% of other medical supplies were subject to temporary trade measures in May
2020. Access to both textile and filtered masks was particularly difficult, with 96% and 90% of African imports,
respectively, facing trade restrictions.
Note: Data as of May 2020. Product groups according to the list of COVID-19-related products from the World Customs Organization.
Trade data are a weighted average of 2014–2018 direct and mirror reports (which contain information from partners when a country
does not report its trade).
Source: ITC Trade Map and Market Access Map.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
For many African countries, tariffs are an important source of government revenue and may be justified to
protect emerging industries. Yet, an immediate response to facilitate access to key health products requires
open markets.
Note: Data as of May 2020. For Egypt, the average tariff rate for alcohol solution 80- (HS 220890) encompasses national tariff lines
for alcoholic beverages (with most-favoured nation tariffs of 3,000%) and undenatured ethyl alcohol (with most-favoured nation tariffs
of 30%). We have used the applied tariff rates of the latter.
Source: Own calculations based on data from ITC Market Access Map.
High tariffs affect prices and the ability of companies to import sufficient amounts of some of the most vital
materials needed to fight a pandemic such as COVID-19.
To facilitate market access, 88 countries had reduced import duties or internal taxes on health products by
May 2020. Among those, 38 are developed and 50 are developing economies.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
In Africa, Angola, Cameroon, Chad, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Togo,
United Republic of Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe lifted or reduced import tariffs on medical products. 2
Other governments may have decided to follow suit to improve immediate access to essential life-saving
goods.
What products are the most protected? Figure 3 shows that alcohols, and in particular ‘undenatured, 75%
ethyl alcohol’, has the highest average tariff, with prohibitive rates in Zimbabwe, Liberia and Angola. Although
Angola and Zimbabwe temporarily exempted this product from import duties, Liberia still charged an ad
valorem equivalent tariff of 81% at the time of analysis.
Specific types of protective garments are highly protected as well. Cabo Verde applies rates of 40% on
surgical garments, gloves and hair nets, for instance.
Finally, soaps face a 37% tariff in Egypt (in bars) and 50% in Cabo Verde (liquid). Interestingly, the preference
given to African suppliers is often quite small.
In addition to tariffs, internal taxes add to the price of medical supplies and make them less affordable.
Alcohol solutions in both varieties, with less and with more than 80% ethanol, are most heavily taxed at 46%
and 36%, respectively, followed by plastic bags, gloves and garments. Liquid soap, considered essential to
follow World Health Organization hand hygiene recommendations, 3 faces significant tariffs and taxes in
Africa.
Algeria, Cameroon, Congo, Ethiopia and Equatorial Guinea all levy taxes of 20% or more on average on
health-related goods. Ten countries, among them Cameroon, temporarily exempted products from value-
added taxes to fight COVID-19.
2
Information as of the time of writing. The situation of temporary trade measures changes rapidly. To remain up to date, please consult
macmap.org/covid19.
3
https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/inaugural-who-partners-forum/who-interim-recommendation-on-obligatory-hand-hygiene-
against-transmission-of-covid-19.pdf.
3
Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Figure 3 Equatorial Guinea, Ethiopia and Congo apply highest taxes on medical items
Note: Data as of May 2020. For Egypt, the average tariff rate for alcohol solution 80- (HS 220890) encompasses national tariff lines
for alcoholic beverages (with most-favoured nation tariffs of 3,000%) and undenatured ethyl alcohol (with most favoured nation tariffs
of 30%). We have used the applied rates of the latter. Dashed patterns show countries that have lowered taxes on medical items.
Source: Own calculations based on data from ITC Market Access Map.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Figure 4 African businesses face the most difficulty to import medical supplies
Africa
Other developing
EU + United Kingdom
Source: ITC business surveys on non-tariff measures in 19 African and 47 other countries.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Africa sources most of its medical supplies from a limited number of countries, some of which had restricted
their exports to avoid shortages at home. Diversifying procurement may allow the continent to ensure access
to these products and increase resilience to future crises.
Note: Concentration of supply is measured by the Herfindahl Index, which calculates the sum of squared import shares of each
African country from any given supplier. For example, if for a given product, a country sources 50% of its imports from one supplier
and 50% from another one, it would have a Herfindahl index of 0.52 + 0.52 = 0.5. Trade data are a weighted average of 2014–2018
direct and mirror reports.
Source: Own calculations based on data from ITC Trade Map.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
This is true for products above the diagonal 45°- line in Figure 5. The figure suggests that Africa diversifies
its suppliers less than average for goods exported by a limited number of countries, such as scintigraphy
apparatus, paper masks and garments or hair nets. On the contrary, when many suppliers offer a product,
as is the case for stethoscopes or polymerase chain reaction test kits, known as PCR test kits, Africa
diversifies its procurement relatively successfully.
Table 1 shows the market share and export values of the main supplier as well as the availability of other
suppliers that could boost their exports to Africa of some of the products for which the continent’s sourcing
is relatively concentrated. It shows that for many products, both the main supplier and the next best suppliers
were restricting exports in May 2020.
Interestingly, Ghana is already Africa’s major supplier of ethanol with less than 80% alcohol content and had
not introduced temporary export measures. Likewise, Egypt would be a viable alternative for adhesive
bandages with scope to increase exports to the continent. Finally, South Africa, the continent’s main supplier
of paper masks and garments, kept the exports of these products open.
Hair nets China (79%, $97 million) Viet Nam, Italy, Germany, United Kingdom
Alcohol solution 80- Ghana (25%, $33 million) China, United Kingdom, Lebanon
Adhesive bandages China (36%, $22 million) United Kingdom, Egypt, Finland
Plastic gloves and garments China (69%, $67 million) Hong Kong SAR, Viet Nam, Canada
Protective goggles China (60%, $35 million) Thailand, United States, Hong Kong SAR
Paper masks and garments South Africa (28%, $1 million) Belgium, Portugal, Thailand
Note: Data as of May 2020. Blue = export ban/restriction. Trade data are a weighted average of 2014–2018 direct and mirror reports.
Source: Own calculations based on data from ITC Trade Map, Market Access Map and Export Potential Map.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
The strategic importance given to the medical supply sector likely will remain even after the pandemic. Africa
could position itself by ramping up production capacities for certain healthcare products that rely on raw
materials widely available on the continent.
While Africa accounts for a small share of world exports of personal protective equipment, the continent
holds a significant share of exports of certain inputs into these products (Figure 6). The relative abundance
of some ingredients into medical supply production in Africa opens up possibilities to develop regional value
chains and contribute to the global supply of these items in the medium term.
Figure 6 Africa exports many key inputs for personal protective equipment
Masks
Main input: Synthetic nonwoven fabrics
Gloves
Main input: Latex
Disinfectants
Main input: Alcohol solution 80+
Output Input
Note: The following inputs are considered. Disinfectants (HS 380894 & 380840) – Alcohol solution 80+ (HS 220710), Gloves (HS
401511) – Latex (HS 400110), Masks with filters (HS 902000) – Synthetic nonwoven fabrics (HS 560311). Trade data are a weighted
average of 2014–2018 direct and mirror reports.
Source: Own calculations based on data from ITC Trade Map.
Disinfectants require three inputs: ethanol diluted with distilled water, glycerol and plastic bottles. As Figure
7 shows, Africa already produces ethanol, plastic bottles and caps in sufficient quantities. Providing nearly
half a million bottles and caps corresponds to a fraction of Africa’s monthly exports of these products (0.2%
and 0.1%), with Egypt and South Africa being the main suppliers.
Likewise, the required 374,000 litres of ethanol constitute just 1.5% of the continent’s (and 2.2% of South
Africa’s) current monthly exports.
Local glycerol production, however, might be insufficient to meet the requirements to produce disinfectants.
This means a global sourcing strategy would be needed.
South Africa, the continent’s only net exporter of disinfectants, sources glycerol mostly from Malaysia and
Argentina. An alternative supplier could be Germany, which has an unrealized export potential for glycerol
of $2.9 million to South Africa, and $6.9 million to all of Africa.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Figure 7 South Africa and Egypt could supply inputs used to make disinfectants in Africa
Note: Price estimate for ethanol — $0.63 per litre, for glycerol — $2.06 per litre.
Source: ITC Trade Map and Export Potential Map.
For surgical gloves, Africa now relies almost entirely on imports from non-African suppliers. Malaysia, China
and India account for 76% of total imports. While surgical-grade gloves can be produced using different types
of materials, the most common is latex. Figure 6 shows that while Africa accounts for only 0.2% of the global
supply in gloves, it exports 1.5% of the world’s latex.
Some African countries with abundant rubber resources could earmark a share of these resources for the
production of gloves. Côte d’Ivoire, Ghana and Cameroon have exported significant amounts of latex over
the past years, but they do not export any surgical gloves.
Using 5% of Africa’s monthly exports of latex would be sufficient to produce the 13 million gloves that health
responders across the continent need each month during the pandemic.
Masks and gowns – subject to trade measures in 75 countries – require synthetic nonwoven fabrics, of which
Africa contributes 3.5% to world exports. Despite the local availability of this input, mask and gown production
has been limited so far.
By allocating 7% of synthetic nonwoven fabrics, Africa could meet its own monthly requirement of filtered
masks.
Figure 8 visualizes the value chain for masks. It shows that while Egypt largely exports synthetic nonwoven
fabrics, both Egypt and South Africa export large quantities of the primary ingredient (polypropylene in
primary forms) used to produce these fabrics.
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
Figure 8 South Africa and Egypt could supply inputs used to produce masks with filters
Note: Trade data are a weighted average of 2014-2018 direct and mirror reports.
Source: ITC Trade Map.
• In South Africa, a team of engineers has developed a low-cost bag-valve resuscitator for less critical cases.
The Government launched a National Ventilator Project that aimed to produce 1,500 ventilators by the end of
May and 10,000 by the end of June.
• Under the umbrella of the Kenyan Association of Manufacturers, a prototype of an intensive care unit
respirator has been developed in Nairobi that is estimated to become available at a quarter of the cost of an
imported device.
• In Zimbabwe, universities across different provinces are driving the production of masks, gloves and hand
sanitizers, which they provide to hospitals and government institutions.
• In Mozambique, Cornelder de Moçambique, a cargo concessionaire, has teamed up with non-profit initiatives
to produce 2,000 protective masks and visors each day.
• In Morocco, micro, small and medium-sized enterprises can submit projects to seek investment from the
National Agency for the Promotion of Small and Mid-Sized Enterprises to manufacture masks, medical bibs,
antiseptic gels, medical alcohol, hygiene products, ventilators and hazmat suits.
• In Tunisia, the Ministry of Industry gathered a multidisciplinary team of volunteers from the public and private
sectors and civil society to produce 5,000 medical face shields.
• Burkina Faso launched an operation to produce masks for students and teachers as part of measures to fight
COVID-19.
The average tariff rate for disinfectants from African suppliers is 7.1%, while imports from outside Africa face
an average tariff level of 8.8%. The average tariff on highly concentrated ethanol – the main ingredient in
disinfectants – is 14.2% for intra-African trade and 16.7% for extra-African imports. Likewise, the average
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Medical Industries in Africa: A Regional Response to Supply Shortages
tariff applied to imports of surgical gloves from African suppliers is 5%, marginally lower than the 5.2% tariff
charged to non-African suppliers.
For filtered masks, African suppliers enjoy just a slightly more attractive average tariff (2.9% versus 3.3% for
non-African suppliers).
Evidence from ITC business surveys on non-tariff measures suggests that trade-related regulations
disproportionately affect intra-African trade. While African countries export just 32% of their medical products
to African markets, they are responsible for 72% of the burdensome non-tariff measures faced by African
exporters.
Most challenges when exporting to Africa stem from rules of origin that make it difficult for companies to
benefit even from the small tariff advantages they enjoy today on African markets.
The African Continental Free Trade Agreement therefore has a vital role to play.
Tariff cuts and trade facilitation measures to support the free flow of health products and their ingredients
regionally will be an important step in supporting regional value chains in selected medical products. Such
measures will help build the continent’s resilience to global health crises and diversify the global supply.
It remains important for AfCFTA negotiations and implementation to prioritize these aspects. In the interim,
the regional integration organizations must consolidate efforts and serve as building blocks for the AfCFTA.
• Critically reviewing the tariffs and taxes imposed and removing them temporarily where required.
• Examining import regulations, e.g. licensing and registration requirements, and temporarily lifting (or
easing) them where feasible without compromising on health or other security standards.
• Reviewing import procedures for critical products and streamlining them across the different regional
economic communities. Also weighing a ‘fast lane’ with quick customs clearance similar to the ones
used for perishable goods.
• Diversifying suppliers to reduce dependency and protect against temporary export restrictions.
In the long term, to prepare for future health crises and strengthen the African medical industries, government
responses may include:
• Identifying goods for which key inputs are available locally or regionally, making the development of
regional value chains feasible.
• Facilitating investments into these sectors to ensure the availability of cost-efficient production
technology.
• Leveraging the AfCFTA to ensure a smooth functioning of trade along these regional value chains (i.e.
ensuring that these goods trade duty-free within Africa and that other regulations are harmonized).
• Promoting these products in non-African markets that aim to diversify their procurement.
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