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Lecture 1 Course Content.pdf

The document outlines the course CIEM 5620 - Travel Demand Analysis, taught by Prof. Hai Yang at The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. It includes a detailed schedule of lectures covering topics such as transportation planning, trip generation, modal split modeling, and discrete choice models, along with assignments and grading composition. Reference books for the course are also provided, emphasizing key texts in transportation modeling and discrete choice analysis.

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Derek Lam
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9 views

Lecture 1 Course Content.pdf

The document outlines the course CIEM 5620 - Travel Demand Analysis, taught by Prof. Hai Yang at The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology. It includes a detailed schedule of lectures covering topics such as transportation planning, trip generation, modal split modeling, and discrete choice models, along with assignments and grading composition. Reference books for the course are also provided, emphasizing key texts in transportation modeling and discrete choice analysis.

Uploaded by

Derek Lam
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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CIEM 5620

TRAVEL DEMAND ANALYSIS

Course Notes

Hai Yang
Chair Professor

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering


The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology

January 2018
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
Department of Civil Engineering

CIEM 5620 - TRAVEL DEMAND ANALYSIS


2018 Spring Semester, Saturday 10:00 am to 12:50 pm

Instructor: Prof. Hai Yang


Office # 3597
Phone: 2358-7178
E-mail: [email protected]

Focus of Course:

Overview of transportation planning process; population/employment forecasting


techniques; sequential demand forecasting models; discrete travel choice models;
simplified transportation demand models.

Schedule of Lectures and Assignment

Lecture Date Topic Assignment


1 3 Feb Overview of the Transportation Planning
Process
- Characteristics of transport problems
- Issues in transport modeling
- The structure of the classic transport model
2 10 Feb Data and Space
- Basic sampling theory
- Error in modeling and forecasting
- Data-collection methods
3 24 Feb Trip Generation Modeling
- Introduction
- Regression analysis
4 3 Mar Trip Distribution Modeling Due date of
- Definitions and notation Assignment
- Growth-factor methods #1
- Gravity model
- The entropy-maximizing approach
5 10 Mar Trip Distribution Modeling
- Relationships among various trip
distribution model
- Numerical examples
6 17 Mar Modal Split Modeling Due date of
- Introduction Assignment
- Distribution and modal split models #2
- Multimodal split models
7 24 Mar Modal Split Modeling
- Calibration of binary logit model
- Direct demand and abstract model
- Deterministic Mode Choice
- Application of Mode Choice Model
8 7 Apr Discrete Choice Models Due date of
- Introduction Assignment
- Making random utility theory operational #3
- Common binary choice models
- Example of binary choice models
9 14 Apr Multinomial Discrete Choice Models
- Theory of multinomial choice
- The multinomial logit model
- Properties of logit
10 21 Apr Discrete Choice Models
- Illustrative Examples for Empirical Estimation
of Choice Probabilities
- Expected Received Utility (or Maximum
Expected Utility)
- Examples for Application of Logit Model
(Elasticity and Incremental Logit Model)

11 28 Apr Discrete Choice Models Due date of


- Maximum likelihood estimation of binary Assignment
choice model #4
12 5 Apr Discrete Choice Models
- Key Issues in Disaggregate Modeling
 Market Segmentation
 Value of Time
- Aggregate Prediction with Disaggregate
Choice Models
 The Naïve Method
 The Market Segmentation Method
 The Sample Enumeration Method

Final Examination: To be scheduled


Grade Composition

Assignments: 20%

Final Examination: 80%

Reference Books

Major Reference Books

1. Modeling Transport (1st ~ 4rd Edition)


By J. de D. Ortuzar & L. G. Willumsen
Published by John Wiley & Sons in 2001, 2011
http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/book/10.1002/978111999330

2. Discrete Choice Analysis: Theory and Application


to Travel Demand
By Ben-Akiva and Steven R. Lerman
Published by MIT in 1985
https://mitpress.mit.edu/books/discrete-choice-analysis

3. Discrete Choice Method with Simulation


By Kenneth E. Train, Cambridge University Press
in 2003, 2009
http://eml.berkeley.edu/books/choice2.html

Additional Reference Books

4. Urban Travel Demand Modeling: From Individual Choices to General


Equilibrium (Chapter 1 and Chapter 2)
By Norbert Oppenheim
Published by John Wiley & Sons in 1995

5. Statistical Analysis for Engineers and Scientists


By J. Wesley Barnes
Published by McGRAW-HILL in 1994

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