Distributions.r Forge
Distributions.r Forge
Introduction 4
I Discrete distributions 6
II Continuous distributions 34
8 Pareto family 88
3
4 CONTENTS
13 Misc 135
Conclusion 137
Bibliography 137
This guide is intended to provide a quite exhaustive (at least as I can) view on probability distri-
butions. It is constructed in chapters of distribution family with a section for each distribution.
Each section focuses on the tryptic: definition - estimation - application.
Ultimate bibles for probability distributions are Wimmer & Altmann (1999) which lists 750
univariate discrete distributions and Johnson et al. (1994) which details continuous distributions.
In the appendix, we recall the basics of probability distributions as well as “common” mathe-
matical functions, cf. section A.2. And for all distribution, we use the following notations
Finally all graphics are done the open source statistical software R and its numerous packages
available on the Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN∗ ). See the CRAN task view† on prob-
ability distributions to know the package to use for a given “non standard” distribution, which is
not in base R.
∗
http://cran.r-project.org
†
http://cran.r-project.org/web/views/Distributions.html
5
Part I
Discrete distributions
6
Chapter 1
1.1.1 Characterization
1
P (X = k) = ,
0.12
n
where k ∈ S = {k1 , . . . , kn } (a finite set of or-
P(X=k)
0.10
n
1X
F (k) = 11(ki ≤k) ,
n 2 4 6 8 10
i=1
k
where 11 is the indicator function.
Figure 1.1: Mass probability function for discrete
Furthermore, the probability generating uniform distribution
function is given by
n
4 1 X ki
G(t) = E(tX ) = t ,
n
i=1
with the special cases where the ki ’s are {1, . . . , n}, we get
1 − zn
G(t) = z ,
1−z
7
8 CHAPTER 1. CLASSIC DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
when z 6= 1.
1.1.2 Properties
The expectation is X n , the empirical mean: E(X) = n1 ni=1 ki . When S = {1, . . . , n}, this is just
P
n+1 1 Pn 2 n2 −1
2 . The variance is given by V ar(X) = n i=1 (ki − E(X) which is 12 for S = {1, . . . , n}.
1.1.3 Estimation
Since there is no parameter to estimate, calibration is pretty easy. But we need to check that
sample values are equiprobable.
• finally X is kI .
1.1.5 Applications
A typical application of the uniform discrete distribution is the statistic procedure called bootstrap
or others resampling methods, where the previous algorithm is used.
1.2.1 Characterization
1.2. BERNOULLI/BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION 9
0.30
probability distribution is
0.25
P (X = k) = Cnk pk (1 − p)n−k ,
0.20
P(X=k)
0.15
n!
where Cnk is the combinatorial number k!(n−k)! ,
0.10
k ∈ N and 0 < p < 1 the ’success’ probabil-
ity. Let us notice that the cumulative distribu-
0.05
tion function has no particular expression. In
the following, the binomial dsitribuion is de-
0.00
noted by B(n, p). A special case of the bino-
0 2 4 6 8 10
mial dsitribution is the Bernoulli when n = 1.
k
This formula explains the name of this distri-
bution since elementary probabilities P (X = k) Figure 1.2: Mass probability function for binomial
are terms of the development of (p + (1 − p))n distributions
according the Newton’s binom formula.
Another way to define the binomial distribution is to say that’s the sum of n identically and
independently Bernoulli distribution B(p). Demonstration can easily be done with probability
generating function. The probability generating function is
G(t) = (1 − p + pz)n ,
M (t) = (1 − p + pet )n .
The binomial distribution assumes that the events are binary, mutually exclusive, independent
and randomly selected.
1.2.2 Properties
The expectation of the binomial distribution is then E(X) = np and its variance V ar(X) =
np(1 − p). A useful property is that a sum of binomial distributions is still binomial if success
L
probabilities are the same, i.e. B(n1 , p) + B(n2 , p) = B(n1 + n2 , p).
1.2.3 Estimation
Bernoulli distribution
Let (Xi )1≤i≤m be an i.i.d. sample of binomial distributions B(n, p). If n = 1 (i.e. Bernoulli
distribution, we have
m
1 X
p̂m = Xi
m
i=1
is the unbiased and efficient estimator of p with minimum variance. It is also the moment-based
estimator.
There exists a confidence interval for the Bernoulli distribution using the Fischer-Snedecor
distribution. We have
" −1 −1 #
m−T +1 m−T
Iα (p) = 1+ f2(m−T +1),2T, α2 , 1+ f α ,
T T + 1 2(m−T ),2(T +1), 2
where T = m
P
i=1 Xi and fν1 ,ν2 ,α the 1 − α quantile of the Fischer-Snedecor distribution with ν1 and
ν2 degrees of freedom.
We can also use the central limit theorem to find an asymptotic confidence interval for p
uα p uα p
Iα (p) = p̂m − √ p̂m (1 − p̂m ), p̂m + √ p̂m (1 − p̂m ) ,
n n
Binomial distribution
When n is not 1, there are two cases: either n is known with certainty or n is unknown. In the
first case, the estimator of p is the same as the Bernoulli distribution. In the latter case, there are
no closed form for the maximum likelihood estimator of n.
One way to solve this problem is to set n̂ to the maximum number of ’success’ at first. Then
we compute the log likelihood for wide range of integers around the maximum and finally choose
the likeliest value for n.
Method of moments for n and p is easily computable. Equalling the 2 first sample moments,
we have the following solution
( 2
Sm
p̃ = 1 − X̄
m ,
ñ = X̄p̃m
with the constraint that ñ ∈ N.
Exact confidence intervals cannot be found since estimators do not have analytical form. But
we can use the normal approximation for p̂ and n̂.
1.3. ZERO-TRUNCATED OR ZERO-MODIFIED BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION 11
1.2.5 Applications
The direct application of the binomial distribution is to know the probability of obtaining exactly
n heads if a fair coin is flipped m > n times. Hundreds of books deal with this application.
In medecine, the article Haddow et al. (1994) presents an application of the binomial distribution
to test for a particular syndrome.
In life actuarial science, the binomial distribution is useful to model the death of an insured or
the entry in invalidity/incapability of an insured.
1.3.1 Characterization
mass probability function
B(10,2/3)
B(10,2/3,0)
tribution is defined as follows B(10,2/3,1/4)
Cnk pk (1 − p)n−k
0.4
P (X = k) = ,
1 − (1 − p)n
0.3
G(t) = ,
1 − (1 − p)n
0.0
and
0 1 2 3 4
(1 + p(et − 1))n − (1 − p)n
M (t) = . k
1 − (1 − p)n
In the following distribution, we denote the
zero-truncated version by B0 (n, p). Figure 1.3: Mass probability function for zero-
modified binomial distributions
12 CHAPTER 1. CLASSIC DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
1.3.2 Properties
np
The expectation and the variance for the zero-truncated version is E(X) = 1−(1−p)n and V ar(X) =
np(1−p−(1−p+np)(1−p)n )
(1−(1−p)n )2
. For the zero-modified version, we have E(X) = Knp and V ar(X) =
Knp(1 − p).
1.3.3 Estimation
From Cacoullos & Charalambides (1975), we know there is no minimum variance unbiased estimator
for p. NEED HELP for the MLE... NEED Thomas & Gart (1971)
• return X
The zero-modified version B(n, p, p̃) is a little bit tricky. We need to use the following heuristic:
• otherwise
• return X
1.3.5 Applications
Human genetics???
1.4.1 Characterization
The quasi-binomial distribution is a “small” pertubation of the binomial distribution. The mass
probability function is defined by
1.4.2 Properties
NEED REFERENCE
1.4.3 Estimation
NEED REFERENCE
NEED REFERENCE
1.4.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
14 CHAPTER 1. CLASSIC DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
1.5.1 Characterization
0.5
P(4)
P(2)
λk −λ P(1)
P (X = k) = e ,
k!
0.4
where λ > 0 is the shape parameter and k ∈ N.
0.3
The cumulative distribution function has no
P(X=k)
particular form, but the probability generating
0.2
function is given by
G(t) = eλ(t−1) ,
0.1
and the moment generating function is 0.0
t −1)
M (t) = eλ(e . 0 2 4 6 8 10
(ct)k −ct
P (N = n) = e ,
k!
since the interoccurence are i.i.d. positive random variables with the property of ’lack of memory’∗ .
1.5.2 Properties
The Poisson distribution has the ’interesting’ but sometimes annoying property to have the same
mean and variance. We have E(X) = λ = V ar(X).
The sum of two independent Poisson distributions P(λ) and P(µ) (still) follows a Poisson
distribution P(λ + µ).
Let N follows a Poisson distribution P(λ).PKnowing the value of N = n, let (Xi )1≤i≤n be a
sequence of i.i.d. Bernoulli variable B(q), then ni=1 Xi follows a Poisson distribution P(λq).
∗
i.e. interoccurence are exponentially distributed, cf. the exponential distribution.
1.6. ZERO-TRUNCATED OR ZERO-MODIFIED POISSON DISTRIBUTION 15
1.5.3 Estimation
The estimator maximum likelihood estimator of λ is λ̂ = X n for a sample (Xi )i . It is also the
moment based estimator, an unbiased estimator λ and an efficient estimator.
• do
while P ≥ l,
• return n − 1.
TOIMPROVE
Ahrens, J. H. and Dieter, U. (1982). Computer generation of Poisson deviates from modified
normal distributions. ACM Transactions on Mathematical Software, 8, 163?179.
1.5.5 Applications
TODO
1.6.1 Characterization
16 CHAPTER 1. CLASSIC DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
1.0
P(1/2)
distribution for the Poisson distribution. The P(1/2,0)
P(1/2,1/4)
elementary probabilities is defined as
0.8
λk 1
P (X = k) = λ
,
k! (e − 1)
0.6
P(X=k)
where k ∈ N∗ . We can define probabil-
0.4
ity/moment generating functions for the zero-
truncated Poisson distribution P0 (λ):
0.2
t
eλt − 1 eλe − 1
G(t) = and M (t) = .
eλ − 1 eλ − 1
0.0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1.6.2 Properties
The expectation of the zero-truncated Poisson distribution is E(X) = 1−eλ−λ and Kλ for the zero-
modified version. While the variance are respectively V ar(X) = (1−eλ−λ )2 and Kλ + (K − K 2 )λ2 .
1.6.3 Estimation
Let (Xi )i be i.i.d. sample of truncated Poisson random variables. Estimators of λ for the zero-
truncated Poisson distribution are studied in Tate & Goen (1958). Here is the list of possible
estimators for λ:
t−1
2 Sn−1
• λ̃ = T
n (1 − t
2 Sn
) is the minimum variance unbiased estimator,
• λ∗ = T
n (1 − N1
T ) is the Plackett’s estimator,
where T = ni=1 Xi , 2 Snk denotes the Stirling number of the second kind and N1 the number of
P
observations equal to 1. Stirling numbers are costly do compute, see Tate & Goen (1958) for
approximate of theses numbers.
NEED REFERENCE
The zero-modified version P(λ, p) is a little bit tricky. We need to use the following heuristic:
1.6.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
Ecology. 2007 Nov;88(11):2766-72. Quasi-Poisson vs. negative binomial regression: how should
we model overdispersed count data? Ver Hoef JM, Boveng PL.
18 CHAPTER 1. CLASSIC DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
1.7.1 Characterization
TODO
1.7.2 Properties
TODO
1.7.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
1.7.5 Applications
1.8.1 Characterization
G(1/2)
bility q to raise) in a serie of i.i.d. events. The G(1/3)
G(1/4)
mass probability function is
0.5
P (X = k) = q(1 − q)k ,
0.4
0.3
F (k) = 1 − (1 − q)k+1 .
0.1
q
G(t) = ,
1 − (1 − q)t
1.8.2 Properties
1−q 1−q
The expecation of a geometric distribution is simply E(X) = q and its variance V ar(X) = q2
.
The sum of n i.i.d. geometric G(q) random variables follows a negative binomial distribution
N B(n, q).
The minimum of n independent geometric G(qi ) random variables follows a geometric distribu-
tion G(q. ) with q. = 1 − ni=1 (1 − qi ).
Q
The geometric distribution is the discrete analogue of the exponential distribution thus it is
memoryless.
1.8.3 Estimation
1
The maximum likelihood estimator of q is q̂ = 1+X̄n
, which is also the moment based estimator.
NEED REFERENCE
• return X.
1.8.5 Applications
1.9.1 Characterization
0.6
G(1/3)
G(1/3,0)
G(1/3,1/4)
P (X = k) = p(1 − p)k−1 ,
0.5
where n ∈ N+ . Obviously, the distribution
takes values in {1, . . . , n, . . . }. Its distribution
0.4
function is P(X=k)
0.3
F (k) = 1 − (1 − p)k .
Finally the probability/moment generating
0.2
functions are
pt pet
0.1
k
The zero-modified version of the geometric
distribution is characterized as follows
p if k = 0 Figure 1.7: Mass probability function for zero-
P (X = k) = k ,
Kq(1 − q) otherwise modified geometric distributions
where the constant K is 1−p
1−q and k ∈ N. Of course special cases of the zero modified version of the
geometric G(q, p) are the zero-truncated version with p = 0 and q = p and the classic geometric
distribution with p = q. The distribution function is expressed as follows
F (x) = p + K(1 − (1 − p)k ),
where k ≥ 0. The probability/moment generating functions are
q q
G(t) = p + K −q and M (t) = p + K −q .
1 − (1 − q)t 1 − (1 − q)et
1.9.2 Properties
1 1−p
The expectation of the geometric G0 (p) distribution is E(X) = p and its variance V ar(X) = p2
.
For the zero-modified geometric distribution G(q, p), we have E(X) = K 1−q
q and V ar(X) =
K 1−q
q2
.
1.9. ZERO-TRUNCATED OR ZERO-MODIFIED GEOMETRIC DISTRIBUTION 21
1.9.3 Estimation
According to Cacoullos & Charalambides (1975), the (unique) minimim variance unbiased estimator
of q for the zero-truncated geometric distribution is
S̃nt−1
q̃ = t ,
S̃nt
where t denotes the sum ni=1 Xi , S̃nt is defined by n!1 Pn n−k C k (k + t − 1) ∗ . The maximum
P
k=1 (−1) n t
likelihood estimator of q is given by
1
q̂ = ,
X̄n
which is also the moment based estimator. By the uniqueness of the unbiased estimator, q̂ is a
biased estimator.
X̄n
Moment based estimators for the zero-modified geometric distribution G(p, q) are given by q̂ = Sn2
(X̄n )2
and p̂ = 1 − 2 .
Sn
NEED REFERENCE
For the zero-truncated geometric distribution, a basic algorithm is to use i.i.d. Bernoulli variables
as follows
• return X.
• if U < p, then X = 0
• otherwise
∗
where Cnk ’s are the binomial coefficient and (n)m is the falling factorial.
22 CHAPTER 1. CLASSIC DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
1.9.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
1.10.1 Characterization
1.10.2 Characterization
NB(4,1/2)
NB(4,1/3)
function NB(3,1/2)
0.25
k
P (X = k) = Cm+k−1 pm (1 − p)k ,
k
0.20
bution is
r k
Γ(r + k) 1 β
0.05
P (X = k) = ,
Γ(r)k! 1+β 1+β
0.00
One may wonder why there are two parametrization for one distribution. Actually, the first
parametrization N B(m, p) has a meaningful construction: it is the sum of m i.i.d. geometric G(p)
random variables. So it is also a way to characterize a negative binomial distribution. The name
comes from the fact that the mass probability function can be rewritten as
1 − p k 1 −m−k
k
P (X = k) = Cm+k−1 ,
p p
which yields to
k
P (X = k) = Cm+k−1 P k Q−m−k .
This is the general term of the development of (P − Q)−m .
1.10.3 Properties
m(1−p)
The expectation of negative binomial N B(m, p) (or N B(m, p)) is E(X) = p or (rβ), while its
m(1−p)
variance is V ar(X) = p2
or (rβ(1 + β)).
Let N be Poisson distributed P(λΘ) knowing that Θ = θ where Θ is gamma distributed G(a, a).
Then we have N is negative binomial distributed BN (a, λa ).
1.10.4 Estimation
Sn2
X̄n
Moment based estimators are given by β̂ = X̄n
− 1 and r̂ = .
β̂
NEED REFERENCE
NEED REFERENCE
1.10.6 Applications
From Simon (1962), here are some applications of the negative binomial distribution
1.11.1 Characterization
Γ(r + k) β k
P (X = k) = r
( ) ,
Γ(r)k!((r + β) − 1) 1 + β
1−p
where K is defined as 1
1−( 1+β )r
, r, β usual parameters and p the new parameter. The probability
generating function is given by
1 r 1 r
G(t) = ( ) −( ) ,
1 − β(t − 1) 1+β
and
1 1 r
M (t) = ( t
)r − ( )
1 − β(e − 1) 1+β
for the moment generating function.
1.11.2 Properties
rβ
Expectations for these two distribution are E(X) = 1−(r+β)r and Krβ respectively for the zero-
rβ(1+β−(1+β+rβ)(1+β)−r )
truncated and the zero-modified versions. Variances are V ar(X) = (1−(r+β)r )2
and
Krβ(1 + β) + (K − K 2 )E 2 [X].
1.11.3 Estimation
According to Cacoullos & Charalambides (1975), the (unique) minimim variance unbiased estimator
of p for the zero-truncated geometric distribution is
t−1
S̃r,n
p̃ = t ,
S̃nt
1.12. PASCAL DISTRIBUTION 25
1
q̂ = ,
X̄n
which is also the moment based estimator. By the uniqueness of the unbiased estimator, q̂ is a
biased estimator.
1.11.5 Applications
1.12.1 Characterization
The negative binomial distribution can be constructed by summing m geometric distributed vari-
ables G(p). The Pascal distribution is got from summing n geometrically distributed G0 (p) variables.
Thus possible values of the Pascal distribution are in {n, n + 1, . . . }. The mass probability function
is defined as
n−1 n
P (X = k) = Ck−1 p (1 − p)k−n ,
where k ∈ {n, n + 1, . . . }, n ∈ N∗ and 0 < p < 1. The probability/moment generating functions are
n n
pet
pt
G(t) = and M (t) = .
1 − (1 − p)t 1 − (1 − p)et
1.12.2 Properties
For the Pascal distribution Pa(n, p), we have E(X) = np and V ar(X) = n(1−p)
p2
. The link between
Pascal distribution Pa(n, p) and the negative binomial distribution BN (n, p) is to substract the
constant n, i.e. if X ∼ Pa(n, p) then X − n ∼ BN (n, p).
∗
where Cnk ’s are the binomial coefficient and (n)m is the increasing factorial.
26 CHAPTER 1. CLASSIC DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
1.12.3 Estimation
1.12.5 Applications
1.13.1 Characterization
It can also be defined though its probability generating function or moment generating function:
n n t
CN −m 2 F1 (−n, −m; N − m − n + 1; t) CN −m 2 F1 (−n, −m; N − m − n + 1; e )
G(t) = n and M (t) = n ,
CN CN
1.13.2 Properties
m
We have the following asymptotic result: H(N, n, m) 7→ B(n, N ) when N and m are large such
m
that N −→ 0 < p < 1.
N →+∞
1.13.3 Estimation
1.13.5 Applications
Let N be the number of individuals in a given population. In this population, m has a particular
m
property, hence a proportion of N . If we draw n individuals among this population, the random
variable associated with the number of people having the desired property follows a hypergeometric
n
distribution H(N, n, m). The ratio N is called the survey rate.
Chapter 2
2.1.1 Characterization
TODO
2.1.2 Properties
TODO
2.1.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
27
28 CHAPTER 2. NOT SO-COMMON DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
2.1.5 Applications
2.2.1 Characterization
TODO
2.2.2 Properties
TODO
2.2.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
2.2.5 Applications
2.3.1 Characterization
TODO
2.3.2 Properties
TODO
2.3.3 Estimation
TODO
2.4. LOGARITMIC DISTRIBUTION 29
TODO
2.3.5 Applications
2.4.1 Characterization
TODO
2.4.2 Properties
TODO
2.4.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
2.4.5 Applications
2.5.1 Characterization
TODO
2.5.2 Properties
TODO
30 CHAPTER 2. NOT SO-COMMON DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
2.5.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
2.5.5 Applications
The name “Zipf distribution” comes from George Zipf’s work on the discretized version of the Pareto
distribution, cf. Arnold (1983).
2.6.1 Characterization
2.6.2 Properties
TODO
2.6.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
2.7. THE GENERALIZED ZIPF DISTRIBUTION 31
2.6.5 Applications
2.7.1 Characterization
TODO
2.7.2 Properties
TODO
2.7.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
2.7.5 Applications
2.8.1 Characterization
TODO
2.8.2 Properties
TODO
2.8.3 Estimation
TODO
32 CHAPTER 2. NOT SO-COMMON DISCRETE DISTRIBUTION
TODO
2.8.5 Applications
2.9.1 Characterization
TODO
2.9.2 Properties
TODO
2.9.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
2.9.5 Applications
2.10.1 Characterization
TODO
2.10.2 Properties
TODO
2.11. ZETA DISTRIBUTION 33
2.10.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
2.10.5 Applications
2.11.1 Characterization
TODO
2.11.2 Properties
TODO
2.11.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
2.11.5 Applications
Part II
Continuous distributions
34
Chapter 3
3.1.1 Characterization
1
1.0
U(0,1)
f (x) = , U(0,2)
b−a U(0,3)
0.8
0 if x < a
0.4
x−a
F (x) = if a ≤ x ≤ b .
b−a
1 otherwise
0.2
etb − eta x
M (t) =
t(b − a)
Figure 3.1: Density function for uniform distribu-
whereas its characteristic function is tion
eibt − eiat
φ(t) = .
i(b − a)t
3.1.2 Properties
a+b (b−a)2
The expectation of a uniform distribution is E(X) = 2 and its variance V ar(X) = 12 .
35
36 CHAPTER 3. FINITE SUPPORT DISTRIBUTION
If U is uniformally distributed U(0, 1), then (b−a)×U +a follows a uniform distribution U(a, b).
The sum of two uniform distribution does not follow a uniform distribution but a triangle
distribution.
The order statistic Xk:n of a sample of n i.i.d. uniform U(0, 1) random variable is beta distributed
Beta(k, n − k + 1).
Last but not least property is that for all random variables Y having a distribution function
FY , the random variable FY (Y ) follows a uniform distribution U(0, 1). Equivalently, we get that
the random variable FY−1 (U ) has the same distribution as Y where U ∼ U(0, 1) and FY−1 is the
generalized inverse distribution function. Thus, we can generate any random variables having a
distribution from the a uniform variate. This methods is called the inverse function method.
3.1.3 Estimation
For a sample (Xi )i of i.i.d. uniform variate, maximum likelihood estimators for a and b are respec-
tively X1:n and Xn:n , where Xi:n denotes the order statistics. But they are biased so we can use
the following unbiased estimators
n 1 1 n
â = X1:n + Xn:n and b̂ = X1:n + 2 Xn:n .
n2 −1 1−n 2 1−n 2 n −1
Finally the method of moments gives the following estimators
p p
ã = X̄n − 3Sn2 and b̃ = X̄n + 3Sn2 .
Since this is the core distribution, the distribution can not be generated from another distribution.
In our modern computers, we use deterministic algorithms to generate uniform variate initialized
with the machine time. Generally, Mersenne-Twister algorithm (or its extensions) from Matsumoto
& Nishimura (1998) is implemented, cf. Dutang (2008) for an overview of random number genera-
tion.
3.1.5 Applications
The main application is sampling from an uniform distribution by the inverse function method.
3.2.1 Characterization
3.2. TRIANGULAR DISTRIBUTION 37
density function
The triangular distribution has the following
density
1.0
T(0,2,1)
T(0,2,1/2)
T(0,2,4/3)
2(x−a) if a ≤ x ≤ c
(b−a)(c−a)
0.8
f (x) = 2(b−x) ,
(b−a)(b−c) if c ≤ x ≤ b
0.6
where x ∈ [a, b], a ∈ R, a < b and a ≤ c ≤ b.
f(x)
The associated distribution function is
0.4
(x−a)2 if a ≤ x ≤ c
(b−a)(c−a)
F (x) = (b−x)2 .
1− if c ≤ x ≤ b
0.2
(b−a)(b−c)
0.0
As many finite support distribution, we have
a characteristic function and a moment gener- 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
3.2.2 Properties
a+b+c
The expectation of the triangle distribution is E(X) = 3 whereas its variance is V ar(X) =
a2 +b2 +c2
18 − ab+ac+bc
18 .
3.2.3 Estimation
Maximum likelihood estimators for a, b, c do not have closed form. But we can maximise the log-
likelihood numerically. Furthermore, moment based estimators have to be computed numerically
solving the system of sample moments and theoretical ones. One intuitive way to estimate the
parameters of the triangle distribution is to use sample minimum, maximum and mode: â = X1:n ,
b̂ = Xn:n and ĉ = mode(X1 , . . . , Xn ), where mode(X1 , . . . , Xn ) is the middle of the interval whose
bounds are the most likely order statistics.
The inverse function method can be used since the quantile function has a closed form:
(
if 0 ≤ u ≤ c−a
p
−1 a + u(b − a)(c − a) b−a
F (u) = .
if c−a
p
b − (1 − u)(b − a)(b − c) b−a ≤ u ≤ 1
38 CHAPTER 3. FINITE SUPPORT DISTRIBUTION
Stein & Keblis (2008) provides new kind of methods to simulate triangular variable. An algo-
rithm for the triangular T (0, 1, c) distribution is provided. It can be adapted for a, b, c in general.
Let c̃ be c−a
b−a which is in ]0, 1[. The “minmax” algorithm is
This article also provides another method using a square root of uniform variate, which is called
“one line method”, but it is not necessary more fast if we use vector operation.
3.2.5 Applications
A typical of the triangle distribution is when we know the minimum and the maximum of outputs
of an interest variable plus the most likely outcome, which represent the parameter a, b and c. For
example we may use it in business decision making based on simulation of the outcome, in project
management to model events during an interval and in audio dithering.
3.3.1 Characterization
defined as B(3,1)
B(1,5)
Arcsine
xa−1 (1 − x)b−1
f (x) = ,
β(a, b)
1.5
1.0
tion.
x
distribution
Figure 3.3: Density function for beta distributions
• when a, b < 1, density is U-shapped
3.3. BETA TYPE I DISTRIBUTION 39
β(a, b, x)
F (x) = ,
β(a, b)
where x ∈ [0, 1] and β(., ., .) denotes the incomplete beta function. There is no analytical formula
for the incomplete beta function but can be approximated numerically.
There exists a scaled version of the beta I distribution. Let θ be a positive scale parameter.
The density of the scaled beta I distribution is given by
xa−1 (θ − x)b−1
f (x) = ,
θa+b−1 β(a, b)
β(a, b, xθ )
F (x) = .
β(a, b)
Beta I distributions have moment generating function and characteristic function expressed in
terms of series:
+∞ k−1
!
X Y a+r tk
M (t) = 1 +
a + b + r k!
k=1 r=0
and
φ(t) = 1 F1 (a; a + b; i t),
where 1 F1 denotes the hypergeometric function.
40 CHAPTER 3. FINITE SUPPORT DISTRIBUTION
A special case of the beta I distribution is the arcsine distribution, when a = b = 12 . In this special
case, we have
1
f (x) = p ,
π x(1 − x)
from which we derive the following distribution function
2 √
F (x) = arcsin( x).
π
Another special case is the power distribution when b = 1, with the following density
3.3.3 Properties
a ab θa
The moments of the beta I distribution are E(X) = a+b and V ar(X) = (a+b)2 (a+b+1)
(and a+b ,
θ2 ab
(a+b)2 (a+b+1)
for the scaled version respectively).
For the arcsine distribution, we have 12 and 81 respectively. Let us note that the expectation of
a arcsine distribution is the least probable value!
Let n be an integer. If we consider n i.i.d. uniform U(0, 1) variables Ui , then the distribution
of the maximum max Ui of these random variables follows a beta I distribution B(n, 1).
1≤i≤n
3.3.4 Estimation
Maximum likelihood estimators for a and b do not have closed form, we must solve the system
n
1 P
n log(Xi ) = β(a, b)(ψ(a + b) − ψ(a))
i=1
n
1 P
log(1 − Xi ) = β(a, b)(ψ(a + b) − ψ(b))
n
i=1
3.4. GENERALIZED BETA I DISTRIBUTION 41
NEED REFERENCE
3.3.6 Applications
The arcsine distribution (a special case of the beta I) can be used in game theory. If we have two
players playint at head/tail coin game and denote by (Si )i≥1 the serie of gains of the first player
for the different game events, then the distribution of the proportion of gains among all the Si ’s
that are positive follows asymptotically an arcsine distribution.
3.4.1 Characterization
B(2,2,2,2)
tributed. Thus it has the following density B(3,1,2,2)
B(3,1,1/2,2)
B(1/2,2,1/3,2)
2.5
(x/θ)a−1 (1 − (x/θ))b−1 τ
f (x) =
β(a, b) x
2.0
1.5
beta function
0.0
β(a, b, ( xθ )τ )
F (x) = , 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
β(a, b)
x
for 0 < x < θ. Figure 3.4: Density function for generalized beta
distributions
42 CHAPTER 3. FINITE SUPPORT DISTRIBUTION
3.4.2 Properties
3.4.3 Estimation
Maximum likelihood estimators as well as moment based estimators have no chance to have explicit
form, but we can compute it numerically. NEED REFERENCE
NEED REFERENCE
3.4.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
3.5.1 Characterization
A generalization of the generalized beta distribution has been studied in Nadarajah & Kotz (2003).
Its density is given by
bβ(a, b) a+b−1
f (x) = x 2 F1 (1 − γ, a, a + b, x),
β(a, b + γ)
where 0 < x < 1 and 2 F1 denotes the hypergeometric function. Its distribution function is also
expressed in terms of the hypergeometric function:
bβ(a, b)
F (x) = xa+b 2 F1 (1 − γ, a, a + b + 1, x),
(a + b)β(a, b + γ)
3.5. GENERALIZATION OF THE GENERALIZED BETA I DISTRIBUTION 43
Nadarajah & Kotz (2003) list specials cases of this distribution: If a + b + γ = 1 then we get
bΓ(b)xa+b−1 (1 − x)−a
f (x) = .
Γ(1 − a)Γ(a + b)
If a + b + γ = 2 then we get
b(a + b − 1)β(a, b)
f (x) = β(a + b − 1, 1 − a, x)
β(a, 2 − a)
If in addition
• a + b − 1 ∈ N, we have
a+b−1
!
b(a + b − 1)β(a, b)β(a + b − 1, 1 − a) X Γ(i − a)
f (x) = 1− xi−1 (1 − x)1−a
β(a, 2 − a) Γ(1 − a)Γ(i)
i=1
If γ = 0 then, we get
If in addition
• a + b − 1 ∈ N, we have
a+b−1
!
X Γ(i − b)
f (x) = b(a + b − 1)β(a, b)β(a + b − 1, 1 − a) 1 − xi−1 (1 − x)1−b
Γ(1 − b)Γ(i)
i=1
• a = k ∈ N, we have
k−1
r !
(2k − 1)β(1/2, k − 1/2) 2 x p X
f (x) = √ arctan − x(1 − x) di (x, k)
4 1−x π 1−x
i=1
44 CHAPTER 3. FINITE SUPPORT DISTRIBUTION
f (x) = (a + b)xa+b−1
f (x) = bxb−1
If b = 0, then we get
β(a, γ, x)
f (x) =
β(a, γ + 1)
If in addition
• a ∈ N, we have
a
!
a X Γ(γ + i − 1) i−1 γ
f (x) = +1 1− x (1 − x)
γ Γ(γ)Γ(i)
i=1
• γ ∈ N, we have
a
!
a X Γ(a + i − 1)
f (x) = +1 1− xa (1 − x)i−1
γ Γ(a)Γ(i)
i=1
• a = γ = 1/2, we have r
4 x
f (x) = arctan
π 1−x
k−1 j−1
r !
a 2 x p X X
f (x) = +1 arctan − x(1 − x) di (x, k) + ci (x, k)
γ π 1−x
i=1 i=1
and
Γ(i)xi−1
di (x, k) = .
Γ(i + 1/2)Γ(1/2)
3.5.3 Properties
bβ(a, b)
E(X n ) = xa+b 3 F1 (1 − γ, a, n + a + b + 1, a + b, n + a + b + 1, 1),
(n + a + b)β(a, b + γ)
3.5.4 Estimation
NEED REFERENCE
NEED REFERENCE
3.5.6 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
3.6.1 Characterization
K(5,2)
K(2,5/2)
f (x) = abxa−1 (1 − xa )b−1 , K(1/2,1/2)
K(1,3)
2.5
F (x) = 1 − (1 − xa )b .
A construction of the Kumaraswamy distribu-
f(x)
1.5
3.6.2 Properties
3.6.3 Estimation
From Jones (2009), the maximum likelihood estimators are computable by the following procedure
Pn Yi log Yi
with Yi = Xia to find â∗ ,
Pn log Yi
1. solve the equation n
1+ 1
+ Pni=1 1−Yi
a n i=1 1−Yi i=1 log(1−Yi )
Pn −1
2. compute b̂ = −n i=1 log(1 − Xiâ ) .
3.6.5 Applications
From wikipedia, we know a good example of the use of the Kumaraswamy distribution: the storage
volume of a reservoir of capacity zmax whose upper bound is zmax and lower bound is 0.
∗
the solution for this equation exists and is unique.
Chapter 4
The normal distribution comes from the study of astronomical data by the German mathematician
Gauss. That’s why it is widely called the Gaussian distribution. But there are some hints to
think that Laplace has also used this distribution. Thus sometimes we called it the Laplace Gauss
distribution, a name introduced by K. Pearson who wants to avoid a querelle about its name.
4.1.1 Characterization
N(0,1)
N(0,2)
where x ∈ R and µ(∈ R) denotes the mean N(0,1/2)
N(-1,1)
of the distribution (a location parameter) and
σ 2 (> 0) its variance (a scale parameter).
0.6
0.4
Z x
1 (x−µ)2
F (x) = √ e− 2σ2 du,
−∞ σ 2π
0.2
47
48 CHAPTER 4. THE GAUSSIAN FAMILY
Finally, the normal distribution can also be characterized through its moment generating func-
tion
σ 2 t2
M (t) = emt+ 2 ,
as well as its characteristic function
σ 2 t2
φ(t) = eimt− 2 .
4.1.2 Properties
It is obvious, but let us recall that the expectation (and the median) of a normal distribution
N (µ, σ 2 ) is µ and its variance σ 2 . Furthermore if X ∼ N (0, 1) we have that E(X n ) = 0 if x is odd
and (2n)!
2n n! if x is even.
The biggest property of the normal distribution is the fact that the Gaussian belongs to the
family of stable distribution (i.e. stable by linear combinations). Thus we have
If we consider an i.i.d. sample of n normal random variables (Xi )1≤i≤n , then the sample mean
2 2
X n follows a N (µ, σn ) independently from the sample variance Sn2 such that Sσn2n follows a chi-square
distribution with n − 1 degrees of freedom.
A widely used theorem using a normal distribution is the central Pnlimit theorem:
2 X −nm L
If (Xi )1≤i≤n are i.i.d. with mean m and finite variance s , then i=1s√ni −→ N (0, 1). If we
drop the hypothesis of identical distribution, there is still an asymptotic convergence (cf. theorem
of Lindeberg-Feller).
4.1.3 Estimation
Pn 2
• Xn = 1
n i=1 Xi ∼ N (µ, σn ) is the unbiased estimator with minimum variance of µ,
Pn
• Sn2 = 1
n−1 i=1 (Xi − X n )2 ∼ χ2n−1 is the unbiased estimator with minimum variance of σ 2∗ ,
Γ( n−1
q
)p 2
• σ̂n = n−12
2
Γ( n ) Sn is the unbiased estimator with minimum variance of σ but we generally
p 2
use Sn2 .
Confidence intervals for these estimators are also well known quantities
∗
This estimator is not the maximum likelihood estimator since we unbias it.
4.1. THE GAUSSIAN (OR NORMAL) DISTRIBUTION 49
q q
2
Sn 2
Sn
• I(µ) = X n − n tn−1,α/2 ; X n + n tn−1,α/2 ,
h 2n 2n
i
Sn Sn
• I(σ 2 ) = zn−1,α/2 ;z ,
n−1,1−α/2
where tn−1,α/2 and zn−1,α/2 are quantiles of the Student and the Chi-square distribution.
But there appears that this algorithm under estimates the tail of the distribution (called the
Neave effect, cf. Patard (2007)), most softwares use the inversion function method, consist in
computing the quantile function Φ−1 of a uniform variate.
4.1.5 Applications
From wikipedia, here is a list of situations where approximate normality is sometimes assumed
• In counting problems (so the central limit theorem includes a discrete-to-continuum approx-
imation) where reproductive random variables are involved, such as Binomial random vari-
ables, associated to yes/no questions or Poisson random variables, associated to rare events;
• In physiological measurements of biological specimens: logarithm of measures of size of living
tissue (length, height, skin area, weight) or length of inert appendages (hair, claws, nails,
teeth) of biological specimens, in the direction of growth; presumably the thickness of tree bark
also falls under this category or other physiological measures may be normally distributed,
but there is no reason to expect that a priori;
• Measurement errors are often assumed to be normally distributed, and any deviation from
normality is considered something which should be explained;
• Financial variables: changes in the logarithm of exchange rates, price indices, and stock
market indices; these variables behave like compound interest, not like simple interest, and
so are multiplicative; or other financial variables may be normally distributed, but there is
no reason to expect that a priori;
• Light intensity: intensity of laser light is normally distributed or thermal light has a Bose-
Einstein distribution on very short time scales, and a normal distribution on longer timescales
due to the central limit theorem.
50 CHAPTER 4. THE GAUSSIAN FAMILY
4.2.1 Characterization
1.0
(LG(µ, σ 2 )) is LN(0,1)
LN(0,2)
LN(0,1/2)
log(x) − µ
0.8
F (x) = Φ ,
σ
0.6
where Φ denotes the distribution function of the
f(x)
standard normal distribution and x > 0.
0.4
From this we can derive an explicit expres-
0.2
sion for the density LG(µ, σ 2 )
0.0
1 (log(x)−µ)2
f (x) = √ e− 2σ2 ,
σx 2π 0 2 4 6 8 10
x
for x > 0, µ ∈ R and σ 2 > 0.
A log-normal distribution does not have fi- Figure 4.2: The density of log-normal distribu-
nite characteristic function or moment generat- tions
ing function.
4.2.2 Properties
From Klugman et al. (2004), we also have a formula for limited expected values
kσ 2
E (X ∧ L)k = ek(µ+ 2 Φ(u − kσ) + Lk (1 − Φ(u)),
log(L)−µ
where u = σ .
Since the Gaussian distribution is stable by linear combination, log-normal distribution is stable
by product combination. That is to say if we consider X and Y two independent log-normal
variables (LG(µ, σ 2 ) and LG(ν, ρ2 )), we have XY follows a log-normal distribution LG(µ+ν, σ 2 +ρ2 ).
Let us note that X 2
Y also follows a log-normal distribution LG(µ − ν, σ + ρ ).
2
4.2. LOG NORMAL DISTRIBUTION 51
An equivalence of the Limit Central Theorem for the log-normal distribution is the product of
i.i.d. random variables (Xi )1≤i≤n asymptotically follows a log-normal distribution with paramter
nE(log(X)) and nV ar(log(X)).
4.2.3 Estimation
Pn
• µ̂ = 1
n i=1 log(xi ) is an unbiased estimator of µ,
Pn
• σ
c2 = 1
n−1 i=1 (log(xi ) − µ̂)2 is an unbiased estimator of σ 2∗ .
One amazing fact about parameter estimations of log-normal distribution is that those estimators
are very stable.
Once we have generated a normal variate, it is easy to generate a log-normal variate just by taking
the exponential of normal variates.
4.2.5 Applications
There are many applications of the log-normal distribution. Limpert et al. (2001) focuses on
application of the log-normal distribution. For instance, in finance the Black & Scholes assumes
that assets are log-normally distributed (cf. Black & Scholes (1973) and the extraordinary number
of articles citing this article). Singh et al. (1997) deals with environmental applications of the
log-normal distribution.
∗
As for the σ 2 estimator of normal distribution, this estimator is not the maximum likelihood estimator since we
unbias it.
52 CHAPTER 4. THE GAUSSIAN FAMILY
4.3.1 Characterization
0.8
LN(0,1,0)
distribution of X + ν where X follows a log- LN(0,1,1)
LN(0,1,1/2)
normal distribution. It is characterized by the
following distribution function
0.6
log(x − ν) − µ
F (x) = Φ ,
σ
f(x)
0.4
where Φ denotes the distribution function of
the standard normal distribution and x > 0.
Then we have this expression for the density
0.2
T LG(ν, µ, σ 2 )
1 (log(x−ν)−µ)2
0.0
f (x) = √ e− 2σ 2 ,
σ(x − ν) 2π 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0
for x > 0, µ, ν ∈ R and σ 2 > 0. Figure 4.3: The density of shifted log-normal dis-
tributions
As for the log-normal distribution, there is
no moment generating function nor character-
istic function.
4.3.2 Properties
σ2
The expectation and the variance of a log-normal distribution are E(X) = ν +eµ+ 2 and V ar(X) =
2 2
σ2 2µ+σ 2 nµ+ n 2σ
(e − 1)e . And raw moments are given by E(X n ) = e .
4.3.3 Estimation
An intuitive approach is to estimate ν with X1:n , then estimate parameters on shifted samples
(Xi − ν)i .
Once we have generated a normal variate, it is easy to generate a log-normal variate just by taking
the exponential of normal variates and adding the shifted parameter ν.
4.4. INVERSE GAUSSIAN DISTRIBUTION 53
4.3.5 Applications
An application of the shifted log-normal distribution to finance can be found in Haahtela (2005) or
Brigo et al. (2002).
4.4.1 Characterization
1.5
r InvG(1,2)
(x − ν)2
λ InvG(2,2)
f (x) = exp −λ , InvG(1,1/2)
2πx3 2ν 2 x
while its distribution function is
1.0
"r # "r #
λ x
2λ/ν λ x
f(x)
F (x) = Φ − 1 +e Φ +1 ,
x ν x ν
0.5
The moment generating function is ex- Figure 4.4: The density of inverse Gaussian dis-
pressed as tributions –
» q
2
λ
( ν ) 1− 1− 2νλ t
M (t) = e .
4.4.2 Properties
ν3
The expectation of an inverse Gaussian distribution IG(ν, λ) is ν and its variance λ.
Pn−1 Γ(n+i) 2λ i
Moments for the inverse Gaussian distribution are given E(X n ) = ν n i=0 Γ(i+1)Γ(n−i) ( ν )
for n integer.
• if X is inverse Gaussian distributed IG(ν, λ), then aX follows an inverse Gaussian distribution
IG(aν, aλ) for a > 0
• if (Xi )i are i.i.d. inverse Gaussian variables, then the sum ni=1 Xi still follows an inverse
P
Gaussian distribution IG(nν, n2 λ)
54 CHAPTER 4. THE GAUSSIAN FAMILY
4.4.3 Estimation
nλ
From previous properties, µ̂ follows an inverse gaussian distribution IG(µ, nλ) and follows a
λ̂
chi-squared distribution χ2n−1 .
NEED
Mitchael,J.R., Schucany, W.R. and Haas, R.W. (1976). Generating random roots from variates
using transformations with multiple roots. American Statistician. 30-2. 88-91.
4.4.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
GIG(-1/2,5,1)
GIG(-1,2,3)
A generalization of the inverse Gaussian distri- GIG(-1,1/2,1)
GIG(1,5,1)
bution exists but there is no closed form for its
distribution function and its density used Bessel
1.0
f (x) = √ exp − + ψx ,
χ 2Kλ ( χψ) 2 x
0.5
Plot
4.5.2 Properties
Furthermore,
∂dE(X α )
E(log X) = . (4.2)
∂dα α=0
Note that numerical calculations of E(log X) may be performed with the integral representation as
well.
4.5.3 Estimation
NEED REFERENCE
NEED REFERENCE
Chapter 5
5.1.1 Characterization
E(1)
following density E(2)
E(1/2)
f (x) = λe−λx ,
for x > 0 and λ > 0. Its distribution function
1.5
is
F (x) = 1 − e−λx .
f(x)
1.0
1 1
The expectation and the variance of an exponential distribution E(λ) are λ and λ2
. Furthermore
the n-th moment is given by
Γ(n + 1)
E(X n ) = .
λn
56
5.1. EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION 57
The exponential distribution is the only one continuous distribution to verify the lack of memory
property. That is to say if X is exponentially distributed, we have
P (X > t + s)
= P (X > t),
P (X > s)
where t, s > 0.
5.1.3 Estimation
The maximum likelihood estimator and the moment based estimator are the same
n 1
λ̂ = Pn = ,
i=1 Xi Xn
for a sample (Xi )1≤i≤n . But the unbiased estimator with mininum variance is
n−1
λ̃ = Pn .
i=1 Xi
Despite the quantile function is F −1 (u) = − λ1 log(1 − u), generally the exponential distribution
E(λ) is generated by applying − λ1 log(U ) on a uniform variate U .
5.1.5 Applications
From wikipedia, the exponential distribution occurs naturally when describing the lengths of the
inter-arrival times in a homogeneous Poisson process.
The exponential distribution may be viewed as a continuous counterpart of the geometric distri-
bution, which describes the number of Bernoulli trials necessary for a ”discrete” process to change
state. In contrast, the exponential distribution describes the time for a continuous process to change
state.
In real-world scenarios, the assumption of a constant rate (or probability per unit time) is rarely
satisfied. For example, the rate of incoming phone calls differs according to the time of day. But
58 CHAPTER 5. EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION AND ITS EXTENSIONS
if we focus on a time interval during which the rate is roughly constant, such as from 2 to 4 p.m.
during work days, the exponential distribution can be used as a good approximate model for the
time until the next phone call arrives. Similar caveats apply to the following examples which yield
approximately exponentially distributed variables:
• the time until a radioactive particle decays, or the time between beeps of a geiger counter;
• the time until default (on payment to company debt holders) in reduced form credit risk
modeling
Exponential variables can also be used to model situations where certain events occur with a
constant probability per unit ”distance”:
In queuing theory, the service times of agents in a system (e.g. how long it takes for a bank
teller etc. to serve a customer) are often modeled as exponentially distributed variables. (The inter-
arrival of customers for instance in a system is typically modeled by the Poisson distribution in most
management science textbooks.) The length of a process that can be thought of as a sequence of
several independent tasks is better modeled by a variable following the Erlang distribution (which
is the distribution of the sum of several independent exponentially distributed variables).
Reliability theory and reliability engineering also make extensive use of the exponential distri-
bution. Because of the “memoryless” property of this distribution, it is well-suited to model the
constant hazard rate portion of the bathtub curve used in reliability theory. It is also very conve-
nient because it is so easy to add failure rates in a reliability model. The exponential distribution is
however not appropriate to model the overall lifetime of organisms or technical devices, because the
“failure rates” here are not constant: more failures occur for very young and for very old systems.
In physics, if you observe a gas at a fixed temperature and pressure in a uniform gravitational
field, the heights of the various molecules also follow an approximate exponential distribution. This
is a consequence of the entropy property mentioned below.
5.2. SHIFTED EXPONENTIAL 59
5.2.1 Characterization
0.6
E(1/2,0)
when X is exponentially distributed. Therefore E(1/2,1)
E(1/2,2)
the density is given by
0.5
f (x) = λe−λ(x−τ )
0.4
for x > τ . The distribution function is given by
f(x)
0.3
F (x) = 1 − e−λ(x−τ )
0.2
for x > τ .
0.1
As for the exponential distribution, there
exists a moment generating function 0.0
λ
M (t) = e−tτ 0 1 2 3 4 5
λ−t
x
and also a characteristic function Figure 5.2: Density function for shifted exponen-
λ tial distributions
φ(t) = e−itτ .
λ − it
5.2.2 Properties
1 1
The expectation and the variance of an exponential distribution E(λ, τ ) are τ + λ and λ2
.
Furthermore the n-th moment (for n integer) is computable with the binomial formula by
n
X n! (−τ )n
E(X n ) = .
(n − i)! (−λτ )i
i=0
5.2.3 Estimation
where Xi:n denotes the ith order statistic. Since the minimum X1:n follows a shifted exponential
distribution E(nλ, τ ), we have τ̂ is biased but asympotically unbiased.
The random generation is simple: just add τ to the algorithm of exponential distribution.
5.2.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
5.3.1 Characterization
λ −λ
0.5
f (x) = e x,
x2
0.4
0.3
λ
F (x) = e− x .
0.2
√ √
φ(t) = 2 −itλK1 2 −iλt 0 1 2 3 4 5
5.3.2 Properties
E(X r ) = λr ∗ Γ(1 − r)
for r < 1. Thus the expectation and the variance of the inverse exponential distribution do not
exist.
5.4. GAMMA DISTRIBUTION 61
5.3.3 Estimation
5.3.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
5.4.1 Characterization
Erlang distribution.
0.2
We get
0 1 2 3 4 5
γ(α, λx)
F (x) = , x
Γ(α)
Figure 5.4: Density function for gamma distribu-
where γ(., .) is the incomplete gamma function. tions
62 CHAPTER 5. EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION AND ITS EXTENSIONS
For the gamma distribution, the moment generating and characteristic functions exist.
−α
λ
φ(t) = ,
λ − it
and −α
λ
M (t) = .
λ−t
5.4.2 Properties
The expectation of a gamma distribution G(α, λ) is E(X) = αλ , while its variance is V ar(X) = α
λ2
.
Γ(α + r)
E(X r ) = λr ,
Γ(α)
As for the exponential, we have a property on the convolution of gamma distributions. Let
X and Y be gamma distributed G(α, λ) and G(β, λ), we can prove that X + Y follows a gamma
distribution G(α + β, λ).
X
For X and Y gamma distributed (G(α, λ) and G(β, λ) resp.), we also have that X+Y follows a
beta distribution of the first kind with parameter α and β.
5.4.3 Estimation
(X̄n )2 X̄n
α̃ = 2
and λ̃ = 2 .
Sn Sn
where ψ(.) denotes the digamma function. The first equation can be solved numerically∗ to get α̂
and then λ̂ = X̄α̂ . But λ̂ is biased, so the unbiased estimator with minimum variance of λ is
n
α̂n α̂
λ̄ =
α̂n − 1 X̄n
Simulate a gamma G(α, λ) is quite tricky for non integer shape parameter. Indeed, if the shape
parameter α is integer, then we simply sum α exponential random variables E(λ). Otherwise we
need to add a gamma variable G(α−bαc, λ). This is carried out by an acceptance/rejection method.
NEED REFERENCE
5.4.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
5.5.1 Characterization
density function
As the gamma distribution is the distribution
of the sum of i.i.d. exponential distributions, Erlang(1,2,3)
Erlang(1,2,4)
the generalized Erlang distribution is the dis- Erlang(1,3,5)
Erlang(2,3,4)
tribution of the sum independent exponential
0.6
d d
X Y λ j λi e−λi x ,
f (x) =
λj − λi
i=1 j=1,j6=i
0.2
Finally, the characteristic and moment generating functions of generalized Erlang distribution
are
d d
Y λj Y λj
φ(t) = and M (t) = .
λj − it λj − t
j=1 j=1
5.5.2 Properties
d
P 1
The expectation of the generalized Erlang distribution is simply E(X) = λi and its variance
i=1
d
P 1
V ar(X) = λ2i
.
i=1
5.5.3 Estimation
NEED REFERENCE
The algorithm is very easy simulate independently d random variables exponentially E(λj ) dis-
tributed and sum them.
5.5.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
A special case of the gamma distribution is the chi-squared distribution. See section 6.1.
5.7. INVERSE GAMMA 65
5.7.1 Characterization
1.5
InvG(1,3)
λα λ
f (x) = α+1
e− x ,
Γ(α)x
1.0
where x > 0 and β, α > 0. From this, we can
derive the distribution function
f(x)
γ(α, λx )
F (x) = .
0.5
Γ(α)
5.7.2 Properties
λ
The expectation exists only when α > 1 and in this case E(X) = α−1 , whereas the variance is only
λ2
finite if α > 2 and V ar(X) = (α−1)2 (α−2)
.
5.7.3 Estimation
(X̄n )2
α̃ = 2 + and λ̃ = X̄n (α̃ − 1)
Sn2
with X̄n and Sn2 the sample mean and variance. If the variance does not exist, then α will be 2, it
means we must use the maximum likelihood estimator (which works also for α ≤ 2).
66 CHAPTER 5. EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION AND ITS EXTENSIONS
where ψ(.) denotes the digamma function. The first equation can be solved numerically∗ to get α̂
and then λ̂ with the second equation.
5.7.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
5.8.1 Characterization
TG(3,1/2,1)
TG(3,1/2,1/3)
x τ
−( λ TG(3,1/2,4/3)
τ ( λx )ατ −1 e )
f (x) = ,
0.8
λΓ(α)
bution function is
f(x)
γ(α, ( λx )τ )
0.4
F (x) = .
Γ(α)
0.2
1
This is the distribution of the variable λX τ
when X is gamma distributed G(α, 1).
0.0
0 1 2 3 4 5
Obviously, a special case of the transformed
x
gamma is the gamma distribution with τ = 1.
But we get the Weibull distribution with α = 1. Figure 5.7: Density function for transformed
gamma distributions
∗
algorithm can be initialized with α̃.
5.8. TRANSFORMED OR GENERALIZED GAMMA 67
5.8.2 Properties
Γ(α + τr )
E(X r ) = λr ,
Γ(α)
r
with α + τ > 0.
5.8.3 Estimation
where ψ denotes the digamma function. This system can be solved numerically.
1
Generate a gamma distributed variable (G(α, 1)), raise it to power τ and multiply it by λ.
5.8.5 Applications
In an actuarial context, the transformed gamma may be useful in loss severity, for example, in
workers’ compensation, see Venter (1983).
68 CHAPTER 5. EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION AND ITS EXTENSIONS
5.9.1 Characterization
f (x) = x ITG(3,2,4/3)
3.0
,
xΓ(α)
2.5
where x > 0 and α, λ, τ > 0. Thus, the distri-
bution function is
2.0
γ(α, ( λx )τ )
F (x) = 1 − .
f(x)
Γ(α)
1.5
λ τ
1
This is the distribution of X when X is
1.0
gamma distributed G(α, 1).
0.5
0.0
5.9.2 Properties
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
x
The expectation of the transformed gamma dis-
λΓ(α− τ1 ) Figure 5.8: Density function for inverse trans-
tribution is E(X) = Γ(α) and its variance
formed gamma distributions
λ2 Γ(α− τ2 )
V ar(X) = Γ(α) − E 2 [X].
5.9.3 Estimation
NEED REFERENCE
1
Simply simulate a gamma G(α, 1) distributed variable, inverse it, raise it to power α and multiply
it by λ.
5.9.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
5.10. LOG GAMMA 69
5.10.1 Characterization
f (x) =
Γ(k)
for x > 0, where a is the location parameter, b > 0 the scale parameter and k > 0 the shape
parameter. The distribution function is
x−a
γ(k, e b )
F (x) = ,
Γ(k)
for x > 0. This is the distribution of a + b log(X) when X is gamma G(k, 1).
5.10.2 Properties
The expectation is E(X) = a + bψ(k) and the variance V ar(X) = b2 ψ1 (k) where ψ is the digamma
function and ψ1 the trigamma function.
5.10.3 Estimation
NEED REFERENCE
5.10.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
5.11.1 Characterization
70 CHAPTER 5. EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION AND ITS EXTENSIONS
density function
W(3,1)
Despite the fact the Weibull distribution is not W(3,2)
W(4,2)
particularly related to the chi distribution, its
1.0
W(4,3)
0.8
distribution is given by
0.6
f(x)
β β−1 −( xη )β
f (x) = x e ,
ηβ
0.4
where x > 0 and η, β > 0. In terms of dis-
0.2
tribution function, the Weibull can be defined
as
−( x )η
F (x) = 1 − e β .
0.0
0 2 4 6 8 10
x
There exists a second parametrization of the
Weibull distribution. We have Figure 5.9: Density function for Weibull distribu-
tions
λ
f (x) = τ λxλ−1 e−τ x ,
with the same constraint on the parameters τ, λ > 0. In this context, the distribution function is
λ
F (x) = 1 − e−τ x .
We can pass from the first parametrization to the second one with
(
λ=β
.
τ = η1β
5.11.2 Properties
The expectation of a Weibull distribution W(η, β) is E(X) = ηΓ(1+ β1 ) and the variance V ar(X) =
τ (1+ τ1 )
η 2 [Γ( β+2 β+1 2
β ) − Γ( β ) ]. In the second parametrization, we have E(X) = 1 and V ar(X) =
λτ
1
2 (τ (1 + τ2 ) − τ (1 + τ1 )2 ).
λτ
The rth raw moment E(X r ) of the Weibull distribution W(η, β) is given by ηΓ(1 + βr ) for r > 0.
Xβ
The Weibull distribution is the distribution of the variable η where X follows an exponential
distribution E(1).
5.11.3 Estimation
We work in this sub-section with the first parametrization. From the cumulative distribution, we
have
log(− log |1 − F (x)|) = β log x − β log η.
5.12. INVERSE WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION 71
Thus we can an estimation of β and η by regressing log(− log | ni |) on log Xi:n . Then we get the
following estimators
b̂
β̃ = â and η̃ = e− â ,
where â and b̂ are respectively the slope and the intercept of the regression line.
which can be solved numerically (with algorithm initialized by the previous estimators).
1
Using the inversion function method, we simply need to compute β(− log(1 − U )) η for the first
1
parametrization or − log(1−U
τ
) λ
for the second one where U is an uniform variate.
5.11.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
5.12.1 Characterization
density function
β η
ηβ η e−( x ) InvW(4,3)
f (x) = ,
xη+1
3
β η
F (x) = e−( x ) .
2
x
72 CHAPTER 5. EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION AND ITS EXTENSIONS
5.12.2 Properties
5.12.3 Estimation
5.12.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
5.13.1 Characterization
1 − |x−m|
0.5
f (x) = e σ , L(0,1)
2σ 2 L(0,1)
L(0,3)
0.4
.3
5.13. LAPLACE OR DOUBLE EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION 73
emt
M (t) = ,
1 − σ 2 t2
for |t| < σ1 . The characteristic function is ex-
pressed as
eimt
φ(t) = ,
1 + σ 2 t2
for t ∈ R.
5.13.2 Properties
The expectation for the Laplace distribution is given by E(X) = m while the variance is V ar(X) =
2σ 2 .
5.13.3 Estimation
• V = U − 1/2
• return X
74 CHAPTER 5. EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION AND ITS EXTENSIONS
5.13.5 Applications
NEED
The Double Exponential Distribution: Using Calculus to Find a Maximum Likelihood Estimator
Robert M. Norton The American Statistician, Vol. 38, No. 2 (May, 1984), pp. 135-136
Chapter 6
6.1.1 Characterization
Chisq(2)
distribution is the distribution of the sum Chisq(3)
Chisq(4)
Chisq(5)
k
0.4
X
Xi2 ,
i=1
0.3
assumed to be an integer.
k
x 2 −1 x
f (x) = k e− 2 , 0 2 4 6 8 10
Γ( k2 )2 2
x
where k is the so-called degrees of freedom and Figure 6.1: Density function for chi-squared dis-
x ≥ 0. One can notice that is the density of a tributions
gamma distribution G( k2 , 12 ), so k is not neces-
sarily an integer. Thus the distribution function
can be expressed with the incomplete gamma
function
γ( k , x )
F (x) = 2 k 2 .
Γ( 2 )
75
76 CHAPTER 6. CHI-SQUARED’S DITRIBUTION AND RELATED EXTENSIONS
Thirdly, the chi-squared distribution can be defined in terms of its moment generating function
k
M (t) = (1 − 2t)− 2 ,
6.1.2 Properties
The expectation and the variance of the chi-squared distribution are simply E(X) = k and
V ar(X) = 2k. Raw moments are given by
r k
r 1 Γ( 2 + r)
E(X ) = .
2 Γ( k2 )
6.1.3 Estimation
For an integer k, just sum the square of k normal variable. Otherwise use the algorithm for the
gamma distribution.
6.1.5 Applications
The chi-squared distribution is widely used for inference, typically as pivotal function.
6.2. CHI DISTRIBUTION 77
6.2.1 Characterization
0.6
u k Chi(2)
Chi(3)
uX
t Xi2 , Chi(4)
Chi(5)
0.5
i=1
0.4
N (0, 1) and a given k. This is equivalent as the
distribution of a square root of a chi-squared
f(x)
0.3
distribution (hence the name).
0.2
The density function has a closed form
0.1
xk−1 2
− x2
f (x) = k e ,
−1 k
2 2 Γ
0.0
2
0 1 2 3 4
where x > 0. The distribution function can
x
be expressed in terms of the gamma incomplete
function Figure 6.2: Density function for chi distributions
k x2
γ( , )
F (x) = 2 k 2 ,
Γ 2
for x > 0.
Characteristic function and moment generating function exist and are expressed by
√ Γ k+1
k 1 −t2
2
φ(t) = 1 F1 , , + it 2
Γ k2
2 2 2
and
√ Γ k+1
k 1 t2
2
M (t) = 1 F1 , , +t 2 .
2 2 2 Γ k2
6.2.2 Properties
√
2Γ( k+1 )
The expectation and the variance of a chi distribution are given by E(X) = 2
Γ( k2 )
and V ar(X) =
k − E 2 (X). Other moments are given by
r Γ( k+r
2 )
E(X r ) = 2 2 ,
Γ( k2 )
for k + r > 0.
78 CHAPTER 6. CHI-SQUARED’S DITRIBUTION AND RELATED EXTENSIONS
6.2.3 Estimation
where ψ denotes the digamma function. This equation can be solved on the positive real line or
just the set of positive integers.
6.2.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
6.3.1 Characterization
k Chisq(2,1)
X Chisq(4)
Xi2 , Chisq(4,1)
0.4
i=1
1 x k−2 x+λ
√
e− 2 I k −1
4
f (x) = λx ,
0.1
2 λ 2
Moment generating function for the non central chi-squared distribution exists
λt
e 1−2t
M (t) = k
(1 − 2t) 2
6.3.2 Properties
6.3.3 Estimation
6.3.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
80 CHAPTER 6. CHI-SQUARED’S DITRIBUTION AND RELATED EXTENSIONS
6.4.1 Characterization
where (Xi )i are i.i.d. normally distributed N (µi , 1) and a given k. This is equivalent as the
distribution of a square root of a non central chi-squared distribution (hence the name).
where x > 0 and I. (.) denotes the modified Bessel’s function. The distribution function can be
expressed in terms of the gamma incomplete function
F (x) =??,
for x > 0.
6.4.2 Properties
E(X r ) =??,
for k + r > 0.
6.4.3 Estimation
NEED REFERENCE
NEED REFERENCE
6.5. INVERSE CHI-SQUARED DISTRIBUTION 81
6.4.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
2.5
InvChisq(2.5)
k
2− 2 − k−2 − 1
2.0
f (x) = x 2 e 2x ,
Γ( k2 )
1.5
f(x)
where k is the so-called degrees of freedom and
x ≥ 0. Thus the distribution function can be
1.0
Γ( k2 , 2x
1
)
F (x) = ,
Γ( k2 )
0.0
6.5.1 Properties
1
The expectation and the variance of the chi-squared distribution are simply E(X) = k−2 if k > 2
and V ar(X) = (k−2)22 (k−4) . Raw moments are given by
E(X r ) =??
82 CHAPTER 6. CHI-SQUARED’S DITRIBUTION AND RELATED EXTENSIONS
6.5.2 Estimation
6.5.4 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
6.6.1 Characterization
TODO
6.6.2 Properties
TODO
6.6.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
6.6. SCALED INVERSE CHI-SQUARED DISTRIBUTION 83
6.6.5 Applications
TODO
Chapter 7
Intro?
7.1.1 Characterization
There are many ways to define the student dis- density function
tribution. One can say that it is the distribution
0.4
T(1)
of √ T(2)
T(3)
dN T(4)
,
C
0.3
0.2
function
− d+1
Γ( d+1 ) x2
2
0.1
f (x) = √ 2 d 1+ ,
πdΓ( 2 ) d
x
The distribution function of the student t
Figure 7.1: Density function for student distribu-
distribution is given by
tions
1 d+1 3 x2
d + 1 2 F1 2 , 2 ; 2 ; − d
1
F (x) = + xΓ √ ,
2 2 πν Γ( d2 )
84
7.1. STUDENT T DISTRIBUTION 85
7.1.2 Properties
The expectation of a student distribution is E(X) = 0 if d > 1, infinite otherwise. And the variance
d
is given by V ar(X) = d−2 if d > 2.
7.1.3 Estimation
Maximum likelihood estimator for d can be found by solving numerically this equation
n n
Xi2 d + 1 X (Xi /d)2
d+1 d 1X
ψ −ψ = log 1 + − ,
2 2 n
i=1
d n 1 + Xi2 /d
i=1
7.1.5 Applications
The main application of the student is when dealing with a normally distributed sample, the
derivation of the confidence interval for the standard deviation use the student distribution. Indeed
for a normally distributed N (m, σ 2 ) sample of size n we have that
X̄n − m √
p n
Sn2
7.2.1 Characterization
7.2.2 Characterization
0.6
Cauchy(1,1)
Cauchy(1,1/2)
1 Cauchy(1,2)
f (x) = ,
0.5
π(1 + x2 )
where x ∈ R. Its distribution function is
0.4
1 1
F (x) = arctan(x) + .
π 2
f(x)
0.3
There exists a scaled and shifted version of
0.2
the Cauchy distribution coming from the scaled
and shifted version of the student distribution.
0.1
The density is
γ2
0.0
f (x) = ,
π [γ 2 + (x − δ)2 ] -4 -2 0 2 4
x
while its distribution function is
Figure 7.2: Density function for Cauchy distribu-
1 x−δ 1
F (x) = arctan + . tions
π γ 2
Even if there is no moment generating function, the Cauchy distribution has a characteristic function
φ(t) = exp(δ i t − γ |t|).
7.2.3 Properties
The Cauchy distribution C(δ, γ) has the horrible feature not to have any finite moments. How-
ever, the Cauchy distribution belongs to the family of stable distribution, thus a sum of Cauchy
distribution is still a Cauchy distribution.
7.2.4 Estimation
Since the quantile function is F −1 (u) = δ + γ tan((u − 1/2)π), we can use the inversion function
method.
7.2.6 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
7.3.1 Characterization
TODO
7.3.2 Properties
TODO
7.3.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
7.3.5 Applications
TODO
Chapter 8
Pareto family
name??
8.1.1 Characterization
P1(1,1)
Pareto distribution are used. Typically two P1(2,1)
P1(2,2)
different generalized Pareto distribution are P1(2,3)
used in extrem value theory with the work of
Pickands et al. and in loss models by Klugman
1.0
Pareto I 1 2 3 4 5
88
8.1. PARETO DISTRIBUTION 89
still for x > σ. α is the positive slope parameter∗ (sometimes called the Pareto’s index) and σ is
the scale parameter. Pareto type I distribution is sometimes called the classical Pareto distribution
or the European Pareto distribution.
Pareto II
density function
2.0
P2(2,1)
characterized by this survival function P2(2,2)
P2(2,3)
P2(3,2)
x − µ −α
F̄ (x) = 1 + ,
1.5
σ
where x > µ and σ, α > 0. Again α is the shape
parameter, while µ is the location parameter.
f(x)
1.0
We can derive the density from this definition:
x − µ −α−1
α
f (x) = 1+ ,
σ σ
for x > µ. We retrieve the Pareto I distribu- 0.5
P3(1,1,3/2)
x−µ γ
F̄ (x) = 1 + ,
σ
2.0
1 1 !−2
1 x − µ γ −1
x−µ γ
f (x) = 1+ ,
0.5
γσ σ σ
where x > µ. The Pareto III is not a general-
0.0
Pareto IV
2.5
F̄ (x) = 1 + , P4(0,1,1,2)
σ
2.0
where x > µ and α, σ, γ > 0. The associated
density function is expressed as follows
1.5
1 1 !−α−1
f(x)
α x − µ γ −1
x−µ γ
f (x) = 1+
γσ σ σ
1.0
for x > µ.
0.5
Quantile functions for Pareto distributions
are listed in sub-section random generation.
0.0
0 1 2 3 4 5
value theory due to Pickands (1975) has a lim- Figure 8.4: Density function for Pareto IV distri-
iting distribution with Pareto II PaII (0, σ, α), butions
see chapter on EVT for details. Finally, the
Feller-Pareto is a generalisation of the Pareto
IV distribution, cf. next section.
8.1.2 Properties
Equivalence
It is easy to verify that if X follows a Pareto I distribution PaI (σ, α), then log X follows a translated
exponential distribution T E(σ, α?).
The Pareto type III distribution is sometimes called the log-logistic distribution, since if X has
a logistic distribution then eX has a Pareto type III distribution with µ = 0.
Moments
ασ ασ 2
Moments for the Pareto I distribution are given by E(X) = α−1 if α > 1, V ar(X) = (α−1)2 (α−2)
α
and E(X τ ) = τ α−τ for α > τ and σ = 1.
Moments for the Pareto II, III can be derived from those of Pareto IV distribution, which are
Γ(1 + τ γ)Γ(α − τ γ)
E(X τ ) = σ τ ,
Γ(α)
with −1 < τ γ < α and µ = 0.
8.1. PARETO DISTRIBUTION 91
The convolution (i.e. sum) of Pareto I distributions does not have any particular form but the
product of Pareto I distributions does have a analytical form.
If we consider of n i.i.d. Pareto I PaI (σ, α) random variables, then the product Π has the
following density
n−1 x −α
α σ log( x−σ
σ ) σ
fΠ (x) = ,
xΓ(n)
where x > σ.
If we consider only independent Pareto I distribution PaI (σi , αi ), then we have for the density
of the product
n
X αi x −αi −1 Y αk
fΠ (x) = ,
σ σ αi − αk
i=1 k6=i
Order statistics
Let (Xi )i be a sample of Pareto distributions. We denote by (Xi:n )i the associated order statistics,
i.e. X1:n is the minimum and Xn:n the maximum.
For Pareto I distribution, the ith order statistic has the following survival function
i i
X x −α(n−j+1) Y n − l + 1
F̄Xi:n (x) = 1+ ,
σ l−j
j=1 l=1
l6=i
τ n! Γ(n − i + 1 − τ α−1 )
E(Xi:n ) = στ ,
(n − i)! Γ(n + 1 − τ α−1 )
for τ ∈ R.
where x > µ. Moments can be derived from those in the case of the Pareto I distribution using the
fact Xi:n = µ − σ + Yi:n with Yi:n order statistic for the Pareto I case.
For Pareto III distribution, the ith order statistic follows a Feller-Pareto FPa(µ, σ, γ, i, n−i+1).
Moments of order statistics can be obtained by using the transformation of Pareto II random
92 CHAPTER 8. PARETO FAMILY
γ
variable: we have Xi:n = µ + σZi:n follows a Pareto III distribution, where Z is a Pareto II
PaII (0, 1, 1). Furthermore, we know the moments of the random variable Z:
τ Γ(i + τ )Γ(n − i + τ + 1)
E(Zi:n )=
Γ(i)Γ(n − i + 1)
n
!
X
min(X1 , . . . , Xn ) ∼ PaIV µ, σ, γ, αi .
i=1
But the ith order statistic does not have a particular distribution. The intermediate order statistic
can be approximated by the normal distibution with
where f and F denotes respectively the density and the distribution function of the Pareto IV
distribution. Moments for the order statistics are computable from the moments of the minima
since we have
Xn
τ n−i
E(Xi:n ) = (−1)r−n+i−1 Cnr Cr−1 τ
E(X1:r ).
r=n−i+1
Since X1:r still follows a Pareto IV distribution PIV (µ, σ, γ, rα), we have
τ
E(X1:r ) = E((µ + σZ1:r )τ ),
τ )= Γ(1+τ γ)Γ(rα−τ γ)
where Z1:r ∼ PaIV (0, 1, γ, rα) and E(Z1:r Γ(rα) .
Truncation
Let us denote by X|X > x0 the random variable X knowing that X > x0 . We have the following
properties (with x0 > µ):
Record values
Geometric minimization
8.1.3 Estimation
Estimation of the Pareto distribution in the context of actuarial science can be found in Rytgaard
(1990).
Pareto I
Arnold (1983) notices that from a log transformation, the parameter estimation reduces to a prob-
lem for a translated exponentiallly distributed data. From this, we have the following maximum
likelihood estimator for the Pareto I distribution
• α̂n = X1:n ,
h P i−1
• σ̂n = n1 ni=1 log XX1:n
i
,
where (Xi )1≤i≤n denotes a sample of i.i.d. Pareto variables. Those estimators are strongly consis-
tent estimator of α and σ. Let us note that for these estimator we have better than the asymptotic
normality (due to the maximum likelihoodness). The distributions for these two estimators are
respectively Pareto I and Gamma distribution:
From this, we can see these estimators are biased, but we can derive unbiased estimators with
minimum variance:
• α̃n = n−2
n α̂n ,
h i
• σ̃n = 1 − 1
α̂n σ̂n .
Since those statistics α̃n and σ̃n are sufficient, it is easy to find unbiased estimators of functions of
these parameters h(α, σ) by plugging in α̃n and σ̃n (i.e. h(α̃n , σ̃n )).
However other estimations are possible, for instance we may use a least square regression on the
Pareto chart (plot of log F̄ (x) against log x). We can also estimate parameters by the method of
moments by equalling the sample mean and minimum to corresponding theoretical moments. We
get
94 CHAPTER 8. PARETO FAMILY
nX̄n −X1:n
• α̂nM = n(X̄n −X1:n )
,
nα̂M
n −1
• σ̂nM = nα̂M
X1:n ,
n
Finally, we may also calibrate a Pareto I distribution with a quantile method. We numerically
solve the system α
p1 = 1 − Xbnp1 c:n
X σ α ,
p2 = 1 − bnp2 c:n
σ
Pareto II-III-IV
Estimation of parameters for Pareto II, III and IV are more difficult. If we write the log-likelihood
for a sample (Xi )1≤i≤n Pareto IV distributed, we have
X n n 1 !
1 xi − µ X xi − µ γ
log L(µ, σ, γ, α) = −1 log −(α+1) log 1 + −n log γ−n log σ+n log α,
γ σ σ
i=1 i=1
with the constraint that ∀1 ≤ i ≤ n, xi > µ. Since the log-likelihood is null when x1:n ≤ µ and a
decreasing function of µ otherwise the maximum likelihood estimator of µ is the minimum µ̂ = X1:n .
which can be maximised numerically. Since there are no close form for estimators of σ, γ, α, we do
not know their distributions, but they are asymptotically normal.
We may also use the method of moments, where again µ̂ is X1:n . Substracting this value to all
observations, we use the expression of moments above to have three equations. Finally solve the
system numerically. A similar scheme can be used to estimate parameters with quantiles.
It is very easy to generate Pareto random variate using the inverse function method. Quantiles
function can be easily calculated
−1
• for PI (σ, α) distribution, F −1 (u) = σ(1 − u) α ,
h −1
i
• for PII (µ, σ, α) distribution, F −1 (u) = σ (1 − u) α − 1 + µ,
8.1. PARETO DISTRIBUTION 95
γ
• for PIII (µ, σ, γ) distribution, F −1 (u) = σ (1 − u)−1 − 1 + µ,
h −1
iγ
• for PIV (µ, σ, α) distribution, F −1 (u) = σ (1 − u) α − 1 + µ.
−1
• for PI (σ, α) distribution, F −1 (u) = σU α,
h −1 i
• for PII (µ, σ, α) distribution, F −1 (u) = σ U α − 1 + µ,
γ
• for PIII (µ, σ, γ) distribution, F −1 (u) = σ U −1 − 1 + µ,
h −1 iγ
• for PIV (µ, σ, α) distribution, F −1 (u) = σ U α − 1 + µ,
8.1.5 Applications
From wikipedia, we get the following possible applications of the Pareto distributions:
• file size distribution of Internet traffic which uses the TCP protocol (many smaller files, few
larger ones),
• the values of oil reserves in oil fields (a few large fields, many small fields),
• the length distribution in jobs assigned supercomputers (a few large ones, many small ones),
• sizes of meteorites,
• numbers of species per genus (There is subjectivity involved: The tendency to divide a genus
into two or more increases with the number of species in it),
• severity of large casualty losses for certain lines of business such as general liability, commercial
auto, and workers compensation.
In the litterature, Arnold (1983) uses the Pareto distribution to model the income of an individual
and Froot & O’Connell (2008) apply the Pareto distribution as the severity distribution in a context
of catastrophe reinsurance. Here are just a few applications, many other applications can be listed.
96 CHAPTER 8. PARETO FAMILY
8.2.1 Characterization
where U and V are independent gamma variables (G(δ1 , 1) and G(δ2 , 1) respectively). Let us note
that the ratio of these two variables follows a beta distribution of the second kind. In term of
distribution function, using the transformation of the beta variable, we get
y 1
β δ1 , δ2 , 1+y
x−µ γ
F (x) = with y = ,
β(δ1 , δ2 ) σ
with x ≥ µ, β(., .) denotes the beta function and β(., ., .) the incomplete beta function.
x−µ
where x ≥ µ. Let y be σ , the previous expression can be rewritten as
1 !δ2 1 !δ1
1 yγ yγ 1
f (x) = 1 1− 1 ,
γβ(δ1 , δ2 ) 1+y γ 1+y γ xy
for x ≥ µ. In this expression, we see more clearly the link with the beta distribution as well as the
transformation of the variable VU .
Finally the Pareto IV distribution is obtained with δ1 = 1. Therefore we have the following
equivalences
8.2.2 Properties
for − δγ1 ≤ r ≤ δ2
γ .
8.2.3 Estimation
NEED REFERENCE
Once we have simulated a beta I distribution B, we get a beta II distribution∗ with B̃ = 1−B
B
.
γ
Finally we shift, scale and take the power X = µ + σ B̃ to get a Feller-Pareto random variable.
8.2.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
∗
We can also use two gamma variables to get the beta II variable.
98 CHAPTER 8. PARETO FAMILY
8.3.1 Characterization
density function
1.0
InvP(1,1)
inverse Pareto distribution with µ = 0, δ1 = 1 InvP(2,1)
InvP(2,2)
and γ = 1. Thus the density is InvP(1,2)
0.8
x δ2
1 σ 1 1
f (x) = x x x ,
β(1, δ2 ) 1+ 1+
0.6
σ σ σ
f(x)
It can be rewritten as the density
0.4
τ λxτ −1
f (x) =
(x + λ)τ +1
0.2
which implies the following distribution func-
tion 0.0
τ
x 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
F (x) = , x
x+λ
Figure 8.5: Density function for inverse Pareto
for x ≥ 0. Let us note this is the distribution
distributions
of X1 when X is Pareto II.
8.3.2 Properties
λΓ(τ +1)
The expectation of the inverse Pareto distribution is E(X) = Γ(τ ) , but the variance does not
exist.
8.3.3 Estimation
NEED REFERENCE
8.3.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
8.4. GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTION 99
8.4.1 Characterization
density function
GPD(0)
The generalized Pareto distribution was intro- GPD(1/2)
GPD(1)
duced in Embrechts et al. (1997) in the context GPD(2)
2.0
GPD(3)
of extreme value theory. GPD(-1/3)
GPD(-2/3)
GPD(-1)
GPD(-5/4)
1.5
We first define the standard generalized
Pareto distribution by the following distribu-
f(x)
tion function
1.0
(
− 1ξ
F (x) = 1 − (1 + ξx) if ξ 6= 0 ,
0.5
1 − e−x if ξ = 0
h i
0.0
where x ∈ R+ if ξ ≥ 0 and x ∈ 0, − 1ξ oth-
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
erwise. This distribution function is generally
x
denoted by Gξ .
Figure 8.6: Density function for standard gener-
We can see the impact of the shape parame- alized Pareto distributions
ter ξ on the figure on the right. The case where
ξ = 0 can be seen as a limiting case of Gξ when
ξ → 0.
To get the “full” generalized Pareto distribution, we introduce a scale β and a location parameter
µ. We get
− 1
x−ν ξ
1− 1+ξ β if ξ > 0
x−ν
F (x) = −
1−e β if ξ = 0 ,
1
−ξ
1 − 1 + ξ x−ν
if ξ < 0
β
h i
where x lies in [ν, +∞[, [ν, +∞[ and ν, ν − βξ respectively. We denote it by Gξ,ν,β (x) (which is
simply Gξ ( x−ν
β )). Let us note when ξ > 0, we have a Pareto II distribution, when ξ = 0 a shifted
exponential distribution and when ξ < 0 a generalized beta I distribution.
From these expression, we can derive a density function for the generalized Pareto distribution
− 1 −1
1 ξ
1 + ξ x−ν if ξ > 0
β β
1 − x−ν
f (x) = βe
β if ξ = 0 ,
1
−1
−ξ
1
1 − (−ξ) x−ν if ξ < 0
β β
8.4.2 Properties
For a generalized Pareto distribution Gξ,0,β , we have results on raw moments (for simplicity ν = 0).
The expectation E(X) is finite if and only if ξ < 1. In this case we have
−r !
ξ 1 1
E 1+ X = , for r > −
β 1 + ξr ξ
k !
ξ
E log 1 + X = ξ k k!, for k ∈ N
β
β r+1
E X F̄ (X)r =
, for >0
(r + 1 − ξ)(r + 1) |ξ|
β k Γ(ξ −1 − k) 1
E X k = k+1 −1
k!, for ξ < ,
ξ Γ(1 + ξ ) k
If X follows a generalized Pareto distribution GP D(ξ, 0, β), then the treshold excess random
variable X − u|X > u still follows a generalized Pareto distribution GP D(ξ, 0, β + ξu). Let Fu be
the distribution function of X − u|X > u. We have F is in the maximum domain of attraction Hξ
if and only if
lim sup Fu (x) − Gξ,0,β(u) (x) = 0,
u→xf 0<x<xf −u
where β is a positive function. This makes the link between the generalized Pareto distribution
and the generalized extreme value distribution.
8.4.3 Estimation
We briefly present the Peak Over a Treshold (POT) method to fit the generalized Pareto distribu-
tion. Let (Xi )1≤i≤n an i.i.d. sample whose distribution function belongs to a maximum domain of
attraction Hξ . For a deterministic treshold u > 0, we define the number of exceedances by
with the corresponding excesses (Yi )1≤i≤Nu . We want to fit the excess distribution function Fu
with the GPD distribution function Gξ,0,β(u) .
β + ξu
E(X − u|X > u) = ,
1−ξ
8.4. GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTION 101
for a given u. This can be estimated by the empirical mean of the sample (Yi )1≤i≤Nu . Embrechts
et al. (1997) warn us about the difficulty of chosing u, since they are many u for wich the plot of
(u, ȲNu ).
Once we find the treshold u, we can use conditional likelihood estimation on sample (Yi )1≤i≤Nu .
Let τ be −ξ/β. However we can also use a linear regression to fit the shape and the scale parameter.
but the system may be instable for ξ ≤ −1/2. When ξ > 1/2, we have some asymptotical properties
of maximum likelihood estimators ξˆ and β̂:
!
√ β̂ L
n ξˆ − ξ, − 1 −→ N (0, M −1 ),
β
Method of moments
From the properties, we know the theoretical expression of E(X) and E X F̄ (X) . From wich we
get the relation
2E(X)E X F̄ (X) E(X)
β= and ξ = 2 − .
E(X) − 2E X F̄ (X) E(X) − 2E X F̄ (X)
We simply replace E(X) and E X F̄ (X) by the empirical estimators.
thus we can use the inversion function method to generate GPD variables.
102 CHAPTER 8. PARETO FAMILY
8.4.5 Applications
The main application of the generalized Pareto distribution is the extreme value theory, since
there exists a link between the generalized Pareto distribution and the generalized extreme value
distribution. Typical applications are modeling flood in hydrology, natural disaster in insurance
and asset returns in finance.
8.5.1 Characterization
density function
2.0
Burr(2,1,1)
ing density Burr(2,2,1)
Burr(2,2,2)
ατ (x/λ)τ −1
f (x) = 1.5
λ (1 + (x/λ)τ )α+1
1.0
α
λτ
F (x) = 1 − ,
λ τ + xτ
0.0
8.5.2 Properties
Γ(1 + τr )Γ(α − τr )
E(X r ) = λr ,
Γ(α)
8.5.3 Estimation
1 1
From the quantile function F −1 (u) = λ((1 − u) α − 1) τ , it is easy to generate Burr random variate
1 1
with λ(U α − 1) τ where U is a uniform variable.
8.5.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
104 CHAPTER 8. PARETO FAMILY
8.6.1 Characterization
density function
1.4
The inverse Burr distribution (also called the InvBurr(1,1,1,0)
InvBurr(1,2,1,0)
Dagum distribution) is a special case of the InvBurr(2,2,1,0)
1.2
InvBurr(1,2,2,0)
Feller Pareto distribution FP with δ2 = 1.
That is to say the density is given by
1.0
x−µ αγ−1
αγ
0.8
σ
f (x) = α γ+1 ,
σ
f(x)
1 + x−µ
0.6
σ
0.4
scale parameter and α, γ the shape parameters.
0.2
Klugman et al. (2004) defines the inverse Burr
distribution with µ = 0, since this book deals
with insurance loss distributions. In this ex- 0.0
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0
pression, it is not so obvious that this is the
x
inverse Burr distribution and not the Burr dis-
tribution. But the density can be rewritten as Figure 8.8: Density function for inverse Burr dis-
tributions
α+1
σ
αγ x−µ
f (x) = α γ+1 ,
σ
σ
x−µ +1
for x ≥ µ. Here it is also clearer that this is the inverse Burr distribution since we notice the
survival function of the Burr distribution taken in x1 . We denotes the inverse Burr distribution by
IB(γ, α, β, µ).
8.6.2 Properties
Γ(γ + αr )Γ(1 − αr )
E(X r ) = σ r ,
Γ(γ)
when µ = 0 and α > r. Thus the expectation and the variance are
Γ(γ + α1 )Γ(1 − α1 )
E(X) = µ + σ
Γ(γ)
8.7. BETA TYPE II DISTRIBUTION 105
and
Γ(γ + α2 )Γ(1 − α2 ) Γ2 (γ + α1 )Γ2 (1 − α1 )
V ar(X) = σ 2 − σ2
Γ(γ) Γ2 (γ)
8.6.3 Estimation
The maximum likelihood estimator of µ is simply µ̂ = X1:n for a sample (Xi )i , then working on the
transformed sample Yi = Xi − µ̂, other maximum likelihood estimators are solutions of the system
n
α
n
log 1 + Yλi
P
γ =
i=1
n n
n α
log Yσi + (γ + 1) log Yσi Y ασ+σα ,
P P
α =−
i
i=1 i=1
n n
σα
n 1
− α γ+1
P P
= (α + 1)
Yiα +σ α
σ Yi +σ σ
i=1 i=1
− γ1 1
Since the quantile function is F −1 (u) = µ + σ −1 (u − 1)− α , we can use the inverse function
method.
8.6.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
8.7.1 Characterization
There are many ways to characterize the beta type II distribution. First we can say it is the
X
distribution of 1−X when X is beta I distributed. But this is also the distribution of the ratio VU
106 CHAPTER 8. PARETO FAMILY
when U and V are gamma distributed (G(a, 1) and G(b, 1) resp.). The distribution function of the
beta of the second distribution is given by
x
β(a, b, 1+x )
F (x) = ,
β(a, b)
for x ≤ 0. The main difference with the beta I distribution is that the beta II distribution takes
values in R+ and not [0, 1].
xa−1
f (x) = ,
β(a, b)(1 + x)a+b
x
for x ≤ 0. It is easier to see the transformation 1−x if we rewrite the density as
a−1 b−1
x x 1
f (x) = 1− .
1+x 1+x β(a, b)(1 + x)2
8.7.2 Properties
a a(a+b−1)
The expectation and the variance of the beta II are given by E(X) = b−1 and V ar(X) = (b−1)2 (b−2)
when b > 1 and b > 2. Raw moments are expressed as follows
Γ(a + r)Γ(b − r)
E(X r ) = ,
Γ(a)Γ(b)
for b > r.
8.7.3 Estimation
where ψ denotes the digamma function. We may also use the moment based estimators given by
X̄n (X̄n + 1)
b̃ = 2 + and ã = (b̃ − 1)X̄n ,
Sn2
X
We can simply use the construction of the beta II, i.e. the ratio of 1−X when X is beta I distributed.
However we may also use the ratio of two gamma variables.
8.7.5 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
Chapter 9
9.1.1 Characterization
1
F (x) = x−µ ,
1 + e− s
9.1.2 Properties
TODO
9.1.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
108
9.1. LOGISTIC DISTRIBUTION 109
110 CHAPTER 9. LOGISTIC DISTRIBUTION AND RELATED EXTENSIONS
9.1.5 Applications
9.2.1 Characterization
9.2.2 Properties
9.2.3 Estimation
9.2.5 Applications
9.3.1 Characterization
9.3.2 Properties
9.3.3 Estimation
9.3.5 Applications
9.4.1 Characterization
9.4.2 Properties
9.4.3 Estimation
9.4.5 Applications
10.1.1 Characterization
−x Gum(1/2,1)
f (x) = e−x−e , Gum(0,1/2)
Gum(-1,2)
0.6
pressed as follows
0.4
−x
F (x) = e−e .
f(x)
0.3
σ
-4 -2 0 2 4
where x ∈ R, µ ∈ R and σ > 0. We get back to
x
the standard Gumbel distribution with µ = 0
and σ = 1. The distribution function of the
Gumbel I distribution is simply Figure 10.1: Density function for Gumbel distri-
x−µ
butions
−e− σ
F (x) = e ,
for x ∈ R.
There exists a Gumbel distribution of the second kind defined by the following distribution
function x−µ
F (x) = 1 − e−e σ ,
111
112 CHAPTER 10. EXTREM VALUE THEORY DISTRIBUTIONS
The characteristic function of the Gumbel distribution of the first kind exists
φ(t) = Γ(1 − iσt)eiµt ,
while its moment generating function are
M (t) = Γ(1 − σt)eµt .
10.1.2 Properties
The expectation of a Gumbel type I distribution is E(X) = γ, the Euler constant, roughly 0.57721.
2
Its variance is V ar(X) = π6 . Thus for the Fisher-Tippett distribution, we have E(X) = µ + σγ
2 2
and V ar(X) = π 6σ .
For the Gumbel type II, expectation exists if a > 1 and variance if a > 2.
10.1.3 Estimation
The quantile function of the Gumbel I distribution is simply F −1 (u) = µ − σ log(− log(u)), thus
we can use the inverse function method.
10.1.5 Applications
The Gumbel distribution is widely used in natural catastrophe modelling, especially for maximum
flood. NEED REFERENCE
10.2. FRÉCHET DISTRIBUTION 113
for x ≥ µ. One can notice this is the inverse Weibull distribution, see section 5.12 for details.
10.4.1 Characterization
The generalized extreme value distribution is defined by the following distribution function
1
x−µ − ξ
F (x) = e−(1+ξ σ ) ,
x−µ
for 1+ξ σ > 0, ξ the shape parameter, µ the location parameter and σ > 0 the scale parameter.
We can derive a density function
1
x − µ − ξ −1 −(1+ξ x−µ )− 1ξ
1
f (x) = 1+ξ e σ .
σ σ
This distribution is sometimes called the Fisher-Tippett distribution.
Let us note that the values can be taken in R, R− or R+ according to the sign of ξ. The dis-
tribution function is generally noted by Hξ,µ,σ , wich can expressed with the “standard” generalized
extreme value distribution Hξ,0,1 with a shift and a scaling. When ξ tends to zero, we get the
Gumbel I distribution x−µ
−
Hξ,µ,σ (x) −→ e−e σ .
ξ→0
10.4.2 Properties
if they exist.
From the extreme value theory, we have the following theorem. Let (Xi )1≤i≤n be an i.i.d.
sample and Xi:n the order statistics. If there exits two sequences (an )n and (bn )n valued in R+ and
R respectively, such that
Xn:n − bn
P
an
have a limit in probability distribution. Then the limiting distribution H for the maximum belongs
to the type of one the following three distribution functions
−x−ξ , x ≥ 0, ξ > 0,
e
MDA of Fréchet
−(−x) ξ
H(x) = e , x ≤ 0, ξ < 0, MDA of Weibull ,
−e−x
e , x ∈ R, ξ = 0, MDA of Gumbel
where MDA stands for maximum domains of attraction∗ . For all distribution, there is a unique
MDA. We quickly see that the limiting distribution for the maximum is nothing else than the gen-
eralized extreme value distribution Hξ,0,1 . This theorem is the Fisher-Tippett-Gnedenko theorem.
X1:n −bn
For the minimum, assuming that P an has a limit, the limiting distribution belongs to
β
1 − e−x ,
x ≥ 0, β > 0
−(−x) β
H̃(x) = 1−e , x ≤ 0, β < 0 .
1 − e−ex ,
x ∈ R, β = 0
In the MDA of Fréchet, we have the Cauchy, the Pareto, the Burr, the log-gamma and the stable
distributions, while in the Weibull MDA we retrieve the uniform, the beta and bounded support
power law distribution. Finally, the MDA of Gumbel contains the exponential, the Weibull, the
gamma, the normal, the lognormal, the Benktander distributions.
From the Embrechts et al. (1997), we also have some equivalence given a MDA:
• a distribution function F belongs to the MDA of Fréchet if and only if 1 − F (x) = x−α L(x)
for some slowly varying function L,
• a distribution function F belongs to the MDA of Weibull if and only if 1 − F (xF − 1/x) =
x−α L(x) for some slowly varying function L and xF < +∞,
• a distribution function F belongs to the MDA of Gumbel if and only if there exists z < xF
R x g(t)
− z a(t) dt
such that 1 − F (x) = c(x)e for some measurable function c, g and a continuous
function a.
−x
∗
Sometimes the distribution characterized by the distribution function e−e is called the extreme maximal-value
distribution.
x
†
Sometimes the distribution characterized by the distribution function 1−e−e is called the extreme minimal-value
distribution.
10.5. GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTION 115
10.4.3 Estimation
According to Embrechts et al. (1997) maximum likelihood estimation is not very reliable in the case
of the generalized extreme value fitting. But that’s not surprising since the generalized extreme
value distribution is a limiting distribution to very heterogeneous distribution, such as heavy tailed,
light tailed or bounded distributions.
The quantile function of the generalized extreme value distribution is F −1 (u) = µ+ σξ ((− log u)−ξ )−
1 for ξ 6= 0. So we can use the inverse function method.
10.4.5 Applications
The application of the generalized extreme value distribution is obviously the extremex value theory
which can be applied in many fields : natural disaster modelling, insurance/finance extreme risk
management,. . .
116
Chapter 11
Generalization of common
distributions
11.1.1 Characterization
The first way to characterize generalized hyperbolic distributions is to say that the random vector
X follows a multivariate GH distribution if
L √
X = µ + W γ + W AZ (11.1)
where
1. Z ∼ Nk (0, Ik )
2. A ∈ Rd×k
3. µ, γ ∈ Rd
4. W ≥ 0 is a scalar-valued random variable which is independent of Z and has a Generalized
Inverse Gaussian distribution, written GIG(λ, χ, ψ).
Note that there are at least five alternative definitions leading to different parametrizations.
Nevertheless, the parameters of a GH distribution given by the above definition admit the
following interpretation:
• λ, χ, ψ determine the shape of the distribution, that is, how much weight is assigned to the
tails and to the center. In general, the larger those parameters the closer is the distribution
to the normal distribution.
117
118 CHAPTER 11. GENERALIZATION OF COMMON DISTRIBUTIONS
Another way to define a generalized hyperbolic distribution is to use the density. Since the
conditional distribution of X given W is Gaussian with mean µ + W γ and variance W Σ the GH
density can be found by mixing X|W with respect to W .
Z ∞
fX (x) = fX|W (x|w) fW (w) dw (11.3)
0
∞ 0 −1 γ
e(x−µ) Σ
Z
Q(x) γΣγ
= d 1 d
exp − − fW (w)dw
0 (2π) 2 |Σ| 2 w 2 2w 2/w
(x−µ)0 Σ−1 γ
d
p
( ψ/χ)λ (ψ + γΣγ) 2 −λ Kλ− d2 ( (χ + Q(x))(ψ + γΣγ)) e
p
= d 1 √ × d ,
( (χ + Q(x))(ψ + γΣγ)) 2 −λ
p
(2π) 2 |Σ| 2 Kλ ( χψ)
where Kλ (·) denotes the modified Bessel function of the third kind and Q(x) denotes the maha-
lanobis distance Q(x) = (x − µ)0 Σ−1 (x − µ) (i.e. the distance with Σ−1 as norm). The domain of
variation of the parameters λ, χ and ψ is given in section 11.1.2.
A last way to characterize generalized hyperbolic distributions is the usage of moment generating
functions. An appealing property of normal mixtures is that the moment generating function is
easily calculated once the moment generating function of the mixture is known. Based on equation
(11.4) we obtain the moment generating function of a GH distributed random variable X as
0
M (t) = E(E(exp t0 X |W )) = et µ E(exp W t0 γ + 1/2 t0 Σt )
λ/2 p
Kλ ( ψ(χ − 2t0 γ − t0 Σt))
t0 µ ψ
= e √ , χ ≥ 2 t0 γ + t0 Σt.
ψ − 2t0 γ − t0 Σt Kλ ( χψ)
For moment generating functions of the special cases of the GH distribution we refer to Prause
(1999) and Paolella (2007).
11.1.2 Parametrization
There are several alternative parametrizations for the GH distribution. In the R package ghyp the
user can choose between three of them. There exist further parametrizations which are not imple-
mented and not mentioned here. For these parametrizations we refer to Prause (1999) and Paolella
(2007).
Table 11.1 describes the parameter ranges for each parametrization and each special case.
Clearly, the dispersion matrices Σ and ∆ have to fulfill the usual conditions for covariance ma-
trices, i.e., symmetry and positive definiteness as well as full rank.
11.1. GENERALIZED HYPERBOLIC DISTRIBUTION 119
(λ, χ, ψ, µ, Σ, γ)-Parametrization
λ χ ψ µ Σ γ
ghyp λ∈R χ>0 ψ >0 µ ∈ Rd Σ ∈ RΣ γ ∈ Rd
hyp λ = d+1
2 χ>0 ψ >0 µ ∈ Rd Σ ∈ RΣ γ ∈ Rd
NIG λ = − 12 χ>0 ψ >0 µ ∈ Rd Σ ∈ RΣ γ ∈ Rd
t λ<0 χ>0 ψ =0 µ ∈ Rd Σ ∈ RΣ γ ∈ Rd
VG λ>0 χ=0 ψ >0 µ ∈ Rd Σ ∈ RΣ γ ∈ Rd
(λ, α, µ, Σ, δ, β)-Parametrization
λ α δ µ ∆ β
ghyp λ∈R α>0 δ >0 µ ∈ Rd ∆ ∈ R∆ β ∈ {x ∈ Rd : α2 − x0 ∆x > 0}
hyp λ = d+1
2 α>0 δ >0 µ ∈ Rd ∆ ∈ R∆ β ∈ {x ∈ Rd : α2 − x0 ∆x > 0}
NIG λ = − 12 α>0 δ >0 µ ∈ Rd ∆ ∈ R∆ β ∈ {x ∈ Rd : α2 − x0 ∆x > 0}
√
t λ<0 α = β 0 ∆β δ >0 µ ∈ Rd ∆ ∈ R∆ β ∈ Rd
VG λ>0 α>0 δ =0 µ ∈ Rd ∆ ∈ R∆ β ∈ {x ∈ R : α2 − x0 ∆x > 0}
d
Table 11.1: The domain of variation for the parameters of the GH distribution and some of its
special cases for different parametrizations. We denote the set of all feasible covariance matrices in
Rd×d with RΣ . Furthermore, let R∆ = {A ∈ RΣ : |A| = 1}.
Internally, he package ghyp uses the (λ, χ, ψ, µ, Σ, γ)-parametrization. However, fitting is done
in the (λ, ᾱ, µ, Σ, γ)-parametrization since this parametrization does not necessitate additional con-
straints to eliminate the redundant degree of freedom. Consequently, what cannot be represented
by the (λ, α, µ, Σ, δ, β)-parametrization cannot be fitted (cf. section 11.1.2).
(λ, χ, ψ, µ, Σ, γ)-Parametrization
There is a more elegant way to eliminate the degree of freedom. We simply constrain the expected
value of the generalized inverse Gaussian distributed mixing variable W to be 1 (cf. 4.5). This
makes the interpretation of the skewness parameters γ easier and in addition, the fitting procedure
becomes faster (cf. 11.1.5).
We define r √
χ Kλ+1 ( χψ)
E(W ) = √ = 1. (11.4)
ψ Kλ ( χψ)
and set p
ᾱ = χψ. (11.5)
It follows that
Kλ+1 (ᾱ) ᾱ2 Kλ (ᾱ)
ψ = ᾱ and χ = = ᾱ . (11.6)
Kλ (ᾱ) ψ Kλ+1 (ᾱ)
The drawback of the (λ, ᾱ, µ, Σ, γ)-parametrization is that it does not exist in the case ᾱ = 0 and
λ ∈ [−1, 0], which corresponds to a Student-t distribution with non-existing variance. Note that
the (λ, ᾱ, µ, Σ, γ)-parametrization yields to a slightly different parametrization for the special case
of a Student-t distribution.
(λ, α, µ, Σ, δ, β)-Parametrization
When the GH distribution was introduced in Barndorff-Nielsen (1977), the following parametriza-
tion for the multivariate case was used.
p 0
(α2 − β 0 ∆β)λ/2 Kλ− d (α δ 2 + (x − µ)0 ∆−1 (x − µ)) eβ (x−µ)
2
fX (x) = dp × d , (11.7)
(α δ 2 + (x − µ)0 ∆−1 (x − µ)) 2 −λ
p p
(2π) 2 |∆| δ λ Kλ (δ α2 − β 0 ∆β)
where the determinant of ∆ is constrained to be 1. In the univariate case the above expression
reduces to
(α2 − β 2 )λ/2 p
fX (x) = √ 1 p × Kλ− 1 (α δ 2 + (x − µ)2 ) eβ(x−µ) , (11.8)
2π αλ− 2 δ λ Kλ (δ α2 − β 2 ) 2
The following formulas can be used to switch between the (λ, ᾱ, µ, Σ, γ), (λ, χ, ψ, µ, Σ, γ), and
the (λ, α, µ, Σ, δ, β)-parametrization. The parameters λ and µ remain the same, regardless of the
parametrization.
The way to obtain the (λ, α, µ, Σ, δ, β)-parametrization from the (λ, ᾱ, µ, Σ, γ)-parametrization
yields over the (λ, χ, ψ, µ, Σ, γ)-parametrization:
(λ, ᾱ, µ, Σ, γ) → (λ, χ, ψ, µ, Σ, γ): Use the relations in (11.6) to obtain χ and ψ. The parameters Σ
and γ remain the same.
q √
K ( χψ)
(λ, χ, ψ, µ, Σ, γ) → (λ, ᾱ, µ, Σ, γ): Set k = ψχ Kλ+1(√χψ) .
λ
p
ᾱ = χψ, Σ ≡ k Σ, γ ≡ kγ (11.9)
11.1.3 Properties
Moments
Linear transformation
The GH class is closed under linear transformations: If X ∼ GHd (λ, χ, ψ, µ, Σ, γ) and Y = BX +b,
where B ∈ Rk×d and b ∈ Rk , then Y ∼ GHk (λ, χ, ψ, Bµ + b, BΣB 0 , Bγ). Observe that by
introducing a new skewness parameter γ̄ = Σγ, all the shape and skewness parameters (λ, χ, ψ, γ̄)
become location and scale-invariant, provided the transformation does not affect the dimensionality,
that is B ∈ Rd×d and b ∈ Rd .
The GH distribution contains several special cases known under special names.
• If λ = d+12 the name generalized is dropped and we have a multivariate hyperbolic (hyp)
distribution. The univariate margins are still GH distributed. Inversely, when λ = 1 we get
a multivariate GH distribution with hyperbolic margins.
• If χ = 0 and λ > 0 one gets a limiting case which is known amongst others as Variance
Gamma (VG) distribution.
• If ψ = 0 and λ < −1 one gets a limiting case which is known as a generalized hyperbolic
Student-t distribution (called simply Student-t in what follows).
11.1.5 Estimation
Numerical optimizers can be used to fit univariate GH distributions to data by means of maximum
likelihood estimation. Multivariate GH distributions can be fitted with expectation-maximazion
(EM) type algorithms (see Dempster et al. (1977) and Meng & Rubin (1993)).
EM-Scheme
Assume we have iid data x1 , . . . , xn and parameters represented by Θ = (λ, ᾱ, µ, Σ, γ). The problem
is to maximize
n
X
ln L(Θ; x1 , . . . , xn ) = ln fX (xi ; Θ). (11.14)
i=1
This problem is not easy to solve due to the number of parameters and necessity of maximizing
over covariance matrices. We can proceed by introducing an augmented likelihood function
n
X n
X
ln L̃(Θ; x1 , . . . , xn , w1 , . . . , wn ) = ln fX|W (xi |wi ; µ, Σ, γ) + ln fW (wi ; λ, ᾱ) (11.15)
i=1 i=1
and spend the effort on the estimation of the latent mixing variables wi coming from the mixture
representation (11.2). This is where the EM algorithm comes into play.
E-step: Calculate the conditional expectation of the likelihood function (11.15) given the data
x1 , . . . , xn and the current estimates of parameters Θ[k] . This results in the objective function
Q(Θ; Θ[k] ) = E ln L̃(Θ; x1 , . . . , xn , w1 , . . . , wn )|x1 , . . . , xn ; Θ[k] . (11.16)
M-step: Maximize the objective function with respect to Θ to obtain the next set of estimates
Θ[k+1] .
Alternating between these steps yields to the maximum likelihood estimation of the parameter
set Θ. In practice, performing the E-Step means maximizing the second summand of (11.15)
numerically. The log density of the GIG distribution (cf. 4.5.1) is
λ p χ1 ψ
ln fW (w) = ln(ψ/χ) − ln(2Kλ ( χψ)) + (λ − 1) ln w − − w. (11.17)
2 2w 2
When using the (λ, ᾱ)-parametrization this problem is of dimension two instead of three as it is in
the (λ, χ, ψ)-parametrization. As a consequence the performance increases.
11.1. GENERALIZED HYPERBOLIC DISTRIBUTION 123
Since the wi ’s are latent one has to replace w, 1/w and ln w with the respective expected values in
order to maximize the log likelihood function. Let
[k] [k] [k]
ηi := E wi | xi ; Θ[k] , δi := E wi−1 | xi ; Θ[k] , xii := E ln wi | xi ; Θ[k] . (11.18)
We have to find the conditional density of wi given xi to calculate these quantities.
MCECM estimation
(1) Select reasonable starting values for Θ[k] . For example λ = 1, ᾱ = 1, µ is set to the sample
mean, Σ to the sample covariance matrix and γ to a zero skewness vector.
(2) Calculate χ[k] and ψ [k] as a function of ᾱ[k] using (11.6).
[k] [k]
(3) Use (11.18), (11.12) to calculate the weights ηi and δi . Average the weights to get
n n
[k] 1 X [k] 1 X [k]
η̄ = ηi and δ̄ [k] = δi . (11.19)
n n
i=1 i=1
11.1.7 Applications
Even though the GH distribution was initially ivented to study the distribution of the logarithm
of particle sizes, we will focus on applications of the GH distribution family in finance and risk
measurement.
We have seen above that the GH distribution is very flexible in the sense that it nests several
other distributions such as the Student-t (cf. 7.1).
To give some references and applications of the GH distribution let us first summarize some
of its important properties. Beside of the above mentioned flexibility, three major facts led to the
popularity of GH distribution family in finance:
(1) The GH distribution features both fat tails and skewness. These properties account for the
stylized facts of financial returns.
(3) The GH distribution is infinitely divisible (cf. Barndorff-Nielsen & Halgreen (1977)). This is
a necessary and sufficient condition to build Lévy processes. Lévy processes are widespread
in finance because of their time-continuity and their ability to model jumps.
Based on these properties one can classify the applications of the GH distributions into the fields
empirical modelling, risk and dependence modelling, derivative pricing, and portfolio selection.
In the following, we try to assign papers to each of the classes of applications mentioned above.
Rather than giving abstracts for each paper, we simply cite them and refer the interested reader
to the bibliography and to the articles. Note that some articles deal with special cases of the GH
distribution only.
Empirical modelling Eberlein & Keller (1995), Barndorff-Nielsen & Prause (2001), Fergusson
& Platen (2006)
Risk and dependence modelling Eberlein et al. (1998), Breymann et al. (2003), McNeil et al.
(2005b), Chen et al. (2005), Kassberger & Kiesel (2006)
Lévy processes Barndorff-Nielsen (1997a,b), Bibby & Sorensen (1997), Dilip B. Madan et al.
(1998), Raible (2000), Cont & Tankov (2003)
∗
The extension to multivariate distributions is natural because of the mixing structure (see eq. (11.2)).
11.2. STABLE DISTRIBUTION 125
A detailed and complete review of stable distributions can be found in Nolan (2009).
11.2.1 Characterization
L
aX̃ + bX = cX + d,
˜
where X̃ and X are independent copies of a random variable X and some positive constants a, b, c
˜
and d. This equation means stable distributions are distributions closed for linear combinations.
For the terminology, we say X is strictly stable if d = 0 and symmetric stable if in addition we have
L
X = −X. From Nolan (2009), we learn we use the word stable since the shape of the distribution
is preserved under linear combinations.
Another way to define stable distribution is to use characteristic functions. X has a stable
distribution if and only if its characteristic function is
( α πα
itδ e−|tγ| (1−iβ tan( 2 )sign(t)) if α 6= 1
φ(t) = e × 2 ,
e−|tγ|(1+iβ π log |t|sign(t)) if α = 1
where α ∈]0, 2], β ∈] − 1, 1[, γ > 0 and b ∈ R are the parameters. In the following, we denote
S(α, β, γ, δ), where δ is a location parameter, γ a scale parameter, α an index of stability and β a
skewness parameter. This corresponds to the parametrization 1 of Nolan (2009).
We know that stable distributions S(α, β, γ, δ) are continuous distributions whose support is
[δ, +∞[ if α < 1 and β = 1
] − ∞, δ] if α < 1 and β = −1 .
] − ∞, +∞[ otherwise
11.2.2 Properties
If we work with standard stable distributions S(α, β, 0, 1), we have the reflection property. That is
to say if X ∼ S(α, β, 0, 1), then −X ∼ S(α, −β, 0, 1). This implies the following constraint on the
density and the distribution function:
From the definition, we have the obvious property on the sum. If X follows a stable distribution
S(α, β, γ, δ), then aX + b follows a stable distribution of parameters
S(α, sign(a)β, |a|γ, aδ + b) if α 6= 1
.
S(1, sign(a)β, |a|γ, aδ + b − π2 βγa log |a|) if α = 1
√ (x−µ)2
• S(2, 0, σ/ 2, µ) is a Normal distribution defined by the density f (x) = √ 1 e− 2σ 2 ,
2πσ 2
γ
• S(1, 0, γ, δ) is a Cauchy distribution defined by the density f (x) = 1
π γ 2 +(x−γ)2 ,
q γ
γ − 2(x−δ)
• S(1/2, 1, γ, δ) is a Lévy distribution defined by the density f (x) = 2π
1
3 e .
(x−δ) 2
11.2.4 Estimation
NEED REFERENCE
Simulation of stable distributions are carried out by the following algorithm from Chambers et al.
(1976). Let Θ be an independent random uniform variable U(−π/2, π/2) and W be an exponential
variable with mean 1 independent from Θ. For 0 < α ≤ 2, we have
11.2.6 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
11.3.1 Characterization
The computation of matrix exponential is studied in details in appendix A.3, but let us notice
that when T is a diagonal matrix, the matrix exponential is the exponential of its diagonal terms.
Let us note that there also exists discrete phase-type distribution, cf. Bobbio et al. (2003).
11.3.2 Properties
The moments of a phase-type distribution are given by (−1)n n!πT −n 1. Since phase-type distribu-
tions are platikurtic or light-tailed distributions, the Laplace transform exists
fb(s) = π(−sIm − T )−1 t0 ,
∗
matrix such that its row sums are equal to 0 and have positive elements except on its diagonal.
128 CHAPTER 11. GENERALIZATION OF COMMON DISTRIBUTIONS
One property among many is the set of phase-type distributions is dense with the set of positive
random variable distributions. Hence, the distribution of any positive random variable can be
written as a limit of phase-type distributions. However, a distribution can be represented (exactly)
as a phase-type distribution if and only if the three following conditions are verified
• the pole of the Laplace transform with maximal real part is unique;
Here are some examples of distributions, which can be represented by a phase-type distribution
π = (1, 0, . . . , 0),
−λ1 λ1 0 ... 0
..
0 −λ2 λ2 . 0
T =
.. ,
0 0 −λ3 . 0
.. ..
0 0 . . λn−1
0 0 0 0 −λn
and m = n.
π = (p1 , . . . , pn ),
−λ1 0 0 ... 0
..
0 −λ2 0 . 0
T =
.. ,
0 0 −λ3 . 0
.. ..
0 0 . . 0
0 0 0 0 −λn
and m = n.
π = (p1 , 0, . . . , 0, p2 , 0, . . . , 0),
| {z } | {z }
n1 n2
11.3. PHASE-TYPE DISTRIBUTION 129
−λ1 λ1 0 0 ... 0 0
.. ..
0 . λ1 0 . 0 0
0 0 −λ1 0 0 0 0
..
T =
0 0 . −λ2 λ2 0 0 ,
.. ..
0 0 0 0 . . 0
..
0 0 0 0 0 . λ2
0 0 0 0 0 0 −λ2
and m = n1 + n2 .
11.3.4 Estimation
The estimation based on moments can be a starting point for parameters, but according to Feld-
mann & Whitt (1996) the fit is very poor. Feldmann & Whitt (1996) proposes a recursive algo-
rithm matching theoretical quantiles and empirical quantiles. They illustrates their method with
the Weibull and the Pareto distribution by a mixture of exponential distributions.
First Asmussen et al. (1996) and then Lee & Lin (2008) fit phase-type distribution with the EM
algorithm. Lee & Lin (2008) also investigates goodness of fit and graphical comparison of the fit.
Lee & Lin (2008) focuses on mixture of Erlang distributions while Asmussen et al. (1996) provides
an algorithm for general phase-type distributions. Lee & Lin (2008) illustrates their algorithm with
an uniform, a Weibull, a Pareto and log-normal distributions.
From Neuts (1981), we have the following algorithm to generate phase-type distributed random
variate. Let s be the state of the underlying Markov chain.
11.3.6 Applications
NEED REFERENCE
11.4.1 Characterization
Clark & Thayer (2004) defines the exponential family by the following density or mass probability
function
f (x) = ed(θ)e(x)+g(θ)+h(x) ,
where d, e, g and h are known functions and θ the vector of paremeters. Let us note that the support
of the distribution can be R or R+ or N. This form for the exponential family is called the natural
form.
When we deal with generalized linear models, we use the natural form of the exponential family,
which is
θx−b(θ)
+c(x,φ)
f (x) = e a(φ) ,
where a, b, c are known functions and θ, φ∗ denote the parameters. This form is derived from the
previous by setting d(θ) = θ, e(x) = x and adding a dispersion parameter φ.
Let µ be the mean of the variable of an exponential family distribution. We have µ = τ (θ) since
φ is only a dispersion parameter. The mean value form of the exponential family is
τ −1 (µ)x−b(τ −1 (µ))
+c(x,φ)
f (x) = e a(φ) .
11.4.2 Properties
For the exponential family, we have E(X) = µ = b0 (θ) and V ar(X) = a(φ)V 00
q (µ) = a(φ)b (θ) where
a(φ) b(3) (θ)a(φ)2
V is the unit variance function. The skewness is given by γ3 (X) = dV dµ (µ) V (µ) = V ar(Y )3/2
, while
2
2 a(φ) b(4) (θ)a(φ)3
the kurtosis is γ4 (X) = 3 + ddµV2 (µ)V (µ) + dV
dµ (µ) V (µ) = 3 + V ar(Y )2 .
The property of uniqueness is the fact that the variance function V uniquely identifies the
distribution.
The exponential family of distributions in fact contains the most frequently used distributions.
Here are the corresponding parameters, listed in a table:
∗
the canonic and the dispersion parameters.
11.5. ELLIPTICAL DISTRIBUTION 131
11.4.4 Estimation
n
1 P Xi b0 (θ)
n a(φ) = a(φ)
i=1
n n ,
θXi a0 (φ) 0
1 1 ∂c
b(θ) aa2(φ)
P P
− ∂φ (Xi , φ) =
n a2 (φ) n (φ)
i=1 i=1
NEED REFERENCE
11.4.6 Applications
11.5.1 Characterization
TODO
132 CHAPTER 11. GENERALIZATION OF COMMON DISTRIBUTIONS
11.5.2 Properties
TODO
11.5.4 Estimation
TODO
TODO
11.5.6 Applications
Chapter 12
Multivariate distributions
12.1 Multinomial
12.7.1 Characterization
TODO
12.7.2 Properties
TODO
133
134 CHAPTER 12. MULTIVARIATE DISTRIBUTIONS
12.7.3 Estimation
TODO
TODO
12.7.5 Applications
TODO
12.9 Evens
Chapter 13
Misc
The MBBEFD distribution comes from the actuarial science due to Bernegger (1997). MBBEFD
stands for Maxwell-Boltzmann, Bore-Einstein and Fermi-Dirac distribution.
13.1.1 Characterization
(a + 1)b
p = 1 − F (1) = .
a+b
The parameters (a, b) are defined on a wide set of intervals, which are not trivial: ] − 1, 0[×]1, +∞[
and ]−∞, −1[∪]0, +∞[×]0, 1[. The shape of the distribution function F has the following properties
135
136 CHAPTER 13. MISC
There is no usual density but if we use the Dirac function δ, we can define a function f such
that
−a(a + 1)bx ln(b)
f (x) = 11]0,1[ (x) + δ1 .
(a + bx )2
which is a mix between a mass probability and a density functions.
TODO
13.1.3 Properties
TODO
13.1.4 Estimation
TODO
TODO
13.1.6 Applications
TODO
TODO
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Appendix A
Mathematical tools
TODO
For a discrete distribution, one may use the probability generating function to characterize the
distribution, if it exists or equivalently the moment generating function. For a continuous distri-
bution, we generally use only the moment generating function. The moment generating function is
linked to the Laplace transform of a distribution. When dealing with continuous distribution, we
also use the characteristic function, which is related to the Fourrier transform of a distribution, see
table below for details.
1 dk GX (t) dk GX (t)
• ∀k ∈ N, X discrete random variable , P (X = k) = k! dtk
|t=0 ; E(X . . . (X−k)) = dtk
|t=1
dk MX (t)
• ∀X continuous random variable E(X k ) = dtk
|t=0
141
142 APPENDIX A. MATHEMATICAL TOOLS
In this section, we recall the common mathematical quantities used in all this guide. By definition,
we have
Γ(a)Γ(b)
• results for beta function ∀a, b > 0, β(a, b) = Γ(a+b)
Γ0 (x)
• digamma function: ∀x > 0, ψ(x) = Γ(x)
Γ00 (x)
• trigamma function: ∀x > 0, ψ1 (x) = Γ(x)
Rx 2
• error function : erf(x) = √2
π 0 e−t dt
• factorial : ∀n ∈ N, n! = n × (n − 1) . . . 2 × 1
Γ(n+m)
• rising factorial : ∀n, m ∈ N2 , m(n) = m × (m + 1) . . . (m + n − 2) × (m + n − 1) = Γ(n)
Γ(m)
• falling factorial: ∀n, m ∈ N2 , (m)n = m × (m − 1) . . . (m − n + 2) × (m − n + 1) = Γ(m−n)
• Stirling number of the first kind : coefficients 1 Snk of the expansion of (x)n = nk=0 1 Snk xk or
P
k−1
defined by the recurrence 1 Snk = (n − 1) × 1 Sn−1
k + 1 Sn−1 with 1 Sn0 = δn0 and 1 S01 = 0.
• Stirling number of the second kind : coefficients 2 Snk of the expansion nk=0 2 Snk (x)k = xn or
P
k−1
defined by the recurrence 2 Snk = 2 Sn−1 k
+ k × 2 Sn−1 with 2 Sn1 = 2 Snn = 1.
A.3. MATRIX EXPONENTIAL 143
+∞
zn
• Jonquière’s function : ∀s > 1, ∀z > 0, Lis (z) =
P
ns
n=1
+∞
a(n) z n
• hypergeometric function : ∀a, b, c ∈ N, ∀z ∈ R, 1 F1 (a, b, z) =
P
b(n) n!
, 2 F1 (a, b, c, z) =
n=0
+∞ +∞
P a(n) b(n) z n P a(n) b(n) c(n) z n
c(n) n!
and 3 F1 (a, b, c, d, e, z) = d(n) e(n) n!
.
n=0 n=0
• Bessel’s functions verify the following ODE: x2 y 00 + xy 0 + (x2 − α2 )y = 0. We define the Bessel
∞
(−1)n x 2n+α
function of the 1st kind by Jα (x) = and of the 2nd kind Yα (x) =
P
n!Γ(n+α+1) 2
n=0
Jα (x)cos(απ)−J−α (x)
sin(απ) .
(1)
• Hankel’s function: Hα (x) = Jα (x) + iYα (x)
+∞
P (x/2)2k+α π α+1 (1)
• Bessel’s modified function Iα (x) = i−α Jα (ix) = k!Γ(α+k+1) and Kα (x) = 2 i Hα (x) =
k=0
1 ∞ α−1 − x2 (y+y −1 )
R
2 0 y e dy
x n x xn ) i
• Laguerre’s polynomials: Ln (x) = en! d (e = ni=0 (−1)i Cnn−i xi!
P
dxn
(α) ex dn (ex xn+α ) Pn i n−i xi
• generalized Laguerre’s polynomials: Ln (x) = n!xα dxn = i=0 (−1) Cn+α i!
A.2.4 Miscellanous
+∞ si x = x0
• Dirac function: ∀x > 0, δx0 (x) = et
0 sinon
0
si x < x0
• heavyside function : Hx0 (x) = 1
si x = x0
2
1 sinon
x si n=0
1
n 6= 0 et 0 ≥ x ≥ 31
2 n−1 (3x)
F si
• Cantor function : ∀x ∈ [0, 1], Fn (x) = 1
2 si n 6= 0 et 13 ≥ x ≥ 23
1 1
2 + 2 F n−1 (3(x − 23 )) si n 6= 0 et 23 ≥ x ≥ 1
There are various methods to compute the matrix exponential, Moler & Van Loan (2003) makes a
deep analysis of the efficiency of different methods. In our case, we choose a decomposition method.
We diagonalize the n × n matrix Q and use the identity
eQu = P eDu P −1 ,
where D is a diagonal matrix with eigenvalues on its diagonal and P the eigenvectors. We compute
m
X
eQu = eλl u P Ml P −1 ,
| {z }
l=1 Cl
where λi stands for the eigenvalues of Q, P the eigenvectors and Ml = (δil δlj )ij (δij is the symbol
Kronecker, i.e. equals to zero except when i = j). As the matrix Ml is a sparse matrix with just
a 1 on the lth term of its diagonal. The constant Ci can be simplified. Indeed, if we denote by Xl
the lth column of the matrix P (i.e. the eigenvector associated to the eigenvalue λl ) and Yl the lth
row of the matrix P −1 , then we have
4
Cl = P Ml P −1 = Xl ⊗ Yl .
Despite Q is not obligatorily diagonalizable, this procedure will often work, since Q may have
a complex eigenvalue (say λi ). In this case, Ci is complex but as eQu is real, we are ensured there
is j ∈ [[1, . . . , m]], such that λj is the conjugate of λl . Thus, we get
where < and = stands resp. for the real and the imaginary part.
when A is a m × m matrix of general term (Ai1 ,j1 )i1 ,j1 and B a n × n matrix of general term
(Bi2 ,j2 )i2 ,j2 . Note that the Kronecker can also be defined for non-square matrixes.
A ⊗ B = A ⊗ Im + B ⊗ In ,
where Im and In are the identity matrixes of size m and n. This definition is right only for square
matrixes A and B.
Contents
Introduction 4
I Discrete distributions 6
1.1.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7
1.1.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
1.1.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
1.1.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
1.2.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
1.2.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9
1.2.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10
1.2.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
1.3.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
145
146 CONTENTS
1.3.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
1.3.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
1.3.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
1.4.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
1.4.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
1.4.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
1.4.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13
1.5.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
1.5.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
1.5.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
1.5.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
1.6.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15
1.6.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
1.6.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16
1.6.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
1.7.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
CONTENTS 147
1.7.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
1.7.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
1.7.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
1.8.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
1.8.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
1.8.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 19
1.8.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
1.9.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
1.9.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
1.9.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21
1.9.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
1.10.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
1.10.2 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22
1.10.3 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
1.10.4 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
1.10.6 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23
1.11.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
1.11.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
1.11.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24
1.11.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
1.12.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
1.12.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
1.12.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
1.12.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
1.13.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
1.13.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
1.13.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
1.13.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26
2.1.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
2.1.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
2.1.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27
2.1.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
CONTENTS 149
2.2.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
2.2.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
2.2.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
2.2.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
2.3.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
2.3.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
2.3.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
2.3.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
2.4.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
2.4.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
2.4.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
2.4.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
2.5.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
2.5.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
2.5.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
2.5.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
150 CONTENTS
2.6.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
2.6.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
2.6.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30
2.6.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
2.7.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
2.7.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
2.7.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
2.7.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
2.8.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
2.8.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
2.8.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
2.8.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
2.9.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
2.9.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
2.9.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
2.9.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
CONTENTS 151
2.10.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
2.10.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32
2.10.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
2.10.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
2.11.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
2.11.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
2.11.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
2.11.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
II Continuous distributions 34
3.1.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
3.1.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35
3.1.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
3.1.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
3.2.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36
3.2.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
152 CONTENTS
3.2.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37
3.2.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
3.3.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38
3.3.3 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
3.3.4 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40
3.3.6 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
3.4.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
3.4.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
3.4.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
3.4.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
3.5.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42
3.5.3 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44
3.5.4 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45
3.5.6 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45
3.6.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45
3.6.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
3.6.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
3.6.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 46
4.1.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47
4.1.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
4.1.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48
4.1.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49
4.2.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
4.2.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50
4.2.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
4.2.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51
4.3.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
4.3.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
4.3.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52
4.3.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
154 CONTENTS
4.4.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
4.4.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53
4.4.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
4.4.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
4.5.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 54
4.5.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
4.5.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55
5.1.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
5.1.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56
5.1.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57
5.1.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57
5.2.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
5.2.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
5.2.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59
5.2.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60
CONTENTS 155
5.3.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60
5.3.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60
5.3.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
5.3.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
5.4.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61
5.4.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62
5.4.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62
5.4.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63
5.5.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 63
5.5.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
5.5.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
5.5.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64
5.7.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
5.7.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
5.7.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65
5.7.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
5.8.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 66
5.8.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67
5.8.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67
5.8.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67
5.9.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68
5.9.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68
5.9.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68
5.9.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 68
5.10.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
5.10.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
5.10.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
5.10.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
5.11.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 69
5.11.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70
5.11.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70
5.11.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
5.12.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 71
5.12.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72
5.12.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72
5.12.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72
5.13.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72
5.13.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73
5.13.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73
5.13.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 74
6.1.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75
6.1.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76
6.1.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76
6.1.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76
6.2.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77
6.2.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 77
6.2.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
158 CONTENTS
6.2.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
6.3.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78
6.3.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
6.3.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
6.3.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79
6.4.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80
6.4.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80
6.4.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 80
6.4.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81
6.5.1 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81
6.5.2 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82
6.5.4 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82
6.6.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82
6.6.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82
6.6.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82
6.6.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83
7.1.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 84
7.1.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85
7.1.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85
7.1.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85
7.2.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86
7.2.2 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86
7.2.3 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86
7.2.4 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 86
7.2.6 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87
7.3.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87
7.3.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87
7.3.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87
7.3.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87
8 Pareto family 88
8.1.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88
160 CONTENTS
8.1.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 90
8.1.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 93
8.1.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 95
8.2.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 96
8.2.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97
8.2.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97
8.2.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 97
8.3.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98
8.3.2 Properties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98
8.3.3 Estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98
8.3.5 Applications . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 98
8.4.1 Characterization . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 99
13 Misc 135
Conclusion 137
Bibliography 137