Class IX Unit 3 Maths for AI
Class IX Unit 3 Maths for AI
Probability of an Event =
Number of Favorable Outcomes / Total Number of Possible Outcomes
We say that the probability of the coin landing H is ½ and the
probability of the coin landing T is ½ When we talk about
probability, we use a few terms that help us understand the
chances for something to happen.
Probability can be expressed in the following ways:
▪ Certain events: An event will happen without a doubt
▪ Likely events: The probability of one event is higher than the
probability of another event
▪ Unlikely events: One event is less likely to happen than another
event
▪ Impossible events: There's no chance of an event happening
▪ Equal Probability events: Chances of each event happening is
The probability of an event occurring is somewhere between impossible and
certain.
• If an event is certain or sure to happen, it will have a probability of 1.
For example, the probability that it will rain in the state of Florida at least once in
a specific year is 1.
• If an event will never happen or is impossible, it will have a probability of 0.
For example, the probability that you can pick a red ball from a bag containing
only blue balls is 0
Let’s try to understand the concept of Probability using a relatable example.
Consider a relatable scenario!
You want to go to your best friend's birthday party next Saturday. Your
parents decide to make a deal with you.
Scenario 1
Scenario 3
Probability – Applications
Sports
▪ Probability can be used in estimating batting average in Cricket.
▪ Batting average in Cricket represents how many runs a
batsman would score before getting out.
• For instance, if a batsman had scored 45 runs out of 100 from only boundaries
in the last match. Then, there is a chance that he will score 45% of his runs in
the next match from boundaries
Weather Forecasting
• One of the most common real-life examples of using probability
is weather forecasting.
•It is used by weather forecasters to assess how likely it is that
there will be rain, snow, clouds, etc., on a given day in a certain
area.
•Forecasters may say things like “there is a 70% chance of rain
today between 4 PM and 6 PM” to indicate a medium to high
likelihood of rain during certain hours.
Traffic Estimation
•Regular people often use probability when they decide to drive to
someplace.
•Based on the time of day, location in the city, weather conditions, etc.
people tend to make probability predictions about how bad traffic will be
during a certain time.
•For example, if you think there’s a 90% probability that traffic will be heavy
from 6 PM to 7:30 PM in your vicinity then you may decide to wait during
that time.